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Game 162 Playoff Scenarios

Amazingly, with just one game remaining for the four unsettled postseason teams (Oakland, Texas, Baltimore, and New York), Oakland can be either the #1 seed, the #2 seed, Wildcard #1, or Wildcard #2. Indeed, there is one scenario where if Oakland had to play in the wildcard game, it would not know where it would be playing until after a Thursday tiebreaker for the AL East. Below the jump are the potential schedules.

Oakland defeats Texas AND Boston defeats New York
Oakland is the #1 seed.
Sun 10/07: Game 1 @ Wildcard Winner
Mon 10/08: Game 2 @ Wildcard Winner
Wed 10/10: Game 3 v Wildcard Winner
Thu 10/11: Game 4* v Wildcard Winner
Fri 10/12: Game 5* v Wildcard Winner
*if necessary

Oakland defeats Texas AND New York defeats Boston
Oakland is the #2 seed.
Sat 10/06: Game 1 @ Detroit
Sun 10/07: Game 2 @ Detroit
Tue 10/09: Game 3 v Detroit
Wed 10/10: Game 4* v Detroit
Thu 10/11: Game 5* v Detroit
*if necessary

Texas defeats Oakland AND Tampa Bay defeats Baltimore
Oakland is the first wildcard.
Fri 10/05: Wildcard v Baltimore @ O.co Coliseum
Sun 10/07: Game 1 v New York
Mon 10/08: Game 2 v New York
Wed 10/10: Game 3 @ New York
Thu 10/11: Game 4* @ New York
Fri 10/12: Game 5* @ New York
*if necessary

Texas defeats Oakland AND Baltimore defeats Tampa Bay.
Oakland is the second wildcard. Then it gets tricky.

If New York defeats Boston, the following schedule results:
Fri 10/05: Wildcard @ Baltimore
Sun 10/07: Game 1 v New York
Mon 10/08: Game 2 v New York
Wed 10/10: Game 3 @ New York
Thu 10/11: Game 4* @ New York
Fri 10/12: Game 5* @ New York
*if necessary

If Boston defeats New York, then the AL East tie must be broken, with the loser as the first wildcard. Oakland will not know which stadium it will be playing at until the conclusion of the AL East tiebreaker.
Thu 10/06: New York @ Baltimore for AL East title. The loser is the first wildcard.
Fri 10/07: Wildcard @ Loser of NYY/BAL

And then, if the A's win, who they would play in the division series depends on who won the AL East. If New York wins the AL East, New York would be the #1 seed. If Baltimore wins the AL East, Texas would be the #1 seed.

Sun 10/07: Game 1 v NYY/TEX
Mon 10/08: Game 2 v NYY/TEX
Wed 10/10: Game 3 @ NYY/TEX
Thu 10/11: Game 4* @ NYY/TEX
Fri 10/12: Game 5* @ NYY/TEX

And now to show my work

***SCENARIO #1***
OAK v TEX 1-0
NYY v BOS 1-0
BAL v TBR 1-0

OAK 94 wins
TEX 93 wins
NYY 95 wins
BAL 94 wins

NYY wins the AL East and are the #1 seed
OAK wins the AL West and are the #2 seed
DET wins the AL Cent and are the #3 seed
BAL is Wildcard #1
TEX is Wildcard #2

***SCENARIO #2***
OAK v TEX 1-0
NYY v BOS 1-0
BAL v TBR 0-1

OAK 94 wins
TEX 93 wins (v BAL 5-2)
NYY 95 wins
BAL 93 wins (v TEX 2-5)

NYY wins the AL East and is the #1 seed
OAK wins the AL West and is the #2 seed
DET wins the AL Cent and is the #3 seed
TEX is Wildcard #1
BAL is Wildcard #2

***SCENARIO #3***
OAK v TEX 1-0
NYY v BOS 0-1
BAL v TBR 1-0

OAK 94 wins (v BAL 5-4; v NYY 5-5, v AL West 33-24 .578)
TEX 93 wins
NYY 94 wins (v BAL 9-9, v AL East 40-32 .556)
BAL 94 wins (v NYY 9-9, v AL East 44-28)

NYY @ BAL for the AL East.

OAK wins the AL West and is the #1 seed
NYY @ BAL winner wins AL East & #2 seed
DET wins the AL Cent and is the #3 seed
NYY @ BAL loser is Wildcard #1
TEX is Wildcard #2

***SCENARIO #4***
OAK v TEX 1-0
NYY v BOS 0-1
BAL v TBR 0-1

OAK 94 wins (v NYY 5-5, v AL West 33-24 .578)
TEX 93 wins (v BAL 5-2)
NYY 94 wins (v OAK 5-5, v AL East 40-32 .556)
BAL 93 wins (v TEX 2-5)

OAK wins the AL West and is the #1 seed
NYY wins the AL East and is the #2 seed
DET wins the AL Cent and is the #3 seed
TEX is Wildcard #1
BAL is Wildcard #2

***SCENARIO #5***
OAK v TEX 0-1
NYY v BOS 1-0
BAL v TBR 1-0

OAK 93 wins
TEX 94 wins
NYY 95 wins
BAL 94 wins

NYY wins the AL East and is the #1 seed
TEX wins the AL West and is the #2 seed
DET wins the AL Cent and is the #3 seed
BAL is Wildcard #1
OAK is Wildcard #2

***SCENARIO #6***
OAK v TEX 0-1
NYY v BOS 1-0
BAL V TBR 0-1

OAK 93 wins (v BAL 5-4)
TEX 94 wins
NYY 95 wins
BAL 93 wins (v OAK 4-5)

NYY wins the AL East and is the #1 seed
TEX wins the AL West and is the #2 seed
DET wins the AL Cent and is the #3 seed
OAK is Wildcard #1
BAL is Wildcard #2

***SCENARIO #7***
OAK v TEX 0-1
NYY v BOS 0-1
BAL v TBR 1-0

OAK 93 wins
TEX 94 wins (v NYY 3-4; v BAL 5-2)
NYY 94 wins (v BAL 9-9, v AL East 40-32; v TEX 4-3)
BAL 94 wins (v NYY 9-9, v AL East 44-28; v TEX 2-5)

NYY @ BAL for AL East

If NYY win:
NYY wins the AL East and is the #1 seed
TEX wins the AL West and is the #2 seed
DET wins the AL Cent and is the #3 seed
BAL is Wildcard #1
OAK is Wildcard #2

If BAL win:
TEX wins the AL West and is the #1 seed
BAL wins the AL East and is the #2 seed
DET wins the AL Cent and is the #3 seed
NYY is Wildcard #1
OAK is Wildcard #2

***SCENARIO #8***
OAK v TEX 0-1
NYY v BOS 0-1
BAL v TBR 0-1

OAK 93 wins (v BAL 5-4)
TEX 94 wins (v NYY 3-4)
NYY 94 wins (v TEX 4-3)
BAL 93 wins (v OAK 4-5)

NYY wins the AL East and is the #1 seed
TEX wins the AL West and is the #2 seed
DET wins the AL Cent and is the #3 seed
OAK is Wildcard #1
BAL is Wildcard #2

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