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GOG 2009 #47

Heading into today's game, the Athletics record against the Texas Rangers sits an even 6-6. This three game set, plus a four game series next week in Oakland, will make the difference between having to acknowledge that the Rangers were just a flat out better team than Oakland this year, or being able to cling to a winning head-to-head record. On top of that, Texas is still hanging on to the wild card race, four games behind Boston. Let the spoiling begin!

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GOG #47 :: Ruin the Rangers! (32 points possible)

Three game series @ Texas Rangers -- September 14-16

UPDATE -- answers added below in bold

  1. Series outcome [3 points] 3-0 Oakland!!
  2. In Scott Feldman, have the Rangers finally found a pitcher who can succeed in Arlington? The traditional (read: crappy) metrics say yes -- he has gone 16-4 with a 3.10 ERA in 26 starts this season. The more advanced metrics are not really convinced. Only 5.22 K/9 is pretty bad, especially when your BB/9 is a non-spectacular 2.97. The things he has going for him are a decent ground ball rate, leading to a low but maybe not too fluky HR/9 of 0.82, and a BABIP of .266, which means that he probably owes a lot of his success to the Rangers improved infield. Predict Feldman's IP, ER, and groundball outs for the series [2 points each] 6.1 IP, 6 ER, 9 groundball outs
  3. Cliff Pennington is riding a hot streak to respectability (after the last four years, did you ever think you would see an Oakland shortstop with an OBP near .350?!?). Predict his PA/H/BB for the series [2 points each] 13 PA, 5 H, 0 BB
  4. Coming off his best start (err... only good start?), how many innings will Mortensen last? [3 points] the rotation got shuffled around, so Mortensen did not pitch... Edgar Gonzalez got that start instead
  5. Since being promoted in early August, Julio Borbon has been swinging a very hot bat, with a line of .333/.389/.494. Even though he's a fast guy who puts the ball on the ground, it's pretty unlikely that he can maintain that .386 BABIP (or an ISO of .161, which is practically double his career minor league number). He can really steal a base though. How many SB for Borbon in the series? Does he get caught stealing? [3 points for the first question, +-1 for the second] 0 SB, no CS
  6. You all probably remember Neftali Feliz's major league debut against the A's on August 3. He came in to relieve Dustin Nippert at the start of the 6th inning and proceeded to strike out Kennedy, Suzuki, Hairston, and Cust for his first four outs, en route to pitching two perfect innings. He didn't fare quite as well two days later, giving up a two-run HR to Adam Kennedy (only one run charged to Feliz, since he inherited a runner), but he still managed to get a couple more Ks (Suzuki and Harston again). How many strikeouts for Feliz in this series? [3 points] Feliz pitched just one inning and recorded 3 more strikeouts... but he also allowed 2 hits, 2 walks, and was charged with 2 ER
  7. RoY face-off!! Who contributes more Win Probability Added, Andrus or Bailey? [+1 if right, -1 if wrong] Bailey wins, +.045 to -.032
  8. We can hope that Blevins has returned to his 2008 form, instead of the lousy pitching we saw early in the season. The numbers since his call up are great -- 6 K, 0 BB, and 1 ER in 6.1 IP. But let's be realistic, he has come into just six games, against the Royals, White Sox, and Twins. Facing the Rangers in Arlington might be a tougher test for Jerry. Predict Blevins' IP and ER against the Rangers [2 points each] 0.1 IP, 0 ER
  9. Does Eric Munson see any playing time? [+1 if right, -1 if wrong] no
  10. Will any of the games be decided by only 1 run? [+1 if right, -1 if wrong] no

Game one kicks off at 5:05 pacific. Make sure you post your guesses before then...

Results

Well that was a very satisfying series. Now let's see if we all got satisfying GOG scores.

Overall scoring statistics

  • mean = 5.66667 points
  • standard deviation = 2.39792 points
  • mode = 4 points
Gog2009_47_medium

via cfcp.uchicago.edu

Your Scores

And the winners for GOG #47 are... streetfan and easyraider! zaniac75 has pulled to within 6 points of nevermoor (who announced his return below), so we might have a tight race down the stretch for the last few series out the year!

nameplace (this GOG)score (this GOG)# of GOGsplace (all GOG)score (all GOG)place (by AVG)score by AVG
streetfan19421619829 0.143
easyraider9162611013 0.202
colin3745527118 0.186
swatnick4626122171 0.258
Angry Sean6421021827 0.159
zaniac75644523335 0.228
micdog2001439626711 0.210
Rated-R Superstar441327910 0.213
doctorK9247725226 0.165
Mantecan As FanDNP--1951N/E 0.024
SoCal As FanDNP--143093N/E 0.200
NateHSTDNP--15251127 0.225
DCinWCDNP--16328428 0.158
GoAsDNP--34922216 0.197
mikeADNP--3182326 0.227
ZeroIndulgenceDNP--202411621 0.176
gigglingoneDNP--16231178 0.225
KimberlyDNP--211913117 0.189
obliqueDNP--381221722 0.176
vegAN ryANDNP--45227N/E 0.185
diehardoaklandfan22DNP--162810612 0.202
Walton711DNP--1789N/E 0.214
JLeverenzDNP--29151999 0.214
travdog6DNP--2951N/E 0.013
BooneeDNP--35819N/E 0.174
RayJEddDNP--1229104N/E 0.252
A'sBowlingLeagueDNP--25819N/E 0.244
elephantbaseballDNP--192012615 0.200
brian.onlyDNP--46914N/E 0.096
robertmelvinDNP--64341N/E 0.188
OaktownPowerDNP--162611014 0.201
roscoeDNP--291816124 0.168
FlashfireDNP--1886N/E 0.143
designatedforassignmentDNP--36816N/E 0.145
tresselfanDNP--4857N/E 0.046
KMoAsFanDNP--45720N/E 0.137
Gallagher's WatermelonsDNP--17410N/E 0.238
GreenOctober69DNP--1828N/E 0.190
SLOtownDNP--103660N/E 0.174
baseballnut020DNP--94151N/E 0.173
MaineAthleticDNP--123373N/E 0.187
j_rich36DNP--1857N/E 0.167
scutaroknowsthewayDNP--1923N/E 0.071
train80DNP--351420620 0.179
nevermoorDNP--4213393 0.247
FormerHuntsvilleStarDNP--113188N/E 0.251
jay_senseiDNP--64244N/E 0.227
Athletix ManDNP--93759N/E 0.199
A'sfaninNCDNP--3742754 0.231
Athletics fan and runnerDNP--65227N/E 0.133
Holy Toledo!DNP--1923N/E 0.083
NicoDNP--17410N/E 0.278
EddieVegas_NRAFDNP--199-1N/E-0.028
JLaffDNP--1914N/E 0.111
WaddellCansecoDNP--55128N/E 0.164
crb29DNP--113470N/E 0.196
eastcoasta'sfanDNP--45623N/E 0.161
OaktownflavDNP--36417N/E 0.156
Future EdDNP--64341N/E 0.197
JediLeroyDNP--1828N/E 0.222
DalesmanDNP--2886N/E 0.083
nateh37DNP--74539N/E 0.174
anomaly_katDNP--36118N/E 0.173
muffinprydeDNP--391021823 0.171
sprtsnwynDNP--26417N/E 0.250
VORP is too nerdyDNP--44732N/E 0.234
asyouwish33DNP--1828N/E 0.250
jeffroDNP--46118N/E 0.150
CutthemulletDNP--35524N/E 0.238
stabbin_mcadamsDNP--17410N/E 0.312
jasontheaDNP--44930N/E 0.219
fruitattackDNP--114831N/E 0.086
adragonDNP--301716225 0.167
Helloooo 1stDNP--64634N/E 0.165
King RichardDNP--27113N/E 0.203
jplDNP--84055N/E 0.222
baseballgirlDNP--17410N/E 0.286
whiteshoes40DNP--18356830 0.116
walkoff baltimore chopDNP--1857N/E 0.200
spiffyjwcDNP--27113N/E 0.194
samljmDNP--1789N/E 0.265
pam5981DNP--73759N/E 0.276
Gaijin_SukettoDNP--16914N/E 0.424
harenshairDNP--15201262 0.249
toskDNP--55029N/E 0.179
mikevDNP--16417N/E 0.515
stranahanahanDNP--113956N/E 0.165
Leopold BloomDNP--1951N/E 0.029
ElQuesoCapitanDNP--36118N/E 0.194
TrainmanDNP--2923N/E 0.049
OptimistPrimeDNP--1905N/E 0.179
dtownmbrownDNP--45425N/E 0.182
BlicksDNP--212012619 0.183
chillicothe20DNP--1789N/E 0.265
ChadGodDNP--17113N/E 0.382
SamYamDNP--35819N/E 0.186
JLopezDNP--4789N/E 0.069
robbo650DNP--46417N/E 0.132
Steve in NapaDNP--1951N/E 0.032
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