A's getting no respect from the Analytics Sites

What am I missing? I don't drink kool-aid anymore so that is out. How can a team that has won 97 games the past 2 years and made the playoffs only be projected to win 87 this year and miss the playoffs?

This year the A's starting rotation is miles better than last year's and I cannot see the BP blowing 30+ leads like last year (although that stat is not all it seems to be). Also the young players are still ascending and Olson should be available for the whole season.

I along with most A's fans believes in analytics but the analytics are really short changing the A's chances this year. Again, what am I missing?