Billy Beane Visits Athletics Nation: New Season Edition 2010 Part 2
Yesterday was part one and today is the conclusion of AN's exclusive season opening interview with A's GM Billy Beane. I'll again put up the caveat that we did this interview on Monday, March 29, so some of the answers might seem a little dated. Also, I want to personally thank Billy who did an interview with me on his birthday after he had very little sleep the night before because his twins were keeping him up. We were two tired dads during this interview.
Any way, thanks to Billy Beane for taking the time and I hope you enjoyed this interview on the opening days of the 2010 baseball season.
Blez: I've read that the plans right now seem to be leaning towards the A's splitting the time between Daric Barton and Eric Chavez at first base as long as Chavez remains healthy. Why does that seem to be the plan right now when Barton has had a great spring thus far and Chavy has struggled a bit. Barton also seemed to finally come into his own last year.
Beane: We haven't gone with any plan yet, so you have to be careful what you're reading. Eric will be the first to tell you that he's not an everyday player. What we want to do is to utilize his skills as much as possible. Daric comes in as the incumbent and he's always been a guy that we've thought very highly of and he finished up strong last year. He continues to take it into the spring. It's a story not yet written. It's hard to ignore Daric's most recent development, but we have another week left in spring and Eric has held up well. We also have to give Eric Chavez the benefit of the doubt in that he's been out for a couple of years. We should be happy that he's healthy, that he's been able to go out there all during the spring and give him a chance to get his sea legs underneath him. With the way Daric has played though, it's hard to ignore that. I think there will be plenty of opportunities for anyone that is healthy, that's for sure.
Blez: Tell me about the rotation. You've got Sheets, coming off injury, Justin Duchscherer who missed a year, Braden who, gotta love him, gets in there despite an apparent staph infection...
Beane: He didn't have a staph infection. Dr. Braden was not correct in his diagnosis (laughs).
Blez: Then you've got Brett Anderson and Gio Gonzalez or Trevor Cahill for the number five spot. How do you feel about the starting pitching?
Beane: Well it's deeper. As you said, there is some risk with some of those guys given their history. I think we have to be prepared. In a perfect world, you begin the season with five starters and you end with the same five. But that just hasn't been the case with us or most organizations. The good thing this year is that we have other options if someone stumbles due to injury or otherwise. We haven't had that in a few years. The thing we're dealing with right now is some nicks in the bullpen which was a strength for us last year. That's why we acquired Ramirez from Texas and then yesterday got Chad Gaudin. Gaudin is a very versatile guy. He can long man, pitch in the set up role and he can also start. He's a very valuable guy if health comes into question as it often does during the season.
Blez: As with the past few seasons with the A's, the bullpen appears to be the strong point. How are you feeling about the pen right now in spite of all the injuries?
Beane: It'll be easier to answer when we actually start. We've got (Andrew) Bailey who is feeling good. He's throwing in today's game and we'll breathe a sigh of relief when he gets a couple of games under his belt. (Craig) Breslow is feeling good. I don't think he's scheduled today, but we do feel better about him. The guy we don't know about but should have more information later today is Mike Wuertz and his status. It's safe to say that Mike be a little delayed in terms of starting the season. We don't know that for sure but he's had a slow spring with a shoulder problem. If he started the season on the DL, it wouldn't be a total shock. Unfortunately that was one of the ramifications of having so many young starts. As good as the bullpen was last year, the carry over winds up affecting this year and some of the things we're dealing with right now. We don't know that for sure, but it's definitely feasible.
Blez: How is Joey Devine doing?
Beane: Joey is coming along. He certainly won't be ready for the beginning of the year, but we're hopeful that we're going to see him sometime during April. It's more likely to be the end of April rather than the beginning. He's had a little bit of a stumble there a few weeks ago and he's starting to throw off the mound now but it's unrealistic to think he's going to be ready until, at the earliest, the end of April.
Blez: You seemingly made the right choice to not make a qualifying offer to Jack Cust as you got him back at less than expected. Were you anticipating it working out that way when you made the decision?
Beane: You have to respect what Jack had accomplished in his time with us. Even though he had been non-tendered, there was still a certain price point where he was still very valuable to us. Ultimately, in our opinion, he reached that. And our team had such little power and to not have the number one power hitter on our club we realized that there was no one to replace him with. From the start, the day he was non-tended we said we would have interest in bringing him back. Both sides were able to come to a mutual agreement that works for both parties and hopefully Jack goes out and gets back to his 30 home runs and provides that at what we think is a reasonable cost.
Blez: Is the goal to have him as the DH the majority of the time this year?
Beane: Jack gave it a great effort out there, but he'd be the first one to say that given the guys that we have, that he'd be better served to be at the DH spot on a regular basis. The good thing about Jack is that he can go out there. But we are going to try and keep him in the DH spot because we have some great defensive outfielders on the club. Unless Bob has no other choice, you'll predominantly see Jack DHing.
Blez: Do you think the A's will steal a lot more bases this year since it seemed like once the team got aggressive on the basepaths in the second half, the runs started to come then?
Beane: It was the skills we had and I think Bob utilized it well. At the end of the day, for us to be a high-performing offensive club we have to slug at a higher rate than we did the last couple of years. The ideal thing is that with some speed we develop some power and a little more dynamic offensive with someone like Raj. The thing about stealing bases is that it helps create that mentality of aggressiveness and Bob has done that well. A guy like Raj is going to steal bases no matter where he's at. He's a pretty unique talent, speed wise. What it does from a mentality standpoint is that guys who might not run as well as Raj get into a more aggressive mindset. It's not just stealing bases, but going first to third and taking the extra base on a base hit. I think creating that mentality is as big a positive as anything. Ultimately, having guys like Ryan Sweeney and Kurt Suzuki, who runs very well for his position, you create a mentality of not waiting around for things to happen. It's not just the stolen base in a vacuum. It creates a mentality of aggressiveness throughout the club. Bob did a great job of instilling that in the guys and ultimately guys get confident on the bases as they do at bat. The best way to do it though is to have those guys at the top of the lineup and then get the power guys and then you have a dynamic club. Nobody wants to be one-dimensional where the only way you can score runs is by hitting home runs and the only way you can score runs is by stealing a base. The best teams this franchise has ever had, and if you look back to the ‘89 team it's a prime example, you had speed and power with Rickey (Henderson) at the top of the lineup and then the big power hitters in the middle. That's ultimately what every team is trying to create. It's something we'd like to do as well.
Blez: You mentioned Rickey. What kind of impact does it have to have Rickey Henderson around folks like Rajai and Coco Crisp?
Beane: He's been great here. He brings a lot of energy and he's smiling all the time. In fact he's been so good that after the first week we brought him down we brought him down again. He's going to continue to work with the organization throughout the season. It's not just about stealing bases. I've talked to Rickey about this and the greatest skill I think Rickey ever had was his ability to take a great at-bat. He forced you to throw a strike and got you deep into the count. He'd take a walk if you were going to give it to him, but if you're going to lay the first pitch in there, he was going to hit it over the fence. He has a lot to offer outside of just leading off and stealing bases. That was just one of the many skills Rickey had. Rickey was also an outstanding defender as well and knew the outfield. He's been great and he's brought a lot of smiles, a lot of energy and a lot of expertise. He's been an absolute pleasure to have around.
Blez: Where do you think you are in terms of rebuilding this team? Have you set benchmarks for what you want the team to be accomplishing in 2010?
Beane: No, if we're healthy I think we'll be taking a tangible step forward in terms of performance. Of course we're going to have to be healthy in order to do that. But it's really hard to project too far into the future because of our payroll limitations. But our immediate goal is to stay healthy and then take a step forward record-wise from where we were last year. Where that takes us is hard to say. We need to get some of these young bats up here and I think once you have the young pitcher and the young bats up here and them all taking steps forward then you can consider yourself a contender. But we still have a ways to go.
Blez: How do you grade a manager in this situation? When does the pressure for success start?
Beane: You have to be realistic. A manager has to have players good enough to win from the outset before you can start to expect them to win. In Bob's situation, we've basically taken his best players away from him every year and provided him with less experienced players so he's done a great job of coming in to do the best job every day with what he's been given. Quite frankly, in ‘07 and ‘08, we basically took the most experienced and accomplished players from him, so you have to be realistic with the expectations based on what he's given. One way to measure it is are the young players playing hard for him and are they showing improvement. At this stage, we're pleased with that. Bob has dealt with more injuries than anyone and dealt with a rebuilding situation. He goes into this year with the lowest payroll in the American League. He brings a ton of energy and a can-do attitude. We've been very pleased with what he has done.
Blez: How much stock do you put into statistics like batting average on balls in play, and defense independent pitching statistics? Do you think a hitter has any control over the BABIP or is it all luck? And do you think you can measure the DIPS for a pitcher effectively?
Beane: Oh man. That's probably a question that could take all day to answer. There are so many statistics out there and some have greater weight than others but to say one is more important than another is hard to answer. But they are one of many different statistics we look at. It would take too long to go over each one and deal with how much of it is luck and how much validity each one had. Certainly they are of value and have their proper weight.
Blez: It seems like certain players have a good BABIP each year. Do you think that indicates that there is some control over it?
Beane: It really gets down to a pretty basic theory here I think. If you consistently hit the ball hard, you're going to have a good batting average on balls in play. Take a guy like Albert Pujols who consistently puts the fat part of the bat onto the baseball and he's going to do well with that stat. If you boil it down to its simplest form and that's if you make hard contact consistently, it's going to usually equal a good hitter.
Blez: I know you're probably already tired of talking about the Moneyball movie, but The Blind Side wound up such a huge hit and really cast a spotlight down on Michael Oher. He was thrust into the public's consciousness in a way I don't think he was expecting. Is there a part of you that's anxious about having an even greater spotlight cast on yourself once it's released? Or at least really very publicly rehashing a lot of the stuff from the book all over again?
Beane: The book has been out for eight years and it continues to sell very well. It has brought some great things into my life, but as I always say it's his talent as much as anything because he's a brilliant writer. As far as the movie is concerned, I don't really think about it too much. As with any movie, my bet is that it won't be identical to the book. Quite frankly, Tyler, I don't think about it much.
Blez: Did you at least hear that (Paul) DePodesta is being played by Jonah Hill now?
Beane: I heard that but I didn't really know who Jonah Hill was until someone told me.
Blez: So you haven't started calling DePo "Superbad" or anything?
Beane: No, I haven't seen the movie Superbad. The discussion for me with the book and the impact has been great, quite frankly. It's changed my life and helped introduce me to people outside the industry who I might have never come in contact with. It's been quite flattering.
Blez: Speaking of meeting people outside the industry, has Brad Pitt contacted you to get to know you in preparation for his character?
Beane: I've had the opportunity to spend some time with him. He's a great guy and really down to earth. I really enjoyed the few times we've gotten together.
Blez: Did you feel like he was studying your mannerisms or anything?
Beane: No, not at all. We've just gotten together and enjoyed the conversation. He was a really good guy and very down-to-earth. More so than you would expect for someone with his kind of fame.
Blez: Finally, how excited are you right now about the 2010 season for the Oakland A's? Are you approaching it with trepidation or are you excited?
Beane: I'm excited about every year. It's the competitor in me. I'm always excited. I always like to get opening day out of the way because I think there's too much focus on opening day when there's such a long haul. I enjoy the cycle of the baseball season. I enjoy the winter but once the winter is over and baseball season comes, I enjoy the whole league playing, the minor leagues starting up, the draft coming and I'm always very optimistic at the beginning of the season. I always have great expectations. I just like to get opening day out of the way because I've never liked opening day.
Blez: Really? Even when you were a player?
Beane: Well as a player it's different. As an executive, you just want to get the hoopla out of the way and get into the rhythms and flows of the season. I remember a few years ago, I think it was 2006, we opened with the Yankees. Barry pitched I think and he went against Randy Johnson and the Yankees and we just got clobbered. Once that night is over, your annual body clock kicks in and there's games on and lots of information being processed. I really start to enjoy that, but it takes a couple of days to get through opening day. One thing I do like about opening day is turning the TV on first thing in the morning and having so many games broadcasted, that's a lot of fun. But I like the rhythm of the season once you get past opening day.
Blez: Where you can get into more of a routine.
Beane: Yeah, very much so. Summer is coming and the weather is turning in the Bay Area. This is my 31st year in the game, so your body gets kind of used to the different seasons and I always look forward to it. I like spring training. One thing I look forward to is going north after being down here for seven weeks because it's gray when you leave with no leaves on the trees and then you get home and every flower in the Bay Area has bloomed and the hills are just green. I look forward to seeing that. I also look forward to driving into the office and seeing Betty (his assistant) who I haven't seen for seven weeks and seeing everyone else. It is a time for optimism. It's the great thing about baseball and spring training. The thing that stinks is that I remember that it was the beginning of the year last year when we started to get the injury bug, I think we were in Texas and Nomar (Garciaparra) and Ellie (Mark Ellis) went down. It was all in a space of one or two games and then you're playing catch up and that's difficult. The hope is to leave spring training healthy and start the season out and get on a little bit of a roll. It is a time I look forward to and I'm very happy when we start once we get past opening day.
Blez: The good news is that it seems like both Duke and Sheets seem relatively healthy right now.
Beane: Cross your fingers. The bullpen is one area that we're trying to work out. The position players are by and large feeling pretty good. A lot of the guys are anxious to get up and start playing. They think spring training is too long. It's because of injuries and getting your pitchers ready is why spring training is as long as it is. If we had to open up two weeks ago, we'd be very short in the bullpen right now.
Blez: I want to thank you for taking the time to talk to me. Happy birthday to you!
Beane: Thank you very much, Tyler.
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I thought that was my nickname.
sock puppets have never successfully defended castles. -nm
by Leopold Bloom on Apr 6, 2010 8:58 AM PDT up reply actions
Aw...I was all set to enjoy the smooth crooning sounds of Robert Palmer...
sock puppets have never successfully defended castles. -nm
by Leopold Bloom on Apr 6, 2010 10:19 AM PDT up reply actions
I thought it was going to be Thompson Twins
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
did they recently sell one of their songs to a commercial?
sock puppets have never successfully defended castles. -nm
by Leopold Bloom on Apr 6, 2010 10:41 AM PDT up reply actions
"She wants to multiply...are you gonna do it?"
"By the end of the year, I'll have Dallas throwing right-handed'' -Ben Sheets
I call everybody that.
Apparently Steve Albini calls everyone “Senator.” (reason #321 why Steve Albini is my hero)
"Cheese is the fruit juice nature intended."- The Reverend Billy Lard
by Gaijin_Suketto on Apr 6, 2010 2:49 PM PDT up reply actions
I call everyuone Cap'n!
which is actually quite unfair to Cap’n Cheese. Or quite overly fair to him.
sock puppets have never successfully defended castles. -nm
by Leopold Bloom on Apr 6, 2010 2:58 PM PDT up reply actions
I liked your questions about statistical evaluation especially
and a really, really liked Beane’s answer. He seems to have a very good approach to looking at stats: they are very valuable, and you can learn an enormous amount from them, but none of them by itself is a magical key that unlocks the Truth about a player.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
Agreed.
In prior interviews Beane has mentioned that the organization keeps records about the amount of “hard contact” players in the minor leagues are making. I think that’s really useful for determining development beyond counting stats, rate stats and even BABIP.
I think it’s essentially true that unless you see a guy play everyday, it’s hard to determine how “well” he’s squaring the ball up. Take for instance someone like Cliff Pennington…his 2009 AAA numbers suggested he was going to fail miserably in the major leagues…but, it’s possible the organization reports suggested that he was making really consistent, hard contact and just not finding the holes.
Then he goes up and posts very good numbers in the season’s final two months at the MLB level and seems to be carrying that over a bit this season.
I'm never gonna do it without the fez on!
Yes
That’s the sort of stat that a team is in a better position to keep than we are, certainly at the minor league level.
Though you do have to be careful, if you have that info for your own players but not other teams’ players, not to let it cause you to overvalue your own guys. It’d start getting pretty damn expensive if you had to have a scout noting down approximated hit speeds at every single minor league game, so I’m assuming they only have that data for their own players.
Shawn Spencer: "I’m receiving a transmission from your husband. Really more of a voicemail, if I'm being honest. A status update. Perhaps a twitter."
Burton Guster: "I believe it’s called a tweet."
Shawn Spencer: "There’s no way I’m saying that."
And if they only have it for their own players, it's hard to know if they're actually any good.
If Player X (or, say, every player in the A’s organization) hits 50% of the balls he puts into play “hard,” that information is totally useless without knowing what everybody does. What if league average is 80%? Or 20%?
I’d hope they would have some kind of baseline number.
www.zekeishungry.com
by thejd44 on Apr 6, 2010 11:03 AM PDT up reply actions
Well, you could get that reasonably easily by just keeping track of what the other team does in your games
That’ll give you a pseudo-random sampling of players at a given level of play.
Shawn Spencer: "I’m receiving a transmission from your husband. Really more of a voicemail, if I'm being honest. A status update. Perhaps a twitter."
Burton Guster: "I believe it’s called a tweet."
Shawn Spencer: "There’s no way I’m saying that."
I think data like that would probably be most useful...
for the lower-profile guys, especially for use in scouting other organizations. The higher profile guys (like Top 100 type prospects) probably get a lot of attention from a myriad of scouts who might be specifically tasked with analyzing just how much “good contact” he’s making.
But for a guy that might be lower profile, it might be behoove a team like the A’s to devote some extra attention to a guy they might like in preparation for a possible trade or to get him when his value his low.
I'm never gonna do it without the fez on!
Makes you wonder if Cust did something stupid
He acknowledges Cust’s important role, but then proceeds to drop him like an ex a week later. Makes no sense.
"Do I talk to myself? No, I just remind myself of what I'm trying to do. You know, I never answer myself so how can I be talking to myself?" - Rickey
Everything is better with bacon.
Yeah, you'd think that someone who explained the Cust signing the way Beane does in this interview
would have reacted to the DFA by going, “WTF? We need power! So what if he K’s a lot? He could hit 30 HRs for this team, and he’s never hurt, and who the hell else on the team is like that?” And yet, Beane is the one who DFA’d him.
Weird.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
Injuries plus options plus the fact Cust wasn't picked up at all in the offseason
plus wanting to give Chavez the best opportunity to succeed plus having him and Chavy be DH would give Geren two lefty DHs.
I can talk myself into it if I divorce myself from the emotion, which is Beane’s forte (which, I submit, he picked up from Bill Walsh, who always advocated for releasing them too early rather than too late).
sock puppets have never successfully defended castles. -nm
by Leopold Bloom on Apr 6, 2010 9:00 AM PDT up reply actions
He sure missed the boat on releasing Chavez too early.
I AM VERY MUCH ENJOYING THE HITTING OF BASEBALLS AND SCORING OF RUNS. -mikev
only an ZOMG CENSORED WORD FAMILY SITE quotes himself. -mikev
oh, I forgot...plus irrational man-crush.
sock puppets have never successfully defended castles. -nm
by Leopold Bloom on Apr 6, 2010 10:20 AM PDT up reply actions
werd
I AM VERY MUCH ENJOYING THE HITTING OF BASEBALLS AND SCORING OF RUNS. -mikev
only an ZOMG CENSORED WORD FAMILY SITE quotes himself. -mikev
plus i think it's pretty clear the a's value guys that can play multiple positions credibly...
even if not at an expert level. they’d rather have the flexibility than pure competence in the short term.
the problem for cust is that beyond DH, he doesn’t play a position credibly in the eyes of the A’s. Even Beane acknowledged it subtly in the interview.
i think that hurts cust as well.
As opposed to Patterson
Who is a shitty 2B and a shitty LF… or Fox, who is a shitty C, shitty 3B, shitty 1B, and shitty LF?
I AM VERY MUCH ENJOYING THE HITTING OF BASEBALLS AND SCORING OF RUNS. -mikev
only an ZOMG CENSORED WORD FAMILY SITE quotes himself. -mikev
Or Chavez, who can only play first if he can roll the ball back to the pitcher
Or run and hand it to him like in The Sandlot.
www.zekeishungry.com
by thejd44 on Apr 6, 2010 11:04 AM PDT up reply actions
yer killin me Smalls
I AM VERY MUCH ENJOYING THE HITTING OF BASEBALLS AND SCORING OF RUNS. -mikev
only an ZOMG CENSORED WORD FAMILY SITE quotes himself. -mikev
go back and read what i wrote about patterson after seeing him play in spring training
he should be cut or fired or disassembled or whatever…
but for whatever reason the a’s value the flexibility he provides. same for fox and rosales.
and i think it has to do with them carrying extra relievers and a light bench. they need positional flexibility.
But how much of what Patterson provides is actual flexibility?
Just standing at a spot and wearing a glove doesn’t mean you can actually play the position.
www.zekeishungry.com
by thejd44 on Apr 6, 2010 1:04 PM PDT up reply actions
x farging times to sunday
"Not in your wildest alcoholic nightmare would you ever imagine such events unfolding!" Bill King
by Buck Turgidson on Apr 6, 2010 3:55 PM PDT up reply actions
If injuries were really a factor, Cust's dearth of injuries should be just as important as his hitting
"Do I talk to myself? No, I just remind myself of what I'm trying to do. You know, I never answer myself so how can I be talking to myself?" - Rickey
Everything is better with bacon.
by cuppingmaster on Apr 6, 2010 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions
Had to drop someone
Cust is one of the few that will clear waivers. He’ll be back. It was a smart move I think, but only if you look at the long-term.
So in the meantime you sacrifice the offense he'll give for clearly worse players?
Likely clearing waivers is just not a good enough reason to get rid of the best offensive player on the team, especially when the guy replacing him is in his 30s, broken down, and clearly much, much worse. Can’t say it enough.
www.zekeishungry.com
by thejd44 on Apr 6, 2010 9:55 AM PDT up reply actions
There is so much
going on behind the scenes in the running of an MLB team, that it is somewhat naive to take what information is put out there as PR as the gospel. It does make no sense based on what we know.
I always wonder what impact Cust being a former PED user has on his current performance (along with other players who have dropped in performance and dealt with many injuries). It must be really disappointing to have your performance drop so precipitously, and must be really tempting to get back into using them when this happens. This is a factor that we will never truly know anything about, but it may be the underlying issue that causes mysterious actions on the part of management.
by Chilango on Apr 6, 2010 10:35 AM PDT up reply actions
Erm, and what exactly makes you think Cust was a PED user?
I AM VERY MUCH ENJOYING THE HITTING OF BASEBALLS AND SCORING OF RUNS. -mikev
only an ZOMG CENSORED WORD FAMILY SITE quotes himself. -mikev
Because he once had a locker next to a guy who used PEDs, right?
Isn’t that the story from the Mitchell Report?
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
I believe Cust is the ONLY player in the Mitchell Report to be included based solely on the words of one former player (and user)
Either way, I don’t see how he would’ve been a PED user in 2007, but not now. If he was using HGH, why stop? If he was using other things, he most likely stopped before he came to the A’s in 2007.
www.zekeishungry.com
by thejd44 on Apr 6, 2010 11:05 AM PDT up reply actions
Yeah I wouldn't say that Cust dropped weight or even has the prototypical 'roid body injuries
He’s stayed remarkably healthy, and with a blip last year, he’s been remarkably consistent, too
"Do I talk to myself? No, I just remind myself of what I'm trying to do. You know, I never answer myself so how can I be talking to myself?" - Rickey
Everything is better with bacon.
by cuppingmaster on Apr 6, 2010 12:33 PM PDT up reply actions
what does this mean?
We also have to give Eric Chavez the benefit of the doubt in that he’s been out for a couple of years.
shouldn’t that be “we have to assume chavez will get injured after fifteen games once again”?
A's v Giants "is kind of like the difference between going to see the Ramones and going to see the Bee Gees. A's fans will go see the Ramones."
-BB 07/27/05
yeah, should be more like
We have to doubt the benefits of Eric Chavez after he’s been out for a couple of years
I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does.
The ninth fastest thirty year old in San Francisco
by bobnothing on Apr 6, 2010 9:36 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
So if Chavez goes 0-4 every night, he'll be 0 for 60 after 15 games.
That should be enough to get Cust back up, shouldn’t it?
www.zekeishungry.com
by thejd44 on Apr 6, 2010 9:56 AM PDT up reply actions
So, you ready for an OOTP league yet?
:)
I AM VERY MUCH ENJOYING THE HITTING OF BASEBALLS AND SCORING OF RUNS. -mikev
only an ZOMG CENSORED WORD FAMILY SITE quotes himself. -mikev
that's about what I'm thinking... 2-3 weeks, 60PA...
"Cheese is the fruit juice nature intended."- The Reverend Billy Lard
by Gaijin_Suketto on Apr 6, 2010 2:52 PM PDT up reply actions
I think it means
…We also have to give Eric Chavez the benefit of the doubt (since he has sucked donkeys so far in Spring Training) in that he’s been out for a couple of years ( and if you squint deeply into the past, he was good once upon a time.)
by redtopcowboy on Apr 6, 2010 11:14 AM PDT up reply actions
as in, we expect Eric to improve with more time
Cust on the other hand, we know what we’re getting.
Plus, it would be a PR bust to release Chavez just when he’s back to playing. Would be better to have Eric man up and retire if he doesn’t improve.
why
blez, why didn’t you ask him about the movie?
Beane's World!! Excellent!!! Rock On, Beane! Rock On, Geren!
If you DFA CUST
Then Chavez HAS to be a success. There is no 2 ways about it. If Chavez fails, then you likely end up bringing back a disgruntled Cust who wont be as gung ho about the whole situation. I think Chavez is washed up. I think he has been washed up for several years now. I dont believe he ever was a great hitter, and to assume that in his 30’s with a long injury list that somehow he is going to produce at the DH is just wishful thinking. But if he DOES produce, then Beane looks like a genius again. SO I guess this experiment is a win win. If Chavez fails or gets injured, you bring back Cust and Chavez is a gonner for good. If Chavez somehow succeeds, then you ride his bat and hope he puts up 80+ rbi’s
Another year, another chance to hope for the team !!
I think Flashfire may be on to something.
Forgive me, Billy, for probably reading too deeply into the subtext, but:
I’ve talked to Rickey about this and the greatest skill I think Rickey ever had was his ability to take a great at-bat. He forced you to throw a strike and got you deep into the count. He’d take a walk if you were going to give it to him, but if you’re going to lay the first pitch in there, he was going to hit it over the fence.
Additionally, Bob Geren said (in last night’s pregame show) something to the effect of, “we’ve always liked [Daric’s] approach, where he has great plate discipline, but he isn’t up there looking for a walk”.
It sounds to me that management did tire of Cust’s passive approach, out there looking for a walk. Not sure what to make of that.
Sundown dazzling day, gold through my eyes.
But my eyes, turned within, only see
starless and bible black.
plus if you're going to carry a heavier load of relievers than normal, then the bench guys need to play mutliple positions and cust doesn't do that
He plays LF and RF. He might be terrible but then so it Jake Fox
Also since Cust should be the full time DH the point is rather moot.
i think flexibility means outfield and infield, like rosales, patterson and fox.
cust hits well. i’m a fan.
but beane seems to want more out a player
I don't think Cust is looking for a walk
I just think he is smart enough to not swing at pitches he can’t really hit anyway.
In his mind, he’s taking a calculated risk based on pitch location. If half the time it’s going to be called ball four, and half the time strike 3, he’s got a 50% chance of getting on. If he swings at a borderline pitch, it stands to reason that of all the possible outcomes, the good ones (hit/reach on error, drop third strike where he reaches, etc) are no better than 30%.
www.zekeishungry.com
by thejd44 on Apr 6, 2010 11:08 AM PDT up reply actions
Yeah, I agree.
But I don’t know if Billy does.
Sundown dazzling day, gold through my eyes.
But my eyes, turned within, only see
starless and bible black.
Somebody did a swing analysis for Cust
The net result was that when he swings at bad pitches, he misses much more than average.
Think the Anti-Vlad (who had one of the better contact on balls ratio.)
i think that's the case mostof the time
but there are definitely times when cust doesn’t appear to be looking to swing, maybe 10-20% (i pulled that number out of thin air).
A's v Giants "is kind of like the difference between going to see the Ramones and going to see the Bee Gees. A's fans will go see the Ramones."
-BB 07/27/05
But how do you know? I'm not saying you're wrong, but how can you be sure?
I don’t see Cust doing things differently, except at the beginning of last year when he was swinging at crap and being bad at hitting because Geren tried to change him. He seems to be the same each at bat.
What are you seeing that I’m missing?
www.zekeishungry.com
by thejd44 on Apr 6, 2010 1:03 PM PDT up reply actions
The AB where he took strike 3 down the middle and then flung his bat
and stared at the ump (Bay Bridge Series), I swear as the pitch came he looked to me like he was “taking all the way” — on a 3-2 count. He did that again on Saturday in one of the ABs where he was rung up; it looked like he was taking all the way. It was weird enough to catch my attention.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
That's what I was saying in my comment below...
vvvvv
vvvvv
vvvvv
"By the end of the year, I'll have Dallas throwing right-handed'' -Ben Sheets
and foul balls...
a foul ball is a positive outcome because it gives the pitcher another chance to throw ball four, and it’s another pitch on his pitch count.
"Cheese is the fruit juice nature intended."- The Reverend Billy Lard
by Gaijin_Suketto on Apr 6, 2010 2:54 PM PDT up reply actions
Yet, were it not for the ridiculous Bonds antics towards the end of his career
Rickey would lead the world in walks. Even in 2nd, he has 2190 walks. Given his skill set, Cust’s approach seems little different than Rickey’s.
"Do I talk to myself? No, I just remind myself of what I'm trying to do. You know, I never answer myself so how can I be talking to myself?" - Rickey
Everything is better with bacon.
by cuppingmaster on Apr 6, 2010 12:43 PM PDT up reply actions
Who knows, really, Dan.
All I know is Cust looked very lost in his ab’s in the Saturday game and he also looked like he had put on some additional weight. He just didn’t look right.
"By the end of the year, I'll have Dallas throwing right-handed'' -Ben Sheets
Thanks so much for this! (Blez and Billy!)
Love to read it…
"Oh who am I kidding? The A's and Giants could stage a pillow fight, and I'd still care who wins." -67Marquez
OMG HI BBG
You didn’t say hi to me last night :-X
I AM VERY MUCH ENJOYING THE HITTING OF BASEBALLS AND SCORING OF RUNS. -mikev
only an ZOMG CENSORED WORD FAMILY SITE quotes himself. -mikev
YOU didn't say hi to ME last night!!!
"Oh who am I kidding? The A's and Giants could stage a pillow fight, and I'd still care who wins." -67Marquez
by baseballgirl on Apr 6, 2010 11:07 AM PDT up reply actions
I DIDN'T KNOW WHERE YOU WERE
I AM VERY MUCH ENJOYING THE HITTING OF BASEBALLS AND SCORING OF RUNS. -mikev
only an ZOMG CENSORED WORD FAMILY SITE quotes himself. -mikev
Hey, Blez's interview made the top page at MLB Trade Rumors
Neato, another nod to the quality interview work done at AN.
LINK
(For those who don’t already have their browsers start up on that page all winter long)
"No matter what I talk about, I always get back to baseball." - Connie Mack
Nice work, Blez!
Very entertaining. I am glad Brad Pitt is a nice, down to earth guy. He does seem that way.
"I'm not bad, I'm just drawn that way." -Jessica Rabbit
by A'sfansince1970 on Apr 6, 2010 12:33 PM PDT reply actions
Surprised you asked a follow up question on the Moneyball movie.
Judging by the text he didn’t respond well to your initial question. I’d have steered clear.
Other than that it was an interesting read. Though I’m getting the impression that Beane himself doesn’t have a great handle on these stats (BABIP etc) , rather his team does, which is no slight on him as long as the job is getting done.
He steps to the left, he steps to the riiiiiiight. That Amos Roberts, he'll make you look shite!
I felt like I had to
It’s one of those questions where you kind of feel obligated to ask. Unless the movie is a box office bomb, he’s going to be thrust in the national spotlight in a way that I’m not sure anyone but maybe Michael Oher might understand.
by Tyler Bleszinski on Apr 6, 2010 8:58 PM PDT up reply actions
When did Oakland annex Hawaii?
Blez,
Then next time you talk to Billy, ask him why Hawaii is now in Oakland’s local region (effective in 2010). I’m 3,000 miles away! This is the kind of geography knowledge that you usually only see on Jaywalking. Now MLB.tv is preventing me from watching a game that I cannot attend and is not on radio or TV. MLB should help baseball fans enjoy the sport, not the other way around.
Fred Moore

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