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Fantasy A's

[Update: A new fantasy baseball site has been brought to my attention today. It is powered by Fangraphs and is called ottoneu. It is an auction style draft with keepers and 40 man rosters (which includes minor leaguers). They offer both the standard 5x5 as well as a sabermetrically inclined 4x4 as well as a pure Fangraphs points scoring system. I hate to sound like I'm plugging this site, but I'm just excited.]

Pitchers and catchers are starting to report which means it's almost time for 2011 Oakland A's baseball! Of course, this also means that fantasy baseball is coming as well. Between the two, I couldn't be happier.

Baseball is my true love, but I can't help but think about how my appreciation for, and understanding of, baseball has grown because of my participation in fantasy baseball. It is largely because of fantasy baseball that I know what I know about the players on the other 29 teams. Fantasy baseball is also one of the primary forces that got me into sabermetric analysis. And, of course, fantasy baseball isn't all about trying to win; it's also a ton of fun. To start with you've get to choose a team name; from ReBillying (thanks DubElXero) to Your Wuertz Enemy (thanks Boone). One of my other favorite parts of fantasy baseball is that you get to choose who is on your team (well duh). But seriously, it's fun to try and assemble the best possible team, but it's also fun to draft some of your favorite players since you will be rooting for them all year (hopefully). I imagine that I'm not alone when I say that most of my favorite ballplayers are Oakland A's, but who is worth drafting onto your fantasy baseball team?

After the jump I'll take a look at the 2011 Oakland Athletics that are currently being drafted. I will also briefly talk about different types of drafts, different stats used in fantasy baseball, and finally I will provide some links to my favorite fantasy sources on the interweb.

Star-divide

The last four years of Oakland A's baseball have been frustrating for many reasons. One of the smallest reasons why these years have been difficult is because the A's have consistently had very few draft worthy players, and 2011 isn't looking all that much different, although it's looking better than last year.

Your 2011 Fantasy A's (per Mock Draft Central APDs*)

Player ADP Draft Rank by Position Earliest Latest Draft %
Trevor Cahill 94 25 83 124 100%
Andrew Bailey 143 8 105 166 100%
Gio Gonzalez 177 46 124 206 100%
Kurt Suzuki 179 11 145 227 100%
Brett Anderson 206 55 123 ND 89%
Brian Fuentes 297 22 205 ND 75%
Hideki Matsui 402 4 179 ND 34%
Coco Crisp 434 65 205 ND 26%
Josh Willingham 470 72 261 ND 15%
Cliff Pennington 476 24 287 ND 13%
Daric Barton 485 24 308 ND 8%
Dallas Braden 493 95 292 ND 4%

A few quick notes on the chart above. ADP is the average draft position that each player has been taken at Mock Draft Central using the standard 12-team 5x5 format (more on that later) from drafts between 2/5/11 and 2/13/11. As you can see from the chart above the quantity of players drafted is actually fairly respectible. What our A's lack though is a top end fantasy talent. The closest that we have is Bailey, as he being taken as the 8th closing pitcher on average (Note that while Matsui is ranked 4th among all DHs drafted, there are only five pure DHs being drafted). For now, I will leave my analysis of the players and their ADPs for the comment section.

*In order to access this information you need to create a free account

Auction vs. Snake Drafts

Snake drafts are the most prevalent types of fantasy baseball drafts. A snake draft allows each team to draft any undraftedplayer each round, with the draft order of teams reversing every round.

An auction draft (which I have yet to take part in; 2011 will be my first year) has a nomination process where each team will nominate an undrafted player to be bid upon each round. Teams then take turns placing bids on that player until a team doesn't get outbid.  Each team starts the draft with the same amount of money to use to draft their teams. This allows you to have much more control over the construction of your roster since you can literally draft anyone so long as you can afford them.

As you might guess (or already know) auction drafts can be much more involved as it becomes ever more important that you have an understanding of literally all of the draftable players since you could theoretically be involved in bidding on every player drafted.

Again, I will leave further discussion of the different draft types to the comments because their are members of the AN community that have much more expertise than I when it comes to fantasy drafts (specifically auction drafts).

The Standard 5x5 Stats

The standard for fantasy leagues is to have five offensive stats and five pitching stats. The standards are: AVG, R, RBI, HR, and SB for hitters, and ERA, WHIP, K, SV, and W for pitchers. Many leagues will customize the stats used to include all sorts of different stats, but these are the regulars. In light of many discussions that take place on AN it may seem funny that the regular fantasy stats are the ones that get the most flack on AN; and I will gladly include myself in the crowd that sees the limitations of these stats. That being said, I am here to provide my support for the use of the standard 5x5 stats, let me explain. One of the largest shortfalls of most of these stats is their projectability, and I think that is a good thing for fantasy baseball. If we used stats that were more easily projectable, such as xFIP, then fantasy baseball would start to boil down to who knows the most about sabermetrics. While that does still sound like fun to me, I wouldn't say that it would make me feel like a baseball GM. Real life GMs don't get the luxury of playing baseball on paper using a simulator that will play every game 10,000 times; randomness plays a very large and very real role in their jobs. A real GM may construct his team with sabermetrics in mind, but ultimately, RBIs, runs, wins, saves: these are stats that pile up when your team is winning. In other words, I like the standard 5x5 precisely because they are so, relatively, random and difficult to predict.

The Links

Below is a list of links to websites that I frequently visit to help me learn, practice, and play everything fantasy baseball. There are certainly many other great sites out there, but these should be a good start.

The Hardball Times

Fangraphs

Fake Teams (a part of SB Nation)

Mock Draft Central

Yahoo

CBS Sports

My personal favorite right now is The Hardball Times. They recently did a fun mock draft by fantasy experts and then discussed the whole draft with a small explanation of each draft pick by each team owner. 

---------

What do you all think? Are you going to be playing fantasy baseball this year? Who are some of your favorites that you are hoping to draft? Any exciting new strategies that you want to share?  

[As with any of my fanposts I encourage any critizism that you see fit. My writing is passable at best, and my fantasy experience is likely dwarfed by many here at AN; so please, help me out.]

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Comments

Display:

I read this in the sidebar as "A's Fantasy"

and thoughts of being in a man sandwich between Landon Powell and Trever Cahill flooded my mind, until I fell on my knees and prayed for salvation from such impure cogitations.

Empires may crumble, FIP statistics may lose their meaning, but only a Keetsa mattress puts years back on your life while you're sleeping.

by emperor nobody on Feb 13, 2011 10:22 PM PST reply actions  

Did it work?

"Juuuuust a bit outside" - Harry Doyle

by ArunisArun on Feb 13, 2011 10:55 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

no

maybe I shouldn’t have prayed to Eros and stuck with Jesus.

Empires may crumble, FIP statistics may lose their meaning, but only a Keetsa mattress puts years back on your life while you're sleeping.

by emperor nobody on Feb 14, 2011 12:06 AM PST up reply actions  

My suggestion

Is that you review the AN Hotties, because you’re way off; but to each his own.

"Juuuuust a bit outside" - Harry Doyle

by ArunisArun on Feb 14, 2011 8:10 AM PST up reply actions  

Auction vs Snake/Complex vs Simple

One of the topics that I was hoping to discuss was the preference of Auction drafts to snake drafts. One of the main reasons why I see auction drafts as more fun (obviously I’m speculating here) is that, so long as you manage your money wisely, you will also be able to pick up that sure fire fantasy sleeper that you know is going to win you the draft. In a snake draft you simply have to guess when you think the rest of the league would draft him and then make sure that you get there first. The problem this causes in snake drafts is that if you chose that sleeper a round or two early you will be penalizing yourself by missing out on earlier round talent.

The real reason why I wanted to bring up auction versus snake drafts is that I hear some people that prefer auction drafts saying that they like it more precisely because it is more complex; that it takes more investment on the part of the owner to succeed because your knowledge of individual players is so much more demanding, plus the added difficulty of managing limited funds to roster your team.

I don’t disagree that complexity can be fun and rewarding, but I think it’s misleading to say that it is more difficult to suceed in an auction draft, if anything, for the expirienced fantasy guru it may be easier. Since it is more complex, more owners are likely to have weaker parts to their game that others can exploit. Basically, what I’m trying to say is that in a competition among peers, complexity does not make winning easier. Imagine playing Pong. It is very simple, but that makes it no easier for a novice to beat an expert.

"Juuuuust a bit outside" - Harry Doyle

by ArunisArun on Feb 14, 2011 2:00 PM PST reply actions  

I almost never draft Oakland A's players on my team

I’m too emotionally invested in them to make sound managerial decesions about them. If I’m playing weekly pitch or ditch with my last couple roster spots (it’s a small league) then I might grab a guy who has been doing well lately but never on my first draft (unless it is auto selected)

You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}

by micdog2001 on Feb 14, 2011 5:38 PM PST reply actions  

It depends a lot on the league rules

I play in a Head-to-Head league with points, and our points are fairly “sabremetric” and more “counting”. e.g.hitters get 1 point per base, (including a walk), 1 point for each RBI, but their batting average doesn’t (directly) count. For pitchers, getting batters out counts, and giving up a hit or a walk or a run hurts. Wins/losses are counted but not much. This leads to different strategies than a more standard 5×5 league.

I’ve had reasonably good luck with Kurt Suzuki (he’s decent and durable – gets lots of starts) and last year, at some point, had every A’s starter, including Dallas Braden whose perfect game pulled out a big win!

Carlos Gonzalez would look nice in one of the corner outfield spots right now

by Miata71 on Feb 15, 2011 7:50 AM PST reply actions  

That's awesome that you actually started Braden for his perfect game

I’ve got to imagine that most missed out on that.

Are there any types of players that become a lot more or less valuable in your league?

"Juuuuust a bit outside" - Harry Doyle

by ArunisArun on Feb 15, 2011 9:47 AM PST up reply actions  

Well, a walk is as good as a hit, and as good as a stolen base in our league

And a walk is also as good as a run or a RBI. I"d say players with good OPS play much better in our league, since you basically get points per base.

In contrast to a standard 5×5 league, where a walk doesn’t count and a stolen base is, arguably, as valuable as a home-run. (so you’ll see advice recommending Rajai Davis / Fred Lewis types)

I’ve never played in a standard 5×5 so I can’t do a real comparison, but I really like the Head to Head much better, it’s more exciting. Yes, there is more luck than 5×5, like Braden’s perfect game, but, that’s just like in real baseball – Braden (and a certain black and orange team) were lucky last year. And good for them!

Carlos Gonzalez would look nice in one of the corner outfield spots right now

by Miata71 on Feb 15, 2011 4:24 PM PST up reply actions  

Agree thats awesome that you started Braden

I remember seeing a bunch of posts on Yahoo, “I can’t believe I sat Braden against the Rays!!!!” after the perfect game.

by buddahead9 on Feb 16, 2011 11:42 PM PST up reply actions  

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