ALCS Series Preview: Oakland A's vs. Detroit Tigers
So the A's were decided underdogs in the series against the Twins. They will play that role once again against the Tigers, at least according to the MSM. We know this because anyone who gives the Yankees the Zed from Pulp Fiction treatment will automatically be the favorites going into the next round.
"Whose plane is this?"
"It's a chartered flight to Oakland, baby."
"Whose chartered flight to Oakland is this?"
"It's A-Rod's."
"Who's A-Rod?"
"A-Rod's dead, baby. A-Rod's dead."
We all know that most will favor the Detroit Tigers against our A's. Yet how do the teams compare? Very similarly, believe it or not, with the main differentiator being the approach at the plate. One is a patient team, the other, not so much.
That being said, I do think the A's have a couple of big hurdles to overcome. The first being the presence of Kenny Rogers who owns our A's for some reason, especially at the Coliseum. Rogers attacked his reputation as a postseason choker with a brilliant performance in Game 3 of the ALDS and his presence has to frighten the A's just a bit. The other is Placido Polanco, who is simply awesome when he faces A's pitching. You'd think he was Justin Morneau, only a little less...Canadian.
Here are how the matchups look statistically:
Starting Pitching: Rogers, Justin Verlander, Jeremy Bonderman and Nate Robertson vs. Barry Zito, Esteban Loaiza, Danny Haren and Rich Harden. This is a very, very good matchup. Whereas the Twins dropped a couple of notches after Santana, the Tigers will have a challenging pitcher taking the mound every single game. The Tigers starting pitching finished the season with a 4.00 ERA, lowest in the American League. The A's were tied for fourth with the Twins at 4.50. The A's finished the ALDS with the lowest ERA of any of the four American League teams at 2.33. The Tigers finished second at 3.60. Of course, Detroit pitching was facing the potent Yankee bats and while the Twins aren't exactly slouches, Bartlett, Punto and Tyner aren't Matsui, Jeter and Sheffield. You've got to give the Tigers a slight edge here which isn't necessarily a bad thing. Remember, the A's starters like to be counted out (i.e. Zito vs. Santana). I still think I would've liked the A's to roll the dice with Harden over Loaiza in Game 2, but we shall see. Loaiza came through with a very good Game 2 in a place where he's been horrific in the past.
ADVANTAGE: TIGERS
Relief Pitching: This is another area where these teams match up extremely closely. You've got Walker, Zumaya and Jones against Duchscherer, Calero and Street. The Tigers also edged the A's statistically in this department with the Tigers pen finishing the season with a 3.55 ERA in their pen compared to the A's 3.62 in their pen. Zumaya is absolutely dominant, but I think the rest of the A's pen matches up very favorably against the Tigers pen. The A's have a slight edge in this department, even if Street has been a little shaky in his appearances.
ADVANTAGE: A'S
Offense: To many, there be no question which team has the better offense. I would argue that it's closer than people think. Yes, the Tigers scored 51 more runs than the A's in the regular season. The A's hold a slight edge in OBP at .340 vs. .329 even though the Tigers had the better batting average. But during the Tigers freefall over the second half which ultimately led to the A's facing the Twins in the first round instead of the Motown cats, the A's were significantly better. The A's had a better batting average .279 vs. .274, but the big difference came in the on-base percentage. The A's OBP was .360 for the second half compared to the Tigers .328.
And this is one of the areas where I think the A's can take clear advantage of the Tigers. Most of the Tigers are pretty impatient hitters. The only player who showed a semblance of patience was Carlos Guillen and his .400 OBP. Most of the rest of the Tigers hitters hover around .310 or so. In fact, the Tigers had the second most strikeouts in the AL behind the Cleveland Indians and when you combine that with the second fewest walks in the AL you realize that the A's offense could look dynamic next to these guys. The A's had 220 more walks this year than the Tigers.
So while many would probably say the Tigers have the edge in this department, I think that if the A's pitchers exploit that lack of patience by going out of the zone to get some swinging strikes, the A's could have the better offense. If nothing more than you know that the A's hitters will make the Tigers pitchers work for everything they get.
ADVANTAGE: A'S
Defense: The Tigers have good defense in all positions, but the Twins did too. The defense could be viewed as the main difference between the A's winning and losing in the first round as the Athletics made all the plays from spectacular to routine (except the Bradley miss in the ninth in Game 1). The A's had the second best fielding percentage in baseball and while that does take a significant hit without Mark Ellis, I still give the edge to the A's.
ADVANTAGE: A'S
Manager: Many of you will soon find out that I voted for Jim Leyland as Manager of the Year on my SB Nation ballot. I don't think that changes in the playoffs. Macha made all the right moves in the first round, even though I still disagree with the decision to send Zito out for the eighth in Game 1, it worked out for him. He did an excellent job managing the bullpen and he stuck to his guns keeping Chavez batting behind the Big Hurt and that paid huge dividends in Game 3 as Chavy had possibly his best postseason game of his career. Still, Leyland has pushed all the right buttons with his team despite the fade at the end. He directed them past an offensive juggernaut in a short series. Again, the manager doesn't mean much if the starters go out and get whacked around, but I think the Tigers have a guy who has won a World Series. The A's don't.
ADVANTAGE: TIGERS
This is once again a really tough call. But if there is any differentiator, I think the A's ability to work a pitcher and the Tigers lack of patience will pay dividends for the A's in the end. One thing is for sure, this should be a low scoring series with the quality of pitching on the mound.
The truth is that whoever winds up coming out of this series will be a big favorite against the Cards or Mets. This series will likely decide the 2006 World Champion, so buckle up and hold on tight.
By the way, I have a new FSN Bay Area column up if you want to check it out. LET'S GO A'S!!!!!!
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Quick note, Blez
by salb918 on Oct 9, 2006 10:57 AM PDT 0 recs
I think I was pointing
by Blez on
Oct 9, 2006 10:58 AM PDT
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great analysis
by Snitzel on Oct 9, 2006 11:01 AM PDT 0 recs
Zito on KNBR
by Checkswing HR on Oct 9, 2006 11:03 AM PDT 0 recs
thanks!
by sf drift king on
Oct 9, 2006 11:09 AM PDT
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NOOOoooooo
I don't want our guys thinking this way.
We play much better when people count us out. And besides, I think the Mets would be heavy favorites over us. Everyone will be focusing on the loss of Thomas in NL park giving them the advantage.
by sf drift king on Oct 9, 2006 11:08 AM PDT 0 recs
I hate to be presumptuos..
by Catfish on
Oct 9, 2006 12:19 PM PDT
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I think he would have to
by TexasAsfan on
Oct 9, 2006 12:58 PM PDT
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No
by Philip Christy on
Oct 10, 2006 2:22 AM PDT
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Hmmmm......I wonder
by Catfish on
Oct 11, 2006 1:26 PM PDT
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Blez = Panther
by monkeyball on
Oct 9, 2006 12:11 PM PDT
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pretty fair analysis
by OaklandSi on Oct 9, 2006 11:12 AM PDT 0 recs
We aren't underdogs
by BlameChannel53 on Oct 9, 2006 11:17 AM PDT 0 recs
Funny
What experts have you seen saying the A's aren't underdogs?
by Blez on
Oct 9, 2006 11:19 AM PDT
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It's about dead even with the official Vegas line
by OaktownPower on
Oct 9, 2006 12:09 PM PDT
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That means Vegas has no clue
by TexasAsfan on
Oct 9, 2006 12:59 PM PDT
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Exactly...
by OaktownPower on
Oct 9, 2006 1:01 PM PDT
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And a toss up means...
By the way, three of five on ESPN.com's ALCS page pick the A's -- all five say the series goes no fewer than six games (three say seven).
by FormerHuntsvilleStar on
Oct 9, 2006 1:46 PM PDT
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det -115 oak -105. we be the underdog
by oakath on
Oct 9, 2006 3:02 PM PDT
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When the heck
Anyone know what the time will actually be?
by Blez on Oct 9, 2006 11:18 AM PDT 0 recs
game starts at 5pm for all the A's ALCS homegames
The American League Championship Series is just about sold out but Luxury Suites tickets are still available and believe it or not the prices are pretty comparable to the other tickets in the stadium:
Price per person in the ALCS for a suite in a luxury suite - $100. That's 24 tickets in a luxury suite for $2,400. Limited number of 18 seaters for $1,800.
-The Field Level tickets which are now sold out are $75 per person. So for $25 more you get a seat in the comfort of a private box!
-So round up some friends, clients, co-workers and come cheer the A's on to the World Series !!
-Game Times: Tuesday Oct 10th @ 5pm, Wed. Oct 11th @ 5pm, Tues Oct. 17th @ 5pm (if necessary), Wed Oct. 18th @ 5pm (if necessary)
Please let me know if you have any questions or if you'd like to make a reservation while suites are still available!
Go A's!
by gotgreen on
Oct 9, 2006 11:21 AM PDT
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So which series gets on Fox and
by Blez on
Oct 9, 2006 11:23 AM PDT
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I read somewhere that Fox is doing
by OaklandSi on
Oct 9, 2006 11:25 AM PDT
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they will be broadcasted simultaneously
from FOX's website
FOX SPORTS PRESENTS NATIONAL AND AMERICAN LEAGUE CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES ACTION IN SPLIT REGIONAL FEED WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 11, ON FOX AND FX
FOX Sports presents simultaneous coverage of Major League Baseball's 2006 postseason with Game #1 of the National League Championship Series and Game #2 of the American League Championship Series. Teams, sites and broadcasters TBA. The games air live and in HD Wednesday, Oct. 11 (8:00 PM-CC ET / 5:00 PM-CC PT) on FOX and FX. (SP-0713) (TV-N/A) CC-HDTV 720p-Dolby Digital 5.1
[VIEWER'S NOTE 1: This broadcast is a split regional feed with FX so that both games are carried in all markets.] [VIEWER'S NOTE 2: BONES and JUSTICE are preempted this night.] [VIEWER'S NOTE 3: Local programming airs in primetime on the West Coast.]
by gotgreen on
Oct 9, 2006 11:26 AM PDT
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See, THIS is annoying...
It's a head scratcher.
by FormerHuntsvilleStar on
Oct 9, 2006 1:48 PM PDT
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Sure..
by OaktownPower on
Oct 9, 2006 2:33 PM PDT
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You're both right
by blueconversechucks on
Oct 9, 2006 2:56 PM PDT
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MLB confirms
http://mlb.mlb.com/NASApp/mlb/mlb/schedule/ps_06.jsp
by FreeSeatUpgrade on
Oct 9, 2006 11:56 AM PDT
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ALCS Tickets available
So I've got about 6 extra tickets for both Game 1 and Game 2, but the scalpers on Cragislist sicken me. I'd much rather sell them to legitimate A's fans at my cost.
If interested, email me at jrube@stanford.edu. These tickets are Print at Home, so I can email you the link to the ticket upon receipt of Paypal or Neteller payment.
by NP15 on Oct 9, 2006 11:26 AM PDT 0 recs
Just sent you an e-mail ...
by angus hanger on
Oct 9, 2006 12:19 PM PDT
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Keep those Tigers Hitters Swinging
by tomoyo on Oct 9, 2006 11:29 AM PDT 0 recs
I heard on the radio
Why, you ask? I have no freaking idea. Thanks, Jim!
'Course, this would mean that Kenny pitches Game 7 at the Coliseum. Maybe that's the idea.
by Checkswing HR on Oct 9, 2006 11:31 AM PDT 0 recs
That would be horrible
by TexasAsfan on
Oct 9, 2006 1:00 PM PDT
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My revised take on Kenny...
With that said, right now I don't think there's a difference between him pitching in Oakland or Detroit. He has a comfort level pitching in Oakland, but just as much of one in Detroit. Therefore it's mute.
Oh, and as was pointed out, he would get Game #7 in the Coliseum if it gets that far. This would be the biggest game of the career for Kenny. Do you think lightning will strike twice?
by gmoneymcg on
Oct 9, 2006 1:20 PM PDT
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moot...
Things that can't or don't make sound are mute. </nitpick>
All good points otherwise. I really hope there is no game 7. Kenny should be playing golf by then.
by Elvez on
Oct 9, 2006 1:58 PM PDT
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Gotta Love the Homerism
I know a lot of stat heads are going to hate it, but you can't quantify what Polanco does to that team. For some inexplainable reason, they hit better with him there and keep on trucking.
I wouldn't be surprised a lick if the Tigers outscore the A's in this series (that doesn't mean they'll win though).
I will be surprised if we outscore them.
by fadedash on Oct 9, 2006 11:33 AM PDT 0 recs
Wait, so I get accused of homerism
by Blez on
Oct 9, 2006 12:12 PM PDT
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Woo hoo!
That means they care!!!
by baseballgirl on
Oct 9, 2006 12:25 PM PDT
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Someone once told me
by Blez on
Oct 9, 2006 12:27 PM PDT
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you and your homey Rev
by ohtobe21likehuston on
Oct 9, 2006 3:45 PM PDT
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A guy who creates the most heavily
by alox on
Oct 9, 2006 12:28 PM PDT
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Is that most trafficked sports blog
by Salvatore on
Oct 9, 2006 12:39 PM PDT
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All sports blogs, if I'm not mistaken.
by alox on
Oct 9, 2006 12:42 PM PDT
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If that's true...
by Salvatore on
Oct 9, 2006 12:49 PM PDT
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I just don't agree with your train of logic
Why are you only looking at the 2nd half there, but aren't looking at only the 2nd half of starting and relief pitching?
No comment on the affects of Polanco?
Just seems a little empty.
by fadedash on
Oct 9, 2006 12:31 PM PDT
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Just another day where I wish
Hey, I actually said it with a straight face!
by Nico on
Oct 9, 2006 12:36 PM PDT
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Way to exaggerate
I called it a "little empty".
If you can't handle criticisms without sour grapes, that's fine. At least add something more beneficial than that.
by fadedash on
Oct 9, 2006 1:09 PM PDT
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OK, fair enough:
by Nico on
Oct 9, 2006 1:11 PM PDT
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Fadedash
by eshock on
Oct 9, 2006 2:38 PM PDT
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Well, speaking as a front page writer...
Blez tries really hard to be an objective fan, and he did a good job with this matchup preview. It's frustrating when someone makes an offhand comment labeling him as something he tries very hard not to be.
by baseballgirl on
Oct 9, 2006 4:02 PM PDT
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I'm all about constructive crisitism...
by baseballgirl on
Oct 9, 2006 4:02 PM PDT
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Constructive criticsism:
Seriously though, almost everyone enjoys the front-page writers' posts, which you know, so what's the point of letting yourself be upset by the inevitable group of malcontents who want to criticize you?
by mikeA on
Oct 9, 2006 4:27 PM PDT
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I'm not upset ;)
Seriously, though.
A.L.C.S. How can anyone be upset?!
by baseballgirl on
Oct 9, 2006 4:54 PM PDT
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MikeA, my reason for jumping in
I used to ignore about half the comments I wanted to reply to with indignation, and now I've gotten better and I ignore about 19 out of 20. But this was the 20th. See y'all in another 20!
by Nico on
Oct 9, 2006 5:05 PM PDT
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wrong e/a transposition
(And we were supposed to critique Nico's animal costumery: yes, his rampant ram-pants-ism.)
by monkeyball on
Oct 9, 2006 5:10 PM PDT
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I have to agree, eshock:
<goes on being perfect>
by Nico on
Oct 9, 2006 5:07 PM PDT
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He said
by mikeA on
Oct 9, 2006 5:51 PM PDT
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Sorry, MikeA, you're right:
by Nico on
Oct 9, 2006 5:59 PM PDT
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Polanco is huge
He eats the A's alive and would be someone I fear more than anyone else in the Tigers lineup.
I weigh the second half heavily because to me the A's become a different team in the second half.
I still think the Tigers batting approach could be their downfall if the A's have a good pitching plan. I think the A's could work the Tigers starters pitch count up early even if they are dealing. I think that could be a deciding factor.
by Blez on
Oct 9, 2006 12:38 PM PDT
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Given the presence of Harden,
by Nico on
Oct 9, 2006 12:42 PM PDT
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I for one still believe that
by alox on
Oct 9, 2006 12:45 PM PDT
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The other thing is that the Yankees offense
By the way, ESPNEWS has been all Torre, all day today. Even my favorite of the ESPN "properties" is going down the toilet.
by Blez on
Oct 9, 2006 12:50 PM PDT
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LOL...so true.
The Yanks offensive collapse is one for the ages. No way would anyone predict the Yanks being taken in three straight. Did the Tigers outplay them or were the Yanks due for a fall? The seemed to be pressing awfully hard, as if the weight of the expectations placed on them proved to much to bear.
by alox on
Oct 9, 2006 1:08 PM PDT
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As much as I'd rather see A's coverage
by blueconversechucks on
Oct 9, 2006 3:02 PM PDT
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when does Dr Frist remote-diagnose Torre?
by monkeyball on
Oct 9, 2006 4:20 PM PDT
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Torre really *is* on notice!
by FormerHuntsvilleStar on
Oct 9, 2006 4:43 PM PDT
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on the VERGE of being on notice
by monkeyball on
Oct 9, 2006 5:10 PM PDT
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Momentum is overrated
by rfloh on
Oct 9, 2006 12:51 PM PDT
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So why
by fadedash on
Oct 9, 2006 1:06 PM PDT
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