FanPost

GOG 2011 #18

After a dramatic week, and somehow pulling off a split in the four game series against the Angels, I'm sure everyone on the A's is hoping for a smooth, uneventful beatdown of the approximately last place Orioles (they are in a virtual tie with Toronto). You might point out that the A's are in last place as well, and with a worse record than Baltimore, but the Pythagorean records tell a much different story -- the Orioles have been significantly outscored this season while the A's have actually slightly outscored their opponents. Could that gap between the Oakland's expected record and their true record be due to Geren's mismanagement? (and maybe a little bit from that 14-0 blowout last week)

Links

GOG 2011 #18 -- Migratory Birds Visit Oakland

Long questions ahead...

UPDATE -- scores and results added!

  1. Predict the series outcome. [3 points] 3-0 Oakland!
  2. After half the Oakland starting staff bit the dust last week, Outman and Moscoso came to the rescue with a pair of quality starts. According to Bill James' Game Score, Moscoso (66) narrowly beat Outman (62). Which of these two pitchers throws more innings against the Orioles? Who allows fewer earned runs? Who strikes out more hitters? [1 point each] Outman for all
  3. So far this season, Chris Tillman has been stingy with the home runs, giving up only 2 in 43.2 innings (0.41 HR/9). You might think this is because he is an extreme groundballer, but actually he is a flyball pitcher (39% career GB%) who happens to be sporting a totally ridiculous and unsustainable 2.9 HR/FB percentage (i.e. only 3 percent of the flyballs he allowed this year have gone over the fence). So I'm hoping for a lot of regression from Tillman. On the other hand, he'll be throwing a night game in Oakland. Do the A's hit any home runs off Tillman? [1 point] no, of course not
  4. Some people are disappointed with Matt Wieters because he's not hitting like Jose Bautista, but he has quietly been one of the more valuable catchers in baseball, with solid hitting and excellent defense (to the extent that we know how to measure catcher defense). Predict Wieters' PA, H, RBI [2 points each]. Does he allow any passed balls? [1 point] 8 PA, 3 H, 0 RBI, no passed balls
  5. How many innings pitched and earned runs for Fuentes? How about for Balfour? [2 points each, 8 possible] Finally, does Andrew Bailey make an appearance in the series? [1 point] 2 IP, 0 ER for Fuentes; 2 IP, 0 ER for Balfour; Bailey does pitch
  6. Fangraphs recently added Mitchel Lichtman's Ultimate Base Running (UBR) stat. So far, the Oakland team leader is Mark Ellis, who has been worth +0.4 runs on the basepaths. Team stolen base leader (by a huge margin) Coco Crisp has a UBR of only +0.1 runs, probably because he has been caught stealing five times. How many Oakland stolen bases for the series? How many Athletics get caught stealing? [2 points each] 3 SB, 0 CS
  7. Daric Barton's complete lack of power (.063 ISO -- that's below Juan Pierre's career mark!!) has been a major drag on his value this season. On top of it, he's sporting an unlucky .254 BABIP (especially unlucky because his line drive percentage is a solid 19%) which is dragging down his batting average. Predict Barton's H, BB, and XBH. [2 points each] 3 H, 2 BB, 0 XBH

The series starts tonight at 7:05. Post your guesses!

Results

Here are the standings, through GOG #18...

Name # of GOG This GOG Total points GOG wins
Score Rank Score Rank Count Rank
King Richard 13 22 1 124 19 1 5
cuppingmaster 18 20 2 190 3 2 3
UrgentMirth 18 19 3 202 2 1 5
GoAs 15 19 3 125 18 0 20
doctorK 15 17 5 152 14 1 5
danmerqury 18 17 5 189 4 0 20
weenmAN 16 16 7 155 13 1 5
A'sBowlingLeague 11 16 7 98 23 0 20
Athletix Man 18 16 7 168 9 1 5
buddahead9 15 15 10 170 8 3 2
longtimeasfan 17 15 10 173 6 1 5
CmdrKhraanik 16 14 12 157 12 0 20
vignette17 18 14 12 216 1 4 1
oblique 17 13 14 138 16 1 5
nevermoor 17 13 14 173 6 2 3
twinkle toes 15 12 16 159 11 1 5
colin 14 11 17 134 17 0 20
paris7 18 11 17 179 5 1 5
streetfan 15 10 19 124 19 0 20
Berry Jo 17 10 19 150 15 0 20
micdog2001 10 8 21 79 24 0 20
harenshair 1 DNP DNP 0 50 0 20
shudiddy 2 DNP DNP 9 39 0 20
OpeningDay85 4 DNP DNP 24 29 0 20
mikev 1 DNP DNP 0 50 0 20
thewhizkid 5 DNP DNP 51 26 1 5
gratefuldude 1 DNP DNP 6 44 0 20
noava22 2 DNP DNP 19 31 0 20
SLOtown 1 DNP DNP 1 49 0 20
offthefoulpole 1 DNP DNP 3 47 0 20
OakA'sHoney 1 DNP DNP 15 34 0 20
Kyli 7 DNP DNP 69 25 1 5
PDXAthleticsfan 17 DNP DNP 161 10 0 20
Dwayne Ross 1 DNP DNP 6 44 0 20
stranahanahan 8 DNP DNP 46 27 0 20
my_cat_max 1 DNP DNP 10 37 0 20
gunnero 1 DNP DNP 8 40 0 20
SoCal As Fan 11 DNP DNP 107 22 1 5
Gaijin_Suketto 1 DNP DNP 3 47 0 20
Jason Hunt 2 DNP DNP 20 30 0 20
Where's My Burrito? 5 DNP DNP 29 28 0 20
gambler 1 DNP DNP 13 35 1 5
lenscrafters 14 DNP DNP 118 21 1 5
Future Ed 1 DNP DNP 8 40 0 20
OnlybuyBeaneJerseys 2 DNP DNP 10 37 0 20
DDroney 1 DNP DNP 16 32 1 5
Leopold Bloom 1 DNP DNP 7 43 0 20
X-Pac 1 DNP DNP 8 40 0 20
A's Believer 1 DNP DNP 13 35 0 20
robbo650 1 DNP DNP 5 46 0 20
ArunisArun 1 DNP DNP 16 32 0 20
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Athletics Nation

You must be a member of Athletics Nation to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Athletics Nation. You should read them.

Join Athletics Nation

You must be a member of Athletics Nation to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Athletics Nation. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker