What Do We Really Want (In A Manager)?
Buy tickets for AN Day VI now, so I can make the first deposit! Details here.
It’s nothing short of patently ironic that the manager no one wanted in Oakland is now managing a first-place National League team. Or that the "second choice" of the A’s and his Texas Rangers are fighting for the top spot in the AL West. Of course, we all know where Bob Geren's 2009 Oakland Athletics are in the standings, and it’s nowhere good.
This would be an interesting point if managers could make up the difference between a last-place team and a first-place one. They can’t. Not even the best manager in the world could take players like Cabrera/Giambi/Cust and somehow make them Kinsler/Young/Hamilton/Cruz or even Braun/Fielder. A manager can be set up to succeed or fail; is it coincidental that Joe Torre became a winning manager in his career only when he was given the Yankees?
But while it’s true that a manager is limited in his role; I believe that he absolutely can make the different between a first and second place team, or the difference between a win and a loss in a single strategic game. I still believe that Ken Macha’s bullpen management cost us games when it mattered in the mid-2000’s, and I certainly believe Bob Geren’s management has the potential to cost the A’s games in a variety of ways, but due to the team’s general suckitude, it’s hard to pin down.
However, while AN is largely down on Geren (and has been since Day 1); I am curiously surprised that AN remains so high on Ron Washington. Wash was an absolutely amazing fielding coach, who meant so much to the players of the A’s organization, but I think the losing season and the backlash against Geren has given Washington credentials that I don’t think he has earned.
Washington and the Rangers came in dead last in 2007, a game behind Geren and the A’s, and he barely made it through his first month of the 2008 season with the team, with sources all but reporting his firing. And then things turned around for the Rangers, who finished the season at 79 and 83 and started 2009 with an impressive 48-39 record, just off the pace of the first-place Angels. And as always, the manager that was in the doghouse during a losing streak is now in conversations for Manager of the Year after the turnaround. But again, how much can be attributed to the manager, and how much is the result of Texas pitching finally giving up fewer runs than their offense was driving in? Texas’ ERA dropped from 5.37 in 2008 to 4.34 in 2009, and that has nothing to do with the person who fills out the lineup card. If anything, the focus should be on the Rangers' pitching coach, Mike Maddux, and his work with the Texas hurlers.
One of the things that strikes me as petty in baseball is playing-time retaliation for possible off-field activity. Have we seen it twice this year from Geren and/or Billy Beane? Take Sean Gallagher, a young pitcher who looked like he would fill in as the number 2 starter behind Duchscherer, who was mysteriously sidelined for half of the season, supposedly injury-ridden before being traded. And who knows where to begin with Travis Buck, who must have done something unforgivable to justify what has happened to him this season.
But Ron Washington’s own recent player management reads like a Joe Morgan playbook. It’s one thing to bench Travis Buck for nebulous reasons. It’s entirely another to bench Nelson Cruz, who played in the All Star game last night.
Cruz, tied for fourth in the American League with 20 homers [he has 22 at the break], has sat out the last three nights as manager Ron Washington tries to find a way to rotate five players into four spots.
Washington said. "It's not that vicious, where I'm sitting Nelson Cruz. It's just that those guys out there did such a great job, how can you pull them off the field?"
Yet, even after Cruz had been benched for three straight games, and was named to the All Star game the next day, Washington finally played Cruz, but not because he wanted to:
Manager Ron Washington said he had planned on playing Murphy for Cruz, even though Cruz had been named to the All-Star team earlier in the day as an injury replacement for Torii Hunter. It has nothing to do with Cruz, Washington said, but with riding the hot hand.
The reason given, far and wide, is not because of anything Cruz did, but rather because Washington believes in riding the "hot hand". But sitting an All-Star homerun hitter for three or four consecutive games is ridiculous, even more so when you look at his competition. Blalock, .854 OPS, Murphy, .804 OPS, Byrd, .801 OPS. Cruz? .865 OPS! Even more amazingly, Cruz leads the ENTIRE Rangers team in OPS versus right-handed pitchers, which were all three games he sat and was going to sit the fourth! How was Washington allowed this? I can't even imagine how I would feel if he was managing the A's and we had a hitter like Cruz. The mysterious non-use of Travis Buck was bad enough; I would be losing my mind if he was an established good player. I don’t know which is worse, honestly. Do I want to think of Washington as a manager who just doesn’t realize Cruz’ value in his lineup, or do I want to think of him as a manager who benches one of his best players for his own reasons to the detriment of his team?
MLB on the All-Star game:
Cruz certainly has the numbers to be here. He finished the first half hitting .263 with 22 home runs and 53 RBIs. His .539 slugging percentage is also the 12th-highest mark in the league.
It is still odd though that Cruz learned of his All-Star selection that day after being out of the lineup for three straight days. He wasn't hurt.
What are you looking for in your ideal manager? Someone who rides the hot hand when filling out the lineup card? Someone who is not afraid to bench their best player if they think it will prove a point? Someone who is independent of the general manager? Do you prefer the old school style of 'baseball by touch' or do you prefer a more modern interpretation of the game? Has your perception of Washington and/or Macha changed as you have watched them manage the last couple of years? Who do you think is the best manager in MLB?
3 recs |
216 comments
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Comments
Wash
Interesting analysis on Washington. The Cruz bench seems crazy, especially after we got to see what he could do in the Home Run Derby. I believe our failures in the postseason 2000-2003 should be attributed to management’s inability to instill more discipline in the care free team. Game 5 in 2000 we were young and the bad 1st inning did us in but we showed a lot of fight to get back in that game. Waxing Clemens earlier in the series showed our potential. But 2001-03 was not a case of bad luck as much as nerves, poor fundamentals, and immaturity. Someone should have been teaching these guys to grow up. Macha and Beane are to blame as well as a youthful front office. Too much reliance on a care-free clubhouse and not enough on the importance of being disciplined. Look at the highlights: Jeremy Giambi’s failure to slide G3 01, booting the ball all over the field G4 01, more sloppy play with a chance to clinch at the Dome in G4 02, giving up in the 9th of G5 02 allowing the Twins to tack on runs, the baserunning gaffes of Tejada and Byrnes in Fenway 03, Hudson and Zito going out in Boston 03 and getting into a fight. Add to that the philosophy of NEVER putting pressure on the opposing team’s defense by hit and running, stealing and it was an unhealthy mix. The playoffs are a crapshoot to some degree but that doesn’t explain away all the five game losses.
P.S. Why so enamored with Buck? He’s shown no power for a corner outfielder and average range and speed. Nice arm but that’s about it. Our player development has been very weak, especially with everyday players.
by Lindblad on Jul 15, 2009 5:07 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I'd say Buck has shown a little power
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
by micdog2001 on Jul 15, 2009 5:32 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"He has shown no power" is somewhat misinformed.
2007: 113 wOBA+ in 334 PA
2008: 96 wOBA+ in 172 PA
2009: 89 wOBA+ in 101 PA (take into account that the ’09 PAs were scattered everywhere)
Another thing to take into account with his 2009 numbers is that he has a .247 BABIP but a 21.1 LD%. Higher line drive percentage + low BABIP for a hitter is an indicator of bad luck.
And, I’m inclined to believe the largest sample size is the more accurate one, especially since 2007 is the only year in which he consistently got playing time and was not used as the 4th OF off the bench.
Considering that his defense is really good out of a corner, if he’s somewhere between his 2007 and 2008 numbers, he’s an average-above average player.
"You end up with a name like ‘Outman,’" he said last week. "What else are you going to do? You’re going to get people out, man." ~ Dallas Braden
Free Travis Buck.
by Blicks on Jul 15, 2009 8:12 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He also has a pretty weak arm for a RFer.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 15, 2009 8:38 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, you're right.
I just think he’s an average player when all is said and done.
><
by Blicks on Jul 15, 2009 9:17 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
For a team full of below-average players, I'll take average
Formerly Gallagher's Watermelons, until Beane gave up on Gallagher. It makes sense though...Gallagher = Player To Be Named Later = me!
by Player To Be Named Later on Jul 15, 2009 1:07 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Exactly
I think the frustration is with the clubs unwillingness to give him a try. It’s a pretty good bet that he’s at least as good as the other available options. And there’s a chance, albeit a small one, that he might be something better.
There is no "i" in Teamocil. At least not where you'd think.
by GreenNGoldSooner on Jul 15, 2009 2:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's my feeling exactly
I wanted to see Buck out there for two straight months. Maybe he’d be terrible. But I’m not SURE that he would. He’s shown some pop on occasion, and some signs that he could actually be an everyday player. From a team that trotted Crosby out on the field for FIVE years, why does Buck not even get a WEEK?
"Bobby Crosby at third is a bit of an adventure. And not like, here’s some hidden treasure, what fun. More like, gah! poison ants!" --alea iacta est
by baseballgirl on Jul 15, 2009 3:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
They should've traded him
instead of going out of their way to prove he sucks. It just devalues him and worsens his chances of making it in the bigs. I hope he does well in the minors and proves Geren wrong.
Optimistic...
by Porcupine on Jul 15, 2009 3:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
ooooh, no kidding, five fa-reekin years of Crosby
“why sure he was so funny and an athlete at one time I guess, but wasn’t it a longer run than that for Bill’s tv show?” I said CROSBY!
alaska A residing in northern Idaho.
by ak_A on Jul 15, 2009 6:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ridiculous
The idea of blaming a manager for the brainlock of players like Tejada, Byrnes and Jeremy Giambi during post-season series is just plain wrong. The loss of momentum and nerves in a short series happens. I agree with Beane that the post-season is a crapshoot. The right momentem, the right breaks, and you win a World Series - the small sample size almost always says that.
The decision to downplay small ball is organizational and would happen no matter who was manager as long as the organization deemed it necessary.
Position player development has been beyond weak, though. It’s been atrocious. Not a single position player star has emerged from within the organization to play for the A’s (with perhaps the single exception of Suzuki) since the rise of Giambi, Chavez, Tejada and Ramon Hernandez nearly a decade ago.
by richwol1 on Jul 15, 2009 9:25 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Absolutely
Position player development has been beyond weak, though. It’s been atrocious. Not a single position player star has emerged from within the organization to play for the A’s (with perhaps the single exception of Suzuki) since the rise of Giambi, Chavez, Tejada and Ramon Hernandez nearly a decade ago.
And that’s on the organization, not the manager.
"Bobby Crosby at third is a bit of an adventure. And not like, here’s some hidden treasure, what fun. More like, gah! poison ants!" --alea iacta est
by baseballgirl on Jul 15, 2009 9:26 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree about the poor player development
but wasn’t Swisher home grown? I know he never was an MVP (Giambi, Tejada), All-Star (Hernandez), or Gold Glover (Chavez) but he was pretty good.
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
by micdog2001 on Jul 15, 2009 10:45 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Obviously it is mostly on the organization....
But the manager can still be culpable for a player’s development (or lack there of) once he reaches the majors. In the end- at least what we would like to think- is that Geren is the one filling out the lineup cards. Geren has consistently shown that he is unwilling to give young players- Buck, Barton, Cunningham, Patterson- consistent strings of starts; instead electing to throw them in erratically. This sets up a dynamic where these young players put so much emphasis on there first couple at bats because they feel like that is all they have to make an impression and stick. This type of managing can be damaging to that young players confidence- if they do not initially produce within the scope of those first couple of AB’s.
What it all boils down to is I just don’t think Geren is very comfortable managing a young team and/or young players individually. His personality does not seem to play well to relating with them or providing them with the type of confidence they need to have early success. If my belief is true- this is not good, as we are moving in the direction of having a very young team. To answer your original question, I want a manager who can manage a young team. I think Girardi was a perfect example in how he managed that young florida marlins team to a solid season despite their management’s apparent goal to play with the lowest payroll in MLB history. That is also why I think Girardi has had trouble- despite a loaded lineup- with managing a veteran linup because he seems to be a coach that handles young players better. Geren seems to be more comfortable playing and handling veteran players. With that said- I fear that the second half could be more of the same with more of Giambi, Nomar, Cust (in outfield), and less of Buck, Barton, Cunningham, even Patterson…
by MAC Attack on Jul 15, 2009 11:25 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Name a team
Who has it all without a manager who played small ball, or was a puppet to a GM?
No bias here
by Tom Nation on Jul 16, 2009 11:25 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Correction,,Won it all.....
No bias here
by Tom Nation on Jul 16, 2009 11:26 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
To answer your last question
I think the best manager in the MLB is Mike Scioscia. Joe Torre’s right behind him.
Sugar ... water .... and, of course, purple.
by what_the_crap on Jul 15, 2009 8:18 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
.....Jim Leyland
To get to your last point first, for my money the best manager is Jim Leyland. He is an old school, no nonsense, say it like it is, type of manager, and he is tough and expects his players to be tough. I don’t think the recent vintage A’s know what tough is!!
I just wish Beane could “rent” Leyland for a few weeks so Geren could catch on, and the players would start earning their salaries. Even those A’s making the MLB minimum are making, what $35,000 a month, but with Geren’s lack of near sightedness he sees a glass 1/4 full and thinks it is 1/4 empty.
I don’t fully agree with your view of Wash, particularly with the emphasis on the recent benching of Cruz, but as a leader of he is still head and shoulders above Geren.
My perception of Wash has improved greatly, as I thought of him as a great coach, but was never convinced that he could lead a team. But he surely can. As to Macha: no change in my feelings to him, but would still rate him above Geren.
by robertmelvin on Jul 15, 2009 8:33 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I think we need to show up to games with a sign that says "Free Buck"
by LoneStranger on Jul 15, 2009 8:39 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
"Can I have a Buck?"
Formerly Gallagher's Watermelons, until Beane gave up on Gallagher. It makes sense though...Gallagher = Player To Be Named Later = me!
by Player To Be Named Later on Jul 15, 2009 1:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ledership!!!!
by the way, the answer to what we want in a manager is LEADERSHIP, not, as I mentioned in a recent post, a guy who alternately stares down at his lineup card/taking notes card and looks up with that deer in the headlights look, trying to figure out what is just about to hit him broadside.
by robertmelvin on Jul 15, 2009 8:41 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
how can you tell what his leadership ability is like from looking at him on tv?
I’d rather someone who is giving good advice to his players than kicking up a stink and looking tough for the cameras.
Not implying that Geren is doing the first, mind, but rather that leadership is for the benefit of the players, and not for fans
by bobnothing on Jul 15, 2009 10:46 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
early during Wash's first year as manager of the Rangers
it seemed from reports that he faced some challenges to his leadership while trying to change the clubhouse culture. Since that time some players are no longer there, and others have been signed or have come up in the system, with Wash in charge. His teams have improved defensively, if you take all 2 1/2 years, and have also improved in the standings.
Today they are contending for the AL west championship. They may still not have enough to win the division. However, I think it’s fair to say that they Rangers have improved with Wash as manager.
by OaklandSi on Jul 15, 2009 8:52 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Inspired leadership would be nice
Passion, presence, determination. Traits developed and honed from early in life – not just when you get an interview to be a major league manager. Guys I would interview (and I certainly can only judge these fellows from their on field play plus coaching stints and broadcast interviews): Carney, Stew, Bobby Valentine, Mickey Hatcher, Tony Pena, Mattingly, Kirk Gibson. Yes, a few ex Dodgers there but also current coaches I like. To repeat the infamous Mr. Ratto from yesterday the A’s are Zombies and are very close to sliding into total anonymitity/oblivion a la the Nationals. Of all these guys above I like Valentine and “know” him best having read one of his books. He cares and doesn’t ever get complacent.
Baja been here
by bajablue on Jul 15, 2009 8:54 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I would love for Carney to be our next manager
PREPAREDNESS_Because those goddamn zombies aren’t going to kill themselves
by adragon on Jul 15, 2009 9:49 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think Jose Canseco endorses this
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 15, 2009 9:53 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
As long as he does not get you alone in the bathroom
just ask Big Mac
PREPAREDNESS_Because those goddamn zombies aren’t going to kill themselves
by adragon on Jul 15, 2009 9:57 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Carney Lansford
is my all time favorite player I don’t want to subject him to the torture of managing this team.
by sirbed on Jul 15, 2009 3:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What I want depends on the situation
A team like the A’s right now – with no legitimate All Stars and a lot of young talent that has come up too early – needs a manager who stresses professionalism and fundamentals. Essentially the A’s are a Quad A team right now. They don’t have enough mature talent to win. Given the limitations of the team, I want a manager who emphasizes the development of the younger players. He should keep the innings down on the young arms. If a veteran player isn’t contributing much on the field and isn’t helping the younger ones learn, the manager should find a way to dump that player. If this all means the A’s lose a few more games than they should, that’s fine. He should be managing for the future not the present.
by rovingralph on Jul 15, 2009 8:56 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Good topic, bbg
What I most want is for a manager to harness the intensity, focus, spirirt and energy that the team, and component individuals, have to offer — the ability piece is one only the players can bring, but good managers, IMO, constantly challenge and inspire players to reach for the right side of the bell curve that is their potential performance.
There are many different ways and styles managers can have to accomplish this. Jim Leyland is prickly, Tony LaRussa intense, Joe Torre paternal, Mike Scioscia "We’re in this together; I’ve got your back," but they share a common trait: They demand your best, believe you can do better, and they will call you on it when they see less than the best you have to offer. And it won’t take them 85 games to speak up.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 15, 2009 9:07 AM PDT reply actions 2 recs
Agreed
I’d also add that it sometimes takes managers a couple of different teams before they figure out their own strengths. In Wash’s case, it was the same team but he needed a couple of years to learn on the job.
I think it’s a common failing for managers to go with veterans rather than young players. They’re more mature, more consistent, and they need less coaching to know how to do their job. It takes a special manager to help a young team come to maturity. For whatever reason, it seems that Bob Geren is not that kind of special manager. Art Howe, I think - and despite his shortcomings - was.
Most managers, with rare exceptions, are hit and miss on in-game managing. The best motivator in baseball history, Billy Martin, destroyed pitching staffs. Last year Geren seemed pretty good; this year he seems terrible. But you have to look at the larger picture - team atmosphere, cxrispness of play, motivation, fundamentals - to get a sense of what and who a manager really is.
Finally, bad teams lose games. The best manager in the world can’t turn the Washington Nationals into a good team. But some jobs have a shelf life, and the manager of a bad team has a shelf life because if he stays too long, his history as a loser will probably infect everything he does with that team. He may be brilliant, but it will still be time to move on.
by richwol1 on Jul 15, 2009 9:38 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Totally agree -- what I feel so many overlook
is that yes, bad teams lose games under any manager. But if you’re a manager of a bad team, you can also, independently, be a bad manager. And I think Geren has shown himself to be a poor leader, poor motivator on a bad team that couldn’t win a whole lot under anyone — but could be playing a LOT more crisply, with more spirit and fire and resolve that would portend success to come.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 15, 2009 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This
I’m not one of those guys who believes that a manager has that much to do with the teams performance on field, during games. However, you have to start somewhere and the burden that has to be shoulder lies not only on the manager, but management to make sure these guys have their heads in the game 98-105% of the time. A perfect manager to me is a guy like Ozzie Guillen, who seems affable at times but isn’t afraid to slam his cleats down when things aren’t going the right direction.
What Geren did in benching Sweeney shows that there maybe is some fire in the guy. I think he worries too much about keeping things on an even keel with everyone happy and without conflict. There also isn’t much interaction there, and he is over glad handling with the way he approaches his job, which in any kind of management scenario is NOT going to get the best out of people.
I'll have a sandwich and a draft(sic). - Bill King (RIP)
by BleedGreen on Jul 15, 2009 9:40 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed & rec'ed
The one thing that scares me the most from our current team is the lack of heart/leadership. If we were this bad in past years someone like Swish or Frank Thomas would have called a players only meeting, corrected some of the problems & righted the ship so to speak. I know O-Cab had one in Chicago & soon after we won 7 in a row but after that they went right back to the kingdom of Suck. Do you think if Huddy was on this team he would be content with last place? I don’t think so.
PREPAREDNESS_Because those goddamn zombies aren’t going to kill themselves
by adragon on Jul 15, 2009 10:09 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think we have a true leader on the team right now.
Geren is managing a team where he is given players that haven’t produced. Giambi, Nomar and Cabrera have totally sucked. Nomar has basically not been well and Giambi and Cabrera have not played well. So now you have the left side of the infield and 1st base sucking… also, Cust has been horrible in RF and when he is out there you have Giambi at DH and Crosby at 1st so that is even worse.
I think if Beane would give Geren more players like Hairston he could manage the team a lot better.
Also, With Devine going down and Zieglar not pitching well to start with and Casilla not doing anything good this season that hurt the bullpen and the starting pitching has been a rookies paradise. I do believe that Geren and Young and Suzuki have done wonders with these young pitchers.
In 2010 with Hariston in CF and other young guys in the infield like possibly Cardenas at 3B and the OLD guys gone I think Geren has a better chance to actually manage a MLB team.
"Whether you think you can, or you think you can't, either way, YOU'RE RIGHT !"
by Eastbayjim on Jul 15, 2009 11:35 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I see some players who could grow into the, "leaders" our team needs
The top two candidates are Zook and Pepe, If you had to put the “C” one A’s player right now it would have to be Kurt. With all the, “veteran leadership” this team is supposed to have he is the only player, (non pitcher) that I would go to battle for. He could very well follow the Jason Varitek career path, (perennial gold glove defense, solid offense and leadership). I only hope he does it all in the Green and Gold.
PREPAREDNESS_Because those goddamn zombies aren’t going to kill themselves
by adragon on Jul 15, 2009 12:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Doesn't matter
The A’s wouldn’t be doing any better if Washington, Macha, Scioscia or Torre where at the helm. They wouldn’t be able to overcome the lack of production from the new guys.. Holliday, Giambi, Cabrera… and the injuries to Chavez and Duke.
by McBain on Jul 15, 2009 9:33 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I don't agree with that
I agree they would still be a sub-.500 team, but I think the players they have could have been motivated and inspired to play with a higher level of focus, resourcefulness, and adjustment that would have translated into better overall baseball and more wins. And frankly, the former is more important to me than the latter.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 15, 2009 9:40 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The team needs a leader.
Someone like Swisher or Tejada back when he was with the A’s would be great. They got the team excited and it was fun to watch and looked like the team was having fun and playing well.
So, Sign Robin Williams for SS and we will win the World Series
"Whether you think you can, or you think you can't, either way, YOU'RE RIGHT !"
by Eastbayjim on Jul 15, 2009 11:38 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just look at Colorado
if you want to see what a change in management can do. I am not saying we would go on a 20 game win streak, (again) but we would be closer to .500 with a manager like Scioscia, Torre or DUI Tony, (Macha not so much).
PREPAREDNESS_Because those goddamn zombies aren’t going to kill themselves
by adragon on Jul 15, 2009 9:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pretty much totally disagree
Starting with: None of those managers would allow a GM to “stick him” with such a poor roster. He may inherit it, but he would work furiously to turn it over (get rid of deadbeats – Crosby, Giambi, etc.), spend (bring in a FAs and his name alone would help overcome the negative vibes in Oaktown that prevents some FAs even considering us), promote (evaluate Buck and others and not let petty issues get in the way of playing the best available players).
Baja been here
by bajablue on Jul 15, 2009 10:06 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Problems with GM and Ownership Are Key
Beane needs to give his manager more space to manage.
And we need an owner who cares about something other than a new stadium (not that there’s anything wrong with a new stadium)
There is no "i" in Teamocil. At least not where you'd think.
by GreenNGoldSooner on Jul 15, 2009 2:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Repeating myself, but
I think Beane needs to give his manager LESS space to manage.
Beane is smarter than Geren. To whatever extent he tells Geren what to do, that’s a good thing.
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 5:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Geren is running scared
You can see it in his eyes, in his body language, and hear it in his words after most games. Yes he knows baseball; he did a very good job at AAA; did a good job there teaching young kids. But what we are seeing now (and Beane is not) is a guy running scared with the look of indecision and doubt growing daily. I am sure the players see it and feel it also.
by robertmelvin on Jul 15, 2009 9:55 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
This one I agree with
He does have the look of a little kid watching a doctor approach with a big needle. He knows what we know but evidently Beane doesn’t. He sucks.
Baja been here
by bajablue on Jul 15, 2009 10:13 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
or a large "masculinesque" nurse approaching with an enema bag.
alaska A residing in northern Idaho.
by ak_A on Jul 15, 2009 6:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Catheter time!
get’cha nice cold catheters heah!
"Flea Markets aren't just for blind dates anymore!"- The Reverend Billy Lard
by Gaijin_Suketto on Jul 16, 2009 7:39 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Beane Continues to View Managers like Relief Pitchers
…too much credit given for a job that can be handled either by many or an outcome they truly have no control over.
The 4 managers that Nico mentioned are also my choices for individuals who can change the atmosphere of a team. Jim Tracy has been given credit for doing that in Colorado if you ask Carlos Gonzales.
To find a manager of the caliber that we all want is difficult given that as they look at teams and their financial situations, Oakland doesn’t give the support any more to a manager the way they did under the Haas ownership. If they conveyed that message to a La Russa type , we wouldn’t be stuck with Bob “Milquetoast” Geren as our manager whom, I’ve never heard say to Billy…."Get me a &%$# HITTER! "
"I've been accused of using too many words...I suppose that's like accusing Mozart of using too many notes." Bill King
by Gerard on Jul 15, 2009 9:58 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Incidentally, Cargon continues to be the same (bad) hitter he was last year in the majors
In fact, he’s been worse: .202/.280/.333 in 94 PAs.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
by Nick on Jul 15, 2009 10:09 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hey, but at least he can spot a manager...
I wish we could chalk up his offensive #s to poor sample size but my guess is that he is another Carlos Pena in the making.
Just give him another 5 years and then we’ll be sorry we ever traded him!
"I've been accused of using too many words...I suppose that's like accusing Mozart of using too many notes." Bill King
by Gerard on Jul 15, 2009 10:31 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
After another 5 years hitting badly in the majors
CarGon will be a free agent, and if he’s figured out how to hit by then the A’s won’t be able to afford him, anyway.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
by Nick on Jul 15, 2009 11:41 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, and that logic hasn't stopped people
from complaining on how we “gave away” Carlos Pena.
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 2:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
the funny thing is that
Pena was available, if I remember correctly, before her started his power run. Only Tampa gave him the chance.
"I've been accused of using too many words...I suppose that's like accusing Mozart of using too many notes." Bill King
by Gerard on Jul 15, 2009 5:05 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
So maybe Carlos Gonzalez will be, too!
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 5:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What I want
A manager who knows how to use his bullpen and bench players. A manger who shows passion for the game. A manger who makes the other team guessing on SB and hit and run. A manger who expects every player gives 100%. A manger who sits players who are in slumps or injured. A manger who after the game can say more than we will get them tomorrow or otherwords look at why they lost and find a way to improve. A manager who doesn’t play his favorites over deserving players. A manger who has a direction in where the club is going not playing vetrans if you are rebuilding.
by Arcman on Jul 15, 2009 9:58 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
There is no "A" in manger!
(Well, there is. But there isn’t another one.)
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 2:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I still wonder
if Washington benching Cruz doesn’t have something to do with giving him the same three day break that the other players on his team will be receiving over the ASB. We’ll find out one way or the other when play resumes. I tend to view Wash as having entered an organization with a systemic culture of losing. It took him a couple of seasons to alter the culture and implement his brand of baseball. I don’t agree with the idea that managers have little or no influence on a teams performance. If that were true, they would have disappeared from the dugout long ago and been replaced by a “team captain”.
"You may glory in a team triumphant, but you fall in love with a team in defeat."--The Boys of Summer
by alox on Jul 15, 2009 9:58 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
But it can't be.
Washington had no idea that Maddon would pick Cruz to the team. He was a last-minute replacement for Hunter. Nelson Cruz was benched for 3 days, then everyone found out he was picked to the team (including Washington, I assume). THEN Wash would have sat him another game, but he couldn’t, since Murphy was hurt. It just doesn’t make any sense.
"Bobby Crosby at third is a bit of an adventure. And not like, here’s some hidden treasure, what fun. More like, gah! poison ants!" --alea iacta est
by baseballgirl on Jul 15, 2009 10:45 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Interesting.
But one would have to assume that Maddon would not consult Washington about his intentions beforehand. It makes sense that a manager would have a list of “probables” in the event one of the regulars couldn’t make the game. I presume that Maddon would call Washington as a matter of professional courtesy several days before the event to let him know that Cruz was first on his short list. Not that I’m quibbling with your article, but I find it hard to ascribe incompetence to a figure such as Washington, and like you, I believe that benching Cruz for no discernable reason would border on incompetence.
"You may glory in a team triumphant, but you fall in love with a team in defeat."--The Boys of Summer
by alox on Jul 15, 2009 11:00 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hmmmm....
Maddon could have called Washington to let him know that Cruz was on the short list, but to sit an All-Star for that long, especially when Nelson Cruz is now visible across the league…still, there just doesn’t seem to be another explanation other than the aforementioned incompetence. Or off-field clashes, which Cruz himself doesn’t seem to have any knowledge of. He seemed bewildered in all of his quotes.
"Bobby Crosby at third is a bit of an adventure. And not like, here’s some hidden treasure, what fun. More like, gah! poison ants!" --alea iacta est
by baseballgirl on Jul 15, 2009 11:23 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Then this weekend should tell the tale!
We’ll see if Washington resumes playing Cruz on a regular basis. I think it would be rather hard not to, especially if he’s true to his word about “riding the hot hand”.
"You may glory in a team triumphant, but you fall in love with a team in defeat."--The Boys of Summer
by alox on Jul 15, 2009 11:31 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
But he gave a reason.....the "hot hand"
Why would he want that out there if the real reason was a bit of rest because he knew he was making the All Star Team? Would make more sense and appease fans more than just flat benching his best OPS guy vs righties.
Bring back Hammer.
by OaktownPower on Jul 15, 2009 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Because it's probably not a good idea
to announce a guy to the all star team without knowing first hand that it’s official. He has to say something in the interim, and he may or may not have elected to tell Cruz. That would explain why the guy appears genuinely baffled.
"You may glory in a team triumphant, but you fall in love with a team in defeat."--The Boys of Summer
by alox on Jul 15, 2009 3:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You don't bench someone for three days
so they can have an “All-Star Break.” The Rangers are neck and neck with the Angels for the division lead, for crying out loud, and they haven’t had a winning season since 1999. You think they’re going to give Nelson Cruz three days off in a row, to go with the day before and the day after the All-Star Game, because he might get an at-bat on Tuesday?
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 15, 2009 7:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well said...
Totally agree. Not like any other manager in baseball gave his All Star 3 days off.
Bring back Hammer.
by OaktownPower on Jul 15, 2009 8:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I suppose.
Just speculation on my part. Because the only other alternative is that Washington is an idiot and I just don’t really want to believe that.
"You may glory in a team triumphant, but you fall in love with a team in defeat."--The Boys of Summer
by alox on Jul 15, 2009 9:33 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's not the "only other alternative"
For one thing, there is the possibility that there is some explanation that no one here is thinking of at all, and if we were to hear it we’d say, “Oh, OK, that makes sense, I didn’t realize that was what was going on,” — a possibility which the AN groupthink, with its imagined omniscience, refuses to acknowledge could ever happen.
Or more simply, there is the entirely plausible and conceivable possibility that Wash is making some disciplinary point about some infraction. Maybe you disagree with that philosophy. Maybe you don’t think managers should insist on any standards from their players other than OPS. Or maybe you do, but you think Wash has gone overboard in this case. Fine, but that doesn’t make him an idiot. Heck, even if Wash is being purely vindictive and is totally wrong on this point, it still doesn’t make him an idiot.
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 11:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Of course.
What you say is absolutely true. But I think Cruz himself is completely baffled as to why he suddenly finds himself on the pine.
Eh, maybe Wash is “riding the hot hand” and the other three OF’s fit whatever subjective criteria Wash holds as being the hot hand.
"You may glory in a team triumphant, but you fall in love with a team in defeat."--The Boys of Summer
by alox on Jul 16, 2009 8:17 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think it's probably disciplinary and that Cruz is "playing dumb"
To me, that’s the most plausible explanation based on what I know.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 16, 2009 9:37 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
A point missed is Washington's ability to manage personnel
Nelson Cruz was scuffing, having gone 0-for-8 with 4 Ks and one walk prior to his ‘benching.’
Ron Washington was trying to protect Cruz and make sure he can remain fairly consistent over the course of the season instead of letting a potential slump drag on.
If Cruz was having the same season for the A’s, maybe you continue to ride him through his 0-for-8, but then what if his slump continues to escalate? Better to give Cruz some time to regroup than to let some doubt creep in.
Cruz isn’t a young guy by any means, but this was his first season where may get as many as 400 at-bats in a Major League season.
Or is Kendry perhaps the one who needs to sit?
by BBFan1 on Jul 16, 2009 12:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Have you guys ever seen dog whisperer?
I think the manager needs to be the leader of the pack. The guy that players respect, not necessarily because they like him or want to have a beer with him, but because they he know he is sturdy, smart, tough, and unwilling to put up with laziness or indifference from the squad. The guy that isn’t afraid to get pissed off emotional at his players, but knows when and how to do it. The guy who respects the organization’s philosophy but isn’t afraid to bend it from time to time. And finally, the ideal manager is one the players WANT to play hard for, not because they are afraid of what might happen to them if they don’t, but because a part of them wants to live up to his expectations.
by smokelanda on Jul 15, 2009 10:02 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Great topic for an off day.
Excellent points on Mike Maddux and how he has changed the staff and on the Nellie Cruz thing. Sitting a guy like that for a planned 4 days is just crazy…..I have to think there is more to that story than just Marlon Byrd, Andruw Jones and David Murphy are hot. Andruw is fortunate he hit the 4 homers last week…because they happened to be the only 4 hits he had on his way to a 4-24 week.
Bring back Hammer.
by OaktownPower on Jul 15, 2009 10:08 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Great fcuking article baseballgirl
I didn’t know that about Wash. I wonder how AN would be treating him if he had done something similar with us? Benching an all-star while going with the hot hand. My wish is for Texas to come in 2nd, Wash gets fired and hired as the A’s head coach. IMO, he has better leadership and teaching skills that our young players sorely need.
by sf drift king on Jul 15, 2009 10:10 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Lineup and bullpen decisions are observable managerial behavior
(although we don’t always know the facts that go into these decisions). Almost everything else — player performance, errors/mistakes, “heart” “desire” and “focus” — is impossible to connect clearly to the manager, and in some cases depends on a lot of subjective inference on our part (that is, “lack of desire/focus” isn’t any objective fact the way that “Holliday hasn’t homered in a month” is).
Managers do other, important things, of course. But it’s very hard for us to get accurate information, in real time, about their relations with their own players. Just look at Macha’s exit from the 2006 team and the Kotsay stuff via Urban. So we’re stuck judging managers by inference again, unless something really extreme happens. And even when the manager and the star RF nearly come to blows in the dugout, the team might still win the World Series.
I think at this point that A’s fans have been very unhappy with the team for 2 or 3 years; many A’s fans associate the team’s performance with Geren and his style of managing; therefore, people want a manager who is maximally different from Geren. Whether having a manager call players out in the media, or pull guys off the field in the middle of an inning for dropping a pop-up, or bench guys for stupid baserunning mistakes — whether any of that would make the team win more or play better, I don’t know. But I suspect that A’s fans would like to see that simply on its own merits. They’re angry at many of the A’s players for sucking and/or playing stupidly, and they want the players punished for it.
All kinds of managers can lead winning teams — Dick Williams, Alvin Dark, Billy Martin, Art Howe, and Ken Macha cover a fair range of managerial styles, both in tactics and in the way they related to players. But they all won for the A’s.
A’s fans would be happy to win with any of those types again, including with an Art Howe, even-tempered, generally positive, tactically restrained (at least under Billy Beane). But if the team is going to lose, they’d rather have a Dick Williams arguing with the umps, and screaming at his players for not knowing how to play the game.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
by Nick on Jul 15, 2009 10:28 AM PDT reply actions 6 recs
Excellent post.
"Bobby Crosby at third is a bit of an adventure. And not like, here’s some hidden treasure, what fun. More like, gah! poison ants!" --alea iacta est
by baseballgirl on Jul 15, 2009 10:47 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Great post
rec’ed
PREPAREDNESS_Because those goddamn zombies aren’t going to kill themselves
by adragon on Jul 15, 2009 10:49 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Right
But, is what the fans want actually good for the development of the team? do they want a manager hamming it up for the camera, or do they want someone who is quietly working to improve his players (not saying that Geren does this, by any means).
I guess the question is – does ostentatious passion, grit, gameryness, wtvr, actually improve a baseball team, or does it just provide good entertainment? and if it is just the latter, is that a bad thing?
by bobnothing on Jul 15, 2009 10:52 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think there's much evidence that hot-headed managers are better than calm ones, or vice versa
Pretty much every type of manager you can come up with has succeeded and failed in the majors. Many individual managers have had tremendous success and tremendous failure from one year to the next.
It might have to do with the specific needs of particular teams — some need hotheads, others calm ones. There might be some other characteristic that successful managers of all types share, that the unsuccessful ones lack. Although, the fact that guys like Tracy and Piniella and Torre can put up both excellent and terrible winning percentages makes me hesitate to look at winning managers and try to infer “habits of success” or something from studying them.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
by Nick on Jul 15, 2009 11:01 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
right - I agree with you
I think what I’m trying say is that there’s more than just arguing with umpires or showing emotion – i’m willing to bet that even if Geren had got tossed a few more times, this team would still be terrible, and would still be making bad errors.
by bobnothing on Jul 15, 2009 11:08 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yep, and I do think a good deal of this boils down to entertaining the fans
or at least blowing off steam on our behalf when the team is playing badly.
I’m not discounting the value of occasionally getting tossed to shake a team up, but I think if you do it all the time it loses whatever effect it might have on the team. Don’t forget that Earl Weaver won 1 WS (and lost 2 others) in 16 years during his first stint with the O’s — and then Joe Altobelli, who was much more in the Art Howe mode, won the WS in his first season managing the team. Maybe what the O’s needed was less yelling!
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
by Nick on Jul 15, 2009 11:14 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
(although we don’t always know the facts that go into these decisions)
Well, to start…. how about a manager who cares about keeping baseball fans informed about their team.
Optimistic...
by Porcupine on Jul 15, 2009 10:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Then don't hire Tony LaRussa
who is famously guarded about his clubhouse, and generally hostile to the media when it comes to discussing “family business”.
I’d bet that A’s fans would rather win and be uninformed about the clubhouse than lose and know why.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
by Nick on Jul 15, 2009 11:02 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes
But I think Tony would sure have some answers if he was losing.
Optimistic...
by Porcupine on Jul 15, 2009 11:03 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
By "answers" do you mean solutions?
Because he didn’t the last time he managed the A’s. And until 2006 (when his team barely even made the playoffs) he had a reputation for managing teams that underachieved at historic levels when the pressure was on in the postseason.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
by Nick on Jul 15, 2009 11:06 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is a bad comparison
Tony and Bob? You would have to go back to the beginning of LaRussa’s career to even have this conversation. Tony LaRussa is proven. Geren is not. And no, I don’t mean solutions. I mean, start by standing up and taking ownership of some of the bad decisions. Explain himself when he makes a bad move every once in a while. The players do… why doesn’t he?
Optimistic...
by Porcupine on Jul 15, 2009 11:13 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe
if he did that, he would start making better decisions. Put him on the hot seat for a change.
Optimistic...
by Porcupine on Jul 15, 2009 11:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Geren's not on the hot seat now? At least among fans?
The heat of the seat is determined by the W/L record. It can occasionally be turned up by a manager saying/doing something really stupid — getting into a barroom brawl, saying something racist/homophobic, etc.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
by Nick on Jul 15, 2009 11:20 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
LOL...
The more I watch him, the more it looks to me like he needs managed. That’s all I’m trying to say. I just got done reading Urban’s article and the A’s are not so good that they can stand to be close-lipped. I think the more he doesn’t talk just means he doesn’t know what the hell he’s doing.
Optimistic...
by Porcupine on Jul 15, 2009 11:32 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Here's a reason he might be close-lipped
Willie Randolph was on the hot seat for a long time in NY for the Mets’ late-season collapses. Fans and the media were pissed at him, questioning his team’s heart (and what’s he going to say, “My guys don’t have heart?”), but Omar Minaya continued to support him — until Randolph answered a reporter’s question about fans not having confidence in him by saying that he thought that the fans would be more understanding of a white manager.
He apologized, but the damage had been done and he got fired pretty quickly. I’m sure it’s not helping him find another managerial job (what GM wants to answer the “Why are you hiring a guy who said…” question at the press conference introducing your new manager?). He’d have been a lot better off mouthing platitudes or saying nothing.
A manager can get fired for saying something stupid. It’s hard to get fired for not saying something smart.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
by Nick on Jul 15, 2009 11:39 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not saying that Bob Geren is as good as Tony LaRussa, or comparing them at all, in fact
I’m saying that (a) Tony LaRussa has always been a secretive manager, hostile to outsiders prying into his clubhouse (that was in reply to your point about the fans having a right to know what’s going on with the team), and (b) Tony LaRussa was fully capable of managing bad teams and thus not having answers (in the sense of solutions) to the team’s problems. And until 2006 he had a reputation for getting his teams too wound up to play well in the World Series, and sometimes in the playoffs.
I mean, start by standing up and taking ownership of some of the bad decisions. Explain himself when he makes a bad move every once in a while. The players do… why doesn’t he?
That might make being a fan more palatable, but it wouldn’t necessarily get the A’s to win any more games.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
by Nick on Jul 15, 2009 11:19 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think we're of a similar mind on this
Let’s turn the question around – what has Bob Geren had to be pleased with this season?
I suspect if you asked him, he’d be dissapointed with the overall performance of his team, but he’d be happy with a few things:
1. the progress of some (not all) of the young players
2. on a pretty poor, losing team, he seems to have retained the support of the dressing room – players have not been coming out in public and criticising him
3. he’s managed to deflect the criticisms of a fanbase, used to success, becoming increasingly frustrated at being in year three of a tough rebuilding process, away from the young players and onto himself.
whether one considers these things to be accident or design, well, that’s not something that bothers me
by bobnothing on Jul 15, 2009 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
I think the one essential, do-or-die goal of the team this year is to develop the young pitchers successfully. If the young pitchers don’t make progress, nothing else matters much. They’re the team’s foundation for years to come. The A’s began this season with the least experienced Opening Day starting staff in over 30 years (IIRC, since the 1977 Brewers), and it’s gotten less experienced as the season has gone on (with Vin and Gio joining the staff). They also have a rookie (and now All-Star) closer.
Outman is now on the shelf, although I think Geren was pretty careful with him — remember Outman complaining in public about being pulled too early by Geren? One good thing to say about Geren is that he didn’t retaliate in public when Outman did that. But so far, Anderson, Cahill, Mazzaro, and Bailey have done well. Gio may have found this sea legs. Braden, who’s the grizzled vet, has been amazing.
It wouldn’t be crazy for Geren to believe that goals 1-10 of his season relate to those young pitchers. Other stuff matters, of course, but nothing matters more than that for the organization’s future. And I think he’s actually done a pretty good job with them so far.
And one other thing about dumping Geren — I would be really, really, really pissed off if the A’s got rid of Curt Young in any managerial change-over. I think the team needs to hold onto him.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
by Nick on Jul 15, 2009 12:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah, promoting Bailey to the closer role without pissing off ziegler, too
is something worth noting. though, it could well be a good reflection on Ziegler’s lack of ego, too.
I am a little concerned with how much Bailey has been used; hopefully he’ll get a little more rest as the season continues
by bobnothing on Jul 15, 2009 12:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Excellent Point
I think Suzuki probably deserves a lot of credit in bringing this staff along, too.
There is no "i" in Teamocil. At least not where you'd think.
by GreenNGoldSooner on Jul 15, 2009 3:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
Certain managers just seemed to convey a “nobody’s fool” mentality. For Dick Williams, a unifying factor that got his players attention in Oakland was there collective hatred of Charlie O. Finley. Nevertheless, we would hear of player brawls etc. which never got in the way of heady play in the field we saw from the Swingin’ A’s era.
Another factor which makes a manager’s job easier is when a group of players develop through the minors together. They have not had much success in Oakland developing position players lately. Once again we are still waiting for the next crop to shore up the infield in the next couple of years.
"I've been accused of using too many words...I suppose that's like accusing Mozart of using too many notes." Bill King
by Gerard on Jul 15, 2009 10:59 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rec'd
I think it just comes down to fans wanting to see tangible evidence that the personnel on the team (both manager and players) cares as much as they do. And since fans view the game from such a distance, it’s much easier to see this tangible evidence through the “fiery” managers and players, even though there’s really no evidence to suggest that “passive” managers and players don’t feel the same.
Anyways, thanks for being the voice of reason Nick.
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Jul 15, 2009 3:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fans wanting to see tangible evidence
Pedant that I am, I find this amusing. I wonder if other fans want to feel visible evidence.
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 6:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Must say, I'd rather see results
I kinda take it for read that the manager is working hard – there’s no way that he’d have reached the top of his field without hard work, and passion, and whatont – what really matters is wether that translates to results on the field.
I think it’d be terrible if a manager felt he had to put on a show to keep his job if things were going wrong
by bobnothing on Jul 15, 2009 6:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think some of these comments mistakenly suggest fans want "fire" or "tangible evidence"
when in fact they want to see more evidence of “high standards and accountability” than not. That has nothing to do with yelling and screaming, or taking things especially public.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 15, 2009 7:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How do you know that Bob Geren (or any manager) doesn't hold his players to "high standards and accountability" privately?
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Jul 15, 2009 7:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't. It doesn't stop me from having an opinion.
I also don’t see “high standards and accountability” reflected in who plays (“actions speak louder than words”) or in the level of focus, effort and intensity I have observed being put forward.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 15, 2009 7:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wow, I keep talking right past you, don't I?
I’m just making a wry etymological observation about seeing what is “tangible” and feeling what is “visible”.
Some days I feel like I’m on the wrong blog. I miss the game threads. Stupid all-star break.
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 11:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
TWSS
(Sorry, just trying to get you the Game Thread feel)
"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."
by mikev on Jul 15, 2009 11:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
ZOMBIES!
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 11:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
/cocks shotgun
"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."
by mikev on Jul 15, 2009 11:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I love that "tactically restrained" that's me under my present work team leader. sigh.
alaska A residing in northern Idaho.
by ak_A on Jul 15, 2009 6:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think I have a problem with
people trying to draw conclusions about whether Geren cares or not, or is a good motivator or not, based on what they see of HIM on tv.
There’s no real way of knowing what he’s thinking, what he’s saying to players – phrases like ‘he seems unemotional’, and the like, really don’t help in evaluating whether he’s good or not. It might make you feel better about a losing team to SEE a manager expressing your frustration, but does it really help the team? Or would you rather have someone who is able to make unemotional decisions based on what is best for the team, and who is able to follow tactics that have the best chance of producing a positive outcome?
The problem with evaluating managers (specifically in their ability to get the best out of the players they have) is that you really can’t do it until they’ve gone – does the team play better in their absence? or were they just terrible all along?
Clearly, there are some tangible factors – bullpen use, and the like, but how many wins do they really add to a team during a season?
by bobnothing on Jul 15, 2009 10:58 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
We can however,
guage a manager on his ability to communicate clearly with the fans. I thinks it’s fair to say that the fans have certain expectations concerning the teams level of play. We want to know what’s wrong, why it’s wrong, and what the manager intends on doing about it. Banal platitudes are bound to infuriate sooner or later….and that seems to be the extent of Bob’s ability to communicate. So by inference we can conclude that if he isn’t dealing straight with us, what makes us believe that he’s doing so with the players or the FO? Like it or not, it’s Bobs job to be the prick when it’s called for. Sure, he might get fired, but if the team continues to suck eggs, it’s inevitable that he will be fired sooner rather than later.
"You may glory in a team triumphant, but you fall in love with a team in defeat."--The Boys of Summer
by alox on Jul 15, 2009 11:06 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, I guess I don't really care about that
I mean, if a team is winning, I don’t really want to hear from the manager, and it it’s not, well, I’d rather he was trying to sort it out.
I really wouldn’t draw any conclusions on how he deals with the players by how he deals with the press. I’m pretty sure, whether this is the right tactic or not, he feels like he is trying to shield his young players from the slings and arrows, and that publicly undermining them won’t help either way.
to be honest, if they’re terrible, and they lose, I’m not going to care what reasons the manager comes up with afterwards. ability to deal with the press a good team manager does not guarantee
by bobnothing on Jul 15, 2009 11:11 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
One thing's for sure: player happiness ≠ managerial quality.
There are plenty of managers players love who don’t produce results on the field. And there are also managers players hate who do. As Nick says upthread: there’s no one style of managing that succeeds. Good managers come in all sorts of packages. But what the players think is only one of many important factors….and ultimately less important than what the players’ do.
There is no "i" in Teamocil. At least not where you'd think.
by GreenNGoldSooner on Jul 15, 2009 3:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Depends on the team
When it comes to what type of manager you want it depends on where your team is. I think the A’s need a detail-oriented manager who can teach the game and hold the the players accountable for their mistakes.
Bob Geren might be a better fit for a team that is established and just needs a manager to get out of the way.
by sirbed on Jul 15, 2009 11:18 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Intriguing post
Let’s not forget that Geren had some tough shoes to fill (from a wins-and-losses standpoint) at a time when the warranty on Beane’s Midas touch was running out (in terms of position player development). That said, I do agree with Nico and others that there are things that a manager can and should do- even a manager who has been dealt a lousy hand- to ensure that a culture of losing doesn’t become long-term.
I am sure Geren, like every other manager or head coach, has to realize the hot seat he is on (unless maybe he’s not on the hot seat at all). I don’t know. I’m kind of torn.
A manager needs time to instill a philosophy, to weed out the bad, to take ownership of the clubhouse. That can’t happen if he’s looking over his should waiting for the axe to fall. (Hmm, like Al Davis’ former coaches?) So maybe in that regard, Geren deserves a chance. But for how long?
Loved Nick’s comments. Thing about Williams- besides the fact that the talent was already in place- was that he held players accountable (whenever Finley let him anyway). Upon his arrival he stressed and demanded fundamentals. His players didn’t always love him, but they played like hell for him.
Not sure how much Dark contributed. I think I could have managed the ‘74 A’s, who were simply on auto-pilot. Then again Dark’s team won 98 games in ’75, the year after Catfish left.
Martin was in a win-win. The team before him lost 108 games. All he had to do was get a bunch of kids who were tired of being laughed at to buy into his system. OK, maybe it’s not as easy as it sounds.
Can’t really comment on the Wash thing without knowing the facts, but here’s a guy who was given the shot to put a plan in place and the time to execute it. I, for one, think he’s done great over there, but am hardly surprised.
I'm here to talk about the past.
by 67MARQUEZ on Jul 15, 2009 1:04 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
To have a great team, there must be a certain amount of volatility
Every great team ever had fights in the dugout. For some reason Beane has always been against that, going against the “head cases” (no kidding we made the playoffs because of MB, then got rid of him when he got too ignorant). This can go both ways though, Lou Pinella doesnt guarantee playoff success, but Tony LaRussa almost does. This is why LaRussa was the greatest manager we ever had in Oakland, he’s just non-traditional or quirky enough to be a presence, but hes not abrasive or over the top like Guillen or Lou. He’s an excellent tactician and maybe the best user of a bullpen the game has ever seen.
With the Ron Washington stuff, he clearly was the scapegoat for some really poor upper management decisions like making Cruz wait when he was clearly ready and trading away their best SP in years who was proving he could pitch well in TX (an outright rarity) for another hitter, who’s a good hitter, true, but this is TX and anyone can hit there, really. LUCKILY (for them, ugh) at this point they have pulled off the biggest r@pe trade ever in the haul they got from Atlanta so its a “no duh” they are playing better now because they got like 17 blue chip prospects for Teixiera and they are all coming up now. This happens so often in baseball where the manager is apparently “in charge” of getting hitters to hit and pitchers to pitch, where it should be on the player, 100%. Willie Randolph didnt deserve to get fired and neither did Manny Acta (by the way, go to firejoemorgan.com and search “Acta”, he’s been fired because apparently he’s too ahead of his time. Id kill to have him come in here and make a starting lineup based of OPS, ban bunting and stealing altogether or something like that.)
Geren is just an awful, awful manager because we went and got KNOWN talents and he went out of his way to not figure out that they were failing, such as to bat Out-Cab in the #2 hole all season, and Im guessing he was a part of whoever told Cust to forget about walks, and to quit watching pitches and swing away, therefore taking away what made Cust so valuable in the first place. The lineup on opening day should have went Sweeney-Cust-Holliday-Giambi-Buck-Suzuki-Ellis-Cabrera-3B. I dont think its ever really gone like that all year.
The pitching part I have no problem in and actually think he’s doing a great job in saving the young arms, and its not his fault Springer+Casilla are stinkin it up this year, but the offense was always the problem and he’s only added to that, not help it. A good manager would change the starting lineup based off slumps and surges, Geren has made us watch O-Cab go 0-5 and watching a max of 2 pitches per AB so many times this year its made my head hurt.
by PL78 on Jul 15, 2009 1:39 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
This always happens
When things aren’t going well, fans want the manager fired. It’s the typical emotional response. I don’t think any of us know if Geren is a good or bad yet. There have been too many injuries and we don’t know what’s going on behind the scenes.
Even if Geren is a bad manager.. how many games has he cost the team? 3-5? That not enough to make a huge difference this year. I believe Geren is signed for the next two years? If so, firing him now would cost the A’s money. There’s no point in doing that this year unless he is preventing the devolpment of the young players.
Do any of us know if it has been his decsion or Beane’s to keep Buck and Barton out of lineup? Unless we know that, I don’t see how we can blame Geren for the A’s miserable first half.
by McBain on Jul 15, 2009 1:49 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Bad calls and bad roster moves and bad pitcher management
I’d say 12 or 13 games
Optimistic...
by Porcupine on Jul 15, 2009 2:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No. It's more like 3-5 but that DOES matter
If these guys aren’t learning, now, that you scratch and claw for every win, that 3-5 wins matter even if you’re under .500, that every game at-bat every pitch matters, then they’re screwed in the future, when the ability level is higher. What do you mean that 3-5 wins don’t matter because they’re not very good anyway?
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 15, 2009 7:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I assume he's referring to the well-known fact
that in any year where the team doesn’t make the playoffs, winning is no longer better than losing. (In fact, it’s worse, since it results in a lower draft pick.)
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 11:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ron Washington
We should have kept Ron Washington. Period.
by mattortega on Jul 15, 2009 2:03 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Kept him as third base coach?
He was never our manager. How can you “keep” a guy who was never yours?
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 2:43 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Another vote for Scioscia.
Unpopular opinion here, I know, but I think the best manager in MLB is Mike Scioscia.
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 2:42 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Scioscia
I’m with iglew on this one. The Angels have been hit with death and injury and he’s kept that team going. It’s interesting what the Angels are doing down there as Scioscia has become the face of the team and he seems to have total control and job security.
He is unlike any manager the A’s have had since La Russa in that he manages the hell of a game and uses things we don’t see much during A’s games. I know many will point out how steals and other small ball tatics don’t work and I understand their argument and agree with lots of it but I do miss stolen bases as they’re fun to watch.
I’d rank Scioscia as the best manager in the American League and Tony La Russa the best manager in the National League. Ron Gardenhire should get some votes and it’s hard to argue with the success that Joe Torre has had the last 15 years. I know every poll of the players that Bobby Cox is always the winner so he can’t be left out and Terry Francona did something no Red Sox manager had done in 86 years.
It seems to me that there are more good managers in baseball then I can ever remember as only a handfull of guys seem really bad and I think that has to do with the fact that we don’t see as many retreads as we used to due to the fact that the GM’s a younger and don’t want guys who’ve failed before.
I wonder who is the worst manager? I know a lot of will say Geren and I think he has to rated towards the bottom but I don’t know if he’s the worst or not.
by sirbed on Jul 15, 2009 3:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Scioscia may "bunt and run too much,"
but the key is that he:
a. is unpredictable — he may do anything at any time, and partly as a result
b. he is the one in control of the game while you are the one reacting
In other words, you’re trying to figure out what he’s going to do, you’re pitching out, you’re throwing to first, you’re bringing the 3Bman in, you’re corner pitching on 3-0 just in case, etc. The Angels are a difficult and stressful team to play; unfortunately, the A’s simply are not.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 15, 2009 7:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The other manager can take a nap
when going against the A’s. They rarely push the game in anyway and while the “walk and whack” approach worked when they had guys who could hit homers is sure isn’t working now.
by sirbed on Jul 15, 2009 7:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hate that you're probably right.
I dislike the guy as much as possible, but he’s a hell of a manager.
"Bobby Crosby at third is a bit of an adventure. And not like, here’s some hidden treasure, what fun. More like, gah! poison ants!" --alea iacta est
by baseballgirl on Jul 15, 2009 3:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't like him either but I do respect what he's done.
by sirbed on Jul 15, 2009 3:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mike Scioscia
would have the A’s in first place right now after making all the adjustments last year. Scioscia is in it to win, not to dink around and work on the team like a work-in-progress year after year. There are some parts of the A’s that didn’t need fixing that got worked on at the expense of a few games here and there over and over until here we are now. Unnecessary late game shuffling of players. Changes in the rotation right off the start of the season. Making the closer role a competition instead of just making an outright deision. Not only does he keep the fans in the dark, he keeps the players in the dark as well. He is a young manager that will hopefully get better sooner than later. Beane put him in as manager, but he doesn’t give the same respect to the players as far as I can see. But, nobody knows because he doesn’t feel he has to discuss anything with anyone. When you start with something… anything, you ask yourself what works and you leave that alone. And you’re left with what doesn’t work and you work on fixing those things. He was given some pretty good tools to work with this year. But, he didn’t think so and he couldn’t make it work. The guys on the field right now are going to have to start winning despite the rookieness of our manager.
Optimistic...
by Porcupine on Jul 15, 2009 3:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rookieness?
Cool new word but I don’t know if Geren fits the bill as this is his 3rd year as a manager shouldn’t the training wheels be off by now? I rememeber writing earlier this year that I’d give Geren until the All Star break to prove his worth because that would be 2 1/2 seasons as a manager.
Well the proof is in and he stinks but he’s not going anywhere unless Billy Beane was lying in that interview he gave a week or so ago. At this point the season is over as it would be a miracle of biblical proportions for the A’s to make a playoff run so I say let Bobo run the string out but then get someone in there for next season who will hold the players more accountable and is a leader not a happy talking wet noodle.
by sirbed on Jul 15, 2009 4:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
They are still making trades
trying to build a team for this guy. You can tell they really want this to work out for him. All he has to do is win. How many weapons do you need? How many you gonna throw away?
Optimistic...
by Porcupine on Jul 15, 2009 4:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Clearly, the better word for describing non-rookie Bob Geren is
sophomoric.
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 5:57 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Moronic is my choice
"Paul Thomas is breaking something somewhere" ~jeepers
by OptimistPrime on Jul 15, 2009 6:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why?
Is he a hell of a manager? He usually has good to dominate pitching to work with. Maybe the credit should go to the pitching coach… or maybe their minor league system.
How can you tell if somone is a good manager? It can’t just be wins and losses.
by McBain on Jul 15, 2009 4:35 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
From what I can tell (and I watch a TON of Angels' games)
Scioscia will win at whatever cost. He’s not afraid to go for the extra base, the accidental hit; he forces defenses to make plays, he gets on the players that don’t hustle, and he is 100% behind his guys at all times. You won’t see another manager better at making SURE his guys get ‘their stats’; for example, if there is a save situation, he will grab it, even if it means pulling someone in the middle of an easy inning to get the closer in. It was no accident that K-Rod got as many saves as he did; Scioscia cherry-picked for him, and you’ve got to love that in a manager (of your team, of course).
He is the first one out of the dugout for any altercation with the umpire, or blown call; he will argue every point he can get, and he has absolutely no problem getting kicked out of a game when necessary for the team.
He is working with literally nothing right now; the pitching hasn’t been there this year, and two key players are on the DL; and the Angels are winning. Head to head, he outmanages Geren and Washington in most situations. Watch this upcoming series. Whiney Mikey drives me bonkers, but whatever he’s doing is working.
"Bobby Crosby at third is a bit of an adventure. And not like, here’s some hidden treasure, what fun. More like, gah! poison ants!" --alea iacta est
by baseballgirl on Jul 15, 2009 5:25 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Pumping up stats like saves is
actually one of the things I don’t like about Scioscia.
I think Scioscia is good because (unlike Geren) he’s smart. He’s got a really good awareness of everything that’s going on. Wherever there’s something he can do to help, he gets in there and does it; the rest of the time, he stays the hell out of the way and lets the players play.
I think the quality of a manager is more likely to come out in how often he loses a game, not how often he wins one. Scioscia is particularly good at not doing something stupid to blow a game. (Again, in contrast with Geren.)
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 6:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good point
on not losing the game as a manager. There is only so much you can do during the game as at the end of the day it comes down to the players making plays or not. I think what Scioscia has proven is that he’s good at putting his players in position to be successful.
The one area where Geren has an advantage on Scioscia though is his name is a hell of a lot easier to spell.
by sirbed on Jul 15, 2009 6:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
In this thread,
nine different posters have spelled Scioscia’s name correctly. That’s got to be a record for AN.
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 11:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"Scioscia is particularly good at not doing something stupid to blow a game."
Really? I like how you completely ignored this
Living in SoCal, I see numerous Angels games all the time. And trust me, he pulls stupid shit like that far more often than Geren does. Just curious, how often do you watch Mike Scioscia and his “tactics”? Or are you just basing assumptions like “He’s got a really good awareness of everything that’s going on” on the few A’s/Angels matchups you see every year, hearsay, some fluff piece by a sportswriter, or a combination of all of the above?
by Tripp on Jul 15, 2009 6:55 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well if your watching all those Angels games
maybe you haven’t seen all the stupid stuff Geren does because if you think Geren is in any way better then Scioscia your a party of one.
by sirbed on Jul 15, 2009 7:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Huh, never made the argument that Bob Geren > Mike Scioscia.
Please don’t put words on my mouth.
As a matter of fact, I don’t even find Bob Geren very good at managing at all, at least from a tactical standpoint. The whole thing with changings Cust’s approach, the horrible lineups, plus his seeming abhorrence for Buck and other young guys while continuing to give the crappy veterans playing time, etc etc….no, I don’t think he’s very good at all.
My issue is with this glorification of Mike Scioscia who, quite frankly, does not deserve it.
by Tripp on Jul 15, 2009 7:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
read what you wrote
“he pulls stupid s*** like that far more often then Geren does” You put the words in your own mouth.
by sirbed on Jul 15, 2009 7:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
To answer your question,
No, I don’t watch a lot of Angels game. Yes, my opinion is based primarily on indirect information and not very much of it at that.
I’m not pretending to be an authority on the relative merits of managers. Hell, half the guys in the NL I know absolutely zero about. I was just making conversation answering BBG’s question. I didn’t realize this was a stats thread where you’re not allowed to have casual opinions without hard evidence to back them up.
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 11:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What the hell does this have to do with stats?
If you noticed, I didn’t base my argument on stats at all, nor did I mention it anywhere. My observations of Scioscia are entirely empirical as are yours. And I’m not asking for “hard” statistical evidence or anything, but if you formulate an opinion on a message board, then you’re going to have to back it up one way or another. Shit, if I said something unpopular like “Bob Geren is the best manager in the major leagues” then guys like sirbed would jump on me in a second. Or is it only popular, community-accepted opinions like your Mike Scioscia comment which don’t need backing up?
by Tripp on Jul 15, 2009 11:52 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What it has to do with stats is
that it’s always in the stats threads where I hear people say things like,
if you formulate an opinion on a message board, then you’re going to have to back it up one way or another.
No, actually, I don’t. I like Mike Scioscia, and I think he’s a good manager. You responded by calling into question my opinion, and showed that it may be based on incomplete information. That’s your right, it’s perfectly appropriate, you made an excellent case, and I have no problem with that. But it does not oblige me to come up with any counter-argument beyond a simple, “Hm, OK. Well, I still think he’s a good manager.”
(Another phenomenon I often see in the stats threads is where one guy states an opinion, then another guy states a contrary opinion and backs it up better, but then rather than being satisfied just with having made a better case he insists on making an argument out of it. Hopefully that won’t happen here.)
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 16, 2009 2:29 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's not really the point anymore...
It’s fine that you believe in an idealistic view of a message board in which anyone could say whatever they want no matter how right or wrong, ridiculous or reasoned. But that’s not the way it goes here. You say you like Mike Scioscia. As it turns out, quite a few people agree with that opinion. Alright, cool, everyone’s happy. But what if in the next thread I say something like “Dana Eveland is the best pitcher in MLB.” Not as popular of an opinion right? Heck, even reading a few of your comments, I can tell you’re not the greatest Eveland fan either, like most on this board. If you or others challenged me on the issue, and I responded with a simple “that’s what I believe” would you honestly be satisfied with it? Or would you feel a greater urge to ridicule it? How do you think the majority of the board would react?
So my issue is this. Why am I obligated to justify my unpopular Dana Eveland opinion (or even my apparently unpopular opinion on Mike Scioscia) whereas you get leeway for your community approved opinion? Or does AN subscribe to the philosophy that because a lot of people agree with a certain opinion, that opinion is completely valid and does not require justification? Anyways not trying to start an argument, just starting discussion about a few points you brought up.
by Tripp on Jul 16, 2009 4:17 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wasn't aware you were being obligated
to defend your unpopular opinion of Dana Eveland.
I don’t usually feel an “urge to ridicule” those I disagree with, and if I do feel one I hope I’ll resist it, unless it can be done in a way that is clever and friendly rather than insulting and domineering. (This is exactly the sort of thing that makes me like the game threads better than the stat threads, even though in terms of actual subject matter I’d probably be more interested in the stats.)
As for “the majority of the board” and “that’s not the way it goes here”, of course I am well aware of the trend toward intellectual pugnacity on Internet forums. I would prefer AN to be less that way, not more.
By the way, in case it wasn’t clear, I have no problem with you calling me out on my opinion and showing that my “doesn’t lose games” claim is half-baked. Nor do I have any objection to our present discussion. I’m only objecting to the implication that I’m not allowed to have or express a half-baked claim in the first place.
A well-reasoned argument might very well change my mind about Scioscia. But I doubt one could change my mind about what sort of tone I prefer in AN discussions.
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 16, 2009 10:49 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Tripp this is sirbed and I'm gonna jump on you!
Just kidding take it easy Tripp this is just baseball we’re talking about and we all have opinions it’s just that mine are always right or is it that I’m always wrong I can never remember.
by sirbed on Jul 16, 2009 1:42 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not convinced
I like a manger who isn’t afraid to pinch hit with his back up catcher or pinch run with a pitcher or end up with an infielder playing the outfield.. things like that… but Geren has shown some of that ability.
Jumping out of the dugout to argue with an ump is fun for the fans but does it really make his players any better?
Would Scioscia motivate Holliday to play any better when Matt as plenty of $$$ reasons to be at his best? Would he be able to speed up Giambi’s bat? I’m skeptical. I think the A’s would probably be in last place this year no matter who was calling the shots. No Chavez, no Duke, no Devine, a bunch of rookie pitchers and next to nothing from the off season pick ups have made this season a mess.
I know the Angels have a bunch of injuries themselves but they also have a much better offense to work with worth. Do you really think Scioscia is the reason for all their .800+ OPS’s?
by McBain on Jul 15, 2009 6:39 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No manager
would have these A’s in first place but this is Geren’s third season and all they’ve had is losing records so far with him in charge.
by sirbed on Jul 15, 2009 6:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
McBain, it should be noted that this year
Scioscia began the season without Lackey or Santana or Escobar and then 3 days into the season Adenhart was killed. Vlad has gone down, Torii Hunter has gone down, Scot Shields has gone down, Kendrick and Arredondo have been ineffective.
He did all he needed to do, and all Geren needed to do, and that was keep his team around .500 for those first couple months. Whoever survived April and May was going to be in the catbird seat, and no way did the A’s have it harder than the Angels. No way.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 15, 2009 7:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
A's and injuries
This argument from the A’s is silly this year as every team goes through injuries and the A’s have not been hit as hard as many. Besides going into a season thinking Duke,Chavez and Reverse Ramon were going to stay healthy is nuts. All three of those guys are made of glass.
This is really one of the excuses I’m tired of hearing from the A’s. I’ve heard Beane say past injury history predicts future injuries so how come for three years now the A’s complain about the fact that their injury prone players get injured?
by sirbed on Jul 15, 2009 7:33 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
So which variable is more likely to have contributed to the Angels flourishing?
Mike Scioscia and his magic potion?
or…
The fact that Napoli, Rivera, Figgins, Hunter, Abreu, and Morales all have OPS+s over 110? And Jered Weaver and Joe Saunders’s great first half?
It’s much easier to keep your team around .500 when 6 of your regulars are OPSing over 100 as opposed to 1 (Holliday). Or do you want to argue that it’s BECAUSE of Scioscia that those guys are having career years?
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Jul 15, 2009 7:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I am going to argue that it is absolutely possible
for a player or players to flourish more under one leader and less under another. Did every teacher/coach you had bring out the same in you? Players aren’t stratomatic cards, period. It’s actually why I love the game so much.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 15, 2009 7:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Perhaps, perhaps not.
There can be a host of reasons why players succeed or don’t succeed. My point is that it’s too rash to focus on one variable (in this case, the manager) as the reason why such and such happened when they are other, perhaps less confounding, more likely, variables to consider.
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Jul 15, 2009 7:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Scioscia
has had 7 winning seasons in 9 years with 5 teams that made the playoffs so does Scioscia get any credit for that lenscrafters? Of course players are the most important thing but managers do matter.
by sirbed on Jul 15, 2009 8:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You know, I was gonna respond to this by saying it's probable that most managers can string together a bunch of winning seasons if their teams have been consistently as good as the Angels have been in the 00s
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Jul 15, 2009 9:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oops accidently hit post button, rest of the post coming up...
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Jul 15, 2009 9:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
But it’s probably not enough to convince what appears to be a sudden awakening of Scioscia fans here on AN.
Anyways, one of the few (rather crude) ways we can evaluate manager performance is to see how much their teams differ in their expected wins to overall wins. If a manager’s teams regularly and overwhelmingly overperform their expected wins (in this case, we’ll use pythag for expected wins), then I guess it stands to reason that the manager has had some influence over their team’s overperformance.
Of course, there’s a large number of reasons why teams could overperform or underperform but for the sake of this exercise, let’s just assume it’s only because of the manager.
From 00-08, Scioscia’s teams have posted pythags of…
00 +1
01 -2
02 -2
03 -3
04 +1
05 +2
06 +5
07 +4
08 +12
For an overall of +18. Pretty damn good right? But be wary of the +12 in 08. It’s literally impossible for a manager to singlehandedly add 12 wins to a team (otherwise, sign him immediately to a 50 million dollar a year contract because he would be the Holy Grail of how to win games). Rather, anytime a team differs this much from their pythag you can attribute it to a host of factors, with absurd luck being at the forefront. If we take this outlier from the data, the Angels are at +6.
Meanwhile, let’s compare them to the A’s who have had a similar run of success at a similar period of time.
From 00-08, The A’s pythags…
00 -1
01 -2
02 +7
03 +2
04 +5
05 -5
06 +8
07 -3
08 -1
For an overall of +10. Still pretty good but definitely less than the Angels +18. If we indeed take this data at face value, then we would conclude that Scioscia has been
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Jul 15, 2009 9:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
itchy posting finger again...
about 8 wins better than the “anti Scioscias” (Howe, Geren, and Macha) over a 9 year period. However, remember, we’re only assuming one variable for the reason why over/underperformance is occuring: the manager. In reality there are a host of reasons. And of course, if you take out the Angels fluky 08, their overall pythag drops to +6 which compares unfavorably to the A’s +10. Nevertheless though, how much you’re willing to attribute to the manager will depend on your own notions of which factors trump others (is it more because of manager skill, or is it more because of luck, or is it more because of great bullpens, etc etc?) Feel free to draw your conclusions from the data.
Sorry for the disjointed post. It’s what I get for typing in a hurry.
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Jul 15, 2009 9:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thank you
This is what I was thinking of looking at but have been swamped.
by Future Ed on Jul 16, 2009 12:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I also forgot to note that it's perfectly normal for the A's and Angels of the 00s to overperform their pythag
because teams with good records generally do win more games than what their run differential would indicate. And as such, teams with losing records generally underperform their pythag. Therefore, it might be a bit premature to look at the A’s underperformance relative to their pythags the past three years and attribute it to Geren.
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Jul 16, 2009 3:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Too many variables
There are so many variables. Of course managers or pitching coaches or hitting coaches can affect how a player performs in any given season. A team consists of individual players, some of whom perform better under one kind of management, some under another.
But let’s look at the A’s under a manager like Scioscia: Cust would’ve been benched for poor play in the field and for some very bad at bats. Giambi would barely be playing and most likely Scioscia would’ve demanded Barton be brought up. I have a feeling Buck would’ve gotten more of a shot. Obviously I’m guessing, but some of management’s odder moves wouldn’t be happening the way they’re happening.
by richwol1 on Jul 16, 2009 9:28 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Unpopular?
Why yes.
Factual?
Why yes indeed.
"You may glory in a team triumphant, but you fall in love with a team in defeat."--The Boys of Summer
by alox on Jul 15, 2009 3:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Totally OT
but seems this is where everyone is – if you’ve got Comcast, Stockton Ports are on channel 104. Ross is pitching!
baseball!
by bobnothing on Jul 15, 2009 5:12 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
except, it appears not to be live.
weird.
by bobnothing on Jul 15, 2009 5:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Zombie Ports!
There is no "i" in Teamocil. At least not where you'd think.
by GreenNGoldSooner on Jul 15, 2009 5:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
big Billy B interview
on Chronicle Live tonight at 9 & 11 pm, CSN Bay Area, just trying to hip everyone to that fact in case you didn’t know =)
As per what I want in a manager, I’d like someone who at the end of the day isn’t so available to criticism in such an obvious way, i.e. someone who wasn’t the GM’s best man or whatever. The worst part of all of this isn’t the results (because I still believe the results are just temporary and a couple of years from now these pitchers will carry the day and the team back to some semblance of its former prominence with the added attraction of anything that might outperform a single-A offense on board by then), but how easy it is to dismiss and how foolish it makes the franchise look… and a foolish-looking franchise doesn’t help to attract the kind of exemplary staff (managers, coaches or players) that takes your team where it needs to go, which in this case is at least out of the current pathetic oh-well-at-least-we’re-better-than-the-“Natinals” territory which makes me ashamed to wear this jacket right now and has me thinking about putting a green-and-gold-gilded bag on my head when I go to a game.
By this I mean the facility BB left himself open to look like a nepotistic schmuck making personally-biased decisions (that is, ones based on personal relationships and not sound & objective analysis of those decisions’ impact on the product) where once sober baseball logic and innovatory staff-search procedures held sway. For me the dopiest thing BB did was allow Rene Lachemann to escape… jeez he should be our manager because when that guy’s around is the only time we have a prayer of winning squat but high draft choices, I swear. Those notebooks of charts he kept, which were the Holy Oracle of where every batter in MLB hits every pitch of what variety on every conceivable count? That’s the only damn reason we ever won a-n-y-t-h-i-n-g, at least in this decade anyway…. remember all those inning-ending, laser-speed 150 mph line drives the other team would hit with 2 outs and the bases loaded, right to Chavez or the outfielders or whoever? They were there to turn all those 3-run doubles into inning-ending outs for no other reason than because Lach put ‘em there, believe it. Of course, for the last time we won the ring (and went to 3 straight WS) I needn’t remind you who the 3rd base coach in fact was, need I? Lach actually began managing — in 1973 — in the Oakland minor league system.
It shocks, astounds, amazes and blows my funky mind that such a stat-heavy, numbers-n-probability -obsessed gaggle o’geeks like BB and his pals wouldn’t have made the obvious correlation of what effect those charts had and the general impact of the presence of Lach and how well he really fit in with that kind of on-field extension of observable and applicable statistic models in his approach like that. When you add the idea that (and this is more key to how we do on the field than a lot of us, IMO, really acknowledge) we are the only team in MLB that plays on a field with (because of the immense foul ground) almost 1 1/2 times more playable surface area than the others, with the resultant many-more-chartable-and-maybe-catchable balls that generates in our yard, and we really gotta have someone back on that case if we’re doing all we can to win, I think.
I could sit here and run down the million-and-six pitchers, from Dennis Eckersley to Kenny Rogers, who had tremendous success on the Coli field in some not-insignificant part because they were pitchers who sawed off a lotta guys around the plate and provoked/induced tons of weak little side pops that would have been in the seats in any normal facility but were caught for outs here. If it sounds whacko, take a second and think of the look on Matt Hollidaze face everytime he fouls out to first or third, and how if you could see his inner thoughts at those moments writ large on the Diamondvision, he’d be saying (between expletives) that he wishes Jesus would come rescue his from what he surely must believe by now is the anti-Coors Field of his worst contract year nightmares.
I know this sounds like myopic, facile geekery and I am surely not implying that this is the be-all and end-all of what we need to focus on to get back on the right track, but IMO it’s maybe more essential than it might appear at first blush, and it sure doesn’t hurt that this very experienced baseball manager guy, who has already worked for us several times with immense success, is one of the leading proponents of the approach and would in all likelihood be available (he coaches in the minors for Colorado now) to take the reins from Geren, I am just sayin ;)
Hey, I just bought the team from Lew Wolff... who wants to play third?
by emperor nobody on Jul 15, 2009 7:03 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Interestingly, Matt Holliday's
OBP, slugging percentage, and OPS are all slightly better at home than on the road.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 15, 2009 7:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
his pure numbers might be better
but they are still so drastically below his proven, normal output of years past that you have to, after half a season, start to look for reasons why beyond the regular sort of contract-year, bad-team jinxes.
Hey, I just bought the team from Lew Wolff... who wants to play third?
by emperor nobody on Jul 15, 2009 7:42 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Right, I just think it's interesting that
when you compare 2009 Holliday’s hitting at home and 2009 Holliday’s hitting away from Oakland, it turns out he has actually hit a little better at home.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 15, 2009 7:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
who knows why that is
maybe he presses even harder on the road. Somehow I can’t help but think if we had a 3-game series at Coors with the Rocks he’d wake up, just in time.
Hey, I just bought the team from Lew Wolff... who wants to play third?
by emperor nobody on Jul 15, 2009 7:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Isn't that consistent with his pattern?
At Coors he hit better at home, but his home-away difference was far less than it is for most players. Now he moves from an extreme hitter’s park to an extreme pitcher’s park, and he hits slightly better at home even though most players don’t in this park. Seems to me that what is consistent here is that Matt Holliday hits X amount better when he’s home; the only change is the that park factor is pushing that X the opposite direction now.
The obvious check would be to look at his OPS+ (which is adjusted for park, right?) splits at home and away for this year and prior years and see it they’re roughly consistent. I tried that on Baseball Reference, but for some reason it skips OPS+ on the splits page and instead offers up fancier variations of OPS that I don’t understand.
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 15, 2009 11:42 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"His home and away difference was far less than it is for most players"
I admit I don’t know what the average Home/Away split is across the majors, but Holliday’s splits are huge: .067 higher BA, .066 higher OBA (meaning his BB rate is the same), and .174 higher SLG at home.
Home OPS: 1.042
Road OPS: .801
And those numbers take this year into account. His 2007 splits (when he almost won the MVP) were Home OPS: 1.157, Road OPS: .958 — a split of almost 200 points.
Manny Ramirez’s career H/R splits are Home OPS: 1.018, Road OPS: .996
Chase Utley’s are Home OPS: .941, Road OPS: .883
Albert Pujols’s are Home OPS: 1.067, Road OPS: 1.048
Notice that Holliday in Coors Field has a higher career OPS than ManRam or Utley do at home, and is nearly as high as Pujols. But that while those 3 maintain their production on the road, Holliday’s collapses.
Oh, one more comp:
Todd Helton: Home OPS: 1.106, Road OPS: .888
A bigger drop-off than the non-Rockies’ comps, but smaller than Holliday’s.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
by Nick on Jul 16, 2009 7:48 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
When we obtained Holliday, I thought I remembered hearing
that although he did hit better in Coors, just as everyone did, his road record was even more impressive.
Maybe I’m remembering that wrong. Or maybe I did hear it, but it was BS.
What we really need to test this is more comps like Helton, ie, others who play at Coors. Comparing Holliday’s home-road splits to those of Pujols, Utley, etc, doesn’t tell us whether we’re just measuring the fact that Coors is a more extreme park.
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 16, 2009 10:53 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
We knew going in Holliday was an average 1st half player and a blistering 2nd half one. Why are people even talking about his year, which is going just about exactly to plan so far?
Its Giambi+Cabrera who have been the dismal failures so far. And Cust hasnt been himself either. If we get 850+ OPSs from G-Man and Cust and 700 from O-Cab, we are in a pennant race right now, simple as that.
by PL78 on Jul 16, 2009 12:23 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Two Words
Rickey. Henderson.
In matters of style, swim with the current; in matters of principle, stand like a rock. ~ Thomas Jefferson
by ZacharyCF on Jul 15, 2009 7:51 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Rickey should are be managing the team cuz
he would be is a good communicatorian?
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jul 15, 2009 8:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Haha....can you imagine?!?!??
"Bobby Crosby at third is a bit of an adventure. And not like, here’s some hidden treasure, what fun. More like, gah! poison ants!" --alea iacta est
by baseballgirl on Jul 15, 2009 8:35 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hahahahaha!!!
Thanks for the comic relief
PREPAREDNESS_Because those goddamn zombies aren’t going to kill themselves
by adragon on Jul 16, 2009 12:07 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rickey likes it when Rickey is the manager
because Rickey knows that Rickey knows baseball.
by sirbed on Jul 16, 2009 1:35 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
A's Managers
Ok, let’s take the A’s three best seasons this decade…. 2001, 2002, and 2006.
Would the A’s have done better or worse if Geren managed those teams? If so, why?
Would they have done better or worse with Scioscia? If so, why? and please don’t tell me Jeremy Giambi would have slid and been safe. He was going to be out either way.
by McBain on Jul 15, 2009 9:38 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
The one managerial move that would have mattered there would have been pinch-running with Byrnes
Assuming, that is, that he would have remembered to touch the plate.
Also, not to get all WinExpy on everyone, but that run would have only tied the game. It’s not like it would have ended the series or anything. The A’s would have had a runner on 2nd (maybe 3rd if Long kept running, I don’t know whether he did) with 2 outs in the 7th of a tie game. That’s not a 50-50 situation, but it couldn’t be more than a 60-40 advantage to the A’s — and the Yankees had a very good bullpen back then.
Game 3 in Boston was way worse, because the A’s stupid and sloppy play gave the Red Sox their only run until the 11th, and cost the A’s 2 or 3 more runs, as well. If they had just played like a major-league team and not the Bad News Bears, Lilly would have won a 3-0 or 4-0 shutout. And Huddy wouldn’t have gotten hurt in the bar fight that night, and would have started Game 1 of the ALCS.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
by Nick on Jul 16, 2009 7:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It always gets me that people forget the "no slide" would have only tied the game and not won it
I think the A’s would have won that game had they done so. The Yankees had a good pen, but we know based on Torre’s usage patterns that Rivera would have never entered the game unless the Yankees were ahead and thus the hitters would not have faced him in the 8th/9th innings (or beyond).
There is no gravity - the earth just sucks.
by JLeverenz on Jul 16, 2009 9:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Would have been out
Why does everyone assume Jeremy Giambi would have safe had he slid??? The throw beat him and Posada quickly brought glove down in front of the plate. He would have slid right into his glove.
The reason Jeremy didn’t slide was he thought the ball was going to be cut properly and get to Posada even sooner…. he was getting ready to take Posada out.
The only chance Giambi had was to do one of those slides where you miss the plate with your body and then reach and tag the plate with you hand at the last possible moment. I don’t think he was athletic enough to do that.
by McBain on Jul 16, 2009 11:47 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, I was hypothesizing about the impact of another manager on that team
Another manager might have pinch-run for Giambi with Eric Byrnes. Byrnes would definitely have beaten the relay throw, probably pretty easily.
On the other hand, Howe had legitimate reasons for leaving Giambi in the game. He’d been swinging well against Mussina, which was hardly the norm that game. Byrnes that year was not a good hitter, especially against RH. It wouldn’t have been fun to watch him face Mussina or Jeff Nelson or Rivera in a key situation. And there were 2 outs and Giambi was on 1st — the chances of a play happening in which Giambi would be out but Byrnes would be safe were incredibly small — basically, TLong’s 2B percentage, reduced because he was facing a dominant Mussina, and further reduced because some 2Bs would easily score Giambi.
"And Julio Franco is batting right-handed!" -- Wayne Hagin, A's radio play-by-play, mid-80s
by Nick on Jul 16, 2009 8:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rumor that the Mets are going to make a play for Holliday;
http://www.faketeams.com/2009/7/16/951248/mlb-trade-rumors-why-the-new-york
I still think Beane will have a steep asking price…
Heavy tuna, heavy onions, heavy!!!!
"Where's the beef?"
by MMunoz33 on Jul 16, 2009 8:03 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
That article says the opposite
Holliday apparently wants to play with the slegnA. He has a house in Laguna and his family love it down here.
I don’t know why but it appears that nearly every player the slegnA acquire thru trade or free agency seems to get that much better.
I think Holliday should go back to the inferior league myself .
As far as our manager goes. it appears Beane does not have the common sense to override his ego and get rid of this non motivating wimp. We need a Jim Leyland, Lou Piniella type to rip these players a new one. Just reading in the Chronicle about how former players note the higher energy levels on their new teams.
These players have been babied by this pathetic excuse for a manager and it shows in their effort.
My favorite team is a fucking embarrassment to all true A's fans and they make me sick to my stomach on an almost daily fucking basis. But being a true fan, I will ride this pathetic bunch of losers out and hope that they get better in 2010
by Trainman on Jul 16, 2009 9:53 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
your signature says it all...
I’m with you about your post even though we may get hit with the; “waving the Mr. Negative Flag”.
"Where's the beef?"
by MMunoz33 on Jul 16, 2009 10:00 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm a negative person in general so it really doesn't bother me.
"Where's the beef?"
by MMunoz33 on Jul 16, 2009 10:06 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks
All I want for now is to beat the slegnA and it will take an absolute miracle to beat them 4 games in a row. They better come out firing.
Beating the slegnA down is almost like a mini WS for me. That is as close to a WS as we are going to get as long as Geren is running this team. 1 run games are an indication of the manager to me and we suck in that department. How many of our losses in 1 run games can be atributed to that idiot and not firing up the players and or making plain dumb decisions like pulling offensive players for PR’s etc and pulling SP’s a little early and bringing in imploders etc etc.
My favorite team is a fucking embarrassment to all true A's fans and they make me sick to my stomach on an almost daily fucking basis. But being a true fan, I will ride this pathetic bunch of losers out and hope that they get better in 2010
by Trainman on Jul 16, 2009 10:14 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
sigline
It also guarantees that you’re an instant ban if you ever want to post to Halos Heaven.
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 16, 2009 10:56 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This would be true
My favorite team is a fucking embarrassment to all true A's fans and they make me sick to my stomach on an almost daily fucking basis. But being a true fan, I will ride this pathetic bunch of losers out and hope that they get better in 2010
by Trainman on Jul 16, 2009 11:45 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Excellent...
article by Monte Poole on the A’s. Concise, accurate and to the point. It rarely gets mentioned in here about how serious the mistakes of resigning Chavez rather than Tejada and the signing of Esteban Loiza were and the lasting negative effect they have had on the organization. Has anyone noticed that Miggy is currently leading the NL in hits and doubles? I guess his age isn’t nearly as important as BB thought it was.
by Keystone State on Jul 16, 2009 11:45 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Disagree
Calling the decision to sign Chavez over Tejeda is complete hindsight bias. Both were promising players, and BB definitely had reasons to go with Chavez over Tejeda. Noone could have predicted the injuries that ruined that contract.
Loaiza posted a solid 3.77 ERA the year prior to Oakland signing him. His contract was far from ridiculous, although it did turn out to be a bad signing. Also, the A’s were competitive in 2 out of his 3 years here, so clearly the contract didn’t hurt that team severely.
Poole’s article almost completely ignores the fact that the A’s are rebuilding.
"True fact: In a global thermonuclear war, the only human who would survive would be David Eckstein" -PT
by travdog6 on Jul 16, 2009 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Talk about spin
The decision to sign Chavvy is not complete hindsight bias. Chavez had been in the majors for six years and while he’d become an outstanding defensive third baseman, he’d never made the step up required to be a superstar. At best, the idea that some day he’d put it all together for a season was wishful thinking. On the other hand, Tejada had just had two monster seasons and was at his peak. He was not a promising player, he was a player who was delivering. We won’t even talk about the enthusiasm/leadership quotient.
Loaiza was a crapshoot as well. He’d been up and down, had that one sensational year. A lot of people at the time thought it was a risky signing because dude was a headcase. His signing hurt the team because that money could have been better used either for those years or for the future. So you’re quite wrong about that.
Poole’s article almost completely ignores the fact that the A’s are rebuilding because he focuses on the lousy drafting and developing prior to the latest rebuilding effort. Poole makes an extremely good point: the best Oakland prospects over the past few years either didn’t pan out or they worked out after going elsewhere. This points to a major problem within the organization, which is either its internal scouting or its internal process of development, one of the two. And that falls on Beane.
Poole also notes, correctly, that you NEVER hire your best friend for a job where you’ll almost certainly have to fire him, because managers almost always get fired.
by richwol1 on Jul 16, 2009 12:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Correct richwol1
We wouldn’t be rebuilding if Beane knew how to draft in hitting department in the first place
My favorite team is a fucking embarrassment to all true A's fans and they make me sick to my stomach on an almost daily fucking basis. But being a true fan, I will ride this pathetic bunch of losers out and hope that they get better in 2010
by Trainman on Jul 16, 2009 12:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
More than just drafting
If the A’s had kept Andre Ethier, Mark Teahen and Nelson Cruz, they wouldn’t have needed to trade Dan Haren or Joe Blanton for prospects. Harden, I think, would have been traded under any circumstance.
Beane has made a few awesome deals and decisions over the past few years that he should be given credit for: He connived Mark Ellis out of the Rangers; he picked up Dan Haren in the Mulder trade; he pulled Scott Hatteberg off the scrap heap. He also drafted Suzuki, but that was more a case of a lucky sleeper pick; no one expected Suzuki to surpass either Powell or Brown on the depth chart.
But he’s had to become the Fred Astaire of GMs, dancing his way around the room, because the A’s farm system, at the position player level, has been such a screw-up.
by richwol1 on Jul 16, 2009 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Um, I'm not sure you know what you're talking about re: Ellis
Mark Ellis was acquired in a 3 team trade with Tampa and KC. In that trade, we also added Johnny Damon and Cory Lidle. The cost to acquire those three guys was Ben Grieve, AJ Hinch, and Angel Berroa.
Also, calling out Beane for not holding onto Nelson Cruz is about as valid as saying he’s an idiot for not keeping Carlos Pena.
"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."
by mikev on Jul 16, 2009 12:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, I do know...just got the wrong team
You’re right about where Ellis came from. But my position that Beane sneaked him in as a throw-in is still accurate.
As for Nelson Cruz - Carlos Pena was a quick trade to find a first baseman in the majors. When he didn’t immediately pan out, he was dumped. Cruz was in the A’s organization, on his way up the depth chart, when he was traded. I remember at the time that a lot of people were talking about his potential at the time. He could’ve remained within the organization until he finally broke through. Oakland was just a whistle-stop on the Pena tour.
by richwol1 on Jul 16, 2009 1:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
However....
It’s very possible Nelson Cruz would’ve been gone by the time he did break through. I was just giving examples of how the problem was more than drafting, but that it also involved internal scouting and/or development. The A’s COULD HAVE avoided trading Haren and Blanton, and maintained their status as a contender if they hadn’t made a series of questionable choices on who to trade and who to keep. It wasn’t just the drafting.
by richwol1 on Jul 16, 2009 1:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
...and....
When the Bradley trade came up, insofar as I remember, the reason the A’s were willing to give up Ethier is because they had Buck in the wings. In hindsight, assuming this was a choice, had the A’s traded Buck instead of Ethier, where would the team be today? Obviously we can’t know, but we also have to ask that had it been Buck instead of Ethier, would Buck’s career have not skidded to a stop, and would Ethier now be sitting in Sacramento, like Buck is, after having his own career trampled in Oakland? In other words, how much is Ethier’s continued success resting on the shoulders of the Dodgers’ organization, and how much is Buck’s failure resting on the shoulders of Billy Beane’s A’s?
by richwol1 on Jul 16, 2009 1:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well..
Ethier kinda came out of nowhere and had an awesome season in the minors. Maybe they gambled that they were selling high on him and lost.
I blame Buck 100% on management and the Front Office. They won’t let the guy fucking play.
"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."
by mikev on Jul 16, 2009 3:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Cruz was looking like a career minor leaguer when he was dealt.
And, in fact, was traded by Milwaukee to Texas.
"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."
by mikev on Jul 16, 2009 3:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sure is
and it sure does land in Beane’s lap.
This is all on him.
With the declining offense over the last 6 years, Beane gets a G for Godawful not an F. An F is too kind.
This is my opinion and that is it.
My favorite team is a fucking embarrassment to all true A's fans and they make me sick to my stomach on an almost daily fucking basis. But being a true fan, I will ride this pathetic bunch of losers out and hope that they get better in 2010
by Trainman on Jul 16, 2009 12:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The A's are rebuilding
Yes.
In one area they are. Pitching.
Hitting. NO. It’s getting worse.
We have some promising hitters in minors but they seem to be for 2010 and beyond but Beane also needs to address 2010 and beyond by obtaining by what ever means necessary, more hitting. To rebuild properly he is going to have to make a few trades which bring back a 3rd baseman and others that can have the potential to make this club go from the sorry state it is now, to a contender.
My favorite team is a fucking embarrassment to all true A's fans and they make me sick to my stomach on an almost daily fucking basis. But being a true fan, I will ride this pathetic bunch of losers out and hope that they get better in 2010
by Trainman on Jul 16, 2009 12:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Step 1: Fire Geren!!! (F*ck)
"Where's the beef?"
by MMunoz33 on Jul 16, 2009 1:30 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It’s too bad Beane didn’t get along with Macha.
by 49er16 on Jul 16, 2009 2:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Do you think Macha would be doing much better...
….with this team?
I’m all in favor of letting Geren go, but I don’t think Macha would be the answer.
Macha won with teams that had strong clubhouse leaders. This team lacks them. And though I think Macha is, overall, a less bad manager than Geren, I’m not sure his bullpen managements style would help bringing the young pitchers along.
There is no "i" in Teamocil. At least not where you'd think.
by GreenNGoldSooner on Jul 16, 2009 3:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Or ... too bad he did get along.
If they didn’t kiss and make up after the 2005 season, maybe the A’s would have hired Ron Washington then.
"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan
by iglew on Jul 16, 2009 6:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

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