A's/Twins/Mets Blockbuster worthy of own thread
Here's the source
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/
Minnesota has initiated talks for a three-way blockbuster with the Twins and A's. Here's how it would go down:
Mets send Jose Reyes, Kevin Mulvey, and Hector Pellot to A's
A's send Bobby Crosby and Dan Johnson to Mets
A's send Dan Haren to Twins
Twins send Johan Santana to Mets
Mets get Johan Santana, Bobby Crosby and Dan Johnson
A's get Jose Reyes and Kevin Mulvey
Twins get Dan Haren and Hector Pellot
The source says Haren is exactly the type of player the Twins want for Santana, a cheap frontline starter. It's known the Mets would hate to deal Reyes but they would get some value beyond Santana. Billy Beane is happy because he gets Reyes for one more year than he had Haren plus longtime favorite Mulvey. And, he's out of Crosby's contract.
Only thing that seems odd to me it's essentially a Haren/Santana swap. I have to think the Twins would need another player of impact in order to pull the trigger. Reyes would help us in a variety of ways... Kick starting our offense, solid SS, and the lack of speed we've lacked for so long. Of course I'd love to see Reyes as an A, he'd sell some tix.
Update from the site
Santana/Reyes/Haren Blockbuster Quashed
UPDATE, 12-5-07 at 5:45pm: Billy Beane, who rarely comments on trade rumors, actually went out of his way to call mine below a "total fabrication." I guess I should be proud, right? It sounds like I was the victim of an elaborate hoax/impersonated sportswriter. If so I apologize - not sure why someone would go to such lengths, but lesson learned. Well it was fun
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Sizemore?
Granderson?
Utley?
Howard?
Hate to say it, but I'd rather have any of those guys than Reyes.
he's not the most exciting young player on his
team, methinks. i'm more a David Wright fan.
Wright's a little stodgy for me
I can understand why Reyes would be more exciting.
Not as good, though.
i can see that.
i need to put on my casual fan's cap and think of flashier tools.
i hear that Russell Martin chap is real swell.
Sizemore fine...
Granderson? Over Reyes? Hahahaha...cmon, that's crazy talk. Talk about overreacting to one season. Let's not forget this is the same Granderson that hit .260 and led the league in K's in 06. To take him over Reyes is unreal. He had one good year.....One.
Granderson has 5 tools
Reyes only has 4. Ergo: Granderson is more exciting.
We
come out huge winners in that trade if it goes down, I feel.
Losing Haren would hurt but that's a sweet, sweet return. Johnson and Crosby are dead weight anyway.
This is a threat because?
So is this like a threat level Orange or Red?
Hector Pellot is the key
in one version he ends up with the A's and the other he ends up with the Twins. He is obviously the key negotiating piece that is holding up this absolutely realistic blockbuster (being that which team he ends up on changed in the middle of typing the made-up, I mean legitimate, rumor). So, that begs the question, who the hell is Hector Pellot?
answer
http://www.thebaseballcube.com/playe...
He has a .650 career OPS in low-A ball. DOMINANT!
Hector Pellot
20-year-old Second baseman, Bats/Throws: R/R
MG: What do you see in Hector Pellot’s future? He supposedly has tremendous makeup and has a solid glove, but do you envision him as a future utility player or a starting second baseman down the line? Who do you like better as a middle infielder, Jose Coronado or Hector Pellot?
MM: I think it is too early to make projections about Pellot’s long-term future. He is one month into his pro career, and we just have not seen enough yet. Neither Pellot nor Coronado are doing anything with the bat thus far, but since Coronado is an excellent defender at shortstop (as opposed to Pellot at second) and is at a higher level, I would take Coronado at this point, though I am not strongly attached to either.
hasn't played above high A ball.
i don't see why the Twins would want that
trade to go down. the Lester/Crisp/etc deal is much better for them in the long run unless they're banking on trading Haren in 2 seasons.
Twins would get Haren...
a staff ace, a notch below the caliber, of Santana, and still be competitive next season, assuming Young can play CF for them. If I were the Twins though, I'd rather have Reyes/Mulvey instead of Haren and Pellot. While this is just a rumor it makes sense that Beane would get involved with the Santana deal.
by Miggy on Dec 5, 2007 2:34 PM PST up reply actions
yes
it just seems strange that, if the Mets are willing to part with Reyes for Santana, and are concerned with the hole left at SS, Bobby Crosby is the guy to fill that hole.
Bobby Crosby digs for sliders, he doesn't fill holes.
It's an interesting trade ...
but it would make more sense if we were getting a more ML ready pitcher in return ...
Mulvey's ready for AAA
Maybe he has a dominant ST and does like Buck did last year.
Only without the injuires, of course.
Finished in AAA last year...
...more intriquing than Jenkins
by A s Eh on Dec 6, 2007 1:35 PM PST up reply actions
Not really
Considering we're getting Jose Reyes back.
I will now resume praying that this deal goes down.
I don't think the rest of everyone here is appreciating how great it would be to have Jose Reyes. And then Kevin Mulvey on top of that? It'd be a Billy Beane Christmas miracle.
by walk off bunt on Dec 5, 2007 2:31 PM PST up reply actions
get rid of him, then ...
... re-acquire him 3 or 4 times, then refuse to retire his number or bring him on as a coach?
I lol'd, I did.
MB is a dynamic system.
We don't steal because the odds suck for our cast of slow-footed WBs.
OTOH, Reyes arrives at second base before he leaves first, so he adjusts those odds in our favor.
I like it.
by The Dogfather on Dec 5, 2007 3:47 PM PST up reply actions
That's the point ...
Jose Reyes = we're going for it now, restructuring not rebuilding -- w/o Haren the rotation in a tad too thin for comfort ...
I don't think this makes any sense because
Reyes has the same service time as Haren. It's not rebuilding, just switching one really good player for another. It doesn't really help the team next year, and Reyes is gone after 2010.
hmm, that makes it quite a bit better...
I read that Reyes has an extra year...
could have been misinformation. It depends on what Beane's strategy is. If he is reloading, then this deal makes sense. If he is in full rebuild, maybe he feels he can get a better return on reyes in terms of prospects.
by Miggy on Dec 5, 2007 2:48 PM PST up reply actions
but our Offense
wouldn't suck as much. It might be better to have good pitching but good hitting is more fun. Is Mulvey a starter? If so i would pull the trigger.
Yep, he's a starter
In the minors, 31 games, 31 starts.
K:BB ratio of 124 to 48.
1.19 WHIP.
by Travis Buck Nuckin on Dec 5, 2007 4:23 PM PST up reply actions
It's a huge win...
for the Twins, who are trading one year of Santana, the best pitcher in baseball, for three years of Haren, who is not quite as good but still a legit #1 starter.
From the A's point of view it's ok. Reyes is exciting and gets a lot of press, but Haren is quietly just as valuable. It looks like Mulvey profiles as a mid-rotation starter at best. All in all, I guess that's a good deal, but it doesn't vault us into contention with the likes of the Red Sox either now or in the near future.
That would make the big loser the Mets, who are trading four years of Reyes at below-market cost for 1 year of Santana, plus the right to give him an expensive extension.
Oh well, it's probably just a bullshit rumor anyway.
yeah, it would be very stupid for the Mets
whwy, they end up with the best player...
granted they will have to fork out monopoly money to keep Santana long-term but that's no issue with them.
by Miggy on Dec 5, 2007 2:52 PM PST up reply actions
Well, they would get an extension in the deal for
sure..no way they do it without it. So yea, they pay him a lot, but they also get hands down the best SP in baseball and don't have to bid for his services next year vs NYY and Boston.
Yes, and they lose
one of the best SS. Great starters are hard to find yes. SS aren't easy to find either.
Flip Reyes?
Isn't it possible that if Beane acquired Reyes he might try to flip for some more young talent in order to complete the rebuilding.
Yep, if Beane's in full rebuild mode...
you can bet he will look to see what he can get for Reyes, if he hasn't already doen so in advance of other rumored dealings. Chavez/Blanton/Reyes to Dodgers for Kemp, LaRoche, Hu, DeJesus, McDonald ???
by Miggy on Dec 5, 2007 3:10 PM PST up reply actions
What about Boston
Reyes could actually mean more to Boston than Santana.
by methodrampage on Dec 5, 2007 3:31 PM PST up reply actions
I hear the Tigers need a good bat
maybe we can land some Domino's Pizza franchises. Now playing second base, the Noid! Better avoid his tag.
Yeah it's called MIGUEL CABRERA!
I'd say thats a big bat.
Haha
One person in the comments section of the rumor called Haren "an often injured pitcher"
And Harden is Cal Ripken...
or Barry Zito?
Sweet, maybe the deal is really Harden...
with Kotsay, Crosby, and DJ for Reyes/Gomez/Mulvey (yes, saracam emphasized).
by Miggy on Dec 5, 2007 3:07 PM PST up reply actions
You know, looking at the deal...
I don't think I would do it.
I got caught up in the hype of Jose Reyes, which comes most likely because he is from a New York team. But look at his stats last year.
.280/.354/.421/.775 with 12 HR in 681 AB
By comparison, we have this little 2B who no one outside of Oakland has heard about who put up this line last year.
.276/.336/.441/.777 with 19 HR in 583 AB
Comparing their Career #'s:
Reyes: .284/.330/.426/.756
Ellis: .271/.340/.414/.754
So it seems to me like Reyes = Younger version of Ellis + Speed.
In fact, Baseball-Reference says that Reyes's most simular batter, with a score of 933, is... MARK ELLIS! Followed by Orlando Hudson.
well
his thru age 24 list is more exciting:
Fred Carroll (950)
Larry Doyle (949)
Edgar Renteria (941)
Jim Fregosi (940)
Garry Templeton (937)
Gregg Jefferies (930)
Roberto Alomar (927)
Ivan Rodriguez (926)
Dick Bartell (925)
Ryne Sandberg (925) *
that said, i'm not a huge Reyes fan. he'll get better, but probably not that much better. and elite pitching is so important.
"more exciting"
why the hell do people (aside from monkeyball) keep using the word exciting?
JOSE REYES!
JOSE REYES!!
i don't know. he must have a great promotions department or something. i was just falling in line.
'06
Reyes' '06 numbers are better than his '07 numbers.
by methodrampage on Dec 5, 2007 3:50 PM PST up reply actions
Then we should move Ellis to SS
It's easy to find a solid hitting 2B than it is SS and that's where you Reyes/Ellis comparison loses ground.
by methodrampage on Dec 6, 2007 8:40 AM PST up reply actions
Two Ellis's
Are better than one. Sweet double play combo.
Your comparison is invalid
You are ignoring several factors:
- Baserunning. OPS, OPS+ does not take into account baserunning. By Batting Runs above average from Baseball Prospectus, adjusts for park, takes into account SBs and baserunning, does not take into account defense, Reyes last 2 years: 24, 15. Ellis 2 best years: 18 (2005), 6 (2007).
Reyes might get shackled if he gets to the A's, that doesn't mean that he is comparable to Ellis. They're both great defenders. For comparison, Haren by Runs above average, 2 best years, also from BPro: 20 (2007), 10 (2005).
- Age. Ellis reached MLB at age 25. Reyes will be 25 next season.
3 Position.
Lastly, Ellis is a very good player. A 25 year old Mark Ellis at $19M /3 is a BARGAIN.
I think he was saying:
would you trade Dan Haren at $19M/3 for Mark Ellis
a Mark Ellis with great D at shortstop,
capable of stealing bases, and attached with Kevin Mulvey?
Still no.
Found this online
This looks good but apparently it is total fabrication. If it wasn't I think Beane would trade direct with the Mets.
December 05, 2007
3-way deal a "total fabrication"
By JOEL SHERMAN
OK before it goes any further, let us kill a rumor that went from gestation at somebody’s computer to rampant chatter in the hallways at the Winter Meetings.
The rumor was a three-way trade with many participants, but that essentially came down to Dan Haren going to Minnesota, Jose Reyes going to Oakland, and Johan Santana going to the Mets.
Omar Minaya reiterated that Reyes is not being traded, which instantly doomed the idea. So did the fact that Minaya and Oakland GM Billy Beane have exchanged phone messages and e-mails, but have not talked at these meetings as of early tonight.
But for the final word, we offer this gem from Beane: "I rarely comment on trades publicly, but let me comment on this one: It is an absolute, total fabrication."
Posted by web editor on December
Anaheim!
In other words,
!
by The Dogfather on Dec 5, 2007 3:52 PM PST up reply actions
No deal what so eeeee-vah!
Billy Beane made this comment about the purported trade of Haren, etc.
But for the final word, we offer this gem from Beane: "I rarely comment on trades publicly, but let me comment on this one: It is an absolute, total fabrication."
by One won lost won on Dec 5, 2007 4:02 PM PST reply actions
Which means tomorrow
Haren will be a Twin and Reyes will be the A's new SS!
No kidding.
One thing I've learned in my many years as a baseball fan... plausible deniability is just as often as bogus as the rumors themselves.
Personally, I would love this trade. Not that I'd be happy to see Haren go, and I do think it weakens the rotation, at least in the short term, but overall I think it would make the team better and more balanced.
I don't think you are close to right
I guess it would have been better perhaps if he said, "That trade talk about Haren is "Grover". That's all I'm going to say!"
THEN! would you believe him????
jk!
by One won lost won on Dec 5, 2007 4:28 PM PST up reply actions
You mean that bastard
would pronounce my name wrong and say it with a capital "G"? I'm gonna hurt him, I swear to God I am!!!
<rant/rage/torture>
Done!
grover=cellophane=xerox=kleenex
Cut the guy a break. He's not even 50 yet!
by One won lost won on Dec 5, 2007 6:13 PM PST up reply actions
Ok, so it's officially debunked...
...but wouldn't it be ironic if this rumor planted the seed that got a similar trade done?
Actually, what makes it sound plausible is that it's realistic for each of the teams involved. Not ideal, just realistic.
Sucky, sucky trade.
Reyes may be able to do front handsprings around the bases, but I'd like someone with more pop for a stud like Haren. Reyes' fame, in my opinion, is a product of the New York hype machine.
Mulvey's intriguing, but that package is not enough for me to give up all those years of cost-controlled aceness.
I dunno, JL -- guy like that turns singles into
... doubles with the steal, and doubles into triples with his speed. Causes lots of problems, like Chone Figgins on ste -- err, only better.
I only have the small sample of our games against the Mets and the All-Star Game, but he blew the doors off. Does he walk much?
by The Dogfather on Dec 5, 2007 4:41 PM PST up reply actions
How about a trade with Haren and Alex Rios?
We can add the extra players and the Jays can add one or two potential starting pictures and we have one hell of an outfield.
Someone explain to me
how this is any kind of upgrade for Oakland (or San Francisco, for that matter-- seriously, Lincecum? Has Sabean completely gone out of his gourd? Why is this even under discussion?). Both Buck and Swisher will probably outproduce Rios.
i can't wait for this deal to happen
seriously, at this point who would even trust sabean with a free yahoo fantasy baseball team?
How's it an upgrade?
Rios > Kotsay
Rios would be by far our best option in CF.
by methodrampage on Dec 6, 2007 8:49 AM PST up reply actions
Rios is not a center fielder
I mean, Swisher > Kotsay at the plate too, and Rios would not be any better in center than Swisher.
Up the middle defense is important
A true centerfielder gets to the ball quickly, backs up the corners, throws runners out at the bases on a bounce or fly, some, like Dave Parker, might throw a guy out at the plate, on the fly, from deep center field. This is one of the things that makes buying a ticket and going to the games enjoyable and possibly:
exciting.
I guess after seeing center fielders like Mays, Winfield, Parker, ...I have more than a little trouble accepting passed balls and wild throws to cut off guys.
Rios has a much better chance to join those guys than anyone on the A's. Defensively, and offensively. His HR swing is compact and effortless, a sweet thing to watch and encouraging for a long productive career.
Straight up for Lincecum at this point? I'd say if Sabean can sign him affordable to 5-6 years and get a prospect with upside he will be glad he did. With Rios in CF he could put another motion challenged tree trunk in LF like the last one, or a DH in RF.
by A s Eh on Dec 6, 2007 3:08 PM PST up reply actions
What part of "Rios is not a center fielder"
is not sinking in here?
Plus which, Lincecum is the nut high. He's the shizzle in their nizzle. The straw that stirs the latte. Etc.
He throws a frigging 2-seam fastball at 99 MPH. That's insane. He could have Zumaya-like velocity if he ever learns to throw a 4-seamer.
I mean, I'd trade Swisher straight up for Lincecum in 10 seconds flat. And Swisher is better than Rios.
Maybe the Giants believe Lincecum
will get injured early in his career. He could go the way of Roy Oswalt, or Tim Hudson, or Rich Harden. None of those projections is outlandish. And while I wouldn't trade Oswalt for Rios, I'd trade Harden for him.
The Giants will consider it
The Giants were involved in many trade rumors with Cain, Lowry, and Lincecum as frequent targets of other teams. Like any team, I believe the Giants are ready to trade anyone if they see it as an improvement.
Rios + (Unknown) = Lincecum with the usual ifs applied has a shot if they can buy his arb years and obtain another meaningful player. The Giants Post Bonds era promises to be very interesting with so many options available. I'll be watching them with interest as they strive to complete a promising roster.
I was also thinking Tejada's bat would play well there but I'm not as sure about his glove.
by A s Eh on Dec 8, 2007 12:53 PM PST up reply actions
he doesn't walk at all really
27 i believe in '06, 53 last year
You're a year behind ...
he's been working hard on drawing more walks with his mentor, Rickey Henderson. He's done a great job of it ...
77 in 2007 ... he still has room to grow, but he's come a long way.
geez
Yeah ... I steer well clear ...
of those kinds of blogs/boards ...
Neyer's blog threads are usually OK
Most of the rest are useless unless you want to insult Yankees/Red Sox fans.
Like Chone Figgins on steamboats?
Steak and kidney pie?
Steinways?
Stereoscopic photographs?
Stencils?
Seriously, though.
Career 97 OPS+. Other people obviously weigh speed a lot more than I do. His power numbers are just too low for my taste.
I'd just hope he never gets hurt and loses speed, because that would greatly affect his slugging. He'd be pretty pedestrian without it.
billy's comment on the rumored trade
"Of all the trade rumors in my whole career, that might be the worst of all-time," Beane said a few hours later. "That's laughable. I don't even know what to say to that."
New sig line!
On a roll now, Beane went on to liken the Winter Meetings to pet hamsters who eat their young.
Why would you want to pet hamsters who did that?
Wow....I was seriously doubled over
in laughter upon reading that one!
Heck, I'm still laughing!

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