FanPost

GOG 2009 #51

The time has come to buckle down! As of right now, the A's have 81 games in the loss column, meaning they need to win out to reach .500 for the season. Unfortunately, the green and gold is up against the Mariners, who have dominated Oakland to the tune of a .313 winning percentage. But those were the "Matt Holliday is a .200 hitter" A's of April, the "we just realized that maybe we should send Dana Eveland to AAA" A's of May, and the "getting rid of some dead weight" A's of August. Now the Mariners are up against the "Rajai Davis is Superman, and Eric Patterson is probably Batman or something" A's of late September, so do they even have a chance?

I've developed a bit of a Pavlovian response to Mariners series this season -- basically I just curl up in a ball for 3-4 games and try not to turn on the tv. So, despite the strong play that we've been seeing lately from Oakland, my highest hopes for the next three days are pretty much just that I don't catch swine flu.

Links

  • Probable pitchers
  • Mariners stats
  • Yesterday was an off-day, but I wasted it on work, so I still don't have grades for the last two GOG. But make sure to vote in the poll below...

GOG #51 :: The Penultimate (32 points possible)

Three game series @ Seattle Mariners -- September 29-October 1

UPDATE -- answers added below in bold

  1. Series outcome [3 points] 3-0 Seattle
  2. Tuesday is Felix Day! He's leading the Cy Young race for the "AL pitchers not named Zach" category. Predict IP/ER/K for the King [2 points each] 7.2 IP, 2 ER, 4 K
  3. With Hairston out, Eric Patterson has started the last six games and put up a batting line of .474/.600/.684 with 3 stolen bases to 1 caught stealing. Can he stay hot against the Mariners? Predict his AB/H/SB [2 points each] 9 AB, 4 H, 0 SB
  4. In his last start at Safeco field, Brett Anderson tossed an easy seven innings, striking out 8 while allowing only one run. How many innings will he last in his upcoming start? [3 points] 5 IP
  5. Kurt Suzuki has been the seventh hardest player to strike out in the AL this season (for some reason this category contains a lot of second basement, with Polanco, Pedroia, and Callaspo in spots 1, 2, and 3). How many times does Zook strike out against Seattle pitching? [3 points] 1 strikeout
  6. Shawn Kelley is suffering from some flyballing tendencies and the large HR rate that goes along with it, but he has struck out 4.88 hitters for every one that he has walked, which puts him fourth among AL pitchers with at least 30 IP (you may have heard of the dudes in the 1 and 2 spots -- Roy Halladay and Mariano Rivera). As Lookout Landing Jeff points out, this is a pretty good skill set for a middle reliever. How many walks and strikeouts for Kelley against the A's? [2 points each] 0 BB, 2 K (in 1 inning pitched)
  7. As a team, Seattle has the lowest walk rate in the American League at 7.2%. What is the Mariners' largest single game walk total in the series? [3 points] Seattle walked twice in game one; they only walked once in each of the other two games
  8. For the series, who posts a higher Batting Average on Balls In Play, Ichiro (currently at .382 for the year) or Rajai (currently at .368)? [+1 if right, -1 if wrong] Ichiro
  9. How many double plays do the A's hit into (includes the strike out/caught stealing type)? [3 points] Oakland hits into two double plays

Series starts at 7:10 pm. It's Felix day, so we all should just hide in a basement somewhere.

Results

High scores on this one. Will you all keep it up for the very last GOG?

Overall scoring statistics

  • mean = 7.33333 points
  • standard deviation = 2.52605 points
  • mode = 7 points
Gog2009_51_medium

via cfcp.uchicago.edu

Your Scores

Congratulations to nevermoor for winning GOG 51. Looks like he's not going to let up at the end of the season, so zaniac75 and RRS have their work cut out for them. Also, hey cuppingmaster! Welcome to the GOG!

name place (this GOG) score (this GOG) # of GOGs place (all GOG) score (all GOG) place (by AVG) score by AVG
nevermoor 1 12 46 1 369 2 0.247
JLeverenz 2 10 32 14 218 7 0.212
streetfan 10 46 13 219 23 0.146
easyraider 10 20 19 139 8 0.209
muffinpryde 5 9 43 9 247 16 0.177
Rated-R Superstar 6 8 45 3 313 6 0.219
swatnick 7 7 30 8 252 1 0.263
micdog2001 7 42 5 283 9 0.208
colin 7 49 6 281 15 0.178
A'sfaninNC 7 39 4 290 3 0.230
stranahanahan 11 6 15 33 80 N/E 0.174
zaniac75 12 5 49 2 353 5 0.223
doctorK 5 51 7 268 21 0.163
GoAs 14 4 35 12 226 11 0.195
cuppingmaster 15 3 1 92 3 N/E 0.094
Mantecan As Fan DNP -- 1 96 1 N/E 0.024
SoCal As Fan DNP -- 14 30 93 N/E 0.200
NateHST DNP -- 15 26 112 N/E 0.225
DCinWC DNP -- 16 32 84 N/E 0.158
mikeA DNP -- 31 11 232 4 0.227
ZeroIndulgence DNP -- 20 25 116 17 0.176
gigglingone DNP -- 16 24 117 N/E 0.225
Kimberly DNP -- 21 20 131 12 0.189
oblique DNP -- 38 15 217 18 0.176
vegAN ryAN DNP -- 4 52 27 N/E 0.185
diehardoaklandfan22 DNP -- 16 28 106 N/E 0.202
Walton711 DNP -- 1 78 9 N/E 0.214
travdog6 DNP -- 2 96 1 N/E 0.013
Boonee DNP -- 3 58 19 N/E 0.174
RayJEdd DNP -- 12 29 104 N/E 0.252
A'sBowlingLeague DNP -- 2 58 19 N/E 0.244
elephantbaseball DNP -- 19 21 126 10 0.200
brian.only DNP -- 4 69 14 N/E 0.096
robertmelvin DNP -- 6 43 41 N/E 0.188
OaktownPower DNP -- 16 27 110 N/E 0.201
roscoe DNP -- 29 18 161 19 0.168
Flashfire DNP -- 1 88 6 N/E 0.143
designatedforassignment DNP -- 3 68 16 N/E 0.145
tresselfan DNP -- 4 85 7 N/E 0.046
KMoAsFan DNP -- 4 57 20 N/E 0.137
Gallagher's Watermelons DNP -- 1 74 10 N/E 0.238
GreenOctober69 DNP -- 1 82 8 N/E 0.190
SLOtown DNP -- 10 37 60 N/E 0.174
Angry Sean DNP -- 45 10 244 20 0.167
baseballnut020 DNP -- 9 41 51 N/E 0.173
MaineAthletic DNP -- 12 34 73 N/E 0.187
j_rich36 DNP -- 1 85 7 N/E 0.167
scutaroknowstheway DNP -- 1 92 3 N/E 0.071
train80 DNP -- 35 16 206 14 0.179
FormerHuntsvilleStar DNP -- 11 31 88 N/E 0.251
jay_sensei DNP -- 6 42 44 N/E 0.227
Athletix Man DNP -- 9 38 59 N/E 0.199
Athletics fan and runner DNP -- 6 52 27 N/E 0.133
Holy Toledo! DNP -- 1 92 3 N/E 0.083
Nico DNP -- 1 74 10 N/E 0.278
EddieVegas_NRAF DNP -- 1 100 -1 N/E -0.028
JLaff DNP -- 1 91 4 N/E 0.111
WaddellCanseco DNP -- 5 51 28 N/E 0.164
crb29 DNP -- 11 35 70 N/E 0.196
eastcoasta'sfan DNP -- 4 56 23 N/E 0.161
Oaktownflav DNP -- 3 64 17 N/E 0.156
Future Ed DNP -- 6 43 41 N/E 0.197
JediLeroy DNP -- 1 82 8 N/E 0.222
Dalesman DNP -- 2 88 6 N/E 0.083
nateh37 DNP -- 7 45 39 N/E 0.174
anomaly_kat DNP -- 3 61 18 N/E 0.173
sprtsnwyn DNP -- 2 64 17 N/E 0.250
VORP is too nerdy DNP -- 4 47 32 N/E 0.234
asyouwish33 DNP -- 1 82 8 N/E 0.250
jeffro DNP -- 4 61 18 N/E 0.150
Cutthemullet DNP -- 3 55 24 N/E 0.238
stabbin_mcadams DNP -- 1 74 10 N/E 0.312
jasonthea DNP -- 4 49 30 N/E 0.219
fruitattack DNP -- 11 48 31 N/E 0.086
adragon DNP -- 32 17 167 22 0.161
Helloooo 1st DNP -- 6 46 34 N/E 0.165
King Richard DNP -- 2 71 13 N/E 0.203
jpl DNP -- 8 40 55 N/E 0.222
baseballgirl DNP -- 1 74 10 N/E 0.286
whiteshoes40 DNP -- 18 36 68 24 0.116
walkoff baltimore chop DNP -- 1 85 7 N/E 0.200
spiffyjwc DNP -- 2 71 13 N/E 0.194
samljm DNP -- 1 78 9 N/E 0.265
pam5981 DNP -- 7 38 59 N/E 0.276
Gaijin_Suketto DNP -- 1 69 14 N/E 0.424
harenshair DNP -- 15 21 126 N/E 0.249
tosk DNP -- 5 50 29 N/E 0.179
mikev DNP -- 1 64 17 N/E 0.515
Leopold Bloom DNP -- 1 96 1 N/E 0.029
ElQuesoCapitan DNP -- 3 61 18 N/E 0.194
Trainman DNP -- 2 92 3 N/E 0.049
OptimistPrime DNP -- 1 90 5 N/E 0.179
dtownmbrown DNP -- 4 54 25 N/E 0.182
Blicks DNP -- 21 21 126 13 0.183
chillicothe20 DNP -- 1 78 9 N/E 0.265
ChadGod DNP -- 1 71 13 N/E 0.382
SamYam DNP -- 3 58 19 N/E 0.186
JLopez DNP -- 4 78 9 N/E 0.069
robbo650 DNP -- 4 64 17 N/E 0.132
Steve in Napa DNP -- 1 96 1 N/E 0.032