FanPost

GOG 2009 #39

Well, I thought that I would have plenty of time to whip up an awesome GOG, considering that I'm stuck in the Santiago airport for pretty much the whole day. But the internet ended up much spottier than the last time I was here, and I forgot to include a plug converter in my carry-on, so about half a GOG is all you'll get.

The A's start a series tonight against the Yankees, who have taken over the AL East by winning 23 of their last 30 games. After starting the season slowly, with ARod injured, they have been pretty much unstoppable over the last couple months. Literally the only significant problem I can find with the team from the Bronx is their rotating fifth starter situation (which will lead to the A's facing Chad Gaudin on Wednesday!). I know that a million frightened Red Sox fans are hoping that Oakland pitching will shut down New York's big bats. But is there really any chance for Tomko tonight?

Links

GOG #39 :: Can Anyone Stop the Yankees? (26 points possible)

Three game series vs New York Yankees -- August 17-19

UPDATE -- answers, courtesy of doctorK, are posted below in bold

  1. Series outcome [3 points] 2-1 Yankees
  2. Possibly the most anticipated debut of the year :: Predict Tomko's IP/ER/K for his first start as an Athletic [2 points each] 5 IP, 0 ER, 1 K for our ace
  3. On Wednesday, Chad Gaudin will face the A's for the first time since he left the team. Predict his ER/BB/K [2 points each] 4.1 IP, 5 BB, 5 K... that sounds like Gaudin to me
  4. The average hitter in the Yankees lineup has 16.5 home runs. The average hitter in the A's lineup has 7.2. Predict the home run differential for the series (i.e. Oakland hits 10 more home runs than New York) [3 points] Oakland +2 for home runs
  5. Scott Hairston's slugging numbers are pretty decent, but the sub-.300 OBP is kind of brutal. In his 133 plate appearances since coming to Oakland, Hairston has drawn only 5 walks (and he was hit-by-pitch twice). How many times does Hairston get on base this series from an outcome other than a hit? [3 points] 1 BB for Hairston
  6. The Yankee with the most Wins Above Replacement so far this season isn't ARod or Teixeira (though Tex is having a pretty nice season). It's actually Derek Jeter, who has already been worth 5 wins, thanks to a rebound at the plate and the first season ever where UZR rates him as above average. After last year, many people were sure that he was on the decline, so age 35, this might be the closest that he has even been to underrated. Will the Yankee captain reach base in each game of the series? Will his overall contribution to the Yankee's win probability be positive or negative for the series? [+1 for each right answer, -1 for each wrong] Jeter got on base every game (he had three multi-hit games, in fact) and his WPA was positive
  7. How many innings will the A's bullpen have to handle? [3 points] 10 innings

First pitch is coming up in about 8 hours. With the Burnett-Tomko matchup, all signs point to a 1-0 nailbiter.

Results

High scores on this one, despite the small number of questions. And also despite the fact that no one saw that Tomko start coming.

Overall scoring statistics

  • mean = 7.27273 points
  • standard deviation = 3.71728 points
  • mode = 5 points
Gog2009_39_medium

via cfcp.uchicago.edu

Your Scores

All hail nevermoor, the first member of the 300 points club. And I think it is a safe bet that zaniac75 makes it into the club on the next round...

name place (this GOG) score (this GOG) # of GOGs place (all GOG) score (all GOG) place (by AVG) score by AVG
nevermoor 1 13 37 1 308 2 0.254
doctorK 2 12 39 9 202 27 0.158
zaniac75 3 11 37 2 299 4 0.246
Rated-R Superstar 4 10 33 5 231 9 0.217
oblique 5 7 31 12 177 23 0.174
adragon 7 26 18 139 26 0.165
A'sfaninNC 7 5 32 3 245 5 0.235
stranahanahan 5 4 55 20 N/E 0.160
Blicks 5 20 21 125 18 0.190
colin 10 3 38 6 228 20 0.183
JLeverenz 11 2 25 15 171 10 0.210
Mantecan As Fan DNP -- 1 95 1 N/E 0.024
swatnick DNP -- 22 11 188 1 0.259
SoCal As Fan DNP -- 14 30 93 17 0.200
NateHST DNP -- 15 25 112 7 0.225
DCinWC DNP -- 16 31 84 28 0.158
GoAs DNP -- 30 8 210 13 0.208
mikeA DNP -- 31 4 232 6 0.227
ZeroIndulgence DNP -- 20 24 116 22 0.176
gigglingone DNP -- 16 23 117 8 0.225
Kimberly DNP -- 20 21 125 19 0.190
vegAN ryAN DNP -- 4 51 27 N/E 0.185
diehardoaklandfan22 DNP -- 16 27 106 14 0.202
micdog2001 DNP -- 32 7 222 12 0.209
Walton711 DNP -- 1 78 9 N/E 0.214
travdog6 DNP -- 2 95 1 N/E 0.013
Boonee DNP -- 3 57 19 N/E 0.174
RayJEdd DNP -- 12 28 104 N/E 0.252
A'sBowlingLeague DNP -- 2 57 19 N/E 0.244
elephantbaseball DNP -- 19 19 126 16 0.200
brian.only DNP -- 4 69 14 N/E 0.096
robertmelvin DNP -- 6 42 41 N/E 0.188
OaktownPower DNP -- 16 26 110 15 0.201
roscoe DNP -- 29 17 161 24 0.168
Flashfire DNP -- 1 87 6 N/E 0.143
designatedforassignment DNP -- 3 68 16 N/E 0.145
tresselfan DNP -- 4 84 7 N/E 0.046
KMoAsFan DNP -- 4 55 20 N/E 0.137
streetfan DNP -- 36 15 171 30 0.144
Gallagher's Watermelons DNP -- 1 74 10 N/E 0.238
GreenOctober69 DNP -- 1 81 8 N/E 0.190
SLOtown DNP -- 10 36 60 N/E 0.174
Angry Sean DNP -- 34 14 172 29 0.153
baseballnut020 DNP -- 9 40 51 N/E 0.173
MaineAthletic DNP -- 12 33 73 N/E 0.187
j_rich36 DNP -- 1 84 7 N/E 0.167
scutaroknowstheway DNP -- 1 92 3 N/E 0.071
train80 DNP -- 34 9 202 21 0.181
FormerHuntsvilleStar DNP -- 10 32 82 N/E 0.257
jay_sensei DNP -- 6 41 44 N/E 0.227
easyraider DNP -- 13 29 94 11 0.209
Athletix Man DNP -- 9 37 59 N/E 0.199
Athletics fan and runner DNP -- 6 51 27 N/E 0.133
Holy Toledo! DNP -- 1 92 3 N/E 0.083
Nico DNP -- 1 74 10 N/E 0.278
EddieVegas_NRAF DNP -- 1 99 -1 N/E -0.028
JLaff DNP -- 1 91 4 N/E 0.111
WaddellCanseco DNP -- 5 50 28 N/E 0.164
crb29 DNP -- 11 34 70 N/E 0.196
eastcoasta'sfan DNP -- 4 54 23 N/E 0.161
Oaktownflav DNP -- 3 63 17 N/E 0.156
Future Ed DNP -- 6 42 41 N/E 0.197
JediLeroy DNP -- 1 81 8 N/E 0.222
Dalesman DNP -- 2 87 6 N/E 0.083
nateh37 DNP -- 7 44 39 N/E 0.174
anomaly_kat DNP -- 3 60 18 N/E 0.173
muffinpryde DNP -- 32 13 176 25 0.166
sprtsnwyn DNP -- 2 63 17 N/E 0.250
VORP is too nerdy DNP -- 4 46 32 N/E 0.234
asyouwish33 DNP -- 1 81 8 N/E 0.250
jeffro DNP -- 4 60 18 N/E 0.150
Cutthemullet DNP -- 3 53 24 N/E 0.238
stabbin_mcadams DNP -- 1 74 10 N/E 0.312
jasonthea DNP -- 4 48 30 N/E 0.219
fruitattack DNP -- 11 47 31 N/E 0.086
Helloooo 1st DNP -- 6 45 34 N/E 0.165
King Richard DNP -- 2 71 13 N/E 0.203
jpl DNP -- 8 39 55 N/E 0.222
baseballgirl DNP -- 1 74 10 N/E 0.286
whiteshoes40 DNP -- 18 35 68 31 0.116
walkoff baltimore chop DNP -- 1 84 7 N/E 0.200
spiffyjwc DNP -- 2 71 13 N/E 0.194
samljm DNP -- 1 78 9 N/E 0.265
pam5981 DNP -- 7 37 59 N/E 0.276
Gaijin_Suketto DNP -- 1 69 14 N/E 0.424
harenshair DNP -- 15 19 126 3 0.249
tosk DNP -- 5 49 29 N/E 0.179
mikev DNP -- 1 63 17 N/E 0.515
Leopold Bloom DNP -- 1 95 1 N/E 0.029
ElQuesoCapitan DNP -- 3 60 18 N/E 0.194
Trainman DNP -- 2 92 3 N/E 0.049
OptimistPrime DNP -- 1 89 5 N/E 0.179
dtownmbrown DNP -- 3 63 17 N/E 0.167
chillicothe20 DNP -- 1 78 9 N/E 0.265
ChadGod DNP -- 1 71 13 N/E 0.382
SamYam DNP -- 3 57 19 N/E 0.186
JLopez DNP -- 3 89 5 N/E 0.051
robbo650 DNP -- 4 63 17 N/E 0.132
Steve in Napa DNP -- 1 95 1 N/E 0.032
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