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Around SBN: On Hazards And Hulks And Tigers, Oh My!

A's Staff after one month. who's who and what's what.

Well It didn't take long for our Oakland Athletics to show that last year wasn't a fluke. Oakland's staff leads all the Major League's in many pitching category's and is top 3-7 in many more.  The greatness of our staff starts with our starting pitchers and what's even better is that we are paying our six starters about 7.5 million between them. To contrast this the next best staff on the AL is paying about $50 million (Angles) and one of the best staff's in the N.L. (PHI) is paying $65 million. And our staff is deep, our 5th (McCarthy) and 6th (Ross) starters are putting up some very nice number's.

I'm not going to talk about how we are squandering all this cheap greatness with our offense and defense right now but just give you the numbers. I'm going to give you stats as a staff to try and find out our weakness and some stats of our starting pitchers that are top 25 in a category.

Star-divide

 

 

 

Stat                                       A's               better/worse than leader                                              Worst Staff

 

ERA-  Major League- 2.76-   First            +.16    2010-FIRST IN A.L. 3.56                                  MIN      5.06

ERA- as starter-         2.76-   First            +.41    HUGE LEAD OVER SECOND PLACE.           CUBS   6.12

ERA-vr right                2.61   First            + .25   BIG LEAD OVER SECOND.                            BAL      5.46

            Right Handed hitters are 70%-84% of MLB hitters ~14% SWITCH HITTERS

ERA behind in count  3.01     First         +.14  Nice. Someone's calling a good game            BAL     9.00

ERA GRASS              2.60     First            +.32                                                                           MIN     4.99 

Caught Stealing          17       First            +5    Next best team 12.   I will credit the pitcher

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Ok- is anyone going to tell me its because we pitch in the Coliseum?

HOME-                     2.64    3rd          -.07               ARZ 5,27

AWAY-                      2.86    3rd          -.31               HOU 6.31

I'm not going to look up the other  stadiums we played in on the road to see if they are pitcher's parks are not. Third is good enough for me.

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ERA- Reliever             2.78    7th       -.52     GOOD ENOUGH                               DET      5.5

ERA-VR LEFT            3.02   6th         -.37    NO FLAWS HERE                             ARZ 5.31

ERA RISP-                  9.16   3rd         -1.36   Really Really Good                           MIN 13.64

ERA-late innings         1.82   3rd         -.92    WE SEEM TO BE CLUTCH              BAL 7.45

           I know the argument's discounting "clutch" hitting but what about clutch pitching anyone?

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Ok-what about the stats that might tell us what we are really doing to succeed. I'm going to get lazy here and just give you ranks and worsts

                                  A's              -------------------------------------------------------------Worst

K/BB                          7th             very good                                                          (MIN)

BB/9                           8th            good                                                                  (CUB)

K/9                             13th          This doesn't seem to be important to us.           (MIN)

HR/9                           5th            Now were cooking.                                           (ARZ)

LOB%                        3rd            hello                                                                   (CWS)

GB%                          3rd            This Might be our key to success                      (NYY)

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How about if we discount ERA and look deeper:

FIP                            4th            (MIN)

WAR                         4th           (MIN)

tERA                         5th            (KCR)

BIBIP                         15th          (HOU)  No regression either way to be expected from this

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Our staff has had two problems:

1) EXTRA INNINGS         9.64                     27th/Last           -9.64 to 8 teams.

2) UNEARNED RUNS     tied for                 Most/Last            with  STL AT 19.    (ATL 3)

FYI-    D.Baron + K.Kouz =  11 errors.

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Why are our pitcher's succeeding? All stat's are MLB

 

B/9- Brandon McCarthy- 1st in all of baseball. Brett Anderson 15th

GB/FB- Brett Anderson 1st. T.Cahill 17th

FB% - Brett Anderson 1st T. Cahill 14TH

K/BB- Brett Anderson- 16th

HR/9-Brandon McCarthy-11th

AVG- Trevor Cahill -18th

ERA- Trevor Cahill- 6th  Gio Gonzalez 25th

FIP- Brandon McCarthy-8th.  T. Cahill-23rd

WAR- Brandon McCarthy 10th, Travor Cahill 21st

FYI-Our best WAR reliever is Brad Ziegler.

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What are they throwing that makes them special? All stats are MLB. Example: Gio throws the second most CurveBalls as a % of his pitches than anyone else in MLB.

CB% Gio G. 2nd, Brandon McCarthy 10th

SL% Brett Anderson -1st

CH% Trevor Cahill 15th

XX%  Gio G. 18th (xx=unidentified pitches) If the experts that watch the game can't figure it out, that seems like a good sign to me.

If someone want's to look up leading individual WAR per pitch type that would be cool.

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Alright then. We were great last year.  We have started out even better this year.  Hopefully our problems with Extra Innings and Unearned Runs are SSS that can stabilize by the end of the year.  With the depth of our 5th and 6th starters being really nice and all our youngsters getting more years of experience, we should have a top staff for many years to come, even if it won't be near as cheap.

Brandon McCarthy is an absolute Gem of a find. $1,000,000 bucks. Top 10 WAR pitcher in MLB right now. Who's responsible for finding him? He's a FA next year so we may think about trying to sign him to a three year deal now before he keep's up his success and prices himself out of the Athletics budget.

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Team Reality check. Think our Offense is bad this year?

What people may have not realized yet is we are loosing just about every position player starter next year to FA. 

We are loosing 4 of our starting outfielders, (Crisp, Willingham, Dejesus, Jackson,) our DH, our 2nd Baseman (please) and most likely our 3B next year (doubt we will pay him a last year of Arb rate even if he does come around or make it through the year.)

The three guys not going to be FA:

Our 1B is OPSing .630 and should expect improvement. Our shortstop is at .600 and was .670 last year. Our Catcher OPSed .669 last year and isn't much higher now (.700) or won't be by the end of the year when he's played his 140th game. 

With the sucktitude of our farm system that's a whole lot of hitter's (ALL OF THEM) we need to start working on or be ready to upgrade.  We may resign a few of these guys, a few may come around and be keepers.  We will have money next year but we know the likely-hood of getting FA hitter's to come here.  The chances any AAA guys will contribute their first few years is not very good. At some point soon we need to pull a few triggers and upgrade our offensive to have any chance this year and have any players next year.

MIN, BAL, CHI and ARZ have some really bad staff's right now. Minnesota has a payroll of 115,000,000 and might want to shed some, not that they would be likely to make a bad trade.  Would anyone take Luke Scott and his Career .850 OPS for a few years? ARZ has a bevy of hitters to choose from. Most of all, I would love to get Starlin Castro and move him to 2nd/3rd if SS isn't an option.

I love our staff but I say it's never to early to trade pitching for hitting with our offensive woes and hardcore need for position players next year.

End reality check

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Poll
Do you think the A's will have the best staff at the end of the year?
Yes
63 votes

63 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 20 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Wow, a lot of info, thank you.

It seems the defense is killing us with the unearned runs.
A few of those are errors on the pitchers.
We have a decent record in extra innings, I think the era is inflated due to one game?

by gratefuldude on May 2, 2011 8:14 PM PDT reply actions  

3-3

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on May 2, 2011 8:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

That's a heck of a lot of extra innings games out of 29!

Today was Texas’ first.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on May 2, 2011 9:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

A's are 4-3

They’ve scored a run or more in the 10th inning in 6 of the 7 games. All 7 ended in the 10th.

"Loyal? I'm the most loyal player money can buy." - Don Sutton

by vignette17 on May 2, 2011 9:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

Damn you, Yunel Escobar!

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on May 2, 2011 9:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

And the entire bullpen vs. the Tigers

"Loyal? I'm the most loyal player money can buy." - Don Sutton

by vignette17 on May 3, 2011 12:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

We played 11 all of last year. are you saying 24% of your games going into extra innings isn't sustainable lol?

Because the A’s offense is so bad and starting pitching so good, they play a lot of close games.

I’m guessing there is a fairly strong correlation between average run scoring and percentage of games that go to extra innings. if team run scoring is higher, it’s less likely that both teams in a game will end up with the exact same number of runs at the end of 9 innings. The odds of each team scoring the same number of runs decreases with every run they score.

another factor that increases extra-inning games when scoring is low. When the trailing team is 1-run behind, they are more likely to try to play for that 1 run to send the game to extra innings.

If A’s pitcher’s get even better while the offense gets even worse we may see 25% sustained.

I didn't say it was your fault. I said I was going to blame you

by OmahaHi on May 2, 2011 10:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

Most

unearned runs in the league right now by a long shot. With an offense like we have, this is not acceptable.

"We can't stop here... This is bat country."

by Kwester421 on May 3, 2011 2:01 AM PDT reply actions  

I love our pitching staff. They make me proud to profess my A's love.

Also, some of the words are made possessive in this fanshot, and it is really annoying (ex. keep’s, pitcher’s, want’s.)
I realize that many people do not care, but it is honestly what stuck in my mind from this information.

A metric crap-ton of big umpire mess-ups this season.

by Cretgren on May 3, 2011 12:33 PM PDT reply actions  

I stopped reading at the point where you claimed McCarthy was a free agent next year

Trying to pick out the relevant information from the useless (ERA on grass? Seriously?) would be hard enough with this post even assuming it was all accurate. If it’s not going to be, then I’m not going to waste my time.

Throwing random numbers at a screen like a Jackson Pollack painting does not advance your argument. Pick something you want to discuss, then discuss that. Stay on topic. Use headers, and do not attempt formatting unless you know how to make it readable. Use the preview button. This thing is just an absolute mess.

"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.

by PaulThomas on May 3, 2011 4:45 PM PDT reply actions  

PT's criticism is, unfortunately, pretty accurate.

But another thing: Calling Gio 18th in the league at unidentified pitches doesn’t mean anything at all. It just means that the MLBAM pitch ID algorithms aren’t perfect. Says absolutely nothing about Gio.

by danmerqury on May 3, 2011 5:10 PM PDT reply actions  

Ghost pitch!

"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."

by lenscrafters on May 3, 2011 11:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

You can't hit what you can't see!

Sweet is the lore which Nature brings; / Our meddling intellect
Mis-shapes the beauteous forms of things:— / We murder to dissect.

by iglew on May 4, 2011 1:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

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