Crystal Ball: 2012
I'm usually not one for predictions. Usually, my "feel good" predictions never come true and my "doomsday is upon us" ones actually do...
With that being said, I'm fairly confident in saying that I believe the future of the Athletics franchise will be a lot brighter on January 1st, 2013 than it will be in a matter of hours on January 1st, 2012. I base this big prediction on a number of small predictions that I see unfolding in the following manner over the next year:
Prediction 1 - February 2012: The A's will get clarity about their stadium situation - in the form of a "yes" vote to San Jose. The recent rebuild and public overtures of a decision already being made, coupled with the death of RDA's in California, makes this seem like the only logical result of this situation. I think that there is enough evidence to suggest that without San Jose, the A's will be a dead franchise, so that only a cash payment to the Giants needs to be worked out in the coming weeks.
Prediction 2 - Late March 2012: The A's will break camp with the following lineup and rotation and it will be better than people think!
2B - Weeks
1B - Barton
3B - Sizemore
DH - Carter
LF - Allen
CF - Cowgill
RF - Reddick
C - Suzuki
SS Pennington
This lineup will be anything but a juggernaut and will likely be painful to watch on a frequent occasion...however, there is some upside in there and some power waiting to be unleashed. By and large, that's a decent defensive team as well. All in all, it's a team that is, I'll admit, relatively boring on paper, but a team that could hit for a bit of average, a bit of power, steal a bit of bases, get on base at a fair clip and defend relatively well. It's also a group that I fully predict will get better over time.
SP - Braden
SP - McCarthy
SP - Outman
SP - Moscoso
SP - Milone
This is a strike-throwing bunch that will either work quickly, take advantage of decent defense and the Oakland Coliseum for half their starts...or get hit around early and often. Either way, at least the outcome of the game won't hang in the balance very long with these guys taking up all the starts.
Prediction 3 - June 2012: The A's draft Kenny Dierkroeger 11th overall in the MLB draft.
This is a very tenuous prediction, but I'd love for this happen and for it to make sense for the A's...Diekroeger - a shortstop at Stanford - is a local product from Woodside, CA and a great athletic talent. He had a sensational freshman year in 2010, but a down year last year. He seems to have the talent to stay on the left-side of the infield long-term and could be kind of a Tolowitzki-lite if he reaches his full potential. Would love for him to have a bounceback year, solidify his defense, get drafted by the A's and develop in 2012, 2013 and 2014 into the A's shortstop of San Jose and beyond!
Prediction 4 - July 2012: Brett Anderson returns from Tommy John surgery successfully and spearheads a mini-overhaul of the A's starting rotation into the following form:
SP - Jarrod Parker
SP - Brett Anderson
SP - Sonny Gray
SP - Dallas Braden
SP - Brandon McCarthy
Prediction 5 - August 2012: Grant Green and Michael Choice debut in the Oakland outfield and provide enough hope that they are long-term solutions at CF and LF, respectively.
Prediction 6 - September 2012: A's finish third in the AL West, get another top-15 draft pick, but show gradual improvement over the course of the season to become a fashionable "up and comer" on the MLB Network during casual playoffs conversation.
Prediction 7 - November 2012: Dallas Braden and Brandon McCarthy are each extended for two years, with an option for a 3rd year in 2015.
Even with a bumper crop of young pitching prospects, the A's are going to need some stability in their rotation while the young guys go through some growing pains. Braden, while under team control through 2013, is the heart and soul of the franchise at this point, and if he gets through 2012 without major injury, should be rewarded and made the face of the rotation...he's worth more to the A's than anyone else and due to his contact-oriented approach and loyalty to the 209, would likely be well-suited to committ to Oakland for a few years. He also shouldn't brake the bank...ditto McCarthy.
Prediction 8 - December 2012: A's sign OF Nick Swisher to a 4-year free agent contract.
A little bit of my fandom died when Swish was traded so many years ago...there's no doubt the A's have gotten great value out of that trade, but something about the franchise has not been the same since that time. Swish is now a World Champion and still a great guy. He would be the ideal guy for the A's to bring in to help lead the position-player contingent of the rebuilding process mature and congeal in preparation of San Jose, while still retaining an Oakland-attitude and bent. He's an upbeat, blue-collar guy who has never said anything bad about Oakland...seems to have a good relationship with Beane and would likely get along swimmingly with Melvin. On the field, he would offer versatility at 4 positions - corner outfield, 1B and DH - with a solid glove, solid-average power and OBP with a proven track record of being able to hit in the Coliseum.
All in all, I am predicting good things for the A's in 2012. The win-loss record will be ugly, but we're used to that. I predict progressively more positive things to occur for the team as 2012 progresses, with the final result being the revealing of a core of solid, compelling veterans (Swish, Braden) leading a talented bumper crop of prospects into a 2013 full of promise and eventually a new stadium in San Jose...
(Don't tear down these dreams too quickly, guys...I've got one wish to make tomorrow on New Year's eve, so at least one of these 8 predictions will come true!)
Happy New Year's everyone!
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I sure hope Carter gets a full season at DH to either sink or swim.
I’m also looking forward to seeing if Weeks can show himself to be a top notch player. Those are really the only two things that intrigue me about the A’s next season.
But seriously, folks....
i'm hoping that michael taylor remembers how to be good at baseball
the artist formerly known as inbillywetrust
He is a Soldier Spy
"Trying not to rec a "F**k the Giants" post is like trying not to look at boobs."-anonymous
"i guess i just like beer"-stm
Now, you know!
"Trying not to rec a "F**k the Giants" post is like trying not to look at boobs."-anonymous
"i guess i just like beer"-stm
anytime, Bed..
"Trying not to rec a "F**k the Giants" post is like trying not to look at boobs."-anonymous
"i guess i just like beer"-stm
right now he's most famous as an offseason intern at KNBR (Giants flagship radio station). he used to be penciled in as an everyday rightfielder for our a's
the artist formerly known as inbillywetrust
Well, actually a back up to Sweeney, before Sweeney's trade to the BoTox.
Everyone was a back up to Ryan before the trade.
"Trying not to rec a "F**k the Giants" post is like trying not to look at boobs."-anonymous
"i guess i just like beer"-stm
by used to be, i meant at the time of the trade. recently he's been AAAA filler
the artist formerly known as inbillywetrust
I was just making fun of the depth chart, showing Ryan playing the outfield.
ALL the outfield!
"Trying not to rec a "F**k the Giants" post is like trying not to look at boobs."-anonymous
"i guess i just like beer"-stm
I personally love the Rotoworld note about the A's trying Reddick at every OF position
Maybe they’re planning to go with the 6-man infield.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
Then, maybe he is every bit as good as Sweeney.
"Trying not to rec a "F**k the Giants" post is like trying not to look at boobs."-anonymous
"i guess i just like beer"-stm
Taj, are you God? This is perhaps quite a prescient piece.
And I didn’t plan that alliteration. Anyway, thanks for a great, thought provoking read. All of this could very well happen.
I would love to have Swish back, too. And not only because I want to wear my Swish belt buckle again…
At one point in my life I liked Dave Kingman more than Rickey Henderson. I was an idiot.
Taj. You beautiful, beautiful person you.
Waaaayyy to optimistic about the arrival time for Choice and Gray.
Have a happy new year.
The monster at the end of this blog.
Yeah, Peacock is more advanced than Gray. I'd like to know what happened to
him and Milone during the rotation overhaul. Everything aside from that seems realistic.
I think the Green prediction is less realistic
He needs to take a huge, huge step forward to be even an okay major-league hitter. And he’s played 47 games in CF as a professional, after spending his entire college career on the infield.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
I was thinking the same thing about him.
I don’t think I’d even be excited to see him up at any point this year. Unless it’s September…but even then I’d prefer he play out the year in AAA starting at CF.
Agreed, especially on Choice
Green also is very unlikely to be a useful major leaguer at this point. Gray I’m less sure about.
Without some crazy leap forward, Choice looks like mid to late 2013 right now.
I like the optimism.
Nothing seems realistic, but who cares?
tko bira, masturbira -- Croatian proverb quoted by elcroata
Prediction 7
Will likely need to sign McCarthy well before Nov 7th. If he gets 30 starts and is anything near what he was last year, he is making big money by the time Nov is here.
I could see McCarthy is health for first 5 start of season, and signs a two year extention.
Fun stuff, thanks
I think I am one of the few
that also wants Tom Milone to start the year in the minors. I know he will never be as valuable as Jarrod but I wouldn’t mind having an extra year of him as well, because I think he could have a nice solid career as our third starter, even into our supposed glory years in 2014-∞
+++!
keep the young pitching in the minors as long as we can!
I could see Choice being up by September…not sure about Green, though. Optimism abound…! Go A’s!
"You're early, but hang around; we'll have a fight for you sooner or later."
-John "Blue Moon" Odom
Yeah. Good idea. Let's sign Jeff Francis and make this happen.
tko bira, masturbira -- Croatian proverb quoted by elcroata
by WaddellCanseco on Dec 31, 2011 12:25 PM PST up reply actions
Isn't he...really bad? Like beyond bad?
Worse than anything we have? Can’t we just suffer through Godfrey?
Yes but we'll need both to get 24 outs in a game -- or 27 if we're at home
tko bira, masturbira -- Croatian proverb quoted by elcroata
by WaddellCanseco on Dec 31, 2011 6:33 PM PST up reply actions
I've heard Diekroeger is a number 1 overall candidate.
Hopefully he’s still there at 11. He looks like a potential star from what I’ve read.
At this point
All I want is #1. I’m desperate! I need to know the A’s will stay in the Bay Area. If, and when that happens, I’ll celebrate like we won the world series.
Oh ya…fuck the gigantes!
by asyouwish33 on Dec 31, 2011 1:08 PM PST via mobile reply actions 3 recs
rec!
"You know whats funny? I always thought uhm dogs lay eggs and I learned something new today" Peter Griffin
by HUNGRY HUNTER on Jan 1, 2012 1:14 AM PST up reply actions
My lineup and rotation to start the season are identical
(I have McCarthy as a #1)
Just don’t see why it would morph into what you describe later in the year. Let Gray spend all of 2012 in AAA don’t start that clock. Same with Choice and Green.
Visit my blog the Todd Van Poppel Rookie Card Retirement Plan!!
I'm with you. No clock starting till guys are out of options or we actually want to win games.
tko bira, masturbira -- Croatian proverb quoted by elcroata
by WaddellCanseco on Dec 31, 2011 6:34 PM PST up reply actions
I'd like to draft Big Dick Nick Williams
He’s could be Jason Heyward, maybe even better. Of course he could fly close to the sun like Graham Koonce (I’m fully kidding), but at least we can say we went for it.
This is a fantastic FanPost
I would put this bad boy on the front page but that’s just me ;-)
by Tyler Bleszinski on Jan 2, 2012 3:35 PM PST reply actions
Good stuff
Lineup looks about right. What happens to Milone in the second half? He could very well end up much better than scouts think.
A lot of negativity around the A’s rebuilding again, but this lineup almost definitely will be more exciting to watch than last year’s, and if there are a few breakouts might actually win more games.
What, what's going on
discussing baseball on a baseball blog? OMFG!
Better update the outfield
Coco Crisp is signing with Oakland, for a $6m salary in 2012, a $7m salary in ’13, a club option of $7.5m for ’14, with a $1 m. buyout.
I didn't realize you were veganalyst! This makes it totally different! You're one of my favorite twitter/ANers. - Susan Slusser
Outfield of: Ross - Coco - Reddick
It’s going to suck hard, but that’s what they’re going to do. Cowgill is 4th outfielder.
Signing Ross
would be antithesis of A’s pre-season moves. I can sort of get Coco signing, but adding another nondescript veteran makes no sense on any level. We’ve already landed Jason Pridie for that role.
More disturbing is mention that management sees Suzuki as logical choice for clean-up slot in order. That, amigos, would be very suck-o.

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