The Rumors are a Swirlin'
There have been a lot of rumors posted about the A's that have gone slightly unnoticed. Maybe a post here, a diary there, but their is deffinetly something signifigant about these rumors. Now I know that they are called rumors for a reason, but consider this:
A couple of days ago, rumors of a three way deal between LA, OAK, and BOS were going around. Apparently, the deal would send David Wells to LA, an A's player to Boston, and a Prospect to the A's. This trade makes a lot of sense for all teams involved.
http://www.boston.com/sports/baseball/redsox/articles/2006/01/05/red_sox_pitchers_eligible_for_arbit ration/
Yesterday, Susan Slusser comes out with an article about the A's chances with Frank Thomas. The Big Hurts agent, Arn Tellum, pointed to the A's as the probable destination for his client: "They have real interest, but at the same time, they are still evaluating things. We're all keeping our fingers crossed."
Slusser continues to discuss the fact that the feelings are mutual between FT and Oakland:
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2006/01/06/SPGF7GIFJ11.DTL
Today, another article came out, with a blurb that the player that is being discussed going from Oakland to Boston in the three way deal is Jay Payton. Many of us counted this out from the beggining, especially with Payton's relationship with his former team. If you really think about it, this would not be that much of a stretch, considering the fact that Payton would be guaranteed playingtime, maybe even more then in Oakland.
http://www.boston.com/sports/baseball/redsox/articles/2006/01/07/red_sox_complete_deal_for_snow/?pag e=2
So, what is the point of throwing all of these articles all together? Everyone already knows what is going on, plus, it is the Boston Globe after all. Well, consider this: If you piece all three articles together, you actually have more information then if you read them separatly. I'm deffinetly reading between the lines here. So the A's will probably sign Thomas, at least there is a more than likley chance. As you know, if Thomas is signed Payton moves right to the bench. He is the odd man out, Swisher and DJ play. I think that this three-way deal is to clear up that starting spot for the Big Hurt. We all know that Payton can't rot on the bench, for a number of reasons. He is too valuable, and he doesn't like to sit. Dejavu (sp?) all over again?? Anyway, you can assume that if any three way deal goes through, Saarloos and Kennedy won't be included, simply because that wouldn't clear up space for the DH. Saarloos and Kennedy both do not have enough trade value to make it worth Beane's while anyway. Payton makes a ton of sense in Boston, especially because his offensive talents are above average for a center fielder, not a corner OF. Beane can get a prospect, and use Payton's four million to sign Frankie T. I'm not saying he needs to free up payroll, but doesn't all of this just make sense? Something to think about...
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Yes, you are reading between the lines
for the umpteenth time
Kotsay is bound to miss 15-20 games to his back;
Swisher can't hit lefties-- at least he hasn't proven it-- that might be another 20 starts or so;
DJ can't play 160 games-- chalk up another 10 starts;
Milton bradley has only played more than 110 games once-- there's another 20-30 starts;
And thomas?? Do you really believe he'll play 130+ games? Wouldn't 90-100 be more like it?
Add them all up and the next guy-- Jay payton-- plays as much as 150 games.
Payton's going nowhere.
what the hell
I agree with the toon
Swisher and Johnson are bound to struggle again at some point next year. And its pretty unrealistic to think that Kotsay or/and Bradley wont get hurt at all.
Payton will get plenty of PT.
by pickinmachine on Jan 7, 2006 1:00 PM PST up reply actions
I'm tired of seeing the A's going
1)hurt
2)exhausted
so let's keep the depth and tell Jay Pay to cork it.
yeah...I see what you mean
Swisher will play 1st against lefties, spelling for Johnson those games. Kielty will also get to play OF against lefties.
I think if Kielty gave up switch hitting, he could match Payton's offensive production.
I am actually in favor of keeping Jay Pay unless the prospect is a stud, I just don't want him to go nuts when he's not playing all that much.
The reason it's not
If you feel there is room for Payton to start 100+ games, I think you're more likely to be right than wrong, but I don't think it's obvious.
I don't accept the...
same for Johnson who hit them pretty well last year.
Kielty isn't as strong defensively as payton-- he can't play CF. In certain cases with Thomas hurt, he might DH, but I don't see him in the field that much.
It's really pretty basic--
810 starts at the 3 OF positions, DH and 1B.
Kotsay, DJ and Swish should average 140-145 starts a piece.
Bradley will be lucky to hit 120
Thomas lucky to hit 100
That's 650.
Where do the other 160 go?
All to Kielty??
Of course not-- Kielty might get 30-40 starts against lefties-- that still leaves 120-130 for Payton.
The only way this equation changes-- other than Thomas and Bradley being miraculously healthy-- is if and when Barton's ready to play.
Payton should be a very valuable player to have this year.
Payton is also the A's healthiest and best
There are a total of 810 starts available between the OF, 1B and DH. If you accept that Bradley, Kotsay and Thomas all have injury issues, then the best solution to me seems to be:
Payton -- 130
Kotsay -- 130
Bradley -- 130
Swisher -- 140
Johnson -- 130
Thomas -- 100
Kielty -- 50
If someone is unexpectedly healthy, I'd take the starts out of Johnson, since an .800 OPS 1B/DH is really nothing special, although it is useful in a pinch.
Also I never want to see Kielty start against a righty again. Ever.
by WaddellCanseco on Jan 7, 2006 6:47 PM PST up reply actions
Kotsay is better when healthy
by WaddellCanseco on Jan 7, 2006 7:28 PM PST up reply actions
That LA deal may work out though
by haren4prez on Jan 7, 2006 12:55 PM PST reply actions
no
dont forget the tin man
by meaningfuljargon on Jan 7, 2006 1:03 PM PST up reply actions
listen
Talking about Barton....
To me Barton is the answer, all depends in what position is he going to play, if he going to play LF, keep Payton makes sense because in 2007 he's gone and Barton is going to take his position...
BUT if Barton is going to play 1B/DH, Swisher will be in the OF in 2007 so to me isn't such a good idea for Swisher's development as an OF if he stays the 2006 season playing 1B...
If Barton is the 1B of the Future and Swisher the RF of the future don't waste Swisher's time at 1B, trade Payton and let Swisher play the OF, we still have some options at DH (Piazza, Craig Wilson, Thomas)
Don't get me started...
Already my favorite MLB player and he ain't even in MLB.
Also, you forgot that Barton might still see some time THIS year, even with our logjam. Worst comes to worst, we plug him in for a couple games a week at catcher simply because some PT is better than no PT (rather than bench him if we have a full roster in 2007, we let him play on an almost regular basis at diff positions -- LF, RF, 1b, DH, C -- together these would combine for around 450 AB's as a 20 year old rook... not bad)
He's played more than 100 games
You have to be realistic here, folks.
I love the depth
What makes you think he will like the bench more
Combination.
I'm not even getting into our Fountain of Youth-filled water coolers, or the sexy female masseuses who hit on our players.
Oh wait, that last one actually happened...
BECAUSE HE WON'T BE ON THE BENCH
He'll play 120+ games-- his average is 135 the past 6 years.
That's hardly becoming a bench player.
So your now Mrs Cleo, you can tell, before the
by theblackpearl on Jan 7, 2006 7:23 PM PST up reply actions
A's 2006 25 Man Roster
Legend: (2005 Games per position - Last contract year)
C: Jason Kendall R (147 - '07), Adam Melhuse S (24 - '08)
1B: Dan Johnson L (101 - '10), Nick Swisher S (21 - '10),
2B: Mark Ellis R (115 - '08), Marco Scutaro R (30 - '09), Antonio Perez (29 - '10), Keith Ginter R (25 - '06)
3B: Eric Chavez L (153 - '11), Antonio Perez (35 - '10), Keith Ginter R (12 - '06), Marco Scutaro R (5 - '09),
SS: Bobby Crosby R (84 - '09), Marco Scutaro R (81 - '09), Antonio Perez (9 - '10), Mark Ellis R (7 - '08)
LF: Bobby Kielty S (58-2007), Jay Payton R (47-2006), Antonio Perez (1 - 2010)
CF: Mark Kotsay L (137- '08), Milton Bradley (72 - '07 or '08), Jay Payton R (25 - '06),
RF: Nick Swisher S (121- '10), Bobby Kielty S (42 - '07),
DH: Bobby Kielty S (15 - '07), Keith Ginter R (9 - '06), Adam Melhuse R (8 - '08), Antonio Perez (1 - '10)
by A s Eh on Jan 7, 2006 11:28 PM PST up reply actions
That's borderline CGV
lol
I think jeepers is being
I had a POV but sold it
by A s Eh on Jan 8, 2006 10:50 AM PST up reply actions
These are great issues
whateve community we're trying to build...
When a comment like that gets flagged, some of us are repelled by the Big Brotherish element that seems to lurk around here and surface in moments like these.
I think "thick skulls" is a perfectly apt way for people who seem to be living under the belief that all the A's starters at OF, 1B and DH will play every day and payton will be relegated to the bunch, when the truth is so obviously different than that.
But in deference to you all I'll change it to this: "Can't you people see that you're dead wrong about the way Beane and Macha will use, or be forced to use this lineup? Payton will have ample opportunity to play-- why trade him when the A's have him for another year before barton and some other young outfielder might be fully ready??
For whatever it's worth,
As for admin's role in it, the community I think we're interested in creating is just one where people new to baseball would feel safe commenting. That's pretty much my goal, anyway, as user #705 and administrator #2.
My final comment on the matter is that I know I give someone's opinions far more weight when they're phrased the second way than the first, so toning down can be a win-win for everyone.
A couple of things
Also, no matter how big an increase in payroll we have, 4 mil on a bench player who's a hole on offense (and Payton is just look at his OBP) is not a luxury the A's have. Resign Bocachica to be backup backup CF if we need to.
We might want to also include the Craig Wilson rumors in this diary. Saarloos has some trade value and could net us value greater than his value to us out of the bullpen. I hope all these rumors turn out ot be true and we help out our minor leagues and get two more solid MLers. I went on the record and said we needed two or three more solid bats. Bradley is one, Thomas two, Wilson three. Get it done, BB!
Also, if we trade Saarloos we weakwn our bullpen you say. We still need another lefty past Kennedy and another solid pitcher to take over for Saarloos. My solution: call up Jairo and Rhino or Robertson or Komine or... well you get my drift. If these rumors are true the offseason grade is sneaking closer to a 9 or even a 10 (and I'm a tough grader).
Remember, too,
The A's culture of not complaining will affect Payton just as much as the Red Sox culture of complaining probably affect Payton in Boston. I see this as a non-problem.
culture of not complaining
by kvn on Jan 7, 2006 5:59 PM PST up reply actions
I'd trade Kielty and replace him with Wilson
I'd only trade Payton if the Red Sox gave up something of real value -- at least two top 10 prospects, although I don't expect them to give up Marte, Hansen, Pedroia, Lester or Papelbon. Maybe Delcarmen plus Bowden or something.
by WaddellCanseco on Jan 7, 2006 7:01 PM PST up reply actions
Do you really think Boston
by SuperDingus on Jan 8, 2006 12:18 AM PST up reply actions
A valid point about Boston getting hosed.
by WaddellCanseco on Jan 8, 2006 1:41 AM PST up reply actions
quote copied and stashed for later display
That quote is
I'm confused.
by GreenNGoldGirl on Jan 7, 2006 6:01 PM PST up reply actions
Muchas gracias for the clarification.
by GreenNGoldGirl on Jan 7, 2006 6:16 PM PST up reply actions
Oh contrare,
Ha !
by green star oakland on Jan 7, 2006 6:19 PM PST up reply actions
House-ridden with the
Man, I gotta tell you,
I don't know, maybe that side
Feeling better this morning but
This might be the one time
by green star oakland on Jan 8, 2006 10:24 AM PST up reply actions
These posts are flocked
by A s Eh on Jan 8, 2006 10:57 AM PST up reply actions
ive been a big fan
The real question is
4 million+Prospect+better chemistry does not=Payton as insurance.
He's not insurance
We have Kotsay, Barton, Bradley and Swisher for next year-- that's when Payton may be insurance.
This year he's a valuable member of this team.
your point is???
I mean we kind of know what happens to next year's payroll, when Zito leaves and Payton leaves, and Thomas either one-ups again or retires...
but what is the problem with paying 4 million dollars for a jack-of-all trades like Payton who will play more often than he sits??
4 Million Dollars!
Beane has been very coy about the money Oakland has to spend this year.
What if the new ownership gave him extra money to spend this year saying, "Give us the best possible team to a World Series, so we can really push for a new stadium. Winning is our only chance to get one in the city of Oakland. So we are going to be not strict on the budget"? So Beane is not sweating $4 million to Payton or $1.85 to Keilty because he thinks that team, with Thomas, gives him the best chance to win it all.
The team is still pretty easy to blow up if it does not work out with Zito & Payton off the books next year, probably Thomas too if he is signed, & Kotsay's blanket no trade going away.
I think that scenario makes sense too.
I just think talking about trading talent is something we can discuss, but since we really don't know much about this year's A's budget, it is hard to throw salary numbers in the mix.
by Athletics Central on Jan 10, 2006 1:37 PM PST up reply actions

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