Where Will They Land? Part II: 2nd-Tier Free Agent Predictions

No one has a crystal ball, but it’s not unreasonable at all to expect him to rebound. Just as players sometimes have career years, sometimes players have off years, and he seems to have figured out some things near the end of the season that give legitimacy to the idea that he will bounce back.

If it were really that easy, any one of us could go get rich off it.

It’s certainly true that different people (and different GMs) value different things, and thus a good trade can be found by knowing what some other GM wants that we don’t. But it feels like around here it’s just assumed that if a guy has a hot streak or gets a lot of hype on ESPN suddenly everyone else is willing to overpay for him.

With regard to Rajai Davis, when you say some people “would have bought him at nearly full value”, do you mean some fans who comment on blogs or actual GMs? If the latter, which ones?

Now they have Salty.

Why did Shooty Babbit exclaim-on the post game show that Landon should be the regular DH/C to platoon with Cust in 2010? (j/k)

or do i really have to say “he’s been a 3.9-5.7 WAR player the last 7 years”?

please dont take away rounding up/down from my arsenal of things to do when making a generalizing point, i beg you!

It really is a waste of his talent to rot on the bench and be a backup for Suzuki, he would be better off starting in AAA again…

Although this one does incite a good chuckle.

in terms of room to grow. I doubt there’s enough biological material left in Pamela Anderson’s to grow any direction. And Greenspan’s can always grow down.

Once he got called up in Sept.

4/30-5/15. He played very regularly while Zooks was hurt.

TJ surgery blah blah blah.

Command being the last thing blah blah blah.

4.55 B/9 is too high for me to feel comfortable with him closing; I’d want there to be someone better behind him to clean up any potential mess.

Walks kill, especially in the late innings of close games. If DLS gets his B/9 down into the low-3’s then we can talk about him as an option to close.

Stop looking at his ERA. It was unbelievably higher than his FIP this season.
Once those numbers even out you’re going to really like him

The salary dump swap to land Rosales was to upgrade from Crosby to a better utility Super-Sub. Can we compar the price to achieve this commodity to an independent purchase of a fungible asset, i.e. paying a premium for a 30+ aged middle reliever. Do I have this one wrong?

I was doing you a favor. For the record, I have now made a grand total of 2 fanposts on DRay’s Bay and I did not get any heat from anyone on my most recent sojourn. Looking back, the person who got most persnickety on my original visit has been one of the most engaged this time around. So if you want to talk about bullshit, I’d love to hear the tale you weave that proves just how much I’m disliked over there.

What is your fucking problem? You don’t think a poll about a possible trade scenario should include the option for the home team to keep their player? Yes, that would make for a very relevant poll. The Rays will trade BJ Upton because NSJ says they will. And I get accused for having an excessive ego?!?!

What I posted at 6 PM was the truth. 33% of the folks who participated in the poll liked the proposal as is. The rest either wanted more in return or were against the idea. I’m sorry you don’t like that reality. I’m sorry I went out of my way to run your ideas by DRay’s Bay and True Blue. I’m sorry you’re too fucking lazy to post something on Minorleagueball to see what neutral parties would think about your ideas.

I assure you I will not go out of my way to help test your ideas again.

Because I have in the past and have regretted it. Sometimes I’ll read something at the top of a comment and it’ll make my head spin; I’ll miss something later in the text that would have better explained their point. And after reading your later comment and DMOAS reply to that comment I see how I could have rephrased the options in my polls to better stimulate discussion on those boards. I don’t think your Yes/No poll would work as you suggest and you’re assuming that the reasoning behind the votes for option #1 was based on an emotional attachment to the player. You have no way of knowing that but I admit, my poll question did leave that door open.

You accused me of responding with rage and arrogance. You were half right. I was pissed that you called bullshit on my comment… like I was making up what the numbers said. You suggested that a website other than Halos Heaven disliked me because I had posted there before. That was one Hell of an assumption. You threw the first shots, I reacted.

At that point, it sounded like you were trying to brush aside the folks at DRays Bay who had voted against the proposal. Your point wasn’t as clear to me as it was in the later comment. Still, I own up to missing where you were going with the original comment.

I’d like to clear up a few more things.

I wasn’t apologizing to you. I was lamenting the opportunities I set aside to start threads on DRays Bay and True Blue. I was angry that I had just gotten sucker punched for trying to help build a case for someone who (for lack of better terms to describe someone I’ve chatted with often online) I considered an ally and cohort. You don’t care about the opinions of “random people”… I don’t see them as random people, I see them as individuals with a vested interest in the topic we were discussing. They are people with an entirely different viewpoint from you or I and in conversing with them one might find insight that could have otherwise been missed.

You want to accuse someone of arrogance? Your approach is limited to the information you can gather and the perceptions that derive from that information. I have no problem with talking to people in an effort to learn more. Especially since I did a whole lot of reading to try and figure out who was reliable and who was a fanboy before I ever asked my questions. The questions I asked in the polls were just the start. The conversations I have in the threads are where the real information is uncovered.

Now I will apologize to you. I’m sorry if I stepped on your toes, that wasn’t my intention. I was trying to pull together information and ideas that would let you refine your proposals for the next time you write. That will not happen again.

And he actually is? I’m not sure I’m willing to part with Suzuki and take my chances with him just yet. After all, if Carter needs more AAA seasoning, then Donaldson certainly does too.

i.e., contract value. I don’t care what he’s worth in money. I care about his wOBA and to a lesser extent, the fact he says he wants to be a multi-facteted player (which actually makes him a worse player)