KDF in Full Swing
I've sat back and not said much for a little while now. I've watched closely as A's fans continually ripped Mark Kotsay. First, starting with his outburst about Ken Macha and then recently for his "decision" to postpone surgery until spring training started. I'll be the first one to say that Kotsay is one of my favorite players ever to adorn the green and gold so my opinion on this topic is pretty biased. And perhaps I'm blind to the realities of the criticism that Kotsay has brought upon himself.
So, here I am, the Kotsay Defense Force (or KDF) doing what I should've done a while ago and that is stick up for a player who I think has been nothing but a good influence on this team and franchise. When Mark Kotsay was acquired a few seasons ago, I didn't think much of him because I hadn't seen him play much. He was an NL guy and I watch almost exclusively American League games. I'd heard he was a good defensive player who was fairly decent with the bat. I remember several folks saying he was a patient hitter when the A's got him, but he quickly dispelled that myth with his aggressiveness at the plate.
But what made me fall for Kots was that glove of his. Do any of you happen to remember the adventure that Terrence Long was in center? Or Eric Byrnes and his routine of, "Whoops, I misjudged that one off the bat too and now I have to sprint like hell to make a diving catch!" Kotsay still gets one of the best reads off of a bat that I've ever seen. It's almost magical to watch him move and anticipate as the ball strikes the bat. Whereas some players stop and hesitate that split second, Kotsay is typically off and running. It's that superior skill that has made it tough for the folks who give out gold gloves even consider Kotsay because he rarely ever has to dive for a ball. So he isn't showing up on all the highlight shows. And yeah, he may have lost a step last year, but I would imagine that his aching back has a lot to do with it.
Which leads me to why people shouldn't jump all over a guy for not having a surgery...I've had four surgeries in my life and none of them were easy. They all laid me out for some time. I know he's a professional athlete, but he's still a human being and if there's a chance you can avoid someone splitting you wide open with sharp instruments, especially near your spinal cord, you try and take the path of least resistence. The truth is that he probably thought that it was behind him but when it flared up in late February, that's when you start going around to make sure that the decision you're making is the right one. The good news is that if the surgery is successful and the rehab goes well, we will probably have a Kotsay who isn't hitting the DL constantly. He probably should've considered it in November, but perhaps he thought some rest would do him well. At the same time, Kotsay's issue does help out with the small roster crunch the A's are experiencing right now. The Stewart signing is looking smarter than ever and Goleski gets a little more time to prove himself (although he's fighting it quite a bit right now).
Finally, the whole Macha issue became very public and people wanted to know what the players thought of him. Many of the players spoke out and while Kotsay was probably one of the main culprits of going over the top in the criticism especially in his zestful, "I wasn't getting enough respect" crap, I don't necessarily fault a player for saying how he felt. Lord knows that I wish more players would actually say how they feel. I've interviewed so many players in the past and they all give you the Bull Durham canned BS constantly. Was Kotsay wrong to step on a guy while he was down? Definitely. But it wasn't enough for me to turn on him.
And that brings me full circle. Perhaps I'm separating myself from AN in my adoration of a singular player. Maybe I'm creating a schism because of that smooth as silk centerfielder. And it's possible that I have blinders on to a player's faults when they fall in my "favorites" category. But I think back to great moments that Kotsay has given me as an A's fan and I can't help it. I'll never forget that 12-pitch at-bat Kotsay had against BJ Ryan on AN Day last year that led to the game winning home run by Bradley. Bradley wound up with the glory of running around the bases, but it never happens if Kotsay doesn't foul off nasty pitch after pitch, each of those pitches further cementing my current position as president of the KDF.
Go ahead, fire away. I know you're going to have plenty to shoot at me on this one.
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108 comments
Comments
Rotoworld
doesn't like Kotsay apparently, saying Bradley will get more RBIs with him out of the way. Ouch.
by mikeA on Mar 8, 2007 3:53 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I don't know about others
But I don't find anything too harmful with a defense of Kotsay. He was an elite defender, and he was a rather good hitter here, for at least his first year. He's simply been slowed, and isn't nearly the player he was when we first acquired him. That doesn't seem to be any fault of his own, and I'll always appreciate him for what he did provide, especially that hustle during the inside the parker, which I'll never forget. But it seems his time as a useful, productive, everyday member of a lineup has passed, as it must with all ballplayers.
by walk off bunt on Mar 8, 2007 3:53 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Am I allowed to join the KDF?
by iloveoakland on Mar 8, 2007 4:04 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I think reports of Kotsay's demise are premature.
He's 31 and he's been playing with this problem for 3 years. Who's to say he won't come back strong? As for why he waited on the surgery, here's the latest:
Kotsay tried to find a way to stay in the lineup without having to submit to surgery. He stuck to a regimented offseason program designed to strength the back. When he aggravated it the first week of Spring Training, drastic methods were in order. He traveled to Los Angeles to get opinions before resigning himself to the surgery.
"We hoped it was a manageable situation," A's general manager Billy Beane said. "Then it cropped up the first week of Spring Training and we thought we needed to take the next step. Surgery was always the last resort."
by LAXile on Mar 8, 2007 4:11 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
If Blez is President of the KDF
then can I be Secretary? No, wait! Treasurer? Treasurer!
It bugs me when people make medical assumptions based on the limited information we read in the press. What if his doctor told him not to have surgury last year? I'd sure as hell rather try a few months of rest than hop on the gurney. Sure, the timing is inconvenient for us, the team, and of course, Mark Kotsay, but injuries are rarely convenient.
I'm guessing Mark's defense in CF will be missed. Here's hoping that he recovers quickly and that the surgury works...
by high street on Mar 8, 2007 4:13 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I could not agree more!
I love watching Kotsay play defense. I love his fire and passion for the game. I loved the story about when Macha forbade the players from entering the A's clubhouse for a period of time and Kotsay and Kendall went to the other team's clubhouse and smoked cigars.
Back surgeries are always a last resort and you can't fault the guy for trying everything else before opting for surgery.
Hopefully, Bradley and Stewart will stay healthy. I am not sold on Durazo at first base nor am I sold on DJ being able to hit ML pitching well.
by Baggio2B on Mar 8, 2007 4:15 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I could.
Sorry, but if I'm earning $7.5m a season to play ball, and for four or five years I'm on the DL a lot, and when I'm not, I'm playing hurt, the first thing I'd be looking to do is have someone find out why, and then fix it at the first chance.
I'll never get why Eric Chavez won't get his shoulder fixed the day after the A's last loss of the season, and I don't get why Kotsay wouldn't get his back fixed.
Surgery sucks? Deal with it, you're being paid to be healthy, and if that means you cop some stitches, suck it up and dry your eyes with those 7.5m tissues in your wallet.
Back surgery is dangerous? So is diving full stretch with a herniated disc, or having the surgery anyway after several years of ripping your back to pieces.
Bottom line, the player's responsibility is to turn up. Even Keanu knows that much, and for mine there's just no excuse for delaying surgery throughout and entire off-season, only to end up going through it once the season starts.
Never gone after Kotsay before. I've defended him but plenty, but his refusal to get his back fixed is is a dumb ass, bush move.
by Ozzz on Mar 8, 2007 9:22 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Can I be VICE President?
I haven't had the energy to respond to every hateful word posted here about Kotsay because I would have just been saying the same thing over and over again, fighting with people who obviously can't remember what life was like before Kotsay.
But I TOTALLY agree with you Blez. People need to cut the guy a little slack. Surgery is not an easy choice. Kotsay has always been the guy who would go out there in 85 pieces all tied together with silly puddy if he knew it would help the team. So why do we think he is intentionally trying to hurt the team now?
On that same note, his absence IS going to hurt the team. Maybe not due to his missing bat, or his missing glove, but his pressence. He is a force out there, not just on the field, but in the clubhouse as well. Remember the 17 inning game? I was there, I know it was Kotsay who got everyone motivated and enthusiastic at the end of that doubleheader! He gives the team life. I don't know how many times I have heard the guys say he was the CAPTAIN! Sure it may not be his offical title, but if that is the way they see him, that is all that matters. Having that force missing is going to hurt, BIG TIME!
As for his return, there has been a lot of pesimistic additudes around here that just drive me insane. As I mentioned in another thread, I work with spine surgery devices, so I am sorry if I think some people are a little nuts when they think he is "going to retire" because of this. The point of having the surgery in the first place is so he can get his life back and feel strong and healthy again. Why would he do this if it was going to end his career, or if that was even a possiblity?
The reality is, he is going to be better than fine once he returns. He won't be on the DL any more, or Day-to-Dead. He will pick up that lost step and he will be that stellar Kotsay at the plate that we have all seen from time to time when he is not in pain!
I think this is the best possible decision. We suck in April and May anyway, why not take care of it now and let him spark our June surge!
Hurry back to us Kotsay!
by BobbyCrosbysGirl on Mar 8, 2007 4:16 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I like Kotsay
It's just that he's overpaid and maybe he bring some intangibles that aren't shown in his underpreforming stats but he's still over paid. I would like him even more if he produced.
by methodrampage on Mar 8, 2007 4:17 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
yep, I do appreciate his
presence in CF...love to watch him glide with the trajectory of the flyball and he has made more than his share of game preserving defensive plays. So that is the main positive. And seemingly likeable and astute veteran....discounting the Macha thing.
He has disappointed me with his offense the past few years...and I don't see his overall value as high as he is paid. Perfectly normal for a fan like me to expect more offensively out of the guy....for that position....and I do complain about that.
by ak_A on Mar 8, 2007 4:36 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I absolutely agree about surgery
Kotsay is going to play professional baseball for maybe 5 or 6 more years. He's going to have to live with his back every day for the rest of his life.
No surgery is a joke, and back surgery is incredibly serious. I completely support a person making a decision in conjunction with his doctor that makes the most sense for his long-term health -- whether that decision fits perfectly with the major league baseball season should be nearly irrelevant to the choice he and his doctor make.
Kotsay has sacrificed the normal function of his back for baseball. The least that baseball (and we, as fans) can do is to support him as he tries to return to full mobility and function, even if it costs him a few weeks or even months of this season.
by Nick on Mar 8, 2007 4:20 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I agree
Back surgery is not something to enter into until you absolultely have to and even then you have to think twice.
by EgolikeRickey on Mar 8, 2007 8:24 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I won't comment because
by Nico on Mar 8, 2007 4:21 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
In defense of Kotsay
From what I've read, surgery was not the preferred option ACCORDING TO HIS DOCTORS when the offseason began. Therefore I will not blame him for "delaying" his surgery until now.
That said, the A's misjudged the extent of Kotsay's back issue when they signed him to an extension through 2008. Again, in their defense, when they made the offer they knew that his back was an issue but it did not affect his play in 2004. 2004 was probably his "career" year but his 2005 wasn't exactly horrid. If Kotsay had been able to maintain his 2005 form through the length of his current contract there probably wouldn't be the uproar.
But that didn't happen.
The A's made a mistake, but it wasn't in signing Kotsay to the extension. It was inaccuratey gauging how bad Kotsay's back would get.
by grover on Mar 8, 2007 4:26 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Yes, but how could you tell?
I mean, hind sight is always 20/20. There is a very real possiblity that he could have maintained his 2005 form. There is also the possibilty that because he has taken care of it and gotten the surgery, we will all be saying, dang! Kotsay for MVP in 2008! You just never know.
by BobbyCrosbysGirl on Mar 8, 2007 4:37 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
re
Mostly agree with this, particularly that it's perfectly understandable for Kotsay to hesitate on surgery around the spinal column. First of all, you can never trust a surgeon's word; they always want to cut. Secondly, Kotsay probably had another doctor telling him he could continue to manage the problem without surgery.
The only thing I hope is that the Kotsay we get in July is the guy who drives the ball and plays great defense. If there is one thing that can sway me towards the side that he should have had the surgery earlier, it's the fact that he was a lousy player for the most of 2006, and it was obviously because of his back.
by 31Boots on Mar 8, 2007 4:31 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I'm a card carrying member of the Kotsay Fan Club
or maybe that's a Kentucky Fried Chicken coupon in my pocket, but either way, I love what Kotsay has brought to this team. I haven't even read the other diaries yet because I don't want to get pissed off at seeing him bashed. I have a bad back also, and I know it isn't always clear cut what the best thing is to do.
Good luck with your surgery Mark, I'm pulling for you!
by McFood on Mar 8, 2007 4:33 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
A mixed bag for me.
I don't agree with and don't understand the criticism about the timing of the surgery. As much as we'd like them to be, injuries--even recurring ones--aren't predictable.
I also agree with the sentiments about Kotsay's defense, especially what Blez wrote about the lines he takes on fly balls. The Tigers fans I know were totally blown away by those two balls he tracked down in the ALCS. None of them had any idea he could play defense like that.
However, Kotsay's offense has been below average for the last two years, and the fact that Macha insisted on batting him second all that time really hurt our offense. Offensively, I have little doubt that the A's are going to improve by both inserting a replacement that will post a significantly better OPS, and by not giving away the #2 spot in the lineup out of an old-boy, "He's our team leader" kind of mentality.
I'll be back with popcorn in a few for the Blez/Foolsh Kotsay v. Byrnes deathmatch.
by jeepers on Mar 8, 2007 4:47 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
What made me a Kots guy?
It was a series late August-early September series against Boston a few years back (maybe 2003?) when the A's needed every game just to stay in the hunt for the AL West (which they wouldn't get that year). Boston had been handing the A's their collective arses all year long. Somewhere along the line, Manny Ramirez traps a fly ball out in left and the ump calls the out. If I'm not mistaken, that was Kots at the plate. It wasn't a catch. It was a crucial call. And Kots was bent and showed that fire we don't see from our beloved muppets very often. Later in the game, Kots made a similar play in center, stretching out and catch/trapping a ball (my A's fan-dom says he caught it). At any rate the ump called it a trap. Kots went ballistic. I loved that he fought for that moment in a crucial game. I had amired him to that point. I have loved him since. I proudly wear my faux-jersey t-shirt with Kots' name and number on the back (a gift from my mom who thought it was a jersey, God love her).
Viva Kots!
by princemilo on Mar 8, 2007 4:47 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
2004
I remember that VERY clearly. It was the game I decided to add Manny to my LIST! >:-(
by BobbyCrosbysGirl on Mar 8, 2007 4:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
the TRAP!
Manny's "catch" was clearly a trap. What a horrible call. Then when Kotsay (also clearly) traps one, he quickly snatches up the ball and holds it up to show the ump he caught it. Brilliant.
by high street on Mar 8, 2007 6:05 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
RE Kots..
I don't think it is fair to criticize him for the timing of his back surgery. Kotsay is the type of guy who wants to play and I am sure it has to be really necessary for him to decide on this course of action. It must have gotten worse for him to decide to do the surgery now rather than later.
But here's the truth of it....yes, he was a great player for us one year but that doesn't negate the fact that he has let us down as of late. He missed many, many games. Therefore he was not worth his salary. It isn't his fault that Beane offered him a contract extension when he was already showing that he had a cranky back.
As for the Macha thing..it isn't unfair to note that he was a ringleader in asking for Macha's head. Some people think that was wonderful. I am not sad at macha going but I don't like What Kotsay did. So I don't think it was wonderful or admirable.
I do remember the beauty of his glove and his ability to throw guys out. It was a glorious thing to see and I hope he recovers beautifully. But I don't expect to see him play well this season...that's for sure. and we need him, we do not have depth and certainly not anyone as talented as he was at playing center. It doesn't take away from the fact that he was NOT a good acquisition for this team knowing what we know now.
by IM4Oakgal on Mar 8, 2007 4:49 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
so you love his defense
that you admit to being worse now and not to get any better unless his back gets better, and realize that he's a poor hitter, but still love the guy?
yup, sounds like you have the blinders on.
but thats ok, we all have players that we do that for.
i'm still in love with mike bordick.
by fadedash on Mar 8, 2007 4:58 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
It's childish, IMO, to say
by Nico on Mar 8, 2007 5:03 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
it's childish
to call someone else childish.
i'm not saying he has his blinders on because he doesn't agree with me. where did i ever say that?
what's that thing about someone who assumes and u and me?
kotsay has been average defensively and has been well below average offensively the past two years. what's to like with his on the field product? what's to like about his late decision for surgery or for his comments to the media?
what's to like? the kotsay of 2004, that's what.
by fadedash on Mar 8, 2007 5:15 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Calling someone childish
What were we talking about?
by Nico on Mar 8, 2007 5:18 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
you were saying
that i think his blinders are on because i don't agree with him.
i would like to know what value kotsay has left as a starter, because i don't see it.
he's been declining defensively, was below average defensively last year, and has been well below average the past two years with the bat.
what assets does he still provide that make him worthy of being a starter?
by fadedash on Mar 8, 2007 5:21 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Here's my list if I'm arguing "pro-Kotsay":
* Even in a down year, he hit .275. In good years he hits in the .300 range.
* He is fundamentally sound even on offense, where, for example, his success driving in runners from 3rd with less than 2 outs is high (on a team that sometimes struggles in this area).
* Bradley and Swisher are going to start. Kotsay's replacement is, essentially, Dan Johnson. Kotsay offers far more defensive value than Johnson because Kotsay is a better OFer than Swisher is, AND Swisher is a better 1Bman than Johnson is--a double loss defensively when Johnson replaces Kotsay. Meanwhile, Kotsay has proven he can hit .275-.310 for a full major league season; Johnson most certainly has not.
* Kotsay can hit right-handed pitching, something Kielty and Goleski have not proven they can do.
There are plenty of reasons--as well as plenty to argue against.
by Nico on Mar 8, 2007 5:31 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
A question of trends
I agree with most of your points there, Nico, but your discussion of his offensive potential doesn't address the question of his future performance. I think the real issues on his offense is weather one believes that his offensive woes have been caused by his back problem, and will be fixed by the surgery, or weather he is simply declining overall, and will never again reach his high-water marks. I don't think any of us know the answer to this question, which is of course what makes it fun to talk about.
by el generico on Mar 8, 2007 6:37 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, I guess I don't believe
1. At 31, as a contact non-power hitter, there's no reason he should have started to decline offensively or defensively without an injury-related reason
2. In 2005 and 2006, I felt the relationship between his back and his hitting slumps was visible. I could tell when he was starting a slump (before it was statistically noticeable) because he would start dragging the bat through the zone and fouling a lot of pitches to the left--a very heavy swing. And when he wasn't doing that, he was hitting around .300.
So I have always felt that his back was largely responsible for his decline--which showed up as stretches of slumps that were intertwined with .300 hitting when he felt good.
by Nico on Mar 8, 2007 7:01 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
i still dont get it
you can excuse his lack of productivity on his back issues, but that doesn't make kotsay a better player, simply for the fact his back issues will not go away.
it's like saying a guy with one arm can't hit for power, but if he got that arm back, he'd hit 30 HRs a year.
kotsay's back will not be recovered. he was going to try and play around and through the pain this year. was that going to help his numbers? no way. would he still be starting everyday he could? yeah.
only way to get him out of the lineup is to get him out of a jersey.
he'll have his surgery, but his back won't be fully recovered. not with the a's, at least.
by fadedash on Mar 9, 2007 10:50 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
rebuttal
- he's not the best defensive outfielder. his back won't allow it.
- who cares if you hit .275? jack wilson hit .273 with an OPS of .686. should we praise him? kotsay's OPS+ with that .275 average was a whopping 89. that's exactly what chone figgins put up. chone!
- in good years he hits in the .300 range? are you latching on to stats from 5+ years ago, from the NL no less? or are we focusing on his one outlier of a year in the AL?
- he's fundamentally sound because he hits well with a runner on 3rd and less than 2 outs? does it mean he's not fundamentally sound because he hits .172 with runners on 1st and 2nd? or do his fundamentals include being last in pitches per at bat? he can make an out as fast as anyone!
- kotsay might be able to hit righties (if you call a .722 OPS "hitting"), but guess what? if you sit him vs lefties, he's going to cry to the media about it. what good does that do?
by fadedash on Mar 9, 2007 11:03 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Why treat him like a bum"
with a "Good Riddance" put down? That's how Yankee fans act. No matter how effective he's been lately, he doesn't deserve that kind of insult. He's been a less effective player lately, not a bad person. There's a difference.
He rubbed some people the wrong way with his Macha comments, but does that one day of expressed frustration negate three years of being one of the best leaders on the team?
by SportySpice on Mar 8, 2007 7:27 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
How True ..
.. that Yankee fans are the worst. They, all by themselves, define the term, "baseball boors" ..
by Randy Bell on Mar 8, 2007 7:36 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
and i'm still in love with miguel dilion
and to some extent Rob Picciolo
:-)
by catfish hunter on Mar 8, 2007 5:12 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Hell yeah for Kotsay and the KDF
KDF in full effect, brother.
He's one of my favorites too, for all the reasons you've listed Blez, and it bums me out when everyone is so quick to jump all over him.
It's obvious that he's the gritty kind of ballplayer - I'd choose Kots as my foxhole partner any day. Doing anything when you're hurt is tough, but playing baseball at a fairly high level? Are you kidding me? Amazing.
The 12 pitch at bat you mentioned is probably one of my favorite A's moments, and very easily one of my favorite moments for a particular player, ever. It's actually the 2 moments - Kotsay's battle and Bradley's bomb all tied into one, and if for no other reason, he's my guy.
Never been under the knife, but I can tell that I'd do just about anything to avoid it. You figure you're an athlete, and by doing extra things, targeting the problem areas, you might skip the knife. Bummer. He tried, and I'd bet you all the money I've got that if there were any other way, he'd have done it to play.
I hope he recovers to give us that nice little kick, and in the meantime, I'm looking forward to seeing someone play who probably wasn't going to get the chance if Kotsay were around. Goleski - haven't seen any games, but the linescores don't look so good. I'd rather try and work some deal post-return with Cleveland, and give one of the other guys a shot - 2Buck Chuck's doing well, TBuck is en fuego (but maybe premature). Bring it on, and best of luck to Kotsay as he recovers.
by catfish hunter on Mar 8, 2007 5:08 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Personal feelings and evaluation
It's difficult to seperate our personal feelings from objective evaluation. I like Kotsay. I root for him. I really want him to come back and post another .370 OBP season, but when I look at him honestly, I can't help but come to the conclusion that, on a good team, he's an expensive 4th OF.
I haven't seen a lot of people say they don't like Kotsay, but I have seen people say the team is better wihtout him in the lineup. Unfortunately, I have to agree.
by MrIncognito on Mar 8, 2007 5:12 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Yes, MrIncognito,
by Nico on Mar 8, 2007 5:16 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Johnson
If he falters, we have Durazo. I don't think there's much of an offensive dropoff from Kotsay to Bocachica if we need to throw someone in the OF.
I'm a lot more worried about who would play CF, but that gets back to the basic point: The A's are probably better without Kotsay in the lineup. The fact that his absnece mainly creates depth problems speaks to his place on the team.
by MrIncognito on Mar 8, 2007 7:00 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
GAK!!!!!! How can you say that????
Bocachica's batting averages in his major league stints?
.105 (2005)
.244 (2004)
.045 (2003)
.223 (2002 with DET)
.215 (2002 with LA)
.233 (2001)
In 2000, he did go 3 for 10, though.
I'm thinking there might be a bit of a dropoff.
by Nico on Mar 8, 2007 7:07 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Boca
He hasn't seen 100 ABs in a season since 2002.
ZiPs says:
Boca .253/.333/.419
Kots .277/.339/.393
Obviously, we haven't seen Hiram play defence at the level Kotsay has. Offensively, there's not much difference here.
I'm just using ZiPs because it is a) neutral b) objective c) freely available. You could probably find projections that differ slightly more one way or the other, but it's really too close to call without a season of playing time to compare.
by MrIncognito on Mar 9, 2007 2:31 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Nicely written, Blez
You've put into words very well many of the things I've been thinking the past few months about Kotsay (even more so today.) I fully agree with you that we as fans will oftentimes give our favorites players a "pass," whether it is for personal actions or poor play. That's the nature of being a fan, and I wouldn't have it any other way. Isn't that what makes being a fan fun? Otherwise, wouldn't you just look at the rosters at the start of every season and pick the team that has assembled the most talent and say, "OK, this year I'm an (insert team name) fan." Thank you for putting all of this into words better than I could and as for Mark Kotsay, I wish him a speedy recovery and a return to good health. I will be delighted to see him roaming centerfield this season.
by batgirl on Mar 8, 2007 5:16 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I Wish Him a Speedy Recovery ...
... but I think we can all agree it was a mistake not to trade him in the 2005 season when Billy had the chance. If I remember correctly, the Yankees and Cubs were both willing to overpay.
I agree that Kotsay is (still) a great defensive center fielder -- he was probably playing below his ability last year because of his back troubles. But there is no way he justifies his salary.
by Eck on Mar 8, 2007 5:24 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
beane has done this in the past
He did it with Eric Byrnes. When his value was high, he wouldn't settle for anything less than Mike Gonzalez.
When Kotsay's value was high, he wouldn't settle for anything less than Phillip Hughes. He wouldn't take Cano as a centerpiece or Wang as a centerpiece (he wanted both for Kotsay).
But when he was holding a serious blue-chip like Hudson, and wanted Giles, he renogiates there?
Granted, Giles hasn't been the hottest of hot the past couple of seasons, but I don't get how Beane becomes stubborn with guys you know are overvalued, but then he settles when he's holding a grade A trading chip.
by fadedash on Mar 8, 2007 5:27 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
of course beane did
later settle on byrnes...for kennedy...blah
by fadedash on Mar 8, 2007 5:28 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Wow
You have brought Monday Morning Quarterbacking to a whole new level.
by Colorado Fan on Mar 9, 2007 12:05 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
no idea what youre saying
please explain
by fadedash on Mar 9, 2007 12:10 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
MMQ
"He did it with Eric Byrnes. When his value was high, he wouldn't settle for anything less than Mike Gonzalez."
- Byrnes' value was high? Your basically saying that Beane should have traded Byrnes to Pitt for Mike Gonzalez...as if Pitt was willing to do the deal. They weren't.
"When Kotsay's value was high, he wouldn't settle for anything less than Phillip Hughes. He wouldn't take Cano as a centerpiece or Wang as a centerpiece (he wanted both for Kotsay)."
- More false trade speculation. Beane didn't have much of a choice in July 2005 (Kotsay extension). This is what happens to small market teams when their backs are against the wall. There weren't many options in CF in the minors, and Byrnes isn't fundamentally sound enough to captain the outfield.
"But when he was holding a serious blue-chip like Hudson, and wanted Giles, he renogiates there?"
- Nope.
It just sounds like your picking an ideal time to steer the "Kotsay - Good Riddance" bandwagon. I've tried to review some of your old posts to see where you stood on the Kotsay/CF issue in the past, but I couldn't find anything. It just wreaks of Monday Morning QB'ing.
by Colorado Fan on Mar 10, 2007 6:11 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Would you like to see some old posts?
i didn't say beane should have traded byrnes for mike gonzalez. learn how to read, please. i said he was holding out for gonzo at the time.
the same with kotsay. he was holding out for hughes or cano&wang.
with hudson, he didn't hold out.
why would you hold your stubborn ground with B-chips like byrnes and kotsay and not with an A-chip like hudson?
i'm sorry you don't feel the same way about me in regards to kotsay, but dont try and use some bs MMQB'ing unless you know what you're talking about.
go to the a's message board on mlb.com and do your research there.
thanks.
by fadedash on Mar 11, 2007 9:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rumors
Yes, I can read.
by Colorado Fan on Mar 12, 2007 11:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
a fan message board that won't discuss rumors?
by fadedash on Mar 13, 2007 10:19 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Eck, you got it right.
I kept expecting Beane to get rid of him ...because I really think that the handwriting was on the wall about his back. I am amazed that he didn't take an offer!
by IM4Oakgal on Mar 8, 2007 5:30 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think it's quite that simple, Eck--
In other words, Kotsay offered the A's a lot even in a disappointing season-and-a-half from July 05-Oct 06. It's hard to know how well the A's would have done without him and certainly hard to say the A's could have predicted as much chance to win the division in 2005 or to go to the ALCS in 2006.
by Nico on Mar 8, 2007 5:38 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
But the A's Should Look at the Big Picture ...
... and not any single year.
Trading Kotsay for Cano, Wang or Felix Pie -- all were discussed -- would clearly have improved the franchise in the long term at the expense of a crap shot in 2005.
Yes, I agree that the A's would have been shorthanded in 2005 -- but expectations were not so high by the All Star break. We were well aware that the A's were not the best team in the division and would need some luck to make the playoffs. I know, I know, they were competitive until the last week of the season ... but we all knew they weren't likely to go far in the playoffs.
And in 2006, Kotsay was league average for 129 games.
Saying we should have kept Kotsay so the A's could compete for the playoffs in 2005 is like saying we should have overpayed for Jason Giambi in 2002. I think it's pretty clear the A's would have had a better shot at winning the World Series in 2002 or 2003 with Giambi than they would have in 2005 or 2006 with Kotsay.
People argued that it wasn't worth it to mortgage the franchise to keep Giambi and take a shot at winning the World Series if it meant being saddled with his contract and hurting the team in 2005, 2006, 2007 and 2008. I loved Giambi and thought the A's would be the best team in baseball with him in 2002, but I think I agree with the logic of letting him walk.
The argument I made in 2005 -- and continue to make -- is that if you claim trading Mulder and Hudson were the right moves, trading Kotsay would have been the right move. Trade a player at the peak of his value ... and especially when you see injury warning signs.
It just seemed to me that failing to trade Kotsay in 2005 -- and then singing him to an extension -- was a very un-A's-like move. The logic seems contrary to the philosophy that has made our Oakland Athletics successful.
That aside, Mark Kotsay seems like a good guy and I wish him a speedy recovery with as little pain as possible.
by Eck on Mar 9, 2007 12:01 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm a KDFer
for sure. It would be an interesting exercise to determine just how significant his contribution has been with his (ahem) brilliant defensive play in CF. He makes it look deceptively easy and we are about to find out just how big of an impact he had at his position. Do I wish he was more productive offensively . . . um yeah! I'm also thinking that the back issues did not help the situation, not a lick. I hope his surgery and rehab goes well and that he gets a chance to prove his worth at the plate as well as in the field.
by lynnzgal on Mar 8, 2007 5:35 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I really REALLY like Kotsay, I do...
but there is a certain amount of frustration (that's not just limited to his case, btw) when anyone in the world could have predicted this exact injury. He missed a ton of games at the end of last year. His back was not getting better, and although surgery was, of course, the last resort, this injury has hounded him for years.
The fact that he needed surgery was probably inevitable. He's been trying to get better all off-season, and sure, 20/20 hindsight, but when he went down, no one was surprised.
In my opinion, and I recognize it may be just me, the only time surgery should happen in the middle of Spring Training is for an immediate injury. Nagging problems should ideally be fixed over the off-season; what a waste of recovery time to miss months of the season, when as long as he was going to have surgery (and his back was not going to heal itself), better November with more than four months to rest, than March, where he will feel constant pressure to rehab quickly and get back to playing.
Not that this makes him a bad person, or a bad player, or anything else. I just happen to think that it was a clear case that he should have done something proactive over the offseason about his injury, rather than hope it would resolve itself.
Just my two cents...
by baseballgirl on Mar 8, 2007 5:41 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Good Points, baseballgirl
Mark Kotsay's back problems were clear since the day the A's got him ... and they got worse over time.
But I can understand that he would want to try out the impact of his new routine in Spring Training before surgery.
My issue is witht he A's, who signed Kotsay to an big-dollar extension knowing about these back problems. It's not like Kotsay's extension was an incentive-laden deal like Frank Thomas' or Shannon Stewart's.
by Eck on Mar 9, 2007 12:09 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Kotsay and "Feelings"
Blez - I agree 100% with what you are saying in this post.
Kotsay is one of the few A's players in recent memory where I generally always got good "feelings" from. Not the fruity kind of feelings, but these kind of feelings:
When he came up to bat, I always got the "feeling" that Kotsay would give a quality at-bat. He might strike out or hit a single when you needed a homerun, but he'd usually always strike out after seeing 5-6 pitches and making the pitcher work...then always went back to the dugout sharing all his veteran observations about those pitches to anyone who would listen.
When a flyball was hit anywhere between left-center and right center field, I always got the "feeling" that Kotsay would either catch it or play it perfectly, rob the batter of extra bases and/or throw runners out at the plate or at third.
These "feelings" are independent from actual performance, and while they might console us when our team is in trouble, they don't console those looking at the bottom line, and are impossible to track statistically...thus something that will get overlooked when people start ripping Kotsay.
by Taj Adib on Mar 8, 2007 5:50 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Love for Kotsay is awesome to see,
too bad it takes a back surgery for it to come out in full force. (which reminds me, i met ANer Force at an a's game in seattle, and he looks a lot like Kotsay, imo). i am a huge kotsay fan, his defense, his desire, his intensity are beyond reproach. yea i'd like him to be better with the stick, but overall he really helps our a's. He plays the game the right way. and yes, billy, intangibles exist.
by goldglovercf on Mar 8, 2007 5:52 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Rule #1 of becoming a Jedi
Never fall in love...with a particular player. With that said, I dont like Kotsay, but I dont think I hate him as much as I hate Dan Johnson. I wish a hole in the eart would open up in the Coliseum parking lot and swallow DJ, yeah- I dislike him that much.
by Amnesiac727 on Mar 8, 2007 6:00 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
he'd step and miss the real hole.
by ak_A on Mar 8, 2007 7:40 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
For the team's sake ..
.. especially at this time when we are vulnerable with the injuries to Kots and Kielty -- I hope DJ does well and redeems himself at least in some folks' eyes .. basically for the team's sake I hope everyone does well ..
by Randy Bell on Mar 8, 2007 7:42 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Witness for the Prosecution
While I don't certainly don't expect to change Blez's (or anyone else's) mind, I'll cop to having found Kotsay becoming a "tired act" over the last year or so.
It's not the timing of the back surgery - I don't know nearly enough to have a really informed opinion about that. It's not his salary, though I certainly think he's overpaid at this point. And it's not his declining production in and of itself, which is largely out of his hands due to injuries and aging.
No, my problem with Kotsay was that as his value declined his clubhouse leadership that we heard so much about seemed to turn increasingly into counterproductive clubhouse lawyering. The final straw for me was this, after a game where Kotsay tried to play first base and made two bad errors on one play:
"I was having fun until I got put back in the outfield after booting a ball," Kotsay said. "That was kind of embarrassing."
Maybe I'm misinterpreting or blowing this out of proportion, but it sounds to me like he was unconcerned about his own poor play, but resented Macha's (entirely correct) decision to move him back to CF. What happened to "Wear[ing] It"?
The post-season comments about Macha were just more of the same. The two guys who bullied the manager into more playing time than they deserved turned about and complained that he "didn't have their back." Maybe that's the kind of attitude that comes from having played on losing teams for your whole career: talk about the team, but make sure everyone knows that the losing is someone else's fault. I would prefer to see the kind of leaders who are more concerned about what's good for the team, and less concerned about their own image.
by andeux on Mar 8, 2007 6:00 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
"Witness for the Prosecution"
by Nico on Mar 8, 2007 6:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Speaking of witnesses for the prosecution-
it is never the wrong time to point out that Tim Russert is a buffoon.
by mikeA on Mar 8, 2007 6:26 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Never?
I can think of at least one circumstance in which it would probably be a better idea to think about baseball for a little while and save your observations about Tim Russert for later.
by andeux on Mar 8, 2007 6:33 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I am with you brother
While not ignorant of stats, I am not hip to all the defensive stats. All I know is what I see with defense...especially at a live game.
As you alluded to Blez, Kotsay places himself well (based on batter trends or whatever), he gets great jumps on balls, has a decent arm, and is smart with his throws. There is a stat for ya all - assists.
It is like night and day watching Kotsay and other outfielders. I like Bradley and he has a great arm, but he is not the centerfielder Kotsay is. That may get me slammed but that's my opinion from watching many games and many center fielders.
by easyraider on Mar 8, 2007 6:30 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
That's one of the most interesting
things about baseball. I still don't think anyone has created a defensive metric that can tell you enough. The stat guys will argue that there are good gauges out there, but I just don't buy it. How can you measure how good a jump on a ball off the bat? You can say range measures that, but I just don't have faith in the defense stats we currently have.
by Tyler Bleszinski on Mar 8, 2007 7:03 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I was about to say...
Mark Kotsay is an excellent outfielder, but assists isn't going to tell you that.
Case in point: The Angels' Juan Rivera had 13 assists to Kotsay's 6 last year, and Kotsay played 25 more games. Which outfielder would you prefer (at full strength, of course)?
by FormerHuntsvilleStar on Mar 8, 2007 7:12 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Manny Ramirez often has high assist numbers.
Know why? It's because everybody runs on him.
by jeepers on Mar 8, 2007 10:31 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Ok, Since we are all on the we should have traded
Kotsay, why aren't you same people up in arms about our so called best reliever, who has also missed many games do to a balky back. Every comment and diary I've seen says no way you trade Duke, but how does that make him any different than Kots. So if next week, god forbid that happens, Duke announces he needs surgery, will the same villification happen.
by theblackpearl on Mar 8, 2007 6:40 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Not the same thing
We have not committed big dollars to Duke, and likely never will since he is a non-closer reliever. I was in favor of trading one of our valuable relievers (Duke, Street or Calero) in the right deal, but only because they were our only trading chips from which we could deal from some semblence of a surplus. If Duke is hurt for most of this year it will suck, but it won't cost us $8 million if he does. Also, Duke's performance has not suffered when he has played. Kotsay's performance has undeniably suffered. Bad analogy.
On a more general note as to the basic thrust of Blez's diary, I think he is right: it is unfair to criticize Kotsay for not having surgery quicker. No one here knows the facts, and back surgery is always a risky proposition. People are also wrong to say Kotsay career is over, because he may come back just fine with this thing. I think Kotsay's performance decline was very predictable in light of his injury, but if the surgery is successful I think Kotsay may come back and be a very valuable member of the team. I would hope people would stop attacking Kotsay personally, and hopefully no one will attack Duke personally if he ends up with surgery.
by BlameChannel53 on Mar 8, 2007 6:53 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Well, someone most certainly WILL
by Nico on Mar 8, 2007 6:55 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'd be nervous if a surgeon said...
..."I'll be attacking you here."
Sounds too close to the word "hack."
And if my surgeon was wearing a hockey mask.
by FormerHuntsvilleStar on Mar 8, 2007 6:59 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Players speaking the truth...
I'm against it. I'm tired of the standard announcer comments like "throws across his body," or "trying to do too much," but I like the standardized responses players give interviewers after the game. Let's compare that to honesty:
"I just want to help the team."
"You can only take it one day at a time."
"I hit the ball well, they just weren't falling for hits."
Now for honesty:
"I don't like my grip on the bat, so tomorrow I'm going to urinate on my hands."
"I'm in a big slump, so tonight I'm going to have sex with the fattest woman I can find."
"Sorry, I mailed it in today because I'm tired and slightly hung over. I can't show up for every single game, you know."
Call me delusional, but I prefer to idolize my chosen hero in Fantasyland.
by Steve on Mar 8, 2007 6:45 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
My take
In his first year Kotsay was force and had a positive impact. Then he sort of tailspinned. Even then, I felt he was worth the money & worth the spot, b/c even as injured as he was, he was still able to make the plays that mattered and was relatively average at the plate so he didn't negatively impact the team. Considering all the other centerfielders out there, he's still among the best both defensively and offensively and amongst those that we could have reasonably acquired since then, he's probably the top guy. So basically I'm indifferent about him.
As for his injury, in the long term this is going to benefit us. Nico is right about the side effects of replacing him with Johnson and what that does for Centerfield & Firstbase defensively so in the short term (i.e. this year) it's going to hurt us. The bright side though, is that we're not in a position where we would have to trade Johnson or Kielty or given up Goleski or some combination of the three. We can give them all a real shot at playing. Kielty now gets the chance to up his value in his walk year after he recovers from his injury and we can trade him to make room for Kotsay when he returns. We can also give Johnson a chance to play up to his potential and if Buck and/or Barton is ready in the middle of the season we can trade Johnson at a higher value too. Goleski now can get a nice long look.
Let's face it. While we do have a shot to make it all the way this year, we're relying very heavily on the health of a lot of players who have had issues. Too much so to realistically say that losing Kotsay would be a difference maker due to lack of depth . And who knows, maybe giving these guys a legimate shot to show us what they can do can surprise us all .
by DMOAS on Mar 8, 2007 6:46 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I agree that Kotsay's absence
But we could have ensured that simply by choosing to play Buck and Barton and dumping Kotsay and someone else--heck, why not Piazza?
Problem is, the A's entered spring training with at least a chance to contend for something this year. I'm not sure Kotsay's absence is going to improve that chance--because that chance depends so much on Bradley's health and Johnson's hitting ability, on neither of which I want to stake my reputation.
by Nico on Mar 8, 2007 6:54 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Our chance depends
largely on the health of 5 or 6 players and that if any one of them goes down, it could doom us. So in a sense, our chances largely depend on the ragtag team that are going to replace these guys. CT, Boca, the various other minor leaguers that we'll all cringe to see in an A's uniform. Fact is, it'll be these guys that our chances depend on. Replacing Kotsay now or someone else later makes little difference.
But my point above isn't that they're the best options to trade, b/c yes Piazza and others could wind up being our trading chips. My point was that we don't have to decide that in March when these guys haven't had a chance to heal or turn their career's around and aren't going to get you anything. Instead we can wait until June when they'll be worth nothing + 1 or if we're really lucky nothing + 2.
by DMOAS on Mar 8, 2007 9:44 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Chance
One I do not think that his injury helps in the long run. I see no signs of the A's actually carying or giving time to Buck or Barton. I do not think either one of them can play Center, Goleski and Kielty will have increased time. But their going to be reserve players going forward. Kotsay if all goes well will be back at midseason, if Oakland is not out of it again the Rooks are not playing. Oakland needs a defensive CF if nothing else for late inning dee and to save Bradley's legs.
by ogallalabob on Mar 9, 2007 8:33 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
could bocachica do the late inning dee?
by Randy Bell on Mar 9, 2007 8:53 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
what reputation are you alluding to?
by ak_A on Mar 8, 2007 9:49 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Split
Mark Kotsay is a very good player, but quite frankly the attitude he seemed to show through Macha's eventual exit left a sour taste for me. But it was never at a point where I'd prefer to see him gone...and if the other teammates aren't too bothered by him, then fine.
My first reaction when I read that surgery was an option to him in November was, admittedly, "Why didn't you have it then?" But since I don't know the details of Kotsay's condition (or any back procedure...or front procedure for that matter), I'm not going to worry about it. What's done is done.
So I just hope he comes back in June, hits the ball well, catches the ball and makes all of us chuckle about the whole thing.
by FormerHuntsvilleStar on Mar 8, 2007 6:55 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I'm exactly with you on this.
I love watching a healthy or mostly-healthy Kotsay play. I don't need to hear miffed Kotsay bitching about how Macha said his back ailment was "puzzling" last season. Backs are puzzling. Oh no! "Puzzling!" That's exactly like saying he's a p---y!
by Poppy on Mar 8, 2007 9:42 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Basically
Weighing in late due to AN avoidance based on fear of overload of anti-Kotsay rhetoric. Guess I got that one right.
Kotsay with bad back = not a very good situation.
Kotsay with bad back getting back surgery = good idea.
Kotsay coming back healthy = potential.
Sometimes it seems like everything is the end of the world on this site.
Some of us are just A's fans and want the guys who are on the A's to be at their best so our team can win. I'm glad Kots decided to get the surgery done immediately -- almost one of the three months is still spring training, and he has a chance to be a major contributor when he returns. At the same time, the team will have to figure out how to make it work without him, so if he's unable to be a major contributor, hopefully we'll have an option.
And about him being overpaid -- ALL baseball players are overpaid. And they all whine too much.
by oblique on Mar 8, 2007 7:10 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Whereas I am underpaid,
by Nico on Mar 8, 2007 7:26 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I Made the Mistake of ..
.. falling asleep for a nap while blez was posting this page .. I wake up and there are 43 comments .. by the time I read all those and refresh the page, there are 57 comments, so I have to read 14 new ones .. and so on .. I may never catch up to make my own post, so there you have it, I am going to throw in my two cents now and let the other posters "flood me" during the interval .. {g} ..
Seriously I tend to lean toward blez' take on this issue, -- that Kots gets blasted a little too much, and the obvious point that "having good paths to the ball" or "tracking the ball off the bat without hesitation" is a qualitative intangible that is virtually impossible to measure quantitatively. One simply has to "watch" the player oneself and make comparisons with watching other players in action at the same position.
I can't comment on the assertion Kots is overpaid although I tend to agree with the general notion proffered that baseball players in this era are pretty much all overpaid. {Just look at Vernon Wells new contract for example of that}. Kotsay contributed a lot in the famous 48-10 "surge of 2005" -- I will never forget that famous hot streak, probably in my lifetime the A's will never play anything like that 58 games over the summer at an ".800 plus" winning percentage pace. Amazing ..
.. I do wish Kots the best of health, and safe sucessful surgery, and swift return -- both for his sake personally and collectively for the A's sake. Go A's !! Thanks also to blez and nico for their admirable patience with me when a newbie at this site trying to figure things out ..
by Randy Bell on Mar 8, 2007 7:26 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Do Kotsoids dream of electric Stompers?
This business of gauging the fan body politic based on 24 hours of emotionally inflamed internet reactions is just silly. I no more believe Kotsay is persona non grata to fans based on yesterday's tide of posts than I believe Kotsay's the heart and soul of the club based on the posts here. I suppose this mob dynamic is no different on AN than it is, say, in the lobby of George Bailey's Building and Loan. Or the halls of Congress on Patriot Act day.
Kotsay was declining and thus not a good value for a team who specializes in value. The timing of his surgery choice is unfortunate at best, and an indictment of the medical staff and/or Kotsay's team sensibilities at worst. Let's all just agree that Kotsay made one of the two best Stomper-themed A's commercials ever, and move forward from there. You know, once we've given that bilge rat Larry Davis the black spot, arghhhh.
by FreeSeatUpgrade on Mar 8, 2007 8:22 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Emotionally inflamed internet reactions
by Nico on Mar 8, 2007 8:30 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
couple of trips to New York,
maybe Europe once in a while, you'd like that George, wouldn't yah? George Baily your ship has come in.
by ak_A on Mar 8, 2007 8:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It's been going on
on AN since the whole Macha incident. This isn't a new or recent phenomenon.
by Tyler Bleszinski on Mar 8, 2007 10:35 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Kotsay
The anti-Kotsay sentiment is a combination of things: his subpar season in 2006, the years of back trouble, frustration with the A's inability to deal with such problems, and Kotsay's own penchant for outspoken comments that make him sound like a bit of a self-centered ass.
My thoughts:
-- Kotsay had a bad back when the A's got him. It's been one of those problems he's had to "manage" since then. Perhaps Beane should have traded him in 2005, or never signed the extension in the first place. But that is not Kotsay's fault. I also don't blame him for postponing surgery, because it is not clear to me whether surgery will really solve his problem.
-- Kotsay's bad year can be directly linked to his back problems. And even then, he wasn't that horrible.
-- The A's injury bug, and the issues with training and diagnosis, is an organization issue that has been discussed extensively.
-- I agree with Blez and everyone else who notes Kotsay's unsung defensive skills. Kotsay rarely makes Sportscenter-type catches. He just gets to the ball and is set up properly to make the catch and unleash an accurate throw. Kotsay, when healthy, may be the best center fielder I have seen play for the A's, possibly even better than Dave Henderson and Dwayne Murphy. (I have no comment on the defensive metrics, because I don't understand them. All I can assess is what I see.)
-- Kotsay has been criticized for his comments last season about platooning and Macha's firing, and I have been critical of some of that. But I do think the whole thing has been a bit overblown. Ego is kind of a necessary component of success in the major leagues. Kotsay just is more outspoken. It's not a crime.
-- Remember when the A's had "three center fielders?" Well, so much for that. Now we have one, and we're all counting the days until Milton goes on the disabled list. What happens then? And Swisher in right (or center)? Shudder. The good news is that we will find out a few things (is Johnson a big leaguer, for example). I am not sure we are going to like the answers, though.
by bear88 on Mar 8, 2007 11:53 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Forget Kotsay for a minute...
tmrw is gonna be a great game! Zito vs Harden, for at least three innings, 12:05 pt, see y'all here!
by OaktownRajah on Mar 9, 2007 12:22 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
I don't understand
Why everyone is saying Kotsay is a "well below average" hitter the last couple years. I'm not sure how to find league averages in batting, so i'm using the sortable team stats.
Kotsay in 2005: .280BA/.421SLG/.325OBP
AL Median in 2005: .268BA/.451SLG/.328OBP
Kotsay in 2006: .275BA/.386SLG/.332OBP
AL Median in 2006 .275BA/.436SLG/.334OBP
Granted they're slightly Below average, but i wouldn't go as far as to say he's well below average. And it's a hard thing to judge when you intermittently miss time. Try staying consistent when you have to sit out just when you start feeling comfortable again. And who knows, he probably played in pain at times. I think if he was healthy an entire season he will produce above average.
by Cheezombie on Mar 9, 2007 12:24 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
my bad
AL median 2005 SLG=.425
AL median 2006 SLG=.430/OBP=.339
Another note, the last time Kotsay was healthy, 2004, he was above average in all those categories.
by Cheezombie on Mar 9, 2007 12:56 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
like i said in the other thread
i think that if healthy,he still has it in him.
Last year he was given lots of time off after the ASB so has to not put too much pressure on his back,and in the limited time he had,he posted a line of
.326/.385/.436/.821 after the allstar break,that wasn't 3 years ago,that was a few months ago.
by J Rod on Mar 9, 2007 4:14 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
according to BP
the league average EQA for CF in 2006 was .260, with Kotsay at .258, right around average. Payton, his major replacement, had a .261 EQA last season, about a wash offensively. Kotsay plays a much better CF than Payton, but I'm not sure if it justifies double Payton's salary, especially when you consider the fact that Payton got more PA than Kotsay.
I don't think Kotsay is terrible. When healthy, he's a very nice player to have, better than average offensively and great defensively. It's terrible that he's playing below his abilities and only a part of the season due to his back problems, not to mention his big salary.
I don't think anyone believes we're a better team without a healthy Kotsay, but that guy hasn't existed for a while now. I'm pulling for him to come through the surgery successfully. I love that he's always aware of every game situation, playing smart and getting the most out of his abilities.
by rebus on Mar 9, 2007 1:47 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
defence
Looking at ZR for the last 3 years, Payton has significantly outplayed Kotsay in CF on defence. It's not that Kotsay is bad - he seems middle of the pack - but Payton was as good most years and significantly better in 2005.
For those curious, ZR is the percentage of balls hit into a players zone that were converted into outs.
by MrIncognito on Mar 9, 2007 3:12 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not super familiar with defensive metrics
but, as I understand it, ZR would not factor in Kotsay's much better range. Watching Kotsay, you can see that he goes back on the ball much, much better than Jay, even though Jay is faster overall. I'm willing to give Jay a pass on his sometimes suspect routes and the times when he initially breaks in the completely wrong direction, but it seems to me that going back is one of a CF's most important skills. Those are the hard hit balls and more often the ones that change the face of a game. The skill also allows you to play more shallow, which Kotsay most definitely does, routinely stealing singles because he can still get back to catch a would be double.
by rebus on Mar 9, 2007 3:43 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It sorta does
A player's "range" is his ability to get to balls. A player that gets to more balls, thus making more outs, has better range, and will have a better ZR. Also available is a stat called "Out of Zone," which is the number of balls outside the assigned zone which are converted to outs. Payton and Kotsay have similar OOZ rates too, suggesting that they track difficult balls similarly.
There's something to be said about going back on a ball, as a ball over the head is at least a double while coming in on a ball well prevents a single, and there is no way to measure that using ZR. I imagine the difference is rather small given that the difference between an out and a hit is so much larger than the difference between a single and a double.
My own subjective observation is that they are roughly equal. Kotsay looks much better, but Payton is significantly faster. It's similar to the old Jeter debate. The best looking player isn't necessarily the one making the most plays.
by MrIncognito on Mar 9, 2007 10:16 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Great points, Blez
I'm a big time Kotsay fan. I consider myself lucky to have had the opportunity to watch him play for the A's, even with his back problems the last 2 years. To me, the loss of Kotsay is equivalent to the loss of Ellis last year. Defensively, they're both so legit, I just don't see how you replace them. I'm baffled by the criticism of Kotsay on this site. He will recover and come back for the second half and I, for one, will be thrilled to see him in center field when he returns.
by Reg on Mar 9, 2007 7:11 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Let's Hope the Surgery is Successful!
by Randy Bell on Mar 9, 2007 7:37 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Kotsay's arm
Kotsay's arm is a great asset. I've personally seen several Kotsay-to-Crosby-to-Kendall assists that were simply breathtaking.
by Kingkong on Mar 9, 2007 8:20 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Kotsay is the merde
He became one of my favorite players because, even when I wasn't able to watch A's games and see what he was really like, he was a complete badass on MVP Baseball 2004.
I'm sad to see him out for so long. And I know we'll miss the defense and depth; but I think we're better off in the batter's box. Mixed bag, I guess.
by Joey C. on Mar 9, 2007 10:27 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Surgery
Though I have not had any major surgeries, the thought of being cut open versus rehab, I'd choose rehab.
Kotsay's defense is the key to his success. Would you rather replace him with a better hitter and sacrifice defense? It's kind of like replacing Chavvy with a better hitter and lose his Gold Glove. To me, that's a brainless decision.
by Fongpay on Mar 9, 2007 12:12 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Okay, thank you
4 surgeries, yea, he even said this is the earliest it has ever flared up. In the 2 years we've had him, it came up later in the season.
by raiderjohn on Mar 9, 2007 12:44 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
As usual Blez
your opinion is a breath of fresh air. I agree with you on all points about Kotsay. The idea that a guy should just go in for a surgery which might end his career without exploring all possible alternatives is just plain silly.
by china bob on Mar 9, 2007 3:36 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

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