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GOG 2009 #47

Heading into today's game, the Athletics record against the Texas Rangers sits an even 6-6. This three game set, plus a four game series next week in Oakland, will make the difference between having to acknowledge that the Rangers were just a flat out better team than Oakland this year, or being able to cling to a winning head-to-head record. On top of that, Texas is still hanging on to the wild card race, four games behind Boston. Let the spoiling begin!

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GOG #47 :: Ruin the Rangers! (32 points possible)

Three game series @ Texas Rangers -- September 14-16

UPDATE -- answers added below in bold

  1. Series outcome [3 points] 3-0 Oakland!!
  2. In Scott Feldman, have the Rangers finally found a pitcher who can succeed in Arlington? The traditional (read: crappy) metrics say yes -- he has gone 16-4 with a 3.10 ERA in 26 starts this season. The more advanced metrics are not really convinced. Only 5.22 K/9 is pretty bad, especially when your BB/9 is a non-spectacular 2.97. The things he has going for him are a decent ground ball rate, leading to a low but maybe not too fluky HR/9 of 0.82, and a BABIP of .266, which means that he probably owes a lot of his success to the Rangers improved infield. Predict Feldman's IP, ER, and groundball outs for the series [2 points each] 6.1 IP, 6 ER, 9 groundball outs
  3. Cliff Pennington is riding a hot streak to respectability (after the last four years, did you ever think you would see an Oakland shortstop with an OBP near .350?!?). Predict his PA/H/BB for the series [2 points each] 13 PA, 5 H, 0 BB
  4. Coming off his best start (err... only good start?), how many innings will Mortensen last? [3 points] the rotation got shuffled around, so Mortensen did not pitch... Edgar Gonzalez got that start instead
  5. Since being promoted in early August, Julio Borbon has been swinging a very hot bat, with a line of .333/.389/.494. Even though he's a fast guy who puts the ball on the ground, it's pretty unlikely that he can maintain that .386 BABIP (or an ISO of .161, which is practically double his career minor league number). He can really steal a base though. How many SB for Borbon in the series? Does he get caught stealing? [3 points for the first question, +-1 for the second] 0 SB, no CS
  6. You all probably remember Neftali Feliz's major league debut against the A's on August 3. He came in to relieve Dustin Nippert at the start of the 6th inning and proceeded to strike out Kennedy, Suzuki, Hairston, and Cust for his first four outs, en route to pitching two perfect innings. He didn't fare quite as well two days later, giving up a two-run HR to Adam Kennedy (only one run charged to Feliz, since he inherited a runner), but he still managed to get a couple more Ks (Suzuki and Harston again). How many strikeouts for Feliz in this series? [3 points] Feliz pitched just one inning and recorded 3 more strikeouts... but he also allowed 2 hits, 2 walks, and was charged with 2 ER
  7. RoY face-off!! Who contributes more Win Probability Added, Andrus or Bailey? [+1 if right, -1 if wrong] Bailey wins, +.045 to -.032
  8. We can hope that Blevins has returned to his 2008 form, instead of the lousy pitching we saw early in the season. The numbers since his call up are great -- 6 K, 0 BB, and 1 ER in 6.1 IP. But let's be realistic, he has come into just six games, against the Royals, White Sox, and Twins. Facing the Rangers in Arlington might be a tougher test for Jerry. Predict Blevins' IP and ER against the Rangers [2 points each] 0.1 IP, 0 ER
  9. Does Eric Munson see any playing time? [+1 if right, -1 if wrong] no
  10. Will any of the games be decided by only 1 run? [+1 if right, -1 if wrong] no

Game one kicks off at 5:05 pacific. Make sure you post your guesses before then...

Results

Well that was a very satisfying series. Now let's see if we all got satisfying GOG scores.

Overall scoring statistics

  • mean = 5.66667 points
  • standard deviation = 2.39792 points
  • mode = 4 points
Gog2009_47_medium

via cfcp.uchicago.edu

Your Scores

And the winners for GOG #47 are... streetfan and easyraider! zaniac75 has pulled to within 6 points of nevermoor (who announced his return below), so we might have a tight race down the stretch for the last few series out the year!

name place (this GOG) score (this GOG) # of GOGs place (all GOG) score (all GOG) place (by AVG) score by AVG
streetfan 1 9 42 16 198 29 0.143
easyraider 9 16 26 110 13 0.202
colin 3 7 45 5 271 18 0.186
swatnick 4 6 26 12 217 1 0.258
Angry Sean 6 42 10 218 27 0.159
zaniac75 6 4 45 2 333 5 0.228
micdog2001 4 39 6 267 11 0.210
Rated-R Superstar 4 41 3 279 10 0.213
doctorK 9 2 47 7 252 26 0.165
Mantecan As Fan DNP -- 1 95 1 N/E 0.024
SoCal As Fan DNP -- 14 30 93 N/E 0.200
NateHST DNP -- 15 25 112 7 0.225
DCinWC DNP -- 16 32 84 28 0.158
GoAs DNP -- 34 9 222 16 0.197
mikeA DNP -- 31 8 232 6 0.227
ZeroIndulgence DNP -- 20 24 116 21 0.176
gigglingone DNP -- 16 23 117 8 0.225
Kimberly DNP -- 21 19 131 17 0.189
oblique DNP -- 38 12 217 22 0.176
vegAN ryAN DNP -- 4 52 27 N/E 0.185
diehardoaklandfan22 DNP -- 16 28 106 12 0.202
Walton711 DNP -- 1 78 9 N/E 0.214
JLeverenz DNP -- 29 15 199 9 0.214
travdog6 DNP -- 2 95 1 N/E 0.013
Boonee DNP -- 3 58 19 N/E 0.174
RayJEdd DNP -- 12 29 104 N/E 0.252
A'sBowlingLeague DNP -- 2 58 19 N/E 0.244
elephantbaseball DNP -- 19 20 126 15 0.200
brian.only DNP -- 4 69 14 N/E 0.096
robertmelvin DNP -- 6 43 41 N/E 0.188
OaktownPower DNP -- 16 26 110 14 0.201
roscoe DNP -- 29 18 161 24 0.168
Flashfire DNP -- 1 88 6 N/E 0.143
designatedforassignment DNP -- 3 68 16 N/E 0.145
tresselfan DNP -- 4 85 7 N/E 0.046
KMoAsFan DNP -- 4 57 20 N/E 0.137
Gallagher's Watermelons DNP -- 1 74 10 N/E 0.238
GreenOctober69 DNP -- 1 82 8 N/E 0.190
SLOtown DNP -- 10 36 60 N/E 0.174
baseballnut020 DNP -- 9 41 51 N/E 0.173
MaineAthletic DNP -- 12 33 73 N/E 0.187
j_rich36 DNP -- 1 85 7 N/E 0.167
scutaroknowstheway DNP -- 1 92 3 N/E 0.071
train80 DNP -- 35 14 206 20 0.179
nevermoor DNP -- 42 1 339 3 0.247
FormerHuntsvilleStar DNP -- 11 31 88 N/E 0.251
jay_sensei DNP -- 6 42 44 N/E 0.227
Athletix Man DNP -- 9 37 59 N/E 0.199
A'sfaninNC DNP -- 37 4 275 4 0.231
Athletics fan and runner DNP -- 6 52 27 N/E 0.133
Holy Toledo! DNP -- 1 92 3 N/E 0.083
Nico DNP -- 1 74 10 N/E 0.278
EddieVegas_NRAF DNP -- 1 99 -1 N/E -0.028
JLaff DNP -- 1 91 4 N/E 0.111
WaddellCanseco DNP -- 5 51 28 N/E 0.164
crb29 DNP -- 11 34 70 N/E 0.196
eastcoasta'sfan DNP -- 4 56 23 N/E 0.161
Oaktownflav DNP -- 3 64 17 N/E 0.156
Future Ed DNP -- 6 43 41 N/E 0.197
JediLeroy DNP -- 1 82 8 N/E 0.222
Dalesman DNP -- 2 88 6 N/E 0.083
nateh37 DNP -- 7 45 39 N/E 0.174
anomaly_kat DNP -- 3 61 18 N/E 0.173
muffinpryde DNP -- 39 10 218 23 0.171
sprtsnwyn DNP -- 2 64 17 N/E 0.250
VORP is too nerdy DNP -- 4 47 32 N/E 0.234
asyouwish33 DNP -- 1 82 8 N/E 0.250
jeffro DNP -- 4 61 18 N/E 0.150
Cutthemullet DNP -- 3 55 24 N/E 0.238
stabbin_mcadams DNP -- 1 74 10 N/E 0.312
jasonthea DNP -- 4 49 30 N/E 0.219
fruitattack DNP -- 11 48 31 N/E 0.086
adragon DNP -- 30 17 162 25 0.167
Helloooo 1st DNP -- 6 46 34 N/E 0.165
King Richard DNP -- 2 71 13 N/E 0.203
jpl DNP -- 8 40 55 N/E 0.222
baseballgirl DNP -- 1 74 10 N/E 0.286
whiteshoes40 DNP -- 18 35 68 30 0.116
walkoff baltimore chop DNP -- 1 85 7 N/E 0.200
spiffyjwc DNP -- 2 71 13 N/E 0.194
samljm DNP -- 1 78 9 N/E 0.265
pam5981 DNP -- 7 37 59 N/E 0.276
Gaijin_Suketto DNP -- 1 69 14 N/E 0.424
harenshair DNP -- 15 20 126 2 0.249
tosk DNP -- 5 50 29 N/E 0.179
mikev DNP -- 1 64 17 N/E 0.515
stranahanahan DNP -- 11 39 56 N/E 0.165
Leopold Bloom DNP -- 1 95 1 N/E 0.029
ElQuesoCapitan DNP -- 3 61 18 N/E 0.194
Trainman DNP -- 2 92 3 N/E 0.049
OptimistPrime DNP -- 1 90 5 N/E 0.179
dtownmbrown DNP -- 4 54 25 N/E 0.182
Blicks DNP -- 21 20 126 19 0.183
chillicothe20 DNP -- 1 78 9 N/E 0.265
ChadGod DNP -- 1 71 13 N/E 0.382
SamYam DNP -- 3 58 19 N/E 0.186
JLopez DNP -- 4 78 9 N/E 0.069
robbo650 DNP -- 4 64 17 N/E 0.132
Steve in Napa DNP -- 1 95 1 N/E 0.032
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