Athletics Nation: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
Around SBN: Spencer Hall's College Football Week 12 Alphabetical

Mulder Gone Too

First Hudson.  Then Mulder.

Is Zito next?

Today, AN took a punch in the gut.  Peter Gammons said for a while that the A's would likely be rebuilding in 2005 with an eye toward being potent in 2006.

That has now come to pass.  The A's are officially dumping players.

And while the dismemberment of the Big Three is two-thirds complete, I have faith in Billy Beane.

Realize that the A's winning curve has gone this way over the past six seasons.

1999 - 87 wins
2000 - 91 wins
2001 - 102 wins
2002 - 103 wins
2003 - 96 wins
2004 - 91 wins

Beane could see the writing on the wall.  That's a bell curve right there.  And it was with the Big Three in the fold.

It's a sad day for an A's fan because the immediate future seems bleak.  But remember, Billy could see the writing on the wall...bell curves don't lie.

I still can't believe we've seen our last games pitched by both Hudson and Mulder in green and gold.

Turns out that Mychael Urban's book ACES will be the Big Three's epitaph.

If ever we needed AN to be a support group, it is now.

0 recs  |  Comment 231 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Zito
To Baltimore for Bedard and Maine? Is that next?

by JSCHWAN on Dec 18, 2004 5:36 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

beane stated
...zito will not be traded-i trust him on that.
it's OK to steal-just don't let billy see ya.

by bigelephant on Dec 19, 2004 9:24 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I can't wait....
...to Brent Mayne in the Green and Gold once again!!!

by Force on Dec 18, 2004 11:16 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Good
Billy is not stuck in nostalgia mode. Fix it when its starting to crack by not apply caulk but to create new foundation.

i support and applaud those trades because it makes sense. only doing hudson, not making sense. but mulder too, makes good sense.

trades have a sense of direction, bottom line. cheaper and younger, with more hard throwers

by suggy on Dec 18, 2004 5:37 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

That is a brave position to take....
....and I happen to agree with you on it, for what it's worth.

by nodaclu on Dec 18, 2004 6:05 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Wait for it
As much as it pained me to see Hudson and Mulder go, we did get some live arms. Scouting reports indicate that Meyer has a good rep of pitches with a fastball that hits 90-93. I also had the chance to see Haren pitch this year and the guys stuff is electric. He may not be Hudson right away, but he has some nasty stuff.

Emotionally it sucks, but business wise it makes sense. I also wonder if the organization has any "inside" info re: Hudson's annual hip injury and Mulder's dramatic drop-off last season?

by WannaBeGM on Dec 18, 2004 7:31 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

You got that right
"emotionally it sucks."

by Pepper on Dec 18, 2004 7:56 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Right here with you Blez
Thanks for cleaning up the trolls again.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 5:37 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

just got back from the store
beer anyone??
When I look at it, I think if I'd been healthy, or this year, not a dumbass at the end of the season, we would have won so many more games---MM

by Satchmo22 on Dec 18, 2004 5:38 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Thank God I don't drink
Or I'd be addicted by now... :-(
GO A's!!!

by AsGirl on Dec 18, 2004 6:28 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

With all due respect
Have to disagree with you on this one, Blez.  We are witnessing the destruction of the A's.  It's not part of a master plan to be great in 2006, 2007, or 2025 A.D.  It's just brutal destruction.

I must have missed the news earlier this month:  When did John York buy the A's and replace Billy Beane with Terry Donahue?

MJB

by MJB on Dec 18, 2004 5:40 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Low blow
The A's haven't fallen to the level of the 49'ers yet.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 5:41 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

you don't like tinkering after a 5 yr run?
then sign up for Yankees, Angels, Red Sox, and Mets. There, you won't have to worry about finding young players. There, you can cheer and die with your favorite player until he gets old and ineffective. There you won't have to complain about cost cutting moves because after all, you are paying $120 dollar seats to get a view.

face it, if you are an Oakland A's fans, you welcome these moves. the 5 yr big three was starting to slow down. Time to move on. Don't like discontinuity? Then time travel back to pre-Curt Flood era or trade in your A's hat for those 4 teams.

by suggy on Dec 18, 2004 5:47 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

This is not "tinkering"
This is trading your two best players for, as someone else phrased it, "two rocks and a steaming pile of crap".

None of the players acquired for Mulder and Hudson will ever be an all-star.  Just like the players acquired from the Cardinals for Mark McSteroid.

MJB

by MJB on Dec 18, 2004 6:09 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Not our 2 best players
Hudson and Mulder were not the A's 2 best players last year.  In fact, during the 2nd half of the season, neither one accomplished much of anything.

None of the players acquired for Mulder and Hudson will ever be an all-star.

First, you obviously don't know that.  I understand if you're upset, but it's literally impossible for you to be able to support that assertion.  No one knows how good any of these guys, especially Meyer or Barton, will be.  Did anyone think Hudson would have one of the best career W-L records ever before May of '99?  Don't you remember how Mulder looked like a complete bust after his lousy rookie season?

Second, there's no certainty with Mulder and Hudson, either.  They could both put together Hall of Fame careers after little blips in 2004, or they could be Doug Drabek and Steve Avery.

by Nick on Dec 18, 2004 6:32 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Well Hell
Why don't you tell me who's going to win on Sunday so I can lay some money down and make a killing.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 6:37 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

well beane did say...
"i feel like being creative"

fuck, duck the next time he says that!

it's OK to steal-just don't let billy see ya.

by bigelephant on Dec 18, 2004 6:51 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Yankees vs. A's
The Yankees payroll is $200 million, the A's about $55.  I want you to do a test, go player for player on the roster and tell me which Yankee you would trade straight up for the A's player.  Posada for Kendall, Giambi/Clark for Hatteberg/Johnson, their 2nd basemen for the A's, Jeter for Crosby, A-Rod for Chavez, Matsui for Byrnes/Thomas, Williams for Kotsay, I'm not sure who plays right for the Yankees, I guess Sheffield for Swisher, and whoever is left for Durazo.  I can make an argument the A's team is as good as the Yankees in most categories, and if it were not for the fact the Yankees play TB and Baltimore 38 times a year they would not win more games than the A's.  Oh, by the way, they also get Toronto 18 games a year.  Billy is not dismantling, he is trying to get pitchers who can throw the ball over the plate faster than 88 mph.  The simple fact is that Hudson's meaningful stats have been going down dramatically and god knows, Mulder was getting no one out last Aug./Sept.  And oh, by the way, in the last two years Zito's K's to walks have shown a dangerous trend.  The Big 3 came on the scene and were lights out but their meaningful stats have been going down rather fast which leads to two possibilities, they are losing their stuff, they are not fooling anyone anymore, or like so many pitchers, they have a few good years and the league catches up with them.  I think in the NL, both will thrive this year, but long term, not so sure.

by china bob on Dec 18, 2004 11:30 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Bloody Bravo
I've been including the following in a lot of my comments recently for obvious reasons:

This graph is the 2003 MLB team payrolls. The Yankees have the biggest payroll at $163,685,383 million. Followed by the Yankees are LA, NYM, BOS, and TEX. Your Oakland A's are 25th with a $50,360,930 million team payroll. TB is last with a team payroll just over $20 million.
A's payroll vs. Yankees payroll 1999-2003
OAK NYY
1999 $24,562,560 $92,440,970
2000 $30,363,620 $95,353,852
2001 $39,583,165 $114,005,830
2002 $39,856,534 $131,066,207
2003 $51,397,515 $167,150,480
A's vs. Yankees wins per year 1999-2003
OAK NYY
1999 87 98
2000 91 87
2001 102 95
2002 103 103
2003 96 101
This next graph is total number of wins for all the clubs from 1999-2003. The team with the most wins are the braves with 484. The Yankees are 2nd and the A's 3rd with 479. The Tigers and D-Rays are the teams with the last number of wins.
This next graph is the average cost per win per team from 1999-2003. Your A's pay $387,815 per win, the best of all 30 clubs. The Yankees pay the most with $1,239,685 per win.
(I plucked it from a search on MLB team salaries. It's fragmented because I've left out some of the article - didn't save the source)

Add to this the fact that, though the A's won 12 fewer games last season than the Yankees, they spent almost $130 MILLION LESS.
Totals for the years 1999 through 2003:
Oakland - $185,763,394 (roughly the equivalent to New York's payroll for 2004)
New York - $600,017,339
It's incredible to me that this fails to register with the majority of bloggers/commentators. The differential is OBSCENE - Beane's wizardry, SUBLIME.
Much more exciting than watching Brian Cashman spend Steinbrenner's money.

If it's broken, fix it.

by Bosnian on Dec 19, 2004 2:58 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm torn...
Mulder's gone.... but to MO!! WHOO!!! I can't decide if I'm happy or sad.

by Jennifer on Dec 18, 2004 5:40 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I'm sick
This is way too much for me...

by Sharon on Dec 18, 2004 5:41 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm excited!
This hurts, but I'm glad Billy has a plan.

I'm going to get Mulder a package together that has all the best things of Missouri. You know, directions to the world's largest pecan, a bunch of barbeque, and a Speedo so he will fit in at Party Cove.

by Jennifer on Dec 18, 2004 5:47 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I love what Billy got in return
really, I do.

It's just that I just found out. And I feel numb.

by Sharon on Dec 18, 2004 5:51 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Nice Job Blez
You put the facts right out there so everyone could see what BIlly has been looking at.

He saw that the Oakland Athletics are not going to be able to beat the Yankees, Red Sox and Angels in 2005, so he re-tooled for 2007.

Will it work? We'll see. I'm hopeful.

My guess is that Zito stays around and remains the link between the '01-'04 A's and the '07-'11 A's.

Let's all hope they are at least as successful.

by Eck on Dec 18, 2004 5:40 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

2005 down the tubes
I agree with this comment as Billy sees 2005 as a goner with the strong AL West.... I'm not happy about rebuilding but it's NOT 1997 again.

by MoragaMike on Dec 18, 2004 9:51 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Does anyone
think that Billy might actually go after Beltran? Could Oakland be the right place for a player that doesn't want the spotlight.

That would be a nice outfield with Beltran, Kotsay and Swisher.

by CDN Athletics Fan on Dec 18, 2004 5:41 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

No
I'd be SHOCKED if he used $14 million to do that - for $14 milion we could definitely have gotten at least one of those two to come back.

by jumperjh on Dec 18, 2004 8:24 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

What channel are you watching?
You're fantasies have no place in Oakland's reality. If you're going to take the time to surf an A's blog, you might consider the $60 million payroll and the miracles that play out year after year under Beane - not Boras.
If it's broken, fix it.

by Bosnian on Dec 19, 2004 11:17 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

i'm more in the mood for rum.....
or Jameson's 12-year-old, over ice. I have to assume it won't be the last move BB makes prior to spring training...because right now this looks like Marlins 1998 or D-Backs 2004. Not a pretty sight.
I *spit* on the Rally Monkey!

by bakedzito on Dec 18, 2004 5:42 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Nail
<http://www.athleticsnation.com/comments/2004/12/18/203322/74/86/post#here>

by paul75 on Dec 18, 2004 8:06 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

thanks,
you just made me laugh. I thought that was more trade news...
"Change is the law of life. And those who look only to the past or the present are certain to miss the future." -JFK.

by sf drift king on Dec 18, 2004 9:06 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

A New Era
I may be in the minority, but I like the direction things are headed. We all know that the A's could never resign all of the Big Three
anyways. Better to get something rather than wait and get nothing.

It was a good run, but BB has made the decision (correctly) that it is time to remake this team.
Last year's failure to make the playoffs was probably the determining factor.

Mulder's swan dive last season concerned me and made me think that this guy's best days are behind him. Why wait to see if he continues to breakdown and watch his value fall further?

I am very excited about the 2005 season and beyond for this franchise. BB is doing the best with the resources he has and we should all thank our lucky stars that he is the GM.

Go A's!!

by RudiFan on Dec 18, 2004 5:42 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Mulder
Cause if he bounces back like I think he's going to then the better pitcher left.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 6:38 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I couldn't agree w/ you more
I think collectively, after reviewing everything (injuries, contracts, player value), they decided this was the yr to pull the trigger and break up the Big 3.

Lets face it, we had them for 3+yrs and wasn't able to get it done, now it's time to start anew and see if we can develop some more aces and make another run at it.

Personally, I think we got better value in the Mulder trade than the deal for Hudson.

"Change is the law of life. And those who look only to the past or the present are certain to miss the future." -JFK.

by sf drift king on Dec 18, 2004 9:01 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

looking forward!
wow I'm looking forward to next year!

by babylabash on Dec 18, 2004 5:42 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

hell yeah
I'm totally looking forward to next year. Live and die with the next generation. My allegiance to the A's and Billy Beane never has been more faithful

back to those 1999 days when the next mulder, hudson, tejada, giambi start making their marks. It was fun back then too, no expectations

by suggy on Dec 18, 2004 5:48 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

It's good to hear some optimism
my thoughts exactly. I'm a bit angry and saddened about both trades, but I hate to see our own fans think we're gonna suck next yr b/c 2 individuals don't make a team.

I'm excited and looking fwd to the new look A's. I'll be there again cheering them on...

Go A's!

"Change is the law of life. And those who look only to the past or the present are certain to miss the future." -JFK.

by sf drift king on Dec 18, 2004 8:56 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Wow
I've accepted the Hudson deal, and now Mulder?   Obviously, it doesn't pay to try to think along with Billy.  He's several steps ahead of everyone else (or perhaps playing a different game).  So, no need to get all worked up about it.  This is just the beginning.  

No matter what, it'll be an interesting year.

by Jeff in Seattle on Dec 18, 2004 5:47 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Before everybody gets too worked up...
OK, I'm just as disappointed as the next A's fan to hear Hudson and now (gulp) Mulder go, but remember that The Big Three weren't officially labeled "The Big Three" until mid-2001 when Mulder bounced back from a mediocre season and Zito began making a name for himself.

Does anyone remember the 2000 season, the season that started the A's current magnificent run?  Remember the pitching staff that year?  According to Baseball Prospectus, Hudson led the Oakland pitching staff with the highest VORP with 49.6.  Who was second?  Gil Heradia with 40.9.  Third?  An unknown rookie then named Zito with 38.5.  Fourth?  Kevin Appier with 35.5.

Losing Hudson and Mulder will hurt--no doubt about it.  But we've gained Meyer and Haren--two very well-regarded prospects that could form the basis of Oakland's rotation for years to come.  Remember that baseball is a team sport: As long as Beane can cobble together a strong supporting cast, Oakland will remain competitive.

LET'S GO OAKLAND!!!

by macktheknife on Dec 18, 2004 5:47 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Let's go Oakland
thump thump thump from LF bleachers.

LETS GO OAKLAND

by suggy on Dec 18, 2004 5:50 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

i trust
i really do trust but this hurts.  
"What I'm trying to do is set our pitching up for five years," said Beane

by Satchmo22 on Dec 18, 2004 5:51 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

mixed feelings
this is indeed a very sad day for A's fans, as 2 of our big 3 will no longer wear green and gold.  i mourn the loss of those glory days, once i get my copy of ACES i'm guessing it will move me to tears....

however, i think that Billy is doing all he can to build a foundation for another great team era.  the facts are out there.  the team can't compete financially with the yanks, sox or angels.  we have yet to win a pennent with the former rotation.  so it's Billy's turn to get creative....get younger and cheaper talent, which will hopefully translate into a new era of A's baseball.

by high street on Dec 18, 2004 5:52 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

The bell curve
You may be right Blez, but I'm still pretty depressed.  Although, I have to admit, I'm not as upset about this one as I was about the Hudson trade--I kind of lost faith in Mulder in the second half last year.  I just don't know if I luck the return Beane is getting for trading two number one starters. And it's too bad that the A's are gonna suck next year.

by jmoney on Dec 18, 2004 5:53 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I don't know
if they're gonna suck, but they certainly are taking a different approach from everyone else in the division.

by Jeff in Seattle on Dec 18, 2004 5:56 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Didn't expect that
Well, I didn't expect that.  I had resigned myself to loosing
one of of the Big Three, but not two.  And at this point I would hardly be surprised if Zito got traded as well.

What I can't figure out is: if Bean is in full blown rebuilding mode, why did we trade for a rather expensive catcher?  How do these moves fit together?  Admittedly getting rid of Rhodes was important, but at the end of the day Kendall will still end up costing a lot of money for the A's.

I'm even less impressed with the booty Beane got this go round.  Calero looks decent, but Haren's record is not at all impressive.  All they seem to have going for them is that they will be cheap.

by aconley on Dec 18, 2004 5:57 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

that just made my head hurt
Think a zito-kendall deal is in the works?  Perhaps a sign and trade deal with LA for???? Beltran?
"What I'm trying to do is set our pitching up for five years," said Beane

by Satchmo22 on Dec 18, 2004 6:05 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

sign and ttrade
there are no sign and trade deals in baseball!
They are against the rules.

by Athletics fan and runner on Dec 18, 2004 6:14 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

what exactly
constitutes a "sign and trade" deal?

by kotsbots on Dec 18, 2004 11:25 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I sure hope not
I have two A's player shirts to wear to games: Dye and Hudson. Now those shirts are getting tossed into the car-repair-clothes bag.

But I still need something to wear to games in '05. Just to be different, I went on eBay today and bought a Pirates Kendall shirt. So, dammit, Beane can't trade Kendall.

by AlamedaAphid on Dec 18, 2004 6:17 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

sell them to me!!!!
I will buy them off of you.  
send me an email if you would like. mremmagoldman@yahoo.com

I just got an A's jersey and thank god I chose Zito.
I also have Tejada....

I almost chose mulder....

by Athletics fan and runner on Dec 18, 2004 6:37 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

No, I'm going to wear them
Just not to games. I won't be wrenching on the short wearing my Hudson shirt. But damn, I bought the Hudson shirt with the 30% discount at Fan Appreciation Day a couple months back; I figured Hudson was goof for at least another year. I wanted a Harden shirt but they were sold out- now I know why.

by AlamedaAphid on Dec 18, 2004 6:47 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I know how you feel....
I have other A's jerseys in my collection that were quickly outdated.  I got a canseco in 91....

by Athletics fan and runner on Dec 18, 2004 7:26 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Speaking of Kendall . . .
He talked about coming to Oakland and looking forward to the catching the Big Three, and now 2/3 of them are gone (and Zito???).  It's like changing jobs to be with a buddy and then having your buddy laid off the day you report to work! If he's not traded away, too, before the start of the season, I hope this doesn't put a damper on his "heart."

by Pepper on Dec 18, 2004 8:08 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

An Explanation?
"What I can't figure out is: if Beane is in full blown rebuilding mode, why did we trade for a rather expensive catcher?  How do these moves fit together?"

My best guess is that he wanted a veteran guy behind the plate to help the young pitchers along.

We won't win the division next year, and that's okay. Neither did the '99 club, but they might have been the most entertaining team of that entire run.

This season should be similar. It will be positive. It won't be a WS run, but it will be fun to watch.

by nodaclu on Dec 18, 2004 6:12 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

who knew?
Kendall is so excited to come here and play for a perennial contender after all those years on the Pirates that he happily waives his no-trade clause.  And what happens?  We basically are the Pirates now.  He must be overjoyed.

by bigthree17 on Dec 18, 2004 6:16 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

That's not what I said
I said, "We basically are the Pirates now."  Because we might be better than the Pirates, but we're not a serious contender next year, which is what attracted Kendall to begin with.  Beane admitted as much, when after the Hudson deal he said we weren't as good now as we were at the end of 2004, but he was hoping we'd be better in 2006.  If we weren't better after the Hudson deal, you think we're better now.

The fact is if we're not a serious playoff contender (not a championship contender, but just for a playoff spot) then we are basically in the same position as the Pirates.  Is there a real difference between winning 65 games and 80?  Not really.

by bigthree17 on Dec 18, 2004 6:41 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The bullpen had better by dynamic...
...because it's gonna be in by the 4th inning most games.

80 wins by Labor Day?  I'll take that bet (and I'll even hope I lose).

by bigthree17 on Dec 18, 2004 6:47 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah,
Labor Day 2006.
Just me...

by kaweahkaweah on Dec 18, 2004 6:54 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Worse case scenario
If the A's do go downhill it will make it easier for Beane to get Kendall to wave his no-trade clause.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 6:42 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

My mind, exactly
bigthree17.  See the comment I made just a few comments above.

by Pepper on Dec 18, 2004 8:12 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

bell curve
maybe we'll go down to 87 wins again?

by everythinguknowiswrong on Dec 18, 2004 5:58 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Why Zito????
I am confused after the Mulder trade. It seems clear that Billy wants to keep only one of the "Big Three"...maybe. Why Zito??? Why not Hudson???? I like Barry and all but if I was going to keep one stud Huddy, to me brings more to the table, especially with all these youngsters run'n around

by asfanfordays on Dec 18, 2004 5:59 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Must be health
Cause it sure wasn't performance... not for the last two years anyways.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 6:42 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

More words for Zito
Younger.

Smoother, lower-impact delivery.

Smoother, lower-impact psyche. Yes, I'm serious about that last one. I think Zito's got a mentality better suited to a long career than Huddy or Mulder. For all Hudson's "bulldog" rep (and I did and do love him for it), 90% of guys in baseball have that -- they have to to make it to the bigs. Preposterously gifted physical freaks like Nolan Ryan and Roger Clemens have given everyone the idea that jarhead "hoo-ah" is what gets a pitcher the wrong side of 40 blowing away stud hitters every fifth day. And I think the second half of '04, with the "I don't know what's going wrong but I'll pitch through it" approach of Mulder demonstrated just how effective that road is.

Yeah, Zito shoots tv shows in the offseason. And he surfs. And he plays the gee-tar and sings and has a good time. He has a life outside of baseball and knows its relative importance in the world. And he's also a demented baseball geek who's been practicing in his backyard and getting private tutoring from ex-big-league pitchers since he was, what, 10? I'll take that any day.

Of course, watch, Barry's gone on Monday ...

by monkeyball on Dec 18, 2004 7:02 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Zito is actually a seriously disciplined pro
The whole "flaky dude" thing is all a big act for the press and fans, who love that image. His yoga and stretching regimen is to make him strong and durable, not for the sake of spacy hot-tub-Californianism. Trust me- my wife does serious yoga a couple hours a day and can do one-handed pushups in her 40s.

by AlamedaAphid on Dec 18, 2004 8:42 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

True enough...
...and Zito hasn't missed a single start since he was called up in 2000 (a total of 153 consecutive starts.)

Something to consider with Hudson and Mulder's injury problems over the past few years.

by nodaclu on Dec 18, 2004 9:48 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

one handed?
what kinda stuff does she have on her fastball?  Any movement?  We have a 5th starter spot if she wants to play professional baseball
"What I'm trying to do is set our pitching up for five years," said Beane

by Satchmo22 on Dec 19, 2004 5:57 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

What?
90% of the players in the bigs absolutely do NOT have the bulldog attitude that Hudson has.  It being uncommon is why people make such a point of it.  It is a rare commodity that cannot be taught or coached, you either have it or you don't, and Hudson has it.  It is precisely why Ryan and Clemons were/are able to be 40 plus and still blowing away hitters.  Hell, why do you think Ryan could kick Ventura's ass after he turned 40?  Answer, Ryan just had that attitude, and Ventura didn't.
As far as the trades, I'm torn.  They bring back too many memories of the McGwire trade; remember people were saying the same thing about those prospects that they are saying about these.  Blake Stein was a supposed future all star.  I just hope some of these actually turn out.

by IndianaAsfan on Dec 18, 2004 8:52 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Why Zito?
Because Hudson and Mulder are overvalued in the current market, whereas Zito is not.

Or at least that's what Beane thinks.  The eternal Beane strategy is buy-low, sell-high.  Clearly, he thinks big-name starting pitching is overpriced, so he's cashing in on it.  Evidently, what he thinks is underpriced is young guys with high upside just coming into the big leagues.

It's not a coincidence that the one of the Big Three we were all talking about trading is the one guy we kept.  He didn't have an inflated perceived value to be collected on.

by iglew on Dec 19, 2004 2:21 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

If you're going to trade one of 'em ...
might as well trade more of 'em.

As much as we all hate to say it, the A's have given up for 2005. But we wouldn't win in 2005 anyway.

The smart thing to do is what Billy has done: stockpile a lot of talent that will peak at the same time while still being affordable.

It takes a lot of guts to admit you need to make changes and can take a better shot the next time around. Gotta give Billy Beane some credit

by Eck on Dec 18, 2004 5:59 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Can't Wait!
I can't wait to see the first Atlanta-St. Louis series when Mulder pitches against Hudson. I'll definitely be TiVoing that one. :)

by limecat on Dec 18, 2004 6:01 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Beltran, Mulder
 First off, Beltran is not the plan because if BB wanted to pour millions of dollars into a free agent (which he doesn't), he would have poured it into Hudson, hometown discount and all. Moot point, though, b/c the A's don't even look at big name free agents.

 The Mulder trade baffles me b/c it flies in the face of  the one theory--"retooling for '06"--that seemed to make the most sense.

 Now I'm left thinking that given the redundancy of acquiring two hard-throwing relievers Cruz and Calero (with Street and Garcia already in the mix), there is a third trade coming on the heels of this one. Until that trade is made and some dust clears, I'll withhold judgment.

 At the moment, though, I'm not seeing how the trades make us more competitive next year OR in 2006, and the way BB's door revolves, 2007's roster is too hard to gauge (who the hell knows if Kotsay, Kendall, Durazo, Zito, even Harden and Crosby, will be there?).

 When your favorite players keep leaving (e.g., Tejada, Hudson, Mulder, cross your fingers on Byrnes and Ellis), and you don't look as good for next year or the year after, it's hard to get excited. I will get excited come March, mind you (I always do and always will)--I'm just saying that it's hard.

Nico

by Nico on Dec 18, 2004 6:05 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

A few weeks ago
I predicted Hudson to Braves and Zito to Baltimore, but I NEVER THOUGHT HE WOULD ACTUALLY DO IT!  I mean, why Mulder and not Zito?  Mulder has much better stuff and was signed for 2 more years.  Hopefully, he can unload kendall's contract to LA and get us even more.  Doubt it, but who knows.  

There's got to be another big move, since we now have plenty of payroll room left.  Either that or it's going to get worse with Dotel/Byrnes/Durazo on their way out too.

by jubjub on Dec 18, 2004 6:18 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

PS
I had Charles Thomas and Danny Haren on the bench of my fantasy team this year and they both pretty much sucked.  Thomas got me some decent obp, but Haren got rocked in mid-season and I didn't have him in for any of his good late season starts.  I also had Sammy Sosa and I hope the trend DOESN'T continue.

by jubjub on Dec 18, 2004 6:20 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe it's going to be all about bullpen arms
The strong bullpen sure as hell worked for the Angels in recent years... although they also had some big scary sluggers...

by AlamedaAphid on Dec 18, 2004 6:19 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

ALL THE WAY
i was sure mulder would be the guy they would keep, that dude can be so dominant.

very well, i just hope beane goes all the way: time to trade zito.
i'm assuming this means byrnes, bradford, durazo, and hatteberg are gone too.  they should be if we're rebuilding for the next year or two.  heck, kotsay, too.  that guy's stock is never going to be higher.  also, no reason to have dotel on the team any longer.  

go for it beane.

a's all the way sometime between 06-08.

by xbhaskarx on Dec 18, 2004 6:22 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Hold off on trading Zito until the All-Star break
It's asking too much of Harden to make him the #1 guy.

Bye-bye Dotel.

Ruby probably stays.

Byrnes?

Kotsay... don't think he's going anywhere.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 6:45 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Must. Trade. Kotsay. Now.
Kotsay just had an absolute career year. He will never produce that well at the plate again. He will also most likely never be that healthy for 162 games again. And he's overpaid for the production he'll deliver over the next two years, but he looks like a bargain in comparison to the contracts being handed out this year.

I thought the trade for him a year ago was misguided; and I was 100% wrong about that, and said so. Kotsay was absolutely outstanding this year, and was worth giving up Ramon. I think it'd make sense to hang onto Kotsay -- but he's more valuable in a trade.

As for Dotel ... I dunno. Nick's bullpen-bullpen-bullpen theory (and perhaps his 4-starter theory) make a lot of sense, and Dotel could be an important part of that. I don't know how much Dotel would bring in trade, especially as  he's arb-eligible. I don't see Beane non-tendering him, though. I can see signing him, letting him perform, and then moving him in July.

Byrnes is gone, though.

As for Ruby, I'm not sure. As with Kotsay, he may be more valuable to the A's as trade bait than for the contributions he'd make at the plate in '05-07.

by monkeyball on Dec 18, 2004 7:10 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not shipping anyone off...
Unless I can come up with an adequate replacement. I see what you're saying about Kotsay but I don't see who Beane could bring in to replace him. I don't want to see Swisher in CF.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 7:40 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Thomas
Maybe that is the reason he was part of the Hudson trade...  At the time it didn't make much sense, but  Thomas could easily leadoff for us, and definitely has the defensive skills to play center...

Not that I want Kotsay gone, but if there was a time to trade him there are numerous teams that would give up a lot for him.  Including all the teams that lose out on the Beltran sweepstakes.  

And a team that would be very nice to give a CF to because of the pitching prospects they have.  Philly would be a sweet trading partner, since they have been looking for a good CF for a few years.  With Floyd, Hamels, Madsen, and Myers we could possibly get Myers plus one of the other 3 for him...

by MichiganAsFan on Dec 18, 2004 9:16 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Must...Stay...Calm
I don't know enough about Thomas' defemsive skills to know if he could play CF. Honever, I have looked at his career offensive numbers and do not believe that he is anything more than a 4th outfielder. I hope I am wrong about that.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 9:27 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Grover
As of right now I agree totally...  If he performs like he did for ATL last year, he could turn out to be an extremely good outfielder for us.  

I will take the .800 OPS he had and with the potential GG defense this kid has it could prove out very well for us.

Because I hardly ever get to see A's games being in Michigan I watch the Braves a ton last year.  When they brought Thomas up Bobby Cox constantly made remarks about how easy Thomas made the outfield look.  He said that when Thomas, Jones and Drew were patrolling the OF, it was the best OF he had ever seen play together.  Thomas made Jones life easier in Center.  Thomas is young but his OF skills could probably be compared to Kotsays.  

by MichiganAsFan on Dec 18, 2004 9:32 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

OK
Than I don't hate you. :)

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 10:09 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

tbs
doesnt anybody watch braves games on tbs? dont you watch as many games as you can to scout players for fantasy baseball? or is that just me. . .?

i saw charles thomas a little on tbs last year. . . he looked skinny, i think, real skinny, and from what i saw i cant believe those are his obp and slg. . . at the time i wondered why he was in the lineup at all. . .but "electric" with the glove, super speedy, and a total gamer. didnt seem like he had much power tho. . .i'd say at his best he could be a RH kots (with the bat, but better with the glove)

by kotsbots on Dec 18, 2004 11:45 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Kotsay also played Gold Glove caliber D
Even if his offense fades a bit, his defense probably won't.
Just me...

by kaweahkaweah on Dec 19, 2004 12:13 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

wow
"What, you've got to be kidding me," outfielder Eric Byrnes said of Mulder being traded. "Wow. I don't know what to tell you."

my sentiments exactly, mr. byrnes. my sentiments exactly.

i just tuned in, expecting the usual banter and ideas about what's going to happen. i did not, in my wildest dreams, think i would be reading this.

it's going to be either Spring Training or Spring Draining this year. i wasn't ready to contemplate something like that.

wow.
by the way, eric...i think you'll like _____, where you'll be playing next year. doubleshots of espresso on me.

by catfish hunter on Dec 18, 2004 6:23 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

After daring to comment
You gotta think Byrnes can start hunting for a place in Tampa.  :)
MJB

by MJB on Dec 18, 2004 7:12 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

question
how many of what every you call this group of players we have right now will be around after july?  I have a feeling we will be saying Go Team until 7/31 then saying More Prospects?!? the rest of the year.
IBIT
"What I'm trying to do is set our pitching up for five years," said Beane

by Satchmo22 on Dec 18, 2004 6:28 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

already numb
from the Hudson deal ...

It'll take a bit for this one to regiester ...

by Bleed Green on Dec 18, 2004 6:29 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I like the Mulder deal
I think there is a good chance (50/50?) that Mulder is finished as a big winner. I would never have traded for him considering the way he finished last year.
I think this trade will look very good down the line.
And I think Beane is far from finished. I hated losing Hudson but I'm excited by these deals and future possibilities.
As good as the Big 3 were, and they were very good, they really didn't get the job done in the post season.

by Okeydokie on Dec 18, 2004 6:30 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Salary dumping at its finest!!!
Trading Mulder for two twinkie throwers and another minor league catcher. Let me see.... The real beauty is that everyone continues to call Beane a genius and call the owners assholes. Billy sure has himself in one enviable position. Wonder who he is interviewing with.
Keeping Zito makes absolutely no sense. Of course with two sub par years (or maybe the one good one was the aberration) he probably has no trade value to anyone but the Mets.
So far the incoming players are a collection of cheap castoffs that have delivered mixed results in the majors. Did I say the A's will contend for third in in the west in 05? What was I thinking?
If there was money back in exchange for any of these guys I would immediately suspect the team to be sold to Las Vegas interests.

by bayfrank on Dec 18, 2004 6:34 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I can't help myself
Thomas is a 4th OF! If the A's trade Byrnes than they need to bring somebody in to replace him.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 6:51 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Byrnes is a 4th OF
Much as I love Byrnesie, he's eminently replaceable. And just has been.

Quite frankly, given Byrnes' personality, I'm not sure that he would have produced as well as he did the last two years if he hadn't been perpetually under the gun and playing for his job every time he went out there. I think putting the figurative screws to Byrnes day in and day out was actually a pretty shrewd piece of personnel management.

by monkeyball on Dec 18, 2004 7:13 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Byrnes is replaceable
I'm not saying he isn't. I'm just saying that his replacement is not on the roster. Johnson's on 1st. Thomas is a back up in case Swisher struggles or Byrnes does his yo-yo act.

Let me put it this way. You can't move Byrnes and not replace him because that mean keeping Kielty for one more year. Who would you rather have as a 4th OF... Thomas or Kielty?

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 7:29 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Or ...
Johnson could actually be the replacement for ... Kotsay. With Byrnes replaced by whomever Beane gets in the trade to be announced Monday, sending Bill King, Brandon Buckley, and Crazy George the Banjo Guy to Texas.

by monkeyball on Dec 18, 2004 7:39 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Might be time to take a break Monk
Step back, breathe.

Go watch some football. Read a book. Eat dinner.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 7:43 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Please
Please include the sax player!

by jb on Dec 18, 2004 7:45 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Not today Oaktoon
Let's not talk about Thomas vs Byrnes tonight. I won't be pleasant and I really don't want to be mean to anyone.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 7:26 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

2 words I'm not keen on right now:
prospects and potential.
"Change is the law of life. And those who look only to the past or the present are certain to miss the future." -JFK.

by sf drift king on Dec 18, 2004 8:31 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

u
sound like a giants fan thru and thru

by kotsbots on Dec 18, 2004 11:47 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I like the Mulder trade
but not the Hudson one. Tim's the one who'll end up with some rings and Mark is of doubtful soundness. Still, in general I prefer rooting for younger teams (1981, 1999 and 2000 are my favorite A's team), so hopefully after a rough 2005 there'll be another favorite in 2006 and a WS team in 2007.

by vk on Dec 18, 2004 6:35 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Too Bad
Too Bad ESPN A's Clubhouse http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/clubhouse?team=oak
doesn't list the teams moves like they used to do during every off-season. It was a great way to keep up on the teams' moves.

Anyone have any ideas why they aren't?

by CDN Athletics Fan on Dec 18, 2004 6:46 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Mulder's fine
He's going to bounce back next season.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 6:46 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Who are you, and what have you done with grover?
Well, groves, I guess this is the wedge that finally breaks us in twain ...

by monkeyball on Dec 18, 2004 7:20 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

You'll be back.
I always wanted Mulder to be the one the A's kept if it came down to it.

Guess it didn't work out that way.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 7:30 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I am already
You do realize that I'm only lashing out at you in my pain and confusion, right?

Seriously, the Mulder trade really did shock me. Although I like the deal better than the Hudson deal -- especially b/c Mulder's stock was so low after the second half of '04.

What it comes down to is that I do think Zito was the one guy of the three it made more sense to keep -- but I'm fairly confident that unless there's a major "market correction" with pitchers' contracts by November '06, even Zito won't be staying long-term.

Anyway, I was just joshin' ya, grover.

by monkeyball on Dec 18, 2004 7:35 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I know
I kinda figured Beane was going to move one of his lefties, I just thought he'd do it at the break. Guess he doesn't want to half-ass this re-build.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 7:37 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Sickels
Of the 6 players acquired in the past 2 trades, only Meyer was detailed in full by Sickels' Baseball Prospect Book in 2004.  Barton was in the draft write up and said he doesn't have the glove to play C.  

On an interesting note, Blanton was the #4 pitching prospect and Edwin Jackson was #3.  Meyer was in the 30's.    

by jubjub on Dec 18, 2004 6:59 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Trying to figure it out
For some reason, I wasn't that affected by the Hudson trade, I guess cause I expected it, but this is a blow.

Does seem like BB is bogarting the market on catching prospects. So are we gonna start new farm teams to have a place for all of em?

And, is k/9 the stat Billy's looking at? Some of the stats on our new pitchers records look average, except for the strikeout #s:
               K/9  
Calero  04MLB  9.3
Haren   04AAA  10.6
        04MLB  6.3 (46 IP)
Meyer   04AA   11.9
        04AAA  8.8
Cruz    04MLB  8.8

and (from last year)
Hudson 4.9
Mulder 5.6
Zito 6.9

maybe he that's why he's keeping Zito (assuming he's not the next one to go)  

by Hegenberger Road on Dec 18, 2004 7:04 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

K/9 ratios
remember that with fastball pitchers, the K/9 ratio is about the only stat that's good at first, the control and off-speed pitches come later.

by vk on Dec 18, 2004 7:36 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

What???
I want to see this explained in "Money Ball 2"

by paul75 on Dec 18, 2004 8:30 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

beane was smart...
...to stay away from edwin jackson. that dude is a TJ procedure waiting to happen.

hey, where the hell is ohad? i thought he'd be on by now dreaming up more trades.  

it's OK to steal-just don't let billy see ya.

by bigelephant on Dec 18, 2004 7:04 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

he's in Barcelona
and said he doesn't have access to the internet...

by high street on Dec 18, 2004 7:07 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Ohad
He's probably in shock right now.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 7:31 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

shocked...
...he's in barcelona or the mulder trade?
it's OK to steal-just don't let billy see ya.

by bigelephant on Dec 18, 2004 7:40 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

re: yes
 Grover means the Muldur trade.

by everythinguknowiswrong on Dec 18, 2004 7:49 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Where's jbrh too?
He felt that the A's didn't belong in the American League after the Hudson trade. What's he going to think about this one?

by nodaclu on Dec 18, 2004 8:05 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Ohad got traded to Texas, too
Beane tried, per jb's suggestion, to send them the sax player, but John Hart insisted on Ohad.

[inhale]

[exhale]

Hey, that does feel better! That would explain why my legs were turning blue!

by monkeyball on Dec 18, 2004 8:01 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Nice analysis.
You are right.

BUT: I am having a hard time trying to understand the logic in giving away an ace when he has 2 years left. Barring injury, if we got one more cheap year out of Mulder, his value on the market would be the same as it is now.

I think BB's plan has merit, I just don't know about losing Mulder's 2 cheap years.

by Josh on Dec 18, 2004 7:04 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

More...
...there has to be something more.

None of this makes sense...they were too close.

There has to be something more. Something dark and unbelieveable that Billy Beane will unleash upon the masses of people who can't believe what they are witnessing. Something so obscure and perfect you could never have dreamed it.

Please tell me it is so. I refuse to believe that the A's have decided to just throw puppies out there and see how fast they can run. I refuse to believe that the A's have decided to be the poster child for small-market baseball by throwing in the towel on a team that for the last three years many experts had picked to contend for a World Championship. I refuse to believe that the A's have become the camerelengo from Dan Brown's best selling novel "Angels and Demons" by admitting defeat only to prove one's righteous belief to the greater cause.

In this world of synicism and corruption, how is one to maintain their faith? How is one to be content knowing they will never achieve what they covet?

Forgive me my master, for my defenses have been weakened and my faith has been infiltrated. Please show me a sign, for if not I fear I will succumb to the darkside.

Help me Obi-wan, you're my only hope.

by Force on Dec 18, 2004 7:05 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Puppies!
The 2005 Oakland A's television marketing campaign!

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 7:32 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

what did I say a few weeks back...
assume nothing...expect surprises

but I really had no idea...

by OaklandSi on Dec 18, 2004 8:21 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

If pitching is mostly mental anyways..
Then we gave away the two guys who have the mental thing down pat.  Zito is all into Zen crap that gets him away from real pitching.  Oddly enough, we trade away the guys with injury problems to keep the guy with mental problems.  Shrinks then, must be cheaper than trainers and doctors.  

Hudson was bad enough, but Mark too?  Geez, talk about making a "fuckin' A" trade.  It would seem to me that Mark's injuries have been freak at worst, and I would expect Mulder and Hudson to be 1-2 in Cy Young balloting in 2005.  Mulder is THAT good, he said so himself, he hates to suck and that's makes him a winner right there.  I mean, most of us have probably seen Mark in person at one time or another, he looks like the pinnacle of health really and built strongly.  

I don't know... this'll be one hell of a season in 2005 though.    

by cuppingmaster on Dec 18, 2004 7:05 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

how about this
Is there money now to sign Beltran to 20 Mill a year and build a team around him and Chavez?

Lose: Hattaberg (1b), Byrnes (OF), Durzao (dh)

Keep: Chavez(3b), Crosby (SS), Kendall (C), Kotsay (OF),

Add: Swisher (OF), Ginter (2b), Johnson (1B), Thomas/??? (DH), Beltran (OF)

by CDN Athletics Fan on Dec 18, 2004 7:05 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Beltran
Your crazy!!!!!!!!!!!11

by paul75 on Dec 18, 2004 8:19 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I realize that...
but I guess I am trying to put together some ideas of what Billy might do next. :)

by CDN Athletics Fan on Dec 18, 2004 8:26 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

WE ARE NOT GETTING BELTRAN!!!!!!
it's OK to steal-just don't let billy see ya.

by bigelephant on Dec 18, 2004 7:09 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Yes, but...
... are we getting Beltran? ;D

No, I agree the Beltran speculation's just bizarre. And I doubt he'll sign for 20 mil a year-- maybe 15 or 16, though.

by Captain Swordchucks on Dec 18, 2004 8:24 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

We couldn't have won in 2005 anyway:
Even with the big 3 in tact, the AL West is too strong right now. BB has to be considering this and let the new A's redevelop again and hope that the M's, Angels and Rangers cool off a little bit.

by Josh on Dec 18, 2004 7:11 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

if everything stayed the same....
...for the start of 2006 season, which rotation whould YOU prefer:

johnson
mussina
brown
wright
pavano

zito
harden
meyer
haren
blanton

it's OK to steal-just don't let billy see ya.

by bigelephant on Dec 18, 2004 7:21 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Rotation Perspective
According to Gammons's article, the Yankees will pay their starters $60 million next year.  The pitching staff as a whole will receive $95 million.

I can't keep up with all the A's changes, but our rotation is going to be, what, about $11 million or something (assuming the 3 rookies)?  That would be less than the Yankees' average for a single starter.

by Nick on Dec 18, 2004 7:49 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Here's the comparison
Meyer, Haren, and Blanton have as much chance of being in the A's rotation in '06 as Kevin Brown does of going from now 'til then without missing a start.
MJB

by MJB on Dec 18, 2004 8:25 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Regret
I just regret that we had to see the last games pitched by them end like they did. I really think it'll never sit well with me that the last days of the Big 3 together were... well, what they were. Woulda been nice to at least get a blaze of glory or something.

I'd been quite happy having my heartbreak spread out in slow incriments, both Mulder and Hudson is just too much for me to take in one offseason.

The prospects we've received in return just... they don't convince me. In particular, who we received in the Mulder deal has left me scratching my head. I mean, it's a lovely package and all, but I'm not sure that it'll address our needs. And it sure looks like we're setting up for another all-pitch, no-pop season in '07 or '08 or whenever this team'll be able to come up for air at the top of the division again.

Adios Hudson, Mulder. You boys gave us a heck of a ride.

by Kyli on Dec 18, 2004 7:24 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Last 3 Games...
Yeah, that really stinks.  The Anaheim series when MM got rocked, the Zito game was blown, and Huddy in a game that meant nothing.  :(
GO A's!!!

by AsGirl on Dec 18, 2004 9:05 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

And yet he took the ball
I wonder if he knew there was a good chance that'd be his last start as an A and wanted to give the fans one more game?  He easily could have asked out, but he took the ball.  And of course, he got stuck with a no-decision after another great performance.

I flew up from LA for that last series, but flew back down after Saturday's game.  Now I'm pissed I missed Huddy's last start.

by bigthree17 on Dec 19, 2004 1:07 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

on a more global scale
 Billy's trades set the pattern for the ability of teams with farm systems to compete with higher-payroll teams with no farm systems (Yankees and Red Sox). Other GMs will emulate Billy, and the future Pedro Martinezes and Vladimir Guerreros will be traded for prospects to teams like the Cards and Braves instead of becoming free agents.

by vk on Dec 18, 2004 7:30 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

be happy it could be worse!

by everythinguknowiswrong on Dec 18, 2004 7:36 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Got my breath knocked out of me
Just shows I can't go away for a day, then come back and check what's going on with the A's...

This is the one we had no warning about -- except some posts from what I thought were just trolls out to bother us in the midst of our mourning for Huddy.

by OaklandSi on Dec 18, 2004 7:58 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

No fooling...
Even after reading everyone's posts..thank you AN, I still can't quite believe this...there goes my heart - again.
And I had just been getting more comfortable with where we were this afternoon..
Like Blez started with..can NOT believe we've seen the last games that both Hudson and Mulder have pitched for us.
The reality of our market has really hit hard right now..holding on to trust in Billy - maybe, as some of you suggest, he's not done yet..

by LongTimeFan on Dec 18, 2004 8:58 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Are DePo And Beane Drinking The Same Kool-Aid?
Bizarre that the Dodgers should be undergoing the same kind of grief that the A's are right now. Every player I care about, it seems, is on the block. Adrian Beltre, Shawn Green, Paul LoDuca, Yency Freakin' Brazoban -- gone. With the latest version of the Big Trade, the Dodgers are moving an ever-growing number of players and getting less and less in return with each iteration I read about. I can't help but wonder if this isn't a fire sale.

So, yeah, I feel your pain, A's fans... I really do.

The early bird gets the worm, but the second mouse gets the cheese.

by scareduck on Dec 18, 2004 8:04 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

dodgers and a's
same management school, same philosophy. the difference is the Dodgers are getting blown up not because of money but because they built the wrong team.

by vk on Dec 18, 2004 9:21 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Isn't it ironic
that with the abundance of "trade Zito" rumors we've had that he's the only one of the Big Three to remain (at least so far . . . )?  

I'm not stating any preferences about which 2 of the big 3 are hardest to part with--just noting the irony.

by Pepper on Dec 18, 2004 8:44 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Further evidence that Major League Baseball sucks
If MLB wasn't so f'd up we A's fan wouldn't have to see the Giambis, Tejadas, Hudsons, Mulders etc. leave our favorite team so frequently.  

I'm going to miss Huddy and Mulder big time.  But being the long time loyal fan that I am I'll continue to root for the green and gold.  Billy Beane is the best thing the A's have going for them.  Without Billy there's a good chance we'd have a real good idea what it's like to be a Brewer or Royals fan.

And one more thing, there always doesn't have to be a winner and loser in a trade.  Maybe everything will work out for the best for the Braves, Cards and A's.  Maybe . . . wishful thinking I know, but maybe.

Thanks Blez.
Go A's!!!!

by Dwayne Murphy on Dec 18, 2004 8:46 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

couldn't beane have packaged kielty
with all the moves billy has made i would have loved to see kielty's name involved. DAMMIT.

by redclay22 on Dec 18, 2004 9:11 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Fire Sale vs Planning
Like Byrnes, I'm pretty shocked at the news.  I had gotten used to the "Big 3," with all their greatness, and their warts. ( I still have the picture of Barry Zito playing guitar in Berkeley coffeehouses in my head.  WTF?)

I guess we can view the glass as half-empty or half-full.  I always prefer to see it full.  But the Coliseum glass is a tiny one, that's true.

I think Mulder went cheap.

I wonder if anyone in baseball actually keeps a player around anymore because of their intangibles -- clubhouse leadership, motivation, team spirit etc.

With all these off-season trades, I also have in the back of my mind the wondering about the steroids news.  I keep wondering how some of these trades are being strategized.  

Trades and motivations for trades are awfully hard things to analyze.  Much social dynamic at work.  Very hard, very hard.

by Dan_Honolulu on Dec 18, 2004 9:17 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I see through the same eyes
I fail to understand what good could come of losing "experience".

Intagibles.

Things like guidance and maturity go along way in a Big League locker room. I fear this kind of recklessness sets the tone for the acceptance of failure.

by Force on Dec 18, 2004 11:24 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Beane: Zito will not be traded
Taken from the A's website:

http://oakland.athletics.mlb.com/NASApp/mlb/oak/news/oak_news.jsp?ymd=20041218&content_id=924034 &vkey=news_oak&fext=.jsp

"We knew trading one was something we probably were going to have to do, but two was always a possibility," Beane said during a conference call Saturday night.

That said, Beane addressed Zito's status succinctly.

"Zito will not be traded," Beane said Saturday night.

by OaklandSi on Dec 18, 2004 9:23 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Kendall
Someone remind me why we traded for this guy?  I keep hearing about the inflated contracts that these average pitchers are getting (ortiz, wright, etc), wouldn't a Rhodes or a Redman be worth something right now?  Look, there really are not a lot of pitchers out there, so why didn't we just trade these guys for a few prospects, INSTEAD of taking on the Kendall contract AND trading Huddy and Mulder?
I was on board with the Huddy trade AFTER a few days, now this????  My non-moneyball mind cannot comprehend this, unless something big is happening.  But, pitching being so important, getting rid of Huddy and Mulder seems insane.
Shit, we had Mulder for 2 MORE YEARS.....
Dictators always look good until the last minutes.- T.G. Masaryk

by Masaryk on Dec 18, 2004 9:35 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Battle royal
You add Calero and Cruz to the bullpen and that throws Duschere into the mix for number 5.... Blanton, Meyer, Haren, and Duschere...all pitching for those last two spots... Spring training could be fun.  Remember, we still have Street and Garcia ...trying to make the bullpen.

I am going to enjoy watching the pitchers and catchers report.  

by street69 on Dec 18, 2004 9:42 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Can Mulder Pass A Physical?
Hold your horses... can Mulder be truly healthy after his collapse of last season? Was it just mental and mechanics? Seems he must have some type of aliment to fold so badly down the strecth in Aug and Sept and against Angels in Oct..

Any one remember 1976 when Finley sold Rudi and Fingers to Boston for $1 million- saw the game with both in Boston uniforms until Commissioner Kuhn stepped in because Finley was dumping players for cash....IS BB under similar orders before the scoundrels sell out?

Not being an alarmist but why trade your two best for let's see:
Meyer 19 - 19
Haren 3 -3
with Cruz and Calero the only ones with ML experience... and Thomas (aka TLong all over again?)
Ouch BB did not do A's fans any good for 2005, 2006, 2007......

Morada Mudshark

by Morada Mudshark on Dec 18, 2004 9:45 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

jd drew
new space under salary cap allows jd drew to play for the green and gold one way or another.

depo might sign him then deal to oak for byrnes, chadford, barton or another catching prospect.

jd is the holy grail pt. 2

by redclay22 on Dec 18, 2004 9:59 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!
AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

(Pant, pant, pant)

It's only a game, I guess.  

In 1988 when Kirk Gibson hit that home run (shudder shudder), I asked my mom if I could burn my Oakland A's sweatshirt.  Today, it's my copy of Moneyball I want to burn.  

Now that Billy's engaged in a more conventional managerial philosophy--the well-known fire sale by the cheapo team that decides it can't afford to actually compete for playoff spots--maybe Moneyball's sales will start to go down.  

But probably not.  I just saw a ton of copies at Borders last week, I guess it's still pretty popular, combining sports and business and all that. But if the A's slip back toward mediocrity, what's the verdict?  Were the A's just lucky to have a bunch of prospects come up at the same time?  Or did they come up with some revolutionary ways to evaluate talent, but now, thanks in large part to the publication of Moneyball--the rest of the league caught up, and the A's competitive advantage is gone?  

Billy Beane may be a genius, but if I were Kenny Williams, I'd be closing the deal right now:  Sandy Alomar Jr. (or if he's no longer a White Sock, some equally crappy bit player)-for-Barry Zito.  I've never seen a genius so eager to make trades that make his fan base sick.  

I believe in miracles, and go A's in '05.  But if the A's do somehow contend, I don't want to see BB taking credit for it.  Trade Beane!  

by rubin sierra on Dec 18, 2004 10:27 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Don't eat the paint, Chimp.
You ought to READ MoneyBall before you burn it. I guess you'd be happier if Omar Minaya were running the show. The A's will probably drop off in '05 while all the big money teams are reeling in names and contracts. Pay attention to the bottom line - wins - year in and year out. Pay attention to the budget and the amount-per-win -Beane is a magician - if he were winning as many games in New York, he'd be a god.
If it's broken, fix it.

by Bosnian on Dec 19, 2004 11:31 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Why Zito?
i'm going to be cynical for a minute and throw this out there:

zito is a big name.  he's probably a bigger draw than mulder and hudson, even though he's probably the least loved of the three here on AN.  

i'd like to see beane get rid of all the old dudes (zito, byrnes, dotel, bradford, kotsay, hatteberg) if we're going this route, but maybe zito (and possibly byrnes for similar reasons) will stay from the old regime because they do the sports show rounds and draw the fans...

of course, he's also got the fewest health problems of the three, plus a cy young.  

and after two mediocre seasons in a row, he'd probably bring the least back to the a's in a trade.

by xbhaskarx on Dec 18, 2004 10:32 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

In Billy we Trust, In Billy We Trust...
It's like a freakin' cult. This guy's driving me nuts. Why doesn't he get rid of Macha, instead of his horses? What a loser. Just good enough to get to the playoffs (maybe). Never good enough to take it all. That's our future, year after freakin' year. And Beane's legacy. "Just good enough.''

by OaklandMike on Dec 18, 2004 10:36 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I agree
Beane became a cult when "Moneyball" became a best seller. However, I think the book has brought nothing but bad karma to the A's. It pissed off a lot of general managers who won't deal with Billy now and it somewhat raised the market value of a lot of the players.
Last year Las Vegas put the total wins number, over-under, at 89; I wonder what it will be this year?

by steve g on Dec 19, 2004 7:12 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Sweeney
Hasn't BB always been high on Mike Sweeney? I don't know the logistics of getting him, but we've done pretty well with robbing KC of talent in the past. Clubhouse leader, good average and power, decent defense. A little expensive, but there seems to be some wiggle room now...

by almostreggie on Dec 18, 2004 10:40 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I mean...
do you guys think we're really going to compete with a bunch of rooks on the mound. Experience, maturity, poise...those separate the pros from the wanna-bes. It takes years to develop mound presence and to not get rattled by a bad inning. To get to know the league, and how to adjust to a batter who's adjusted to you. A few young guys, the phenoms, pull it off. For most, it takes time. I see trouble ahead.

by OaklandMike on Dec 18, 2004 10:45 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Mound presence
"A few young guys, the phenoms, pull it off."

Like Hudson, Mulder and Zito. Smile, the same guy who went after those players went after this new batch.

by grover on Dec 18, 2004 10:57 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

So help me God, I am going to kill Linda Cohn
Somebody hold me back!

She called the As "the Kansas City Royals" today on ESPN.  She interviewed some shmuck from USA Today.  His analysis essentially consisted of this:

  1.  This trade is a risk.
  2.  The As have to make payroll.
Firstly, what trade isn't a risk?  If Mulder's odd troubles from the end of last season are still there, then this trade is more risky for St. L than anybody thinks.  Every frigging trade is a risk.  Oy!

Secondly, yes, it's true the As don't get to spend $200 mil like other East Coast teams, but it's not like they are dumping salary here.  These are aggressive moves to try to get more bang for our buck instead of letting the players go in a few years.  Controversial, yes.  Salary dump, not at all.

There's a level of Hell for Linda Cohn.  And if one doesn't already exist, I'm calling Dante and building it myself.

GO As!

Best Barry In The Bay Area.

by TwistNHook on Dec 18, 2004 11:15 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

the quality of the analysis available online...
makes the analysis of the mainstream sports media intolerable.  When I said "OPS" in a Dream Job tryout over the summer, everyone in the room looked at me as if I spoke a foreign language.  My fate was sealed.  No matter how much lip service Al Jaffe pays to "ESPN's sophisticated fan base," they're losing touch.
The mullet is the reason why people hate you.--Wesley Willis

by Cutthemullet on Dec 18, 2004 11:54 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Low Revenue Teams Must Rebuild
While big revenue teams like the Yankees, BoSox and Angels have the profits to RELOAD, low revenue teams like the A's ultimately have to REBUILD. Unlike the big markets, teams with mediocre attendance, low ticket prices, and minimal TV revenues like Oakland cannot pay the exorbitant salaries of free agents. Thus, when their own talent (like Hudson)is either soon to jump ship or (in the case of Mulder) can still be traded for great young players, a wise GM and ownership make their move.

Fortunately, Billy Beane and Steve Schott clearly recognize this reality in far greater measure than other teams confronting low revenues. Correspondingly, the A's have acquired some of the finest young players in the game. They may not contend in 2005, but they will be contenders for years to come beyond that.

One theory on Mulder: When he was at AAA, his fastball was slightly above the MLB average. However when he got to the Bigs, he added several MPH to his heater. While I used to believe that was the result of Rick Peterson tinkering with his mechanics, the significant increase in Mulder's speed was a bit hard to comprehend. What else could account for it? Possibly steroids.

If the steroid theory has any validity and Billy Beane is aware of it, he doubtless realizes that with testing to come next season, Mulder would have to stop juicing. And without the increment in his fastball that better pitching through chemistry had given him, Mulder would be just an average starter.

Again, just a theory...

To get back to a balanced analysis to Beane's dealing of two aces, it's good to read this site and find such general appreciation of the A's economic realities and Beane's intelligent response. Like many of you, Ilook forward to the development of a fine, contending team in future seasons.

Of course, the events of the past few days have come as a bit of a shock, requiring a reordering of thinking for A's fans. And given said shock, we could all use some comic relief. So if you really need a laugh, check out the so-called "A's fans" on the OAFC site. They are the foremost whiners on the internet, with most of them marching in lockstep with their hate of the A's ownership, Billy Beane and Ken Macha. Correspondingly, a hilarious suicide watch is in order for these pathetic souls, as their "contraction conspiracies headed by Steve Schott" abound.

So for a good time, check that site out. As I said, we can all use a good laugh!

by reztips on Dec 18, 2004 11:34 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Mulder had a bad back
As I remember, Mulder was overworked in college and had a bad back coming into the big leagues.  He reaggravated the back injury lifting weights his rookie season.  Once they cleared that up, his velocity returned.

At least, that was the explanation at the time.

by Nick on Dec 19, 2004 7:21 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

New Stadium
By 2007 the A's are out of "The Mac" lease. Hopefully the A's will have a new ballpark built somewhere. Then there will be money to keep our players.

http://www.ballparksofbaseball.com/future/A'sBallpark.htm

http://oaklandfans.com/ballpark/

http://oaklandfans.com/ballpark/revitalization/

by paul75 on Dec 20, 2004 12:25 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

From the Cardinals board...
Posted: Sun Dec 19, 2004 12:26 am    Post subject:    

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

rolen3B27 wrote:
A big reason the numbers say that this is the best pitchers' park in the AL is that three of the most talented pitchers in the AL have been pitching there for the past few years. I will agree that all of that foul territory and relatively spacious outfield are better for pitchers, but you have to give the pitchers themselves some credit.

You gotta realize that the way they determine is is how many runs per game (both A's and opponent) are scored at home compared to on the road.
Look at the big 3's stats lifetime ERA's home and away:
Mulder:
Home: 3.36
Away: 4.5
Hudson:
Home: 3.19
Away: 3.84
Zito:
Home 3.33
Away 3.49
so this is another thing: Look at how much Mulder has benifited from the spacious confines of the Oakland COlliseum. Besides the ERA, his lifetime record is 43-14 (.754) at home and 38-28 (.576) on the road.

--------
I can't vouch for these stats, but they are interesting, especially in Mulder's case.  We know Mulder has always loved pitching in the Coliseum.  

I do wonder if the Cardinals wanted Mulder all along, as I suspect, or if Zito was ever in the mix.

by bear88 on Dec 19, 2004 12:16 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re: from the Cardinals board
Extremely revealing stats, and possible proof why Zito was never in the mix to get traded.

by Mikkoo on Dec 19, 2004 12:38 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

wow
thanks for posting these stats. another reason to keep Zito out of the 3

by OaklandSi on Dec 19, 2004 7:21 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Busch is pretty roomy, too
Not like it used to be 20 years ago when John Tudor put up a 1.90 e.r.a., but it's certainly not a band box.  Didn't Mulder say something last season about not wanting his radar gun readings going up on the scoreboard during the game because it was made it easier for hitters to understand his pitching pattern when they could see the readings on his pitches?  At the time, AN thought that was part of the reason for his problems on the road.

If I were St. L I would check out his stats at places like Comerica and Safeco to predict how he'll do at Busch.  He'll have a big outfield and an excellent defense (assuming they bother signing a SS, that is!) behind him.  If he's healthy, he'll do fine.  If he stays hurt, he could pitch in the Astrodome and he'll still get rocked.

by Nick on Dec 19, 2004 7:27 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Just heard
about the trade a few minutes ago.  And after reading through the thread...I am on the band wagon for moving on and re-tooling and putting the great playoff miss of 2004 behind.
No Series until a series of unfortunate events.

by ak_A on Dec 19, 2004 12:49 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

bad press is our friend
I know it sucks to have people talk about the A's like they are some kind of pitiful, pathetic stepchild, but this is good for the A's. Beane is trying to stay ahead of the curve. Remember from Moneyball, the idea that the A's push the line that they are too poor to afford the top draft prospects. This happens to be true, but in fact they don't really want most of the top prospects.

The same thing is happening now. The more people think he's just dumping salary, the better it is for the A's. I'm convinced BB is pushing some new internal statistical metrics and ideas, probably revolving around injuries, value of certain kinds of prospects, and value of bullpen over starting pitching. Do we want everyone trying to figure out what the A's are doing? No. So let them all buzz about how awful the A's are going to be and how payroll is forcing our hand, etc.

And in the end, there is this simple fact. Huddy and Mulder sucked at the end of last season. If they still sucked at the start of 2005, that would really damage their trade value. If BB was going to move them, it was going to be a big risk to move them next year, and a small market team cannot survive big risks.

That said, I'm going to miss Huddy and Mulder. Huddy's 2-hit gem against Pedro was the best pitching I've ever seen, and Mulder provided some of the most efficient and speedy sub-2-hour complete game wins I've seen (gets you back home on Bart real early). I really hope they do well in the NL and compete for the Cy Young.

And let's thank all deities that H & M ended up in the NL. I might have had to tear my own head off if either of them had become one of the bastard Red Sox or Yankees.

- Apricot

by Apricot on Dec 19, 2004 6:55 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

That was a great game...
" Huddy's 2-hit gem against Pedro was the best pitching I've ever seen"

Me too!  I was there for that game and it was simply the most dominating pitching I've ever seen.

Just me...

by kaweahkaweah on Dec 19, 2004 2:20 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I was gone
yesterday and didn't learn about the trade until reading the paper this morning. I'm shocked but now I understand Beane's comment about being loaded for '06. As a fan and a competitive person I hate, absolutely hate, the idea of punting a season. And for all of you who live in the bay area I just know that the lack of public financing for a stadium is going to be mentioned as the reason for the trades (rather than Cheap Schott's profit margin) but think  about one of the mantra's used over at Baseball Prospectus; there's no such thing as a pitching prospect. Does anyone need to be reminded of the "Four Aces" draft? What happened to them? Young pitchers are the biggest gamble in the game so it will be a miracle if Meyer, Harren, Calero, and Cruz all turn into good pitchers. In fact the A's will be ahead of the young pitcher curve if any one of them becomes a star. Another side note. If Mulder and Hudson return to the dominant form we've seen in the past more fingers need to be pointed at Curt Young and the decision to choose Macha knowing Peterson would walk with him at the helm.

by linden on Dec 19, 2004 7:20 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

The 4 Aces comparison
Not even close to factual. Two of those draft picks never made it to the majors because of injuries. Van Poppel should be the poster child for why a team shouldn't draft a high school pitcher and Dressendorfer made it to the bigs less than a year after getting drafted. He to fell to an arm injury.

Calero and Cruz are established big league relief pitchers. Haren and Meyer were both drafted out of college and have made the Show. Haren has nearly 120 innings of big league ball under his belt, that alone has got to put him head and shoulders above 3 if not all 4 of the 1990 Aces. Sure either one could suffer a career ending injury, but the same could be said for Mulder and Hudson. Barring injury Haren and Meyer will be in the A's 2005 rotation. Unlike Mulder and Hudson you can expect the two new additions to stay in the rotation through 2009.

by grover on Dec 19, 2004 10:30 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Oh yeah,
on Sports Reporters just now Mike Lupica called Steve Schott one of the cheapest guys in baseball. I ordinarily can't stand Lupica but he got that right.

by linden on Dec 19, 2004 7:24 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

And then there's this...
from today's Chron:

There's hot talk that the Oakland A's are close to being sold to a group headed by Lewis Wolff, the megabucks Los Angeles developer whose possible emergence as a new owner was signaled last year when the team hired him to explore plans for a new stadium.

Wolff -- formerly a part owner of both the Golden State Warriors and St. Louis Blues hockey franchise -- isn't discounting the idea of taking over the A's, but says it's a bit early to tell how discussions will turn out.

http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2004/12/19/BAG0DAE6F01.DTL

by OaklandMike on Dec 19, 2004 8:26 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

But
Doesnt he wanna run us out of town? I would be happy for a  new owner, but I'm scared anyone who would take over wants to look for better oppurtunities and move us somewhere else.
Beanetown Baby

by ohad on Dec 19, 2004 8:48 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The A's leaving Oakland
would be far worse for me as a fan than losing any particular player.

by OaklandSi on Dec 19, 2004 1:22 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

and in the Trib - Newhouse's knocking Billy
and I agree that sportwriters live to incite turmoil...
I'm still in shock, but think Newhouse is offbase here...Billy wants to win - didn't you hear Byrnes on the radio last night " Billy HATES to lose" -

http://www.insidebayarea.com/sports/ci_2491614

by LongTimeFan on Dec 19, 2004 8:54 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Newhouse should wear a helmet
The media seems to represent the lowest common denominator of fan intelligence. What Beane is doing, against the back drop of $100 to $200 million + payrolls requires a broader scope than most of the sports media can comprehend.
If it's broken, fix it.

by Bosnian on Dec 19, 2004 11:45 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Talk About Bad Reporters...
Great post, apricot. Hudson and Mulder did indeed stink at the end of last season. And I will always remember Hudson having to bail out of a must will start vs the BoSox in the 2003 playoffs because he was stupid enough to get hurt in a barfight the night before the game.

As for lousy reporters, Linden mentions Mike Lupica denigrating Schott. Since when has ANYONE who writes for the NY Daily News been considered anything other than an idiotic tabloid reporter?

Dave Newhouse is also cited by Linden. Newhouse has long been the laughingstock of Bay Area sports columnists--it's been said he couldn't spell cat if you spotted him the "c" and the "t".

But Newhouse's claims to being the definitive sports columnist lamebrain has long ago been usurped by Ray Fatso. Fatso is obsessed with his hatred of both Billy Beane and Steve Schott and he has said so at every opportunity. Both his prejudices and lack of cranial capacity render him incapable of comprehending the A's economic realities and the long view Beane has taken in the necessary rebuilding of a low revenue team.

Perhaps the worst trade we have seen in the Bay Area was not the dealing of the A's two aces. Rather it was the forced retirement of the Bay Area's best columnist, Glenn Dickey, and the elevation of a total moron, Ray Fatso, as the paper's lead sports columnist.

by reztips on Dec 19, 2004 9:30 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Newhouse is a dipshit
Notice how he summarily says this about the trades: "Well, the answer isn't money. So don't hang this one on the skinflint A's owners."

Really?  Then please explain, Mr. Newhouse, how the A's will pay for all these large salaries in the upcoming years?  Bake sales?

Just me...

by kaweahkaweah on Dec 19, 2004 2:16 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Zito won't be traded
"Am I surprised by all of this? Yeah, a little," he said. "But did I think we'd all be in Oakland together forever? No. That's unrealistic. The bottom line is that Billy has a job to do, and I've been around long enough and seen enough of what he's done to always have complete faith in whatever his master plan might be.

"Even when you don't understand something while it's happening, you just have to trust him on it. His track record speaks for itself."

-Barry Zito

Still wondering why he wasn't traded?

by TravelingAsFan on Dec 19, 2004 9:46 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Can't Even Judge '05 yet...
 ...b/c I find it hard to believe that Beane doesn't have one more deal in the works before the '05 (and beyond) blueprint is set.

 Right now we have 3 rookies + Harden in the rotation, and 3-5 "right-handed power arm" relievers (Cruz, Calero, Dotel, Garcia, Street). I think BB intends to move something from the bullpen and add something to the rotation, before it's all said and done.

 And when it's done, I think BB's plan is to try to emulate the "success plan" of the '02-'04 Angels and the '04 Rangers--get serviceable starts (e.g. 6 IP, 3 runs) throughout the rotation, put together an offense that can score 4+ runs consistently, and keep enough bullpen depth/dominance that you have to "get us by the 6th inning or you don't get us."

 It's SO different from the A's 01-04 plan that it's hard to fathom. But so far, doesn't all the evidence point to this as BB's hope for how the A's can compete in '05-06 while they retool the foundation?

Nico

by Nico on Dec 19, 2004 10:40 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

2005 and inexperienced pitchers
I agree that the 2005 roster is not set yet, but it's hard to imagine a trade to make 2005 a "non-building" year.

But going with a lot of young arms does have its risks. In 1997, bright prospect 25 year-old Steve Karsay in his first full season as starter had 24 starts, a 3-12 record, 5.77 ERA (I think this was before the arm problems). Likewise, Jimmy Haynes (also 25 yrs old) had 13 starts, going 3-6 and 4.42 ERA. No less than nine pitchers started at least 10 games. The eldest of that group was Dave Telgheder at the ripe old age of 30 (and an ERA over 6).

Reliever Aaron Small (remember him?), another 25 year-old, led the team in wins with 9 while appearing in 71 games. While I don't predict a 1997 season for 2005, there's no assurance that live arm prospects Haren (age 25) and Dan Meyer (age 23) are going to have breakout seasons (let alone win 10 games).

But with the logjam of middle relievers, are we seeing the rebirth of the Tony LaRussa (aborted experiment of) 4 inning starters and lots of relievers?

by MoragaMike on Dec 19, 2004 11:34 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

La Russa 2
That was a bit tongue-in-cheek... but with young pitchers, you'll probably want to put a pitch count on them and some days they'll get hammered before the pitch count is up. We will need good middle relief with young arms.

by MoragaMike on Dec 19, 2004 12:01 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry
A little tough to tell the sarcasm from the honest indignation right now.

by grover on Dec 19, 2004 1:23 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Just to clarify
I did not reference Newhouse and the point about Lupica was that even a tabloid hack got it right about Schott being cheap. As for Glenn Dickey, he's an idiot who hated Art Howe for no other reason than he wasn't Tony LaRussa and hasn't written an objective column in years.

by linden on Dec 19, 2004 10:43 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Bell Curve
It looks like a bell curve, but it isn't actually one because there are nowhere near enough data points to qualify. It is predictive of nothing for next year.

I think M&R had it right this morning: Schott and Hofmann are dumping assets prior to selling the team -- at a huge, almost circus-like profit -- and I think the "Chronicle" beat reporter got the tone right, for once, in noting that Mulder's reaction wasn't nearly as intense as it was to the Hudson deal: he knows the A's are finished and was no longer emotionally invested. My guess is that his first, primary reaction was relief.

by jrbh on Dec 19, 2004 10:49 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Please tell us
how many data points are needed to qualify for the title of bell curve, jrbh, the master of quantitative methods. Once again you act like an authority but the information you present is distorted. Since you are into correcting errors, I thought I would help out and do the same for you.

It appears that you are equating the term bell curve with a normal distribution. The normal distribution is a theoretical distribution. If you had 10,000 data points you still wouldn't have a normal distribution. You might, however, have a distribution that is approximately normal. The shape of the distribution doesn't depend on the size of the sample.  

by Reg on Dec 19, 2004 9:14 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

You know, if you trade two of the best pitchers...
...in baseball for a bunch of kids, announce a budget at which no one thinks the team can honestly compete, and the team is up for sale to a guy who wants to move them, Cohn is right: you are the Kansas City Royals.

I think that part of the national reaction to this is mourning: the A's were always the counterexample to the argument that winning in baseball is strictly about money.

There are no counterexamples now. That's what's got everybody so unhappy. For two-thirds of baseball franchises, from now until the foreseeable future, there's no point in pretending that they can win the World Series.

by jrbh on Dec 19, 2004 10:53 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I don't want to pass judgement...yet.
The "new" A's haven't even played a game yet, so I'm a little hesitant to call them the Royals West.

There are major differences in the two organizations, or so I think. Oakland seems to have a plan for the future. They stick to their plan and get players that will fit in their system. The Royals seem to get players because they are "names" and performed in the past (see Juan Gone and Benito Santiago). I don't think the Royals organization looks at the future, but tries to win immediately to please fans and boost attendance. I did, however, applaud them for what they acquired for Carlos Beltran. They could've got a bag of peanuts and some sunflower seeds, but they got some young players that could help in the future. Time will tell if they work out.  

I also think the A's have a better farm system than the Royals. The Royals don't fill their weaknesses as well as the A's seem to, and it catches up with them.

But what the hell do I know? :)

I'm going to wait until I see what the kids can do.

by Jennifer on Dec 19, 2004 11:30 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

it happens every year...
small market teams compete and do nicely.  The Marlins won the series two years ago with a young staff and, I'm guessing, a similar payroll.  The Twins compete regularly in a small market as well.  Granted, not every small-budget team competes, but neither does every large-budget team.  

Seriously, these kinds of teams are more appealing to me, as a fan, than watching a veteran team winning the same number of games.

by Rangla on Dec 19, 2004 11:36 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Our beloved Oakland Brewers
Actually the Royals are a better comparison--they did actually contend in 2003.  It takes years of penny-pinching suck-dom to fall to the level of Milwaukee.  

Still, while the Hudson trade by itself could've been forgiven as staying-in-budget-while-staying-competitive, combining it with the Mulder trade two days later, you have to admit the A's are throwing "being competitive" to the winds.  Maybe they will get lucky and maybe the prospects will immediately unleash a ton of previously-unshown potential.  But that's not the way to bet.

As for Billy, I hope he resigns or leaves town soon, because I'm sick of the posts on this sight extolling his virtues, "in Billy we trust," etc.  There is no reason to trust in Billy on these trades.  

Remember back in '99, when we traded Kenny Rogers to the Mets to T-Long?  It seemed like the beginning of a typical small-market-team salary dump, but then the A's turned around and picked up Omar Olivares and Kevin Appier, or something like that.  The A's had not done nothing to appear noncompetitive since then, UNTIL NOW.  There's nothing wrong with being small market, but when small market teams do stuff like this, they become boring and irrelevant, the only benefit being less traffic around the Coliseum.  

Coming soon:  the less-sexy sequel to Moneyball--continuing to make a large profit by fielding a crappy team.  For all the talk about which players are over- and under-valued, Billy is looking like the guy who, in the midst of this, is seeing his OWN value evaporate.  

by rubin sierra on Dec 19, 2004 12:15 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The twins
Are still a good counter example.
Just me...

by kaweahkaweah on Dec 19, 2004 1:59 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The Hudson trade depressed me; Mulder? I get it.
Jeff, you and I have been on the same page.  I wanted to keep Hudson and go for it all in 2005.  I'm not buying the stuff about how this year's team was so "flawed."  

But after the Hudson deal, it was obvious the team was not going to do what we wanted.  The owners are too cheap.

If you're going to dump salary and try to acquire a bunch of talented prospects, why not do it all now?  Why drag out the process?  Why risk Mulder not bouncing back from his 2004 meltdown if you were going to trade him after the season anyway?  It was obvious, from listening to Beane's press conference after the Hudson trade, that he was going to be dealing Mulder or Zito after the 2005 season if he had kept them.

At this point, we are the Royals and the Pirates and the Brewers - only with smarter management, and therefore a chance at coming back in a couple of years.

by bear88 on Dec 19, 2004 11:53 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Not the Brewers
If we're anything, we're not the Brewers, thank goodness. Bud Selig may not officially be part of the Brewers anymore, but his legacy of incompetence remains with the team's management.... The only positive thing about the Brewers is they have good bratwurst at their Spring Training facility. I can attest to that! (and at Miller Park, I'm sure, although my guess is the beer's terrible there given the sponsor).

by MoragaMike on Dec 19, 2004 12:08 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Smale market?
Sort of found it interesting that the A's have steadily climbed up in payroll and are clearly in the middle of the pack as far as salaries and are double the bottom teams.  I don't think Schott and co. can be called cheap the problem is how baseball is structured.  
ogallalabob

by ogallalabob on Dec 20, 2004 2:27 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Justin Duchscherer
Will Justin Duchscherer have a shot at starting or will be the long relief again? Any way you look at it, he'll get lots of work in 2005. And he'll be quite a changeup to the hard throwing rookies (pardon the pun).

by MoragaMike on Dec 19, 2004 12:03 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

...or...
we're the Royals, Brewers and Pirates right now and attendance will crumble -- I bet less than 1.5M in 2005 -- and Schott and Hofmann will decrease the budget again and we'll win fewer games, which will lead to another decrease in attendance....

The Royals, Brewers and Pirates aren't who they are just because they're dumber than we are, although they probably are. This kind of downward spiral is very hard to escape from.

Vis. the small-market thing, I think the A's, Twins and Marlins have conclusively proven that you can win 90 games in a small market environment if all the cards fall the right way. In an organization that has a brief supernova of young talent -- that would describe the A's of a couple of years ago -- you can even win 100.

And, as Beane is so fond of saying, once the playoffs start, anything can happen.

But the odds are against any team entering the playoffs, and unless a small-market team hits that window just right, they miss it.

Let's say, for argument's sake, that a small-market team can make the playoff two years out of ten, and win the World Series one year out of eight that they do. That would mean one World Series championship every 40 years.

by jrbh on Dec 19, 2004 12:10 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

And yet ...
while small-market teams may have a hell of a time competing, I really loathe these local owners who happily will own and make profits on these small-market teams and even-more-happily point to these "difficult conditions" as the reason that they're unable to compete.  Clearly, Schott has not yet stooped to the level of John York.  AND YET it was moves like the ones the A's just made that made us all hate John York so much, so that when the 49ers sucked so thoroughly this year, we all knew in our bones that the 49ers were fielding the team York DESERVED.  

You gut your franchise of all its talent and entrust the team to a bunch of kids, sure nothing's impossible and the kids might compete (as in the movie "Major League"), but the conduct of the management is flat-out disappointing.  I am even more pissed at Schott than I was when he complained about attendance to the playoffs in '03, when all tickets were at least $35 a pop.  

by rubin sierra on Dec 19, 2004 12:24 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Attendance
The last two years were 2.2mm and two years before were 2.1+mm. I don't see a drop off to 1.5mm for 2005 unless the team gets off to a horrible start and there's more deck clearing before the All-Star break.

by MoragaMike on Dec 19, 2004 12:36 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

AAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!
 ONCE EVERY 40 YEARS!!!!!!?

by everythinguknowiswrong on Dec 19, 2004 1:57 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Thoughts
Some random thoughts:

Is it better to do all of the retooling at once?

Does it hurt more to continually lose players, or lose a bunch at the same time?

Why Danny Haren instead of Jimmy Journell?  I have to think the A's should have gotten more for Mulder.

Is it the A's system, philiosophy of pitch counts, and stadium, or is it the players themselves, that made the Big 3 the Big 3?

Beane was pretty kind in trading Hudson and Mulder to teams near their hometowns, and also not trading them to any of our most hated teams.

There's definitely a stockpile of catching and relief pitching.  What now?

If there is a market correction, are the A's now in a better chance to take advantage of it next season?

I think the A's will acquire at least one more starting pitcher.

Will Beane lock up Zito?

Will Mulder and Hudson be competing for the Cy Young?  It seems Hudson as the edge being the #2 in Atlanta (in theory, a few easier wins early on, and a weaker division)?

Can the A's win with this team?  I think so actually... could be something like Michigan's Fab 5 in the NCAA a few years back.

Only Beane could pull off this sort of shake-up the past two years.  He has basically completed a fire sale without announcing it, allowing him to get much better talent than Florida received during their sale.

What one year free agents should Beane sign to provide some veteran leadership for this now very young roster?

Wow.

by dylan on Dec 19, 2004 2:47 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

michigan's fab 5?
born losers...all of them especially chris webber.  this guy is built like a monster but is softer than yogurt.

please dont say fab 5.

by redclay22 on Dec 19, 2004 4:03 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

fab five
"Can the A's win with this team?  I think so actually... could be something like Michigan's Fab 5 in the NCAA a few years back."

are you accusing the a's of being a bunch of underachievers?

also, the fab five didn't win it all, so saying that the a's could win like the fab five doesn't really mean much...

by xbhaskarx on Dec 19, 2004 4:12 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

ouch
ouch, all I meant was a group of very young players exceeded all expectations their first year.

I guess my point was something bigger that I didn't really enumerate... that pitchers often perform better early in their career than later.  Obviously there are major exceptions to this (Randy Johnson and Roger Clemens, to name two of many), but it seems that unknown pitchers often have an early advantage in their career, and the A's system is one that keeps young pitchers healthy, which is often the thing that sidelines a younger pitcher.  So I think a rotation with 4 rookies could catch a lot of teams by surprise, and perhaps give the A's a fast start to their season.

In no way was this comparison meant to suggest that these players would underachieve or never win it all.  Relax....

by dylan on Dec 19, 2004 9:33 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Try Larkin as the vetran.
    However, that leaves us with 4 2b

by everythinguknowiswrong on Dec 19, 2004 5:09 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

help me i am in hell
i have been out of the country for several weeks. dear god what the hell is going on here? we traded our most important players for who? WHO?!

(throws chair)

Arggh!

by scooter o on Dec 20, 2004 8:22 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about Oakland Athletics.

Community Guidelines ANcillary Terms
Start posting about the Athletics »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Imgp0089_editedagasin_small
DLD 11/24/09 - Fine, I'll make another video game dump
Me_at_att_park_small
Greener Grass, Episode 7: Transportation Proclamation
Me_at_att_park_small
Old McPherson is an A, e yi e yi yoooooooo
Depaulbluedemons_small
Community Prospect List #18
413niegoftl__sl500_aa280__small
A's Protect Carter, FDLS, Figueroa and Souza from Rule V

Recent FanPosts

Small
The A's Move to Oakland in 1968
Funny-pictures12_small
If Jack Cust Traded, Then To Whom And For What?
Small
Jack Cust Drawing Trade Interest?
Countdown_small
Some things I am "coming around" on...
Bill_king_small
On Trading Catchers....

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

SPONSORS


Managers

Tyler_at_maya_school_small Tyler Bleszinski

08-_the_author_small 67MARQUEZ

Baseball_small baseballgirl

Poochini-butt_in_box_2_small Nico

As_kings_cal_small louismg

Editors

Countdown_small Taj Adib

Ziegler160px_small Flashfire

527918550406_0_bg_small notsellingjeans