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Happy Friday, Athletics Nation!
The 2022 MLB draft begins this Sunday, July 17. The A’s will be making the 19th, 56th, and 69th overall picks on Day One. AN community member grover has been popping in throughout the week to share some insights on potential picks that are well worth checking out. Additionally, Melissa Lockard at The Athletic wrote an A’s draft preview that appeared yesterday, discussing how the organization might approach this year’s picks.
Lockard notes that the A’s have had relatively little success with first-round draft picks since 2015, which have yielded only two big league players to date: A.J. Puk and Richie Martin. Since the high-upside gamble on Kyler Murray in 2018 that went bust, the A’s three late-first round picks Logan Davidson, Tyler Soderstrom, and Max Muncy are showing promise but remain works in progress.
The A’s also traded a bevy of early-round picks as they pushed for contention from 2018-21, leaving the rebuilding organization’s farm system in need of a reload. They’ll almost surely be drafting earlier in 2023, but this year they will once again get their top pick in the latter half of the first round—the draft pool’s crème de la crème will already have been skimmed off the top by then.
So what will the A’s best option be for their top pick on Sunday? General manager David Forst recently said he believes it is usually best to go after position players in the first round, and Lockard notes that the A’s minor league outfield depth is especially thin while the draft pool is deep at that position.
Two available outfielders with Bay Area ties that have been linked to the A’s are Dylan Beavers from Cal Berkeley and Brock Jones from Stanford. Check out Grover’s evaluation of these potential picks from earlier in the week here. Lockard also mentioned a handful of other outfielders worth keeping an eye on.
Of course, getting the best player available is more important than fleshing out the depth chart when it comes to the draft. Lockard mentions a number of other possibilities for the A’s first-day picks and beyond, and considers how the team’s relatively modest bonus pool might factor into their ability to pluck a diamond in the rough that remains in play after the first day of selections have been made. Lockard also goes further in depth on the A’s top picks going back to 2010. Be sure to check it out!
A’s Coverage:
- Grover: MLB Draft 2022: Evaluating Zach Neto and Peyton Graham as potential A’s picks
- Lockard: Oakland A’s 2022 MLB Draft preview: Keep an eye on the college outfielders ($)
- Killion: If Joe Lacob’s deal to buy A’s had gone through, what could they have become? ($)
- Kawahara: How A’s All-Star Paul Blackburn moved from the fringe to the frontline ($)
- Razo: Kaprielian describes unique pregame routine before A’s start
- Gallegos: A’s outfield prospect Clarke on a meteoric rise
MLB News & Interest:
- McGrath: Segment of Blue Jays clubhouse felt need for new voice in dugout: ‘it was time’ ($)
- Bowden: MLB Futures Game primer: The top 10 hitters Jim Bowden can’t wait to watch ($)
- Rogers: How the Orioles — yes, the Baltimore Orioles — became the hottest team in MLB
- Passan: Agent Casey Close sues Fox Sports radio host Doug Gottlieb for libel over tweet about contract offer to Los Angeles Dodgers’ Freddie Freeman
- Franco: Braves Targeting Mid-Late August Return For Ozzie Albies
- Shaikin: Q&A: Rob Manfred on Trevor Bauer, payroll disparity, rule changes and TV blackouts ($)
- Franco: Nationals Activate Anibal Sanchez, Transfer Stephen Strasburg To 60-Day IL
- Mooney: Cubs, Willson Contreras may be going in different directions as All-Star Game, trade deadline approach ($)
- Jaffe: A Second Act in Texas Has Made Martín Pérez a First-Time All-Star ($)
- Tasch: Yankees unlikely to pursue Andrew Benintendi trade because he’s unvaccinated
- Today in Baseball History
Best of Twitter:
Sodie poppin’
Tyler Soderstrom's OPS is at .802, above .800 for the first time this year. He has dug himself out from his Michigan-cold start: from .138/.219/.293 on April 28th to .252/.316/.486 now with consistent production and power.
— Jesse Goldberg-Strassler (@jgoldstrass) July 14, 2022
Merrifield won’t vax, says teammates back him...
Whit Merrifield said his decision to not get vaccinated is a personal choice based on research and conversations.
— Anne Rogers (@anne__rogers) July 13, 2022
He has sat the last 4 games with a big toe bone bruise but said it's progressing well and he might have played by the end of the Toronto series if he was going. pic.twitter.com/jUGOpsR3wZ
...but the Royals President certainly doesn’t!
Dayton Moore with Soren on how he felt when he heard Whit’s comments
— Jason Anderson (@J810Anderson) July 14, 2022
“I was disappointed. Truthfully I was disgusted.”
Data science says early picks are better—go figure!
A reminder of how quickly the expected value for draft picks drops off. Here is a look at career WAR by overall pick number over the past 20 years fit with an exponential decay function pic.twitter.com/vce1pMdZl5
— Down on the Farm (@downonthefarm12) July 14, 2022
From DFA to All-Star. Here’s to a fabulous All-Star experience for Paul Blackburn!
Really wild to think that in the span of a little over a year, Paul Blackburn went from this to about to pitch in the MLB All-Star Game next week. https://t.co/EqPAYWbfIz
— Martín Gallegos (@MartinJGallegos) July 15, 2022
The MLB was eager for Seager.
Explanation on Seager addition to ASG, per MLB. Springer was a player ballot choice, but all AL OFs who were at top of player picks were already All-Stars. Thus, it became an MLB selection. Other than José Abreu, Seager highest fWAR among position players not already on AL team.
— Ken Rosenthal (@Ken_Rosenthal) July 14, 2022
Please go cement your legend elsewhere asap, Shohei! So I won’t be blacked out when the A’s play against you!
What MLB pitchers have struck out 45+ batters while allowing no more than 1 earned run in ANY 4-start stretch?
— Codify (@CodifyBaseball) July 14, 2022
Randy Johnson
Pedro Martínez
Clayton Kershaw
Chris Sale
Jacob deGrom
Shohei Ohtani (last 4 starts!)
Decent group of pitchers! https://t.co/f1SKt7ed7z
Hey, remember the pooch on the right? It’s Finn the Bat Dog!
Pets for the best https://t.co/w4z3WbccnP
— Las Vegas Aviators (@AviatorsLV) July 15, 2022
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