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Celebrate the 40th anniversary of the 1974 A’s

Once more in '74. It started as a rallying cry for the season, but the Oakland A's delivered on the promise and became one of the best teams of all-time by winning their third consecutive championship.

The Dumbness of Crowds, part 2 This plot uses data from your submissions to GOG #00. The x-axis...

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The Dumbness of Crowds, part 2 This plot uses data from your submissions to GOG #00. The x-axis gives which place in the AL West we predict Oakland to finish. The y-axis gives our predictions for the number of games Oakland will win (drawn as a histogram, so you can get a rough idea of how many people predicted each win total -- a lot of people thought the A's would be an 89 win team). The thick solid line is a linear regression, with all points weighted equally. Now, the dashed line shows that Oakland is currently on pace to win only 61.4 games so far (based on our May 11 record of 11 wins, 18 losses). According to the linear regression, that means we will finish in 6.65 place! You would think that this might be impossible in the four team AL West, but don't put anything past these 2009 Athletics!

The Dumbness of Crowds, part 1 Athletics Nation's predicitions (from GOG #00) for the AL West...

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The Dumbness of Crowds, part 1 Athletics Nation's predicitions (from GOG #00) for the AL West standings at the end of the season. We all seem pretty sure that Seattle will be in last place...

Time to Get Your A's...or Not

Yes, folks, it's that time of year again.  Time for me to hand out my half year grades for our Oakland Athletics.  I'm going to do it a little differently this year.  In past seasons, I'd give...

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2008 AL West Simulator Projections

Over at the U.S.S. Mariner blog, one of several high-quality mariner blogs, the front-page article runs 100 simulations of the 2008 AL West teams using the 2008 ZiPS projections. The results are...

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