Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: An Indy 500 Rookie's Impressions

Crystal Ball: 2012

I'm usually not one for predictions. Usually, my "feel good" predictions never come true and my "doomsday is upon us" ones actually do...

With that being said, I'm fairly confident in saying that I believe the future of the Athletics franchise will be a lot brighter on January 1st, 2013 than it will be in a matter of hours on January 1st, 2012. I base this big prediction on a number of small predictions that I see unfolding in the following manner over the next year:

Prediction 1 - February 2012: The A's will get clarity about their stadium situation - in the form of a "yes" vote to San Jose. The recent rebuild and public overtures of a decision already being made, coupled with the death of RDA's in California, makes this seem like the only logical result of this situation. I think that there is enough evidence to suggest that without San Jose, the A's will be a dead franchise, so that only a cash payment to the Giants needs to be worked out in the coming weeks.

Prediction 2 - Late March 2012: The A's will break camp with the following lineup and rotation and it will be better than people think!

2B - Weeks

1B - Barton

3B - Sizemore

DH - Carter

LF - Allen

CF - Cowgill

RF - Reddick

C - Suzuki

SS Pennington

This lineup will be anything but a juggernaut and will likely be painful to watch on a frequent occasion...however, there is some upside in there and some power waiting to be unleashed. By and large, that's a decent defensive team as well. All in all, it's a team that is, I'll admit, relatively boring on paper, but a team that could hit for a bit of average, a bit of power, steal a bit of bases, get on base at a fair clip and defend relatively well. It's also a group that I fully predict will get better over time.

SP - Braden

SP - McCarthy

SP - Outman

SP - Moscoso

SP - Milone

This is a strike-throwing bunch that will either work quickly, take advantage of decent defense and the Oakland Coliseum for half their starts...or get hit around early and often. Either way, at least the outcome of the game won't hang in the balance very long with these guys taking up all the starts.

Prediction 3 - June 2012: The A's draft Kenny Dierkroeger 11th overall in the MLB draft.

This is a very tenuous prediction, but I'd love for this happen and for it to make sense for the A's...Diekroeger - a shortstop at Stanford - is a local product from Woodside, CA and a great athletic talent. He had a sensational freshman year in 2010, but a down year last year. He seems to have the talent to stay on the left-side of the infield long-term and could be kind of a Tolowitzki-lite if he reaches his full potential. Would love for him to have a bounceback year, solidify his defense, get drafted by the A's and develop in 2012, 2013 and 2014 into the A's shortstop of San Jose and beyond!

Prediction 4 - July 2012: Brett Anderson returns from Tommy John surgery successfully and spearheads a mini-overhaul of the A's starting rotation into the following form:

SP - Jarrod Parker

SP - Brett Anderson

SP - Sonny Gray

SP - Dallas Braden

SP - Brandon McCarthy

Prediction 5 - August 2012: Grant Green and Michael Choice debut in the Oakland outfield and provide enough hope that they are long-term solutions at CF and LF, respectively.

Prediction 6 - September 2012: A's finish third in the AL West, get another top-15 draft pick, but show gradual improvement over the course of the season to become a fashionable "up and comer" on the MLB Network during casual playoffs conversation.

Prediction 7 - November 2012: Dallas Braden and Brandon McCarthy are each extended for two years, with an option for a 3rd year in 2015.

Even with a bumper crop of young pitching prospects, the A's are going to need some stability in their rotation while the young guys go through some growing pains. Braden, while under team control through 2013, is the heart and soul of the franchise at this point, and if he gets through 2012 without major injury, should be rewarded and made the face of the rotation...he's worth more to the A's than anyone else and due to his contact-oriented approach and loyalty to the 209, would likely be well-suited to committ to Oakland for a few years. He also shouldn't brake the bank...ditto McCarthy.

Prediction 8 - December 2012: A's sign OF Nick Swisher to a 4-year free agent contract.

A little bit of my fandom died when Swish was traded so many years ago...there's no doubt the A's have gotten great value out of that trade, but something about the franchise has not been the same since that time. Swish is now a World Champion and still a great guy. He would be the ideal guy for the A's to bring in to help lead the position-player contingent of the rebuilding process mature and congeal in preparation of San Jose, while still retaining an Oakland-attitude and bent. He's an upbeat, blue-collar guy who has never said anything bad about Oakland...seems to have a good relationship with Beane and would likely get along swimmingly with Melvin. On the field, he would offer versatility at 4 positions - corner outfield, 1B and DH - with a solid glove, solid-average power and OBP with a proven track record of being able to hit in the Coliseum.

All in all, I am predicting good things for the A's in 2012. The win-loss record will be ugly, but we're used to that. I predict progressively more positive things to occur for the team as 2012 progresses, with the final result being the revealing of a core of solid, compelling veterans (Swish, Braden) leading a talented bumper crop of prospects into a 2013 full of promise and eventually a new stadium in San Jose...

(Don't tear down these dreams too quickly, guys...I've got one wish to make tomorrow on New Year's eve, so at least one of these 8 predictions will come true!)

Happy New Year's everyone!

Comment 44 comments  |  6 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

I sure hope Carter gets a full season at DH to either sink or swim.

I’m also looking forward to seeing if Weeks can show himself to be a top notch player. Those are really the only two things that intrigue me about the A’s next season.

But seriously, folks....

by Bed. on Dec 30, 2011 9:01 PM PST reply actions  

He is a Soldier Spy

"Trying not to rec a "F**k the Giants" post is like trying not to look at boobs."-anonymous
"i guess i just like beer"-stm

by Tutu-late on Dec 31, 2011 4:52 PM PST up reply actions  

Cool

Michael Tinker Taylor Soldier Spy.

But seriously, folks....

by Bed. on Dec 31, 2011 4:55 PM PST up reply actions  

Now, you know!

"Trying not to rec a "F**k the Giants" post is like trying not to look at boobs."-anonymous
"i guess i just like beer"-stm

by Tutu-late on Dec 31, 2011 5:03 PM PST up reply actions  

anytime, Bed..

"Trying not to rec a "F**k the Giants" post is like trying not to look at boobs."-anonymous
"i guess i just like beer"-stm

by Tutu-late on Dec 31, 2011 5:21 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, actually a back up to Sweeney, before Sweeney's trade to the BoTox.

Everyone was a back up to Ryan before the trade.

"Trying not to rec a "F**k the Giants" post is like trying not to look at boobs."-anonymous
"i guess i just like beer"-stm

by Tutu-late on Dec 31, 2011 6:02 PM PST up reply actions  

I was just making fun of the depth chart, showing Ryan playing the outfield.

ALL the outfield!

"Trying not to rec a "F**k the Giants" post is like trying not to look at boobs."-anonymous
"i guess i just like beer"-stm

by Tutu-late on Dec 31, 2011 7:12 PM PST up reply actions  

I personally love the Rotoworld note about the A's trying Reddick at every OF position

Maybe they’re planning to go with the 6-man infield.

"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s

by Nick on Dec 31, 2011 7:40 PM PST up reply actions  

Then, maybe he is every bit as good as Sweeney.

"Trying not to rec a "F**k the Giants" post is like trying not to look at boobs."-anonymous
"i guess i just like beer"-stm

by Tutu-late on Dec 31, 2011 8:57 PM PST up reply actions  

Taj, are you God? This is perhaps quite a prescient piece.

And I didn’t plan that alliteration. Anyway, thanks for a great, thought provoking read. All of this could very well happen.

I would love to have Swish back, too. And not only because I want to wear my Swish belt buckle again…

At one point in my life I liked Dave Kingman more than Rickey Henderson. I was an idiot.

by the_rozeboom on Dec 30, 2011 9:29 PM PST reply actions  

Taj. You beautiful, beautiful person you.

Waaaayyy to optimistic about the arrival time for Choice and Gray.

Have a happy new year.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 30, 2011 9:29 PM PST reply actions  

Yeah, Peacock is more advanced than Gray. I'd like to know what happened to

him and Milone during the rotation overhaul. Everything aside from that seems realistic.

by NateHST on Dec 31, 2011 12:57 AM PST up reply actions  

I think the Green prediction is less realistic

He needs to take a huge, huge step forward to be even an okay major-league hitter. And he’s played 47 games in CF as a professional, after spending his entire college career on the infield.

"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s

by Nick on Dec 31, 2011 6:44 AM PST up reply actions  

I was thinking the same thing about him.

I don’t think I’d even be excited to see him up at any point this year. Unless it’s September…but even then I’d prefer he play out the year in AAA starting at CF.

by Cartwright on Dec 31, 2011 1:32 PM PST up reply actions  

Agreed, especially on Choice

Green also is very unlikely to be a useful major leaguer at this point. Gray I’m less sure about.

Without some crazy leap forward, Choice looks like mid to late 2013 right now.

by laserbeams on Jan 3, 2012 8:43 AM PST up reply actions  

Great write up Taj

Love the pipe dream to get Swish back.

by hishnik on Dec 30, 2011 11:36 PM PST reply actions  

I like the optimism.

Nothing seems realistic, but who cares?

tko bira, masturbira -- Croatian proverb quoted by elcroata

by WaddellCanseco on Dec 31, 2011 1:24 AM PST reply actions  

Prediction 7

Will likely need to sign McCarthy well before Nov 7th. If he gets 30 starts and is anything near what he was last year, he is making big money by the time Nov is here.

I could see McCarthy is health for first 5 start of season, and signs a two year extention.

Fun stuff, thanks

by dougald1 on Dec 31, 2011 10:59 AM PST reply actions  

I think I am one of the few

that also wants Tom Milone to start the year in the minors. I know he will never be as valuable as Jarrod but I wouldn’t mind having an extra year of him as well, because I think he could have a nice solid career as our third starter, even into our supposed glory years in 2014-∞

by sourstuff on Dec 31, 2011 11:26 AM PST reply actions  

+++!

keep the young pitching in the minors as long as we can!

I could see Choice being up by September…not sure about Green, though. Optimism abound…! Go A’s!

"You're early, but hang around; we'll have a fight for you sooner or later."

-John "Blue Moon" Odom

by mrod on Dec 31, 2011 12:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Isn't he...really bad? Like beyond bad?

Worse than anything we have? Can’t we just suffer through Godfrey?

by Cartwright on Dec 31, 2011 1:33 PM PST up reply actions  

I've heard Diekroeger is a number 1 overall candidate.

Hopefully he’s still there at 11. He looks like a potential star from what I’ve read.

by BWH on Dec 31, 2011 11:51 AM PST reply actions  

At this point

All I want is #1. I’m desperate! I need to know the A’s will stay in the Bay Area. If, and when that happens, I’ll celebrate like we won the world series.

Oh ya…fuck the gigantes!

by asyouwish33 on Dec 31, 2011 1:08 PM PST via mobile reply actions   3 recs

rec!

"You know whats funny? I always thought uhm dogs lay eggs and I learned something new today" Peter Griffin

by HUNGRY HUNTER on Jan 1, 2012 1:14 AM PST up reply actions  

REC'D!

"Trying not to rec a "F**k the Giants" post is like trying not to look at boobs."-anonymous
"i guess i just like beer"-stm

by Tutu-late on Jan 1, 2012 8:22 AM PST up reply actions  

My lineup and rotation to start the season are identical

(I have McCarthy as a #1)

Just don’t see why it would morph into what you describe later in the year. Let Gray spend all of 2012 in AAA don’t start that clock. Same with Choice and Green.

by dwishinsky on Dec 31, 2011 4:59 PM PST reply actions  

I'd like to draft Big Dick Nick Williams

He’s could be Jason Heyward, maybe even better. Of course he could fly close to the sun like Graham Koonce (I’m fully kidding), but at least we can say we went for it.

by sourstuff on Dec 31, 2011 11:06 PM PST reply actions  

This is a fantastic FanPost

I would put this bad boy on the front page but that’s just me ;-)

by Tyler Bleszinski on Jan 2, 2012 3:35 PM PST reply actions  

Good stuff

Lineup looks about right. What happens to Milone in the second half? He could very well end up much better than scouts think.

A lot of negativity around the A’s rebuilding again, but this lineup almost definitely will be more exciting to watch than last year’s, and if there are a few breakouts might actually win more games.

by laserbeams on Jan 3, 2012 8:41 AM PST reply actions  

What, what's going on

discussing baseball on a baseball blog? OMFG!

by MobiusKlein on Jan 3, 2012 9:36 AM PST reply actions  

Better update the outfield

Olney:

Coco Crisp is signing with Oakland, for a $6m salary in 2012, a $7m salary in ’13, a club option of $7.5m for ’14, with a $1 m. buyout.

I didn't realize you were veganalyst! This makes it totally different! You're one of my favorite twitter/ANers. - Susan Slusser

by vegAN ryAN on Jan 3, 2012 2:24 PM PST reply actions  

Outfield of: Ross - Coco - Reddick

It’s going to suck hard, but that’s what they’re going to do. Cowgill is 4th outfielder.

by DavidS on Jan 4, 2012 11:37 AM PST reply actions  

Signing Ross

would be antithesis of A’s pre-season moves. I can sort of get Coco signing, but adding another nondescript veteran makes no sense on any level. We’ve already landed Jason Pridie for that role.

More disturbing is mention that management sees Suzuki as logical choice for clean-up slot in order. That, amigos, would be very suck-o.

by Slip n Slide on Jan 9, 2012 9:05 AM PST reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about Oakland Athletics.

Community Guidelines ANcillary Terms

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Small
A's relocation option from a legal expert on the issue
Oakland_athletics_team_logo_photofile_small
Prospects 1Q Report

Recent FanPosts

100_1536_small
My new smarts on the Fanpost, and Mr. Offseason is born, and getting to know me
Small
GOG 2012 #18: The Twins have a shiny new park, and not much else
Small
Gotta Be Their Pitching
Hardly-boys_small
Minor League notes on Major League Day Off
Small
Cespedes Upate?
Small
The SF Warriors, the LA Raiders and the Oakland A's
Photo__11__small
COG #17 - Yankees vs. Athletics or Spank me! Spank me!
100_1536_small
What to do? What to do?
Small
Fans Should Buy the A's
Reg3_small
Tom Milone's Nickname

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Yahoo_full_count

Front Page Writers

Maya_papi_small Tyler Bleszinski

08-_the_author_small 67MARQUEZ

Baseball_small baseballgirl

Poochini-butt_in_box_2_small Nico

Img_1877_small Billy Frijoles

Img_0653_small dwishinsky

Sb_nation1_small ahhall

Front Page Writers

Smiley_face_small gigglingone

Venasfans_small OaklandSi

60-minutes-clock_small cuppingmaster

Patpicturebucky2_small YonYonson

Img_3830_small David Fung

Moderators

Photofunia-5c770b_small coffee roaster

Denver_small Colorado Fan

Ls_logo100_small LoneStranger

Thumbs_up_small LongTimeFan

Marty_profile_in_green_small mrod

Babycomputergeek_small paris7

Img_0115_small Tutu-late