What is a fair trade... Holliday to the Giants
My friends and I were discussing what deal could be made with the Giants for Holliday. Half of us were A's fans while the other half were Giants fans.
At first, we (the A's) offered Holliday, Kennedy, and an RP (Springer or Wuertz) + the A's pick up about 8MM of the remaining Holliday and RP's contract. In return, the Giants would offer Alderson, Bumgarner or Posey... and we conceded that the Giants would consider Posey and MadBum untouchable. There really is nobody else in the Giants system worth talking about.
They (the Giants) proclaimed that there was "no way in hell" they'd accept this deal, in spite of the fact that it would drastaically improve their chances for the wild card.
So we countered again, this time offering Kennedy, Braden, and Holliday for Alderson. We hadn't quite nailed out this trade to equal it out, so we may have to include cash to make it more fair, or even remove Kennedy from the table.
The second trade allows the Giants to find a cost controlled SP to work into their lower half of the rotation for the next few years, lessening the loss of Alderson from their 2011 pitching rotation. It allows the Giants to plug holes in their rotation (removing Sanchez) and beef up the middle of the order.
I want to throw this out to AN to see what is considered a fair deal... or if a fair deal is impossible to reach.
0 recs |
220 comments
Comments
You're offering Kennedy, Holliday, AND Braden for Tim Alderson?
Are you really an A’s fan?
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Jun 23, 2009 11:56 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
for real...
I would rather keep Holliday and get picks than do a deal with Satan…
"Where's the beef?"
by MMunoz33 on Jun 24, 2009 12:05 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It seems like people are WAAAAY
overvaluing prospects these days. Don’t get me wrong, it’s fun to speculate what a prospect could develop into in the future, but damn….this is just ridiculous. For every Tim Lincecum that comes into the majors, there’s a great many more Todd Van Poppels and Brien Taylors.
by AEP2007 on Jun 24, 2009 12:28 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Totally agree... too many people get too starry-eyed over prospects.
If you’re close to winning… and I’m not convinced the Giants really are that close right now, this year… but if you are, then you have to do something to go for it. That doesn’t mean mortgage the future, but keeping an eye to the future does not necessarily mean passing up an opportunity that may not come again. Just look at Cleveland the last couple years to see that being promising one year means squat for subsequent years.
Some of the trades proposed above would be too one-sided in the Giants’ favor… and would rape the A’s to the point of potentially derailing their future… for the Giants to ignore if they were serious about contending this year.
Back then, my idol was Bugs Bunny, because I saw a cartoon of him playing ball - you know, the one where he plays every position himself with nobody else on the field but him? Now that I think of it, Bugs is still my idol. You have to love a ballplayer like that.
~Nomar Garciaparra
by UncleLeo on Jun 24, 2009 8:06 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Perhaps a good way to look at it is that
if things roll right, Alderson could turn out to be as valuable as…Braden. Or he could flame out.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 8:45 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
is Alderson much different from Cahill or Anderson at this point in their career
I’ve been around this board long enough to see that there has been little doubt that these 2 players would be aces for 6+ years. These discussions have made it over to minorleagueball.com where AN posters have been proclaiming Cahill the next Brandon Webb for sometime.
All prospects can fail or succeed. In the case of Anderson and Cahill, it appears we have been spot on. Alderson is approximately equivalently regarded.
Perhaps the cash was unnecessary in the trades, that was the point of the discussion.
by echerrst on Jun 24, 2009 9:25 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
One difference between Cahill and Anderson, and Alderson,
is at what level they have succeeded. But sure, Alderson may well be another Cahill/Anderson, but Braden already is. Had Braden developed as I and most thought he would, and were a “solid #4 starter,” sure you make that trade. But Braden is a very, very good major league pitcher, basically a guy without “#2 starter upside” who has gotten there anyway.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Alderson doesn't have the stuff of either Cahill or Anderson.
He is however a very good pitching prospect.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 11:13 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I finally got back to you on the 3B thread, don't know if you saw it
The monster at the end of this blog.
by grover on Jun 24, 2009 6:52 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
oh snap will go there
I enjoy debating you very much, and would like your opinion on the Mets packages I proposed if you are so inclined.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 7:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No way in hell I trade Dallas Braden now!
Dude is the glue of the staff and he is a true “character”.
Pepe stays and that is final! Screw the Giants!
Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox
by mrod on Jun 24, 2009 4:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
And it seems to me that people are way undervaluing Holliday. Removing that tough first month, he would be batting a nice .280 with a OPS over .800. The Giants would kill to have Matt Holiday batting behind Sandoval. Giving up our best SP and one of our better RP or our 2B catalyst to boot would be insanely ludicrous. Give me the draft picks.
by asyouwish33 on Jun 24, 2009 10:23 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wow
You want to give up three major leaguers for one prospect? There’s a decent chance that Alderson never becomes even as good as Braden is now.
Holliday practically guarantees two 1st round picks. He will surely be a Type A FA and he will be near the top of the class. That means that if a team signs Holliday and another Type A, Holliday’s team will get the 1st round pick. And with NYY, NYM, and BOS all needing LFers in the offseason, it’s almost sure a team in the top 15 in the standings will sign Holliday. And despite what Buster Olney thinks, Holliday WILL be offered arbitration. Point being, there would need to be multiple things to go wrong for Holliday to not grant two 1st rounders.
You know when Alderson was drafted? With the 22nd pick. About what the A’s could get simply by offering arbitration in the offseason. Obviously, Alderson has improved his stock since 2007. Enough to add Braden (and Kennedy) to the deal plus losing the supplemental pick (about equivalent to Josh Donaldson)? No thanks, I’ll take the picks.
If Holliday (and Kennedy/Wuertz/Cabrera) doesn’t net Alderson+, the Giants can look elsewhere.
"Loyal? I'm the most loyal player money can buy." - Don Sutton
by vignette17 on Jun 24, 2009 12:40 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Zito
Watch the Giants fall into a deep, deep slump and sign Holliday during the offseason. With the Zito thing. The Barnett thing. You can never count on getting a 1st Round Pick. Plus, teams are really starting to value the draft Big Time.
I would never do the trade stated above, but If you could land Alderson + 2 B Prospects… plus onload the Cash remaining on Holliday’s contract. Not a bad thing at all. Plus it frees up some cash to sign some of our tougher draft picks – Green, Krol, Dyson, Leyland – and maybe make a late push for Miguel Angel Sano.
by Colorado Fan on Jun 24, 2009 6:31 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Its Burnett
Alderson + 2 B prospects and cash is unrealistc. Also Beane has stated that MLB and draft/international budgets aren’t fungible like you suggest.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 7:10 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You know what's funny
If the Giant’s do sign Holliday in the offseason. At their current course of playing right at .500 baseball or above they would have to give us their 16-20th pick in the draft plus we get the supplemental pick.
by AthleticsReign on Jun 24, 2009 10:08 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ive previously mentioned that the Giants going on a losing streak and signing Holliday is one of my fears
it could work out very well (16th pick) or disasterously (1-15th picks) for us. I think the Angles might have a go at him and while they are playing better the same potential exists for them to only lose their second round pick.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 11:15 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
So
Beane knows if he’s a player in the Miguel Sano sweepstakes? I think a team can make a late push at a player if they decide to trade a player (like Holliday + 8MM off the books) before July 1st.
by Colorado Fan on Jun 24, 2009 12:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
We aren't going to land Sano #1
and Beane has said that the budgets aren’t fungible so yes. We are in on several other lower priced international free agents including a toolsy SS.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 12:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 7:10 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would do it for
Alderson, Brandon Crawford, and a C level arm (maybe Clayton Tanner?)
"May our feet be swift. May our bats be mighty. And may our balls be...plentiful."
by nothinlikethetown on Jun 24, 2009 1:09 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
re
I was thinking something similar. I was 80% through a post advocating Alderson, Thomas Neal, and Tanner, but the more I was thinking about it, I just don’t think the Giants are trading Alderson (let alone Posey, Bumgardner, or Villalona.) And without one of those four, I doubt the Giants have the pieces to put together a deal the A’s will want. If Thomas Neal’s breakout is real, and it would be foolish to underestimate a 21 year old with .273 ISO coupled with <20% k rate, then he may be the best player the A’s could get in any deal, and a deal with him and Crawford could potentially be a bonanza, but there just isn’t enough data/certainty there. When LaPorta/Brantley is the floor for the kind of deal the A’s can make, it would be strange if the A’s would be willing to do a deal in which Neal was the best player they received.
by AgitationStation on Jun 24, 2009 2:56 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
re
I would do a Crawford, Neal, Tanner for Holiday and Kennedy. Two players of that caliber are as good as two draft picks (which are likely, but not certain). If Im not getting Alderson back though, theres no way Braden is in that deal.
"May our feet be swift. May our bats be mighty. And may our balls be...plentiful."
by nothinlikethetown on Jun 24, 2009 4:03 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
ftr
I meant in exchange for Holliday only. No effing way would I include Braden in any deal. If I’m dealing Braden with Holliday, I want something like Lars Anderson and Clay Buchholz back. Not likely, but you have to be blown away to deal Braden. Probably would not include Springer either, since he’s a good bet to be a Type B (wouldn’t be surprised if A’s made a deal with him upon signing to refuse arby.) Kennedy isn’t a throw in, imo. He’s another guy who may end up a type B, or else might be able to be dealt for something useful (not to mention he may end up a decent answer at 3B, such as it is).
by AgitationStation on Jun 24, 2009 4:27 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Springer is very likely to retire after this season
I know he has said it a couple of times but he has said this is definately his last year, and after the season he has had I can’t see him changing his mind this time so if we can rid his salary then we should do it. It would mean another $1.5m we can put towards signing one of our tough draft picks or an extra international talent or two.
by DeJay on Jun 24, 2009 4:49 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Springer already retired
He just pitches for fun now
concocting something witty....check back frequently
by OptimistPrime on Jun 24, 2009 8:09 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Could he retire hitters while he's at it?
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 8:47 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
nice.
What you fail to understand in your joyless myopia is that baseball is the key to life-- the Rosetta Stone, if you will. If you just understood baseball better all your other questions your, your... the, uh... the aliens, the conspiracies they would all, in their way be answered by the baseball gods.
by winchester5 on Jun 24, 2009 11:15 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly.
In my mind, Braden might be the most valuable piece in this proposed trade. He’s emerged this year as a fiercely competitive #2 or solid #3 starter and under team control for what, 4 more years?.
by humdinger on Jun 24, 2009 9:02 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I have to consider him a legit #2 at this point -
the guy just won’t let up.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 9:05 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah,
I would say there’s a really good argument for that. At the beginning of the season, I was pretty skeptical about him, but man, has he proven me wrong. I used to think he was sort of a punk, but he’s just really competitive and says all the right things to make you think he’s a real team player. He may be my favorite A at this point.
by humdinger on Jun 24, 2009 9:14 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
he's our bulldog now
You gotta love that clip of him pulling the trainer back from talking to Geren about his injury. The guy is awesome. Especially with his commitment to Stockton. I love the guy. Probably one of my favorite players at this point.
by asyouwish33 on Jun 24, 2009 10:26 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think I'm developing a man-crush on Braden.
I could see him becoming the pillar of the staff… mentally and leadership-wise, if not talent-wise.
Back then, my idol was Bugs Bunny, because I saw a cartoon of him playing ball - you know, the one where he plays every position himself with nobody else on the field but him? Now that I think of it, Bugs is still my idol. You have to love a ballplayer like that.
~Nomar Garciaparra
by UncleLeo on Jun 24, 2009 12:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And honestly....
I love his personality. He seems like a great person to have around. Very Likable. Plus hes actually a very good pitcher…that helps
What you fail to understand in your joyless myopia is that baseball is the key to life-- the Rosetta Stone, if you will. If you just understood baseball better all your other questions your, your... the, uh... the aliens, the conspiracies they would all, in their way be answered by the baseball gods.
by winchester5 on Jun 24, 2009 11:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
beware of the small sample size
Esteban Loiza was once the best pitcher in the AL for the same amount of time Braden has performed like a #2 starter.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 11:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's true.
But Braden is at the start of his MLB career, and over the course of the last two seasons has thrown 165 innings while posting a 3.63 ERA/1.34 WHIP, and appears only to be improving. Braden is looking far better at this point than Loaiza’s first eight seasons where he was about 4.50/1.45 over that time span before his anomalous 2003 campaign.
by humdinger on Jun 24, 2009 12:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Right - Loaiza was a career underachiever,
while Braden is looking like a career overachiever. Now that may mean “#3 starter” or “#2 starter” or “no one can figure out quite why he’s an ace,” but he is certainly making the most of his skill set.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 12:33 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
and his Pepe tattoo.
"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."
by mikev on Jun 24, 2009 12:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Who cares about over/under achieving
if fallen talented prospect or scrappy over achiever put up the same numbers who besides beat writers that have to publish fluff pieces on off day cares?
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 12:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You sleigh me.
Overachievers tend to sustain or improve success because they, y’know, have all the qualities that breed overachievement (work ethic, character, resilience) while underachievers are more likely to fall off a cliff for the exact reasons they underachieved in the first place.
I expect Braden to regress a bit, but he has qualities that are allowing him to succeed that he isn’t suddenly going to lose, from being able to spot a fastball on either corner, to maintaining an intense focus throughout a game, to a desire to be his best that keeps him working hard to improve. These qualities matter to a pitcher’s performance and improvement/sustained success.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 12:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Do you have any evidence to back that up?
I would suggest that your logic is flawed. More stuff + underachieving makes it easier to stick around and not fall off a cliff. If Braden looses velocity on his pitches and is far more likely to no longer get away with guile. There are lots of pitchability pitchers who fall off cliffs.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 1:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think you just answered your own question.
by humdinger on Jun 24, 2009 1:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If Nico has any evidence to back it up I will be glad to ceede to his view
I just don’t believe that what Nico speaks of is anything more that selection bias. Everyone like overachievers because it makes us feel good therefore we paint a picture where “over achiever types” are better than underachievers.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 1:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What's sad to me is that it seems like you believe
that when you ask someone, “Do you have any evidence to back it up?” in regards to something which is not subject to evidence, if the answer is “No” then you think you must have won the argument!
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 1:55 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Let me explain why I win:
You (Affirmative): Underdog pitchers are superior to pitchers that underachieves their lofty explanations if they have the same numbers because underachievers are more likely to fall off of a cliff.
As the affirmative you have the burden of proof due to making a positive statement about the world.
Me (Negative): O Rlly?
My only burden in this argument is to show that you do not have enough evidence to make a the statement with any certainty.
You: Here is some plausible logic as to why I am right: don’t lose pitchability etc. etc.
Me: Here is some plausible logic as to why I am right: degradation of borderline stuff is no bueno etc.
Me: Do you have any hard evidence? A study perhaps? Did Hardball Times, Fangraphs, or BP come to the same conclusion as you by looking at real data?
You: You know asking me for real data is just sad… just because I don’t have any doesn’t mean you win.
Victor: Me
Reason for the Decision (RFD in debate parlance): The affirmative did not uphold its burden to show a causality between overachieving and not falling off of a cliff. There has been no anaylsis why the logic presented by the negative does not affect just as many cases as the logic presented by the affirmative. Additionally, the affirmative did not show why underachievers have a greater propensity to fall off of a cliff.
This is how the argument would be judged in any debate tournament in the country. And yes I would have won.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 2:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you had to explain it, you already lost. ;-)
Back then, my idol was Bugs Bunny, because I saw a cartoon of him playing ball - you know, the one where he plays every position himself with nobody else on the field but him? Now that I think of it, Bugs is still my idol. You have to love a ballplayer like that.
~Nomar Garciaparra
by UncleLeo on Jun 24, 2009 6:05 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Here's the thing you forget
This is not a debate tournament. There does not always have to be a winner and a loser.
If that’s how you enter into an exchange or difference of opinion, more power to you if feeling like you won makes you happy.
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 24, 2009 6:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Flashfire wins!
Not that it matters.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 7:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Debate is about the pursuit of truth
If you aren’t here for that, I think that is sad but your right none the less. I come to AN because I don’t want to read drivel about baseball from morons. If I wanted that I could read several local writers or watch Baseball Tonight. I come to Athletics Nation for a simple reason: to engage smart people about baseball. If you read my fanpost you can see the work I put into them and understanding baseball, and I look for others like WaddellCanseco, Grover, PT, Iglew, Xbox, lenscrafters and many more posters who share the same desire to debate the greatest sport in existence. The reason why there isn’t a term like armchair/monday morning quarterback for baseball is that the game is inherently set up to foster debate, strategic thinking, and historical insight. If Nico comes to AN so he can make tasteless gay jokes in photo captions as he did the other day and bestiality jokes as he does often, that is his prerogative. However, if I ask him to substantiate a claim he makes and he gets all high and mighty attacking me about how I think Ive won because he cant prove it, then yes it does become about who has won, because Nico made it that way.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 8:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't mind a good debate but I get tired of people trying to turn every comment into an in-depth debate
Especially when they roll out the general idea that “If you don’t do this, you’re wrong and I win.”
Sometimes people just want to say something without being challenged to prove it, back it up, defend it, etc.
I come here to talk with other fans of the A’s first. Sometimes that involves having a debate. Sometimes it doesn’t.
We don’t all have to be here to debate this or get intellectual about that every time we say something. If someone doesn’t want to engage you in a debate, that doesn’t mean you won anything. It just means the other person isn’t interested in the debate that time.
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 24, 2009 8:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you don't want debate go to the game thread or the DLD
or you can peruse fanposts that compare A’s to Major Leagues characters. I don’t read those for a reason and they clearly weren’t designed for debate. But if I came here and said well Braden is a number 2 starter because he wears his cap silly and people that do are better suited to be starters in the bigs because it shows a dedication to the sport that is necessary to pitching well, you might be inclined to ask me if I had any evidence to support that assertion. If I then attacked you and made assertions about your motives because I couldn’t support my argument, I would be the asshole in the situation. But alas that was not the case. Nico attacked me and my motives for asking if he had any evidence, offering differing set of logical assertions, and saying that if Nico had any evidence I would change my viewpoint. Nico was being an asshole and made this about winning the argument. Not I.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 9:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'll comment where I want, thanks
Sorry, but you don’t get to tell people where to restrict themselves if they don’t feel like having a debate whenever you do.
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 24, 2009 10:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Im just saying theyre debate free zones
It seems like you are always complaining about people “turning things into debates.” If it really bothers you to defend what you have to say from harsh attacks like “do you have any evidence for that” those are probably the best places for you. I just don’t understand your adamant defense of a supposed right to be able to say dumb things and not get challenged on them. I mean if you have anything intelligent to say and someone questions you on it you just show why you believe that. Its pretty simple. The only reason for not wanting to defend something is that it was a dumb idea that now you are put in the difficult position of justifying. Ill stop asking you to prove that Santa exist when either A) you stop telling me that he does or B) you give me some reason to believe that he does.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 10:53 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, it's really got more to do with the mentality
…that people are here to “win” something.
You know I have no problem getting into a debate when I’m in the mood. It’s more about people trying to force a debate when someone’s not in the mood and then declaring victory when told “Sorry, not interested.”
That’s silly.
I think you’ll find there are more reasons for not being interested in defending something than “it was a dumb idea.”
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 24, 2009 10:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Replace "win" with "learn" and you'll understand DFA's point better
Learning happens when people with opposing viewpoints support them. I, for instance, would be interested to learn whether Nico or DFA is right. I haven’t, which is too bad.
"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson
by nevermoor on Jun 25, 2009 9:14 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, not really
Not when the example I cited happens when people choose not to engage in a debate at some point. The reaction is typically “Because it’s dumb and you can’t back it up, so I win.”
I don’t know why someone would come here primarily for debate.
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 25, 2009 9:59 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Because this is a boring exchange:
Person A: I think X
Person B: I think Y, not X
[A and B shake hands, walk away]
I, as someone who is curious whether the truth is X or Y, read that and learn nothing.
If A and B support their viewpoints to the best of their ability, however, I end up learning something. Learning about sports is fun and interesting, and therefore a positive result.
Debate (defined loosely as “supporting your positions to determine whether they are correct”) is one of a very few ways of learning. Flaming (defined as belittling your opponent – which I think is what bothers you) is usually boring.
My primary interest in sports sites is debate (and not flaming).
"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson
by nevermoor on Jun 25, 2009 10:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thing is, if your challenge is always
“Do you have evidence to back it up?” then you need to limit your debates only to things that can be proven or disproven with evidence.
I choose to debate a lot of things that are not “data & evidence” based, and I’m happy to argue them but only while the conversation feels respectful and only if the other person is not just going to insist on using “evidence” as a barometer for things that aren’t evidence based.
If someone believes that anything not evidenced-based is false or irrelevant, then that’s fine – but we have little to debate.
Poochini and I are off to Point Reyes for the day – have fun debating this comment without me!
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 25, 2009 10:27 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's fine
If your assertion is, for example, “It makes me happier to watch Eckstein than Reyes (to the extent Reyes is a toolsy underachiever)” that’s fine. I’m not going to learn anything more from discussing that statement.
If you’re saying one type is more likely to have a good MLB career, I think that’s an interesting and novel question I’d like to learn more about. Evidence (which certainly exists for player performance) would be the way to determine whether you’re right.
"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson
by nevermoor on Jun 25, 2009 10:35 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Like I said to DFA...
…my primary interest is interacting with other fans. Sometimes that involves a debate. Sometimes that just means saying “I like this.” Sometimes that means sharing something with others.
I don’t come here expecting to learn something new every time I read a post or comment, and I don’t need that either.
Yeah, I get tired of the flaming and as much as I’ve been guilty of it in the past myself it’s something I’m making an attempt to do less of. I definitely enjoy a good exchange of ideas and things to support them, but sometimes things don’t need to be backed up or proven (in some cases they CAN’T be in a quantifiable way).
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 25, 2009 10:52 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you are tired of flaming, you should stop flaming
This is a perfect example of you flaming in just this thread.
Again absolutely no one attacked anyone for any I like statement which as a matter of personal preference aren’t really up for debate (I cant make blue be your favorite color for example). I made the argument that underachievers do not perform worse long term than overachievers countered the very debate worthy propositino which Nico originally proposed.
If Nico said I like overachievers better, I would never have argued with him whether or not I agreed with him. But Nico said overachievers ARE better. Big difference.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 25, 2009 11:20 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You think that's flaming?
Especially when we’ve seen the evidence of you doing it in the past and continuing to do it in this thread, calling him an asshole to boot?
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 25, 2009 11:28 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Im not complaining about flaiming
you are. You weren’t even involved in the original discussion but you feel the need to snipe here. And yes assigning people motives rankles me to the point that I assigned motives to Nico, if he doesn’t like it perhaps he should stop assigning motives to others.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 25, 2009 12:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This might come as a shock
But I think the takeaway here is that we have different interests (which is, of course, fine).
We can certainly agree about some problems (see, e.g., flaming) and it’s true that not everything needs to be backed up.
I’m just disappointed that this discussion went “meta” instead of “evidentiary” because I would have liked to learn something.
The question of whether talented underachievers or untalented overachievers are more valuable going forward is certainly susceptible to analysis, and it would have been nice to see some.
"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson
by nevermoor on Jun 25, 2009 11:21 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is my point.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 25, 2009 11:27 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think there can be something to that, yeah
It’s hard to say which way to go in the overachiever/underachiever debate. We can bring up any number of examples to prove either side of it.
I’d rather watch an overachiever because to me, at least he’s probably showing a lot of visible effort that gives the impression that he’s giving it his best even if his best isn’t that great compared to others.
It’s the underachievers that frustrate people the most because they appear to HAVE the talent to do better but they just don’t.
In the long run, they’ll probably both end up in about the same place: relatively insignificant. I’d just rather have overachievers than underachievers.
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 25, 2009 11:31 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And no, I can't prove any of that
Nor do I want to.
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 25, 2009 11:35 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't care if you prove it
you just said blue is my favorite color or I like blow outs vrs pitching duels. Which really is quite frankly boring. It has nothing to due with whether being an overachiever is better going forward as a baseball player.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 25, 2009 12:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Honestly, I don't really care if you're bored by an opinion...
…that doesn’t involve backing it up with evidence. That’s not my problem.
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 25, 2009 12:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And you're more than welcome to that opinion
It just doesn’t particularly interest me.
The question of which IS better does interest me, could be analyzed, and was raised by Nico at the beginning of all this.
If we were just talking about your opinion (which, to some extent, I share) I wouldn’t have gotten involved.
"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson
by nevermoor on Jun 25, 2009 11:36 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Attacked?
“If Nico comes to AN so he can make tasteless gay jokes in photo captions as he did the other day and bestiality jokes as he does often, that is his prerogative.”
Wow. Just…
uh, this place is getting insane.
Grow a sack.
by Colorado Fan on Jun 25, 2009 9:05 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"This place" isn't, though, CF
Just a VERY, VERY select few out a LOT of folks on AN.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 25, 2009 9:35 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The sounds of silence are from all the posters who have left
Sal, WaddellCanseco, Monkeyball, and many many more who have found that the hostile attitude to a obtaining a deeper knowledge of the game that since you have taken over has permeated AN. It is far more than a few.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 25, 2009 11:24 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I doubt...
that you’ve pinpointed the reasons why each person has left this forum. People come and people go.
Some people need to start leaving their egos at the proverbial internet door. Debate. Critique. Comment. Compliment. +1/-1. Blog. Have Fun for crying out loud.
by Colorado Fan on Jun 25, 2009 1:28 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Agreed
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 25, 2009 1:53 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Meh
Actually, he’s pretty spot on here.
"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."
by lenscrafters on Jun 25, 2009 2:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well im on here so pick a fight with me
well find out something cool in the debate.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 25, 2009 2:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't really care for the gay jokes, myself
But DFA did take the chance to slam Nico again at the end, so make of it what you will.
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 25, 2009 9:59 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Look, anyone who reads AN knows that
DFA takes every opportunity possible to slam me for anything he can. I’m in a position of authority. Do the Math.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 25, 2009 10:05 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh, I know
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 25, 2009 10:13 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You attacked my motives, not I yours.
Point out one time when I have unjustly slammed you about your opinion on a non debatable personal preference. I never have. I have pointed out the numerous times that I believe you are severely wrong about baseball, or when I believe your leadership of the site is flawed, both of which should be fair game.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 25, 2009 11:27 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You're in a position of authority?
Dude, hook me up!
Some motherfcukers are always trying to ice skate uphill - Blade.
by OldhamA on Jun 25, 2009 7:33 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You want this job?
Make me an offer!
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 25, 2009 7:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, no, you can keep the job.
I’d just like some kickbacks.
Some motherfcukers are always trying to ice skate uphill - Blade.
by OldhamA on Jun 25, 2009 11:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
All I'm saying is that
you seemed to have acknowledged that the question of under/over-achieving is relevant when you used the status to make a general projection, thus answering “who cares about under/over achieving?”
by humdinger on Jun 24, 2009 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How so. I am saying that it has no measurable effect
Nico claimed that pitchers who are overachievers are less likely to fail. I merely pointed out that a ton of those fail.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 2:33 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Then why did you say this?
“More stuff + underachieving makes it easier to stick around and not fall off a cliff. "
by humdinger on Jun 24, 2009 7:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Because the Kyle Farnsworths/Jeff Weavers/Joel Pineros of the world liter the big leagues
and I countered Nico’s conjecture with conjecture of my own. Do I think that its right? Not with any level of certainty. Would I make a statement of Nico’s caliber with that conjecture alone? No. Does it however bring into question the veracity of Nico’s conjecture? Yes
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 7:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nonetheless,
your statement seems to imply that whether a pitcher is over or under achieving compared to their perceived level of potential has some value in projecting future performance — which way, how much, or how accurately aside. That’s all I’m saying here. I’m out.
by humdinger on Jun 24, 2009 8:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's an unanswerable question
Qualities like “bulldog mentality,” “reslience,” “leadership,” and “work ethic” are neither measurable nor is their correlation with success measurable. Yet guys like Billy Beane, who are metrically inclined, routinely recognize these qualities when evaluating talent and building rosters. Because just about anyone who been involved in professional baseball knows how very real these considerations are.
Some people are uncomfortable with anything that cannot be objectively measured. That’s fine. It just leaves more guys like Braden available to the rest of us!
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 1:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Im not saying that they don't exist or aren't valuable
Braden without those things is a shitty pitcher. Beane himself was a make up failure. But to say that they are more valuable than stuff is I think a vast overreach. Id rather have a pitcher who has flashes of brilliance but doesn’t get there than a less talented over achiever who puts up the same numbers, because there is a chance that i can harness that talent in the underachiever and make them better.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 2:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Or there's a chance you can't.
Where’s Loaiza now, anyway?
"No matter what I talk about, I always get back to baseball." -- Connie Mack
by GreenSocks on Jun 24, 2009 4:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thats exactly my point
If I can I cant… but i still have the same numbers as the over achiever if I don’t.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 4:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Test case
Would you trade Braden for Jonathan Sanchez?
by Faust on Jun 24, 2009 4:53 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I take Braden easy
Better results (especially less walks), more team control. But I don’t think they represent the same true talent level or that Sanchez qualifies as a underachiever.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 5:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And he doesn't appear
to have the D-bag component to his make up that saddled Loaiza. Poor guy.
by humdinger on Jun 24, 2009 12:39 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good job you're not in charge.
Some motherfcukers are always trying to ice skate uphill - Blade.
by OldhamA on Jun 24, 2009 1:35 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
+!
This is the example of a terrible fan trade proposal.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 7:12 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thats an understatement.
What you fail to understand in your joyless myopia is that baseball is the key to life-- the Rosetta Stone, if you will. If you just understood baseball better all your other questions your, your... the, uh... the aliens, the conspiracies they would all, in their way be answered by the baseball gods.
by winchester5 on Jun 24, 2009 11:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I try to avoid CGV
which would be necessary to accurately describe this proposal.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 11:17 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Did they at least agree to throw in some lube in that deal? Otherwise it is gonna hurt
by DeJay on Jun 24, 2009 4:41 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
all that + pick up Hollidays remaining cash on his contract? WHAT? How about we pick up Zito Contract while we do this great deal
Stick to baseball on your xbox
by ryanmoser on Jun 24, 2009 5:51 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
QOTM
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 7:13 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Your Giants loving friends don't know what they're talking about
You seem to know even less.
Horribly crafted trade ideas like this are why most of AN gets nauseous when they see someone post a trade diary. Your proposal shows a lack of recognition or understanding of any previous trade in the last decade. You say you’re an A’s fan, did you not notice what the A’s received in return when Beane traded away Tim Hudson, Mark Mulder, Dan Haren, Rich Harden and Joe Blanton? Are you unaware of whom the A’s gave up to acquire Matt Holliday?
If your answer is no to these questions than I urge you to educate yourself on these topics and then, maybe, try posting something like this again.
The monster at the end of this blog.
by grover on Jun 24, 2009 7:17 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
seriously
It was just a discussion and I wanted to throw it to the board so I could learn better, not get criticized by the entire board.
If AN is so elitist, why do we even allow general members to create fanposts.
I would consider Alderson equivalent to Cahill and Anderson at this stage in their careers. I don’t think we would have included either Cahill or Anderson to obtain Holliday. I would also consider Alderson one of the most highly regarded players we got in any of the trades you listed above at the time of the trades save maybe Barton and Carlos Gonzalez. Why wouldn’t we want someone with similar career projections to Cahill and Anderson… a much better guarantee than we could receive with a 2 draft pick compensation.
by echerrst on Jun 24, 2009 9:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
See my comment below, echerrst
I think you were treated unfairly and I hope you’ll stick around despite being less than welcomed. But I wouldn’t blame you if you didn’t.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 9:23 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
alderson is not equivalent
he is behind cahill and anderson in terms of levels
"If you hit .440 with 20 bombs, you don't have to do s---. You don't have to bring a glove to practice, just hit and leave whenever you want. You can bring a 40 and smoke a cigarette and call me from the parking lot asking me what time the game is, and I'll tell you. You can even say 'F--- you, Steve!' Actually, don't say that, that wouldn't be very nice." -Steve Friend, Head Coach, Chabot College Gladiators Baseball
by flipgatey3 on Jun 24, 2009 12:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I can't speak to the numerous comments below mine, but I don't think you were being criticized earlier
No, it felt more like people were laughing at you after you walked in and your pants fell down around your ankles. Which is actually a fairly normal response by people who witness such an event.
You want to learn? Ask questions. And the question of a Giants/A’s trade involving Holliday is a good one… but you didn’t ask any questions. You made statements and you even went so far as to offer up a justification for your statements, but you never really asked a question. I double checked your original post, not a “?” to be found.
There’s nothing elitist about making a fanpost. All that is asked is that the writer put some thought into the post and to try and write about a relevant topic. Your topic was fine, but your content was so horribly out of whack with historical precident and the way trades actually get done in baseball that your fanpost was dead on arrival. That’s not my fault, it’s yours. Here’s the part about fanposts that they don’t tell you in the Community Guidelines… if you’re going to put your opinion out there you better have the guts to take whatever fallout comes your way.
Now, some folks are worried that I’ve scared you away from posting on AN again. Whatever. You stepped on stage and you bombed, I just wrote an honest review. If you choose to stick around and your next fanpost kicks ass than (assuming I see it) I’ll say good things about it.
As to this issue, I disagree with your assesment of Alderson and while he’s a good prospect he’s not at the same level of Cahill/Anderson. I’m assuming you meant to say that Alderson is as good as Cahill and Anderson were at the end of last year. Both Cahill and Anderson posted better K/9 and groundball ratios than Alderson currently has, and from what I recall of Alderson’s scouting report his stuff isn’t as good.
More importantly, I provided you with 6 examples of vet-for-prospects trades that should show just how out of whack your proposal is.
The monster at the end of this blog.
by grover on Jun 24, 2009 6:29 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
eh
the main point of my post was to find out a “fair” deal. Maybe I should have left off the story beforehand which precluded the end statement:
“I want to throw this out to AN to see what is considered a fair deal… or if a fair deal is impossible to reach”
So I guess a ‘?’ didn’t exist, but a question was implied.
My point was that, as A’s fans, we are biased, and if you click on the link …
http://www.mlbdailydish.com/2009/6/23/922229/matt-holliday-to-the-giants
… Giants fans are biased too. I was trying find some common ground, since they are rejecting any Holliday/Kennedy for Alderson type deal. Maybe this wasn’t the proper forum for it and I should have gone to a more neutral site for opinions.
As for your 6 examples, I believe they are all “apples to oranges” type trades when you compare them to Holliday. Holliday is a half-season rental. Tim Hudson, Mark Mulder, Dan Haren, Rich Harden and Joe Blanton all had remaining years on their contract, which helped return the number and quality of prospects they did.
I value everyone’s opinion here, and was interested in getting a conversation started involving Holliday.
by echerrst on Jun 24, 2009 8:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I guess my question would be this
Did you think Kennedy/Braden/Holliday for Alderson was a fair trade?
If I’m trading Holliday, at the very least I want a 3B who is either major-league ready or very close in any deal I do.
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 24, 2009 8:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, should've just asked the question
And no, the 6 trades I suggested are not apples to oranges to the Holliday situation. But if it makes you feel better, go back and look at the Tex deal between LA and Atlanta and then try to explain why the A’s would need to give up 3 starters from their big league roster, plus cash, to land 1 prospect.
The monster at the end of this blog.
by grover on Jun 24, 2009 8:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: the last part
NO KIDDING.
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 24, 2009 8:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
your rudeness is unnecessary
Just because something is unpopular here at AN doesn’t make it dumb. Unfortunately, it might be just the opposite – these days, the knee-jerk emotional posts and the rude or lewd ones get the most love. Hell, about five of our best analysts don’t even post here anymore. (You remember them, right grover? They’re the guys who would lightly pat you on the head and smile when you would try to wade into deep statistical analysis).
But my point is, when someone offers a topic for discussion, don’t try to smack them down. You, like me, want to have new content to read on AN. And you, like me, have occasionally written your own ridiculous trade or contract proposal (remember when you wanted the A’s to give Vernon Wells $130 million?)
It’s horribly crafted responses that drive good, intelligent people away from AN.
Batting 4th for the 2014 San Jose A's: 26-year-old RF Justin Upton, in the 1st season of a nine year, $250M deal.
by notsellingjeans on Jun 24, 2009 10:27 AM PDT up reply actions 6 recs
Correct, unpopular does not equal dumb
But dumb equals dumb.
And bad equals bad.
And shit is shit.
Echerrest’s proposal fits somewhere in that mix. It is completely out of touch with any of the trades we’ve seen in the last decade. You got a problem with my tone? I’ve got a problem with his/her content. (No offense intended on the gender thing, the name doesn’t hint either way.)
I’m not sure exactly which 5 posters you’re referring to, ‘cause there have been a whole lot more than 5 quality folks who’ve passed their bags, but of the folks I can think of I’m extremely confident that it wasn’t an honest (if much less then tactful) comment like mine that drove them away.
And are you really worried that this newbie might be the next devo or salb or PT or monkeyball and I’ve scared them off? Please, I gave a very mild bump and all those older posters had the guts to push right back. If echerrest or any other new poster gets so scared from what I did this morning that they curl up into the fetal position and never come to AN again then guess what, it’s highly unlikely that that individual had what it took to truly replace those who’ve left. Damn straight I want to see new content… but I want it to be quality content.
BTW, trying to hit me with the humble stick by bring up Wells’ contract, a contract figure and terms I nailed long before it came out, doesn’t make a lot of sense. Has Wells worked out like the Blue Jays hoped? No, he hasn’t. But that gets filed under the “pays your dues and takes your chances” category and not the “have no clue what you’re talking about” file. But looking big picture, yeah… I’ve had some memorable misses and I came back and posted again.
The monster at the end of this blog.
by grover on Jun 24, 2009 6:48 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
The devil is in the details
You ask, “And are you really worried that this newbie might be the next devo or salb or PT or monkeyball and I’ve scared them off?” No, I actually value each user on AN equally – that’s right, grover, I value you and Echerrest equally. It’s not a meritocracy, it’s a community.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 7:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Which is why you were so outraged when NSJ took a dig at me.
I’m going to do you a favor and not get into the whole “community” angle tonight.
The monster at the end of this blog.
by grover on Jun 24, 2009 8:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Also the Wells numbers are spot on what they should have been
just because Wells has magically found a pile of suck doesn’t mean that it was an out of whack contract proposal like this trade. It actually was the opposite, right on the button
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 8:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Is there any particular reason anyone thinks a deal like that would ever happen, let alone make sense?
Last of the Ninth - Photography Site / jamesvenes.com - Blog
by Flashfire on Jun 24, 2009 7:45 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I think we could use some HITTERS...We're getting close to having some good pitching.
"If Bowden was a general contractor, he'd build houses with nine bedrooms, six garages, no bathrooms, and half a roof."
by DyeLongJustice on Jun 24, 2009 7:48 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
+1
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
by micdog2001 on Jun 24, 2009 11:18 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Drop the trade and take three steps back from the crack pipe
concocting something witty....check back frequently
by OptimistPrime on Jun 24, 2009 8:08 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
lol
What you fail to understand in your joyless myopia is that baseball is the key to life-- the Rosetta Stone, if you will. If you just understood baseball better all your other questions your, your... the, uh... the aliens, the conspiracies they would all, in their way be answered by the baseball gods.
by winchester5 on Jun 24, 2009 11:18 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Realistically
It would require at least 2 of those 3 names you mentioned plus a minor piece or two (particularly if we’re paying salary) for JUST Holliday. If they say no, so be it. That seems to be the only thing in the Giant’s system right now that wouldn’t be the same as the coin flip we’d get in return in the draft or less. If all we’re getting back is what you could expect from the picks we’d get, I wouldn’t do a deal. And you’re likely to get a better deal elsewhere anyway.
CuttheMullet, from "The Thread":
"Whenever I’m about to do something, I think "would an idiot do that?" and if they would, I do not do that thing."
by DMOAS on Jun 24, 2009 8:35 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
No on Braden
Why would you trade avery good lefty who is only on his second year? Second Sabean believes he will get a player cheap without giving anybody up. The only player I see going to the Giants is Kenedy around the trade deadline for maybe a Frandsen.
by Arcman on Jun 24, 2009 8:49 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Many of the comments in this fanpost make me a sad panda
It’s not that difficult to ignore a fanpost, or to say “that second trade has the A’s giving up way too much,” instead of slamming it with sarcasm and condescension.
The actual premise of the fanpost, as I read it, is: “I want to throw this out to AN to see what is considered a fair deal… or if a fair deal is impossible to reach.” So instead of telling the user how much you hate his/her ideas and/or fanpost, why not follow the actual lead and propose what you think would be a realistic trade? Or read a different fanpost if you don’t care for this one.
Fanposts like this don’t make AN worse nearly to the extent that mean-spirited replies do, in my ever so humble opinion. And for the record, I say this in my role as one of AN’s many users, not in my capacity as a blogfather.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 9:21 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Really? I totally disagree.
I see only two comments by one commenter in this thread that might be mean spirited (and maybe one more if I stretch), and one other that’s condescending. Heck, nothinlikethetown even turned it into a decent discussion, which is impressive, given the content of the original post. vignette17, Arcman, DMOAS, AEP2007, UncleLeo all responded in a very productive manner — in all, the negative posts are vastly outnumbered (at this moment) by the productive ones. IMO this lecture was almost completely unwarranted with respect to this fanpost — if you’re offended by a post, then flag it!
by oblique on Jun 24, 2009 9:40 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
my bad...I have only been shat on a million times in this chat room
Thought it was standard protocol…
by ryanmoser on Jun 24, 2009 9:50 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
oblique, I see, aimed at a respectfully written fanpost:
- “Good job you’re not in charge.”
- “DELETE PLEASE.”
- “This is the example of a terrible fan trade proposal.”
- “Your Giants loving friends don’t know what they’re talking about. You seem to know even less.”
- “Drop the trade and take three steps back from the crack pipe.”
This is what folks are talking about when they say AN is unfriendly to newbies. So the trade proposal was off-base; say it’s not equitable, or say why and educate someone on trade equity, or don’t comment.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 9:50 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
First reaction
My first thoughts were this guy was a giants fan. I do agree the crack pipe joke isn’t what AN fans should post. A good NO to the trade proposal is all that is needed.
by Arcman on Jun 24, 2009 9:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I realize some people may have had the initial reaction
that this was a troll, and not a sincere fanpost, but if you look at it in the context of a sincere fanpost soliciting ideas, while presenting one that doesn’t work, the response was pretty unwelcoming.
I just think that if instead of “feeling obliged to put bad ideas in their place,” some of the same people would just explain and educate, other users would feel less intimidated about participating and would become more educated and would contribute more sophisticated ideas. Why chase people away if they are nice; why not take the role of mentor instead of the role of “your idea doesn’t meet our standards”?
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 10:03 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
After reading this...I apologize
It is a knee jerk reaction from a die hard A’s fan. One who had to sit amongst Giants fans last night. I didn’t mean to be rude in my comments, but it still a terrible trade idea nonetheless.
by asyouwish33 on Jun 24, 2009 10:30 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
None of those seem too bad, aside from the crack pipe comment.
Then agan, I’m an asshole.
"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."
by mikev on Jun 24, 2009 9:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hmmm.
I found the crack pipe comment the least insulting because it was humorous. I say the more witticisms involving highly addictive and destructive drug references, the better.
by humdinger on Jun 24, 2009 10:03 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Especially when it's a joint effort.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 10:04 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Cheers! :)

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox
by mrod on Jun 24, 2009 4:57 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Apparently I’m an asshole too, which isn’t exactly a surprise, but I thought that on balance, even the comments you listed were not that bad (though most of them were the ones that I’d alluded to in my previous comment) — I just think that most of the other commenters in this fanpost were already following the advice in your comment.
Nico, if it’s your goal to have a completely uniformly positive response to any- and everything that is put up as a fanpost, I think that is probably unrealistic, and probably wouldn’t lead to an increase in the quality of AN as a blog anyway. There is a certain amount of homework one must do prior to posting on a forum, in any field, not just baseball blogs, if the forum is to be of any quality at all. I agree with you that too many mean-spirited and condescending posts are destructive, but there’s a balance. Too few, and suddenly nobody thinks before they post at all, and that’s not good either.
by oblique on Jun 24, 2009 10:14 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
so what was I supposed to do?
create a post with stating the following…
“If the Giants and A’s were to strike a deal involving Holliday, what would the other components of the trade be?”
Do we need to create a minor league AN site where the stupid people can play with each other?
by echerrst on Jun 24, 2009 10:26 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, clearly not.
Because along with being an asshole, I’m also stupid.
"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."
by mikev on Jun 24, 2009 10:39 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't get it.
But I get that your an idiot.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 10:46 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You mean your AND idiot.
At least, for all intensive purposes I thought thats what you’re meaning was.
"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."
by mikev on Jun 24, 2009 10:49 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
u no me 2 well!
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 10:53 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hey, for the record,
I didn’t think your post was that bad (I certainly didn’t think you were a troll) but even I could see that your proposal was pretty one-sided, and I’m not anywhere near being one of the brain trust here. Three major leaguers for one prospect might actually be unprecedented. So given that, I thought that on balance the responses were also not that bad, and some even led to some interesting discussion. That was my only point.
by oblique on Jun 24, 2009 10:43 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
understood completely
can you see my post at the bottom of the thread, as an attempt for me to save face?
by echerrst on Jun 24, 2009 10:48 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't want "uniformly positive responses,"
just a lack of unnecessary meanness. That still leaves room for a TON of negative and critical replies. Just not, as you say, mean-spirited and condescending posts aimed at users who have not provoked it with their manner in any way.
Hey, if there’s a one-line fanpost, or a troll fanpost, or a fanpost with tons of attitude, I say knock yourself out. But the notion that you have to “meet certain standards of baseball acumen” in order to try to start a conversation?
I thought this blog was for passionate A’s fans with tons of baseball sophistication, passionate A’s fans who are just learning about the game, passionate A’s fans who love the team but have no idea why the A’s don’t score more points, and respectful Blue Jays fans who find the blog interesting and wish to join the conversation.
Run people off because they’re acting like jerks, or because they don’t follow the community guidelines for fanposts or for conduct, but not because they don’t meet your standard for baseball literacy or exhaustive research.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 10:34 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1,000,000
Especially the last paragraph Nico.
but not because they don’t meet your standard for baseball literacy or exhaustive research.
by Trainman on Jun 24, 2009 10:51 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think authors of fanposts deserve respect
especially when they are open-minded to the possibility that their ideas or thoughts are wrong, and are open to different ideas, like echerrst clearly is.
"True fact: In a global thermonuclear war, the only human who would survive would be David Eckstein" -PT
by travdog6 on Jun 24, 2009 10:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, I agree with this
Actually, if your initial post had said “Some of the comments” or “A few of the comments” instead of “Many” then I probably wouldn’t have responded at all. I don’t want to defend the negative comments that were made here, I just think that as a whole the community did a really good job of responding positively to this fanpost, with a few exceptions.
by oblique on Jun 24, 2009 11:00 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fair enough - how about "around 5 comments"?
To be clear, I didn’t take huge issue with any one of them so much as I did with the sum of the comments together. Any one of those comments alone and I would have rolled my eyes silently.
I just think there is some truth to the “not welcoming” criticism of AN and that it comes from some users being too eager to “put people in their place” when they are just posting in good faith. So I spoke up.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 11:05 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Since I was lucky enough to get quoted...
I’ll be waiting for the CGV notice to show up in my e-mail.
The monster at the end of this blog.
by grover on Jun 24, 2009 6:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's no fun
without sarcasm or condescension.
Solace: Law says he's a fourth OFer
PaulThomas: I think Keith Law is only a fourth analyst
by hero66 on Jun 24, 2009 11:23 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Moot Point Entirely
Why would Beane even consider a cross bay trade with a rival team?
I'll have a sandwich and a draft(sic). - Bill King (RIP)
by BleedGreen on Jun 24, 2009 10:26 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I don't think Billy really thinks about that too much
as long as he gets a good return. He hasn’t had a problem trading with the Angels.
by asyouwish33 on Jun 24, 2009 10:32 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
when was the last trade with the Angels?
Maybe getting Randy Velarde in 1999?
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
by micdog2001 on Jun 24, 2009 11:24 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
exactly
If Billy likes his return, he’ll take it regardless of the team, especially if they are trading Holliday because that says we’re done…no?
by asyouwish33 on Jun 24, 2009 11:31 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think that micdog's point
is that Beane does have some reluctance to trade within the division (like pretty much every GM in baseball). But in this case, the Giants are not even in the same league, so I agree with you that the Giants’ status as “rivals” wouldn’t stop any trade from going down.
by colin on Jun 24, 2009 1:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"You hit nail right on head" Colin
-quote from Man of the House with Chevy Chase and JTT, for some reason that line stuck with me despite the movie being meh.
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
by micdog2001 on Jun 24, 2009 5:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Because,
We play them 6 times total a year, they are in a different league, and have (some) talent in the minor leagues. Giving them a talented player will not hurt our chances (outside of those 6 games, which are almost over for this year) even if they are our “rival”.
"True fact: In a global thermonuclear war, the only human who would survive would be David Eckstein" -PT
by travdog6 on Jun 24, 2009 10:35 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
When I think of A's rivals, the Giants don't even enter the picture.
In fact, the only team I’d list as a rival lately is the Angels.
I realized I was dyslexic when I went to a toga party dressed as a goat.
by Elvez on Jun 24, 2009 12:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The key word there is rival
The animosity with the Giants has little to do with being on-field rivals. It’s the fact that we’re marketing rivals that makes trades involving Holliday-level talent hard to pull the trigger on. We ship Matt anywhere, we’re a worse ball club and some fans drift away. We ship Matt to San Francisco, not only do we lose fans, but the Giants pick up fans. The fans they’re picking up come right out of our potential fan base. cough South Bay cough. Territorial rights be damned, the Giants and A’s duke it out every year for support from the same general region, and a switch of a star player from one team to another is a major loss in that campaign.
"No matter what I talk about, I always get back to baseball." - Connie Mack
by GoA's on Jun 24, 2009 4:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
that is true
but is Holliday that popular? he hasn’t exactly been filling up the coliseum. Of course that is due to the rest of the team sucking also. i think a walk-off hit would do wonders for his popularity. I can only think of 1 game changing hit from him off the top of my head (I guess there could be more).
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
by micdog2001 on Jun 24, 2009 6:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
in my defense
MLB Daily Dish started a similar, but open ended, thread regarding this trade idea.
AthleticsReign proposed a deal for Alderson, which got shut down by Giants fan.
My point to all this… is that if you read my thread and then the link above, A’s and Giants fans are incredibly far away, with regards to this trade.
I was trying to hide my biases when starting this discussion, and actually propose something which would be considered by the opposing team. I think its fair to say that a Holliday for Alderson (the lesser of Bumgarner and Posey) may not be accepted by our counterparts on the other side of the bay. I attempted to sweeten the pot a little.
by echerrst on Jun 24, 2009 10:47 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Let me put it this way:
Look at what the Giants gave up for AJ Peirznajknzuyeasky.
Look at what the A’s got in return for Hudson, Mulder, Haren, Swisher, etc
Who do you really think will get the “best” of a trade, were the two GMs actually to get involved in talks about Holliday?
"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."
by mikev on Jun 24, 2009 10:50 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Giants have made some good trades too
I would look at it more like “the A’s hold the cards.” They don’t have to trade Holliday because he’s already worth 2 draft picks to them, whereas the Giants need hitting – their main LFer, Fred Lewis, has 10 RBI this season (!).
To me, what will prevent a workable trade is that the one guy the A’s really need, Pablo Sandoval, also happens to be what the Giants can’t part with: One of the few good hitters they have. Two teams both in need of hitting, both weakest in position players, does not make for as good a match.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 10:57 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yep. I'm not sure the teams match up well.
Unless it’s Posey for Holliday, I don’t think Sabean will give up Sandoval and a minor league arm for Holliday and Hannahan.
"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."
by mikev on Jun 24, 2009 11:00 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah
maybe that’s the end result… they just don’t match up well.
I think Ralph Barbieri’s head would explode is they traded Sandoval.
I also consider Posey untouchable since they’ve probably already penciled him in as their starting C next year when Molina leaves.
by echerrst on Jun 24, 2009 11:04 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Giants won't trade Sandoval in a deal to improve their current offense,
because he’s performing better than Holliday! It wouldn’t make sense, even if the A’s threw in other good pieces (like young pitching), because the Giants’ goal in acquiring Holliday would be to improve the offense now.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 11:09 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exploding Ralph Barbieri's head should definately be pursued
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 11:29 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1... how can I help?
Back then, my idol was Bugs Bunny, because I saw a cartoon of him playing ball - you know, the one where he plays every position himself with nobody else on the field but him? Now that I think of it, Bugs is still my idol. You have to love a ballplayer like that.
~Nomar Garciaparra
by UncleLeo on Jun 24, 2009 12:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
make him listen to himself
"True fact: In a global thermonuclear war, the only human who would survive would be David Eckstein" -PT
by travdog6 on Jun 24, 2009 2:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Make him run 10 laps around his ego?
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 2:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
representative from the McCovey embassy
We need hitting, but we’ve kinda got a glut of okayness in the outfield. Holliday would be an improvement on what we have, but adding a semi-competent bat to the swirling vortex of suck that is our middle infield or a very good hitter would improve us a lot more.
I think you’re the rightest. Neither team really matches up well for trades, as A) we both need quality infielders more than anything B) we’re both teams that should be looking to be better in 2010 and not overestimating what this year’s group is capable of.
Randy Winn is in time out until his OBP gets back over .330.
by oldjacket on Jun 24, 2009 2:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think the Giants-Uggla rumors make more sense
I also wouldn’t mind seeing Uggla in an A’s uniform.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 2:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah. I’m not sure why the Marlins would be into that, though. He’s not that expensive and they aren’t out of it yet.
Randy Winn is in time out until his OBP gets back over .330.
by oldjacket on Jun 24, 2009 3:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pitching.
Also, Uggla is having a down year at the plate so they’re doing how they’re doing without much contribution from him but they could certainly use some more pitching.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 4:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
From our side on that one, we have no pitching depth. We have the equivalent of Kirk Saarlos and Shane Komine at AAA, and Bumgarner and Alderson haven’t dominated AA the way that MLB ready players would. Any straight MLB level pitching for hitting swap would fill one hole by creating another.
Randy Winn is in time out until his OBP gets back over .330.
by oldjacket on Jun 24, 2009 4:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's why the A's need to make the trade!
It would only work if Uggla could handle 3B because he’s subpar at 2B and the A’s don’t have the same need there.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 4:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
that makes some sense.
Don’t sign him to long contract, though. OLD PLAYA SKILLZ.
Randy Winn is in time out until his OBP gets back over .330.
by oldjacket on Jun 24, 2009 4:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Seems like someone who could play 3B pretty well
for a couple years and then eventually DH for 3 more (or move to 1B in a midget league).
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 4:33 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Here's the problem
Sabean does not have time on his side, with the pressure from upstairs coming down to win now, & get butts in the seats…and yes that pressure is there. He needs to win now and show to his superiors he’s worth keeping. The A’s and Giants might not match up but don’t think that he won’t be willing to deal ANYONE other than Posey, Bumgarner, or Big V.
by AthleticsReign on Jun 24, 2009 2:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think he'll deal Sandoval
because it would only make the current team’s current weakness weaker. Prospects, though, I agree.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 2:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
They aren't trading Sandoval... their problem is they need to trade for more Sandovals
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 2:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
Where’s the factory where they make those?
Randy Winn is in time out until his OBP gets back over .330.
by oldjacket on Jun 24, 2009 2:57 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

Some motherfcukers are always trying to ice skate uphill - Blade.
by OldhamA on Jun 24, 2009 3:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
he’s not selling any jeans.
Randy Winn is in time out until his OBP gets back over .330.
by oldjacket on Jun 24, 2009 3:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He’s getting pressure from Ralph Barbieri, whom we all agree to be a complete idiot. Neukom is at best inscrutable on the subject, but all indications is that he’s not the WIN NOW kind of guy that the old owner was.
Before the season, the new ownership group implied that they would consider over .500 as a successful season this year.
Randy Winn is in time out until his OBP gets back over .330.
by oldjacket on Jun 24, 2009 2:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
maybe
but you can’t cite the Sabean deal and consider him a terrible GM for ALL deals, much like you can’t only like at the Hudson deal to evaluate Beane.
I’d like to think that the A’s would get the better end of the deal, however, when you look at the Giants system, there is no way that a Haren/Swisher/Mulder trade could even happen because they just don’t have the depth.
They have 3 top prospects, maybe 4 if depending on your stance on Villalona, but after that their system is sprinkled with the Nick Noonan and Emmanuel Burriss’s of the world.
by echerrst on Jun 24, 2009 11:02 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sure, but it's been essentially the same recepie for most "big name" trades Beane has made.
Excluding the Haren trade, which was for a ton of guys, there’s been fairly similar returns for a lot of trades of guys:
High level prospect (Daric Barton, Dan Meyer, de los Santos, Adrian Cardenas, Sean Gallagher)
Young MLB ready guy (Dan Haren, Charles Thomas, Gio Gonzalez, Josh Outman)
Something else useful (Kiko Calero, Juan Cruz {ok not so much}, Ryan Sweeney, Josh Donaldson)
Because Holliday is a rental, is it likely that he’d get the same return as a guy like Swisher, who was a crazy team friendly contract, or Mulder/Hudson who still had full seasons left and not 4 months? No, it’s not likely.
So what’s Holliday’s value to the A’s right now? He’s one of two things currently:
1. A really good player for the rest of the season + 2 good prospects in the form of draft picks
2. A really good player for the rest of the season AND 2010 after accepting arbitration.
It’s pretty simple. If the Giants want Holliday, they need to give up at least equal value to that, but probably more.
As far as the original post, this kind of explains why it’s a bit of a ridiculous trade proposal. Even if the A’s do NOTHING, they’ll get 2 good prospects out of Holliday. Given that fact, why on earth would they trade Holliday AND Braden AND Kennedy for just one good prospect? It’s completely senseless.
"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."
by mikev on Jun 24, 2009 11:19 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
question for you
How valuable is a late first round / sandwich pick? I know Alderson was drafted there, but E. Burriss was also drafted in the late first round.
Are there any statistics showing the success rate of a pick in the 20 to 40 range?
by echerrst on Jun 24, 2009 11:27 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You can click through previous drafts at baseball-reference.com
Sure, there’s a chance you draft Michael Rogers or Omar Quintanilla in the supplemental round, but there’s also the chance you draft Huston Street, Jed Lowrie, Adrian Cardenas, Colby Rasmus, or Joba Chamberlain.
There’s a tremendous amount of value in being able to pick one of the best 40 players available.
"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."
by mikev on Jun 24, 2009 11:45 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
another hypothetical
if trading draft picks were allowed, and you had the 25th and 35th picks… approximately what first round pick would you deal your picks for?
by echerrst on Jun 24, 2009 11:47 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wouldn't.
Unless there’s an OBVIOUS guy (Strasburg) to take, I’d much rather have two of the top 40 guys than one.
Using Baseball America’s Top 100: Would you trade Matt Weiters for Brian Matusz and Yonder Alonso?
"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."
by mikev on Jun 24, 2009 12:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't see any deal
Ever happening with the Giant’s and A’s unless they are willing to get something good for something good. I read the Giants board and they are dillusional thinking they can get J.Dye(W.Sox still in it FYI Giant fans), J. Francuer(I thought they wanted to improve their offense?), DeRosa(They think they are the only team interested), or any other player out there for 2nd rate prospects or players in return. The deals they suggest seem to suggest they think they are in the drivers seat when it comes to a position of power for these trades…which they aren’t because there are so many teams out there with the same exact needs.
by AthleticsReign on Jun 24, 2009 11:20 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think that the key point is hidden in this comment
A’s and Giants fans are incredibly far away, with regards to this trade.
Fans of a team pretty much always overvalue their own players and undervalue players from other systems. Plus, as A’s fans, we are always looking for the “f***ing a” trade that isn’t always realistic.
by colin on Jun 24, 2009 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
by micdog2001 on Jun 24, 2009 6:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That idea is
Almost as bad as the ludicrous idea that someone would trade Tim Hudson for Charles Thomas…..oh wait a minute, that did happen….damn.
The greenmachine
by greenmachine on Jun 24, 2009 1:12 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
and dan meyer and cruz
yeah….not that much better..
by asyouwish33 on Jun 24, 2009 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Dan Meyer is tearing it up with Florida
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 1:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah that's right
not sure if he figured things out, or if his shoulder is finally fully healed, but it’s good to see him get some success.
by asyouwish33 on Jun 24, 2009 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh my f-ing god.
I didn’t know this, and wish I never did.
by humdinger on Jun 24, 2009 2:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah I know.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 2:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You mean he is ungodly lucky?
nearly a 90% strand rate when the league average is 70% and a 209 BABIP might have something to do with it… his rest of the year ZIPs projects him with an ERA of above 5.
In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK
by designatedforassignment on Jun 24, 2009 2:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I saw that B4
I can accept hitters getting better when they leave but that is just unacceptable for pitchers to get better when they leave.
by AthleticsReign on Jun 24, 2009 2:55 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
No way
Giants
Alderson- Never heard of him
Athletics
Braden- Possible ace
Kennedy and Holliday- Two better hitters in the lineup
Ian Anderson
by Oaktown123 on Jun 24, 2009 3:28 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Ah - applying the ol' "have I personally heard of him" rule!
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Jun 24, 2009 4:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not good at judging trades when it comes to prospects
because “I have never heard of him” also. but yeah, that trade would suck.
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
by micdog2001 on Jun 24, 2009 6:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Forget prospects ...
Matt Holliday for Manny Ramirez.
by StickRat on Jun 24, 2009 3:53 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
We'd just bitch about his inability to play SS.
Some motherfcukers are always trying to ice skate uphill - Blade.
by OldhamA on Jun 24, 2009 4:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How about Holliday for Hanley Ramirez instead? The result would still be the same – we would just bitch about his inability to play SS too
by DeJay on Jun 25, 2009 6:14 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

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