GOG 2009 #51

The time has come to buckle down! As of right now, the A's have 81 games in the loss column, meaning they need to win out to reach .500 for the season. Unfortunately, the green and gold is up against the Mariners, who have dominated Oakland to the tune of a .313 winning percentage. But those were the "Matt Holliday is a .200 hitter" A's of April, the "we just realized that maybe we should send Dana Eveland to AAA" A's of May, and the "getting rid of some dead weight" A's of August. Now the Mariners are up against the "Rajai Davis is Superman, and Eric Patterson is probably Batman or something" A's of late September, so do they even have a chance?

I've developed a bit of a Pavlovian response to Mariners series this season -- basically I just curl up in a ball for 3-4 games and try not to turn on the tv. So, despite the strong play that we've been seeing lately from Oakland, my highest hopes for the next three days are pretty much just that I don't catch swine flu.


  • Probable pitchers
  • Mariners stats
  • Yesterday was an off-day, but I wasted it on work, so I still don't have grades for the last two GOG. But make sure to vote in the poll below...

GOG #51 :: The Penultimate (32 points possible)

Three game series @ Seattle Mariners -- September 29-October 1

UPDATE -- answers added below in bold

  1. Series outcome [3 points] 3-0 Seattle
  2. Tuesday is Felix Day! He's leading the Cy Young race for the "AL pitchers not named Zach" category. Predict IP/ER/K for the King [2 points each] 7.2 IP, 2 ER, 4 K
  3. With Hairston out, Eric Patterson has started the last six games and put up a batting line of .474/.600/.684 with 3 stolen bases to 1 caught stealing. Can he stay hot against the Mariners? Predict his AB/H/SB [2 points each] 9 AB, 4 H, 0 SB
  4. In his last start at Safeco field, Brett Anderson tossed an easy seven innings, striking out 8 while allowing only one run. How many innings will he last in his upcoming start? [3 points] 5 IP
  5. Kurt Suzuki has been the seventh hardest player to strike out in the AL this season (for some reason this category contains a lot of second basement, with Polanco, Pedroia, and Callaspo in spots 1, 2, and 3). How many times does Zook strike out against Seattle pitching? [3 points] 1 strikeout
  6. Shawn Kelley is suffering from some flyballing tendencies and the large HR rate that goes along with it, but he has struck out 4.88 hitters for every one that he has walked, which puts him fourth among AL pitchers with at least 30 IP (you may have heard of the dudes in the 1 and 2 spots -- Roy Halladay and Mariano Rivera). As Lookout Landing Jeff points out, this is a pretty good skill set for a middle reliever. How many walks and strikeouts for Kelley against the A's? [2 points each] 0 BB, 2 K (in 1 inning pitched)
  7. As a team, Seattle has the lowest walk rate in the American League at 7.2%. What is the Mariners' largest single game walk total in the series? [3 points] Seattle walked twice in game one; they only walked once in each of the other two games
  8. For the series, who posts a higher Batting Average on Balls In Play, Ichiro (currently at .382 for the year) or Rajai (currently at .368)? [+1 if right, -1 if wrong] Ichiro
  9. How many double plays do the A's hit into (includes the strike out/caught stealing type)? [3 points] Oakland hits into two double plays

Series starts at 7:10 pm. It's Felix day, so we all should just hide in a basement somewhere.


High scores on this one. Will you all keep it up for the very last GOG?

Overall scoring statistics

  • mean = 7.33333 points
  • standard deviation = 2.52605 points
  • mode = 7 points


Your Scores

Congratulations to nevermoor for winning GOG 51. Looks like he's not going to let up at the end of the season, so zaniac75 and RRS have their work cut out for them. Also, hey cuppingmaster! Welcome to the GOG!

nameplace (this GOG)score (this GOG)# of GOGsplace (all GOG)score (all GOG)place (by AVG)score by AVG
nevermoor1124613692 0.247
JLeverenz21032142187 0.212
streetfan10461321923 0.146
easyraider1020191398 0.209
muffinpryde5943924716 0.177
Rated-R Superstar684533136 0.219
swatnick773082521 0.263
micdog200174252839 0.208
colin749628115 0.178
A'sfaninNC73942903 0.230
stranahanahan116153380N/E 0.174
zaniac751254923535 0.223
doctorK551726821 0.163
GoAs144351222611 0.195
cuppingmaster1531923N/E 0.094
Mantecan As FanDNP--1961N/E 0.024
SoCal As FanDNP--143093N/E 0.200
NateHSTDNP--1526112N/E 0.225
DCinWCDNP--163284N/E 0.158
mikeADNP--31112324 0.227
ZeroIndulgenceDNP--202511617 0.176
gigglingoneDNP--1624117N/E 0.225
KimberlyDNP--212013112 0.189
obliqueDNP--381521718 0.176
vegAN ryANDNP--45227N/E 0.185
diehardoaklandfan22DNP--1628106N/E 0.202
Walton711DNP--1789N/E 0.214
travdog6DNP--2961N/E 0.013
BooneeDNP--35819N/E 0.174
RayJEddDNP--1229104N/E 0.252
A'sBowlingLeagueDNP--25819N/E 0.244
elephantbaseballDNP--192112610 0.200
brian.onlyDNP--46914N/E 0.096
robertmelvinDNP--64341N/E 0.188
OaktownPowerDNP--1627110N/E 0.201
roscoeDNP--291816119 0.168
FlashfireDNP--1886N/E 0.143
designatedforassignmentDNP--36816N/E 0.145
tresselfanDNP--4857N/E 0.046
KMoAsFanDNP--45720N/E 0.137
Gallagher's WatermelonsDNP--17410N/E 0.238
GreenOctober69DNP--1828N/E 0.190
SLOtownDNP--103760N/E 0.174
Angry SeanDNP--451024420 0.167
baseballnut020DNP--94151N/E 0.173
MaineAthleticDNP--123473N/E 0.187
j_rich36DNP--1857N/E 0.167
scutaroknowsthewayDNP--1923N/E 0.071
train80DNP--351620614 0.179
FormerHuntsvilleStarDNP--113188N/E 0.251
jay_senseiDNP--64244N/E 0.227
Athletix ManDNP--93859N/E 0.199
Athletics fan and runnerDNP--65227N/E 0.133
Holy Toledo!DNP--1923N/E 0.083
NicoDNP--17410N/E 0.278
JLaffDNP--1914N/E 0.111
WaddellCansecoDNP--55128N/E 0.164
crb29DNP--113570N/E 0.196
eastcoasta'sfanDNP--45623N/E 0.161
OaktownflavDNP--36417N/E 0.156
Future EdDNP--64341N/E 0.197
JediLeroyDNP--1828N/E 0.222
DalesmanDNP--2886N/E 0.083
nateh37DNP--74539N/E 0.174
anomaly_katDNP--36118N/E 0.173
sprtsnwynDNP--26417N/E 0.250
VORP is too nerdyDNP--44732N/E 0.234
asyouwish33DNP--1828N/E 0.250
jeffroDNP--46118N/E 0.150
CutthemulletDNP--35524N/E 0.238
stabbin_mcadamsDNP--17410N/E 0.312
jasontheaDNP--44930N/E 0.219
fruitattackDNP--114831N/E 0.086
adragonDNP--321716722 0.161
Helloooo 1stDNP--64634N/E 0.165
King RichardDNP--27113N/E 0.203
jplDNP--84055N/E 0.222
baseballgirlDNP--17410N/E 0.286
whiteshoes40DNP--18366824 0.116
walkoff baltimore chopDNP--1857N/E 0.200
spiffyjwcDNP--27113N/E 0.194
samljmDNP--1789N/E 0.265
pam5981DNP--73859N/E 0.276
Gaijin_SukettoDNP--16914N/E 0.424
harenshairDNP--1521126N/E 0.249
toskDNP--55029N/E 0.179
mikevDNP--16417N/E 0.515
Leopold BloomDNP--1961N/E 0.029
ElQuesoCapitanDNP--36118N/E 0.194
TrainmanDNP--2923N/E 0.049
OptimistPrimeDNP--1905N/E 0.179
dtownmbrownDNP--45425N/E 0.182
BlicksDNP--212112613 0.183
chillicothe20DNP--1789N/E 0.265
ChadGodDNP--17113N/E 0.382
SamYamDNP--35819N/E 0.186
JLopezDNP--4789N/E 0.069
robbo650DNP--46417N/E 0.132
Steve in NapaDNP--1961N/E 0.032
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