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GOG 2009 #48

I must have seen the future because the title of the last GOG was "Ruin The Rangers", and the Athletics definitely just did that to any hopes that Texas has of making the playoffs. Of course, in my actual GOG entry I had Texas winning the series 2-1, so maybe claims of psychic ability should be taken with a grain of salt.

Star-divide

Starting today, the A's, with the worst home game attendance in the AL, will host the sorry Cleveland Indians (second worst home attendance in AL, 17 games behind the Tigers in the AL Central), in what is sure to be a crowd-pleasing four game series. September baseball can sometimes be full of tension and gut-wrenching ups and downs, but this series probably won't be that. So really it all comes down to the GOG race then!

Links

GOG #48 :: Exciting Pennant Races! (34 points possible)

Four game series vs Cleveland Indians -- September 17-20

UPDATE -- answers added below in bold

  1. Series outcome [3 points] 4-0 Oakland!!
  2. For people who are scratching their heads over how Fausto Carmona went from being awesome in 2007 to being horrible for the last two seasons, I give you the following three numbers -- 2.55, 5.22, 5.57. Those are his BB/9 rates for the last three seasons. The 2007 figure of 2.55 is pretty good but since then he his control has been unspeakably awful. Predict Carmona's IP/BB/ER against Oakland [2 points each] 5.2 IP, 1 BB, 8 ER
  3. It seems like every fANpost that mentions Rajai Davis gets like a million comments, so I am definitely including him in this GOG. How many times on base for Raj? [3 points] 7 times on base
  4. Justin Masterson was traded to Cleveland as part of the package for Victor Martinez and he has shown some troubling signs as a starter for the Indians (he was mostly pitching out of the bullpen for Boston). He is still doing a good job at getting ground balls and avoiding the home run (actually, he is doing a ridiculously good job at avoiding home runs, but some of that is definitely luck and small samples), but his strikeout rate has dropped and his walks are up into Carmona territory. Maybe he's a case of a sinker/slider guy who doesn't have enough variety in his repetoire to succeed as a starter, but the Indians will surely give him more of a chance to prove himself. How many Oakland hitters does Masterson walk in his game 1 start? [3 points] 4 BB for Masterson
  5. How many starts for Landon Powell, at catcher or elsewhere? Does he hit a home run in the series? [3 points for the first question, +-1 for the second question] 1 start, no HR
  6. Travis Hafner hasn't been able to stay healthy this season, but he has been a decent hitter when he plays (not like his monster years of 2004-2006, but also not like his below replacement performance last season). How many plate appearances for Pronk? [3 points] 13 PA for Hafner
  7. September call-up Michael Brantley has a big job in trying to fill Sizemore's shoes. So far he is hitting .328, but with few walks and pretty much zero power. Predict his H/SB/CS for the series [2 points each] 6 H, 0 SB, 2 CS
  8. The 2009 Cleveland bullpen is almost bad enough to make fans long for the days of Joe Borowski. Their relievers have a combined ERA that is third worst in the AL, ahead of only Kansas City and Baltimore (and if you go by FIP, then Cleveland is second worst in all MLB, ahead of the Nationals). How many runs to the A's score against this bullpen of horrors? [3 points] 3 ER off the Cleveland bullpen
  9. Mortensen (1-2), Anderson (9-10), and Gonzalez(5-6) all have the opportunity to even their records at .500 with a win. Which of these three young starters manages to do it? [+1 for each right, -1 for each wrong] Mortensen and Anderson pick up wins, Gio does not

The series starts up at 7:05 pm, so post your entries...

Results

That was another nice series, eh?

Overall scoring statistics

  • mean = 6.92857 points
  • standard deviation = 4.15959 points
  • mode = 8 or 10 points
Gog2009_48_medium

via cfcp.uchicago.edu

Your Scores

I don't have a whole lot to say today, except congratulations easyraider and stranahanahan!

nameplace (this GOG)score (this GOG)# of GOGsplace (all GOG)score (all GOG)place (by AVG)score by AVG
easyraider11117231219 0.209
stranahanahan11123667N/E 0.179
zaniac753104623434 0.229
Angry Sean1043922825 0.162
nevermoor104313492 0.248
doctorK6948726123 0.167
A'sfaninNC783842833 0.231
muffinpryde8401022621 0.172
Rated-R Superstar84232877 0.214
swatnick10727112241 0.256
adragon115311716724 0.166
streetfan122431520027 0.141
colin13046527117 0.182
JLeverenz14-2301619710 0.205
Mantecan As FanDNP--1951N/E 0.024
SoCal As FanDNP--143093N/E 0.200
NateHSTDNP--1526112N/E 0.225
DCinWCDNP--16328426 0.158
GoAsDNP--341222214 0.197
mikeADNP--3182325 0.227
ZeroIndulgenceDNP--202511619 0.176
gigglingoneDNP--16241176 0.225
KimberlyDNP--211913115 0.189
obliqueDNP--381321720 0.176
vegAN ryANDNP--45227N/E 0.185
diehardoaklandfan22DNP--162810611 0.202
micdog2001DNP--3962678 0.210
Walton711DNP--1789N/E 0.214
travdog6DNP--2951N/E 0.013
BooneeDNP--35819N/E 0.174
RayJEddDNP--1229104N/E 0.252
A'sBowlingLeagueDNP--25819N/E 0.244
elephantbaseballDNP--192012613 0.200
brian.onlyDNP--46914N/E 0.096
robertmelvinDNP--64341N/E 0.188
OaktownPowerDNP--162711012 0.201
roscoeDNP--291816122 0.168
FlashfireDNP--1886N/E 0.143
designatedforassignmentDNP--36816N/E 0.145
tresselfanDNP--4857N/E 0.046
KMoAsFanDNP--45720N/E 0.137
Gallagher's WatermelonsDNP--17410N/E 0.238
GreenOctober69DNP--1828N/E 0.190
SLOtownDNP--103760N/E 0.174
baseballnut020DNP--94151N/E 0.173
MaineAthleticDNP--123373N/E 0.187
j_rich36DNP--1857N/E 0.167
scutaroknowsthewayDNP--1923N/E 0.071
train80DNP--351420618 0.179
FormerHuntsvilleStarDNP--113188N/E 0.251
jay_senseiDNP--64244N/E 0.227
Athletix ManDNP--93859N/E 0.199
Athletics fan and runnerDNP--65227N/E 0.133
Holy Toledo!DNP--1923N/E 0.083
NicoDNP--17410N/E 0.278
EddieVegas_NRAFDNP--199-1N/E-0.028
JLaffDNP--1914N/E 0.111
WaddellCansecoDNP--55128N/E 0.164
crb29DNP--113470N/E 0.196
eastcoasta'sfanDNP--45623N/E 0.161
OaktownflavDNP--36417N/E 0.156
Future EdDNP--64341N/E 0.197
JediLeroyDNP--1828N/E 0.222
DalesmanDNP--2886N/E 0.083
nateh37DNP--74539N/E 0.174
anomaly_katDNP--36118N/E 0.173
sprtsnwynDNP--26417N/E 0.250
VORP is too nerdyDNP--44732N/E 0.234
asyouwish33DNP--1828N/E 0.250
jeffroDNP--46118N/E 0.150
CutthemulletDNP--35524N/E 0.238
stabbin_mcadamsDNP--17410N/E 0.312
jasontheaDNP--44930N/E 0.219
fruitattackDNP--114831N/E 0.086
Helloooo 1stDNP--64634N/E 0.165
King RichardDNP--27113N/E 0.203
jplDNP--84055N/E 0.222
baseballgirlDNP--17410N/E 0.286
whiteshoes40DNP--18356828 0.116
walkoff baltimore chopDNP--1857N/E 0.200
spiffyjwcDNP--27113N/E 0.194
samljmDNP--1789N/E 0.265
pam5981DNP--73859N/E 0.276
Gaijin_SukettoDNP--16914N/E 0.424
harenshairDNP--1520126N/E 0.249
toskDNP--55029N/E 0.179
mikevDNP--16417N/E 0.515
Leopold BloomDNP--1951N/E 0.029
ElQuesoCapitanDNP--36118N/E 0.194
TrainmanDNP--2923N/E 0.049
OptimistPrimeDNP--1905N/E 0.179
dtownmbrownDNP--45425N/E 0.182
BlicksDNP--212012616 0.183
chillicothe20DNP--1789N/E 0.265
ChadGodDNP--17113N/E 0.382
SamYamDNP--35819N/E 0.186
JLopezDNP--4789N/E 0.069
robbo650DNP--46417N/E 0.132
Steve in NapaDNP--1951N/E 0.032

Comment 19 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Comments

Display:

1. A’s 3-1
2. 5/3/3
3. 7
4. 4
5. 2, No
6. 13
7. 3/2/1
8. 6
9. All 3 (why not…)

"Did you know you can comment on Athletics Nation from your phone or PDA? SB Nation has launched mobile commenting. Check it out next time you’re at the game or bar and have something to say."

by stranahanahan on Sep 17, 2009 12:40 PM PDT reply actions  

I am back again

1. A’s sweep
2. 5/5/7
3. 11 times
4. 3
5. 2, yes
6. 11
7. 4/1/2
8. 8
9. All 3 do, (I said sweep)

PREPAREDNESS_Because those goddamn zombies aren’t going to kill themselves

by adragon on Sep 17, 2009 12:45 PM PDT reply actions  

coming back with a bang!

and by bang, I mean “prediction of a four game sweep”

On a related note, does anyone know where nevermoor went? zaniac75 is going to catch him soon (and Rated-R Superstar might not be far behind).

by colin on Sep 17, 2009 1:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

nevermoor warned us he would be back at the end of the last GOG

"If Vin Mazzaro comes anywhere near me with shaving cream he’s gonna be coming away with a bloody stump" – Dallas Braden

by doctorK on Sep 17, 2009 3:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yep.

Was totally out of touch for a week and a half.

Hopefully I had enough of a lead to still be in this thing.

"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson

by nevermoor on Sep 17, 2009 4:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

1. 2-2
2.6/3/4
3.7
4.3
5.1,no
6.12
7.5/1/0
8.7
9.Anderson,Morty

"Macha hates you"- Tacoma fans heckling Kielty

by zaniac75 on Sep 17, 2009 1:55 PM PDT reply actions  

GOG 48

1. 3-1 A’s
2. 5/3/4
3. 7
4. 3
5. 1, no homer
6.12
7. 5/1/0
8. 7
9. All three

Bad spellers of the world untie.

by A'sfaninNC on Sep 17, 2009 3:02 PM PDT reply actions  

Let's GOG A's

1. Oakland 3, the City of the Burning River 1
2. 4 IP/5 BB/5 ER
3. 7 on-base appearances
4. 4 walks
5. One, no
6. 10 PA
7. 5 H/1 SB/0 CS
8. 8
9. Mortensen – no, Anderson – yes, Gonzalez – yes

"If Vin Mazzaro comes anywhere near me with shaving cream he’s gonna be coming away with a bloody stump" – Dallas Braden

by doctorK on Sep 17, 2009 3:20 PM PDT reply actions  

GOG 48

1. 3-1 A’s
2. 4/3/6
3. 7
4. 2
5. 1/no
6. 12
7. 3/1/0
8. 5
9. All three

They say nothing is impossible, but I do nothing all the time!

by muffinpryde on Sep 17, 2009 3:27 PM PDT reply actions  

  1. 3-1 A’s
  2. 5/4/4
  3. 9
  4. 3
  5. 1, yes
  6. 13
  7. 5/0/1
  8. 7
  9. Mortensen and Anderson will

by Angry Sean on Sep 17, 2009 3:46 PM PDT reply actions  

Go A's

   1. 3-1 A’s
   2. 4/4/4
   3. 5
   4. 2
   5. 1
   6. 13
   7. 1/0/0
   8. 6
   9. Anderson and Gonzalez

by swatnick on Sep 17, 2009 3:57 PM PDT reply actions  

1) 2-2
2) 6/3/3
3) 7
4) 4
5) 1 start, No HRs
6) 16
7) 4/1/0
8) 8
9) Anderson

by easyraider on Sep 17, 2009 4:01 PM PDT reply actions  

This is where I break 200 GOG points - I can feel it!

   1. 3-1 A’s
   2. 6/4/4
   3. 9 times on base
   4. 3 walks
   5. 2 starts, yes to hitting a HR
   6. 9 PAs
   7. 3/1/1
   8. 11 runs off the pen
   9. Anderson and Gonzalez will even their records

There is no gravity - the earth just sucks.

by JLeverenz on Sep 17, 2009 4:05 PM PDT reply actions  

I'm Baaaaaaaaaaaaaaaack

   1. Split 2-2
   2. 6/4/5
   3. 6
   4. 4
   5. 1, No
   6. 12 PA
   7. 4/1/1
   8. 7
   9. Mortensen (1-2), Anderson (9-10)

"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson

by nevermoor on Sep 17, 2009 5:03 PM PDT reply actions  

  1. 2-2
  2. 6 IP, 3 BB, 3 ER
  3. 7 times
  4. 2 BB
  5. 1 start at catcher; 0 starts elsewhere; 0 HR
  6. 8 PA
  7. 5 H, 2 SB, 1 CS
  8. 5 runs
  9. Brett Anderson

The Ultimate Opportunist

by Rated-R Superstar on Sep 17, 2009 5:05 PM PDT reply actions  

it's been a long work day

time to kick back with a tall frosty glass of GOG

  1. 3-1 Oakland
  2. Carmona :: 4.2 IP, 4 BB, 2 ER
  3. Rajai gets on base 10 times!
  4. Masterson walks 3
  5. 2 starts for Powell, no HR
  6. 6 PA for Hafner
  7. Brantley :: 5 H, 2 SB, 1 CS
  8. A’s score 8 runs off Cleveland relievers
  9. Mortensen and Gio get wins, Anderson does not

by colin on Sep 17, 2009 6:11 PM PDT reply actions  

Last minute GOGger

“Probable Pitchers” says Dana Eveland is starting Sun. and Mon?! God forbid ;)

Four game series vs Cleveland Indians — September 17-20

   1. Series outcome A’s 3, CLE 1
   2. Predict Carmona’s IP/BB/ER against Oakland 6IP, 4BB, 3ER
   3. IHow many times on base for Raj? 10
   4. How many Oakland hitters does Masterson walk in his game 1 start? 3BB (Masterson…Mortensen!)
   5. How many starts for Landon Powell, at catcher or elsewhere? Does he hit a home run in the series? 2 starts, HR yes
   6. Travis Hafner hasn’t been able to stay healthy this season. How many plate appearances for Pronk? 12
   7. September call-up Michael Brantley has a big job in trying to fill Sizemore’s shoes. Predict his H/SB/CS 5H, 1 SB, 0 CS
   8. How many runs to the A’s score against this bullpen of horrors? 5
   9. Mortensen (1-2), Anderson (9-10), and Gonzalez(5-6) all have the opportunity to even their records at .500 with a win. Which of these three young starters manages to do it? Anderson, Mortensen

by streetfan on Sep 17, 2009 6:51 PM PDT reply actions  

crap!!

How did I forget? boo!

You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}

by micdog2001 on Sep 18, 2009 10:19 AM PDT reply actions  

I guess it didn't matter that much that I missed it

because Colin didn’t increase his 5th place lead.

You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}

by micdog2001 on Sep 22, 2009 10:34 AM PDT reply actions  

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