FanPost

Athletics Nation Community Prospect List

Hi Everybody!

Its been a long time coming, but the Athletics Nation Community Prospect List is finally complete, slinging in at the round number of 20. We've learned a lot from this exercise, as we do every year. This year's system is coming off a down year from the last, with much of our top hitters struggling, and few pitchers making an impact. On the bright side, one reason why the system has become so depleted is simply because we have graduated so many prospects onto the big squad, with Cahill, Anderson, Gio, Barton, Pennington, Bailey, and such now performing very well on the A's instead of the Rivercats.

But this is not about the big squad but the little, and with any luck, that squad could end up much better next year than the year previous.

And now, I present the A's Top 20 Prospects, as presented by our community's voting voice.


Chris Carter

1B / OF

#1 – 66%


Chris Carter is a slugging First Baseman turned Outfielder, most likely to end up as a Designated Hitter. Although Carter started his MLB career with the A's on a down note, going 0 for his first forever, he picked it up and began hitting at the major league level. There is no doubt that Carter could be a prolific slugger for the A's, and a very good major leaguer, but his defensive liabilities and his large strikezone totals will hold him back. Carter was acquired from the Arizona Daimondbacks in the Dan Haren trade, having been acquired previously from the White Sox for Carlos Quentin. Carter will likely start the year in Triple A Sacramento, though may force his way onto the team in a DH capacity.

Season

Team

AB

HR

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

ISO

wOBA

Total

- - -

70

3

.186

.256

.329

.585

.143

.265

2006

White Sox (R)

251

15

.299

.398

.570

.968

.271

.422

2006

White Sox (A)

46

1

.130

.231

.261

.492

.130

.238

2007

White Sox (A)

459

24

.288

.382

.512

.894

.224

.394

2008

Athletics (A+)

506

39

.259

.361

.569

.930

.310

.400

2009

Athletics (AA)

490

24

.337

.435

.576

1.011

.239

.450

2009

Athletics (AAA)

54

4

.259

.293

.519

.812

.259

.335

2010

Athletics (AAA)

465

31

.258

.365

.529

.894

.271

.384

2010

Athletics

70

3

.186

.256

.329

.585

.143

.265

2011

Bill James

487

24

.251

.330

.460

.790

.209

.346

2011

Fans (16)

350

15

.251

.336

.443

.779

.191

.340

#2 – 58%

Grant Green

SS


Grant Green, a 2009 Draftee out of Southern California, had his full season debut at Stockton in 2010. Green is a toss up to stay at the position, possibly requiring a move to Second Base or Third Base, though most of his defensive problems are thought to be mechanical and foot work related, which is supposed to be the cause of most of his poor throws. Green's bat, however, is rather advanced, and if he masters his defense, it is likely that he will shoot up through the system and replace Cliff Pennington within a couple years. Green will likely start the year in Double A Midland.

Season

Team

AB

HR

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

ISO

wOBA

2009

Athletics (A+)

19

0

.316

.350

.368

.718

.053

.341

2010

Desert Dogs (R)

45

0

.200

.234

.244

.478

.044

.224

2010

Athletics (A+)

548

20

.318

.363

.520

.883

.203

.382


#3 – 35%

Michael Choice

CF



The A's 2010 first round pick, Choice is a high power, high strikeout kind of guy. Coming out of the draft, there were concerns that his stats may have been inflated, and certainly, his strikeouts were not. The outfielder came into his professional debut with avengeance in the K department, and luckily held his own everywhere else, but if he does not keep the strikeouts down, he will be in trouble. Choice projects as a corner outfield, although the A's will likely try to play him in Centerfield till he proves he cannot handle the position.

Season

Team

AB

HR

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

ISO

wOBA

2010

Athletics (R)

7

0

.000

.222

.000

.222

.000

.165

2010

Athletics (A-)

102

7

.284

.388

.627

1.016

.343

.462


#4 – 37%

Stephen Parker

3B



Parker was loved in the Community Prospect list, but received mixed reviews everywhere else. He certainly has the bat, and his MLE's are good, but there are major questions about his defense. Parker threw up a lot of errors in A+ Stockton, and scouts are concerned that he might have to switch to the outfield or first base eventually. If that happens, his value takes a massive hit. But, until that happens, the A's could very well have their 3B of the near future. Parker should be joining Green in AA Midland for 2011.

Season

Team

AB

HR

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

ISO

wOBA

2009

Athletics (R)

14

0

.214

.267

.357

.624

.143

.288

2009

Athletics (A)

254

5

.244

.312

.362

.674

.118

.306

2010

Desert Dogs (R)

98

1

.327

.405

.480

.885

.153

.395

2010

Athletics (A+)

524

21

.296

.392

.508

.900

.212

.395


#5–42%

Michael Taylor

OF



Taylor had a hugely disappointing season in 2010. Coming over as an off shoot of the Roy Halliday trade for Brett Wallace, Taylor was seen as the last potential vestiges of the remnants of the failed Matt Holliday trade, in which the A's lost not only Huston Street but Carlos Gonzalez. Tracing Gonzalez to Holliday to Wallace to Taylor was a favorite among ANers, so when Taylor crashed in 2010, panic ensued. Taylor will have to put together everything he has in 2011 in order to regain his top prospect status, but if he does, he should see time with the A's as a starting outfielder in 2012, or perhaps in 2011 if things go badly or one of the A's fragile outfield gets injured.

Season

Team

AB

HR

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

ISO

wOBA

2007

Phillies (A-)

233

6

.227

.300

.365

.665

.137

.317

2008

Phillies (A)

249

10

.361

.441

.554

.995

.193

.447

2008

Phillies (A+)

243

9

.329

.380

.560

.939

.230

.411

2009

Phillies (AA)

318

15

.333

.408

.569

.977

.236

.438

2009

Phillies (AAA)

110

5

.282

.359

.491

.850

.209

.375

2010

Desert Dogs (R)

108

2

.278

.391

.407

.798

.130

.379

2010

Athletics (AAA)

464

6

.272

.348

.392

.740

.121

.336


#6–33%

Adrian Cardenas

IF


Cardenas is a cult favorite on AN. Acquired in the Joe Blanton trade along with Matt Spencer and Josh Outman, Cardenas came up as a Shortstop before the Phillies finally tried converting him to Second. The A's also tried him at Short, but that experiment soon failed, and Cardenas has shifted between Second Base and Third Base, where he reports to be average, ever since. Cardenas has followed a strange pattern, completely destroying a level, then struggling when he gets promoted to the next, only to come back and dominate it later. 2010 saw him destroy AA only to struggle in his first stint at AAA, although a second attempt came back with better results. Expect Cardenas to stick in AAA Sacramento in 2011, and perhaps pegged as the A's starting 3B in 2012.

Season

Team

AB

HR

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

ISO

wOBA

2006

Phillies (R)

154

2

.318

.384

.442

.826

.123

.396

2007

Phillies (A)

499

9

.295

.354

.417

.770

.122

.349

2008

Athletics (A+)

72

1

.278

.297

.333

.631

.056

.290

2008

Phillies (A+)

261

4

.307

.371

.441

.812

.134

.386

2008

Athletics (AA)

86

0

.279

.392

.326

.718

.047

.333

2009

Athletics (AA)

325

3

.326

.392

.446

.838

.120

.381

2009

Athletics (AAA)

183

1

.251

.317

.372

.689

.120

.308

2010

Athletics (AA)

194

3

.345

.436

.469

.906

.124

.401

2010

Athletics (AAA)

210

1

.267

.320

.329

.649

.062

.293


#7–47%

Tyson Ross

SP



Ross was a 2nd round pick out of (Rest in Peace) the Cal Berkeley Baseball Program. At the time, he projected as a high upside guy with injury concerns. He has an inverted W delivery which caused him enough trouble to force him into Tommy Johns in college, but stayed healthy until he ran into a UCL sprain in the second half of this year. He cracked the bullpen out of Spring Training last year with injuries to Devine and Wuertz, and was electrifying for a short while, becoming Geren's high leverage reliever of choice in the 7th inning. That said, the streak came to a close after a few weeks, and Ross was sent back down to AAA, where he pitched well but battled the sprain. He has a decent arsenal; Fastball, Sinker, Slider, and Changeup, though Ross claims he rarely throws the Change when he's relieving. Thanks to Pitch F/x we know his Fastball and Sinker are low 90s and have good vertical movement, while his slider appears to mainly swing horizontally with little vertical movement. He throws all his pitches from the same release point, and uses a lot of arm as detailed by the aforementioned inverted W. Ross will compete for the 5th starter spot, though he'll probably start the year in AAA and look for an injury replacement spot during the year. - Rebuilding Season

Season

Team

Age

ERA

IP

K/9

BB/9

K/BB

GB%

Total

- - -

5.49

39.1

7.32

4.58

1.60

53.1 %

2008

Athletics (A)

21

4.66

19.1

7.45

2.33

3.20

2009

Athletics (A+)

22

4.17

86.1

8.55

3.44

2.48

2009

Athletics (AA)

22

3.96

50.0

5.58

3.60

1.55

2010

Athletics (AAA)

23

3.55

25.1

10.66

4.62

2.31

2010

Athletics

23

5.49

39.1

7.32

4.58

1.60

53.1 %


#8–43%

Ian Krol

SP



Ian Krol: Krol was a highly touted high school prospect, blowing away his local hitters, one year throwing 3 no hitters including a perfect game. He's a Left Handed pitcher who relies on command and control rather than velocity to get outs. His fastball is average, but his changeup and curveball profile to be above average. He kept the ball well at the edges of the zone, as shown in his very low walk rate (1.44) but his also low K/9 (6.9) He'll probably start the year in High A this year, maybe even transitioning to AA if he continues to do well. With his ability to induce weak contact and the A's recent focus on defense, he profiles well to stay a SP in the A's system, though his ceiling probably isn't Ace potential. If he stays on the ball, he may see MLB time as early as 2012. - Rebuilding Season

Season

Team

Age

ERA

IP

K/9

BB/9

K/BB

GB%

2009

Athletics (R)

0.00

1.0

0.00

0.00

0.00

2009

Athletics (A-)

8.10

3.1

10.80

2.70

4.00

2010

Athletics (A)

2.65

118.2

6.90

1.44

4.79

2010

Athletics (A+)

3.66

19.2

9.15

4.12

2.22


#9–38%

Jemile Weeks

2B



Jemile Weeks: Weeks was the A's 1st round draft pick in 2008, and it brought mixed reviews. Weeks is a very athletic 2B/CF with the tools to make it happen, but his minor league career has been plagued by injuries. When healthy, he's been great, posting solid numbers in all categories and no real weaknesses. That said, he hasn't shown any great strengths. His power is middling at best, and while reports say he's fast enough to be a threat, he hasn't been stealing bases much. It's hard to tell whether his talent is middling or whether his wealth of injuries is constantly holding him back. If he were healthy, he'd be contending for a roster spot this year, but he's yet to play more than 80 games in two full professional seasons, and this year will be a 24 year old hoping to crack the AAA roster. If he can stay on the field we might see a September call up this year, but he needs to overcome that rather big hill to get attention. - Rebuilding Season

Season

Team

AB

HR

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

ISO

wOBA

2008

Athletics (A)

74

1

.297

.422

.405

.828

.108

.396

2009

Athletics (A+)

201

7

.299

.385

.468

.853

.169

.386

2009

Athletics (AA)

105

2

.238

.303

.343

.645

.105

.308

2010

Athletics (R)

36

0

.306

.432

.417

.848

.111

.420

2010

Athletics (AA)

273

3

.267

.335

.403

.738

.136

.336


#10–30%
R/O–51%

Eric Sogard

2B



Eric Sogard (Pasted from my original post) Sogard was originally drafted by the Padres in the 2nd round out of ASU. He’s played 2nd base basically his entire career, and reports about his skillset vary pretty wildly. Depending on who you talk to, you may hear anything from David Eckstein to AAA filler. Offensively, he has very little pop but a lot of patience at the plate, working over a 370 OBP the last three Minor league seasons. He walks more than he strikes out, which is, needless to say, good. Defensively, some say he’s improved a lot, but most reports say he’s average at best. If he can keep his walk rate and average around the 300/390 levels, he could be a passable major league 2nd baseman, despite the lack of power. If he can’t keep it up, then he’ll get a cup of tea somewhere as a utilityman, though his defense will have to improve to justify any reasonable amount of time at shortstop. He’ll almost certainly get that shot with Pennington/Rosales recovering from injuries, though with his low ceiling he’ll have to justify it quickly in order to not get lost in the shuffle. - Rebuilding Season

Season

Team

AB

HR

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

ISO

wOBA

Total

- - -

7

0

.429

.556

.429

.984

.000

.397

2007

Padres (A-)

125

2

.256

.354

.376

.730

.120

.344

2007

Padres (A)

83

2

.253

.308

.349

.657

.096

.300

2007

Padres (AAA)

3

0

.000

.250

.000

.250

.000

.189

2008

Padres (A+)

536

10

.308

.394

.453

.847

.146

.380

2009

Padres (AA)

457

6

.293

.370

.400

.771

.107

.356

2010

Athletics (AAA)

514

5

.300

.391

.407

.798

.107

.361

2010

Athletics

7

0

.429

.556

.429

.984

.000

.397


#11–41%

Josh Donaldson

C



Josh Donaldson: Donaldson came over in the Harden/Cubs trade in 2008, and has steadily progressed since then, getting a taste of the big leagues this year. Scouting reports say his arm is great, but his receiving is still in development. He's close to being Major League ready with his bat, and could even pull a backup job on a number of teams. His power is his main asset, as he has 20 home run upside with a high (!380) OBP to boot. He has hit for average in the past, but anything beyond 260 is gravy really with his power and eye. His K rate jumped this year in AAA corresponding with a drop in AVG, which may signify a bit of flailing at the plate. Look for Josh to start the season in AAA as the third catcher to Suzuki and Powell while he works on his approach, and be the first replacement in case of injury, a Suzuki trade, or Powell not getting it done. - Rebuilding Season

Season

Team

AB

HR

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

ISO

wOBA

Total

- - -

32

1

.156

.206

.281

.487

.125

.218

2007

Cubs (R)

11

0

.182

.308

.364

.671

.182

.277

2007

Cubs (A-)

162

9

.346

.470

.605

1.075

.259

.485

2008

Cubs (A)

235

6

.217

.276

.349

.625

.132

.293

2008

Athletics (A+)

188

9

.330

.391

.564

.955

.234

.412

2009

Athletics (AA)

455

9

.270

.379

.415

.795

.145

.370

2010

Athletics (AAA)

294

18

.238

.336

.476

.812

.238

.351

2010

Athletics

32

1

.156

.206

.281

.487

.125

.218


#12–44%

Fautino De Los Santos

RP



Fautino De Los Santos: FDLS as he's commonly shortened to was acquired by the A's in the Nick Swisher deal. At the time, he was considered an even prospect to the other pitcher acquired in the deal (Gio Gonzalez) though much further away from the majors. A Tommy John Surgery early on dropped his status a lot, and he just came back for 31 innings this year. While he had a hard time keeping the runs off the board, his peripherals were fantastic, with a 14.5 K/9 and a 2.09 FIP. He's no longer a starter, but he's a dark horse candidate to make the bullpen this year a la Andrew Bailey of 2009. He works off a Fastball/Slider/Changeup arsenal, but scouts say he has two fastballs (one with slight horizontal and one with slight vertical movement, both mid 90s) and his slider moves like a Slurve and looks like a Fastball out of the hands. His change up is nothing special, but as a reliever, he could get by with two great pitches, which is what he has. Look for him to keep the K rates up and we could see him soon. - Rebuilding Season

Season

Team

Age

ERA

IP

K/9

BB/9

K/BB

GB%

2007

White Sox (A)

2.40

97.2

11.15

3.32

3.36

2007

White Sox (A+)

3.65

24.2

11.68

2.55

4.57

2008

Athletics (A+)

5.87

23.0

10.17

4.30

2.36

2009

Athletics (R)

3.86

11.2

12.34

3.09

4.00

2010

Athletics (A+)

2.30

15.2

12.64

1.72

7.33

2010

Athletics (AA)

6.54

31.2

14.49

4.55

3.19


#13–52%

Max Stassi

C



Max Stassi: Probably the most divisive of prospects in terms of Athletics Nation's opinions, Stassi is a very talented High School catcher. The upside is that his defense and pitcher handling abilities have been almost universally praised, he's got the build and durability to stay at catcher, and his offensive ability could mature to the point where he'd be a good bat at catcher. The bad news is that he's a high school catcher (which have a notoriously high failure rate) and an extremely high K rate of 34.3%. As was pointed out on the blog, the K rate is high enough that only Russell Branyan can claim a K rate that high since 94 out of that league and also claim a respectable career, so he needs to drop it in order to progress. That said, Stassi is still very young and has a lot of time to improve, and if he can drop his K rates while keeping his power up, his defense constant, and off the operating table, he becomes a very exciting prospect to watch. - Rebuilding Season

Season

Team

AB

HR

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

ISO

wOBA

2009

Athletics (R)

1

0

.000

.500

.000

.500

.000

.378

2009

Athletics (A-)

49

0

.286

.340

.367

.707

.082

.336

2010

Athletics (A)

411

13

.229

.310

.380

.690

.151

.316


#14–42%

Yordy Cabrera

IF



Yordy Cabrera: Drafted this year, Cabrera is a very toolsy High School shortstop who's got a lot of potential. Drafted as a 19 year old because of immigration school shenanigans, he was old for his draft class. That said, he plays a fine Shortstop for now due to average and a fantastic arm, but he's still growing, and a general consensus says he'll move to 3B or the outfield eventually. During BP he has a level swing, but when he gets anxious he uppercuts a little bit, though not in a Cust-like manner. While he's not slow, it doesn't look like speed will be his game much, but if he keeps growing power could be a big part of his game. He's a natural athlete though, and his future will depend on what route the team decides to move him towards to take advantage of his plethora of tools. - Rebuilding Season

Season

Team

AB

HR

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

ISO

wOBA

2010

Athletics (R)

16

0

.188

.350

.250

.600

.063

.309


#15–39%

Michael Ynoa

SP



Michael Ynoa is the epitome of high ceiling. The A's drafted him in 2008 for a record signing bonus of 4.25 million when he was 16. Ynoa was heralded as the best pitching prospect out of Latin America in years, and chose Oakland over the Yankees reportedly because the A's treated him a little better during the courtship. As a 16 year old, he was listed at 6'7'' and 210lbs, throwing 95 MPH on his fastball, with a curve and a change to boot. Unfortunate, after just 9 innings over 3 appearances, he went down and had to have Tommy John in August of 2010, setting back his progress a good amount. Even though he may not pitch again until 2012, he's a good comeback candidate from TJ. He's got a great build and was very well developed for his age, so his timeline after recovering could be expedited. In some eyes, he's basically become a great college-age prospect rather than a high school phenom, but he has basically zero experience to speak of, and as such, has a long way to go before he gets put back on any top 50 lists. - Rebuilding Season

Season

Team

Age

ERA

IP

K/9

BB/9

K/BB

GB%

2010

Athletics (R)

5.00

9.0

11.00

4.00

2.75


#16–41%

Rashun Dixon

OF


Rashun Dixon was a two way star that the A's tore away in the 10th round of 2008. He's got tools, but has yet to put too many of them to good use. He posted a pretty great .263 ISO in 2008 in rookie ball, but hasn't come anywhere close to that since then. He's already somewhat injury prone, but he's still young. He had a very bad 2009, posting just a .281 wOBA over 57 games in low A, but bounced back to the tune of a .352 wOBA as the A's moved him up anyway to A ball. He has a short, compact swing allowing for good reactions on inside pitches. He cut down on his K rate this year, but it's still an unsettling 30%. Dixon is making steady progress as can be seen though, and if he can stay on the field while improving his tools, he has 5 tool upside. His biggest concern is that K rate, which may cause him to fade away in AA as a failed tools guy. - Rebuilding Season

Season

Team

AB

HR

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

ISO

wOBA

2008

Athletics (R)

179

8

.263

.328

.525

.853

.263

.380

2009

Athletics (A-)

196

2

.214

.300

.281

.581

.066

.281

2010

Athletics (A)

444

8

.275

.371

.383

.754

.108

.352


#17–32%

Matt Thomson

SP



Thomson is a starter who dominated in his pro debut for the A's, so much so that when the A's needed a pitcher for to spot start at A+ Stockton, they went right for Thomson with out a second thought, bypassing Krol. Thomson does not have overpowering stuff, but he knows how to pitch, as shown by his peripherals. Thomson expects to start at A+ Stockton in 2011.

Season

Team

Age

ERA

IP

K/9

BB/9

K/BB

GB%

2010

Athletics (A-)

2.15

46.0

11.93

1.57

7.63

2010

Athletics (A+)

0.00

5.0

18.00

3.60

5.00


#18–28%

Renalto Nunez

3B



Not much is known about Nunez, other than he was a high priced international signing. The limited reports we have heard about Nunez suggest that he can stick at 3B, and will be a plus offensive player, but as we've seen before, with Javier Herrera, or even Ynoa, a 16 year old is too hard to project.


#19–31%

Aaron Shipman

OF



Shipman was a 4 tool player, minus the power tool, drafted by the A's in the 2010 draft. Shipman will likely end up being a corner outfielder, and much of his future career depends on the development of his power. If he does that, Shipman could become a gem of the draft. If he does not, well, he could end up as Jermaine Mitchell part 2.

Season

Team

AB

HR

AVG

OBP

SLG

OPS

ISO

wOBA

2010

Athletics (R)

17

0

.118

.118

.118

.235

.000

.155


#20–41%

Sean Doolittle

1B



Sean Doolittle was drafted as a two way player out of college, and the A's took the gamble that it was pitching that was holding him back offensively. They proved to be correct, and Doolittle flourished... until like all A's prospects, injuries hit him. Because of Daric Barton, Doolittle, a plus defensive 1B, was moved to the outfield, where he became a serviceable right fielder. Unfortunately, Doolittle has since suffered injuries to both knees that have ended the outfield experiment, mandating him to 1B or DH. Doolittle has been very slow to come back from his injuries, but the A's saw it fit to protect him and add him to the 40 Man Roster to protect him from the Rule 5 Draft.

Many thanks to Rebuilding Season for providing some player summaries for me! Stats are from FanGraphs.