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NO(t)STRADAMUS: My Favorite (AN) Mistake

Did you make it this far?  Whew!

Like I always say, any writer can lose his readers in the story itself.  It takes a special brand of boredom to disengage the audience in the headline.  But when you see an opportunity to mix Cheryl Crow, a French apothecary, and nonsensical grammar into the title of a fanpost, you don't hesitate; you act.  You start slinging apostrophes now and ask questions later.                                                                         

This is my first post in more than six weeks, and only my third in the last three months.  I've also dropped game threads this year after managing Friday night's action last season.  At first I thought I AN would struggle without eye-popping post-game headlines ("A's lose 7-0") and pulse-quickening teasers to the overflow game threads ("the game continues").  But somehow the site has held on.

With today's off-day for the A's, I'd like to turn the focus back on AN and introduce Athletics Nation NO(t)STRADAMUS, a celebration of self-deprecation.  In (Not)stradamus, we each look back at our own bold, sometimes ill-advised predictions made in fanposts and comments.  Especially in the preseason, but really all year long, we all enjoy "throwing darts at the board" and attempting to handicap the A's playoff chances, possible free agent signings, and hypothetical trades.  The goal here is to look back at your own predictions over the last few months or years, and find the one that missed the worst.  Looking back at your own archive on your personal AN page, you want to find the dart that not only missed the board, but impaled the bartender standing 6 feet to the left.

It could be a comment in a game thread or fanpost, or it could be a full-length diary you wrote that, looking back, really missed the mark.

Here are the ground rules:

  1. You can make fun of your own poor predictions - and mine too of course, since it's my absurd idea - but please refrain from piling on when other people post their own NO(t)STRADAMUSes.  Just chuckle quietly at your computer...they'll never know.  But please do feel free to rip on your own contribution.  It's easier to be funny when you're self-deprecating, and it doesn't offend.
  2. Using the AN search function or your comment archive on your personal AN page, try to find the actual comment or diary and link to it.  Sometimes it can be good entertainment to look back at an old discussion to see how strongly everyone involved felt about it at the time.
  3. If you want, you can provide your own follow-up or context to the link.

I'll get it started.  Without further ado, here's a few AN pieces I'd like to have back: 

Can I get off now?  What a trainwreck.   The time stamp for this post says it was made it in the afternoon, but you'd swear I wrote it at 3 a.m., bleary-eyed and in nothing but my G.I. Joe boxers.  (Don't lie.  You've checked AN in a similar state once or twice yourself).  Apparently at the time I was willing to give Rafael Furcal $60 million dollars.  Remind me of this the next time I mention that my dream job would've been to be a major-league GM.  As we know, Furcal ended up signing with the the Dodgers for literally half the guaranteed money that I suggested, and now has an OBP south of .300 and a nearly identical SLG% a quarter of the way through the year.  Don't wait for the women and children to calmly get off the $60M Furcal Train.  Just shove and push and do whatever you need to do to save yourself from that disaster of an idea. 

What do you get when you cram the talents of Rajai Davis, Donnie Murphy, Chris Denorfia, Bobby McRosby, Emil Brown, and Old Sweeney into the same lineup? 

A giant pool of suck, that's what.

But no!  Apparently I can clearly to point to April 24th of last year as a date on which that I was a flaming idiot.   At the time, my calculus was clearly this:

Against left handed pitching,

three mediocre right-handed hitters + SIX more shitacular right-handed hitters =

wait for it...

The Super Lineup. 

This worked a grand total of once, against the Francisco Liriano the first time it was deployed last season.   Then left-handed pitchers leaguewide remembered that those players are not good at baseball.

I just have a feeling this one already sucks, even without the benefit of hindsight or anyone reading it yet. 

 

So how about you, AN?  What's your prediction or proclamation you'd like to have back? 

 

 

0 recs  |  Comment 64 comments |

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Wow! Twice as nice.

JK. Have not been a member long enough to have any posts that I regret but I am sure I will get there. Nice post, looking forward to reading all the replies.

by swishergirl510 on May 27, 2009 10:26 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

So good you posted it twice!

"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."

by mikev on May 27, 2009 10:42 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Ha, sorry about that.

Just got rid of the double-posting. Apologies to 67Marquez – can you re-post yours if you get a chance? It was the only comment in the other post, and I deleted that entire entry since it was an accidental double-post. Thank you.

Batting 4th for the 2014 San Jose A's: 26-year-old RF Justin Upton, in the 1st season of a nine year, $250M deal.

by notsellingjeans on May 27, 2009 11:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

i'd like to have memorial day weekend back

"If Bowden was a general contractor, he'd build houses with nine bedrooms, six garages, no bathrooms, and half a roof."

by DyeLongJustice on May 27, 2009 10:46 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

oh ya, and the 'whole signing Giambi is a good thing' back too

"If Bowden was a general contractor, he'd build houses with nine bedrooms, six garages, no bathrooms, and half a roof."

by DyeLongJustice on May 27, 2009 10:47 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Geez

You would think people would have commented in the top post.

And sure, nsj, delete the guy who actually posted a link. (But seriously, great to see you on the front page again).

Anyways, I would love to have this proclamation back.

I'm here to talk about the past.

by 67MARQUEZ on May 28, 2009 12:00 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Me?

Pretty much every single prediction I’ve ever made in a game thread.

You do have to admit though, Rally Salma was working quite well for the first week of the season or so.

"To this day and dating back 25 years, before every game he plays, Henderson stands completely naked in front of a full length locker room mirror and says, "Ricky’s the best," for several minutes."

by VORP is too nerdy on May 28, 2009 12:25 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

To fall in line with the thread...

Here I predict a Jack Cust HR.

… and…it’s a long single that hits the wall.

"To this day and dating back 25 years, before every game he plays, Henderson stands completely naked in front of a full length locker room mirror and says, "Ricky’s the best," for several minutes."

by VORP is too nerdy on May 28, 2009 12:28 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

hmm

I don’t post much and I think the only thing I’ve ever really predicted was that the A’s would be god awful this season. I wish I could put that here. I really like this concept though, even though people aren’t always willing to make themselves look like morons. Some of my favorite FJM posts were when he took moron sportswriters making predictions that couldn’t be more wrong, even though hindsight is 20/20 its also hilarious.

by yo on May 28, 2009 2:29 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Preparing for the 2010 NO(t)STRADAMUS

1. A’s will finally release the useless Chavy, Crosby, Davis, ad nauseum
2. Holliday will be traded for a slugging 3B
3. For just one year, BB does NOT trade away any of our rotation talent
4. Ditto for not acquiring any broken down veteran bargains next winter

by redtopcowboy on May 28, 2009 5:08 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Well that's way more likely.

Nico: Okay. We have twelve hours to make a really big pickle.

by pam5981 on May 28, 2009 12:26 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I remember thinking Chavez

might be productive, Giambi was a good idea, and Nomar would make a nice insurance policy. The idea of wading into a hopeless pool of optimism is to heartbreaking.

"You may glory in a team triumphant, but you fall in love with a team in defeat."--The Boys of Summer

by alox on May 28, 2009 7:01 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Chavez being productive

I think a lot of us fall into that trap. Despite mountains of evidence to the contrary.

by colin on May 28, 2009 8:46 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

More like a

“floater”

"You may glory in a team triumphant, but you fall in love with a team in defeat."--The Boys of Summer

by alox on May 28, 2009 1:45 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think we played this game before . . .

I always go back to my very first post, November 04, as my “oops, that sh*t was off”:

A question
This may be something that was discussed on an earlier thread, but it’s something I don’t see here.
When Chavy’s contract was being extended, it was reported he was talking to BB about certain assurances that, I believe, was who else was going to be held on to. I have to believe this was who of the big 3.

Now Chavy & Huddy are the elder statesmen of the team & good friends, so my guess is that BB plans to hold on to Huddy, but I could be wrong.

Thoughts?

by OaklandInvader on Nov 12, 2004 3:53 PM PST actions 0 recs

link

"Get heavy!" - Kotsay

by OaklandInvader on May 28, 2009 9:53 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Looking back at that Hot Stove thread there are actually a lot of doozies . . .

The Bronson Arroyo and Byung-Hyun Kim for Huddy from Boston is hilarious, and the overall discussion of the big three, particularly Zito, is good, mind you this was just months before Huddy & Mulder were shipped off . . . .

"Get heavy!" - Kotsay

by OaklandInvader on May 28, 2009 9:58 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dare I say...

Bronson Arroyo + B.K. Kim > Dan Meyer +Juan Cruz + Charles Thomas

Yikes.

by Colorado Fan on May 28, 2009 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dan Meyer?

Didn’t he fetch a good trade? Beane got a Foil Charizard for him I think.

by MobiusKlein on May 28, 2009 2:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1 for the Pokemon reference

if only because it brings back memories of 8th grade. I miss my old gameboy.

"If Bowden was a general contractor, he'd build houses with nine bedrooms, six garages, no bathrooms, and half a roof."

by DyeLongJustice on May 28, 2009 5:55 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

sadly it was

a counterfeit charizard. if only he knew the stats blastoise was soon to put up…

by chipper1001 on May 28, 2009 7:47 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Here's my two epic fail predictions

1. 10/29/08- This fanpost

This is more for situational irony than anything else. Making the case against trading for Holliday, then Beane trading for Matty within weeks.

I still shudder at the thought of rentals, but I’ve warmed up to the Holliday trade since that thing was written.

2. Now this came out totally false in hindsight:

11/16/08- "Dunn isn’t a better value than Giambi.

There are no 12-14 win players. Albert Pujols was 10 wins above replacement, and he’s the best player in the game. I pegged Dunn as about a 3 win replacement over Barton, and Barton’s barely over replacement level when taking into account offense, defense, and position.

If its between Dunn and Giambi, Giambi is the better bet because he’s cheaper. Both suck with the glove, and both shouldn’t be in the field. And, Dunn comes with a bigger deal than Giambi does. He’ll be under contract when Barton/Carter/Doolittle are ready to contribute at the big league level. Giambi won’t. And, a 2 year deal is much less of a risk than a 4 year deal.

As long as Giambino comes on a two year deal, that is. Any longer and Giambi should be shown the door."

link

Needless to say, Dunn has massively, massively outperformed Giambi.

"And you just don't get it, you keep it copacetic..."

by Blicks on May 28, 2009 10:20 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

And I quote... (ahem)

“I’ll flush with pride when Crosby hits .270 with 18 bombs (bold prediction!)”

On November 16, 2006.

My God.

by Joey C. on May 28, 2009 11:37 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

um...i don't think i have words for how ballsy that one is.

ken korach's voice is like peanut butter on velvet, not joe buck's.

by mrbendy on May 28, 2009 2:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

My shame is my own

But feel free to think of this any time you worry you’ve said something egregiously stupid.

by Joey C. on May 28, 2009 3:56 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Buy bear stearns

that one still haunts me.

by Future Ed on May 28, 2009 12:36 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Ha ha ha...

This is the best one!

"Where's the beef?"

by MMunoz33 on May 29, 2009 6:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Comment looking-up help

Ok, I’m probably overlooking something incredibly obvious, but is there a way to look at a list of my comments from AN while separating out comments from other SBN blogs without using the search feature?

The closest thing I can find is the “Recent Comments” section that has the last 5 comments made on AN.

There is no gravity - the earth just sucks.

by JLeverenz on May 28, 2009 12:52 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

In the search AN bar type in your screen name.

"It calms down as we get further from Opening Day " Jeff

by tresselfan on May 29, 2009 1:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

ahh, that makes sense

I figured it would be something like that. Thanks!

There is no gravity - the earth just sucks.

by JLeverenz on May 31, 2009 11:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

In 2007 I thought we should trade cust so that we could keep dan Johnson.... oops

I think that has been my greatest baseball analysis related gaffe.

In play, run(s)! Talk dirty to me gamecast, talk dirty. - Nevermoor on FK

by designatedforassignment on May 28, 2009 1:36 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I predicted (2 minutes after it happened) that my computer would crash

last night.

After buying a new power supply and motherboard (just in case) and two trips back to the computer store, it now works.

While I was there I bought some more memory to give it 4 GB for the two 3000 mhz processors I have in it. Anyway, it was the power supply and the only reason I thought it might be the motherboard was that it started up in safe mode and then died in normal mode. It then would light up and die instantly. I figured the power was not getting to the MB.

I have only been posting for like 18 months so all my “we are going to score this inning” predictions only came thru about 1 out of 30.

Of course the “Springer is a POS and should be released” is half true at the moment

And the 855 Geren should be fired tirades of mine, have not come true yet.

I did post a GAME OVER this week and we won but that is rare in itself. When I post game over, I really think it’s over and I am pissed off when I post it.

by Trainman on May 28, 2009 2:44 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

My Favorite (AN) Mistake?

Does it have to be about baseball?

Nico: Okay. We have twelve hours to make a really big pickle.

by pam5981 on May 28, 2009 2:45 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I was rather fond of the time you actually posted

“cxcxcxcx”

"I’m Joey Devine, I’m what Joba Chamberlain would be if he was good and nobody had ever heard of him."

by mikev on May 28, 2009 3:32 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Only my obsessive preview habit has saved me from posting that.

Several times.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on May 28, 2009 6:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, hell.

Can I change mine?

I'm here to talk about the past.

by 67MARQUEZ on May 28, 2009 4:16 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Holy crap.

The internet may not be big enough to contain all of mine.

"You may glory in a team triumphant, but you fall in love with a team in defeat."--The Boys of Summer

by alox on May 28, 2009 4:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

What happens at Chez Nico stays at Chez Nico.

Batting 4th for the 2014 San Jose A's: 26-year-old RF Justin Upton, in the 1st season of a nine year, $250M deal.

by notsellingjeans on May 28, 2009 4:25 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good rule.

Nico: Okay. We have twelve hours to make a really big pickle.

by pam5981 on May 28, 2009 5:19 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nice post

The one that recently comes to mind is that I said that the A’s offense would be markedly better this year. That definitely has not come to fruition yet. And it may not.

by Tyler Bleszinski on May 28, 2009 4:13 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

All the people who said "and then they'll DFA Rajai Davis", sound off now!

Feels like I read that here every day.

AN was so much better before I got here.

by stormtown on May 28, 2009 4:52 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

DFA DFA?

Why, that’s too literal!!!

"And you just don't get it, you keep it copacetic..."

by Blicks on May 28, 2009 5:49 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Shameless.

"And you just don't get it, you keep it copacetic..."

by Blicks on May 28, 2009 5:49 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I held off saying that until the end of April.

I’m on the hook for this month though.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on May 28, 2009 6:41 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I can't find the AN post, but I know that I predicted

the Mariners to win the AL West last year.

Checking the 2008 final standings now, I see that the Angels finished 100-62 and the Mariners finished 61-101, so yeah, I was a little off with that one.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on May 28, 2009 6:43 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

My bad!

Meant to be written as tongue-in-cheek and loaded with sarcasm, my fan post titled Optimistic about the 2007? Don’t be!

Not only did the main ideas of this post blow up in my face like I was a Coyote with an explosive ACME product, how in the ____ did I leave out the word ‘season’. Now I could have played this off as though I wasn’t kidding about the content in this one — many people who commented there thought that I was being serious.

by LowcountryJoe on May 28, 2009 8:16 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

that was a funny post for sure. love it!

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on May 28, 2009 11:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I didn't post it on here but...

I definitely gloated to my Angels fan friends that Devine was going to destroy the competition this year and that the A’s would be scoring a lot of runs.

by DDroney on May 28, 2009 9:42 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I predict I won't make any more bad preditctions!

"If Bowden was a general contractor, he'd build houses with nine bedrooms, six garages, no bathrooms, and half a roof."

by DyeLongJustice on May 28, 2009 9:43 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

All I could find was this:

I think Beane will Rule 5 a Shortstop

Instead of a guy who we all knew wouldn’t be an A.

rebuildingseason.blogspot.com

by Rebuilding Season on May 28, 2009 10:22 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I remember posting something about Duke

making 30 starts and being in the Cy Young discussion.

Major “oops!” on my part.

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on May 28, 2009 11:14 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

From GOG #0

I predicted the A’s top innings-eater would be Eveland. D’oh!

"Until Holiday comes around, I will refer to him as Coors Light." Ak_A

by doctorK on May 29, 2009 9:18 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

I didn’t post it here, but I made a bet that the A’s would have more wins than the Giants this year. Kinda wish I can take that back now.

Booyah!

by what_the_crap on May 29, 2009 9:32 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

join the club!!!

"And you just don't get it, you keep it copacetic..."

by Blicks on May 29, 2009 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

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