SB Nation Bay Area Editor's Pick
A newcomer's guide to a few commonly held viewpoints.
Nico suggested someone should make one of these a while back, and when I threw out the idea in a DLD, it was generally well received (though some warned of impending badness.) Regardless, I felt like it was a worthy endeavor. If you feel I've missed the mark somewhere or want to add something, please do so in the comments. The point of this post is simply to summarize what I feel are the most common issues new users run in to when they begin posting on this site, and for this link to be a helpful go-to when you don't quite have the time to explain in detail a certain subject.
I hope I'm not the first person to welcome you to Athletics Nation. AN, as it is commonly referred to, is a place for people who want to talk about the A's. Many of us here don't have a lot of people outside of the internet to engage in in-depth talk with about the A's(be it because of geographical reasons or something else) so we come here. As a new poster, I'm sure you're eager to jump into the conversations. I assume by coming here that you have a viewpoint that you really want to share with other A's fans, either because you think others need to hear it or because you just want to be around people that share your views.
You should know that Athletics Nation though is a community, and many of us frequent this site on a daily basis. I'd like to use this post as an introductory guide on some commonly held viewpoints by posters here so that you may become more familiar with the folks here. Not everyone that posts here subscribes to these views, but I've personally seen many times when posters come in without said views, and seem perplexed when others don't share their own views. I hope that reading these sections may give you a little insight into the community here. Of course, by no means do you have to share these views (we welcome diversity,) but you should know that doing so may bring a lot of opposition from the community, almost to the point that it may seem like bullying or arguing. I hope you understand that people here are simply here to discuss the A's, and love doing it so much that we often become very passionate in our writing. It's nothing against you as a person, and we earnestly want you to continue discussing the point if you still adamantly disagree or don't understand it. In no particular order, here are a few brick walls I often see new posters run into that you should take the time to understand before you make a post.
via china.hrw.org
1) Commenting, for the most part, is better than posting. We earnestly want new users to come in and share their views on the A's. We want people to become excited about the team, and we believe that discussion helps that a lot. I personally feel that my involvement in this site has made me a more well rounded, intelligent, and passionate fan. That said, if you have a thought, look carefully at the fanpost bar to make sure that the topic isn't already being discussed. There's nothing shameful about leaving your thought as a comment on a post rather than creating an entirely new post. If you think that the A's should give Ryan Sweeney more playing time, make sure there isn't already a similar post, such as "The 2011 Lineup," or "The Outfield Situation" or "Is Conor Jackson really our starting Right Fielder?" Posting something as a comment will be noticed by the community; comments get plenty of attention, and the site really lives through the comments section. I'm not saying don't ever make a fanpost; just make sure it's new content which necessitates an entirely new discussion.
via me.
2) We like statistics and references. You don't have to have backup for every thought you make, but the more bold claims should probably have it. If you think that Cliff Pennington looked real ugly at the plate today, then you can make a comment about it, and its fine. If you make a post saying the A's should trade Brett Anderson for Jim Thome, then you should probably ready your post with a lot of backup in order to appease the readers. If your idea has any chance that someone might oppose it, then try to ready yourself for those arguments. If you find similar players to Brett Anderson that started stinking at his age, post those; if you see a pattern in Thome's play that suggests he will be awesome for the next two years, then post it. The fact of the matter is that we appreciate well thought out arguments, even if we disagree with them. You should be ready for people to put as much thought into reading/commenting on your post as you put in. If you post a study with helpful graphics, easy to read data, and personal insight, then it will be well received, commented on, and recommended. If you post a thought without any backup for it, then people may write it off. We don't know you as a person, so we have to judge you by the quality of what you post. The bottom line is that the posters here just want to see effort; if you make effort and show considerable thought into what you post, then you'll have no trouble making friends around here.
3) We want to discuss your topic with you. If you post something as a fanpost, we earnestly want to discuss your thoughts with you in the comments section. Perhaps we disagree with something, or we like something and we want to tell you about it, or we have some suggestions, but regardless of the reason, we just want to talk to you. We all come here for the same reason; to talk about the A's. Posters that engage comments below with care and thought are more likely to be well received. A person who only makes fanposts and never reads the comments/engages the comments is likely to be overlooked in the future, since other users know that this person only wants to say their own views rather than listen to others.
via www.motifake.com
4) Some of us are nitpicky about things, but it's not as a snide against you. If somebody disagrees with a post you make, and posts a statistic that you don't understand to back their point up, they aren't calling you stupid or being elitist. Furthermore, if someone suggests that a little formatting would make your post easier to read, they only do it out of the hope that your post is more well received by the community. Don't take anything personally here, especially criticism towards your ideas, and you'll become more comfortable. We may not agree with your ideas about the A's, but if you're thoughtful and respectful, then we'll all like you as a poster. You don't have to be a professional writer on the site; we just like it when you show you're doing your best.
via sfscuba.com
5) We probably don't want to talk about the Giants, your fantasy team, or any other baseball team unless the topic directly relates to the A's. I live in the peninsula, and just about all my friends are Giants fans. I come to Athletics Nation to talk about the A's with people that have my same passion. If you bring up baseball topics that don't impact the A's (especially in the middle of an A's game or a particularly busy time in the A's sphere,) expect them to be not well received. If you want to talk about the Giants, try this site, run by a great guy named Grant. If you want to talk about your fantasy team, try here. If you do want to talk about such things, try catch all threads, like the DLD (Daily Link Dump,) where it's ok to talk about just about anything (as long as it isn't violating the Community Guidelines.)
via mopupduty.com
6) There are certain issues that some of us are very passionate about, and should only be broached in a fanpost if you have some seriously innovative stuff to bring to the table. These issues have been brought up many times, and will be brought up many times forward, and as a result, some members of this blog have their opinions extremely well researched and thought out ahead of time. If you decide to bring up any of these subjects, be prepared for a wave of opinions both ways, oftentimes with both high level statistical analysis and in-depth scouting reports involved. Be warned that broaching these subjects without clearly organized and well written content may ellicit very negative reactions from the community due to the frequency which the topic is discussed. If you’re not sure if what you’re thinking of is innovative, or if you simply want to ask a question, try asking it in the comments of a similar post first. If the answers you get still don’t satisfy you, then do some more research on your own and make a post about it. By following this process you can be sure that your post will be well received by the community as it is bringing a concise, thought out, and confident view to the community. Here are some examples of such topics:
- Jack Cust’s ability as a hitter. Cust may be the most polarizing figure on this site due to the frustration he causes with his strikeouts and low batting average, but his amazing propensity for getting on base and leading the team in power.
- Daric Barton’s usability at first base. Often times people look to upgrade from Barton to a power hitter, since first base is typically a power hitter position, but others argue that Barton’s on base skills and amazing defense are great qualifications for him remaining at first base.
- The value of statistics vs. intuition/accepted baseball traditions. While I think it’s safe to say most users believe in a blend of the two approaches when it comes to valuing a player, many believe that one side or the other makes for a better discussion.
- The ballpark situation. Some believe that there are viable sites in Oakland which Lew Wolff hasn’t put a good faith effort into investigating, while others believe that anywhere within the bay area is good as long as the stadium is top-notch.
- Whether Moneyball works. Some believe that Moneyball as a philosophy is ineffective due to its inability so far to produce a world series winner, whereas others believe that Moneyball can not be ineffective as it is simply a philosophy geared towards finding undervalued players.
- The value of defense to the team. Some believe that the pitching staff relies on the team’s great defense due to the batted-ball nature of the staff, and as such is essential to the team, while others believe that defense is a strength which can be traded from to acquire better hitting.
- How much prospects should be valued in relation to the major league club. This is another topic where I think nobody is either wholly on one side or the other of "which is better," some people think that prospects are a commodity which should be valued as it leads to a good future for the team, whereas others believe that the major league club right now is all that matters, and anything that can be done to improve it (bringing up exciting prospects, trading them for upgrades to current weak positions) should be done regardless of how it impacts the system as a whole.
- How good Trevor Cahill is. Some of us look at the year he had in 2010 and think he's a superstar already, while others believe that he got pretty lucky and a lot of his value is actually in the defense behind him.
The above topics, along with others you’ll notice over time, will be rehashed many times throughout the lifecycle of this blog, because people are both excited and frustrated to explain their views again to new people. If you post about such topics, just be ready for a lot of passionate debate which may or may not reach any conclusions.
The main thing you should know is that we appreciate care and effort. Even if you think that Jack Cust is awful, that Billy Beane needs to spend more money, or even if you think Rickey Henderson should be our starting left fielder and leadoff man next year, we just want you to put care into what you write here. We may think your argument is ridiculous and disagree vehemently, but we will notice thought and care. If you have an undeveloped thought or question, post it as a comment in an existing thread rather than a new fanpost. If you're a thoughtful poster who loves the A's, this will show in your writing, and you'll be welcomed into the community. Most of all have fun, and go A's!
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Comments
What no smile litics :-P
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 29, 2010 10:25 PM PST reply actions
This is definitely a top 10 fanpost this year.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 29, 2010 10:58 PM PST reply actions
I 2nd that
Really well done and though out. Certainly receiving a rec from me.
Hopefully this will stick up there for awhile…
All I can say about stats is…
SCOTT BROSIUS!!
by stranahanahan on Nov 29, 2010 11:09 PM PST up reply actions
I'd nominate it for a top 10 fanpost except...
that I find the writing of A’s as “As” repeatedly in the post to be lazy and offensive to my grammar nazi sensibilities.
by barryzitoforever on Dec 1, 2010 5:50 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Fixed.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Dec 1, 2010 5:58 PM PST up reply actions
Alright then
sign me up for nominating this as a top 10 fanpost. I don’t find it too smug, and I think it is a friendly warning I could have used a few months ago after returning to AN after my 3 year foray into bike racing. Posting here can be treacherous but not as treacherous as my race on May 23rd. My goal in life is to never be here again:

which resulted in this:

by barryzitoforever on Dec 1, 2010 6:09 PM PST up reply actions
I'm just waiting for some random dude to swallow gunpowder and try to get through,
and from then on every passenger has to have a quick colonoscopy before they can proceed to their gate.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
This is really good, RS.
The funny thing about baseball is that people will believe what they want to believe. –Joe Posnanski 8/29/09
I think this is a great idea
And I’m not sure that I have any suggestions on how to improve it. I don’t think I would have written it the same way on my own, but this seems to cover a lot of critical topics with a reasonably fair attitude and viewpoint.
Mistake: By no means DO you have to share
"Juuuuust a bit outside" - Harry Doyle
by ArunisArun on Nov 29, 2010 11:02 PM PST via mobile reply actions
Yeah, I already caught that one myself, oops
Just goes to show that, even with proofreading, mistakes happen. Thanks for the help though!
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 29, 2010 11:03 PM PST up reply actions
I like talking about fantasy baseball teams
if anybody wants to, let me know ;-)
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
I've started living vicariously through my roommate's fantasy football team this year
I’ve never done it, but it seems wayyyy better than fantasy baseball, which I usually just give up on in the first couple months…
All I can say about stats is…
SCOTT BROSIUS!!
by stranahanahan on Nov 29, 2010 11:10 PM PST up reply actions
I've played in the same league for 20 years now.
And the last remnants memory destroys.
by Leopold Bloom on Nov 29, 2010 11:11 PM PST up reply actions
Fantasy baseball is my favorite
I’ve played fantasy baseball, football, and basketball for over a decade now, and baseball is still my favorite. It’s more fun if you play in a league with weekly lineup setting as opposed to daily; the daily lineups can get very tedious after a while. I’d encourage you to try an auction league; it’s buckets of fun. You get to draft the team how you want…you can spend a ton on superstars and fill your roster out with low-priced guys, or you can spend middling amounts on every player on your team. You can spend a load on hitters or focus on pitching. I would encourage everyone to play an auction baseball league at some point; it’s the best thing I’ve ever done with regard to fantasy sports.
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Nov 29, 2010 11:16 PM PST up reply actions
I'll have to look into a weekly lineup league then.
I did an auction league and it was fun, but I missed the first couple rounds and ended up massively overpaying for a couple of so-so players…
All I can say about stats is…
SCOTT BROSIUS!!
by stranahanahan on Nov 29, 2010 11:21 PM PST up reply actions
weekly leagues = genius
Like strana, I used to do fantasy but would crap out after a few months due to the tedium. What you described, though, is something I can get behind. Thanks for the hints!
I have NO rooting interest. It simply become[s] a process of elimination of who I dislike less. - 67MARQUEZ
!#%&$#@&%&% antioxidants! - pam
by cuppingmaster on Nov 30, 2010 7:24 AM PST up reply actions
Disagree
My players always seemed to get hurt on Tuesdays.
"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson
Amen
I wish there was an option to set lineups maybe twice a week. I missed the playoffs one season and I still blame the fact that I could not replace a bat that got hurt on a Tuesday (I think it may have actually been Big Frank).
"Camelot sure fell apart, didn't it?"-Steve McCatty
I think it is worse when a guy gets hurt
and you don’t notice until 2 or 3 days after because you could have switched him out if you were paying attention.
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
It sucks, but everyone has the same risk
Football is exactly the same way…Frank Gore screwed me this week and beyond.
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Nov 30, 2010 11:36 AM PST up reply actions
Scratch that. Mike Singletary screwed you.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 12:16 PM PST up reply actions
I'd say Gore did
He fractured his hip; he didn’t just get pulled for no reason. I was down by like 30 so I didn’t have much hope anyway.
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Nov 30, 2010 1:05 PM PST up reply actions
Singletary has been setting Gore up to broken all season long.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 1:13 PM PST up reply actions
Perhaps
I’m not a 49ers fan so I don’t pay as much attention. I don’t know if a hip fracture is a “breakdown” style injury, though…it seems like an injury caused by a specific incident.
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Nov 30, 2010 1:14 PM PST up reply actions
some of my friends from church have been playing FF
and it seems like fun but I don’t know enough about the sport or have the same passion for it as baseball.
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
Fantasy Football is easier to manage.
You only need to check twice a week.
The advantage to playing FF is that you’d end up learning more about the sport. I’ve been able to get my sister and my wife to play, and they certainly learn more when they have something specific to pay attention to.
by LoneStranger on Nov 30, 2010 11:47 AM PST up reply actions
Twice?
Tuesday: Check for waiver players to claim
Wednesday: Check to see if your claims went through/pick up FAs if you want any/see if anyone dropped anyone you want to claim
Friday: Second wave of waiver claims; see if you got any
Sunday: Check inactives in the morning, check scores during the games
Monday: If you or your opponent have any players going, keep tabs on your score
If you only check twice a week I have a feeling you’re not headed for the playoffs unless your leaguemates also only check twice a week.
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Nov 30, 2010 1:07 PM PST up reply actions
Ok, Scare micdog2001 away from FF, why don't you? :)
Yea, you can check more often, but during most of the season you only really have to check twice.
by LoneStranger on Nov 30, 2010 2:03 PM PST up reply actions
Fantasy Sports suck. It's all about OOTP Baseball.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
I'd totally join you if I had more time.
by LoneStranger on Nov 30, 2010 2:15 PM PST up reply actions
You're welcome to it whenever you're ready.
In fact, not to entice you at all, but one of the teams RIGHT NOW is looking for an Assistant GM, cause the guy running the team is a bit short on time. It’s a perfect way to get your feet wet and get a feel for the way leagues work.
Did you ever register for the forums? Eh, screw it, I’m gonna email you details so we don’t derail the thread :)
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
Damn, where were you last year?
I was trying to recruit people to our keeper auction draft league. I got jaxe_ec (not sure if he posts much anymore) but that was it. Now we have eight; I wish we had ten. It’s hard to add people to an existing keeper league, though.
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Nov 29, 2010 11:14 PM PST up reply actions
Are you looking for two more then?
"Juuuuust a bit outside" - Harry Doyle
by ArunisArun on Nov 29, 2010 11:20 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
I'd have to run it by the rest of our league obviously
Are you expressing interest? Auction keeper league with a three-year commitment, $30 league fee.
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Nov 30, 2010 11:38 AM PST up reply actions
I am expressing interest
I would like to know what your league rules are and how I would be able to join a keeper league that is already underway.
Off the bat, I will tell you that I have been playing Yahoo! fantasy baseball for probably seven years, but I have never joined a really competitive league. I would love the opportunity to join a league where the owners are all interested in doing as well as possible all year long.
"Juuuuust a bit outside" - Harry Doyle
We play standard 5x5
We will be using a FAAB for free agents this year. $300 budget for 25 players. To add to the existing keeper league, we would either find some way to allow new people to choose keepers out of the players that weren’t kept, do an expansion draft using the keepers that WERE kept, or just have those people start from scratch (they’d have their full budget whereas the other teams would have less money because of keepers).
Have you done an auction league before? It’s quite different from a snake draft; you can get screwed really quickly if you refuse to go the extra buck or two on guys you really want, or if you bid too high on guys you don’t. The timing is also important…a couple years ago Rick Ankiel was the first guy brought out. I thought he had 35 HR potential, and my friend was obsessed with Ankiel, so I figured I’d bid him up a little and if I got stuck with him, whatever. I ended up getting stuck with him at $5. While that’s not awful, I really didn’t want him enough to use that roster spot and that $5 on him.
Our owners are pretty into it. They make tons of trades as well, and text everyone about trades pretty much all season.
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Nov 30, 2010 1:10 PM PST up reply actions
5x5 is the problem with fantasy baseball
FF’s stats are much more related to actual player value than FB.
"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson
I disagree.
I think that after this, my second season playing FF, I’m not going to do it again in the future, because I’ve never heard of a FF league that didn’t give a lot of points for touchdowns. I think this is equivalent to giving a lot of points for RBIs; it’s entirely situational. Last year Vernon Davis was a breakout star for me, and did really well for me, because he caught a lot of TDs. This year, it hasn’t shaken out that way, and not for lack of opportunities. He’s in the game, he’s there every time they’re at the goal line, they just haven’t thrown it to him in that specific instance.
I think TDs are a terrible measure of a football player’s skill, and it sucks, as a fantasy owner, basically having to predict which players will get the ball at the goal line. It’s not about putting your best guy in; it’s about putting the guy in who’s going to score a touchdown. Your WR can catch for 150 yards but if someone else’s WR catches for 40 with two dink-and-dunk TDs, that WR outscores yours (assuming 10 yds/pt and 6 pts/TD.) And that’s even leaving aside the way that a QB is penalized for interceptions (in my league I think an INT is equivalent to 25 yards of passing) which may not be the fault of the QB. If a QB is right on the money and a WR lets the ball bounce off his hands, is that the QB’s fault?
I don’t know if there are more advanced metrics for football stats. It seems like, in a lot of ways, it would be almost impossible to do because of the inherently smaller sample size, but passing seems like an excellent place for a UZR-style statistic that takes more factors than simple success rate into account. Likewise, counting up TDs needs to go the way of counting up RBIs.
So basically, I don’t like the way football stats are done w/r/t player value, and as a result, I don’t think FF is very well correlated with player value. Find me a league that doesn’t penalize for INTs and doesn’t credit for TDs, and I’ll play another season.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 1:50 PM PST up reply actions
Many sites allow you to customize the stats used and their value
So you could make a league to your own liking.
"Everybody in the building is standing except for people in a wheelchair." - Doug Woog
"It’s like the lost burrito of Atlantis." - jeepers
by Where's My Burrito? on Nov 30, 2010 1:57 PM PST up reply actions
Yeah, including Yahoo!, which is what my league uses,
but I’m never going to find a group of owners willing to completely neutralize the values of INTs and TDs. And even if I do, fantasy is something I’d rather do with friends than just random folks.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:01 PM PST up reply actions
I usually am alone when I fantasize.
I certainly don’t do it with random folks.
"Everybody in the building is standing except for people in a wheelchair." - Doug Woog
"It’s like the lost burrito of Atlantis." - jeepers
by Where's My Burrito? on Nov 30, 2010 2:10 PM PST up reply actions
What about fantasizing about doing it with random folks?
"Burt Reynolds witnessed the conception of his own dad, and frankly, that's what's wrong with him."- TPDMTD!
by Gaijin_Suketto on Nov 30, 2010 7:12 PM PST up reply actions
Do a second league
Ask your usual leaguemates if they’d be willing to participate in a second “shadow” league using different criteria. For football you could get rid of TD and INT and add stuff like YPA, completion percentage, catch percentage, etc. Tell them it’s for experimental purposes; you just want to see if they have fun doing it that way and if no one likes it they can bail halfway through. People probably won’t want to replace their usual league with a completely different league, but they might be willing to do an experimental league.
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Dec 1, 2010 11:05 PM PST up reply actions
I guess my concern is,
are there any stats for football on the level of sabermetric baseball stats? Is completion percentage really any better?
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 2, 2010 12:04 AM PST up reply actions
QB rating is pretty complicated/good, I thought.
A's Fan in Sweden
"Some of us know him as the a-hole who piled into Ray Fosse in an All-Star game (it's why Ray is the way he is folks)" - OptimistPrime
Still too much emphasis
on TD and INT, in my estimation. Of course, I could be way wrong; maybe TD and INT are great ways to evaluate a QB, but it really doesn’t seem like that should be true.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 2, 2010 8:08 AM PST up reply actions
Interceptions are a great way to evaluate a QB
TDs are a horrible way to evaluate a QB. Completion percentage is irrelevant.
The best low-tech way (i.e. not evaluating things like “percentage of plays resulting in first downs,” which requires database analysis that you can’t do by hand) to evaluate QB skill is just to adjust yards per pass for interceptions.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
I feel like evaluating a QB based on interceptions
is like evaluating a pitcher based on how good the defense was. There are a lot of interceptions that are much more on the WR than on the QB. And there are a lot of completions that should have been interceptions. There are a lot of incompletions that should have been interceptions, for that matter. It doesn’t seem like it’s that much different from completion percentage in that respect. It feels like ERA.
The best low-tech way (i.e. not evaluating things like "percentage of plays resulting in first downs," which requires database analysis that you can’t do by hand)
Why would percentage of plays resulting in first downs be a good metric? Isn’t that just like percentage of plays resulting in touchdowns, but on a different scale?
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 2, 2010 12:15 PM PST up reply actions
Everything in football is team-dependent
There is no such thing as a stat that is tied to a single player, unless you’re counting, like, success percentage for a kicker, or something.
Literally any pass play can be turned into a fail if the receiver drops the ball. You cannot cure that problem with basic football statistics.
First down percentage: touchdown percentage:: OBP: home run percentage.
Which one do you want to evaluate a player by?
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
So what's the solution?
Does somebody need to create a UZR for quarterbacks?
Would these ideas be feasible?
1) Evaluate quarterbacks in a similar fashion to the way in which defensive baseball players are evaluated (how well he throws to the intended receiver, etc.)?
2) Evaluate offensive linemen in a similar fashion (how frequently an opposing player gets throw a hole the given lineman should have been stopping) as well? Perhaps this would have to be combined with an element based on the lineman’s ability to open holes for a rusher.
3) Evaluate defensive linemen based on how frequently they get through the O-line, regardless of what they accomplish after breaking through? (I imagine this might still need to be factored together with tackles.)
4) Evaluate receivers based on how many accurate throws were caught?
5) Create some type of metric that factors a rusher’s yardage together with the quality of his offensive line?
Seems pretty labor-intensive, and I have no idea how one would go about figuring out the weights and zone ratings and whatnots.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 2, 2010 7:07 PM PST up reply actions
footballoutsiders.com
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
QB rating is one of the worst stats in existence
It’s comparable, in the degree to which it evaluates actual skill, to pitcher wins.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Interesting
Did not know that
A's Fan in Sweden
"Some of us know him as the a-hole who piled into Ray Fosse in an All-Star game (it's why Ray is the way he is folks)" - OptimistPrime
Well, this is coming from someone who basically hates the NFL,
and loves college, but never looks at stats, so take it with a grain of salt.
A's Fan in Sweden
"Some of us know him as the a-hole who piled into Ray Fosse in an All-Star game (it's why Ray is the way he is folks)" - OptimistPrime
Meh.
In FB, stolen bases are more valuable than home runs.
"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson
How so?
I imagine you will say due to scarcity, but remember that each HR is also automatically R, RBI and hit for the BAVG.
.
PxP: Self-promotion - How it works, Bunting, Pitch Counts, Managing, Run Expectancy, Streaks, Coors Effect
Yeah, but there are a lot of other R/RBI/AVG
Most leagues I’ve been in there are twice as many HR as SB, so the scarcity outweighs the minor benefits (except maybe RBI).
"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson
I don't agree
Our league’s highest SB team had 153. Our highest HR team had 224, which means the average player in our league had something like 22 HR and 13 SB. One HR is definitely worth more than one SB.
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Dec 1, 2010 11:08 PM PST up reply actions
Its a question we could answer for sure if we had all the averages
But your evidence so far is showing that each SB is almost twice as valuable as a HR (169% to be exact).
"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson
I didn't want to go all psycho on you with uberanalysis
But HRs are actually worth more than SBs, exactly because they contribute in four categories.
I did this once, but can’t find the material and have more interesting things to work on. One of the things you might be undervaluing is the value of many home runs versus many stolen bases, to put it overly simplified. As you move to the extremes, an infinite number of home runs will give you lead/win in four categories, SB in only one. So, the marginal value of added stolen base decreases much more with each new one.
The stuff I did back then involved distribution of both head to head scores and league cumulative standings, and IIRC it came out at about 1.3 to 1 in favor of home run.
Still miles away from their importance in real life, I’ll concede that.
.
PxP: Self-promotion - How it works, Bunting, Pitch Counts, Managing, Run Expectancy, Streaks, Coors Effect
That's what I mean by a question we could answer for sure
I understand HRs help in the other categories. They’re worth 1.X runs, 1.X rbis, and some batting average.
I disagree that the marginal value is the right analysis. Especially since stolen bases are concentrated in fewer players (8 players had 40+ SB, 2 had 40+ HRs).
Either way, the question is solvable and the fact it is debatable is crazy.
"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson
Where do I sign up
I haven’t done an auction league before, but am up for the challenge and will certainly read a lot into it before draft (auction?) time. Obviously there are some other particulars that I don’t know yet, so if the offer is still extended, I can be reached at danmay95521@yahoo.com.
"Juuuuust a bit outside" - Harry Doyle
I'll have to talk to my leaguemates about if they're willing to add
Also we’d have to have two more, not just one. From the one guy I talked to, it seems like the likely scenario would be to have new owners just draft from scratch with a full budget, while everyone else will have reduced budgets due to the players they kept. I’ll let you know.
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Dec 1, 2010 11:01 PM PST up reply actions
One suggestion
If its already a keeper league, why don’t you give more money for the auction to the new guys? sicne they don’t have any keepers.
We would probably let them choose keepers from the pool of remaining players or something
Can’t let some people have more auction dollars. They would already have more anyway because your keepers all go up in value each year.
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Nov 30, 2010 11:37 AM PST up reply actions
I'm already in a yahoo league with some ANers
and I found that one team is already enough work :-)
The year I finally dropped my second team I won.
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
Guess I'll be first with the dissenting opinion
This comes across smug to me. While I can appreciate the effort, your personal views are very clear and you are inferring that the majority on this site hold those views, which may not be accurate and may mislead newcomers to the site.
by easyraider on Nov 29, 2010 11:20 PM PST reply actions 2 recs
I tried my best to reflect that not everyone on the site holds these views, and hope I came across as such
That said, I do honestly feel like the majority of people on this site subscribe to the majority of these (which views they abstain from depends from user to user.) The idea is that if somebody comes in, they should be aware that these views are held by a lot of people. You don’t have to subscribe to them (by all means, if you think Cust should be DFA’d today, tell us why,) I just hope people aren’t surprised if they receive overwhelming dissent to the point that they feel they’re being ganged up on.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 29, 2010 11:32 PM PST up reply actions
That was my thought as well.
In it’s attempt at telling people how to act, it tells people how to think. The undertone is clear… if you want to get along at AN, you will think like the approved majority.
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
by UncleLeo on Nov 29, 2010 11:37 PM PST up reply actions 3 recs
What suggestions do you have for improving it then?
My hope is just to come across as “we welcome all views on AN, provided they are well thought out and show care, dedication, and honesty.” The views above are meant to be a primer. I see a lot of folks come in and just say “Let’s sign Manny, get rid of Cust, and trade for Swisher” as their first activity, and then get lambasted in the comments for it. I don’t want people to feel like the minority isn’t welcome at AN; I just want people to be prepared for backlash if their views are against the majority.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 29, 2010 11:41 PM PST up reply actions
You go out of your way to hammer home what the majority here thinks...
…implying that these are the only “approved” points-of-view on certain subjects. Yeah, we may appear to tolerate dissent, but we’ll still ridicule it and think you’re dumb and laugh at you behind your back.
How would I improve it? Leave out the specific references of what the majority thinks as much as possible. Or, at least specific players. If this is truly intended as some kind of newbie FAQ, be as generic and non-specific as possible.
Yeah, more boring, I know, but I don’t see how this encourages newbies to believe anything other than “AN Groupthink” is acceptable.
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
I agree with this
I would say remove the parts 2, 3, and 8. I would also provide a link to a well written fanpost (maybe to one of elcroata’s posts) as well as a link to a poorly written post (maybe one about Cust if you want to show how passionately people will defend Cust).
Nice job though, and I appreciate the effort.
Finally, and this is a little thing but it annoyed me, there’s an apostrophe between the A and the s in “A’s.” Just sayin.
"Everybody in the building is standing except for people in a wheelchair." - Doug Woog
"It’s like the lost burrito of Atlantis." - jeepers
by Where's My Burrito? on Nov 30, 2010 7:28 AM PST up reply actions
I guess I'll second that
I don’t like the idea that AN Groupthink could be perpetuated. On the other hand, Cust, defense, and prospects are all hot topics that ARE likely to incite argument, which is what this FP is designed to prevent, in part.
Maybe, RS, you could link to some good FPs on these topics, as WMB also suggested below.
I have NO rooting interest. It simply become[s] a process of elimination of who I dislike less. - 67MARQUEZ
!#%&$#@&%&% antioxidants! - pam
by cuppingmaster on Nov 30, 2010 7:34 AM PST up reply actions
WMB suggested this right above, as it were
I have NO rooting interest. It simply become[s] a process of elimination of who I dislike less. - 67MARQUEZ
!#%&$#@&%&% antioxidants! - pam
by cuppingmaster on Nov 30, 2010 7:35 AM PST up reply actions
I think it is important for new users to be aware that this isn't a sounding board for their Cust hatred.
I think people come here sometimes and expect that everyone’s going to agree with their Cust-bashing, and that’s not the reality.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 8:20 AM PST up reply actions
That issue might resolve itself before next season anyway...
"Everybody in the building is standing except for people in a wheelchair." - Doug Woog
"It’s like the lost burrito of Atlantis." - jeepers
by Where's My Burrito? on Nov 30, 2010 8:25 AM PST up reply actions
I think the board is about baseball in general, and the A's specifically... not a single player or two.
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
Thanks for the feedback everyone
I think that an edit where the sections relating to specific players can be edited to take those players out may be possible, and I’m certainly going to give it a go. I don’t want to alienate people based on groupthink mentalities, but at the same time I do want to stress that someone coming in here and posting “Cust stricks out too much” as their first entry will probably be greeted with facepalm images and very little constructive feedback. I’ll work on edits to those sections to see if I can manage to keep the message the same.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 9:23 AM PST up reply actions
I can see the wisdom of moderating the tone if people think it's too strident (although I don't see how it is)
but the basic points should not be changed or omitted, in my view.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 12:19 PM PST up reply actions
Right.
To say “We at AN tend to be a statistically oriented group, and we prefer to rely on statistics to reinforce our opinions.”, then give links to help with learning and interpreting some of the more common statistics, that’s great. I would have no issue with that at all.
Referring to specific players implies that the conclusions are not debatable, which is not the environment we should be fostering.
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
As DM points out, there is a glossary in the Ancillary Terms already.
I still think there should be a reference to specifically polarizing players. Talking about Coco or Penny or Zook doesn’t make as much sense, because there is still a lot of debate going on there. The Cust issue, on the other hand, has been talked to death, and people are going to react very negatively to Cust-bashing (or Cust-stroking, for that matter, in some cases), particularly when it brings nothing new to the table.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:02 PM PST up reply actions
Then pass it on by and don't participate...
…if you see no value to the conversation.
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
That can be hard to do, because hope springs eternal.
The value to the conversation could be the enlightenment of another nonbeliever.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 8:33 PM PST up reply actions
Depends on the minority.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 8:21 AM PST up reply actions
If the minority takes YOUR approach, which is to make unwarranted declarations of absolute truth,
and utterly refuse to support them with facts, then no, the minority should stick it.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
by PaulThomas on Nov 30, 2010 9:12 AM PST up reply actions 3 recs
I disagree
I thought he went out of his way to mention several times that one should feel welcome with a dissenting opinion, and that one should feel free to express it, but that it would be better received if it was well thought out. I didn’t know it was controversial to state that a quickly written, poorly supported and/or poorly written fanpost would generally be poorly received.
Some edits have been made since the original post
In case today was your first read of it. The first read had three seperate sections saying that most of us subscribe to specific views. I combined those into the new section 6 and made it a little more “be prepared for rabid discussion” rather than “people tend to think this way,” and added a few more hotly debated topics.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Dec 1, 2010 11:49 AM PST up reply actions
Ah ha
Thanks for that, I realize that I commented before I had finished the whole thread, and so this issue had already been addressed. Thanks for editing it, I really like the way it reads currently.
Understandable mistake
There are a lot of comments in this thread! Thanks for the feedback!
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Dec 1, 2010 12:00 PM PST up reply actions
Oops
Apparently I posted without understanding that edits had been made, my apologies.
Well, the majority on this site DO hold those views, at least the majority of people who regularly contribute here.
It’s important for people to understand that if they just waddle in here and start yelling about how Sweeney hits .300 and Cust and Kouzmanoff should be traded for Pujols, they’re not going to be well-received.
And I don’t see how it’s smug in the slightest.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 8:18 AM PST up reply actions
Perhaps the majority on the posts on which you contribute
There are a lot of people on this site Dude. Not sure anyone knows the how the majority feels.
To me the bigger point is that
as I see it, the issue isn’t “don’t come on here and say Cust isn’t a good hitter,” it’s more “we’ve had this debate over and over.” Why state that the majority think x or think y? My suggestion was just to link to one of the past debates so when someone says, “Get rid of Cust; he stricks out too much!” someone could reply with, “here a link to this debate…”
Great job on this, RS. My only “critique” would be that I do have to agree with those who don’t care for listing the majority stances on specific issues; it’s what I least liked when I read, too. But really well done, overall!
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
I agree that it was too smug
It was an earnest effort though. I just think that the opinions part of it could be left out or shortened…as in, the entire paragraph could be shortened to: “A lot of people here like Cust and will go to the mat with a flurry of stats to defend him. Be prepared.”
The points about commenting vs. fanposting are useful for people to know. Also RS makes a good point about the fact that backing up posts with evidence will be well-received.
I think it’s good for people to have a heads up because I feel bad when a new person makes a fanpost and is torn to shreds by people who are quick with the trigger. I think that if a new person makes a fan post that is not up to snuff in our opinion, we would be better served to avoid commenting. A fanpost with 5 comments sends a message that it was not very good, in a much clearer and much nicer way than piling on and telling the poster he/she sucks.
Especially I think a lot more jaded people basically bash any kid that writes a post. Try to remember when you were 15 and how cool everything was, before “life” and “the real world” took over and everything sucked. And then let the kids enjoy themselves.
But we don’t need a mega long thesis to make this point. A bullet-point list would serve the same purpose w/o having this sort of condescending attitude (that I realize was not intentional).
RS, if you could condense this into bullet points we should just post it at the start of the season when more people will see it.
by Billy Frijoles on Nov 30, 2010 10:45 AM PST up reply actions
I like being long winded though!
I’ll work on some edits later today that try to take out longer pieces that reflect specific opinions. For instance, the bits about Cust and Barton will probably be generalized to say something more along the lines of: There are a few widely and hotly debated topics on Athletics Nation, and people are very passionate about them. If you make a post about the following topics, be prepared for some very well thought out and well experienced people disagreeing with you:" and then I’ll list them out, like Cust, Barton’s bunting, etc.
Furthermore, I want this post to be where I want it to be just as much now as for the regular season. If anything, I think the boredom of the offseason causes more people to post things out of impulse, and the danger of ostracism is just as (if nor more) prevalent.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 10:51 AM PST up reply actions
I hear ya
And I know your intentions are good. Just seems to me that if I stumbled on to this site and read this, it would appear that I could not come in here and freely talk about the A’s. I might think that the majority of folks on this site had their set beliefs and there would be no point in coming in here and contributing.
Again, I appreciate the effort. You took the time and put a lot of thought into this. Just seems a bit much to me personally…and it is quite possible that I am in the minority.
by easyraider on Nov 29, 2010 11:40 PM PST reply actions 1 recs
Oops, dorked that one
meant as reply to RS above
While I like the effort,
the Cust and defense sections need sourcing to information which explains them. Right now they just come off as somewhat arbitrary opinions.
It seems very likely that there is going to be a Cust-related shitstorm engulfing the site in approximately 72 hours, so I’d suggest everyone pack some emergency links and citations before things get hairy.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Athletics Nation: Get your bomb shelter ready.
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Nov 29, 2010 11:59 PM PST up reply actions
bomb shelter has taken off to the great white north
"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - dannycakes
Brutally honest
I agree that if you voice unpopular opinions you will be attacked — maybe even banned. So, if you don’t love what Cust and Barton do keep it on the down-low.
Still, this is by far the best — and only legit — A’s blog. It’s full of good information and conversation. The negative to this site is navigating around the clique that dominates opinion. I do appreciate the “inner circle” members with the confidence to consider outside opions.
by BlueMoon on Nov 30, 2010 7:49 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
I think the reason people are attacked for not liking Cust and Barton is because they don't have any evidence to back it up
Due to the nature of the game, a baseball player’s value can be described fairly accurately by different statistics. Maybe this post should list some of the better statistics (so pitcher wins, batting average, etc., right?) and provide a link to a page where you can learn more about them.
I think that instead of saying “Don’t attack Cust or Barton ’cause we really like them!” you can just say more generally, “be prepared to defend your opinions about players with facts and numbers, because if you don’t people will jump all over you.”
"Everybody in the building is standing except for people in a wheelchair." - Doug Woog
"It’s like the lost burrito of Atlantis." - jeepers
by Where's My Burrito? on Nov 30, 2010 8:21 AM PST up reply actions
I'll go to the wall to defend the specific references to Cust and Barton,
but I do agree that there should be references to more specific statistics. There should be links to explanations for all the big ones: WAR, wOBA, UZR, TZ, FIP, tERA, SIERA, etc. And at the same time, it would be great if there was a link to explanations about why the old-timey stats (RBI, Fielding percentage, W-L record, AVG) are not so favored.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 8:24 AM PST up reply actions
I guess my problem with getting specific as to the players is that the players may change
but the arguments won’t, and if it seems to me that this is intended to be a reference, so it should be more general. You can certainly include Cust and Barton (moreso Cust) as good examples of polarizing players, but I just think it shouldn’t focus on them.
"Everybody in the building is standing except for people in a wheelchair." - Doug Woog
"It’s like the lost burrito of Atlantis." - jeepers
by Where's My Burrito? on Nov 30, 2010 8:29 AM PST up reply actions
That's true, but I think the list or players can change when the players change.
For example, if/when Berkman replaces Cust, I think there’s a good chance he will replace Cust not just in the lineup but also in the list of controversial players.
(Anyone want to take a guess at the odds that most of the people who are clamoring for Berkman or Dunn at DH will be the loudest critics when Berkman or Dunn fails miserably as our DH?)
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 12:23 PM PST up reply actions
It should be a glossy glossary.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 12:21 PM PST up reply actions
And yet your defending of Cust BABIP is wholely inncacurate.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 2:04 PM PST up reply actions
"Wholly."
And not only am I not entirely sure of what you’re referring to, I’m not sure how it applies to this situation.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:07 PM PST up reply actions
You failed to understand the context of the "maintaining the high BABIP" argument
The monster at the end of this blog.
What I fail to understand is how any of this is germane to the subject at hand.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:58 PM PST up reply actions
To misuse a stat to validate your point
Is an even more grievous foul (IMO) than making a strong claim without the use of stats to support it.
The monster at the end of this blog.
What is this in reference to? I'm still in the dark about that.
I don’t recall the specific discussion being referred to here.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 3:31 PM PST up reply actions
I think it was in the thousand comment thread
You went off about how the changes Cust made in 2010 would lead to his continued posting of an extremely high BABIP.
The monster at the end of this blog.
Did I say he'd keep posting an extremely high BABIP, or did I say he'd continue posting a higher BABIP than in previous years?
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 5:24 PM PST up reply actions
You're the one making the attack, you look it up.
I don’t think I said he’d keep posting an extremely high BABIP, and given that the two people telling me I did are two people who hate me and constantly pick fights with me, I’m not inclined to take it on faith.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 8:34 PM PST up reply actions
You don't matter enough for me to hate you
The monster at the end of this blog.
by grover on Nov 30, 2010 10:11 PM PST up reply actions 3 recs
strongly rec'ed
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 10:21 PM PST up reply actions
But I matter enough for you to pick fights with me?
Petty.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 8:06 AM PST up reply actions
Neither of them has given me an example of a statement they take issue with.
And trust me, with these two, the issue is always with me.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 8:19 AM PST up reply actions
This is a perfect example
You are utterly convinced that DFA and I have a personal issue with you. I won’t speak for DFA but I can assure you… I don’t care about you.
It’s your comments that I have an issue with. They are often wrong.
The monster at the end of this blog.
by grover on Dec 1, 2010 8:36 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
speaks perfectly well for me
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 8:39 AM PST up reply actions
Absurd.
You’ve just picked a several-days-long fight with me over what is essentially a values disagreement on the importance of grammar to society.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 9:15 AM PST up reply actions
I did not pick a fight with you.
You were being an ass to other people and I had a issue with your comments because you are wrong.
I proceeded to demonstrate how wrong you are repeatedly because you kept insisting on it. You are the equivalent of PL78; do I have a problem with PL personally, no, but he is almost always wrong and when I point that out from time to time he, like you, flips out and just won’t accept when your line of reasoning fails and let it go.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 9:46 AM PST up reply actions
"Flips out"?
It’s a warped perception of the world that turns a refusal to concede into flipping out. You seem to have literally no understanding of the possibility that you might not be correct, or that there could be other points of view that are equally valid. This informs too many of your interactions.
You were being an ass to other people
No. I wasn’t. I corrected a mistake. When (quite rudely) challenged for doing so, I explained that I was only trying to educate, and that I resented being treated like an asshole for doing so. I also explained the harms I see in the rejection of linguistic structure. From there, you attacked what has been, this entire time, a matter of my personal values, as if it were a factual, correct-or-incorrect question. You have spent several days insulting and assaulting me (or rather a series of straw-man caricatures of me) because my values do not line up with yours, and I have spent several days refusing to just concede to your straw-manning.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 10:46 AM PST up reply actions
this is not accurate
No. I wasn’t. I corrected a mistake.
You were trying to impose your will on someone as evidenced by this statement.
From there, you attacked what has been, this entire time, a matter of my personal values
You attacked other peoples personal views and cant handle the blow back so yet again you flipped out.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 3:33 PM PST up reply actions
When my personal values are called into question, I'm going to defend them.
And I don’t give a shit how hard you try to make me shut up or abandon them, you don’t get to win that fight.
You attacked other peoples personal views
I didn’t attack anything. I was challenged and I responded.
so yet again you flipped out.
Pretty weak attack when you can’t even show an example of it happening. If “flipping out” is equal to “not conceding to DFA” then fine, I’m guilty as charged.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 2, 2010 12:07 AM PST up reply actions
Your initial comment was an attack.
You fail to see this which is how you can paint yourself as the martyr here. You attacked someones grammar, no one else, you.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 2, 2010 2:07 PM PST up reply actions
on the original thread he keeps bringing up
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 2, 2010 2:22 PM PST up reply actions
A correction of an error is an attack?
If that’s the case, nobody attacks more people than you do.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 2, 2010 3:18 PM PST up reply actions
Not to pick a fight
But as a long time reader of AN, I have to comment that DFA’s contribution to the board have become a bit harsh. IIRC the unemployed DFA lamenting his forced idleness and contribution to the site are much cheerier and upbeat than the gainfully employed DFA that fights for social justice and braggs about his ability to indulge in lavish spending on groceries to indulge his erudite foodie desires……I miss the old DFA, the new one needs some prozac or something.
try breaking a 1000 comments or writing one fanpost before you start bitching about other people here.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 2, 2010 2:08 PM PST up reply actions
this is ridiculous
although I get that psychoanalyzing someone from blog posts in ill advised.
"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - dannycakes
You realize that nearly 5% of his comments are about bashing me right?
Like literally 5% if you do a search.
Im fine with people who are apart of the community voicing their opinions about my behavior, but its this dude doesn’t contribute and bashing me is his only shtick. Plus he violates the CG here by personally attacking me completely without provocation.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 2, 2010 2:26 PM PST up reply actions
did not know that
that would be annoying. Disregard my comment then.
"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - dannycakes
I wouldn't go there otherwise.
The dude is an anti DFA troll.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 2, 2010 2:41 PM PST up reply actions
How about that? DFA invented another reason to hate another poster.
4.2% of his comments have “DFA” in them. Several are not even in reference to the poster, but to the actual concept of designation for assignment. Of the rest, very few can be reasonably described as “bashing.” Many are critical. And apparently, that’s become a reason to savage a guy and hate him, in DFA’s mind.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 2, 2010 3:25 PM PST up reply actions
I counted others that didn't include my name
Further, Im not sure what part of telling me i need prozac qualifies as me savaging him?
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 2, 2010 5:22 PM PST up reply actions
Would it have been as offensive if he'd said "you need to chil out"?
It’s pretty much all he’s saying.
If you’re offended by what he said, here’s a novel idea: express the offense, ask for an apology, and generally act like an adult.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 2, 2010 7:09 PM PST up reply actions
Dude go away
you aren’t even involved here
and for the record I have many times taken a more diplomatic root to no avail and I flagged the comment.
Taurus Apr 20-May 20
Honey or vinegar? That’s kind of the universal decision we have to make all the time, every day. Are we going to get what we want by being nice or being a dick? And you know what, Taurus? Every situation is different, there’s no one way to do things. Know what else? Honey and vinegar go together in a nice salad dressing.
by designatedforassignment on Dec 2, 2010 7:21 PM PST up reply actions
I don't pick fights with you
You say things that are wrong and I point those comments out.
I’d do that for anybody.
The monster at the end of this blog.
by grover on Dec 1, 2010 8:31 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Of course, you still can't provide me with an example of one.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 9:14 AM PST up reply actions
except I have.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 9:46 AM PST up reply actions
You provided me an example of a comment you didn't even disagree with at the time.
You didn’t consider my argument convincing. It wasn’t even egregious enough, at the time, for you to consider it incorrect, but now it’s so extreme you can’t resist bringing it up in a thread to which it has no relevance.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 10:48 AM PST up reply actions
I thought your argument was bad so yes i disagreed with it.
I just merely found grovers argument to also be incorrect.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 3:34 PM PST up reply actions
Your treatment of Cust is generally poor analysis.
Which is why its hilarious for you to think that you should be defending him against people like grover who is very clearly more versed in the subject (though I still think grover is wrong).
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 4:14 PM PST up reply actions
I could be wrong
Two pertinent questions though…
1) How bad would it be for the A’s if I were right?
2) If it would be really bad for the A’s if I am right, is it worth the risk to find out if I’m right or wrong?
Almost no one has argued against a clear upgrade over Cust, and those that have point to the potential cost of adding the upgrade. I estimate the risk of a Cust collapse to be too great and would prefer (assuming other line-up improvements) a steadier player.
The monster at the end of this blog.
I think you are right on that analysis. Im not sure about the risk of collapse.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 4:43 PM PST up reply actions
How much stock do you put in VORP?
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 5:00 PM PST up reply actions
or bRAA?
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 5:02 PM PST up reply actions
from wOBA I put a lot of on.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 5:05 PM PST up reply actions
Dude, I own hella VORP stock, brAA!
"Burt Reynolds witnessed the conception of his own dad, and frankly, that's what's wrong with him."- TPDMTD!
by Gaijin_Suketto on Nov 30, 2010 7:22 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
WAR and VORP are basically the same thing.
I value it a lot more for hitters than pichers. But it is good.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 5:03 PM PST up reply actions
According to Baseball Prospectus
Beltre VORP last year: 59
Kouz: 1.8
A’s best were:
Barton – 29.8
Cust – 26
Sweeney Todd & Kurt at 5.2 and 4.0 respectively.
So if I understand this correct, we need a new 3B, RF & Catcher? Seems about right.
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 5:06 PM PST up reply actions
VORP doesn't take into account defense.
Hence, the huge disparity between Kouz and Beltre.
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Nov 30, 2010 5:11 PM PST up reply actions
It's strictly offensive right?
It seems that Kouz and Belte are fairly close in Defense.
Based on Fielding %:
AB: .957
KK: .698
VORP indicates that AB is another solar system offensively. If I’m understanding it correctly.
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 5:16 PM PST up reply actions
Whoops!! KK = .968
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 5:16 PM PST up reply actions
Fielding % isn't great because it doesn't take into account range at all.
So theoretically, a guy could field a lot less balls and have a lot higher fielding percentage, even though he’s an inferior fielder.
A's Fan in Sweden
"Some of us know him as the a-hole who piled into Ray Fosse in an All-Star game (it's why Ray is the way he is folks)" - OptimistPrime
Would you go by
Total Chances?
dWAR?
Something else?
I like this VORP stat because it measures offense. Going by that you could say that AB is 59x better than KK? Haha.
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 5:24 PM PST up reply actions
Haha, 59x is a funny stat. And scary.
Anyway, most people use UZR which is the defensive component within WAR. Here’s a 9really long) link about UZR explaining how it’s comprised etc.
Basically UZR tries to account for the many factors of defense in an objective way.
A's Fan in Sweden
"Some of us know him as the a-hole who piled into Ray Fosse in an All-Star game (it's why Ray is the way he is folks)" - OptimistPrime
59X! Ha.
That’s pretty funny but that’s only from 2010. I can’t seem to get Baseball Prospectus to give me a full year of just VORP.
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 5:34 PM PST up reply actions
That tells me absolutely nothing.
There is nothing constructive about that. Nothing I can learn from it. What a shocker, it’s a DFA attack post.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 5:25 PM PST up reply actions
dude its in your history
here im sorry you don’t remember arguments you made two weeks ago but there really is no nead to flip out.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 10:04 PM PST up reply actions
That link is a 404
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
lets try that again shall we
Esentially the dude that got banned for trolling accused grover of anti Cust trolling and was wrong about BABIP
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 11:52 PM PST up reply actions
Without having seen (or remembering) the thread...
…one would hope that any banishment was for belligerency and unnecessary accusations, and not the level of their own understanding or misunderstanding of a particular statistic.
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
hmmm when im pasting the link into the widget it then turns it into moz object property its the gm meetings day 2 thread
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 8:45 AM PST up reply actions
That's hardly the extreme statement you two are making it out to be.
In fact, that entire time, grover was making personal attacks on me and I was doing my best to keep it civil.
And here’s what you said:
I think hes wrong but at the same time hes making a more cogent argument than you are.I’ll assume you already know that “cogent” means “convincing.” So your problem with me, at the time, was in the expression of the viewpoint, not the viewpoint itself—you actually seemed to be agreeing with me, based on your word choice. And you definitely weren’t agreeing with him.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 9:21 AM PST up reply actions
You, the dude that got banned for trolling, called one of the most respected people around here an anti Cust troll... But you were trying to keep it civil. LOL
My problem is with that comment is that not only did your argument suck, you also called someone who has put way way way more time and effort into this place AND know more about baseball than you do a troll while making your shitty argument. You were wrong about BABIP grover was also wrong IMO, but he was far more right than you were.
Also in the future if you ever wonder why you got banned as a troll or that people think you’re an ass, you might want to look at this comment. Telling people that you are giving them the benefit of the doubt that they have some understanding of the words that they use makes you a jack ass. And for your edification, some of the synonyms for cogent are
explanatory, expository,judicious, logical, organized, penetrating, perceptive, precise, rational, reasonable, solid, sound, thorough, valid, well-grounded
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 10:10 AM PST up reply actions
Hey look, you're making stuff up again!
called one of the most respected people around here an anti Cust troll
The word “troll” appears nowhere in the entire comments section. What actually happened was, grover was refusing to accept that wOBAr had any value in the Matsui-vs.-Cust discussion. When I pointed that out—certainly in a dickish fashion, but far from the kind of thing you say to people you disagree with—he lashed out. Never mind that basically nobody else in that subthread agreed with him either.
My problem is with that comment is that not only did your argument suck
The argument that wOBAr has value and BABIP is not a solely luck-based statistic?
Telling people that you are giving them the benefit of the doubt that they have some understanding of the words that they use makes you a jack ass.
So I can’t say, “that word doesn’t fit with what you’re trying to say.” And I can’t say “I assume that although that word doesn’t appear to fit with what you’re trying to say, I’m sure you know what you’re doing.” So basically I’m not allowed to respond in a situation in which your word choice is confusing. What a shocker: all you really want is for people to not challenge you!
And for your edification, some of the synonyms for cogent are
Synonyms aren’t definitions. And even if they were, most of those synonyms still wouldn’t be making the point you seemed to want to make with the word “cogent.”
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 10:58 AM PST up reply actions
You know,
I’m not all that thrilled about admitting it, but St. Joe seems completely in the right on this one.
I cannot figure out how any of this nonsense is remotely germane to this thread, he was much closer to correct on the prior thread anyway, and dfa and grover have most definitely picked a fight with him here.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Really?
So when St. Joe said that Cust changed his hitting approach to produce fewer FB and more GB + LD which in turn led to his improved BABIP… rates that in reality were all lock step with his career numbers… he was somehow more right than I when I said we should expect a regression from Cust’s 2010 BABIP?
As for the “picking a fight” bullshit… I was trying to clarify where DFA was going with his initial comment to Joe. And then in the very sub-thread where Joe suggests adding links to the definition of key stats that people use to have informed discussions on baseball I add my two cents about how I think misusing stats to support an argument is a worse offense than not basing an argument on a pile of statistical analysis. You might recognize this stance , seeing as how you frequently abhor the use of split stats to defend/oppose a point.
You’re a smart guy Paul, certainly you can see how germane it is to correctly interpret and use stats in a discussion.
The monster at the end of this blog.
But the discussion wasn't about that.
It was about edits to this FanPost. DFA picked a fight, and you joined in.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 12:21 PM PST up reply actions
DFA made his comment
You said you weren’t sure what he was referring to.
I told you what he was referring to.
You weren’t sure why the comment was germane.
My comment about the misuse of stats was in relation to your suggestion that links be established to explain what some of the more advanced stats mean. I don’t mind when someone makes an argument that doesn’t rely on a ton of numbers; I’m much more troubled by folks who try to “bend” the numbers to suit their arguments.
Fight you? I was trying to clue you in to where DFA was going. I didn’t emotionally involved until you asked me to look up your own comments!
The monster at the end of this blog.
So you're worried about defining advanced stats
out of a fear that the hoi polloi might use them to make dumb arguments?
Can’t agree with that. The only way to identify good sabermetric “prospects” is to give people a sandbox and let them fool around in it for a while. The stats are the sandbox. Can they build a castle?
[None of which, BTW, changes my negative opinion of crappy fanposts, because that relates to clutter on the sidebar.]
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Dammit...
Where the fuck do I say anything bad about posting links to definitions for stats?
I simply said in the course of the discussion about stats that the misuse of stats in an argument is worse (IMO) than the non-use of stats in an argument.
The monster at the end of this blog.
So this has nothing to do with the posting of links to definitions of stats...
how is it germane to the topic?
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 1:54 PM PST up reply actions
This is ridiculous
Was my comment made directly in response to your post about links?
No.
Between your links post and my comment, was there perhaps a 3rd party who said something that wasn’t directly realted (or germane, as you put it) to your comment re: links?
Yes.
Did you ask for clarification regarding this shift in discussion?
Yes.
Then you said you didn’t see how this had “any” relevance to the topic. Well, the OP wrote about how to present a reasoned discussion. I see my misuse comment as being very germane to the concept of having a reasoned discussion.
What I don’t understand is why you think my comment is meant as a direct reply to your links suggestion given that A) It wasn’t written as a direct reply to your links comment. B) DFA had jumped in and presented an obvious change in direction. C) My comment clearly came after you expressed confusion on the nature of the new subject matter.
The monster at the end of this blog.
you referred to links...but i don't think you meant weblink. i think you meant make the connections for people
these were your words
My comment about the misuse of stats was in relation to your suggestion that links be established to explain what some of the more advanced stats mean.
We know for a fact that Cust changed his approach
to get more singles and less power.
Why? Because he damn well told us so, that’s why.
I agree that abuse of stats is a very serious problem. I do not see how on earth that has anything to do with St. Joe’s felt need (perhaps satisfied by DM’s reference to the ANcillary terms) for the site to define what certain stats are.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
This whole thread is about properly framing a discussion
My comment was not in direct reference to Joe’s post.
I was not saying that the idea of linking to definitions was a bad one.
As for the Cust quote… no shit, PT. I’ve said that myself about a half dozen times.
The monster at the end of this blog.
How is this not linking causation?
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
Here is why it is relevant.
Both this thread and St Joe are suggesting that the Cust debate is both tired and done, where all the evidence is one way and any attempt to bring it up is at the end of the day essentially trolling. It isn’t and that is why it is relevant.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 3:29 PM PST up reply actions
It's like a mental block for you
What actually happened was, grover was refusing to accept that wOBAr had any value in the Matsui-vs.-Cust discussion.
That’s not what happened. I said I didn’t understand wOBAr… it was a stat I’d never seen before. I didn’t reject it, I asked to have it explained to me in a way I could understand it in the context of projecting Cust’s future performance. Furthermore, I never said BABIP was “solely” a luck based stat. I said Cust got lucky with his BABIP in 2010 and that we shouldn’t count on that luck to continue in 2011.
It’s like no matter how simple or clear I say something, you seem to think I’m saying something different.
The monster at the end of this blog.
-
Furthermore, I never said BABIP was "solely" a luck based stat.
And I don’t think I said you did. But you appeared to be arguing that the jump in BABIP was based almost entirely on luck, and I didn’t agree. I don’t see what was extreme about the statement.
I’m sorry I was a dick about the wOBAr thing. It happens; people make mistakes. You appeared to be writing it off without even giving it a serious look; later in the subthread, it became more clear that you were trying to understand it, but your early comments on the subject appeared dismissive. It doesn’t justify my reaction, but it does help explain it.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 12:10 PM PST up reply actions
You really need to look at what was said in that thread
Cust raised his career BABIP line by about 12 points with his 2010 season. I have consistently based my concern on the idea that Cust will post a 2011 BABIP equal to his new career line; basically aknowledging ing the new career line as the luck-neutral, it’s-all-skill standard. Cust’s 2010 BABIP was almost 50 points higher than his new career line. It was 30 points higher than his previous season best.
So yeah… I think it’s fair to say Luck played a positive factor in 2010.
And if I’m expecting a .338 BABIP in 2011 then for you to argue that Cust is a high BABIP hitter means you either didn’t understand what I was saying or you’re arguing for Cust to post a BABIP much hgher than .338.
I take issue with either avenue of discourse.
The monster at the end of this blog.
by grover on Dec 1, 2010 12:29 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Just like Barton's 2010 OBP against lefthanders
.
PxP: Self-promotion - How it works, Bunting, Pitch Counts, Managing, Run Expectancy, Streaks, Coors Effect
That's it?
A's Fan in Sweden
"Some of us know him as the a-hole who piled into Ray Fosse in an All-Star game (it's why Ray is the way he is folks)" - OptimistPrime
The author must have deleted the thread.
See what kind of havoc that causes!!!
:-p
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
no its a browser/linking widget problem
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 8:45 AM PST up reply actions
Dude... it was a joke.
Hence, the… " :-p ". (Shaking head and chuckling)
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
I know. I was just fustrated with the browser
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 10:10 AM PST up reply actions
It is a tad ironic you like to link old posts
when you have no qualms of deleting them if you consider them your own created fiefdom.
I don't think irony is the concept you're looking for there.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 9:40 AM PST up reply actions
Seems a bit tenuous.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 10:59 AM PST up reply actions
i didn't delete any argument I made about fact or future. Just feeling.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 10:11 AM PST up reply actions
Yes.
Play up the focus on statistics in general, that’s fine… and provide links to help a new person understand the various statistics, but leave the specific players out of it completely.
Besides, one would hope that any FAQ-type post would long outlive the player’s time on the team, so the post would become dated and irrelevant pretty quick anyway. Another reason to keep it generic, it also keeps it relevant.
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
Best defense is evidence
Sometimes stats don’t tell the whole story. I agree that Cust and Barton are productive players. The problem I see with them playing for the A’s is that they play positions that usually provide power.
On another team where power is produced by less traditional positions: Uggla at 2b, H.Ramirez at SS, Hamilton in CF, etc. you can afford to carry guys like Barton and Cust.
On another fanpost I already provided stats that support the fact that playoff teams usually hit for power. That being the case, the A’s need to create a line-up with more power.
You understand the concept that power != DINGERZ, right?
and even if you don’t, you DO understand that currently there is ONE player on the A’s roster who has the ability to hit for 25+ homers in a season, and that’s Cust. Right?
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
Dwindling power of Cust
2008 1 HR in every 18 plate appearances, 2009 1 HR in every 24 plate appearances, 2010 1 HR in every 33 plate appearances.
Here's a fun quote to read
“I wish I could swing every time 3-0,” he said. “There I was just trying to hit a home run. When they do (allow it), I like it – it’s the only time you know what you’re going to get.”
Cust, who didn’t come up until mid-May, has 13 homers, half his average in the past three seasons, but he noted that his average (.275) is nearly 20 points above his previous best.
“After all that’s happened, I’m trying to show what more I can do offensively,” he said. “I averaged almost 30 home runs the last three years, and that didn’t get me anywhere, so I’ll try to show ’em something else.”
I put the important part in bold. Cust said that. Himself. He was TRYING to hit less homers.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
RE: He was TRYING to hit less homers
Good, then fire him. Why people ascribe this behavior to someone other than Jack Cust is beyond me.
"PECOTA can pretty much kiss my ass."-Nico
I'm doing nothing of the sort.
However, you should stop for a second and think about the team that basically DID fire him after he led them in homers for 2 years, and the one that everybody expects to fire him AGAIN after being the best offensive player on the team, or every single fan that wants him gone regardless of the fact that he was THE BEST HITTER ON THE TEAM and replaced with an old dude on the downside of his career who was worse than Cust last year anyway.
But hey, at least the old dude will cost another 4 million dollars, right…
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
Thank You!
We have some problems on our roster, freakin Babe Cust is not one of them.
Being called a poet as a rock ’n’ roll musician is like being called a physicist as a baseball player. It might have some application but it’s pretty remote. - Richard Hell
by fridaynightfan on Dec 1, 2010 12:33 AM PST up reply actions
Too bad Beane won't answer direct question about players honestly and directly.
I’d really like to know what HIS thoughts are on Cust. Does HE agree that Cust was/is “the best hitter on the team”? If not, why not? If so, why does he seem to value him so little?
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
I sure wish I knew the answer to that.
and if it’s a personal issue, which Beane has had issues with previously, it’s even more bullshit than it appears to be.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
It has to be a personal issue.
Because none of the three possible uses for Berkman make any sense.
DH: We have a better one, and Beane is not an idiot. He knows what numbers mean.
1B: We have a better one, who not only gets on base, which at least used to be something Billy cared about, but also plays defense.
OF: Why not just get a big old sack of turds to play in the OF? It’d be cheaper and almost as effective.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 9:23 AM PST up reply actions
or he believes the grover BABIP argument.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 10:12 AM PST up reply actions
It would be more believable if Cust had never put up good numbers with a normal BABIP.
but he has.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
My worry
BABIP favored Cust which showed him that his new approach worked, when it really didn’t, and that his BABIP will drop before he can correct his approach leaving him ineffective.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 10:48 AM PST up reply actions
I think the evidence is pretty clear
that Jack Cust knows a lot more about all sorts of hitting styles than any of the A’s coaches do.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
I think he is as well.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Dec 1, 2010 12:01 PM PST up reply actions
http://www.manta.com/c/mm7s7l9/jack-cust-baseball-academy
CSN did a Jaymee Sire segment piece on his love of teaching baseball in the offseason. I still have a hard time watching Jaymee in Orange and Black, she looked so much better in Green and Gold…..Especially with some of those dominatrix-esque outfits she would sport on CSN.
Fathers don't have anything to do with teaching their sons how to hit
The monster at the end of this blog.
So we can't blame Ed Crosby?
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
[/tries to take a hit. Swings and misses]
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Dec 1, 2010 11:14 PM PST up reply actions
Which, to me, means that someone should tell him
“Dude, just hit the shit out of the ball again, please. Thanks.” kinda like they told Barton “dude, quit laying bunts down. Thanks.”
Instead they’ll probably cut him. It’s getting harder and harder to like what Forst is doing and Beane is okaying.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
The A's shouldn't cut Cust
They should tender him a contract and try to move him in a trade. There are a few teams that would have interest in a relatively inexpensive DH option like Cust. The A’s probably wouldn’t get better than a “B” prospect for him (and it might take a bit o’ cash to get even that much) but getting something for Cust is a lot better than letting him walk away.
The monster at the end of this blog.
Wouldn't Cust be more valuable to the A's if that were the case?
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
I've seen/heard one comment by Beane
In it he said that the team had to make a decision on Cust. which is true; and I’d even go so far as to say that Beane’s tone didn’t sound very encouraging.
I have seen several comments from a lot of people who aren’t Beane (or Forst) who have speculated that Cust might be non-tendered ‘cause that’s what happened a year ago. Cust was coming off a rough 2009… that’s not the case this offseason, is it?
The monster at the end of this blog.
I meant more valuable as DH than as a trade chip.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
Oh I agree. I just don't think that will happen in a timely manner.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 1:21 PM PST up reply actions
Cust has put up good numbers with a below-normal BABIP
But he was using a different approach then.
My worry is that Cust doesn’t go back to his previous “hulk-smash” style of hitting AND his BABIP drops back to his career norm. I don’t see how he stays a viable DH without the power coming back.
The monster at the end of this blog.
Couldn't the same be said for post-injury Berkman, though?
I mean I guess both guys can be considered a risk, but if one guy is a risk because he’s 35 and has a bum knee and the other is a risk because he stopped trying to hit homers, it seems to me that it would be much more simple to just tell the second guy to go hit homers again.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
I want it back too.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kTUiQzhA0Go&feature=related
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Dec 1, 2010 12:54 PM PST up reply actions
I just don't think it matters
Sorry to say, the tea leaves keep telling me he’s gone.
I hope it’s because Billy is looking at the same things you are and making a rational decision (although I can’t for the life of me understand why someone didn’t go to him and say: ‘it seems you’ve changed your hitting approach. Please change it back if you can’), and not because Cust was so vocally stunned and outraged last year when he was dfa’d, but:
Every single time an A’s player complains, even mildly, about how he is treated, he gone.
"Feel so bad, feel like a ballgame on a rainy day"-Lightnin' Hopkins
by justANotherAsFan on Dec 1, 2010 12:56 PM PST up reply actions
I better learn how to face it.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vZZngTkp54I
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Dec 1, 2010 12:57 PM PST up reply actions
Sure does seem that way, doesn't it?
It’s a dumbass, non-baseball-related decision, just like the decision to keep Chavez and let him maul the A’s offense from the DH spot was a non-baseball-related decision.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
I believe the decision to keep Chavez over Cust...
…was primarily the size of Chavez’ contract. That doesn’t mean I agree with it, of course. From a purely baseball perspective, I may not be a fan of Cust, but I do think he was clearly the better baseball choice between the two.
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
As I've already said previous times this has come up
if the team was seriously expecting him to suffer some kind of catastrophic injury last year, instead of merely more “slow falling apart,” they’re complete imbeciles. That’s even more stupid than the sunk cost fallacy.
I can literally think of only one position player in the last ten years who has actually suffered a catastrophic career-ending injury (Juan Encarnacion). The odds of it happening are infinitesimal.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
"Size of a player's contract" is a non-baseball attribute
so you seem to be agreeing with me.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
I was agreeing with you.
It should have been obvious.
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
Yes. This one was particularly atrocious
did even one person in 1000 actually have any faith that Chavy could hold it together for even 1/2 a season, even as a DH? Yes. One. Billy, I guess…
As evidence for my thesis here, I give you"
Byrnes
Buck
Crosby (not that I disagreed with shitcanning him)
Davis (he complained mildly to SuSlu that he didn’t understand Geren giving him a day off when he’d been hot, and punctured Bob’s BS that it was a ‘previously scheduled’ day off)
Mazzaro (who said he hadn’t ‘pitched that badly’ although he had)
I’m upset the A’s didn’t get more for Davis, who, despite a short stint with hammie issues, seems to have been their only durable OF’er, and although not great in the OF, was versatile enough to not totally stink up the joint in all three OF positions. What’s gonna happen when Coco flames out? I love me some Coco Crisp, but he just isn’t durable. Sweengly? No proof he can come back. CoJack? mmmmmhmmm (slingblade ref) Jesus? Him, too.
And I already know how you feel about the Beast….
"Feel so bad, feel like a ballgame on a rainy day"-Lightnin' Hopkins
by justANotherAsFan on Dec 1, 2010 4:40 PM PST up reply actions
It does seem that way.
Every single time an A’s player complains, even mildly, about how he is treated, he gone.
In a “glass if half full” point-of-view… from Cust’s perspective… couldn’t this be viewed as an opportunity?
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
sure, it's an opportunity for him
But I’m more concerned that’s it’s a missedortunity for US, for no damn good reason.
Billy needs to get off his damned high horse about ‘no drama’. It’s part of what makes teams interesting, i.e., attendance-worthy, when there’s controversy. It really isn’t damaging to the team, unless it’s a player going off about how much he hates the stupid manager, or the 2nd baseman. Why should Billy care if some guy (who admittedly didn’t play well in ST and 2009, but otherwise was the A’s ONLY power threat- for years) feels misused when he was dfa’d on the last day of spring training and replaced on the roster by Mr. ‘I feel great (except for the part about the bulging discs in my neck that I don’t want to mention)’, especially when the decision was so obviously wrong – then AND now?
"Feel so bad, feel like a ballgame on a rainy day"-Lightnin' Hopkins
by justANotherAsFan on Dec 1, 2010 4:30 PM PST up reply actions
And if he stays with this approach AND his BABIP regresses...
he’ll put up a wOBA resembling his wOBAr. .359. That’s a very viable DH.
one of my father's favorite expressions
thank you
flashcut to MontyPython’s ‘the French unmercifully taunted the British’ (“I waive-a mah private-ah pahrtrs in=a your Auntie’s uh-fehce-uh”)
"Feel so bad, feel like a ballgame on a rainy day"-Lightnin' Hopkins
by justANotherAsFan on Dec 1, 2010 5:14 PM PST up reply actions
"hoist", not "hang"
A petard being a kind of bomb, often flung by a contrivance similar to a medieval mortar.
"Feel so bad, feel like a ballgame on a rainy day"-Lightnin' Hopkins
by justANotherAsFan on Dec 1, 2010 5:20 PM PST up reply actions
Also important, the original phrase
is hoist with your own petard, not by your own petard.
The petard doesn’t hoist anybody. Like jAAF says, it’s a bomb. There’s a thing that it supposed to fling the bomb, and if the guy operating it screws up, the thing flings him to; thus he is hoist with the petard, not by it.
Sweet is the lore which Nature brings; / Our meddling intellect
Mis-shapes the beauteous forms of things:— / We murder to dissect.
Every time I see "wOBAr"
I think it’s an acronym like “fubar”. Like, “wacked out beyond all recognition”.
Sweet is the lore which Nature brings; / Our meddling intellect
Mis-shapes the beauteous forms of things:— / We murder to dissect.
thats not true and its abusing the stat.
Basically hitters have the ability to control how hard they hit the ball. This is not tRA or a pitching stat that you can just regress like that to average. Especially since Cust is slower than average.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 1:33 PM PST up reply actions
Cust's speed has nothing to do with it.
wOBAr doesn’t regress to league averages, it regresses to Cust’s averages.
wOBAr for Cust still wrong but I was incorrect on that point
it only uses league averages if the sample is to small which it isn’t for Cust, which is my bad.
However. Cust use to hit the ball A LOT harder with his old approach (Just look at the ISO). Regressing to the success rate with that old approach is inappropriate for looking at the stat as a future predictor. Furthermore the RMSE for wOBAr really isn’t that good anyway since its just barely worse than using wOBA* to predict wOBA* year to year.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 3:46 PM PST up reply actions
that should be since its the same as using wOBA*
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 3:55 PM PST up reply actions
ISO isn't a proxy for quality of contact.
We have no idea if he’s hitting the ball softer now than he was in ‘07 and ’08. Look what happens when you compare ISO to BABIP—there’s no correlation.
http://i20.photobucket.com/albums/b206/danmerqury/isobabip.png
And since we don’t know, it’s appropriate to assume that he’s unchanged, instead of assuming that he’s hitting balls softer or harder.
he also has an odd swing right? he hits the ball with an unusual amount of topspin?
i might be totally wrong on this topic, but i thought his approach was rare?
That doesn't show that ISO is not a proxy for quality of contact
that shows that ISO and BABIP aren’t correlated.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 1, 2010 4:22 PM PST up reply actions
But what DOES show that ISO is a proxy for quality of contact?
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 2, 2010 12:16 PM PST up reply actions
That harder hit balls are more likely to lead to extra base hits than softly hit balls.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 2, 2010 2:10 PM PST up reply actions
That doesn't exclude the possibility
that higher-ISO hitters would have had lower BABIP (for other reasons, such as being disproportionately slow) but for the positive-BABIP effects of higher ISO.
I believe it is a term in the xBABIP equation that THT put together a few years ago, although perhaps not a large one.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Your statistics didn't actually support that.
On another fanpost I already provided stats that support the fact that playoff teams usually hit for power. That being the case, the A’s need to create a line-up with more power.
You showed a correlation, from a one year sample, and DM put it in nice perspective.
A's Fan in Sweden
"Some of us know him as the a-hole who piled into Ray Fosse in an All-Star game (it's why Ray is the way he is folks)" - OptimistPrime
Hold up.
1) I don’t think this is really the correct forum for this.
2) Power =/= HR. There are other ways to hit for power.
3) Power =/= end-all-be-all of baseball. There are other ways to win.
4) Just because a lot of playoff teams have power hitters, that doesn’t mean that you have to have power hitters to be a playoff team. Correlation is not causation. I feel like if more people kept in mind that correlation is not causation, most of the faulty stats (ERA, W-L, etc.) and sloppy thinking (“hot streaks,” etc.) would kind of go away.
5) The A’s don’t need to create a lineup with more power. They need to create a lineup with more hitters.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 12:26 PM PST up reply actions
I love it
The reason people are dismissive of arguments about Cust and Barton is that they lack “confidence.”
Pay no attention to the towering mountains of evidence behind the curtain.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
I am the great and powerful Cust.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 9:20 AM PST up reply actions
Actually
The reason people are dismissive about it is that they hate watching K’s. You can certainly bring up stats that illustrate that Cust’s K’s don’t outweigh the good things that he does.
Those stats are right, obviously.
However, a lot of people hate watching K’s (esp looking) and when you just don’t like watching a player then stats don’t really matter much to you. Fans should be able to say I like a player or I don’t like a player.
You will never win an argument by saying “I don’t like Cust because of K’s” but who cares? Why dump a bunch of stats on people that don’t care about it? Good to let people know that they exist but it’s not worth trying to change opinions.
People are usually dismissive of opinions and facts that they don’t agree with. And if they are not dismissive, they will take the time to look into the stats and then get back to you (and either agree or disagree). Why is this a problem?
by Billy Frijoles on Nov 30, 2010 10:34 AM PST up reply actions
Anyone can like or dislike a player, you're right.
But it’s a leap from “I don’t really care for Jack Cust” to “the team would be better off without Jack Cust.” One of them is true (presumably, or it wouldn’t be said.) One of them is demonstrably, factually not true.
Why dump a bunch of stats on people that don’t care about it?
When DFA talks about a slippery slope leading AN into oblivion, THIS is the kind of thing he should be referring to. When it becomes unacceptable and rude to explain to people that are mathematical facts that make them wrong, Athletics Nation is no longer a place for stat-minded fans.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 12:29 PM PST up reply actions
That's not so
The problem is you’re pointing to the numbers and saying “This is so!” But all too often people fail to explain the why of the numbers.
Saying Jack Cust was an asset to the A’s in 2010 is indeed “demonstrably, factually” true but you can’t make as absolute a case about what he will do or could do for Oakland in 2011.
The monster at the end of this blog.
Not really. This
Fans should be able to say I like a player or I don’t like a player.
has never been a problem, its when they start saying that X player is Y without evidence that is the problem
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 2:11 PM PST up reply actions
But it has been a problem
If someone says I don’t like Jack Cust because he strikes out too much (or he doesn’t hit for a high average or he doesn’t hit enough HRs, or whatever) then he will be ridiculed to no end.
by Billy Frijoles on Nov 30, 2010 3:24 PM PST up reply actions
No thats the thing. They don't say that. They say Jack Cust Suxors!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!uno111!!!!!
which is verifiably wrong. When people say Jack Cust is horrible to watch because he strikes out too much. it really isn’t a problem.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 4:16 PM PST up reply actions
“sucks” is still kind of an opinion anyways but I see your point
by Billy Frijoles on Nov 30, 2010 4:35 PM PST up reply actions
sucks means bad at baseball not unpleasant for me.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 4:39 PM PST up reply actions
That's where you're wrong
The mountains of evidence contain a lot of numbers that support those who take issue with Cust or Barton.
Daric Barton is an under-powered 1B who earned a ton of value last year through the use of a defensive metric which we know to be much less than 100% accurate.
Jack Cust has seen his HR numbers decline since his first year in Oakland.
1B and DH are two positions where a lot of people prefer hulking, power-hitting players. What I think gets lost in their arguments is that they don’t just want 30+ HR monsters at those positions but the OBP that guys like McGwire and Stairs brought to the table as well.
The monster at the end of this blog.
My gut says to trust blue n fuzzy.
And the last remnants memory destroys.
by Leopold Bloom on Nov 30, 2010 12:39 PM PST up reply actions
My gut says no....but my gut is also hungry....
And the last remnants memory destroys.
by Leopold Bloom on Nov 30, 2010 6:50 PM PST up reply actions
Barton also had a .359 wOBA at the age of 24, which is really good.
The fact that his defense passes the eye test as significantly improved AND every defensive metric likes him (not just UZR) is a sign that he’s going to be really freaking good.
If he becomes John Olerud, forget about 1B for the next decade and lets actually try to improve positions on the field where there AREN’T good players already.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
Its good yes. But it could be 3.5 WAR rather than 5 WAR good.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 2:12 PM PST up reply actions
OK, but there's no reason to believe his defense is a fluke.
At least not in the sense that Kouz’ +17 or whatever this year was a fluke.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
Wait a sec...
Kouz’s defensive numbers look flukish in context to his career baseline. Barton doesn’t have the same baseline for comparison but that doesn’t prove his 2010 numbers weren’t flukish. It could just mean that Barton had his “fluke” season early in his career.
Put another way, Daric Barton’s UZR/150 in 2010 was a better score than all but one of Mark Ellis’ seasons.
The monster at the end of this blog.
Am I thinking of something else, or is Barton's UZR/150 compared to other 1B?
It would make sense if Barton was head and shoulders better than most other 1B in the league, since a lot of guys playing first are no-defense lunks, but for the most part 2B are all pretty good defenders so even though Ellis is awesome his UZR/150 won’t be as high.
am I totally missing that?
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
Mine was a quick and dirty comparison
Yes, Barton’s glove is compared to all other 1B. My point was it’s a little early to declare him to be a Mark Ellis caliber defender at 1B.
The monster at the end of this blog.
yeah I know, I was just curious about UZR.
However I still think he passes the eye test, significantly more than Kouz did last year.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
grover,
you are absolutely right that one season of Barton’s defensive data is far from accurate. We don’t know if he was actually worth the 12.1 FRAA UZR says he was. We have little idea of his true defensive talent level right now.
But using one season error margins for UZR, we know that it’s almost certain that Barton’s true defensive production was anywhere from +5 to +15 this season. Even assuming that he’s on the low end of that spectrum, +5, he’s still a roughly a 4.5 WAR player going forward. And if we assume that +5 is his true talent level (which doesn’t seem unreasonable to me), it’s likely he’ll continue to produce at that level going forward. I find it very hard to find any other 1B options that can produce at that level without expending significant costs.
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Nov 30, 2010 3:22 PM PST up reply actions
I'm not sure where I whiffed earlier.
You like Barton, right?
How much more would you like him if he kept doing what he’s already doing plus hit 25-30 HR a year?
That’s the argument I think folks are trying to make. They want more… I didn’t say they were being fair.
And I think the +5 defense is a fair expectation.
The monster at the end of this blog.
Well, sure, but we'd also like it if he hit 500 HR a year.
Point is, he’s a good player by any reasonable measurement.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 3:28 PM PST up reply actions
What a stunning display of oxymoronic content
The monster at the end of this blog.
by grover on Nov 30, 2010 3:34 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Couldn't you say that about ANY player?
How much more would you like him if he kept doing what he’s already doing plus hit 25-30 HR a year?
For kicks, I just looked @ Fangraphs. You know how many 1B had a UZR/150 above 5 last year and hit 25+ homers?
zero
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
Which simply means Barton would gain more popularity if he could manage it
Look, the fundamental problem with the A’s offense isn’t Daric Barton. I think ‘cause he doesn’t fit the typical 1B profile people under-estimate his contrubutions AND they might feel that a prototypical 1B would do more to solve what ails the A’s line-up.
Which isn’t necessarily so but the solution isn’t to praise Barton, rather it would be more important to point out which other positions need to be upgraded. I think a lot of people are still getting used to the concept that defenders play such a big role in run prevention. They think hitters score the runs and pitchers prevent the runs.
Post all you want about Barton’s wOBA… that doesn’t solve the information disconnect.
The monster at the end of this blog.
I've said MULTIPLE times that 1B and DH are *not* the spots that should be upgraded on this team.
Assuming Crisp and DDJ are healthy, one of the corner OF spots is the easiest way to upgrade the team, so just throw a shitload of money at Jayson Werth and call it a day.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
Athletics Nation: Guess you’re going to have to keep saying it.
by LoneStranger on Nov 30, 2010 4:10 PM PST up reply actions
I was responding to:
The mountains of evidence contain a lot of numbers that support those who take issue with Cust or Barton.
My response is that those numbers, even when taken into consideration, have a marginal effect on Barton’s value.
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Nov 30, 2010 3:35 PM PST up reply actions
But not the perception of Barton's value to the team
Especially when folks are clamoring for more power in the line-up.
No one would give a crap about Barton’s lack of HR pop if the A’s were scoring more runs. Unfortanetly they had the 4th worst offense in the AL and hit the 3rd fewest HR in all of baseball.
Adding more HR power might not do much to help the A’s score more but the perception is that having a 30 HR bat at 1B and another at DH would significantly boost scoring.
The monster at the end of this blog.
How much did Barton's slot in the lineup affect his power?
By hitting in the #2 hole, his role was to move runners along. With the addition of DeJesus, he may be moved to a more traditional power slot. His late-season power stroke may roll over, if he bats 3, 6, or 7.
Barton did bunt a lot more in the #2 hole
Maybe his line-up spot influenced that decision… but there’s no way to know if he wouldn’t have done the same thing in a different spot in the line-up.
Barton’s never hit more than 18(?) HR in a season (including play-offs) and he’s more of a gap-to-gap guy. Batters typically hit the bulk of the their HR when they pull the ball and Barton is more likely to hit the ball where it’s pitched than try and yank one over the fence.
So where he hit in the line-up probably had little if any affect on his power production. His game just isn’t geared towards HR power.
The monster at the end of this blog.
Right.
Which is why I’m glad that our GM generally evaluates a player on their actual value, and not other people’s erroneous perceptions of a player’s value.
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Nov 30, 2010 4:48 PM PST up reply actions
You mean the GM who's about to throw Cust to the curb?
;-(
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
"generally"
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Nov 30, 2010 7:13 PM PST up reply actions
b for Berkman!
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Nov 30, 2010 7:16 PM PST up reply actions
B for Beltre?
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 8:50 PM PST up reply actions
Erm... Probably not.
But It was the only other player with B that I could think of in the moment.
B for Berroa!!
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 9:07 PM PST up reply actions
I agree, links should be added
I added a couple basic fangraphs rankings links for now. If you think there’s something more substantial that might help, let me know, and I’ll check it out some time tomorrow.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 12:11 AM PST up reply actions
Guess I'm not the only one waiting for the non-tender...
I have NO rooting interest. It simply become[s] a process of elimination of who I dislike less. - 67MARQUEZ
!#%&$#@&%&% antioxidants! - pam
by cuppingmaster on Nov 30, 2010 7:36 AM PST up reply actions
Well, I think it's utterly moronic and certifiable
but there have been enough hints dropped that I’m loading for bear.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
You're going to go hunting for Billy Beane?
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 12:30 PM PST up reply actions
Hell, that load would blow Billy Beane clean in half.
I think he’s hunting Frank Thomas.
"Burt Reynolds witnessed the conception of his own dad, and frankly, that's what's wrong with him."- TPDMTD!
by Gaijin_Suketto on Nov 30, 2010 7:30 PM PST up reply actions
I don't really know where to put this, so I'm just gonna say it right here.
I think one of the reasons the SABR/stats crowd is so negative towards anti-Cust posts is the nature of many anti-Cust posts. I feel as though a lot are from people who don’t have any idea of advanced metrics. Now, I think it’s very important to note that this isn’t necessarily a bad thing or the posters fault, but it can be very frustrating. If one were to criticize Cust, I think he/she should be aware of the advanced stats, and have an argument against them. I’m not going to agree with said argument, but if it’s thought through, I don’t think it should be torn to shreds.
A's Fan in Sweden
"Some of us know him as the a-hole who piled into Ray Fosse in an All-Star game (it's why Ray is the way he is folks)" - OptimistPrime
yabut
A lot of the anti cust threads are pretty much just rants. It’s transparent little league analysis – he struck out, he must be the worst player on the team, striking out is the worst thing you can do, etc. Great analysis for a little league team. Not so good for MLB.
So, I should probably be nicer when I see anti cust rants, but I have a hard time restraining myself.
"I feel like my opinions and judgments are just too corrupted by the numbers." - thejd44
by eastcoasta'sfan on Nov 30, 2010 6:08 PM PST up reply actions
Do you think it would help if I posted links to well written posts explaining these in more detail?
Or is it just information overload?
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 12:11 AM PST reply actions
Information overload.
It’s a thumbnail sketch about what to expect, not a debate or place to prove a point on a specific topic. That’s what the threads concerning those specific topics are for… and where new people can participate.
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
Good jorb! A few nits, picked
Under 1, the following appears: “If you think that the As should release give Ryan Sweeney more playing time, make sure…” (emPHAsis mine)
It needs something, like an “or” ’twixt the italicized words.
Since this post is moving toward a Top Ten list, number nine might-should (a Tejasism of my miss-spent career) introduce the metrics of proper imagery in the comments. Pics are abundant on the intertubes, and they can be worth a thousand words, but
size matters.
The meaning of life is not so much 'found,' as it is 'made.' --Opus
I took out "release" in "release give"
thanks for pointing that out.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 9:34 AM PST up reply actions
I want him to return simply because I love the nickname swingles and miss saying it.
And the last remnants memory destroys.
by Leopold Bloom on Nov 30, 2010 9:55 AM PST up reply actions
It's also fun on those rare occasions when you get to call him Swubbles.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 12:30 PM PST up reply actions
Swipples!
Swollen Bases!
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Nov 30, 2010 1:12 PM PST up reply actions
Those sound dirty.
"Everybody in the building is standing except for people in a wheelchair." - Doug Woog
"It’s like the lost burrito of Atlantis." - jeepers
by Where's My Burrito? on Nov 30, 2010 1:45 PM PST up reply actions
The link for "if you want to talk about your fantasy team" should have gone to Lookout Landing.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
I think he means it should suggest LL as a place to go make a fantasy team specific Fan Post
"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson
Is there a way for this to be sticky'd?
Like permanently something that is visible immediately to new users that they are encouraged to read?
If it is, I would say it could use a quick style edit. I’d be happy to do it; iglew could probably do it even better. I’m sure there are others, too.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 8:27 AM PST reply actions
+1, plus some ideas about the problems noted in the responses
Maybe tighten this up a bit, then post it in a sticky place as “Frequently Help Opinions”. This post presents the (reasonable) opinions of many AN members who are generally supportive of the direction of the team. Back them up with some links to stats, maybe example posts.
But then clearly encourage dissent. AN should not be a place for groupthink.
Carlos Gonzalez would look nice in one of the corner outfield spots right now
I don't know that "Frequently Help Opinions" is quite the way to tighten up, grammatically.
Unless there are tabs around it.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 12:31 PM PST up reply actions
My Thoughts
I think that this is a very good effort as an introduction to new members, particularly those who are new and post something or comment and get a lot of negative feedback and don’t understand. For instance, if a new poster says something negative about Jack Cust, having no idea of the history of that subject and debate in this blog. I think that, therefore, this is a very good place for new members who want to really be part of the community to get some background on the community and get started as participants. And I appreciate the effort that went into this, and enjoyed the read.
However, my concern about it is that when referring to "the majority" view or giving guidelines on how to make posts or comments it gives the impression that you have to have certain views and that to be part of this community, and to participate, you have to be very in tune with the stats and have your view of the game and the A’s be based on stats and research. This is not meant to be an anti-stats comment, and it is not. I admittedly am not an expert in stats, but have been reading on this site and learning a lot and have become interested in it as a different way of looking at the game then I previously had been. I will never fully adopt stats as the sole way to form my opinions, but I am combining my views of the team purely as a fan watching games and reading news reports, and also with some level of statistical analysis – and I thank AN for adding this dimension for me. But, at the same time, I love baseball as a sport and as something to watch as entertaining and do like talking about just what I see and how I view it as a fan. For instance, I won’t say that Cust is a bad hitter, I agree he is a very good hitter and valuable part of the team, but purely as a fan, he sure does frustrate me a lot of times, in part because I know he is a better hitter than it appears at times, and I will voice that frustration. In the end, my comments on what I see, at the time, may be statistically wrong and if pointed that out I would look at it and realize that and admit it. And I think that there are many A’s fans who want to talk about their views from watching the game and talk about their thoughts simply as a fan and not as statistical researchers. Is this valid statistical analysis? No. But, it should be valid for talking about in a blog for A’s fans, and I think it can be taken from this post that that aspect may be seen as invalid. I know that you have some statements, otherwise, but I think somewhat buried. Personally, I think that both are equally valid and enjoyable ways to view the game and to discuss the game.
I have been following this blog regularly, like daily, since 2004. However, did not officially become a member until the last year or so, and have only posted once, and commented fairly infrequently. Part of that is that my best experiences have been reading the input and views of other members of the community, those who spend a whole lot more analyzing stuff than me, and have enjoyed it and learned a lot. However, another part is the idea that if I just give my thoughts as a fan that that is not okay because I am not looking at in statistical analysis. So, I just want to point out that there should be room for fans to speak about their views of the game from a fan perspective and not feel that they can’t be part of the discussion if they can’t 100% back up their views with stats. Sure, others have the right to criticize and give their reasons why they don’t like it, but I do think that there should be more respect for both ways of viewing the game, and I think that this goes a little too far towards implying that this blog is just about statistical analysis. Also, I think each commenter should be more open to criticism and hearing the other side out, and not take criticism as being -“you just look at stats and don’t understand that other aspects” or “you just don’t know stats.” Just my two cents, for what it is worth, and probably not much.
Finally, and most importantly, I do fully believe that Rickey Henderson should be the starting LF and lead-off hitter next year.
by longtimeasfan on Nov 30, 2010 9:53 AM PST reply actions 2 recs
Thanks for the feedback
It is my hope that this post does not come off as “stats or GTFO” or “Go away if you don’t like Jack Cust.” I’ll work on some edits later today that help the piece reflect a welcoming attitude to all views later on. The hope is simply that people come in wanting to learn more, and that they are prepared for vary passionate discussion. I don’t want people to fall into the trap of making a casual fanpost about a hotly debated topic and then feel like they are being bullied out when a ton of posters come in and disagree with them. The hope is that, eventually, this post conveys a message that people are welcome to present all views, but to be ready for a lot of debate against them from people who want them to justify their view.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 10:05 AM PST up reply actions
I think that is valuable
I think the goal is very valuable and will be of good service to everyone. Again, thanks for the effort.
by longtimeasfan on Nov 30, 2010 10:20 AM PST up reply actions
New Users
I have been cruising this site for about two weeks now and have commented very little. While I appreciate this post, I feel that new users will only feel truly welcomed or accepted upon their interaction with the veteran users of this blog. When a new user posts their 1st comment however asinine it may be, when its meet with cynicism and sarcasm, I highly doubt it gives them that warm & fuzzy “this is a cool place to be” type feeling.
In the two weeks I’ve been on here, I’ve seen a few new users post and be basically chastised and ganged up on, for not understanding sabermetrics or even knowing about them, or having an opinion that differs from the majority of individuals who happen to be commenting on that particular post. Ie: The Scott Brosius Guy. Sabermetrics, is some seriously heavy stuff that not everyone knows about or even understands. Those of you who do, truly, deserve a pat on the back. I would equate Sabermetrics to college level Calculus if you will, while those of us who still use HR/K’s/AVG/OBA/RBI’s etc. to determine value is more like Algebra. That being said, if you understand Sabermetrics then you should do your part to help others understand it, in a way that isn’t viewed as smug or sarcastic.
What I think will truly help new users is not a ‘frequently made posts section’ of AN but their first interaction with Moderators, Managers and Veterans being met with a “welcome to AN message, thanks for posting” comment. Followed by some friendly insight as to your view of the topic. Keyword being friendly.
We are all fans of the Green & Gold here. We aren’t Giants or Angels fans, we aren’t Yankees fans. Oakland A’s in the veins.
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 10:47 AM PST up reply actions
IIRC, Scott Brosius was initially dealt with pretty gently.
And then he became SCOTTBROSIUSGUY, and people started having a little fun with him.
What I think will truly help new users is not a ‘frequently made posts section’ of AN but their first interaction with Moderators, Managers and Veterans being met with a "welcome to AN message, thanks for posting" comment. Followed by some friendly insight as to your view of the topic. Keyword being friendly.
A lot of that does depend on the new user’s attitude. A lot of new users roll in like they already know the answers to everything, and assert that attitude pretty aggressively. That’s not likely to win friends.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 12:34 PM PST up reply actions
Can SBNation just change his screen name to SCOTTBROSIUSGUY without his permission?
I have no idea what his actual screen name was.
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Nov 30, 2010 1:13 PM PST up reply actions
Right you are
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 1:28 PM PST up reply actions
This is the typical response to a newer person on this site.
I got hammered for not bowing to the AN inner circle as to the worth of stats. I agreed that stats are important, as an evalutional tool. That wasn’t good enough, however. I feel there is more to a player’s value than stats alone. When I brought up a player’s intangibles, via Brosius… Did anyone respect the view? Rather, my choice of EXAMPLES was the object of response. Sort of like pulling apart a person’s grammar, instead of listening to what they have to say. As Nico responded to one of my first post, I’m in for some fun.
.
1.) i did a lot of the conversing with you and i don’t think i hammered you.
2.) i’m not part of the inner circle and nobody has hammered me when i express an opinion.
Allow me to respond with the words of the right honorable PaulThomas, as sig-lined by your friend and mine, Mr. DFA:
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a “source.” When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster.
In case you were wondering, “ipse dixit” means “a statement asserted but not proved, to be accepted on faith,” according to the current edition of Wikipedia.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 1:57 PM PST up reply actions
have you ever had a terrible teammate?
by Billy Frijoles on Nov 30, 2010 2:13 PM PST up reply actions
Same here
Drinking with good teammates was more fun, though, both after wins and losses.
.
PxP: Self-promotion - How it works, Bunting, Pitch Counts, Managing, Run Expectancy, Streaks, Coors Effect
by elcroata on Nov 30, 2010 2:55 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
What about 88-90?
When you've played this game for ten years and gone to bat seven-thousand times and gotten two-thousand hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone zero for five-thousand. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 2:31 PM PST up reply actions
I think it was kind of both, wasn't it?
There are some pretty insane party-time stories involving those teams, but I think it was Mike Moore that didn’t like Terry Steinbach, and Jose Canseco and Carney Lansford didn’t get along. Earlier in the decade, Eckersley and Rickey had bad blood, although that may have been resolved by the time they were on the same team.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:33 PM PST up reply actions
.
2.) i’m not part of the inner circle and nobody has hammered me when i express an opinion.
Is the inner circle same as the Veterans, or are these equivalent to House of Lords and House of Commons, respectively?
.
PxP: Self-promotion - How it works, Bunting, Pitch Counts, Managing, Run Expectancy, Streaks, Coors Effect
They're more equivalent
to rhetorical constructs invented by insecure posters who would rather project their failures to interact appropriately on a secretive cabal of hateful schemers than look inward and recognize that they could do things a little differently.
So, yeah, kind of like the House of Lords, I guess.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:04 PM PST up reply actions
i'm just happy if somebody remembers to invite me to AN events at the Coliseum. normally i'm forgotten.
I INVITED YOU AND EVEN HUGGED YOU WHEN I SAW YOU THERE.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
I did!
It was OK. My father in law liked it a lot more, but he’s a Wisconsin-ite and likes bock style beers a lot more than I do.
However I also had Chimay Grand Reserve and Youngs Double Chocolate Stout, so….
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
is that the blue chimay? i brought some of that for turkey day too.
i went to the trappist in oakland wednesday night and tried a whole bunch of beers. good times.
Yeah, the blue. I loff it.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
The Celebrator is not a kinky sex machine?
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:25 PM PST up reply actions
And that seems like a prime situation in which to say,
“It’s a celebration, bitches.”
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:33 PM PST up reply actions
When you...um...finish...
it starts to play ‘Celebration.’
by LoneStranger on Nov 30, 2010 2:44 PM PST up reply actions
Wha?
"Anything that is the something of the something isn't really the anything of the anything." ~ Lisa Simpson
Then that's kind of on you, babe, isn't it?
"Anything that is the something of the something isn't really the anything of the anything." ~ Lisa Simpson
ahem, to be serious for a sec. i think it was one time. bbg was in town for a last minute event and nobody could ahold of me.
it’s totally on me. you’re correct as usual.
They probably couldn't get a holt of me either.
And seriously, all the major AN events are fanposted, and I’ve seen you at them.
"Anything that is the something of the something isn't really the anything of the anything." ~ Lisa Simpson
Me, too, you.
You’re cute.
"Anything that is the something of the something isn't really the anything of the anything." ~ Lisa Simpson
Ionno the House of Lords might be the one group out that that makes a bigger ass out of themselves than we do.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 2:20 PM PST up reply actions
You're saying that what I posted is the typical response?
IIRC, Scott Brosius was initially dealt with pretty gently. And then he became SCOTTBROSIUSGUY, and people started having a little fun with him…A lot of new users roll in like they already know the answers to everything, and assert that attitude pretty aggressively. That’s not likely to win friends.
If that’s the typical response to newer people, I don’t think it’s a problem. You don’t barge into a community and tell them they’re wrong. You engage in a discussion. You came in, guns a-blazin’, telling us that stats are dumb, intangibles are the end-all-be-all, and Scott Brosius was a better third baseman than Adrian Beltre currently is. Your first point is silly; your second point is pretty much the equivalent of trying to prove or disprove God (i.e., impossible); your third point is one of the most patently absurd baseball-related statements I’ve ever encountered.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 1:54 PM PST up reply actions
don't forget what i believe this was his trade package for mr justin upton
Sweeney, the two pitchers we got for Davis, and E5
There was so much ridiculous in that whole situation, I'm sure I can't remember most of it.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 1:58 PM PST up reply actions
And this is somehow more rediculous than offering $63M to Beltre?
Again, we have a difference of opinion. This thread was about welcoming new ideas, and not chasing people away.
Yes, it is. Offering $63M is something that only requires $63M and a phone call.
Trading Sweeney, two sub-mediocre AA pitchers, and E5 for Justin Upton requires the force-trade button, which doesn’t exist in real life.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:40 PM PST up reply actions
"And this is somehow more rediculous than offering $63M to Beltre?"
Yes.
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Nov 30, 2010 2:40 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
See, dude? You are aggressively advancing a patently ridiculous agenda.
Don’t be surprised at the response.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:46 PM PST up reply actions
You are wrong.
I’m just pointing out that everyone jumped me to provide statistics to MY opinion, yet, you cry foul when I ask you the same for your opinion.
There isn't a concise way to cite the sheer volume of evidence to back up our point of view on this.
Justin Upton is one of the elite players of modern baseball. He’s a potential franchise player and if he performs like he can, he’ll be a HOFer. A bad outfielder, two horrific pitchers, and a bad third baseman are not going to net you Justin Upton. His current team doesn’t need those pieces, nor are they pieces good enough to warrant trading your franchise player for.
A $63M offer to Beltre, on the other hand, is not ridiculous. Statistically, he has earned his contract in almost all of his seasons, which is more than you can say for quite a few other top-shelf players.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:56 PM PST up reply actions
Tutu
I would let this one go bro. Just agree to disagree.
I wasn’t trying to bring up old issues when I referenced you, it was merely a reference and I hope I haven’t reopened Pandora’s Box by doing so. My bad.
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 2:48 PM PST up reply actions
No problem
But you did an excellent job of highlighting how new people with a differing opinion are welcomed.
It's not that your opinion is different.
It’s that your opinion has no basis in reality, and you’re passing it off as fact. Or more to the point, you’re attempting to assert opinion statements in an area where fact statements are more warranted.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:57 PM PST up reply actions
there are two kinds of debates that happen here on AN
one is the subjective kind. i call it the coke vs pepsi debate. whatever. your opinion is as good as mine here.
two is the objective kind. i call it the sun rising in the east vs west argument. there is fact and there is make believe.
your trade proposal falls into the second debate type. theoretically your view on intangibles could fall into the first debate type but since no one can prove it exists, then i personally assign it to the second debate type. i prefer to value things i can quantify.
and i love when people say brosius was heavy on intangibles. he was actually a very good baseball player – he was just not viewed as a toolsy ballplayer, so his value was misconstrued. he had more than intangibles. he was good.
I would say he was decent.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 3:05 PM PST up reply actions
One of his Yankee seasons he did like five and a half WAR, didn't he?
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 3:28 PM PST up reply actions
Curious.
How well does one’s WAR in the minors translate to the Major League’s?
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 3:32 PM PST up reply actions
Do they actually have WAR calculations for the minors?
With the absence of a defensive metric like UZR (although from what I’ve read, TZ isn’t terrible) I don’t think they can accurately calculate WAR.
Anyway, to semi answer your question, there are a lot of factors that go into minor league numbers. Mainly, there are lots of guys who put up great seasons (i.e. Tommy Everidge), but these seasons never translate to major league success. In a lot of cases this is due to the age of a player, older players often put up great numbers due to their advanced physical states as well as experience.
A's Fan in Sweden
"Some of us know him as the a-hole who piled into Ray Fosse in an All-Star game (it's why Ray is the way he is folks)" - OptimistPrime
It doesn't
the concept of a replacement minor leaguer doesn’t exist like it does in the majors. Therefore there is no baseline to compare production from.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 4:31 PM PST up reply actions
TY
Trav & DFA.
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 4:34 PM PST up reply actions
Your welcome.
If you ask questions around here you will always get a positive response. People don’t go after you until you start claiming that you are the Oracle at Delphi or something.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 4:40 PM PST up reply actions
Wait
You didn’t know that I am the Oracle at Delphi?
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 4:42 PM PST up reply actions
he had a 6 WAR year, a 5 WAR year and a 2.5 WAR year
all 3 had BABIPs at or above .330 vs a career average of .278.
those were flukish years, i guess.
And won a GG with a dWAR of 0.8
I think that says a lot about the value of THAT award. Or, rather how it is decided.
just because they were flukes doesn't make him less valuable to the team.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 4:33 PM PST up reply actions
I thank you billy,
and if this was how my original post had been greeted, we would be all having a beer right now. I admit that the trade offer I presented for Upton was ill advised, but I was taken aback and responding in an unprepared manner. I still think that we would be better off improving in areas other than 3rd base.
Lets hug it out.

When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 3:10 PM PST up reply actions
It cut it off.
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 3:11 PM PST up reply actions
If only we had some sort of new poster guide
to prepare people for the kind of people you might meet at AN.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 3:11 PM PST up reply actions
your last point is a fair point to make and, again, i said so at the time.
where i wanted you to continue the discussion was about whom we should be pursuing. if you make a statement like that, its reasonable to ask at which position, whom you’d like to fill that spot and how we obtain them.
that’s where you fell down in my eyes. but again, whatever.
Okay.
$63MM over five years is an average of $12.6MM a year. At the current market rates, he’ll only need to be worth 2.8 WAR to be completely worth that contract. He’ll likely hit that, or if not, he’ll be close.
But Sweeney, two minor-league pitchers, and E5? You’d be lucky to get 5 WAR out of that package, total. Upton’s a good bet to put up 20+ WAR by himself over the remainder of his contract.
does beltre's defense get you there by itself if his offense is league average?
in tutu-late’s defense, he wanted to keep kouz at 3B and use the money to upgrade elsewhere. i just disagreed with his trade for upton.
If Beltre's bat is league-average,
he’ll get +2.5 for playing 3B, +20 or so for the replacement-average adjustment, and +10 for defense. Adds up to 3.2 WAR, and if we throw in some offdays, let’s just call it 3 WAR.
I didn't realize Beltre's WAR is basically double Kouz's?
Am I reading the chart right?
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 3:08 PM PST up reply actions
Link
http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/k/kouzmke01.shtml
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 3:08 PM PST up reply actions
depends who you ask about the defense. If you use Total Zone as BBRef does then yes.
If you use UZR… not so much. Whats the truth? Probably somewhere inbetween.
Also I would just like to say this is exactly the way to engage stat people if you are trying to learn. Cheers.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 4:35 PM PST up reply actions
That's impressive.
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 3:00 PM PST up reply actions
The numbers for the price of wins in the free agent market are easy to establish
In recent years they have varied between $4M and $4.5M per win.
I don’t know what “ridiculous” is as opposed to merely “unwise,” but let’s say it’s a 50% overpay. That means that Beltre would have to produce less than about 10 wins for the A’s over the course of five years for a $63M contract to be “ridiculous.”
By Fangraphs’ metric, Beltre produced 21.5 wins over the past five years, for an average of 4.3 wins per season. Assuming a moderately steep half-win-per-season decline as he ages, that would cause him to provide the A’s around 14 wins over the next five seasons. Offering him a $63M contract is not “ridiculous.” By that metric it looks like, at worst, a very slight overpay.
The garbage you suggested trading for Justin Upton has virtually no value to anyone, as it’s all either unproven, hurt or sucks. Justin Upton is one of the 10 most valuable commodities in baseball. That exchange is “ridiculous.”
So, basically, you’re objectively wrong.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Note
To my surprise a half-win-per-season decline is not all that steep, but actually fairly accurate.
"Juuuuust a bit outside" - Harry Doyle
I was not clear-- sorry
“Moderately steep” was intended to mean “of moderate steepness,” as opposed to “of moderate steepness as among the species of decline which could be labeled ‘steep.’”
Certainly different concepts.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Wow, sorry you took my post that way.
That was not my point, however. My point was that even average players can be winners, and that they can contribute to a winning team in ways that don’t show up on stats. How is that coming in with “guns a-blazin’”? I NEVER said stats are dumb. I said that stats can be manipulated to support whatever view you want. This is true. In the end, the A’s need to score more runs, without taking too much of a hit to our Defense and Pitching strengths. My view was to keep Kouz and invest in someone like Upton. How was that wrong? If intangibles are bogus, then just what stat can people show that leads us to a “team leader”?
.
If intangibles are bogus, then just what stat can people show that leads us to a "team leader"?
Fangraphs has tLDR+ under their advanced stat page. Measured in dirt particulate size and the effect he has on the clutchiosity of his teammates.
My point was that even average players can be winners
Of course they can. All they have to do is be on a team that wins. That proves nothing about a player.
they can contribute to a winning team in ways that don’t show up on stats.
Absolutely. That’s why I’m sad Sheets and Rajai won’t be involved with the team this year, and why I’m glad Ellis will be. But all of that stuff is OPINION. There’s no fact in that kind of stuff, because you’re not in the clubhouse, and you wouldn’t even get very concrete conclusions if you were. And you came on very strong in your assertions that Scott Brosius was a great shortstop because apparently he contributed to the team. You were very aggressive. I’m sorry if you can’t see that, but go back and look at your comments.
I said that stats can be manipulated to support whatever view you want.
Which is basically saying that stats mean nothing. It’s also misleading and intellectually dishonest. Stats can be manipulated, but they generally are not in the context of advanced baseball metrics. Fangraphs doesn’t lie. It doesn’t have some sort of pro-Beltre anti-Brosius agenda.
If intangibles are bogus, then just what stat can people show that leads us to a "team leader"?
No one said they’re bogus, they’re just completely opinion-based. You can’t prove anything about them.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:38 PM PST up reply actions
However, I stated it as an opinion and it was demanded that I provide stats to back it up.
Wasn’t that a dishonest way to respond?
You didn't state ANYTHING as an opinion.
You stated it as if it was God’s own Gospel truth.
However, even if you do state an opinion, and clearly outline it as being an opinion, that doesn’t solve the problem of advancing a clearly opinion-based position as a reason the team should take a particular action.
You can have all the opinions you want, but if you’re going to start talking about actions the team should take, you need to recognize that you’re in a different kind of discussion. This isn’t just a bullshit session. People research their opinions exhaustively in this kind of discussion. People have very well-considered analyses. The most entry-level participant in this kind of discussion on AN is generally pretty well-versed in advanced metrics and probably can rattle off some rounded-off estimates of how given players did by certain metrics. This kind of discussion is not the place for you to ramble about “leadership” and other unprovable non-skills as reasons the team should or should not make a transaction.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:50 PM PST up reply actions
I think some people believe the concept of a "team leader" is also potentially bogus
Players motivate themselves. They don’t need another player calling the shots and telling them what to do; that’s what coaches are for. Any team that seemingly needs a so-called “team leader”, in my opinion, lacks leadership from their MANAGER, not from their players. They don’t need a player to get everyone on the same page; they need the manager to do that.
Let’s assume it does exist. In that case, the A’s “team leader” last year, if it exists, was Ben Sheets. Earlier in the decade, it was Jason Kendall. The A’s already have Mark Ellis, who would qualify as a “team leader”. Same with Dallas Braden. And Kurt Suzuki. And Coco Crisp.
Also, I don’t recall exactly, but wasn’t part of the reason people were combative about your post was that not only did you suggest that the A’s shouldn’t sign Beltre because he wasn’t a “team leader”, but you then proceeded to suggest Javier Vazquez as a good “team leader”?
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Dec 1, 2010 11:32 PM PST up reply actions
This ignores human psychology, IMO.
In ANY group of people there will be varying degrees of personality. Some are expressive. Some are quiet. Some are confident. Some are cocky. Some are followers. Some are leaders.
The idea that baseball players are able to bypass this, simply because they posses a high skill level in their sport, is shortsighted. It’s simple group dynamics… every collection of people has a “leader”, though it may only be in a relative sense.
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
by UncleLeo on Dec 2, 2010 8:49 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
FWIW, when I first saw your posts
I was very close to banning you as a troll. I don’t recall why, but you must have come on with attitude and/or combativeness, because I remember noting your user name in my mind.
So all I’m saying is that if you felt unwelcomed as a newbie, that was probably on you, not the community. That being said, there are plenty of examples where newbies have, IMO, been given unfairly harsh treatment.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Very Good Point
The new users do need to come in with tact and decency and be mindful of the fact that they are new.
But to use this an example, and hopefully, one we can draw correlations from:
I’m in sales; selling skylights. A customer comes to me and says “Your Skylight Sucks! I hate it, lets too much light in.” My response would almost never be “Well you just clearly don’t understand the R-Value, Solar Heat Gain and UV Transmittance of this insulated unit and what your saying is WRONG.” That’s not going to win over any customers.
Maybe I see AN different than others or maybe we all see it the same, but New Users are sort of like customers right? We should all make everyone try and feel as welcomed as possible, regardless of their initial post, because in the end we would like most of them to stay, right? NO? LOL.
When you've played this game for ten years and gone to bat seven-thousand times and gotten two-thousand hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone zero for five-thousand. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 1:59 PM PST up reply actions
New users are not customers of mine (or indeed yours)
I don’t benefit from site traffic. No one is paying me to draw new users. It’s an inapposite analogy, like an SAT question where CAR:DRIVER is analogized to BICYCLE:FISH.
Blez cares about site traffic because it makes him money. I couldn’t possibly give less of a crap about it.
The admins make rules with the effort of preventing some degree of community attrition (for instance, the no-politics rule, or the no-personal-attacks rule). I follow the rules, but I’m under no obligation to go beyond that in the interests of a goal (having a lot of posters here) which I don’t share. My interest is in the quality of discussions, not in the comment count of them.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
PT is right (and may or may not appreciate the irony of me saying this and hopefully have a good chuckle)
But think about it as walking into a bar where there are a lot of regulars. If you go in and say “Your bar sucks.” You’re likely going to have your ass handed to you or, if you’re lucky, politely asked to leave. If you come in and introduce yourself, maybe get a sense and feel of the place and tread politely and respectfully, odds are you’ll make a friend or two and slowly assimilate yourself into the bar’s community. Having thick skin, a happy-go-lucky or self-depreciating attitude, or no ego all help in this pursuit as well.
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
Would you be offended if I noted an incorrect word in this comment?
It’s an error I see frequently and I like to be helpful.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 8:37 PM PST up reply actions
I'm going to guess "self-depecriating"
But be my guest, I’m not particularly sensitive to that.
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
And it would be cool had I simply cut and pasted it from my original post instead of a typo
Does anyone wish the red lines showed on the subject line too?
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
It can.
There’s a way to make FF do it for text inputs. Right now it only does text areas.
by LoneStranger on Nov 30, 2010 9:12 PM PST up reply actions
I remember you posted that link already
and that I forgot to thank you for it back then. But, to keep it consistent, I won’t thank you now, either.
.
PxP: Self-promotion - How it works, Bunting, Pitch Counts, Managing, Run Expectancy, Streaks, Coors Effect
Ahhh... that's much, much better.
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
Yeah, was just going to note that it's "deprecating."
Depreciating is something investments do.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 8:46 PM PST up reply actions
If it makes you feel any better when I was thinking it, even though I used the wrong word,
I was pronouncing it correctly :P
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
Okay... that was a lie...
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
I forgive you.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 8:11 AM PST up reply actions
This sounds an awful lot like the blog rename post.
by LoneStranger on Nov 30, 2010 8:38 PM PST up reply actions
"Why do you guys call this place 'Cheers'? That's so lame. You should call it 'Get Me Hammered'!"
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
To be fair, "Get Me Hammered" is a way better name than "Cheers."
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 8:45 PM PST up reply actions
True. But that's not a place where everyone will know your name.
That’s where everyone will forget your name.
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
This bar sucks is
Not the same thing. Nobody comes on here and says “AN Sucks.”
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 8:55 PM PST up reply actions
I was simply using your analogy.
But coming in overbearing, full opinions, and/or acting like you run the joint is going to result in the same issue.
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
Where have you been?
Everyone comes on here and says “AN Sucks.”
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Or leaves, comes back or lurks just to say it when the moment is right.
It’s an art, really.
The funny thing about baseball is that people will believe what they want to believe. –Joe Posnanski 8/29/09
back at you
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 10:13 PM PST up reply actions
beats staying and always being petulent
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 10:14 PM PST up reply actions
If someone gets on here and says this place sucks, then they deserve the ridicule.
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 9:00 PM PST up reply actions
Hmm...Usually they just get promoted to the front page
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Then we need some of this

When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 9:13 PM PST up reply actions
Okay
They DO come on here and have this conversation, though:
N00b: “Fat Tire is better than Blue Moon…why do you guys like Blue Moon so much?”
AN: “You think Fat Tire is better than Blue Moon? You’re wrong, and here’s why. [/present xTASTE stats and HoPS projections]”
N00b: “xTASTE? WTF? Fat Tire is better because there’s a damn tire on the bottle!”
AN: “The logo has nothing to do with the flavor”
N00b: “Stop attacking me!”
AN: “Nico likes goats”
N00b: [/HEAD ASPLODE]
Fantasy Sports Columnist for Big Cat Country
by CaliforniaJag on Dec 1, 2010 11:36 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
If i could rec this a million times i would.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 2, 2010 2:12 PM PST up reply actions
You certainly do seem to have a bit of a fixation on public houses
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
And yet I've probably only been to a bar maybe 3 or 4 times in my life and I don't drink.
Blez’s bar analogy just fits too well for the place, I guess.
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
Was it a bar or a bat I saw?
Sweet is the lore which Nature brings; / Our meddling intellect
Mis-shapes the beauteous forms of things:— / We murder to dissect.
In general
If you comment first and ease in you’ll do fine (it worked for me).
If you make a poorly thought out slapped together post full of extreme statements, you won’t.
"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson
Yeah, the poorly thought out post full of extreme statements
usually doesn’t end well.
BOTTOM LINE
"Everybody in the building is standing except for people in a wheelchair." - Doug Woog
"It’s like the lost burrito of Atlantis." - jeepers
by Where's My Burrito? on Nov 30, 2010 1:48 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
BROSIUS LINE
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 1:58 PM PST up reply actions
Yeah, you're kinda OK
.
PxP: Self-promotion - How it works, Bunting, Pitch Counts, Managing, Run Expectancy, Streaks, Coors Effect
If someone's first comment is a question they tend to have a positive experience
The monster at the end of this blog.
by grover on Nov 30, 2010 3:26 PM PST up reply actions 3 recs
This should really be green.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 4:37 PM PST up reply actions
I think mine was, "Where's the bathroom?"
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
And yet you still took a leak in the corner. Dude, wtf?
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
to be fair, nobody told him where it was. we called him a troll for like an hour and when you gots to go...
Pffft
The were was a sign in big bold print that said “Bath room.” It even had a picture of a toilet on it. We pointed as we called him a troll. Is it our fault that he didn’t bother to open his eyes?
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
They broke up.
I think it may be best if we, you know, didn’t discuss his ex in public like this. It’s only polite.
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
"Broke up" / "was served for dinner"
It’s all the same, right?
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
True.
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
How much does it suck to watch Jack Cust strik out all the time?
Take your silver mod tubescreamer, your dr. z, your nocaster, put them in a pile and burn them. if god gave you a thousand years, you still couldn't touch this. you can't f***ing keep time to this.
Approximately 142 sucks.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 8:46 PM PST up reply actions
west wing reference (with some poetic license)...
josh lyman – nah, it’s a stupid question
leo mcgarry – there are no stupid questions. well there are; i don’t know why people say that but give it a whirl
/end scene
South Park reference (with some poetic license)...
Mr Garrison: And remember, children, there are no stupid questions … only stupid people who ask them.
Sweet is the lore which Nature brings; / Our meddling intellect
Mis-shapes the beauteous forms of things:— / We murder to dissect.
"Come. Lower yourself and grovel at our feet while we consider your meek and pathetic application to join our exclusive group."
Said in Emperor Palpatine’s voice, of course.
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
I'm going to ignore the "be nice to me 'cause I'm new" angle
The important thing for everyone to remember is that AN is not a “stats” site. It’s a place for informed discussion on the Oakland A’s.
Numbers are not the end all, be all of information.
The monster at the end of this blog.
by grover on Nov 30, 2010 3:14 PM PST up reply actions 3 recs
That's a great point
And anyway, if it were true that “we like stats…” there wouldn’t this perceived divide and rancor amongst groups A and B. Clearly, there is not consensus about stats’ place in analysis or there would be no arguing.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Can someone, please, explain to me why saying "the majority thinks x"
equates to “you have to think x”?
Believe it or not, you are not actually a sheep who is legally required to think exactly the same thing as the majority does on all points.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
It's related to the (disturbing) phenomenon of people feeling threatened and coerced by the simple expression of an opinion.
I’ve noticed that this is taking hold in a lot of settings in this society. The expression of a strongly-held viewpoint, no matter how moderate the word choice, the tone, and the style (and Rebuilding Season’s word choice, tone, and style are nothing if not moderate in this post) elicits suspicion and a generally negative reaction.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 1:30 PM PST up reply actions
I don't think that
I don’t think that “the majority thinks x” equates to you have to think “x”. But, when saying “this is what most of us think” it can give a perception that if you think otherwise you shouldn’t say that or post it. I think that Rebuilding Season did try to keep it fairly mild, but I still think that putting something like this out there which does say the majority tend to think a certain way that it can cause some people to be put off. That’s it – if people choose not to say anything or be involved then that is their choice ultimately, but I don’t think that the intent of this piece is to cause people to not want to post dissenting views, but the way I perceived it, it may,and that is my opinion and that is why I stated it. And I appreciate that the author has taken all feedback on this positively and tried to make it a useful tool for people new to being involved in AN.
by longtimeasfan on Nov 30, 2010 3:32 PM PST up reply actions
It only gives that perception to people who are too afraid or intellectually cowardly to argue a minority viewpoint
If you’ve got real basis for your opinions, it shouldn’t matter what the majority thinks. (Example: I have real basis for the opinion that Chris Carter is an overrated prospect, so I’m very comfortable rating him below where most of the site has him.)
All this post does is encourage people who are thinking about going down certain well-traveled roads to make sure that they’ve got something of significance to say before challenging the majority viewpoint.
If the mere fact that someone says “the majority thinks x” makes a poster unwilling to challenge x, that poster needs to evolve either a spine or thicker skin.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Yes, but given your points it is entirely IRRELEVANT
to say what the majority thinks, so why say it? It doesn’t add anything; all it does is present to readers like it’s important to announce what the majority thinks (and each reader can assume his/her own reason why), and it’s really not.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
I just think of it as demographic information
like the racial or political makeup of the citizens of a particular town.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
OK, but even if it's accurate
I’m not about to emphasize, in a post, “Here on AN, the majority of us are white…” before discussing whether or not Daric Barton bunts too often.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
I'm fine with removing it, really
I just don’t agree with the notion that stating the viewpoint of the majority somehow coerces newcomers into mouthing the party line. It only does that if they allow it to.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
by PaulThomas on Nov 30, 2010 9:54 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Right, it doesn't
“coerce newcomers into mouthing the party line.” It just implies that the viewpoint of the majority is important. And that’s inaccurate.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Of course it's important.
Haven’t you ever stuck your foot in your mouth and wished someone would have TOLD you “Everybody at this party thinks U2’s Pop was a great album”?
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 8:14 AM PST up reply actions
If that's all you do, than I think it's wrong.
But if you can say something to the effect of “While this is the popular opinion, we certainly encourage alternative opinions that are well supported.” I think it would allow people to know, when they speak, who they’re speaking t: A group with a (non-unanimous) popular opinion. While at the same time it gives a subtle, but polite, warning that it’s definitely okay if you don’t agree, but if you speak out, it’s recommended that you do so prepared to defend your opinion. The warning is there so that they don’t get blind-sided by the community and prepared for possible strong response.
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
I guess I don't quite see the value in
a welcome post outlining, “just FYI,” the popular view on a few topics. I don’t see this as needing to be one of the core purposes.
Better, I think, to encourage new readers to lurk a bit and then comment a bit, before commenting a ton or making fanposts — because not only is this good practice for a lot of other reasons, but in doing so you will naturally know the popular views on repeated themes anyway.
So why not just cover it that way, instead of welcoming people by saying, “And here’s what a lot of us think…”
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Can we get a groll in here to settle this?
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 10:26 AM PST up reply actions
Dangit, you're right.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 10:51 AM PST up reply actions
You're clearly prolling.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 12:34 PM PST up reply actions
You know what might be a good compromise?
Separate the “how you should act” stuff from the “how we usually think” material. Perhaps split this into two clearly demarcated sections?
That would probably help too
I still plan on making edits though to the “how we usually think” points to stress that thinking outside this norm is perfectly fine, accepted, and done so by many users, but still to show those points so that people may have a basic understanding of them.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 11:27 AM PST up reply actions
Yes.
And then delete the entire “how we usually think” part because it’s utterly irrelevant.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Do you think the section I posted below would be a better replacement for such sections?
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 7:18 PM PST up reply actions
I don't think it's irrelevant at all.
It says to a newcomer, “This is not a place where, if you come on with a bunch of Cust-hate and anti-Moneyball sturm und drang, people are just going to agree with you.”
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 8:38 PM PST up reply actions
It's irrelevant because it's a place where
if you come on with a bunch of any-hate and anti-anything sturm and drang, people will take issue with it — because of the hate and/or the sturm/drang without any substance to offset said hate and/or sturm/drang. It has nothing to do with Cust or Moneyball.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Define "hate".
Is it a simple as differing with your conclusion?
Billy Beane... What have you done for me lately?
so your new role is to just randomly pop on here, make a random comment and disappear again?
And the last remnants memory destroys.
by Leopold Bloom on Nov 30, 2010 12:31 PM PST up reply actions
He's here to talk about random comments.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 12:35 PM PST up reply actions
Give me some credit. At least they are positive random comments.
:)
I'm here to talk about the past.
Where are you right now?
Last we heard, you were drunk, wandering around Union City.
by LoneStranger on Nov 30, 2010 2:49 PM PST up reply actions
I think were I to wander in a drunken state, it would not be my hometown.
Because if I made it home, it would have to mean I was not drunk enough to begin with.
Unless, of course, it is where I started drinking. But you and I both know that is almost never the case.
I'm here to talk about the past.
So with the suggestions above, I've decided to combine 2, 3, and 8 into the following section:
Let me know if you think this is better or worse:
2) There are certain issues that some of us are very passionate about, and should only be broached in a fanpost if you have some seriously innovative stuff to bring to the table. These issues have been brought up many times, and will be brought up many times forward, and as a result, some members of this blog have their opinions extremely well researched and thought out ahead of time. If you decide to bring up any of these subjects, be prepared for a wave of opinions both ways, oftentimes with both high level statistical analysis and in-depth scouting reports involved. Be warned that broaching these subjects without clearly organized and well written content may ellicit very negative reactions from the community due to the frequency which the topic is discussed. If you’re not sure if what you’re thinking of is innovative, or if you simply want to ask a question, try asking it in the comments of a similar post first. If the answers you get still don’t satisfy you, then do some more research on your own and make a post about it. By following this process you can be sure that your post will be well received by the community as it is bringing a concise, thought out, and confident view to the community. Here are some examples of such topics:
1) Jack Cust’s ability as a hitter. Cust may be the most polarizing figure on this site due to the frustration he causes with his strikeouts and low batting average, but his amazing propensity for getting on base and leading the team in power.
2) Daric Barton’s usability at first base. Often times people look to upgrade from Barton to a power hitter, since first base is typically a power hitter position, but others argue that Barton’s on base skills and amazing defense are great qualifications for him remaining at first base.
3) The value of statistics vs. intuition/accepted baseball traditions. While I think it’s safe to say most users believe in a blend of the two approaches when it comes to valuing a player, many believe that one side or the other makes for a better discussion.
4) The ballpark situation. Some believe that there are viable sites in Oakland which Lew Wolff hasn’t put a good faith effort into investigating, while others believe that anywhere within the bay area is good as long as the stadium is top-notch.
5) Whether Moneyball works. Some believe that Moneyball as a philosophy is ineffective due to its inability so far to produce a world series winner, whereas others believe that Moneyball can not be ineffective as it is simply a philosophy geared towards finding undervalued players.
6) The value of defense to the team. Some believe that the pitching staff relies on the team’s great defense due to the batted-ball nature of the staff, and as such is essential to the team, while others believe that defense is a strength which can be traded from to acquire better hitting.
7) How much scouts should be valued in relation to the major league club. This is another topic where I think nobody is either wholly on one side or the other of “which is better,” some people think that prospects are a commodity which should be valued as it leads to a good future for the team, whereas others believe that the major league club right now is all that matters, and anything that can be done to improve it (bringing up exciting prospects, trading them for upgrades to current weak positions) should be done regardless of how it impacts the system as a whole.
The above topics, along with others you’ll notice over time, will be rehashed many times throughout the lifecycle of this blog, because people are both excited and frustrated to explain their views again to new people. If you post about such topics, just be ready for a lot of passionate debate which may or may not reach any conclusions.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 1:35 PM PST reply actions
Rather, not so much decided as wrote this up as a draft.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 1:35 PM PST up reply actions
Gah, I'm already noticing mistakes I missed
Scouts in the introductory sentence should be prospects. I don’t know how I missed that.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 1:38 PM PST up reply actions
You could also encourage the usage of AN's search function about anything that user has a question about?
"No matter what I talk about, I always get back to baseball." -- Connie Mack
And links to a post about each subject
"Everybody in the building is standing except for people in a wheelchair." - Doug Woog
"It’s like the lost burrito of Atlantis." - jeepers
by Where's My Burrito? on Nov 30, 2010 1:52 PM PST up reply actions
Good suggestions
I’ll be thinking about some good threads for each of these.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 2:11 PM PST up reply actions
Good suggestions
(last one omitted my body for some reason.) I’ll be thinking and searching for good threads to link to for each of these points.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 2:12 PM PST up reply actions
Omitted your body? You were decapitated? NO!
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:20 PM PST up reply actions
Use bullet points instead of sub-numbers.
The generally accepted method, for clarity’s sake, is to alternate between bullets, numbers, letters, Roman numerals, etc. You never want to use the same method of demarcation for different levels and sub-levels of organization.
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Nov 30, 2010 2:00 PM PST up reply actions
Good call.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 2:11 PM PST up reply actions
At a glance, I'd say this reads way better, both in content and tone.
I’m surprised Cahill isn’t in the “top x topics” — I consider Cust’s value as a hitter and Cahill’s “legitimacy” as a pitcher to be quite possibly the top 2.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Good one
I’ll add it.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 7:35 PM PST up reply actions
While we're at it . . . Let's stop calling people "garbage"
I greatly enjoy reading the posts and comments on AN but one thing that really is disturbing is when players are referred to as “garbage” or similarly dismissed in pejorative fashion. I find that the people making such comments are usually those who think most highly of their arguments based on one or another statistic.
Major League baseball players are one of 750 people in the world who have reached this level, often after enduring many years of practice and training. It’s quite an achievement. To have people who did not reach this level call them garbage because they may not be as good as the best players in the league is wrong, and says more about the character of the person making the comment than the one being commented upon.
by SA on Nov 30, 2010 2:38 PM PST reply actions 1 recs
+1!
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 2:39 PM PST up reply actions
I think there are a lot of people who provide no statistical backing whatsoever who refer to players that way.
Which is probably why they think that of the player in the first place.
As a fan who almost never provides a statistical-based argument, and whose love for the A’s is often based on irrationality, I think it would suck not to be able to express my frustrations with a player. At least sometimes. Unless you are saying that game threads are a different beast altogether.
I'm here to talk about the past.
this post is garbage.
Official Athletics Nation Rotating Tagline Editor
Pam liked my old sig better.
I feel it's at least compost.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
There's nothing wrong with expressing frustration with a player. It's really the smugness of calling people garbage and the like that's annoying.
Here’s an example from September this year:
They also have Greg Halman who’s doing pretty well in the PCL at 22
He’s also walking a fairly respectable amount although his K’s are off the charts. He’s also Dutch and has only recently heard of baseball so that’s a plus.
by WaddellCanseco on Sep 6, 2010 11:22 PM EDT up reply actions
Eh
Halman is garbage. He’ll run out of options long before he learns how to play baseball.
by PaulThomas on Sep 7, 2010 1:21 AM EDT up reply actions
by SA on Nov 30, 2010 3:24 PM PST up reply actions
He's Dutch?
“Garbage” was generous. Does anyone remember why we hate the Dutch?
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
All right Nico. Don't play the laughing boy.
There’s only two things I hate in this world. People who are intolerant of other people’s cultures and the Dutch.
by LoneStranger on Nov 30, 2010 8:06 PM PST up reply actions
It's those damn ovens.
Sweet is the lore which Nature brings; / Our meddling intellect
Mis-shapes the beauteous forms of things:— / We murder to dissect.
I find their tightwad dates, sex dolls and drunkenness more problematic
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Not so wild about their boy's cleanser either.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Boy's cleanser?
Yeah, I can see why you’d need plenty of that…
[ducks]
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
I like stew?
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
He really is garbage though... have you seen his k rate?
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 10:19 PM PST up reply actions
No.
This is not little league where everyone is always a winner. Bad players cost their team games. Bad players on the A’s cost the team I root for games.
I really don’t care that they’re at a relatively high level of play compared to the general population. What difference does that make to me? Why should it make a difference? Who, in a word, cares?
If you’re bad at your job in a public arena, you’ve got three choices: suck it up, quit, or get better. That’s really all there is to it.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
by PaulThomas on Nov 30, 2010 5:29 PM PST up reply actions 5 recs
That misses the point. People can be criticized without being called garbage.
But anyone who calls other people “garbage” is obviously so confident in their own life’s accomplishments that they’re unlikely to change the way they refer to other people.
I try to skip over your comments as much as possible and enjoy the rest of the site.
by SA on Nov 30, 2010 6:35 PM PST up reply actions
Oh good, someone with a personal bone to pick with PT.
This should go over well.
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Nov 30, 2010 7:17 PM PST up reply actions
I'd actually rather that some people on AN NOT read my posts
although it’s obvious this guy does anyway, given the C&P of one higher up, so I guess that particular pony has already escaped from the barn.
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
It's not like PT or anyone else who decries a player's performance thinks that they are garbage as a human being
Think of it as “baseball player who has played like garbage”
I have NO rooting interest. It simply become[s] a process of elimination of who I dislike less. - 67MARQUEZ
!#%&$#@&%&% antioxidants! - pam
by cuppingmaster on Nov 30, 2010 7:17 PM PST up reply actions
Hmm...
Well saying “he’s bad at baseball” is kind of wordy. Can we come up with a word that expresses this point in a more succinct fashion. How about saying “he’s garbage.”?
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
"He sucks."
Been around for years.
Take your silver mod tubescreamer, your dr. z, your nocaster, put them in a pile and burn them. if god gave you a thousand years, you still couldn't touch this. you can't f***ing keep time to this.
Not much difference there.
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
I need more variety in my excoriations
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
How about B@B?
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 8:59 PM PST up reply actions
It's funny, because I'm actually one of the most self-critical people around when I screw something up
I think of it as dishing out equal helpings of rancor to everyone!
"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.
Rancor?
I barely know her!
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
.
even if you think Rickey Henderson should be our starting left fielder and leadoff man next year
What, I thought everybody thought this? Who could possibly disagree?
by RickeySteals on Nov 30, 2010 4:19 PM PST reply actions 2 recs
Rec'ed for thruthiness.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 4:38 PM PST up reply actions
REEEEADD IT.
Or don’t.
Choosy Feebas choose Leopold Bloom nipples
Daring. Sensual. Invigorating. Squirrel.
BLOOM. For men.
If the eggs actually hatch I made more than a mistake, I made some scientifically impossible crime.
Ok, I've edited the post itself to reflect changes suggested
and the proposed edits I posted earlier. Feel free to unrec out of disgust.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 7:54 PM PST reply actions
Hmmm...
It looks everything is on their twice bro.
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Nov 30, 2010 9:44 PM PST up reply actions
That's weird
Thanks for the heads up — fixed.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 10:02 PM PST up reply actions
IT'S SPELLED "BROTHER"
"I wasn't able to extend so I had a serious lack of extension."--Dallas Braden
by StJosephBurningTheOakTreesToTheGround on Dec 1, 2010 8:17 AM PST up reply actions
I shortened it. Sorry bro.
When you've played this game for 10 years and gone to bat 7,000 times and gotten 2,000 hits do you know what that really means? It means you've gone 0-5,000. -Reginald Martinez "Reggie" Jackson
by Geronimo Berroa on Dec 2, 2010 9:45 AM PST up reply actions
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHA well played
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Dec 2, 2010 2:17 PM PST up reply actions
id remove this
7) How much scouts should be valued in relation to the major league club. This is another topic where I think nobody is either wholly on one side or the other of "which is better," some people think that prospects are a commodity which should be valued as it leads to a good future for the team, whereas others believe that the major league club right now is all that matters, and anything that can be done to improve it (bringing up exciting prospects, trading them for upgrades to current weak positions) should be done regardless of how it impacts the system as a whole.
I don’t think this is talked to death and Id like to talk about it more.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 10:25 PM PST up reply actions
By all means, I hope people post
I just don’t really want to see “Green + Choice + Carter + Taylor + Stassi for Hunter Pence.”
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 11:08 PM PST up reply actions
That's actually not the totally out of this world awful I was looking for
More like the aforementioned 5 for Martin Prado.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Nov 30, 2010 11:09 PM PST up reply actions
Why not?
Choice you cant trade by rule. But Green Carter Taylor and Stassi is an overpay for Pence but not by much. Take out Carter and I do it. I might even do it if you take out Taylor or Stassi.
What we’re asking is for people to stop pretending that ipse dixit counts as a "source." When you make a claim about baseball, you should be willing to put some reasonable amount of effort into explaining why it’s correct if someone asks you to. That’s basic respect for the other poster. - PT
by designatedforassignment on Nov 30, 2010 11:57 PM PST up reply actions
The above example was poor
I mostly meant “trade all prospects for minor upgrade midseason.” I can’t think of a great example right now.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Dec 1, 2010 12:05 AM PST up reply actions
Regardless, the point of the post is not to say "Don't talk about these things"
but rather “be ready for passionate debate if you do.” It’s another trap new posters fall into IMO when their first post is “Let’s trade everything we’ve got for XXX” where XXX is a player not worth the prospects proposed, and the commenters tell the poster in spades. I love talking about prospects and their major league value; I just hope that people who make the posts do as well.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Dec 1, 2010 12:30 AM PST up reply actions
i read the whole thing
and the OP twice.
Where is my cookie?
"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - dannycakes
Find me at a tailgate and I'll find you a cookie.
rebuildingseason.blogspot.com
by Rebuilding Season on Dec 2, 2010 9:30 AM PST up reply actions




































