A's win probability graphs?
i now go to lookout landing and mccovey chronicles every fews days just to check out the win expectancy graphs.
does anybody on AN know how to do these? if so, please do them for a's games!
.................................................................................................... ...............................................
0 recs |
15 comments
Comments
ive played around with these..
by Jack on
May 17, 2005 2:57 PM PDT
reply
actions
0 recs
do you have a program
by devo on
May 17, 2005 3:02 PM PDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Etch-A-Sketch
by jubjub on
May 17, 2005 3:44 PM PDT
reply
actions
0 recs
All you need
by JeffS on
May 17, 2005 3:47 PM PDT
reply
actions
0 recs
thanks
by devo on
May 17, 2005 3:53 PM PDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
are you going to try doing it, devo?
by xbhaskarx on
May 17, 2005 4:31 PM PDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
jeff, how are you getting the numbers
by xbhaskarx on
May 17, 2005 4:37 PM PDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Re: jeff, how are you getting the numbers
Let's say the Mariners hit in the bottom of the first. With none out and none on, their Win Expectancy is .589. If Ichiro singles, it goes up to .632. So you give Ichiro credit for a .043 increase. All you do is add that stuff up for each player over an entire game.
by JeffS on
May 17, 2005 8:19 PM PDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
oh yeah
by xbhaskarx on
May 17, 2005 8:33 PM PDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Re: oh yeah
by JeffS on
May 17, 2005 9:32 PM PDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
That graph above
by artgibroni on
May 17, 2005 11:03 PM PDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Question
by jubjub on
May 17, 2005 6:43 PM PDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
it's all because of that tie
by xbhaskarx on
May 17, 2005 7:03 PM PDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
a more serious answer
maybe visitors are .484 with 0 out 0 on in the top of the first, and the home team is .589 with 0 out 0 on in the bottom of the first, because the visiting team dropped from .484 to .411 after not scoring in the first.
by xbhaskarx on
May 17, 2005 7:10 PM PDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Re: Question
Home team's chances of winning at the start of the game: 1-.484 = .516
by JeffS on
May 17, 2005 8:20 PM PDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs















