GOG 2009 #27
by colin on Jul 3, 2009 3:14 PM PDT
Email
PrintWow, I'm really late in posting this GOG.
The A's are finishing the first half of the season with a little road trip, and they get to ease into it against the worst team in the American League. I would say that Indians fans can really sympathize with the ups and downs (but mostly downs) that Oakland fans have been subjected to this season but there are two big differences. One, the Indians have actually been even worse than Oakland (though some of this seems to be bad luck, as Cleveland is way off of their pythagorean record). And two, instead of watching good pitching performances ruined by total lack of run support, they get to see lots and lots of runs scored… by the other team. Yes, they have a powerful offense, but the only team that allows more runs to score is the one playing in Washington DC.
So, would you rather see your team lose 3-0 and slump back to the dugout after each at-bat, or play with a bullpen where the appropriate analogy is not so much a gas can as a critical mass of highly refined uranium?
Links
GOG #27 :: Et tu, Wahoo? (35 points possible)
Three game series @ Cleveland Indians -- July 3-5
UPDATE -- answers added below in bold
- Series outcome [3 points] 2-1 Cleveland
- Cliff Lee absolutely dominated the A's last year (to be fair, he dominated a lot of teams last year), to the tune of 1 ER in 14.2 innings, with 12 K and 1 BB. To further emphasize how bad it was, Oakland's OPS against Lee was .307(!!!!) Predict Lee's IP/ER/K for his Sunday start [2 points each] 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 K
- The Indians run prevention has been the worst in the AL so far this year. One of the reasons for this is a ghastly 4.03 BB/9 for their pitching staff as a whole (imagine Trevor Cahill is pitching all of your innings... and then add an extra half a walk per game). How many runs do the A's score in the series? How many walks do they draw? [3 points each] A's score 10 runs, draw 9 walks
- Catcher comparison :: Who gets on base more times, hitting as a catcher, Kurt Suzuki or Victor Martinez? [+1 if right, -1 if wrong] Both Suzuki and Martinez had two starts at catcher in the series. Suzuki got on base 3 times, Martinez 0 times.
- Shin-Soo Choo is one of just four South Korean players currently in MLB (and the only position player). Predict his AB/H/RBI [2 points each] 12 AB, 6 H, 7 RBI (all 7 RBI were from game 1!!)
- The game score (thanks Bill James!) is a nice improvement on the idea of a "quality start". Do the three Oakland starters average a game score better than 50? [+1 if right, -1 if wrong] Average game score for Oakland pitchers is 37 -- only Gio posts a game score over 50
- The Indians bullpen has actually blown as many save opportunities as they've made (13 of each). Does a Cleveland pitcher blow a save in this series? [+1 if right, -1 if wrong] nope
- Since coming back from the DL, Ryan Sweeney has gone 15 for 39 (.385 BA) but hasn't drawn a single walk. Predict his AB/H/BB for the series [2 points each] 7 AB, 2 H, 0 BB
- So far this season, the A's record is 2 games below the pythagorean expectation. But that's not so bad! Cleveland is a full 6 games behind pythag, and should be ahead of the Royals, according to their runs scored and against. Does the actual result of this series match the expected result from the pythagorean formula? (just using 2 for the exponent) [+1 if right, -1 if wrong] 10 runs scored, 20 runs allowed for Oakland. The pythagorean formula gives an expected win percentage of 20%. For a three game series, that rounds up to 1 victory, so the real result did match the pythagorean expectation.
- How many at-bats for Nomar in the series? Will he get a hit? [3 points for the first question, +-1 for the second] 4 AB, 2 hits (so yes, he did get a hit)
Game one of the series starts at 4:05 pm. Oh crap, that's like 50 minutes from now! Post your guesses (and I will be pretty lenient about late entries).
Results
There weren't a lot of entries for this GOG, since I got it posted less than one hour before the games started. Doh!
Overall scoring statistics
- mean = 4.00000 points
- standard deviation = 2.48633 points
- mode = 3 points
Your Scores
Congratulations to streetfan for the victory. All three of our points leaders failed to get an entry in, so this is a good chance to pick up ground!
| name | place (this GOG) | score (this GOG) | # of GOGs | place (all GOG) | score (all GOG) | place (by AVG) | score by AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| streetfan | 1 | 8 | 27 | 11 | 142 | 31 | 0.158 |
| micdog2001 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 8 | 150 | 12 | 0.204 |
| GoAs | 3 | 6 | 24 | 5 | 164 | 15 | 0.201 |
| colin | 4 | 5 | 26 | 5 | 164 | 21 | 0.190 |
| harenshair | 5 | 7 | 37 | 58 | N/E | 0.245 | |
| muffinpryde | 6 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 121 | 33 | 0.158 |
| Rated-R Superstar | 4 | 21 | 13 | 133 | 20 | 0.196 | |
| doctorK | 8 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 145 | 30 | 0.162 |
| adragon | 3 | 18 | 27 | 92 | 34 | 0.156 | |
| whiteshoes40 | 3 | 17 | 33 | 63 | 37 | 0.114 | |
| Angry Sean | 11 | 1 | 25 | 16 | 125 | 35 | 0.150 |
| Blicks | 12 | -1 | 10 | 41 | 41 | 36 | 0.121 |
| zaniac75 | DNP | -- | 25 | 2 | 193 | 5 | 0.232 |
| Mantecan As Fan | DNP | -- | 1 | 94 | 1 | N/E | 0.024 |
| swatnick | DNP | -- | 18 | 7 | 156 | 1 | 0.261 |
| SoCal As Fan | DNP | -- | 14 | 26 | 93 | 17 | 0.200 |
| NateHST | DNP | -- | 15 | 20 | 112 | 7 | 0.225 |
| DCinWC | DNP | -- | 16 | 29 | 84 | 32 | 0.158 |
| mikeA | DNP | -- | 26 | 2 | 193 | 9 | 0.224 |
| ZeroIndulgence | DNP | -- | 18 | 20 | 112 | 22 | 0.189 |
| gigglingone | DNP | -- | 16 | 19 | 117 | 8 | 0.225 |
| Kimberly | DNP | -- | 17 | 23 | 105 | 23 | 0.188 |
| oblique | DNP | -- | 20 | 17 | 121 | 26 | 0.181 |
| vegAN ryAN | DNP | -- | 4 | 51 | 27 | N/E | 0.185 |
| diehardoaklandfan22 | DNP | -- | 16 | 22 | 106 | 14 | 0.202 |
| Walton711 | DNP | -- | 1 | 77 | 9 | N/E | 0.214 |
| JLeverenz | DNP | -- | 19 | 14 | 130 | 11 | 0.208 |
| travdog6 | DNP | -- | 2 | 94 | 1 | N/E | 0.013 |
| Boonee | DNP | -- | 3 | 56 | 19 | N/E | 0.174 |
| RayJEdd | DNP | -- | 12 | 24 | 104 | 2 | 0.252 |
| A'sBowlingLeague | DNP | -- | 2 | 56 | 19 | N/E | 0.244 |
| elephantbaseball | DNP | -- | 19 | 15 | 126 | 16 | 0.200 |
| brian.only | DNP | -- | 4 | 68 | 14 | N/E | 0.096 |
| robertmelvin | DNP | -- | 6 | 41 | 41 | N/E | 0.188 |
| OaktownPower | DNP | -- | 14 | 25 | 98 | 13 | 0.203 |
| roscoe | DNP | -- | 24 | 10 | 144 | 25 | 0.181 |
| Flashfire | DNP | -- | 1 | 86 | 6 | N/E | 0.143 |
| designatedforassignment | DNP | -- | 3 | 66 | 16 | N/E | 0.145 |
| tresselfan | DNP | -- | 4 | 83 | 7 | N/E | 0.046 |
| KMoAsFan | DNP | -- | 4 | 55 | 20 | N/E | 0.137 |
| Gallagher's Watermelons | DNP | -- | 1 | 73 | 10 | N/E | 0.238 |
| GreenOctober69 | DNP | -- | 1 | 80 | 8 | N/E | 0.190 |
| SLOtown | DNP | -- | 10 | 34 | 60 | 28 | 0.174 |
| baseballnut020 | DNP | -- | 9 | 39 | 51 | 29 | 0.173 |
| MaineAthletic | DNP | -- | 12 | 30 | 73 | 24 | 0.187 |
| j_rich36 | DNP | -- | 1 | 83 | 7 | N/E | 0.167 |
| scutaroknowstheway | DNP | -- | 1 | 91 | 3 | N/E | 0.071 |
| train80 | DNP | -- | 23 | 12 | 135 | 27 | 0.178 |
| nevermoor | DNP | -- | 25 | 1 | 202 | 4 | 0.244 |
| FormerHuntsvilleStar | DNP | -- | 9 | 31 | 71 | 3 | 0.247 |
| jay_sensei | DNP | -- | 6 | 40 | 44 | N/E | 0.227 |
| easyraider | DNP | -- | 11 | 28 | 89 | 6 | 0.232 |
| Athletix Man | DNP | -- | 9 | 35 | 59 | 18 | 0.199 |
| A'sfaninNC | DNP | -- | 23 | 4 | 165 | 10 | 0.218 |
| Athletics fan and runner | DNP | -- | 6 | 51 | 27 | N/E | 0.133 |
| Holy Toledo! | DNP | -- | 1 | 91 | 3 | N/E | 0.083 |
| Nico | DNP | -- | 1 | 73 | 10 | N/E | 0.278 |
| EddieVegas_NRAF | DNP | -- | 1 | 97 | -1 | N/E | -0.028 |
| JLaff | DNP | -- | 1 | 89 | 4 | N/E | 0.111 |
| WaddellCanseco | DNP | -- | 5 | 50 | 28 | N/E | 0.164 |
| crb29 | DNP | -- | 11 | 32 | 70 | 19 | 0.196 |
| eastcoasta'sfan | DNP | -- | 3 | 66 | 16 | N/E | 0.147 |
| Oaktownflav | DNP | -- | 3 | 62 | 17 | N/E | 0.156 |
| Future Ed | DNP | -- | 6 | 41 | 41 | N/E | 0.197 |
| JediLeroy | DNP | -- | 1 | 80 | 8 | N/E | 0.222 |
| Dalesman | DNP | -- | 2 | 86 | 6 | N/E | 0.083 |
| nateh37 | DNP | -- | 7 | 44 | 39 | N/E | 0.174 |
| anomaly_kat | DNP | -- | 3 | 59 | 18 | N/E | 0.173 |
| sprtsnwyn | DNP | -- | 2 | 62 | 17 | N/E | 0.250 |
| VORP is too nerdy | DNP | -- | 4 | 46 | 32 | N/E | 0.234 |
| asyouwish33 | DNP | -- | 1 | 80 | 8 | N/E | 0.250 |
| jeffro | DNP | -- | 4 | 59 | 18 | N/E | 0.150 |
| Cutthemullet | DNP | -- | 3 | 53 | 24 | N/E | 0.238 |
| stabbin_mcadams | DNP | -- | 1 | 73 | 10 | N/E | 0.312 |
| jasonthea | DNP | -- | 4 | 48 | 30 | N/E | 0.219 |
| fruitattack | DNP | -- | 11 | 47 | 31 | 38 | 0.086 |
| Helloooo 1st | DNP | -- | 6 | 45 | 34 | N/E | 0.165 |
| King Richard | DNP | -- | 2 | 70 | 13 | N/E | 0.203 |
| jpl | DNP | -- | 8 | 38 | 55 | N/E | 0.222 |
| baseballgirl | DNP | -- | 1 | 73 | 10 | N/E | 0.286 |
| walkoff baltimore chop | DNP | -- | 1 | 83 | 7 | N/E | 0.200 |
| spiffyjwc | DNP | -- | 2 | 70 | 13 | N/E | 0.194 |
| samljm | DNP | -- | 1 | 77 | 9 | N/E | 0.265 |
| pam5981 | DNP | -- | 7 | 35 | 59 | N/E | 0.276 |
| Gaijin_Suketto | DNP | -- | 1 | 68 | 14 | N/E | 0.424 |
| tosk | DNP | -- | 5 | 49 | 29 | N/E | 0.179 |
| mikev | DNP | -- | 1 | 62 | 17 | N/E | 0.515 |
| stranahanahan | DNP | -- | 1 | 89 | 4 | N/E | 0.118 |
| Leopold Bloom | DNP | -- | 1 | 94 | 1 | N/E | 0.029 |
| ElQuesoCapitan | DNP | -- | 3 | 59 | 18 | N/E | 0.194 |
| Trainman | DNP | -- | 2 | 91 | 3 | N/E | 0.049 |
| OptimistPrime | DNP | -- | 1 | 88 | 5 | N/E | 0.179 |
| dtownmbrown | DNP | -- | 3 | 62 | 17 | N/E | 0.167 |
| bzrklysb | DNP | -- | 3 | 54 | 23 | N/E | 0.219 |
| chillicothe20 | DNP | -- | 1 | 77 | 9 | N/E | 0.265 |
| ChadGod | DNP | -- | 1 | 70 | 13 | N/E | 0.382 |
| SamYam | DNP | -- | 3 | 56 | 19 | N/E | 0.186 |
18 comments
|
1 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
1. 2-1, Indians
2. 8 IP, 1 ER, 8 K
3. 4 BB score; 7 BB drawn
4. Victor Martinez
5. 13 AB, 4 H, 3 RBI
6. No
7. No
8. 12 AB, 4 H, 1 BB
9. No
10. 11 AB; yes
The Ultimate Opportunist
by Rated-R Superstar on Jul 3, 2009 3:19 PM PDT reply actions
typoz
I made a fairly significant error on question 3. The fANpost is now fixed, and you might want to change your response.
Well, it’s too late.
The Ultimate Opportunist
by Rated-R Superstar on Jul 3, 2009 10:13 PM PDT up reply actions
latest GOG ever
- A’s sweep!
- Cliff Lee :: 7 IP, 2 ER, 8 K
- A’s score 14 runs. A’s walk 14 times.
- Suzuki
- Choo :: 12 AB, 3 H, 0 RBI
- yes
- yes
- Sweeney :: 10 AB, 2 H, 3 BB
- yes
- 5 AB for Nomar. He does get a hit
wheeeee
1. 2-1 A’s
2. 7 IP/2 ER/6 K
3. 6 BB score, 13 BB drawn
4. As a catcher? Suzuki
5. 13 AB, 4 H, 2 RBI
6. Yes
7. Yes
8. 12 AB/4 H/1 BB
9. Yes
10. 2 AB, 0hits
"You end up with a name like ‘Outman,’" he said last week. "What else are you going to do? You’re going to get people out, man." ~ Dallas Braden
GOGging from Pittsburgh
1. 2-1 A’s
2. 7 IP, 2ER, 5K
3. 5 BB score, 10 BB overall
4. Zooks
5. 11 AB/3 H/1 RBI
6. Sure, why not
7. No
8. 13 AB/4 H/0 BB
9. No
10. 8, yes
"If Vin Mazzaro comes anywhere near me with shaving cream he’s gonna be coming away with a bloody stump" – Dallas Braden
Change #3 please:
14 runs scored, 10 BB drawn.
"If Vin Mazzaro comes anywhere near me with shaving cream he’s gonna be coming away with a bloody stump" – Dallas Braden
Post typo
1. 2-1 A’s
2. 6/4/8
3. 15/10
4. Zook
5. 14/4/2
6. yes
7. yes
8. 12/5/1
9. yes
10. 5/ yes
PREPAREDNESS_Because those goddamn zombies aren’t going to kill themselves
I can haz another series win?
1. 2-1 A’s
2. 7/3/5
3. 13/11
4. Suzuki
5. 13/3/1
6. Yes
7. Yes
8. 13/5/2
9. Yes
10. 6/yes
This series is either going to be really good, or really, really painful
1. A’s sweep (crosses fingers)
2. 6/4/4
3. 16/12
4. Kurt
5. 10/2/0
6. yes
7. No
8. 12/4/2
9. Yes
10. 4/no
GOG 27
1. 2-1 A’s
2. 8/2/5
3. 11/9
4. Kurk
5. 14/3/2
6. Yes
7. no
8. 14/5/1
9. no
10. 5/yes
They say nothing is impossible, but I do nothing all the time!
1. Series outcome [3 points] A’s, 2-1
2. Cliff Lee absolutely dominated the A’s last year (to be fair, he dominated a lot of teams last year), to the tune of 1 ER in 14.2 innings, with 12 K and 1 BB. To further emphasize how bad it was, Oakland’s OPS against Lee was .307(!!!!) Predict Lee’s IP/ER/K for his Sunday start [2 points each] 8/1/7
3. The Indians run prevention has been the worst in the AL so far this year. One of the reasons for this is a ghastly 4.03 BB/9 for their pitching staff as a whole (imagine Trevor Cahill is pitching all of your innings… and then add an extra half a walk per game). How many runs do the A’s score in the series? How many walks do they draw? [3 points each] 16/13
4. Catcher comparison :: Who gets on base more times, hitting as a catcher, Kurt Suzuki or Victor Martinez? 1 if right, -1 if wrong] Suzuki
5. Shin-Soo Choo is one of just four South Korean players currently in MLB (and the only position player). Predict his AB/H/RBI [2 points each] 12/4/3
6. The (thanks Bill James!) is a nice improvement on the idea of a “quality start”. Do the three Oakland starters average a game score better than 50? [1 if right, -1 if wrong] Yes
7. The Indians bullpen has actually blown as many save opportunities as they’ve made (13 of each). Does a Cleveland pitcher blow a save in this series? 1 if right, -1 if wrong] No
8. Since coming back from the DL, Ryan Sweeney has gone 15 for 39 (.385 BA) but hasn’t drawn a single walk. Predict his AB/H/BB for the series [2 points each] 12/5/1
9. So far this season, the A’s record is 2 games below the pythagorean expectation. But that’s not so bad! Cleveland is a full 6 games behind pythag, and should be ahead of the Royals, according to their runs scored and against. Does the actual result of this series match the expected result from the pythagorean formula? (just using 2 for the exponent) [1 if right, -1 if wrong] Yes
10. How many at-bats for Nomar in the series? Will he get a hit? [3 points for the first question, +-1 for the second] 3, Yes
I promise, I don't know the score...
GOG #27 :: Et tu, Wahoo? (35 points possible)
Three game series @ Cleveland Indians — July 3-5
Series outcome Indians 2, A’s 1
Cliff Lee absolutely dominated the A’s last year. Predict Lee’s IP/ER/K for his Sunday start 6IP, 3ER, 4K
The Indians run prevention has been the worst in the AL so far this year. How many runs do the A’s score in the series? How many walks do they draw? 10 runs, 8 walks
Catcher comparison :: Who gets on base more times, hitting as a catcher, Kurt Suzuki or Victor Martinez? Suzuki
Shin-Soo Choo is one of just four South Korean players currently in MLB (and the only position player). Predict his AB/H/RBI 3AB, 1H, 0RBI
The (thanks Bill James!) is a nice improvement on the idea of a “quality start”. Do the three Oakland starters average a game score better than 50? Yes
The Indians bullpen has actually blown as many save opportunities as they’ve made. Does a Cleveland pitcher blow a save in this series? No
Ryan Sweeney has gone 15 for 39 (.385 BA) but hasn’t drawn a single walk. Predict his AB/H/BB for the series 8AB, 4H, 1BB
So far this season, the A’s record is 2 games below the pythagorean expectation. Does the actual result of this series match the expected result from the pythagorean formula? (just using 2 for the exponent) Huh. No
How many at-bats for Nomar in the series? Will he get a hit? 3AB, 1 hit
uh, I thought the game was at 7:00
obviously I was wrong. Well, I have know idea what has happened so far but I could see my questions not being taken. i can dream though.
Series outcome [3 points] A’s 2-1
Cliff Lee absolutely dominated the A’s last year (to be fair, he dominated a lot of teams last year), to the tune of 1 ER in 14.2 innings, with 12 K and 1 BB. To further emphasize how bad it was, Oakland’s OPS against Lee was .307(!!!!) Predict Lee’s IP/ER/K for his Sunday start [2 points each] 7 IP/ 2 ER / 6 K
The Indians run prevention has been the worst in the AL so far this year. One of the reasons for this is a ghastly 4.03 BB/9 for their pitching staff as a whole (imagine Trevor Cahill is pitching all of your innings… and then add an extra half a walk per game). How many runs do the A’s score in the series? How many walks do they draw? [3 points each] 10 runs/ 5 BB
Catcher comparison :: Who gets on base more times, hitting as a catcher, Kurt Suzuki or Victor Martinez? 1 if right, -1 if wrong] Martinez
Shin-Soo Choo is one of just four South Korean players currently in MLB (and the only position player). Predict his AB/H/RBI [2 points each] 9 AB/ 2 H/ 2 RBI
The (thanks Bill James!) is a nice improvement on the idea of a “quality start”. Do the three Oakland starters average a game score better than 50? [1 if right, -1 if wrong] the what now? um, NO.The Indians bullpen has actually blown as many save opportunities as they’ve made (13 of each). Does a Cleveland pitcher blow a save in this series? 1 if right, -1 if wrong] YES
Since coming back from the DL, Ryan Sweeney has gone 15 for 39 (.385 BA) but hasn’t drawn a single walk. Predict his AB/H/BB for the series [2 points each] 10 AB/ 3 H/ 1 BB
So far this season, the A’s record is 2 games below the pythagorean expectation. But that’s not so bad! Cleveland is a full 6 games behind pythag, and should be ahead of the Royals, according to their runs scored and against. Does the actual result of this series match the expected result from the pythagorean formula? (just using 2 for the exponent) [1 if right, -1 if wrong] Um, Yes
How many at-bats for Nomar in the series? Will he get a hit? [3 points for the first question, +-1 for the second] 4AB/ 1 H
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
just checked the score, ouch
I think half my answers are wrong already.
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
I missed this one
But given the game one score I probably would have had some negatives
"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson
Comments For This Post Are Closed
Secondary Sidebar
User Tools
FanPosts
Community blog posts and discussion.
Certain photos copyright © 2012 by Associated Press or Getty Images. Any commercial use or distribution without the express written consent of Associated Press and Getty Images is strictly prohibited.
