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GOG 2009 #39

Well, I thought that I would have plenty of time to whip up an awesome GOG, considering that I'm stuck in the Santiago airport for pretty much the whole day. But the internet ended up much spottier than the last time I was here, and I forgot to include a plug converter in my carry-on, so about half a GOG is all you'll get.

The A's start a series tonight against the Yankees, who have taken over the AL East by winning 23 of their last 30 games. After starting the season slowly, with ARod injured, they have been pretty much unstoppable over the last couple months. Literally the only significant problem I can find with the team from the Bronx is their rotating fifth starter situation (which will lead to the A's facing Chad Gaudin on Wednesday!). I know that a million frightened Red Sox fans are hoping that Oakland pitching will shut down New York's big bats. But is there really any chance for Tomko tonight?

Links

GOG #39 :: Can Anyone Stop the Yankees? (26 points possible)

Three game series vs New York Yankees -- August 17-19

UPDATE -- answers, courtesy of doctorK, are posted below in bold

  1. Series outcome [3 points] 2-1 Yankees
  2. Possibly the most anticipated debut of the year :: Predict Tomko's IP/ER/K for his first start as an Athletic [2 points each] 5 IP, 0 ER, 1 K for our ace
  3. On Wednesday, Chad Gaudin will face the A's for the first time since he left the team. Predict his ER/BB/K [2 points each] 4.1 IP, 5 BB, 5 K... that sounds like Gaudin to me
  4. The average hitter in the Yankees lineup has 16.5 home runs. The average hitter in the A's lineup has 7.2. Predict the home run differential for the series (i.e. Oakland hits 10 more home runs than New York) [3 points] Oakland +2 for home runs
  5. Scott Hairston's slugging numbers are pretty decent, but the sub-.300 OBP is kind of brutal. In his 133 plate appearances since coming to Oakland, Hairston has drawn only 5 walks (and he was hit-by-pitch twice). How many times does Hairston get on base this series from an outcome other than a hit? [3 points] 1 BB for Hairston
  6. The Yankee with the most Wins Above Replacement so far this season isn't ARod or Teixeira (though Tex is having a pretty nice season). It's actually Derek Jeter, who has already been worth 5 wins, thanks to a rebound at the plate and the first season ever where UZR rates him as above average. After last year, many people were sure that he was on the decline, so age 35, this might be the closest that he has even been to underrated. Will the Yankee captain reach base in each game of the series? Will his overall contribution to the Yankee's win probability be positive or negative for the series? [+1 for each right answer, -1 for each wrong] Jeter got on base every game (he had three multi-hit games, in fact) and his WPA was positive
  7. How many innings will the A's bullpen have to handle? [3 points] 10 innings

First pitch is coming up in about 8 hours. With the Burnett-Tomko matchup, all signs point to a 1-0 nailbiter.

Results

High scores on this one, despite the small number of questions. And also despite the fact that no one saw that Tomko start coming.

Overall scoring statistics

  • mean = 7.27273 points
  • standard deviation = 3.71728 points
  • mode = 5 points
Gog2009_39_medium

via cfcp.uchicago.edu

Your Scores

All hail nevermoor, the first member of the 300 points club. And I think it is a safe bet that zaniac75 makes it into the club on the next round...

nameplace (this GOG)score (this GOG)# of GOGsplace (all GOG)score (all GOG)place (by AVG)score by AVG
nevermoor1133713082 0.254
doctorK21239920227 0.158
zaniac753113722994 0.246
Rated-R Superstar4103352319 0.217
oblique57311217723 0.174
adragon7261813926 0.165
A'sfaninNC753232455 0.235
stranahanahan545520N/E 0.160
Blicks5202112518 0.190
colin10338622820 0.183
JLeverenz112251517110 0.210
Mantecan As FanDNP--1951N/E 0.024
swatnickDNP--22111881 0.259
SoCal As FanDNP--14309317 0.200
NateHSTDNP--15251127 0.225
DCinWCDNP--16318428 0.158
GoAsDNP--30821013 0.208
mikeADNP--3142326 0.227
ZeroIndulgenceDNP--202411622 0.176
gigglingoneDNP--16231178 0.225
KimberlyDNP--202112519 0.190
vegAN ryANDNP--45127N/E 0.185
diehardoaklandfan22DNP--162710614 0.202
micdog2001DNP--32722212 0.209
Walton711DNP--1789N/E 0.214
travdog6DNP--2951N/E 0.013
BooneeDNP--35719N/E 0.174
RayJEddDNP--1228104N/E 0.252
A'sBowlingLeagueDNP--25719N/E 0.244
elephantbaseballDNP--191912616 0.200
brian.onlyDNP--46914N/E 0.096
robertmelvinDNP--64241N/E 0.188
OaktownPowerDNP--162611015 0.201
roscoeDNP--291716124 0.168
FlashfireDNP--1876N/E 0.143
designatedforassignmentDNP--36816N/E 0.145
tresselfanDNP--4847N/E 0.046
KMoAsFanDNP--45520N/E 0.137
streetfanDNP--361517130 0.144
Gallagher's WatermelonsDNP--17410N/E 0.238
GreenOctober69DNP--1818N/E 0.190
SLOtownDNP--103660N/E 0.174
Angry SeanDNP--341417229 0.153
baseballnut020DNP--94051N/E 0.173
MaineAthleticDNP--123373N/E 0.187
j_rich36DNP--1847N/E 0.167
scutaroknowsthewayDNP--1923N/E 0.071
train80DNP--34920221 0.181
FormerHuntsvilleStarDNP--103282N/E 0.257
jay_senseiDNP--64144N/E 0.227
easyraiderDNP--13299411 0.209
Athletix ManDNP--93759N/E 0.199
Athletics fan and runnerDNP--65127N/E 0.133
Holy Toledo!DNP--1923N/E 0.083
NicoDNP--17410N/E 0.278
EddieVegas_NRAFDNP--199-1N/E-0.028
JLaffDNP--1914N/E 0.111
WaddellCansecoDNP--55028N/E 0.164
crb29DNP--113470N/E 0.196
eastcoasta'sfanDNP--45423N/E 0.161
OaktownflavDNP--36317N/E 0.156
Future EdDNP--64241N/E 0.197
JediLeroyDNP--1818N/E 0.222
DalesmanDNP--2876N/E 0.083
nateh37DNP--74439N/E 0.174
anomaly_katDNP--36018N/E 0.173
muffinprydeDNP--321317625 0.166
sprtsnwynDNP--26317N/E 0.250
VORP is too nerdyDNP--44632N/E 0.234
asyouwish33DNP--1818N/E 0.250
jeffroDNP--46018N/E 0.150
CutthemulletDNP--35324N/E 0.238
stabbin_mcadamsDNP--17410N/E 0.312
jasontheaDNP--44830N/E 0.219
fruitattackDNP--114731N/E 0.086
Helloooo 1stDNP--64534N/E 0.165
King RichardDNP--27113N/E 0.203
jplDNP--83955N/E 0.222
baseballgirlDNP--17410N/E 0.286
whiteshoes40DNP--18356831 0.116
walkoff baltimore chopDNP--1847N/E 0.200
spiffyjwcDNP--27113N/E 0.194
samljmDNP--1789N/E 0.265
pam5981DNP--73759N/E 0.276
Gaijin_SukettoDNP--16914N/E 0.424
harenshairDNP--15191263 0.249
toskDNP--54929N/E 0.179
mikevDNP--16317N/E 0.515
Leopold BloomDNP--1951N/E 0.029
ElQuesoCapitanDNP--36018N/E 0.194
TrainmanDNP--2923N/E 0.049
OptimistPrimeDNP--1895N/E 0.179
dtownmbrownDNP--36317N/E 0.167
chillicothe20DNP--1789N/E 0.265
ChadGodDNP--17113N/E 0.382
SamYamDNP--35719N/E 0.186
JLopezDNP--3895N/E 0.051
robbo650DNP--46317N/E 0.132
Steve in NapaDNP--1951N/E 0.032
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