Some people around have recently taken one too many deep whiffs of ether or let their dentist leave the nitrous tap open just a weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee bit too long and insist on sunshine pumping their delirium on the rest of us who would prefer to have some semblance of discerning reality from the Santas riding ponies in our mind . That being said, I would like to ask those who do not agree with the projections which say that the A's aren't very good if there has ever been a team with a health question at 19 of the 25 projected active roster spots that has made the playoffs? Lets look at the medicals:
C1 Kurt Suzuki: Kurt hurt his oblique last year and missed 19 games on the DL. Despite missing those games still managed to play 131 games last year, an insane number for a catcher on team not in contention who had missed significant time with a soft tissue injury. Soft tissue injuries increase the likelihood of future injury even after they have healed and it is very possible that playing 148, 147, and 131 games in an injury riddled year is catching up to him.
OUTLOOK: Moderate Risk
C2 Landon Powell: Powell has been a back up catcher for two years in the MLB when Suzuki was playing a ton of games and we were experimenting with Jake Fox, so knowing how hurt he has been by DL time isn't necissarily the best approach, but this is what we do know. There were many times in the past two years when Powell was unavailable to play because of soft tissue injuries to his hamstrings. There were also many games where he limped around the bases slower than hospital patients walk to the Xray machine. We also know that he has a rare form of liver disease called autoimmune hepatitis and has had both knees operated on for a total of at least 3 surgeries for his two legs.
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
1B Daric Barton Daric Barton is generally fine when staying away from swimming pools. Actually thats not true. Barton had a broken finger last year which didn't require DL time and had a hamstring problems that sent him to the DL in 2008. In the minors Barton battled an elbow injury for much of 2007. Plus, he does those splits which not only make my groin hurt every time I see them but also is likely to pull something eventually.
OUTLOOK: Moderate Risk
2B Mark Ellis:
Transactions/Injuries/Suspensions
May 22, 2010 Missed 28 games (hamstring). April 21, 2010 Hamstring, 15-day DL. April 20, 2010 Missed 7 games (hamstring). April 12, 2010 Hamstring, day-to-day. June 28, 2009 Missed 55 games (calf injury). May 20, 2009 Transferred from the 15-day DL to the 60-day DL (calf injury). April 29, 2009 Calf injury, 15-day DL. September 21, 2008 Right shoulder injury, 60-day DL. August 31, 2008 Right shoulder injury, day-to-day. August 30, 2008 Missed 2 games (right shoulder injury). August 28, 2008 Right shoulder injury, day-to-day. August 27, 2008 Missed 4 games (shoulder injury). August 23, 2008 Shoulder injury, day-to-day. July 25, 2008 Missed 2 games (right shoulder injury). July 22, 2008 Right shoulder injury, day-to-day. May 23, 2008 Missed 7 games (hamstring). May 15, 2008 Hamstring, day-to-day. June 2, 2007 Missed 3 games (knee injury). May 30, 2007 Knee injury, day-to-day. October 10, 2006 Did not make the ALCS roster. October 5, 2006 Broken finger, will miss the remainder of the playoffs. June 30, 2006 Missed 26 games (thumb injury). June 1, 2006 Thumb injury, 15-day DL. May 31, 2006 Thumb injury, day-to-day. May 23, 2006 Missed 2 games (shoulder injury). May 22, 2006 Shoulder injury, day-to-day. October 4, 2004 Missed entire 2004 season (shoulder injury). September 3, 2004 Transferred from the 15-day DL to the 60-day DL (shoulder injury). April 4, 2004 Shoulder injury, 15-day DL. August 26, 2003 Missed 1 game (hand injury). August 25, 2003 Hand injury, day-to-day.
Need I say more?
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
3B Kevin Kouzmanoff: Has longstanding back issues which has caused him to miss 5 or more games 3 times over his career and basically the last month of the season in 2010. Ask anyone with back problems (including a certain former 3bman of ours) if they get better or I could save you some time... they don't. Oh yeah he has also had DL time with a calf problem a couple of years ago.
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
SS Cliff Pennington In addition to a minor league career that was plagued by injuries more than zits plague a teenagers face, he only has one working shoulder and is already projected to miss time.
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
UT Adam Rosales No one knows if a broken ankle will recover to the point where he gets his range and speed back and already is scheduled to miss part of spring training.
OUTLOOK: High Risk
Transactions/Injuries/Suspensions
November 10, 2010 Missed the last 67 games of the regular season (right thumb injury). September 1, 2010 Transferred from the 15-day DL to the 60-day DL (right thumb injury). July 23, 2010 Right thumb injury, 15-day DL. May 27, 2010 Missed 2 games (personal reasons). May 25, 2010 Personal reasons, day-to-day. October 4, 2009 Missed the last 9 games of the regular season (illness). September 25, 2009 Illness, day-to-day. September 22, 2009 Missed 2 games (ankle injury). September 20, 2009 Ankle injury, day-to-day. September 18, 2009 Missed 1 game (knee injury). September 17, 2009 Knee injury, day-to-day. July 28, 2009 Missed 1 game (right knee injury). July 27, 2009 Right knee injury, day-to-day. September 29, 2008 Missed the last 3 games of the regular season (hip injury). September 26, 2008 Hip injury, day-to-day. August 12, 2008 Missed 1 game (hip injury). August 10, 2008 Hip injury, day-to-day. August 8, 2008 Missed 5 games (sprained left ankle). August 2, 2008 Sprained left ankle, day-to-day. July 2, 2008 Missed 2 games (bruised ribs). June 30, 2008 Bruised ribs, day-to-day. April 14, 2008 Missed 11 games (sprained right ankle). March 31, 2008 Sprained right ankle, day-to-day. April 23, 2007 Missed 1 game (ankle injury). April 22, 2007 Ankle injury, day-to-day. May 29, 2006 Missed 35 games (hamstring). April 21, 2006 Hamstring, 15-day DL. April 19, 2006 Hamstring, day-to-day. April 15, 2006 Missed 6 games (hamstring). April 8, 2006 Hamstring, day-to-day. October 2, 2005 Missed 11 games to the end of the regular season (foot injury). September 24, 2005 Shoulder injury, day-to-day. September 21, 2005 Missed 22 games (shoulder injury). August 29, 2005 Shoulder injury, day-to-day. August 24, 2005 Rib injury, day-to-day. August 24, 2005 Missed 1 game (rib injury). August 21, 2005 Missed 1 game (rib injury). August 20, 2005 Rib injury, day-to-day. May 20, 2005 Missed 1 game (foot injury). May 19, 2005 Foot injury, day-to-day. September 1, 2004 Missed 1 game (concussion).
Like Ellis, need I say more?
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
CF Coco Crisp Has played 120 games 1 in the last 5 years
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
RF Josh Willingham Has longstanding back problems that has cost him huge chunks of the season in the past coupled with missing the last 44 games of the season with knee surgery.
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
OF Ryan Sweeney Has two bad knees which forced him to miss much of the season with knee surgurey. Also has numerous day to day maladies from dives and crashing into the wall.
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
OF Conor Jackson Had Valley Fever, significant hamstring issues, and finished the season on the DL with a sports hernia.
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
DH Hediki Matsui Has two bum knees that have both required surgery. Also really old.
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
Pitching
Note: All risks are relative to other pitchers which means that low risk isn't really that low.\
SP: Trevor Cahill Was on the DL at the end of ST last year, non throwing arm
OUTLOOK: Low Risk
SP Gio Gonzalez Was on the DL at the end of ST 2009 but otherwise healthy
OUTLOOK: Low Risk
SP: Brett Anderson: Is going to have to have TJ eventually because thats what happens to people that get forearm strains. Also has other nagging injuries and has spent DL time in every professional season he has had.
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
SP: Dallas Braden: Suing the teams medical staff and cant feel his toes because of baseball injury.
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
SP Rich Harden: Dude once got hurt turning off an alarm clock. Enough said.
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
RP Andrew Bailey: Has history with TJS and elbow surgery to go along with back problems
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
RP Grant Balfour Has pitched over 60 games once. Has elbow and rib injury histories and is a TJS survivor but been mostly healthy for the last three years except for a DL stint last year.
OUTLOOK: High Risk
RP Brian Fuentes Has long standing back problems going back years and put him on the DL twice last year
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
RP Michael Wuertz Throws so many sliders his arm fell off.
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
RP Brad Ziegler No health problems besides a fractured skull from a line drive in his kids little league game.
OUTLOOK: Low Risk
RP Craig Breslow No significant health problems
OUTLOOK: Low Risk
RP: Joey Divine Hasn't pitched in two years.
OUTLOOK: MASSIVE RISK
So basically we have four low risk players compared to 19 high and MASSIVE risk players on the active roster. Just to field this team look at how much needs to break right for the A's. Whats worse is our AAA team doesn't have a lot of hot shot prospects to replace the wards of hospital stricken players. Do we really think this is a contending team?




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