The Lasting Impact of Trades
The title of this piece is beyond obvious. Everyone knows trades can have far sweeping ramifications for a club - I know that, I'd hope everyone else on Athletics Nation knows that as well. But while perusing one of the cooler baseball websites today, it sort of rehashed that thought process of just how much one trade is tied to subsequent moves. From MLB Trade Trees comes this chart outlining the Mark Mulder trade.
Pretty simple trade: Mulder - product of Legends Division champion Michigan State - went to St. Louis, Daric Barton, Kiko Calero and Dan Haren came back. Now hopefully you clicked the above link so you can see why this site is cool, it looks at what happens after the fact. Sometimes it is pretty obvious because one guy is flipped relatively quickly and you can sort out the perceived ultimate return in your head. But here we had a pretty good time with Dan Haren before he himself was traded in a significant deal that netted Brett Anderson, Chris Carter, Aaron Cunningham, Dana Eveland, Carlos Gonzalez and Greg Smith from Arizona. Of course not all these guys stayed with Oakland, most notably Carlos Gonzalez along with Greg Smith and thrown in there was Huston Street too, were sent to Colorado to get Matt Holliday. Furthermore Aaron Cunningham was sent packing with Scott Hairston to get Kevin Kouzmanoff and Eric Sogard, Finally, Dana Eveland was sent to Toronto for cash. But it doesn't end there because of those guys sent to get Holliday when we traded Holliday to the Cardinals we got back Clayton Mortensen, Shane Peterson and Brett Wallace. We flipped Wallace in a deal with Toronto to get Michael Taylor, and Mortensen was sent to Colorado for Ethan Hollingsworth. Just a month or two ago Hollingsworth himself was sent to Kansas City to get Kila Ka'aihue While Kouzmanoff was sent to Colorado for cash.
The final tally is this, had the A's not traded Mark Mulder on December 18th, 2004 today's A's would be without, Brett Anderson, Daric Barton, Chris Carter, Kila Ka'aihue, Shane Peterson, Eric Sogard and Michael Taylor. Now the snarky A's fan can be so what, surely the names that passed through some of these deals are far more significant, Carlos Gonzalez, Dan Haren, Matt Holliday, Mark Mulder and Huston Street are some pretty significant ballplayers. But that is how long trades can hold significant sway over how a team is constructed. A good portion of the 2012 A's will be determined in part by a deal made eight years earlier involving four players, two of whom have since left baseball even.
What is ironic about this whole exercise in looking at the series of events that lead to how our roster is constructed today is that I was thinking about writing about how Shane Peterson left unprotected in the Rule V Draft could mean that ultimately it could end up that we dealt Matt Holliday for whatever Kila Ka'aihue ends up being worth, but then that peeling of the onion reveals so much more. While the Holliday "trade tree" would still end up with potentially Ka'aihue as the lone result (even if Peterson is selected the odds of him staying with the selecting club all season are still very limited, he split time between Midland and Sacramento going a combined .274/.366/.421 with 9 home runs in 105 games with a .344 wOBA in Midland and a .377 wOBA in Sacremento) it is amazing to see how much led to the trade with Holliday.
You can of course do this with other A's too and it is fascinating how quickly the trade trees grow and all the unexpected pieces involved.
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I'm a snarky A's fan.
All our trades suck. No world title or pennant in over 20 years. That’s the bottom line. I love how Beane-lovers make excuses for him: “small market” or “bad stadium”. I hold the team to a high standard. It’s about winning. I’m not interested in self-pity or best-selling novels about ideas that failed. Win or get out. The abject apathy of this off-season is intentionally trying to drive us all away. Hunter, Pridie, Scribner, Fiorenrino and Van Burkleo? It’s a massive slap in our faces. It’s a shame when the least interested people in a baseball team are the very ones running it.
My therapist is Milton Bradley.
by Ricky T. on Nov 20, 2011 9:24 AM PST via mobile reply actions
I love how we recycle hitting coaches like they're generic
Why don’t we just rotate Billy Martin, Dick Howser, and Bob Lemon?
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
I just laughed when I read Van Burkleo might be back
It’s like, whatever.
Last of the Ninth - Photography
Can I quote Melissa Lockard?
Love how freaked out people get over MiLB signings. Lots of guys sign Triple-A deals in Nov. Doesn’t mean that’s a team’s entire offseason.
How is picking up Hunter, Pridie, and Scribner a BAD thing? They’re meaningless depth moves. Every team does this kind of stuff. How does that mean they’re not interested?
by danmerqury on Nov 20, 2011 10:25 AM PST up reply actions 2 recs
I don't know, I know I threw out a few snark tweets about the OF problem being
solved when Pridie was signed, but ya I think the majority of us realize this is standard every offseason.
That's a good point. And one that needs to be recognized by everybody.
But it’s hard not to have an initial reaction of ‘really?" At least it was for me. I’m not as knowledgeable as a lot of the people on here though. So as more of a casual fan these moves don’t really do a whole lot even as filler. I don’t really know what I’d expect to happen? It’s not like we’re going to sign some big name free agent and I think I’d be more disappointed if we threw too much money at someone anyway. This is a year we should be letting guys get an extended chance to show they can be something useful on a major league team. Hell, maybe one of those guys surprises? Stranger things have happened. So it’s good to have someone point out that it isn’t a bad thing even when everyone should know that.
The only reason these reactions come up at all
is because now there’s a Roto-blurb on the sidebar telling us about every little trivial AAA transaction. A few years ago, you’d never even know about Pridie and Fiorentino, you’d assume everything is quiet during October and November, and then you’d start paying attention when the real moves come in December and January
Baseball is a stupid-making enterprise in that nobody wants to be singled out or say something dumb. —Michael Lewis
But also let's not forget how significant these insignificant moves can be
“Significant move”: Adrian Beltre signs with Rangers
“Insignificant move”: Guillermo Moscoso DFA’d
“Insignifcant move”: Guillermo Moscoso traded by Rangers to A’s for Ryan Kelly
End result: The A’s get the pitcher who pitches the fourth most innings in 2011.
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good point!
Re-sign Josh Willingham now!
by sf drift king on Nov 20, 2011 10:27 PM PST up reply actions
We must not forget EdGon either.
"Trying not to rec a "F**k the Giants" post is like trying not to look at boobs."
9 years ago the A's tied for the best record in baseball
Over 162 games. The A’s. Were the best team in baseball. To me, that’s vastly more meaningful than a few extremely fluky playoff results. It’s an incredible accomplishment for this team.
I get that you’re venting, but, like, get over it. It’s ridiculous to claim that “all our trades suck” (and not only because they’re not your trades, though that doesn’t mean I’ll ever stop periodically griping about how silly that “team=we” turn of phrase is) based solely on playoff results. By your criteria, there are eleven different teams whose trades apparently “all suck” because they have no pennants in the last 20 years.
(Also, the A’s re-signed Jeff Fiorentino? Sweet!)
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
by PaulThomas on Nov 20, 2011 12:19 PM PST up reply actions 5 recs
He has a case with the M's Last few years!
But yes, and like what I saw you posted on BsB, I am with you in terms of the regular season really sorts out who the best team is, the playoffs are in essence to a degree meaningless post 1968. You’re right on the mark.
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By BsB I meant BtBS
Not sure how I screwed that up.
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I couldn't agree more.
Sometimes fans when they vent come off as a 12 year old that his team on mvp 05 didn’t win 130 games and 10 world titles in a row. Deep breaths and perspective….
Slegna must die!
by Athletics fan and runner on Nov 20, 2011 1:17 PM PST up reply actions
So there are 19 different teams who do have pennants in the last 20 years?
I vibrated with joy that join A's. -- Kim Seong-min
by WaddellCanseco on Nov 20, 2011 2:06 PM PST up reply actions
Looks like it's actually 20
Teams that haven’t are the Dodgers, Pirates, Brewers, Cubs, Reds, Expos/Nats, Mariners, A’s, Royals, Orioles.
If you include teams that have one World Series appearance and zero World Series wins (hardly the sort of success that anyone would characterize as a successful 20-year run), the number balloons to sixteen (Padres, Mets, Astros, Rockies, Rays, Tigers). That’s over half the league. Only 11 different teams have won any titles during that period (though it could have been 12 if the 1994 postseason had not been washed out by labor issues).
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
I agree with all of that except the "we" part.
I’ve invested enough into this goddamn team to say “we”
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DURRRR THEY’RE TOO OLD, BABIP IS TOO HIGH, TOO MANY Ks, DURRRRRR
by mikev on Nov 21, 2011 8:00 AM PST up reply actions 6 recs
I'm totally with you on the whining about small market and bad stadium. Beane is very quick to make excuses.
And the Beane-lovers inevitably use the same talking points.
I vibrated with joy that join A's. -- Kim Seong-min
by WaddellCanseco on Nov 20, 2011 1:01 PM PST up reply actions
I agree it isn't a complete excuse.
But just as you criticize that extreme let’s not pretend that they are complete 100% non-factors either.
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People have to take responsibility for their performance. Anyone who doesn't is not
worthy of their job. I don’t want to hear any employee whine about the conditions of their job. If it sucks so much, quit.
I vibrated with joy that join A's. -- Kim Seong-min
by WaddellCanseco on Nov 20, 2011 2:05 PM PST up reply actions
You can't deny externalities.
Beane is saying it is difficult to lure free agents, that’s a statement of fact. The playing field is not equal in baseball by any means. Brian Cashman has a completely different modus operendi than would Beane or Friedman, etc as one would expect. Can’t remember, I think it was Dave Cameron, who wrote the Yankees are limited by roster space, not by payroll. That’s totally a different way of doing things.
The performance is there, he won before, you simply cannot as a small-market team compete every year. It is cyclical. People can trot out the MInnesota Twins yet conveniently forget the late 90s, or the Cleveland Indians who have had rebuilding processes, and lets not forget that before their recent run Tampa Bay was the laughingstock of all laughingstocks.
You can’t ignore market conditions and say they don’t matter. If they didn’t matter New York wouldn’t have 85+ wins every year along with Boston. Ultimately yes, that might not turn into championships but that is more due to the SSS PaulThomas speaks of earlier. They have endless windows of opportunity in those markets. To lose with a Yankee or Red Sox payroll takes huge effort. We are trying to compete with a 1/3 that.
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by dwishinsky on Nov 20, 2011 2:33 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Beane isn't really an "employee" in any normal sense of the word
However, just as a word to the wise: if you ever actually employ someone, uttering this paragraph to them would very likely be found illegal if someone got angry about it.
And, really, it doesn’t make much sense at all. It’s wildly inefficient to force employees to quit over anything they’re unhappy about, instead of bringing grievances to the attention of ownership so that (ideally) they can be corrected informally. Most successful companies do not work this way.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
+100000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Rickey
We need an exterminator
That Rickey graph is awesome!
Not only did the Rickey trade net us Rickey, but also Bob Welch, Dave Parker and Stan Javier – all of which were pieces of the puzzle that led to the great teams in the late 80’s/early 90’s. So, not only was Rickey one of the best players of all time, he was also able to get himself traded around in such a way as to assemble some of the pieces of a world champion!
by RickeySteals on Nov 20, 2011 11:56 AM PST up reply actions
Only Rickey is so good that Rickey can get traded for Rickey AND someone else, too
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Rickey knows what it takes to win.
Rickey knows Rickey is worth at least a Rickey plus a Cy Young winner and Rickey’s back-up in the outfield.
Sigh… I miss Rickey…
by RickeySteals on Nov 20, 2011 12:40 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
I guess at the end of the day we are the fans of the team of extremes
Oakland was fortunate to be a team that traded away Rickey Henderson in his prime and got him back again, and possibly be the last Oakland team to retire any jersey in Oakland.
— 9-time world champions that have moved twice, the fans that can laugh at Mount Davis in one moment and cry about it the next. etc.
In terms of wins and losses, our team is not
a team of extremes. When we were good, we were the best. When we’re bad, we’re not actually the worst. It seems like it to us, but actually there are several teams who have plumbed the depths of suck far more than we ever have.
Since coming to Oakland in 1968, the A’s have had only two seasons under .400, and the most consecutive seasons under .500 is six. Compare that to the Orioles, the Rays, the Royals, the Mariners, or the Tigers.
Baseball is a stupid-making enterprise in that nobody wants to be singled out or say something dumb. —Michael Lewis
Pirates, n'est ce pas?
Certainly hard to beat them for sustained sucking.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
I'm an AL guy.
I was just listing AL teams. I’m sure there’s plenty of suck in that other league, too.
Baseball is a stupid-making enterprise in that nobody wants to be singled out or say something dumb. —Michael Lewis
Listening to some A's fans gripe
one would think we were perenial 100 game losers the last 5 yrs. For the most part, I think if you ask any reasonable A’s fan, they would tell you going into each of the last 5 seasons that we were going to be competitive. 2012… I’m not so sure. This currently constructed team could really stink up the joint.
Re-sign Josh Willingham now!
by sf drift king on Nov 20, 2011 10:35 PM PST up reply actions
If you count the Philly years, I'd say they're a team of extremes
I believe the A’s still hold the record for most losses. And I believe Don did a story a while ago finding that the A’s were the team with the second most combined seasons above .600 and below .400.
"Loyal? I'm the most loyal player money can buy." - Don Sutton
Another cool one though no (that I can see) A's connections
Is this one. Moises Alou, Kevin Brown and Edgar Renteria’s departures from Florida, yet they all sort of link up again down the road.
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that one has its humor, but because we know rickey didn’t necessarily lead to rickey, it also hints at something that goes against the premise of this post. saying that if we hadn’t traded MM on that particular day means we wouldn’t have so-and-so today isn’t accurate. it’s like saying if i hadn’t earned that dollar on wednesday i wouldn’t have the can of budweiser i’m having now. there are other ways to get a can of bud than THAT dollar. the real reason i have the beer is that i was interested in it. i could just as easily spend a dollar earned on thursday on it. and sure, maybe if i waited till thursday to buy beer the shelf would have been empty of buds. but then again, i might have gone to a different liquor store or just waited till friday. so yeah, MM eventually yielded the players mentioned, but we didn’t get the players mentioned only because we traded MM.
by AV on Nov 20, 2011 4:20 PM PST up reply actions
Yeah you make a good point
Its a butterfly flaps its wings like strand. But when we measure trades in some ways it is all we have to go on. If we look at Holliday for Mortensen+Peterson+Wallace (now regardless it likely comes out poorly) the turnaround on Mortensen (and then later Hollingsworth and Ka’aihue) and Wallace are in a way what we got for Holliday.
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you can still measure the trades on the guys who came after. i’m just saying it’s not the only way to get those guys. i can’t remember who the players were, but haven’t we heard beane say once or twice that he’s had his eyes on someone for a while? i’m wondering how many times he’s tried to trade one guy for someone he liked, didn’t make the deal, then later on down the line found another guy to trade and did make the deal.
by AV on Nov 20, 2011 8:38 PM PST up reply actions
Oh naturally.
I know with Scott Sizemore he said the organization had coveted him for a while.
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That trade tree is awesome.
I might have some fun with this website. Do you love it so much you want to take it behind the middle school and get it pregnant?
Bad trade...
was Cunningham & Hairston for Kouz & Sogard. Although the jury is somewhat out on Sogard, he ain’t gonna be no Cunningham!
It ain't over till the fat lady sings...but she is on a diet now!
Neither will Cunningham, it appears.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
In hindsight
I thought it was a good trade at the time.
Re-sign Josh Willingham now!
by sf drift king on Nov 20, 2011 10:37 PM PST up reply actions
It was a fairly neutral trade for both sides.
It was logical to trade Kouz with Headley waiting in the wings. Swapping Cunningham and Sogard is like trading shipping peanuts for plastic bubble wrap. It’s basically a matter of preference and they’re both just filler anyway.
"When you find your way. Then you see it disappear."
Ignoring the fact that bubble wrap is way cooler. It has "Intangibles"
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Can't be quantified and you didn't cite your sources.
So basically you hate science.
"When you find your way. Then you see it disappear."
by padmadfan on Nov 21, 2011 11:50 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Can't be quantified? The hell?
CAN YOU POP SHIPPING PEANUTS? NO SIR YOU CANNOT.
GOOD DAY.
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My thoughtful watermelon is easily mistook for an early American catapult.
DURRRR THEY’RE TOO OLD, BABIP IS TOO HIGH, TOO MANY Ks, DURRRRRR
DFARP
Destruction Fun Above Replacement Packaging is through the charts
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And that's tangible, too!
Baseball is a stupid-making enterprise in that nobody wants to be singled out or say something dumb. —Michael Lewis
Question: If you want to mail someone a bunch of packing peanuts,
what do you protect it with?
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
So, Rich Harden then?
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Why is it...
that we always seem to trade good players for injured junk past their prime or neverwazez? Year after year the A’s are a revolving door & we just keep getting worse. Yeah, I now, Billy Beane & Moneyball. But people forget that we had Mulder, Hudson & a once good yellowhammer thrower who currently pitches for the Giants. Take the Big 3 out & you don’t have much of a result from Beane’s trades.
It ain't over till the fat lady sings...but she is on a diet now!
Trade tree for Angel Berroa & AJ Hinch Disagrees with you
Those two guys net Johnny Damon and “throw-in” Mark Ellis. The follow thru is interesting: http://s3.amazonaws.com/data.tumblr.com/tumblr_lhhv3hKnZU1qebwpwo1_1280.png?AWSAccessKeyId=AKIAJ6IHWSU3BX3X7X3Q&Expires=1321907802&Signature=jumUDqFvUsncJrHqDK76FvKiIfA%3D
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Beane's had tons of excellent trades
Half those playoff teams were built by fleecing incompetent franchises. That trade bagged Cory Lidle, as well. The first Ted Lilly trade was great. Jermaine Dye was virtually acquired free of charge. And the A’s got a ton of value from Haren and Swisher, even though losing them hurt.
He’s also had plenty of bad ones (Holliday was an epic fail, the second Lilly trade, dumping Scutaro for a bag of baseballs). Overall, the record is pretty clearly positive, though it’s trended downward in recent years.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Yeah I agree
I think small moves like the Sizemore acquisition are very overlooked.
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I would agree with everything here.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Do you not take into consideration
the fact that Scutaro was made expendable by a utility player who’s name I can’t recall, that played exceptionally well while Scoot was on the DL, and Scutaro was going to become arbition eligible the following year. With those 2 elements factored in, I can’t call the Scutaro trade a “bad” trade. It was a “necessary” trade.
Re-sign Josh Willingham now!
by sf drift king on Nov 20, 2011 10:55 PM PST up reply actions
for the spelling and grammar police
Re-sign Josh Willingham now!
by sf drift king on Nov 20, 2011 10:56 PM PST up reply actions
I think that's backward.
Scutaro was the utility player who played exceptionally well when Ellis was on the DL.
Scutaro was made “expendable” because both Ellis and Crosby were back so he was going to be an expensive backup. (Unfortunately we hadn’t realized yet how much Crosby was going to suck.)
Baseball is a stupid-making enterprise in that nobody wants to be singled out or say something dumb. —Michael Lewis
The A's could have just nontendered him, so the trade was in no sense "necessary"
and, given what they got back, they might as well have.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Well, we did get four starts out of Godfrey.
0.2 WAR, according to both FanGraphs and Baseball Reference.
Baseball is a stupid-making enterprise in that nobody wants to be singled out or say something dumb. —Michael Lewis
I'm not impressed with Beane either, but why would you "take out the Big 3"?
I vibrated with joy that join A's. -- Kim Seong-min
by WaddellCanseco on Nov 20, 2011 1:00 PM PST up reply actions
That is ignoring the fact that
The Big Three were all draft picks not the results of trades. But I digress.
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A complete aside
Posted this in the Rule 5 post but, does anyone know of a place online where there is a list showing all the Rule 5 eligible players? I’d love to see if there’s anyone interesting in the pool that may be a decent risk.
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Baseball America usually does it every year, too.
It’s still early, so give them a few days.
If you (or someone else out there) have time on your hands and want AN to scoop the other websites, you could probably compile a complete list by googling up all the team-by-team lists out there and typing them up in a single FanPost.
Baseball is a stupid-making enterprise in that nobody wants to be singled out or say something dumb. —Michael Lewis
I may try it out.
Not sure I have that much time on my hands :D
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Just do what you can and ask others to fill in where they can.
Then when you get reliable follow-up in the comments, edit your post to include them.
I’m sure there are people out there interested in this besides just AN.
Baseball is a stupid-making enterprise in that nobody wants to be singled out or say something dumb. —Michael Lewis
Wait, there's people besides AN?
I should seriously consider leaving the house sometime.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Fact or Fiction on the Phillies for Zito trade?
Rumore was: phillies counter offer for zito:
he was offered up to the Philadelphia Phillies in exchange for Michael Bourn, Ryan Madson, and Chase Utley, AN has gone back and forth if this was more than rumor.
I can't imagine a worse trade for the Phillies
Three good players for a fly-ball pitcher in a HR-friendly park.
I can't see, now I have to pee, and I can't count to three, but I can count to JAEGERMEISTER!
Above: Going to another doctor for a second opinion
(HEYO!)
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I hate Beane apologists. They're people who are quite happy with mediocrity and always bow down to authority.
Those “depth” moves for minor-leaguers which “everyone” does, well…those will be the ONLY moves the A’s make.
My therapist is Milton Bradley.
by Ricky T. on Nov 20, 2011 4:30 PM PST via mobile reply actions
I know where you're coming from, Ricky T.
I get mad when I don’t understand things, too.
by NateHST on Nov 20, 2011 4:32 PM PST up reply actions 6 recs
Well, his therapist is Milton Bradley...
It’s ridiculously early to say that those are the only moves going to be made. And they may not raise the payroll or anything but I think that’s going to be just fine for this year. I want to see the Taylor and Carter play the whole year. I want to see if Allen makes adjustments and improves. It might be a really frustrating year to watch but it doesn’t come with the expectations a lot of people had for this year.
Hey watch it! I like Milton Bradley.
He could our starting RF in `12.. As much as I like the guy, I do not want this to happen.
Wouldn’t it be funny if this 2012 team with no expectations end up surprising us all. Especially since the teams we thought would be competitive with Holliday, Giambi, Willingham, DDJ et al.. in the last few yrs wound up letting us down.
Re-sign Josh Willingham now!
by sf drift king on Nov 20, 2011 11:05 PM PST up reply actions
HOnestly....I'd rather have no expectations and be surprised than the other way around.
this last year was BRUTAL partly because it seemed like some thought we might have a good year. Maybe I was the fool to believe them! I will have no such expectations going into 2012.
AN Tailgate = Euphemism for food porn.
Same. No matter how hard I squint I can't see the 2012 team competing.
So we’ll probably win the World Series.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
If we can go .500
with this young group of guys, then I will be very happy.
Re-sign Josh Willingham now!
by sf drift king on Dec 1, 2011 4:09 PM PST up reply actions
The acquisition of Matt Holliday (agree or disagree with it) was surely not an MiLB depth move
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It's Wolff's fault not Beane's fault
Beane doesn’t control the purse strings. We won’t do any better unless Wolff and Fisher open the checkbook.
Win or lose, we'll always be there for you.
by johnjahafanclub on Nov 21, 2011 2:47 PM PST up reply actions
We care about the team and the people running it don't.
“We won’t try unless we get a new stadium.” Try to defend that one, collaborators. It’s the same petulance as a kid who won’t clean his room unless he gets ice cream first. If you’re not outraged at what is happening to our team, then we’re on two different planets. People are on this site having conversations in a serious manner about garbage players. It an insult to our intelligence and loyalty. I will go to the games because I love the team and would only be hurting myself by boycotting. If you wash your hands of the team, then Lew wins. 100 losses are coming this season for sure. I’m also sure that some snobby posters here will have Lew and Billy’s back through it all.
My therapist is Milton Bradley.
by Ricky T. on Nov 20, 2011 4:51 PM PST via mobile reply actions
When did Beane and co. ever say they wouldn't try unless they got a new stadium?
Willingham’s agent said they’d rebuild and put a contender on the field in 2015 if the stadium got approved. What’s wrong with that?
What's wrong with that?
Did you really write that question?
My therapist is Milton Bradley.
by Ricky T. on Nov 20, 2011 5:13 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
Yes.
Yes, I did. What’s wrong with rebuilding for 2015? If the team and the farm are both crap right now, what’s wrong with rebuilding so that the team’s good during the grand opening? Calling a strategic rebuild as “not trying” or “tanking” is patently absurd. It’s pure bullshit designed to stir up the hornet’s nest. Par for the course in sports radio, sadly.
by danmerqury on Nov 20, 2011 5:35 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Oh you mod-power-using sneak!
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Oh. I don't see the avatars.
I thought you must have checked his profile.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
What a dick.
I want the A’s to try to win next year. What a stupid aashoke I am.
My therapist is Milton Bradley.
Aashoke
i give up. My attitudes towards wanting the A’s to win have been the same for 46 years. Nothing to do with sports radio.
My therapist is Milton Bradley.
I think people have a problem when someone has been trying to rebuild
since 2006 and has not done a very good job and waiting a potential 9 years in unacceptable.
We got a half build on the pitching side
Or really in 2011, either. Acquiring free-agent-to-be outfielders is not the move of a rebuilding squad. They missed on DeJesus, 2009 went poorly, there were injuries, the Rangers were better than expected, etc. etc. But let’s watch the revisionism on “rebuilding.”
Yes, 2011 was not intended to be a rebuilding year
It just happened to be they were beset with injuries and very poor play from the hitters they brought in, except for Willingham’s homers.
Last of the Ninth - Photography
There is revisionist stuff with Willingham too
For the first half of the season he K’d like crazy and had pretty abysmal numbers.
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Absolutely
At least in the second half some of those percentages started to even out closer to career averages.
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Still while he was our best hitter than didn't necessarily make him a GOOD hitter.
If he played on another team and put up these numbers we might not all be clamoring to go out and get him.
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No that is true.
In relooking at Willingham’s numbers they are better than I recalled them being.
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Yeah because I recalled looking at them and ebing like
We sure as shit wont get much back for him at the deadline
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This too.
Acquiring Willingham and DeJesus isn’t the work of a rebuilding team. It’s the work of a pre-season contender. The entire starting rotation was on the DL at the same time for a little while there. Hard to fault Beane on that.
Except insofar as he hasn’t plowed one minimum player’s salary into building the best health and training organization in the game. I’ve wondered, though, about front-office decision makers vs. purse-strings on this — can you convince an owner to plow $500k into upgrading your training staff and facilities the same way you can get him to say yes to Josh Willingham’s salary?
I’d like to think that if I were an owner, I’d sign off on experiments like this (or even suggest them — or at least suggest studying whether they’d be worthwhile), but who knows.
If you go to page 3 of the second document
I assume it’d fall under “MLB Team Operations” which for a year seems to be about $12M. So, let’s assume that includes coaches, managers, etc. What’s that leave maybe $7M? Seems like way more than you’d spend on strength and conditioning coaches, etc.
Could it fall under the around $10M General & Administrative costs?
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Chiming back in three days later
You’re right that I don’t actually know that Beane hasn’t done this. I’m inferring the absence of investment from the fact that nobody, AFAIK, has mentioned anything about fancy new equipment, twice as many team trainers to deal with players, or whatever else you might spend additional money on. Contrast with the reported fact (right? Other people read the papers more closely than I do) that the team has invested in the best grounds crew money can buy.
The facilities belong to the Coliseum authority.
The team can’t upgrade them. Unless you mean offsite facilities.
Baseball is a stupid-making enterprise in that nobody wants to be singled out or say something dumb. —Michael Lewis
THAT would be a pretty damn good idea, actually.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor - Pam liked my old sig better.
My thoughtful watermelon is easily mistook for an early American catapult.
DURRRR THEY’RE TOO OLD, BABIP IS TOO HIGH, TOO MANY Ks, DURRRRRR
The stadium we're building in San Jose is a practice field
and therefore not building on the Giants territorial rights!
"Loyal? I'm the most loyal player money can buy." - Don Sutton
I want the A's to try to win next year too.
But I realize that rebuilding for 2015 is a smarter bet, especially with the talent on the team and in the minors this franchise (doesn’t) have. Rebuilding does NOT mean “not trying”.
Except here's the thing about rebuilding -- saying "we're going to be good during XX season" doesn't always turn out intended.
We could get Kansas City just as easily as Cleveland.
I am incredibly, incredibly wary of “it’s okay, we’ll just suck til we have a new stadium, then we’ll be AWESOME” plan since rebuilding is absolutely HARD to do on an exact schedule.
If they were adamant that our system is in such dire straights that rebuilding in a traditional fashion has to happen regardless of a new stadium, I could appreciate that. But the fact that it’s reliant on a new stadium happening? That does not sit well with me at ALL.
The roster should NOT be determined by the stadium situation, it should be determined by what’s best for the team in both 2011 and in the long run.
"This must be heaven," he says.
"No. It's Oakland."
And by 2011 I mean 2012. Oh god I am stuck in a time loop and trapped in this year forever.
AHHHHHH (now I know how Sisyphus feels)
"This must be heaven," he says.
"No. It's Oakland."
My understanding is that the rebuild is contingent on the stadium only to the extent that Wolff continues to own the team.
The thinking is that the team needs to be rebuilt in order to be competitive. But if the team isn’t going to move to San Jose, then Wolff will sell the team, in which case the team fetches a lot less money while rebuilding than it does if the team invests in mediocre players and fights for 2nd place in the division.
Rebuilding is best for the team in 2012 and beyond. But if you are looking to sell the team in 2012, you don’t want it being rebuilt.
Here's the problem I have with that:
didn’t Billy do a rebuild in 2007/8 with the promise of contention in 2012? Now we have to wait several more years for contention after yet another rebuild… I can see how this can be frustrating for some die-hards to the point of exercising pointless criticism of the team. I understand the team’s dilemma but I don’t have to like it. All the trades we made several years ago was suppose to set us up to contend in 2012. And the only way this happens is if our combination of youthful prospects (Carter/Taylor/Allen et al) along with our AAAA players (Miller/Kai’lui/Sweeney) live up to their once highly projected potentials, which will be a long shot to all happen in the same year, but that’s the beauty of this game. Because of this “potential”, I’ll most likely renew my season tix, and who knows, if all the kds miraculously start playing like the players scouts once thought they were, we could catch lightning in a bottle and surprise some folks and we won’t have to wait several more yrs.
Re-sign Josh Willingham now!
by sf drift king on Nov 20, 2011 11:39 PM PST up reply actions
He did rebuild in 2007-2008, but then stupidly broke it off and wasted precious assets on Matt Holliday in 2009
It’s hard to tell whether 2009 really screwed the team over or if the rebuild was going to fail anyway, but adding Carlos Gonzalez and whoever the team got for Huston Street surely couldn’t have hurt the team any.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Dude, I wish I was a collaborator
Dear Oakland A’s front office: hit me up, happy to help in any way I can.
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But seriously Ricky T.
It is very easy to complain, to lambaste everything. What is your grand solution. How do you quickly rebuild a team which doesn’t have a solid revenue stream? What is your big master plan for being in contention in 2012? How do you trade out of a farm system that is weak with MLB ready players? What do you do differently in the draft?
Youre big on criticism pretty light on ideas.
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It's beyond simple.
Use your personal fortune. They bragged on the way in about being the 4th richest ownership group. If they tie everything to how much pink popcorn they sell, then we’re screwed. Don’t buy a sports team if you treat like a traditional revenue in vs. revenue out business. I refuse to accept the lethargy. I only care about winning. An owner should do everything they can to win at all costs. To simply sit around and bemoan our tough situations or bad circumstances, well, count me out. If you’re not winning then you suck. No excuses. I will always feel this way regardless of sport or venue. We fans can understand the cyclical nature of a sport which rewards failure with better draft picks, but to openly say they’re hands are tied because of the building, which Beane and Wolff have openly done, is B.S. Please excuse any typos because I’m pissed and this iPhone sucks. :)
My therapist is Milton Bradley.
by Ricky T. on Nov 20, 2011 5:09 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
Again you dont answer the question
Lets assume he wants to throw away money for “the public good” – which is a ludicrous notion the owner’s who “throw money” at teams aren’t doing so at a loss – show me your blueprint. Go on, give the A’s an $80M payroll next year. What do you do?
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That so stupid.
I’m not even going to dignify it with a response unless you find money for Fiorentino in there.
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Sigh.
No one ever properly values Cedric Hunter.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Here's a thought: if you don't like the conversations here, why not consider leaving?
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Okay, we get it. You hate everything and it's all awful
Can the attitude toward others here, though. You’re barely a month old here and don’t even have 50 comments yet.
Last of the Ninth - Photography
Pretty much
You really don’t have much of a clue about the overall attitude of people here, and it’s ridiculous to paint the entire site with broad, sweeping brushstrokes just because some people seem to have a better grasp of the situation than you do.
Last of the Ninth - Photography
Chill Bro! No need to be so serious
I am one of the “collaborators” that Ricky T is talking about and I appreciate what he is saying. It is a very worthwhile discussion and we don’t debate this issue often enough on here. Don’t take disagreement so personally he is making a fair point and keeping it light-hearted.
Win or lose, we'll always be there for you.
by johnjahafanclub on Nov 21, 2011 3:07 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Light-hearted?
Seriously?
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
I don't think it was very light-hearted for much of it, no
And, though I know it’s Rick Tittle and some people respect him as a sports radio voice, I don’t think he did himself any favors coming in here with guns blazing like he was in some sort of loud radio guy mode.
There are a lot of people who have issues with Beane here, but there are many others who understand there are good trades, bad trades, good signings, bad signings, and a hell of a lot more that goes into it concerning payroll, the desirability of playing for the A’s compared to someone else and so on. None of this is simple enough to pin down to one basic point.
Last of the Ninth - Photography
Wow, he's a radio guy?
I assumed he was a teenager.
Baseball is a stupid-making enterprise in that nobody wants to be singled out or say something dumb. —Michael Lewis
Given the level of intellectual acuity and continence (broadly defined)
of those two populations, I feel like the distinction may be one without a difference.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
I agree with your nuanced view
and I disagree with Tittle. I think your view is probably the majority view of people here on AN. However, in my discussions with most of my A’s fan friends who are not on AN (aka the majority of the A’s fanbase), my perception is that the non-AN fanbase has a much different view of this issue and that it’s much closer to Tittle’s view than the AN view. Ergo, even though I think Tittle is wrong, I think he has valid views that are worth debating and shouldn’t be taken as personal attacks.
Win or lose, we'll always be there for you.
by johnjahafanclub on Nov 22, 2011 12:29 PM PST up reply actions
Yeah, I know there are a lot of people out there that rip every single thing the ownership/front office does these days
I don’t give most of those people much consideration because it comes off as a bunch of reactionary whining from people who don’t know a whole lot about what goes on.
Last of the Ninth - Photography
Or at least backup the attitude with an insight or two
Other than something that can be paraphrased as “wah wah wah”
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OK, I'll go away.
I thought this was banter. Apparently it’s a bit more extreme. Not trying to offend. Just a lifelong A’s fan here who is frustrated.
My therapist is Milton Bradley.
You think nobody else here is frustrated when the team has been bad lately?
We all want the team to win a lot of games, I’m pretty sure of that. Whatever your opinions on the excuses used that relate to the stadium, lack of fan support and how much that’s the fault of the team or anything else, it’s clear that we’re at the point where there HAS to be a final decision on the future of a new ballpark and where the A’s will play whether it’s yes or no.
If that means we have a few more poor years while the new place is being built, it’s not the end of the world. If it pisses you off that much, I suggest you find something else to focus your energy on until the team is good again.
Last of the Ninth - Photography
Converse. Don't try to...Tittlate.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Don't let Hammer and Coco walk.
That’s a start.
My therapist is Milton Bradley.
by Ricky T. on Nov 20, 2011 5:14 PM PST via mobile reply actions
So you've now got us back to where we were this year
Falls very far short of your threshold of “World Series Champions” or nothing.
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Not true!
They’re both a year older.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
You give a shit about owners who "lose money."
I could not care less.
My therapist is Milton Bradley.
by Ricky T. on Nov 20, 2011 5:16 PM PST via mobile reply actions
You basically want Santa Claus to run this team.
Because Santa Claus like owners who are fine with losing money are both figments of your fucking imagination (kudos if anyone gets the reference)
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I actually think it would be very cool if Santa Claus ran our team.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
The elves could build us an outfield.
Visit my blog the Todd Van Poppel Rookie Card Retirement Plan!!
What the heck does Eric Sogard have to do with this?
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Have a nice night.
My fingers are falling off on this phone so I need to wrap it up. I guess the difference is you guys will watch next year’s 100 losses with a cavalier, “sounds about right” attitude whilst I will watch the 100 losses pissed and fuming the whole time. Go A’s.
My therapist is Milton Bradley.
by Ricky T. on Nov 20, 2011 5:19 PM PST via mobile reply actions
Thanks for the verbal diarrhea, though
You do sound like you’re in sports radio mode up in here – blustering, loud and obnoxious.
Last of the Ninth - Photography
He'll be back after Heidi updates us on traffic
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"CARS! LOTS OF THEM!!!! Back to you."
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Good one, Nico.
Making fun of my stupid job is easy, as I don’t know what you guys do. I’m not here to fight, unless your last name is Wolff. :p I was bombastic in the beginning here, and I now realize the tone the front page is different, so it was my mistake. I’ll stay in the Lounge where some people actually like me. :) We’re all here because we care about the A’s, so I don’t want to lose sight of that. I wrote this morning that I’m a snarky A’s fan, which is true. Many of the points you all make are valid, but it always seems to be one excuse with the team, real or otherwise. I’m fed up with the losing and the prospect of a rebuilding plan makes me sick. I like AN and met many AN’ers during games at the Coliseum last year and at a couple AN parties recently. I will keep a lid on my rage, as I realize this is not the place for it. The pre and post games shows I do are not the place for it, either. Maybe I’ll yell at my cat. :)
My therapist is Milton Bradley.
Seriously, I don't think anyone's going to complain about you showing passion for the team and wanting better
But it’s not a good idea to come in and basically rip most of the people on here when they don’t agree with every point you make while giving a pretty biased “All our trades suck” line right from the start.
Last of the Ninth - Photography
I'm not wild about the "don't get good till 2015!" rebuilding idea either, personally
I prefer to try to get good as soon as you can and then stay good. To hear the A’s talk, you’d think it was a disaster if they succeeded before they moved. Try succeeding whenever the heck you can.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Nov 20, 2011 8:39 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
I think a lot of people take offense when you have an argument
That basically is “you like Billy Beane, therefore you like losing, therefore you aren’t a real fan”. Like there are guys on this team I’d love to jettison out of here, but if you like them it doesn’t mean you arent a real fan or want to lose. That sort of stuff isnt cool.
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Wait, this troll has an actual radio show?
Jesus. I knew talk radio was an abomination of desolation, but that just makes me embarrassed for the human race.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Ha ha ha ha ha
This is all very funny.
"Never overlook an orchid while searching for a rose" - Buck Showalter
Gio
Please do not trade Gio! He is our star.
I would like to apologize for comments made during That December that indicated I was excited for Dan Meyer and anticipating his glorious future.
So very, very sorry. Sob.
"This must be heaven," he says.
"No. It's Oakland."
So, a bit OT
LoMo and others for Gio? Me no likey
Who do you guys want back from Cinci for Andrew Bailey
I’ve been overwhelmed and I’ve been underwhelmed. Can I ever just be whelmed?
Lomo and others for Gio would rock.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor - Pam liked my old sig better.
My thoughtful watermelon is easily mistook for an early American catapult.
DURRRR THEY’RE TOO OLD, BABIP IS TOO HIGH, TOO MANY Ks, DURRRRRR
I'm basing this on twitter.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor - Pam liked my old sig better.
My thoughtful watermelon is easily mistook for an early American catapult.
DURRRR THEY’RE TOO OLD, BABIP IS TOO HIGH, TOO MANY Ks, DURRRRRR
True, but I think Alonso is probably the better prospect over all.
Grandal seems more likely to generate a win-win trade scenario. From their viewpoint, too, since Grandal is more blocked by Mesoraco than Alonso is by Votto.
Baseball is a stupid-making enterprise in that nobody wants to be singled out or say something dumb. —Michael Lewis
I saw a recent list where Yorman was #4 and Grandal was #5.
That’s a big jump for Yorman. I gather he must have had a good 2011.
Baseball is a stupid-making enterprise in that nobody wants to be singled out or say something dumb. —Michael Lewis
So all the other Reds prospects dropped or were promoted?
Or is it just the nature of things that if you’re a young and toolsy but untested guy, the mere fact of making it through another year without sucking increases your value?
Baseball is a stupid-making enterprise in that nobody wants to be singled out or say something dumb. —Michael Lewis
Well people have talked about this on here before
(PaulThomas mostly I think, or maybe grover)—that these prospect ranking groups purposely put out “controversial” lists because it may get them talked about. Or, if they hit on a random flier of a prospect, it gives them some credibility.
As heavily as BA favors tools, the fact that Yorman isn’t in their top ten is somewhat damning. The list you read was probably just casting lines.





























