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The Cust Ship Has All But Sailed...

Slusser just announced via twitter that the A's have announced they will not tender a contract to Jack Cust

http://twitter.com/susanslusser/status/6612415431

Star-divide

Frankly, I can't say I'm surprised but that doesn't limit my disappointment. Perhaps Cust has exhausted his potential with the A's and is on the downside of his career, but I feel he has 1-2 good years left.

Regardless, just wanted to make the post so we could have a place to discuss Cust and others who have been non-tendered.

Notable Players who were not tendered a contract:

-Garrett Atkins

-Jonny Gomes

-Chien-Ming Wang

*Rumor is that Kevin Correia was also notified that the Padres will not tender a contract.

Anybody here you think the A's should consider?

Comment 795 comments  |  3 recs  | 

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This is a sad day

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 12, 2009 3:46 PM PST reply actions  

Agreed

Not just athletes, Athletics.

by Wiers103 on Dec 12, 2009 4:12 PM PST up reply actions  

A's should add Carlos Delgado

He could play a Frank Thomas dh role on the team
Also add two pitchers forn cheap Noah Lowry and Chien Ming Wong

There are no weapons of mass destruction in Iraq Chuck Norris lives in Texas

by Mike Fox on Dec 16, 2009 8:34 PM PST up reply actions  

Both of them are low risk high reward

There are no weapons of mass destruction in Iraq Chuck Norris lives in Texas

by Mike Fox on Dec 16, 2009 8:37 PM PST up reply actions  

also I think the A's should go back and get Erik Byrnes

sign him to a minor league deal and he could be good again

There are no weapons of mass destruction in Iraq Chuck Norris lives in Texas

by Mike Fox on Dec 16, 2009 8:39 PM PST up reply actions  

Wow, whoever makes it to 11 HR's in 2010 is the A's HR leader!

I’m really hoping they are still going to sign, is there any waiting period now?

by brian.only on Dec 12, 2009 3:54 PM PST reply actions  

I don't understand this at all

How on earth was Cust not worth a few million? This is ridiculous.

by el generico on Dec 12, 2009 3:57 PM PST reply actions  

Closer to $4million

All could be DH options eventually
Fox
Everidge
Powell
Extra OF (Hairston/Buck)
Barton, Wallace,Carter

by MagicMike23 on Dec 12, 2009 4:03 PM PST up reply actions  

And, in 2010, Cust is significantly better than all of those guys

At $4 million, Cust is a bargain with trade value. There’s no logical reason to give up on Cust for Jake Fox or Tommy fucking Everidge. That’s just stupid if that’s the plan.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 12, 2009 4:04 PM PST up reply actions  

This team isnt contending in 2010

So why pay $4mill ot a DH in a rebuilding season.

by MagicMike23 on Dec 12, 2009 4:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, in that case, release everybody making more than the minimum.

There are multiple reasons to keep him (now).

1) He has trade value, and moving him later is better than effectively releasing him now
2) The guys likely to replace him suck (Everidge), or pretty close to suck (Fox), or aren’t ready and shouldn’t have service time wasted on what will likely be failure (Carter, Wallace).
3) I’d rather have Cust at $4 million than Hairston at free, but I tend to think Hairston is tremendously terrible at big-boy American League everyday baseball.

I’m not saying the A’s should keep Cust forever. I’m saying it makes no sense to unload him today, for nothing, when he’s still the team’s best hitter. It’s baffling, really. Yes, there are other live bodies to take his place. But that doesn’t mean they have anybody to actually replace him.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 12, 2009 4:08 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

Did Gomes, Atkins, Jonson have value?

Believe me, i’m sure they had cust trade discussions at the winter meetings. We’ll see if they apply these saving towards any other roster improvements

by MagicMike23 on Dec 12, 2009 4:12 PM PST up reply actions  

Jonson? You mean Nick Johnson? I think his body parts falling off on a regular basis hurts his value.

The other guys simply aren’t as good as Cust. Garret Atkins really blows. Jonny Gomes isn’t any better than that.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 12, 2009 4:16 PM PST up reply actions  

Actually, Johnson as a DH is kind of intriguing

The guy has a freaking .402 career OBP. If he can stay on the diamond someone, he’s one of the better hitters in the game. It wouldn’t be the worst idea in the world to sign him to DH and let Barton play 1B.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 4:34 PM PST up reply actions  

Maybe he can stay on Barton? (someone).

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 4:35 PM PST up reply actions  

Depends on the cost, but no, that's not a bad idea.

I’ve always liked Johnson for the obvious reasons, and disliked him for the obvious reasons. I’m not pining for the guy, but I’d much rather him as an alternative than Gomes, Atkins, or Matsui.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 12, 2009 7:16 PM PST up reply actions  

He's talking about Kelly Johnson

who is indeed an intriguing fellow. I don’t get non-tendering him, either.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 12, 2009 11:08 PM PST up reply actions  

KJ

  The problem with Kelly Johnson this year is he tried playing through a injury and when he came back he didn’t get very many ABs. He is a decent outfielder and slightly below average 2b. Unfortunately I don’t see him going to the A’s since he will be snatched up over the A’s price range.

by Arcman on Dec 12, 2009 11:12 PM PST up reply actions  

I actually meant Nick Johnson

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 11:24 PM PST up reply actions  

I wouldn't mind both Johnsons.

BOOM, TWSS!

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 12, 2009 11:24 PM PST up reply actions  

I already said that

Is that even allowed???

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 2:15 AM PST up reply actions  

wait, did YOU seriously just ask for an

effing foul on the TWSS shit?

Sock puppets have never been able to successfully attack castles. -NM

by Leopold Bloom on Dec 13, 2009 12:12 PM PST up reply actions  

more of a clarification, really

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 3:10 PM PST up reply actions  

a ruling?

Sock puppets have never been able to successfully attack castles. -NM

by Leopold Bloom on Dec 13, 2009 3:12 PM PST up reply actions  

I would rule as follows:

1. To say TWSS after the original poster already said TWSS is definitely tacky, so negative style points for that. The correct move would have been to just post nothing. (Also, the fact that Chuck spelled out TWSS makes it look like he didn’t recognize the acronym, which is possible if he’s a newbie around here.)

2. To add TWSS to your own post is also tacky, so negative style points for that, too. The correct move would have been to just make the comment, knowing full well that someone else would claim the inevitable TWSS.

3. As has been demonstrated time and again, nothing is enforceably disallowed, so to answer the question, yes, it’s allowed (but it’s tacky).

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 13, 2009 4:54 PM PST up reply actions  

I think the classiest way to do it would have been for mikev to just alleyoop the TWSS to someone else.

"Since other people actually read these threads, though, probably best that your particular brand of wrongness not go completely unchallenged." - PT

There are differing opinions on me. According to Iglew "DFA is PT with a sense of humor. PT is DFA with introspective self-doubt. I like them both" but according to sirbed Im "The Stats Killer"

by designatedforassignment on Dec 13, 2009 5:43 PM PST up reply actions  

+1

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 14, 2009 2:44 PM PST up reply actions  

It was a self alley oop.

Like this: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3YALOZpol-8

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 14, 2009 2:57 PM PST up reply actions  

Plead ignorance

But as this is a baseball board, you can’t hit your own hanging curves out of the park (unless you are Bugs Bunny).

by ChuckBudd on Dec 14, 2009 3:08 PM PST up reply actions  

TWSS
yes, it’s allowed (but it’s tacky)

A B -3X = Swedish girls like chocolate @('.')@

by monkeyball on Dec 17, 2009 11:51 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

I've always been a Johnson fan, though I'm not sure exactly how good he is.

I feel Atlanta has jerked him around so much, he could be awesome or terrible or anywhere in between. I wouldn’t mind the A’s taking a chance on him.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 1:16 AM PST up reply actions  

???

  Best hitter? I can name Suzuki, Sweeney, Davis, Ellis, and Kennedy as being better last year. Cust is a platoon player not worth 4 million a year. Cust is taking a risk by not resigning at $3 million thinking he can get a better offer somewhere else. As for trade value it was at 0. Since there is a surplus of DHs available out there. Cust should know don’t play poker with Beane because you will lose.

by Arcman on Dec 12, 2009 4:18 PM PST up reply actions  

I see you haven't started reading people's actual words

I never said they should, or would, trade Cust now. The trade value I speak of wasn’t referring to this minute, but in the future (say mid-season when teams are looking for left-handed power). Plus, Cust is likely to cost less than most of those DH options.

I only put so much stock in 2009, since Cust was trying to conform to the whims of an idiot manager. Even still, the guys you mentioned were NOT better hitters. In fact, you can’t even make legitimate arguments that they were (outside of Davis, who I like, but he’s obviously going to regress in 2010). Holliday, Davis, Barton were better than Cust last year. That’s it. Just saying something is true doesn’t make it so, ya know. The facts don’t support your statements (nothing new there).

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 12, 2009 4:23 PM PST up reply actions  

The A's could still go after Glaus on 1 year deal

and if that guy can stay even remotely healthy he can certainly mash.

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 4:32 PM PST up reply actions  

I haven't heard much about Glaus

so maybe his price tag wouldn’t be real high. Of course Bradon Lyon just got a 3 year 15 million dollar deal so who knows

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 4:41 PM PST up reply actions  

do platoon players have an OBP of .400 in the second half?

Cust had .399, thats, um, real good. K’s and decreasing HRs or not.

by PL78 on Dec 12, 2009 5:45 PM PST up reply actions  

Arcman has been making things up about Cust for two years now

I forgot I used to ignore that stuff. Still working off the AN rust I guess.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 12, 2009 7:17 PM PST up reply actions  

Stats speak for themselves

  Jack cust vs lefties this year.. .221 avg, OBA .321 and Slg of .300. That is not good considering Bobby Crosby vs lefties.out hit Cust and don’t ask me about Barton vs lefties who he crushed. I just burned thejd44 with the stats…Whats that smoke???
  He is a platoon player. He can’t hit lefties. face it or is your real name Jack Cust’s dad?

by Arcman on Dec 12, 2009 10:50 PM PST up reply actions  

Cust's career OBP vs. LHP is .353

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 10:53 PM PST up reply actions  

On the decline

  Check Johnnie Gomes stats against lefties if you eye popping numbers but just like Cust he is a platoon player since he is so much weaker vs righties. Atkins is the same way a platoon player.
  Cust last year hit 3 homers in 140 ABs. That is not good. The A’s need more balance since there is to many one sided hitters in the lineup. Hairston is a good example of to one sided. You can’t win with players that out perform against one side.

by Arcman on Dec 12, 2009 11:03 PM PST up reply actions  

you know only 28% of pitchers in MLB are left handed right?

thats almost less then half.

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 12, 2009 11:20 PM PST up reply actions   2 recs

that amused me

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 13, 2009 3:18 AM PST up reply actions  

Recommended

- For being funny
- For standing up to Kasth8rz
- For referencing my research

by elcroata on Dec 13, 2009 5:23 AM PST up reply actions  

Unfortunately that sums up the A's

  Most of the players is good only against 1 side. Please get some more players that hit both sides.

by Arcman on Dec 13, 2009 8:19 AM PST up reply actions  

Yeesh.

Your day breaks, your mind aches.
You find that all her words of kindness linger on
when she no longer needs you.

by danmerqury on Dec 12, 2009 11:03 PM PST up reply actions  

His power was still down

.426 SLG

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 13, 2009 12:23 AM PST up reply actions  

so the 36 remaining fans dont run out on the team

"They (The 1989 A's) are the best team I ever saw"- Mike Krukow

by 9Custs on Dec 12, 2009 10:16 PM PST up reply actions  

because watching him hit HRs is entertaining

the power drought was bad enough WITH Jack Cust.

You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}

by micdog2001 on Dec 14, 2009 11:11 AM PST up reply actions  

If he had trade value they would have traded him

They attempted to trade him but no one wanted him. If signs for over 4 million a year than he had trade value. But I doubt he will sign somewhere for over 4 million.

by OnlybuyBeaneJerseys on Dec 13, 2009 11:09 AM PST up reply actions  

They did? How do you know they attempted to trade him?

I didn’t see that anywhere.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 12:01 PM PST up reply actions  

They were only rumors so its obviously not fact.

But the rumors also said that they planned on Non-tendering him.

by OnlybuyBeaneJerseys on Dec 13, 2009 3:10 PM PST up reply actions  

If the rumor was true then it was fact.

Every hitter likes fastballs, just like everybody likes ice cream. But you don't like it when someone's stuffing it into you by the gallon. That's what it feels like when Nolan Ryan's thrown balls by you. ~Reggie Jackson

by UncleLeo on Dec 13, 2009 4:10 PM PST up reply actions  

Ok, wait, your logic is totally flawed here

Either teams were interested, as your link suggests (which means he had trade value!), or nobody wanted him.

Make up your mind here.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 10:36 PM PST up reply actions  

isn't obvious that Cust doesn't have trade value..

Beane probably found that out at the winter meetings when no team was serious about obtaining him.

by sf drift king on Dec 14, 2009 9:32 PM PST up reply actions  

They Better Re-Sign Him

Beane says it doesn’t preclude possibility of re-signing him. Otherwise I do not understand this at all.

Cust is the new Jaha.

by johnjahafanclub on Dec 12, 2009 4:02 PM PST reply actions  

That's certainly a possibility

A few years back they non-tendered Calero, then signed him for less than they would have had to pay him otherwise. Of course, another team could sign Cust. But I’m not sure he would get $4 million from another team, especially not with the glut of DH types on the market this offseason.

by OaklandSi on Dec 12, 2009 5:42 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

A non-tender

Means the team did not offer the player a contract. They were required to offer him a contract with pay determined by arbitration by today, or he would automatically become a free agent. Players can also agree to a contract with a fixed pay amount, but often don’t, feeling they have more leverage with arbitration on the horizon.

by el generico on Dec 12, 2009 6:00 PM PST up reply actions  

Oh that makes MUCH more sense

I thought it meant he was over-cooked.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 6:11 PM PST up reply actions  

Thanks....maybe the fax machine broke!!

He hasn’t been my favorite player – but I hope there’s some plan here….seems like some of the players that might have been a boost for us have signed elsewhere. Does it mean the team really doesn’t want him or just want to be able to negotiate more flexibly or a willing to gamble on losing him if some other team wants him?

by Berry Jo on Dec 12, 2009 6:23 PM PST up reply actions  

he's gamey

"They (The 1989 A's) are the best team I ever saw"- Mike Krukow

by 9Custs on Dec 12, 2009 10:16 PM PST up reply actions  

i may be an outlier here

but i actually feel that this a good move for the a’s.

we are not supposed to contend in 2010, so even if cust has a good year or 2 left in him, it wouldnt really help us out much. also, having dh open allows us to see what our prospects can do when they’re READY without having to sacrifice defense or someone else

by thewhizkid on Dec 12, 2009 4:03 PM PST reply actions  

I can't really agree with this reasoning

Just because the A’s aren’t expected to contend in 2010 doesn’t mean they should just start flushing value down the toilet. Cust provides value to the team, even at ~$4M, the A’s aren’t desperate for cash so there doesn’t seem to be any good reason to punt on Cust right now. The only way I could see this being a good decision is if the A’s are able to sign at a lower figure on the open market.

by OkayJay81 on Dec 12, 2009 4:41 PM PST up reply actions  

By releasing Cust it allows for some of the younger guys to get playing time.

I would much rather give this year to find out if Cunningham or others can play in the big leagues. Rotating the outfielders using the DH spot is a simple way to do that. They also have Powell who needs to get more time as batter and he has upside with power and average.

"Whether you think you can, or you think you can't, either way, YOU'RE RIGHT !"

by Eastbayjim on Dec 12, 2009 4:55 PM PST up reply actions  

There are ways to get people at bats

The A’s could just rotate the hitters through the outfield spots without involving the DH, or give Cust some days off as part of the rotation. Some of the young guys like Wallace, Carter, and Doolittle could use some more time in AAA anyways. And in the worst case scenario that June rolls around and the A’s actually have so many hitters ready and able to play that Cust is the worst option then you can try to make a trade and get some value back for him. There could be a squeeze for AB’s as the season rolls on, but letting go of a guy who is actually good at hitting for nothing to avoid a hypothetical problem in the future doesn’t seem like the best plan for the A’s.

by OkayJay81 on Dec 12, 2009 5:05 PM PST up reply actions  

dislike

Is this the real life-
Is this just fantasy-
Caught in a landslide-
No escape from reality-

by Daniel777 on Dec 12, 2009 6:21 PM PST up reply actions  

dislike

"The A's get some action but they do not score..." -Glen Kuiper

"Anyone who calls themselves the Angels Angels should have to start over and ride the short bus." -timmeh from McCovey Chronicles

by Cheezombie on Dec 12, 2009 7:56 PM PST up reply actions  

Braiiinsssss!

Sock puppets have never been able to successfully attack castles. -NM

by Leopold Bloom on Dec 13, 2009 1:59 PM PST up reply actions  

KHAAAAAAAANNNNNNNN!!!!!!!

"Camelot sure fell apart, didn't it?"-Steve McCatty

by 5Aces on Dec 14, 2009 8:47 AM PST up reply actions  

STELLLLLLAAAAAAAAAA!!!

Your day breaks, your mind aches.
You find that all her words of kindness linger on
when she no longer needs you.

by danmerqury on Dec 14, 2009 9:54 AM PST up reply actions  

this

Is this the real life-
Is this just fantasy-
Caught in a landslide-
No escape from reality-

by Daniel777 on Dec 12, 2009 6:38 PM PST up reply actions  

is wrong

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 12, 2009 6:50 PM PST up reply actions  

Is this the real life-
Is this just fantasy-
Caught in a landslide-
No escape from reality-

by Daniel777 on Dec 12, 2009 6:58 PM PST up reply actions  

LMAO! Wow. Any post that says the arbitration system OVERPAYS players should really not be read any further

But I did read further, and I think there’s a huge disconnect in what I said and what people assume I mean.

While I have a huge soft spot for Cust, I’m not overvaluing him. My comments are based on the idea that Cust was going to get about $4 million (which I think was overinflated and not true anyway – I think $3.5 would’ve done the trick). There’s just no way that Cust isn’t a better value at $4 million than a guy like Matsui at $8. Who are all these viable DH options? Are we going back to Jonny Gomes and his ilk? Because those guys really aren’t any good.

It’s true that Cust probably won’t be on the team next time they make the playoffs, but that doesn’t mean there’s any good reason to get rid of him today. A year from now I wouldn’t be making that post, but not today. Carter isn’t ready. Wallace probably isn’t ready. Fox isn’t very good. There really aren’t any other viable internal options, and I don’t see any viable external ones that also will come on the cheap.

This is clearly a money thing, so what should the A’s do with the saved money? This is where there are options, but from what I’ve heard so far this offseason, I’m just too scared that it’s going to be pissed away on veterans who shouldn’t be signed anyway. If the A’s go out and put money into a prized LA signing, or to pay a young, affordable player through a trade or something I’ll change my mind.

I still would rather have seen Hairston sent packing. Now there’s a platoon player. And not even the “good” side of the platoon.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 12, 2009 7:25 PM PST up reply actions  

It helps if you actually read what is written

What I said was “the arbitration system…overpays limited and/or declining players.” Most players in their arbitration years are significantly younger and have a lot more upside. Cust is on the wrong side of 30 and his production has declined steadily for two years. And yet he was virtually assured of getting a large raise from the $2.8 million he earned last year, even though one might logically conclude that his numbers are likely to continue their decline.

Looking at your prior post, you think Cust “should get, at least, a $5 million contract from some other team”. Five million dollars is also the upper end of what media outlets were predicting he might get in arbitration. If he gets that, then I’ll agree you have not overvalued him. If he doesn’t get that then you’re wrong and you have overvalued him.

by andyinfremont on Dec 12, 2009 8:27 PM PST up reply actions  

A better argument is that the arbitration system overpays home run hitters

which is true. Ryan Howard and Prince Fielder getting ridiculously stupid arb awards while better players get a third the money is evidence of a serious flaw in the system.

(It’s also why the A’s need to be incredibly careful with Chris Carter’s service time to make absolutely certain they squeeze three and a half cheap seasons out of him, although the way they’ve been pointlessly pissing away young players’ service time in recent months doesn’t make me all that optimistic on that front. Especially now that the one guy who was clearly and self-evidently a better DH option just got inexplicably non-tendered…)

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 12, 2009 11:15 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

It's not a better argument

just different. Regardless, Cust is nowhere near as good as either Howard or Fielder, much less “better”, if that’s your belief.

Cust career: .239 AVG, .374 OBP, .455 SLG, 829 OPS
Howard career: .279 AVG, .376 OBP, .586 SLG, 962 OPS
Fielder career: .284 AVG, .381 OBP, .550 SLG, 931 OPS

At $4-5 million, you could easily argue that Cust is a better value than than Howard/Fielder, but that’s only if he maintains his career numbers, which he didn’t do this year. If the downward trend continues, then Cust probably isn’t worth $4-5 million considering his other limitations/liabilities.

I agree about being careful with Chris Carter’s service time, but I’m more hopeful than you are about that being handled well. Whose service time do you think was pointlessly pissed away this year?

by andyinfremont on Dec 13, 2009 12:16 AM PST up reply actions  

Cahill and anderson

It is the same argument, but further defined.

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 13, 2009 12:23 AM PST up reply actions  

Yep

Total waste. Anderson should have 6 years of control left (3 of them at near-minimum salary). Cahill shouldn’t have any MLB service time at all yet.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 12:52 AM PST up reply actions  

In the "Ends justify the means" category

I’d argue that the A’s didn’t “piss” away Anderson’s service time because how he developed by the end of the season. I don’t think he’d be as far along if he’d spent half the year in AAA.

Cahill… yeah, pissing was involved.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 13, 2009 9:35 AM PST up reply actions  

I wasn't talking about Jack Cust; I know he's not as good as Ryan Howard

I was talking about players like Franklin Gutierrez.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 12:51 AM PST up reply actions  

This.

This doesn’t scare me as much about Cust’s bat skills as much as it does about the fact that it may mean one of Carter or Wallace is up Opening Day.

If the A’s go and sign another DH (eg. Jim Thome), it is justifiable to an extent, but if one of the prospects is Opening Day DH, there’s a HUGE problem.

"I generally avoid temptation unless I can't resist it" ~ Mae West

by Blicks on Dec 13, 2009 5:57 AM PST up reply actions  

Looks like Matsui will cost $6.5MM, and is going to the Angels.

He had a 131 OPS+ last year, very much in line with his career numbers save an injury marred 2008. By comparison, Jack Cust netted a 105.

"PECOTA can pretty much kiss my ass."-Nico

by jeepers on Dec 14, 2009 1:37 PM PST up reply actions  

105 is below Custs career mark

of 121. and not in line with te two previous years.

It seems James and “Fans” at f- graphs project the two players to have equal productio next year. FWIW.

And I am not sold Matsui is going to play as many games as Cust. He certainly has to sit durig NL park games. Cust dos not.

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 14, 2009 2:26 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm not getting all the way over reacting

Yes Cust is our top HR hitter, but doesn’t anyone remember the last 4 months of the season when he hit pretty much nothing. If I remember right, he was stuck on 40 RBI for what seemed like 2 months. He wasn’t producing any longer, whether it was his fault, the teams or just the league catching up doesn’t matter. If he continues to hit like he did last season, he would just be a black hole in the lineup and everyone here would be calling for his head.

At the price they would have to pay him, he isn’t worth the risk. If they do resign him, as there is a good chance of that, at a lower price, then he is worth the risk. People need to calm down. He probably will be back unless they have someone else in mind already.

Ooo! Piece of candy!

by ChickenStanley on Dec 12, 2009 8:50 PM PST up reply actions  

I stopped reading at RBI.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 12, 2009 9:03 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

C'mon now,.....

surely there are more letters in the alphabet than “RBI”….right?

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 9:23 PM PST up reply actions  

Testing...

Here’s the thing you’re missing, Mike. Jack Cust had 70 RBI last season. That’s less than Kurt Suzuki, and it doesn’t even rank in the top 50 RBI leaders in the AL. That’s why Megan Fox and Zigfan are naked wrestling in a tub full of jello and they’re calling for Mike V to come join them.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 12, 2009 10:42 PM PST up reply actions  

I don't know why it's so difficult for some people to acknowledge that...

…if your supposed best hitter struggles for much of the season and only finishes with 70 RBI, he was both the victim of a poor offense around him AND he didn’t produce runs like he was capable of doing. It’s not like it’s a one or the other kind of thing. They go together in this case and others, most of the time.

The odd thing is after the ASB his overall power/on-base numbers were better but he only drove in a run every 8.3 AB compared to every 6.75 AB prior to that, and after the break was when the team did more running and advancing bases.

Last of the Ninth - Photography

by Flashfire on Dec 12, 2009 11:04 PM PST up reply actions  

Except put Cust somewhere in that Yankees lineup (6th? 7th?)

And he probably has 90-100 RBIs. Maybe more, since I’m sure he has 30-35 HR playing in that stadium.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 1:19 AM PST up reply actions  

Seems to me that your first paragraph says "RBI isn't all that bad",

and your second says RBI is a shitty stat that doesn’t really show good a hitter really is.

Keep in mind, of course, that "the best defense of Derek Jeter's life" ranks somewhere in between "the best fiscal responsibility of Mike Tyson's life" and "the best not-getting-assassinated-ness of James Garfield's life." -FJM

by travdog6 on Dec 13, 2009 1:36 AM PST up reply actions  

The problem is a slugger/power hitter/whatever needs to be able to drive in runs...

…or he’s not as valuable has he ought to be.

A lot of this goes back to the “problem” of Cust walking so much and the three outcomes for most of his ABs. If he’s in that Yankee type of lineup thejd44 uses as an example, he’s a freakin’ stud because he’s going to hugely benefit from the others around him in the lineup as well as having those walks pay off more.

If he’s in the cleanup position in the A’s lineup or expected to be one of their primary RBI guys and he’s either homering or walking, it means others have to then drive HIM in instead. Their offense has not been good enough to do that AND he had trouble for much of last season bringing those runs around himself, even when their offense was better after the ASB (5.2 runs per game compared to 4.2, 9.8 hits per game to 8.4, .280 AVG to .246, .342 OBP to .316, .426 SLG to .371, .768 OPS to .687).

That’s mainly where the two sides I brought up fit in, as far as I can tell.

Of course I think he brings value to a team and a lineup, but it’s very clear someone like him isn’t a good fit in the A’s offense.

Last of the Ninth - Photography

by Flashfire on Dec 13, 2009 10:39 AM PST up reply actions  

Actual Markov chain analysis >>>>>> this stuff

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 1:41 PM PST up reply actions  

Thanks to your post, I avoided the whole thing.

My brain’s tendency to read the shorter post first worked out in my favor this time.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 1:18 AM PST up reply actions  

He doesnt have trade value

TheDJ44-If he would get 5 million from another club than he would have been traded. Cust signs somewhere else between what we wanted 3 and what Arbitration would have given him. 3-4 million per year.
I like Jack and had to defend him to fans at the Coliseum who yelled “you suck.” The guys our best hitter but this opens a lot of doors for us, including signing Cust for less.

by OnlybuyBeaneJerseys on Dec 13, 2009 11:20 AM PST up reply actions  

You're really going to call the Giambi signing

a move that “killed any hopes of winning baseball games?”

Really? He basically had the same year as your boy Cust in 2008 and was signed on the cheap. That he fell off so fast kinda sucked, but the move itself was fantastic in theory.

we in the losin baseball binness. and cousin, binness is a boomin.

by walk off bunt on Dec 13, 2009 12:29 PM PST up reply actions  

he also had a lot of off-the-field baggage

so I’m not surprised teams weren’t falling over themselves to sign him. (Though I normally agree with the sentiment that with a one-year contract it’s hard to go wrong)

"Do I talk to myself? No, I just remind myself of what I'm trying to do. You know, I never answer myself so how can I be talking to myself?" - Rickey

by cuppingmaster on Dec 13, 2009 4:45 PM PST up reply actions  

The move itself was braindead in theory

It was painfully obvious that Giambi was due for the massive collapse he suffered. The only surprising thing is that Beane didn’t see it.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 10:39 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm calling shenanigans

In what conceivable way was his massive collapse “painfully obvious.” Like I said, he literally had the same year as Cust in 08, and only a slight drop off, as opposed to basically career killing drop off, would have still left him a really productive offensive player.

we in the losin baseball binness. and cousin, binness is a boomin.

by walk off bunt on Dec 13, 2009 11:54 PM PST up reply actions  

The obviousness was as painful as the collapse was massive.

And as the sameness of the year was literal.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 14, 2009 12:04 AM PST up reply actions  

I call BS (to an extent)

Giambi was not going to OPS in the high .800s or put up a high UZR. That was painfully obvious. That Giambi would collapse to the extent he did was not obvious at all, although it was quite painful.

Giambi underperformed every projection system. Signing G was a move that was a marginal improvement at the time and it turned out that it was a disaster of epic proportions. The same could be said of the Cabrera acquisition.

"Loyal? I'm the most loyal player money can buy." - Don Sutton

by vignette17 on Dec 14, 2009 12:34 AM PST up reply actions  

I was commenting on the use of words.

I thought the “literal” part would make that clear. Giambi did not literally have the same year as Cust; his collapse had no mass; and however obvious that collapse may or may not have been, the obviousness caused no pain.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 14, 2009 9:47 AM PST up reply actions  

Strangely enough,

I just made cookies.

Sock puppets have never been able to successfully attack castles. -NM

by Leopold Bloom on Dec 14, 2009 10:46 AM PST up reply actions  

Are you diverticularly restored now?

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 14, 2009 11:13 AM PST up reply actions  

No.

Sock puppets have never been able to successfully attack castles. -NM

by Leopold Bloom on Dec 14, 2009 12:18 PM PST up reply actions  

But you're allowed to eat cookies?

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 14, 2009 1:04 PM PST up reply actions  

See, the troubling thing with not having insurance, a doctor or money is

that there really are no straight answers to receive.

Sock puppets have never been able to successfully attack castles. -NM

by Leopold Bloom on Dec 14, 2009 2:13 PM PST up reply actions  

Beware the stray peanut of destiny!

"Sniff some krazy glue, and start a religion!"- The Reverend Billy Lard

by Gaijin_Suketto on Dec 14, 2009 11:01 PM PST up reply actions  

No nuts or popcorn any longer.

Sock puppets have never been able to successfully attack castles. -NM

by Leopold Bloom on Dec 15, 2009 4:48 AM PST up reply actions  

Right, right

Literal, I know. I know.

we in the losin baseball binness. and cousin, binness is a boomin.

by walk off bunt on Dec 14, 2009 3:58 PM PST up reply actions  

He was in his late 30s, sucked ass on defense

oh yeah and wasn’t on steroids anymore.

The only things I heard IN FAVOR of Giambi were untrue, like “moving back to Oakland will let him hit to all fields again” as if somehow a left handed slugger does BETTER in an insane pitchers park as opposed to a stadium that’s completely built for… left handed sluggers The other argument was that his BABIP was low, and they would cite this article and say “LOOK IT EVEN SAYS SOMEBODY IS GOING TO GET A STEAL IN JASON GIAMBI!!!” expecting some meteoric rise in BABIP, but ignoring that his average BABIP since 2003 is .260

So, to recap: Old, can’t play defense, low BABIP has actually been the norm for the last 5 years, and we already have a REALLY GOOD 1B PROSPECT.

I wish I could find nevermoor’s “Giambi is totally redundant and makes no sense for us” posts from last offseason.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 14, 2009 7:50 AM PST up reply actions  

Yeah.

Not that it was hard, but I definitely called it.

Basically, he was all name, no production, old, and necessarily going to lose production moving to Oakland. I believe I ran the numbers early on, and Barton’s defensive advantage was enough to make the signing stupid independent of the additional salary. Adding the salary was just the last bit of crazy.

"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson

by nevermoor on Dec 14, 2009 10:17 AM PST up reply actions  

I remember that you were one of the few on my side during that debate.

So my question: Are the Matsui talks this year ringing as more of the same to you, too?

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 14, 2009 10:27 AM PST up reply actions  

Not as clearly

He’s a DH, and he’s 35, both of which are negatives but I don’t see why his BABIP can’t rebound a bit.

I’m against signing him, because he’ll be more expensive than Cust, equally not-part-of-the-future, and might have a hard transition to the Coliseum but he isn’t the obvious train wreck Giambi was (in part because there’s no Barton to block).

"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson

by nevermoor on Dec 14, 2009 10:38 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm pegging him for 0.8 WAR next year

and that’s based completely on the fact that he’s been alternating between 2.3 WAR and then 0.8 WAR in alternating seasons for the past 4 years

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 14, 2009 11:07 AM PST up reply actions  

Refer to all the posts I made on it a year ago

I don’t often go on and on about being right (I’m lying. I do this often), but I just can’t help it in this case. So many were on board with it, and for a bunch of reasons I never was. All of those reasons came to pass.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 14, 2009 10:24 AM PST up reply actions  

I have no issue with you correctly predicting it wouldn't work out

There were, as you most obviously know, plenty of reasons not to like the signing. But I take issue with the idea that it was this obviously egregious move that indicates Beane has somehow lost his mind.

we in the losin baseball binness. and cousin, binness is a boomin.

by walk off bunt on Dec 14, 2009 4:04 PM PST up reply actions  

Thank Geren

Didnt he recommend cust change his approach last spring?

by MagicMike23 on Dec 12, 2009 4:04 PM PST reply actions  

Yes. As usual, Bob Geren is the root of all Athletics problems.

I guess it really doesn’t matter what moves Beane makes, because as long as this clown is on the bench torpedoing A’s games, they don’t have a real shot to win anyway. I don’t think good managers add many wins, but Geren and other bad managers sure do cost teams.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 12, 2009 4:06 PM PST up reply actions  

There really isn't any serious evidence to suggest that

The articles about Cust’s new approach suggest that Cust himself approached the A’s hitting coach to work on cutting back on strike-outs. There were some quotes from Geren saying he thought Cust could be more productive if he struck out less which is simple common sense.

People love to vilify Geren but it really comes down to Cust performing on the field. He tried to make a change to get better, it didn’t work, and it looked like he was working on going back to his old approach.

by OkayJay81 on Dec 12, 2009 4:45 PM PST up reply actions  

Hey wait a minute

I’m pretty sure you’re not allowed to be fair about anyting that involves Geren on AN.

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 4:48 PM PST up reply actions  

"Cust could be more productive if he struck out less which is simple common sense."

Its actually not that simple in Cust’s case because he has the ability to hit the ball really far, and to do that he needs to swing really hard. When you swing hard you often either get the result of K or HR. In the 1st half Cust gave up HRs and K’s for Singles and other kinds of outs. It was terrible to watch. Cust’s natural game makes him K, and K’s arent even the worst out (GIDPs are). Plus the way Cust runs up pitch counts, in todays game where every SP has their counts closely monitored, that skill alone is worth its weight in gold. Its why O-Cab is such a bad hitter to have because he constantly swings on the 1st or 2nd pitch and grounds into so many DPs. Cust is the opposite. Im pretty sure you are winning more games by getting to the bullpen as early as you can. Players who help teams do that are valuable.

by PL78 on Dec 12, 2009 5:54 PM PST up reply actions  

The original stuff that talked about this had to do with him trying to cut down on swinging so hard with two strikes

That would imply that he could swing as hard as he normally would until that point. It became clear he changed more than just that though, taking fewer pitches as well.

Last of the Ninth - Photography

by Flashfire on Dec 12, 2009 6:04 PM PST up reply actions  

Geren saying that shows a total misunderstanding of how baseball players, especially plays of Cust's type, work

It’s absolutely not common sense that a player changing his entire approach to strike out less would make him better.

And the A’s coaching staff, starting with Geren, needed to say to Cust “Don’t change anything.” They didn’t. Even if the idea was sparked by the player, the coaches need to let him know that there wasn’t anything wrong with what he had done previously.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 12, 2009 7:27 PM PST up reply actions  

I guess I just disagree with that

Players make adjustments all the time and I think they should always be trying to get better. I don’t think it’s the coaches job to tell players, “No, your good enough, don’t work on your game anymore.” Yea there is a risk that tinkering with one aspect of your game can have negative affects, but that doesn’t mean you should stop trying to get better. In my opinion it’s the job of the player to recognize what he can and can’t do. If Cust can’t change his 2 strike approach without sapping his power, it’s on him to realize that.

I don’t think it’s Geren’s job to decide what improvements players are allowed to make, if Jack Cust wants to cut back on his strike outs then I would hope the coaches would support that, then it is the players job to make the adjustments.

by OkayJay81 on Dec 12, 2009 7:59 PM PST up reply actions  

The coaches should know that players of his type are only good because they're not afraid to strike out

And trying to get them to cut down on the Ks is going to negatively affect the other aspects of the game. Why do people insist on disagreeing with things 125 years of history have proven?

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 1:20 AM PST up reply actions  

Players of Cust's type are good because they take walks and possess prodigious power

It’s possible to have these two traits and not strike out as much as Cust does, 125 years of history has proven that. I agree that making adjustments to improve contact will necessarily have a negative effect on walk rate and can hurt isolated power, but it’s not clear how much those things will suffer for an individual player. It’s completely possible that the positives from an improved contact rate could outweigh the drops in the other areas.

I’m not even sure why this is such a huge deal, Cust tried to make improvements but failed to implement them successfully which caused him to struggle for a half season when the A’s were terrible anyway. He seemed to adjust back in the second half of the season.

by OkayJay81 on Dec 13, 2009 9:36 AM PST up reply actions  

It's possible for SOME guys to do this, but those guys are not of Cust's type.

Albert Pujols and Adam Dunn both walk and HR a lot. Pujols doesn’t K a lot. Hence, NOT THE SAME PLAYER TYPE.

You’re still trying to make a guy into a different player, and that’s just a bad idea.

The problem is the “improvements” he tried to make were guaranteed to hurt his OBP and SLG. A few more singles, a lot fewer walks and homers. That’s what anybody could’ve predicted, and that’s what happened.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 12:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Settle down a bit

Nobody said Cust could turn into Pujols or that Pujols and Dunn were the same type of player so that little bit of commentary doesn’t seem necessary.

The point I was trying to make was that it was not possible to know before hand to what degree Cust’s adjustments would affect his overall approach. It’s possible he could have added quite a bit more singles with only a few less walks and homers which would have been an improvement. Unfortunately it didn’t work out that way but I don’t think failure was the only possible outcome.

It just seems like your begging the question when you state that having Cust try to make better contact will necessarily lead to failure because he’s the “type” of player who needs to strike out a lot to be successful.

by OkayJay81 on Dec 13, 2009 1:12 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm pretty sure I remember Geren saying that he didn't want Cust in the upper part of the lineup because he strikes out too much.

That’s why Geren had him batting 6th opening night, and didn’t move Cust up in the order until he started cutting his strikeouts.

"The A's get some action but they do not score..." -Glen Kuiper

"Anyone who calls themselves the Angels Angels should have to start over and ride the short bus." -timmeh from McCovey Chronicles

by Cheezombie on Dec 12, 2009 8:02 PM PST up reply actions  

FIRE GEREN NOW

Hey Al, just go away, baby.

by doctorK on Dec 12, 2009 5:11 PM PST up reply actions  

est. 2006

"Sniff some krazy glue, and start a religion!"- The Reverend Billy Lard

by Gaijin_Suketto on Dec 14, 2009 11:04 PM PST up reply actions  

This doesn't mean the A's still won't sign him, per say.....

but it doesn’t look good. Who knows what this means, really?
Maybe those Matsui rumors were not rumors after all?
In any case, If Cust is indeed a goner, I wish him nothing but the best and I will definitely miss “The Babe”.

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 4:08 PM PST reply actions  

Jack Cust > Hideki Matsui

And anybody who doesn’t see that really, really wasn’t paying attention to Giambi last year. It’s so close to the same situation that it’s scary. Matsui doesn’t even reach 20 homers if he hits full-time in Oakland. And he’ll cost a lot more than Cust would.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 12, 2009 4:10 PM PST up reply actions  

Pass on matsui

He’s also older and more expensive than cust. Give me a DH by committee instead

by MagicMike23 on Dec 12, 2009 4:13 PM PST up reply actions  

Older, yes. More expensive, sure.

But the man can still hot the piss out of a baseball and he’s coming off a pretty nice performance in the 09’ WS.

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 4:18 PM PST up reply actions  

"hot the piss out of a baseball"

I’ve never heard that one before but I like it

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 4:20 PM PST up reply actions  

Whoops! My bad.... ;)'

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 4:20 PM PST up reply actions  

no not bad

even if it was a mistake it’s cool and I’m gonna start using it. It sounds like something an old school baseball man would say

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 4:22 PM PST up reply actions  

Kinda like, "Hot outta da box!" ?

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 4:22 PM PST up reply actions  

That man is hard core.

Anybody who has ever smoked a pack of Marlboro Reds and live to tell about it will tell you….and that guy smokes like 3-4 packs a day!

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 4:26 PM PST up reply actions  

he's been dead for 6 years

it’s just the nicotine that’s keeping his body moving

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 4:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Looking at Matsui's numbers, factoring age regression and considering that Yankee Stadium 2 was made for lefty HR hitters

I really don’t see how anybody can make an argument that he’d put up better 2010 numbers in Oakland than Cust would. Yes, this is the same argument I made concerning Barton/Giambi last offseason. Nobody listened to me then, so I’ll keep beating that same drum in hopes that Beane doesn’t make another horrible mistake.

If the Cust era really is over, then just plug in Jake Fox and hope for the best. Matsui is a waste of time and money.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 12, 2009 4:24 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes, I have heard the same sentiment from a few others here.

However, I would not be upset if Matsui was an Athletic in 2010. In fact I would love it!

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 4:34 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, a bit of both.

I have always liked and respected Matsui as a player, Yankee or not. It’s hard to justify what Matsui would cost in terms of both payroll for this team, and because if the A’s are looking to go even younger than Cust, then it’s a double whammy. However, as a fan, A’s fan especially, I can’t help but secretly be intrigued by a guy like Matsui. Say what you want about the data and him declining, but the man is entertaining, he can still mash, and I just like having some guys on this team that bring a little name recognition that are not washed up yet.

It might seem a bit strange to some, but I guess it’s just the baseball fan in me. And, I know I have said this a thousand times already, but Matsui “will” bring in the fringe/casual element of fans in to the Coliseum. Win or lose, it’s nice to have even a few more fans at the games when I go because it makes for a more intense environment. Okay, now I’m rambling so I’ll stop.

Again, nice to have you back amongst the living jd44!

Cheers-MRod

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 9:36 PM PST up reply actions  

As I said below, I do agree that he would be a draw - and he would generate revenue others wouldn't.

But I just think if he’s signed, by the end of May we’re all screaming for him to be released and Carter or Wallace or someone called up.

If they’re going to sign a stopgap, they may as well scrape the very bottom of the barrel and pay some guy a million to do the job.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 1:22 AM PST up reply actions  

couldn't agree more

about having more fans at the coliseum on a Tues night. I would love to see Godzilla in the green & gold !!!
I don’t have anything against Cust; I actually like the guy, but at this particular time, Beane made the right decision. The guy has no business in the outfield. He is a full-time DH, and we certainly have a number of players that could fill that role next year. It’s not about money folks… it’s just time for us to move in a different direction. We’re rebuilding and all, so it’s no big loss losing Cust. Frankly, I’d like to see what Cust can do if inserted into a lineup with some hitters in it.

by sf drift king on Dec 14, 2009 9:03 PM PST up reply actions  

To be fair, Matsui brings with him (if properly exploited) a LOT of non-wins-related revenue potential

That said, I wouldn’t exactly put a lot of emphasis on the A’s marketing department’s ability to exploit revenue potential…

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 12, 2009 11:20 PM PST up reply actions  

That's a valid argument.

I was speaking from a baseball standpoint.

Of course, how much revenue does one year of Matsui really generate?

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 1:21 AM PST up reply actions  

dozens.

he comes from a HUGE family

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 9:45 AM PST up reply actions  

Haha!

:)

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 13, 2009 9:58 AM PST up reply actions  

A lot, of course

But how much of his revenue generation was Matsui + Yankees, and not just Matsui on his own. Will the following be the same in Oakland?

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 12:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Did you see

Yabu’s following?

"Their batters are patient to the point that it's annoying." -Ryan Franklin

by Helloooo 1st on Dec 13, 2009 12:28 PM PST up reply actions  

About as much as I saw Yabu

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 13, 2009 12:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Was Yabu anything near the superstar Godzilla was in Japan?

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 14, 2009 2:52 PM PST up reply actions  

In a word

No

"Their batters are patient to the point that it's annoying." -Ryan Franklin

by Helloooo 1st on Dec 14, 2009 11:52 PM PST up reply actions  

iie

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 14, 2009 11:54 PM PST up reply actions  

Why would anyone ever look at home/road splits for any reason?

They tell you absolutely nothing.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 1:43 PM PST up reply actions  

Well

When you insinuate Matsui’s production was a creation of Yankee Stadium, it wouldn’t hurt to make sure he didn’t do something like hit drastically better on the road. Which he did.

I like Cust, I don’t think non-tendering him was a good idea. But I find very little reason to think Matsui wouldn’t outproduce him next year.

Whether Beane’s actually trying to sign him, and whether the dollar amount would actually be worth it are one thing.

But the Cust outrage is getting a little over the top when you’re saying things like “I really don’t see how anybody can make an argument that he’d put up better 2010 numbers in Oakland than Cust would.”

we in the losin baseball binness. and cousin, binness is a boomin.

by walk off bunt on Dec 13, 2009 2:16 PM PST up reply actions  

Not actually you, PaulThomas, of course.

we in the losin baseball binness. and cousin, binness is a boomin.

by walk off bunt on Dec 13, 2009 2:16 PM PST up reply actions  

The problem with home-road splits

is that they never rule out alternative possibilities.

For instance, it’s entirely possible that Matsui would have had a truly horrific home season had he been playing in Oakland last year, while putting up the same road numbers.

It’s entirely possible that Yankee Stadium bailed him out of having a horrific home season and instead made it appear merely mediocre.

Park adjustments are useful. Home-road splits, not useful.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 3:04 PM PST up reply actions  

Splits aren't terribly useful

Mainly due to sample size. Park factors have been show to be much better predictors of future performance.

"Loyal? I'm the most loyal player money can buy." - Don Sutton

by vignette17 on Dec 14, 2009 12:37 AM PST up reply actions  

Okay, I can go with that

But “splits aren’t terribly useful” isn’t “they tell you absolutely nothing.” They’re not bad for a quick snapshot at the very least, and people can dig deeper if they want to.

Last of the Ninth - Photography

by Flashfire on Dec 14, 2009 8:43 AM PST up reply actions  

I'd say they usually tell you absolutely nothing

When it’s breaking things down to 100 PA or fewer (as they often do when looking at 1 season of data).

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 14, 2009 10:27 AM PST up reply actions  

Yep.

The statistical noise involved in a sample that small makes the measurement worthless. The threshold for statistical significance is higher than you’d think.

Your day breaks, your mind aches.
You find that all her words of kindness linger on
when she no longer needs you.

by danmerqury on Dec 14, 2009 10:58 AM PST up reply actions  

Dude, what's gotten into you?

You’ve been unusually strident lately.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 13, 2009 5:30 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

Finals

I’m alternately stressed, cranky, and exhausted, depending on the exact spot in the exam cycle that I happen to be at.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 7:06 PM PST up reply actions  

Cool.

Good luck on the finals.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 13, 2009 8:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Just finished mine Friday

One more semester and I’m free! FREE!

by Joey C. on Dec 14, 2009 2:50 PM PST up reply actions  

Cold truth

  Cust is only a platoon DH with no defense. If the A’s are going to go with extra pitchers then they need a DH that can play on the field too. I do feel this opens a spot for a younger player and maybe a Travis Buck. Good move beane its time to look to the future not pray for a homerun.

by Arcman on Dec 12, 2009 4:13 PM PST reply actions  

boy Chien-Ming Wang

fell off the planet pretty quickly. I guess the poor Yankees will just have to get by with replacing him with either Lackey or Halladay.

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 4:13 PM PST reply actions  

I would take a shot

Use the cust savings + incentives

by MagicMike23 on Dec 12, 2009 4:17 PM PST up reply actions  

I'd would be interested in Correia, though.

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 4:20 PM PST up reply actions  

They did? Aw shit!

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 9:37 PM PST up reply actions  

speaking of Yankee pitchers

did they tender a contract to Gaudin? I’d love to get that guy back and give him another shot at starting.

by cityplANner on Dec 12, 2009 5:03 PM PST up reply actions  

If the A's are going to go after a pitcher in the Yanks minor league system

Josh Towers is ready and waiting bean A-Rod again

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 12, 2009 5:04 PM PST up reply actions  

He actually signed today

with the Dodgers.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 5:06 PM PST up reply actions  

This is too much for me.

won’t anything go right? EVER?

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 12, 2009 5:07 PM PST up reply actions  

yse

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 12, 2009 5:09 PM PST up reply actions  

Garko

I love saying that name it sounds like a James Bond villain

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 4:21 PM PST up reply actions  

Or like, Gonnie Garko?

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 4:21 PM PST up reply actions  

Not sure but he does make a chunk o' change!

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 4:24 PM PST up reply actions  

I can tell you that Geico is a F'd up insurance company

Not that any of them are good, but, Geico spends a ridiculous amount of their money on advertising and very little on it’s customers. And if you should ever get into an accident with someone that has Geico coverage….all I can say is “good luck”.

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 4:28 PM PST up reply actions  

I can't stand the Geico ads

I want to turn that little lizard into some boots

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 4:36 PM PST up reply actions  

that was good

I love Denis Leary but he only dropped 17 F Bombs in the clip and I know he can do better.

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 4:46 PM PST up reply actions  

Garko is like Cust except a lot worse and able to play 1B

The A’s don’t need anyone to play 1B.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 12, 2009 11:22 PM PST up reply actions  

meh...

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 4:19 PM PST reply actions  

and the saddest part of all

my AN screen name is now irrelevant
phooey.

"Never in your wildest alcoholic dreams could you conjure up a game like this!" Ken Korach

by jackcustismyhero32 on Dec 12, 2009 4:26 PM PST reply actions  

Welcome to the club!

"Sorry guys, I’m not going to try and hit (Douglas) Murray anymore. It doesn’t work." - Steve Ott, Dallas Stars.

by SwisherThresher on Dec 12, 2009 5:01 PM PST up reply actions  

When's our next meeting?

"When I was a boy of 14, my father was so ignorant I could hardly stand to have the old man around. But when I got to be 21, I was astonished at how much the old man had learned in seven years."

by LongLiveLangerhans on Dec 12, 2009 5:17 PM PST up reply actions  

LOL

Hey Al, just go away, baby.

by doctorK on Dec 12, 2009 5:18 PM PST up reply actions  

PTBNL and DFA will always be current.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 12, 2009 5:31 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

I think this is appropriate

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 12, 2009 5:32 PM PST up reply actions  

I really think I might get a jersey like this.

I certainly won’t spend money on a player-specific A’s jersey unless and until I make six figures a year.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 12, 2009 7:28 PM PST up reply actions  

There's a reason I customized it and saved it on my personal website.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 12, 2009 8:32 PM PST up reply actions  

I'd have to go with #15

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 13, 2009 12:27 AM PST up reply actions  

27 for me, please...

"Sniff some krazy glue, and start a religion!"- The Reverend Billy Lard

by Gaijin_Suketto on Dec 14, 2009 11:12 PM PST up reply actions  

Safe from the zombie attack?

Whew! Thanks Cap’n.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 12, 2009 10:44 PM PST up reply actions  

Only if you massively retaliate

and immediately exterminate the zombies. Or so goes the cutting-edge epidemiological thinking (works for AL GMs too):

“The most effective way to contain the rise of the undead is to hit hard and hit often.”

Everybody's got a little light under the sun.

by FreeSeatUpgrade on Dec 13, 2009 9:48 AM PST up reply actions  

hey!

Sock puppets have never been able to successfully attack castles. -NM

by Leopold Bloom on Dec 13, 2009 12:26 PM PST up reply actions  

yup yup... but its also never was team or player specific.

"Since other people actually read these threads, though, probably best that your particular brand of wrongness not go completely unchallenged." - PT

There are differing opinions on me. According to Iglew "DFA is PT with a sense of humor. PT is DFA with introspective self-doubt. I like them both" but according to sirbed Im "The Stats Killer"

by designatedforassignment on Dec 12, 2009 6:43 PM PST up reply actions  

Langerhans was just non-tendered by the M's

Maybe the A’s can get him long enough to play a home game this time.

Hey Al, just go away, baby.

by doctorK on Dec 12, 2009 6:55 PM PST up reply actions  

It's destiny.

"When I was a boy of 14, my father was so ignorant I could hardly stand to have the old man around. But when I got to be 21, I was astonished at how much the old man had learned in seven years."

by LongLiveLangerhans on Dec 12, 2009 7:17 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, at least we can look at the situation and say that the A's aren't the only team making weird "cost-cutting" moves

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 12, 2009 11:23 PM PST up reply actions  

wow

so next year’s A’s are likely to not have a single player w/ 25 HR’s

thanks Billy!

by my_cat_max on Dec 12, 2009 4:31 PM PST reply actions  

You don't know that yet.

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 4:36 PM PST up reply actions  

I have Ryan Sweeney down for 28 HRs.

Just look at the kid’s frame!!!!

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 4:37 PM PST up reply actions  

28?

Heck he’s going to be like Canseco and go 40/40 and then date Madonna (which was a better idea in the late 80’s)

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 4:39 PM PST up reply actions  

If the choices are

the late 80s” or “her late 80s” then… yeah.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 4:40 PM PST up reply actions  

lady gaga would be a more appropriate choice for a Madonna-like girl for Sweeney

"Do I talk to myself? No, I just remind myself of what I'm trying to do. You know, I never answer myself so how can I be talking to myself?" - Rickey

by cuppingmaster on Dec 13, 2009 4:54 PM PST up reply actions  

Let's see what Mr. Beane does

it’s still pretty early in the off-season guys.

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 4:37 PM PST up reply actions  

20. You mean 20.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 12, 2009 7:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Most of all my favorite players were recent A's

Ziegler is the only one left :(

(Others are Cust, Swish, Blanton, Street, Hannahan, the non A being Ohlendorf)

Oh, but if I catch a line drive by a girl, that’s girl-on-girl action, the twiceness is eliminated, and it just counts once - gigglingone

by closetasfan on Dec 12, 2009 4:48 PM PST reply actions  

It's hard to root for individual players on the A's anymore

they don’t tend to stay for long. I think in many ways the A’s are the ultimate root for laundry team.

The last players I was attached to were Hudson and Miggy and after they both left I kind of gave up on getting to interested in any one player.

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 4:51 PM PST up reply actions  

Beane has said many times over the past year or two

that what he’s trying to build right now is a team that can grow up, and stay, together. Having had my heart broken Miggy, Miggy times, this makes me very happy.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 4:55 PM PST up reply actions  

I hope it happens

it would be nice to see some of these guys play more than a few years for the A’s.

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 5:01 PM PST up reply actions  

and it hurt to see harden sign with the rangers.

you know he’s gonna have an 8 inning, 14 strikeout game against us…

"They (The 1989 A's) are the best team I ever saw"- Mike Krukow

by 9Custs on Dec 12, 2009 10:07 PM PST up reply actions  

and that will be the only game he pitches all season long!

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 10:18 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

If I were drinking milk,

the screen would be white and drippy right now.

In reality, it’s only a bit spittley.

"Sniff some krazy glue, and start a religion!"- The Reverend Billy Lard

by Gaijin_Suketto on Dec 14, 2009 11:14 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, but Sidney Ponson could have an 8 inning, 14 K game against the lineup the A’s will be trotting out.

Sometimes the impossible can become possible if you're AWESOME!

by ZeroIndulgence on Dec 12, 2009 10:27 PM PST up reply actions  

No, because the A's are getting rid of their good hitters who strike out

It’ll be 9 innings, 10 strikeouts, but nobody actually gets on base.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 1:23 AM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, I'm trying to get psyched about Brett Anderson, but he looks a bit too much like a guppy

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 12, 2009 4:51 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, but he's OUR guppy!

"Sniff some krazy glue, and start a religion!"- The Reverend Billy Lard

by Gaijin_Suketto on Dec 14, 2009 11:14 PM PST up reply actions  

Jack Cust, the solution

ok, so I’ve had a little time to think about this, and this is what I’ve come up with.

I’m going to pay Jack Cust to come and hang out in my flat and watch baseball with me. It’s not going to be weird, unless it’s late and we’re both drunk and lonely or something. Anyway, I digress.

Here’s the problem. I don’t have four million dollars. I know, I know it sounds like it, but hey. So, this is what I’m going to do. I’m going to write a song, and sell it on the internets to raise money. It’s going to be called “(don’t) slip out the back, Jack”, in reference to him trying to escape. Ha ha, we’ll all laugh about that as we’re eating our lettuce soup.

Anyway, I believe that this is the most – nay, only! – rational solution.

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 12, 2009 4:51 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

Why choose between the soup or salad when you can have both!

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 4:56 PM PST up reply actions  

it's extra

Sock puppets have never been able to successfully attack castles. -NM

by Leopold Bloom on Dec 13, 2009 12:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Well

After what you wrote there, tossing the salad might be more appropriate.

Just sayin…

Ooo! Piece of candy!

by ChickenStanley on Dec 12, 2009 8:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Some prefer their salad with no dressing......

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 9:39 PM PST up reply actions  

And their Sweeney

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 10:38 PM PST up reply actions  

Too late

I heard they gave all the internet money to the Canadians, who were subsequently set adrift.

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 14, 2009 2:54 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm not your pal, buddy.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 14, 2009 3:06 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm not your buddy, friend.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 14, 2009 3:10 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm not your friend, pal.

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 14, 2009 3:40 PM PST up reply actions  

Actually,

it’s friend, buddy, and guy.

“I’m not your friend, buddy.”
“I’m not your buddy, guy.”
“I’m not your guy, friend.”

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 14, 2009 3:41 PM PST up reply actions  

Hey, I have a great idea

Let’s not bother keeping our best hitter!

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 12, 2009 4:59 PM PST reply actions   4 recs

Son of a bitch.

The Jack Cust sitting on my desk is shaking his head at me. Over and over and over.

Your day breaks, your mind aches.
You find that all her words of kindness linger on
when she no longer needs you.

by danmerqury on Dec 12, 2009 5:00 PM PST reply actions  

With a head that bobbles.

Your day breaks, your mind aches.
You find that all her words of kindness linger on
when she no longer needs you.

by danmerqury on Dec 12, 2009 5:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Jack Cust fills both of those areas now.

I’m gonna go cry in a corner.

Your day breaks, your mind aches.
You find that all her words of kindness linger on
when she no longer needs you.

by danmerqury on Dec 12, 2009 6:08 PM PST up reply actions  

One of the heads on your desk is my least favorite person ever.

Many innocent lives were lost due to the callous actions of Carney Lansford, and I have suspicions that his coaching staff fixed the 1948 Gold Glove. If only Wayne Gross had lived just a little bit longer, the club wouldn’t have cheated to win the 1945 title. They didn’t have to destroy Fenway Park to show the Red Sox they couldn’t win the pennant. They could have destroyed an abandoned stadium instead, far away from the fans. Either way, the demonstration would have won the pennant. They didn’t have to use it in a game.

Who was the other guy, again?

"Sniff some krazy glue, and start a religion!"- The Reverend Billy Lard

by Gaijin_Suketto on Dec 14, 2009 11:34 PM PST up reply actions  

`

"Starbucks doesn’t change its logo just because it no longer serves naked mermaids in Fremont." —Librocrat

by iglew on Dec 15, 2009 1:15 AM PST up reply actions  

I thought I was gonna get a CGV for that one,

not a funnier joke in response!

Awesome!

"Sniff some krazy glue, and start a religion!"- The Reverend Billy Lard

by Gaijin_Suketto on Dec 15, 2009 12:51 PM PST up reply actions  

I love Jack Cust

I hope BB somehow resigns… him despite this development.

Hey, I just bought the team from Lew Wolff... who wants to play third?

by emperor nobody on Dec 12, 2009 5:07 PM PST reply actions  

Gomes was nontendered too

hmmmm………

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 12, 2009 5:09 PM PST reply actions  

He and braden would fight too much.

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 12, 2009 5:09 PM PST up reply actions  

My friend, who is from Petaluma, would like this very much

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 12, 2009 5:16 PM PST up reply actions  

Gomes is a Petaluma boy, right?

I seem to remember him absolutely crushing the ball every time he came to the Coli

by cityplANner on Dec 12, 2009 5:16 PM PST up reply actions  

rrrr, where can i find stats isolated for a single ballpark?

I tried baseball reference and the baseball cube already. Maybe I just missed them.

by cityplANner on Dec 12, 2009 5:23 PM PST up reply actions  

Go to his BB-ref page, select 'Splits' and 'Career'

Ballpark splits are at the bottom of the page. Gomes has a .853 OPS in 38 lifetime plate appearances in Oakland, with one homer and three doubles.

Hey Al, just go away, baby.

by doctorK on Dec 12, 2009 5:35 PM PST up reply actions  

SSS

Shit Storm Sasquatch?

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 9:40 PM PST up reply actions  

Can we get Jonny Gomes and Jhonny Peralta,

but make sure NOT to get anyone named Johnny?

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 10:39 PM PST up reply actions  

Gomes' career stats are little better than I thought

If you look at his home/away career splits, his career .801 OPS is not just a “friendly home park” phenomenon. And he handles RHP decently for someone who mashes LHP at an appealing clip.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 5:17 PM PST up reply actions  

don't forget his vital role as 'player sitting on the bench cheering the most'

during the Phillies WS run the other year.

Now them’s intangibles you can base a haircut around

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 12, 2009 5:19 PM PST up reply actions  

obviously when I say 'Phillies', I mean, 'Rays'.

Ahem.

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 12, 2009 6:32 PM PST up reply actions  

Like 600K, according to Cots

he signed a minor league deal and then had his contract purchased.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 12, 2009 5:31 PM PST up reply actions  

This farking sucks

Cust has been my favorite A of the last three seasons (excepting when they made him play defense). Whoever they replace him with had better be ten shades of awesome, or next season is really going to suck.

Hey Al, just go away, baby.

by doctorK on Dec 12, 2009 5:19 PM PST reply actions  

I don't get this move at all.

Unless the A’s are hellbent on getting the highest draft pick possible, why would you not give Cust arbitration? No possibility of draft picks, no home runs, no possible trade bait. Nothing. Cust at anywhere under $5 mm is a bargain, and with all the money the A’s have, non tendering him is inexcusable.

Keep in mind, of course, that "the best defense of Derek Jeter's life" ranks somewhere in between "the best fiscal responsibility of Mike Tyson's life" and "the best not-getting-assassinated-ness of James Garfield's life." -FJM

by travdog6 on Dec 12, 2009 5:29 PM PST reply actions  

I too am perplexed by this.

I wasn’t actually a huge fan of Cust personally, but I sure did think he is worth what he’d get in arbitration. I don’t see how non-tendering him makes sense in any scenario.

As I said before, they must know something I don’t.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 12, 2009 5:33 PM PST reply actions  

maybe they're worried about the balance of weight on the Athletics Airbus

and if they’re planning on having Wallace up next year, and, say, Gio has been showing Brett around the street food stands of Miami, this could prove to be an issue.

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 12, 2009 5:38 PM PST up reply actions  

I hope Beane knows something I don't

or the A’s are in deep s**t as I would be almost as bad a GM as Dayton Moore.

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 5:39 PM PST up reply actions  

that no one else will offer Cust $4 million?

…and the A’s may be able to re-sign him for what he earned last season (or even less)?

by OaklandSi on Dec 12, 2009 5:53 PM PST up reply actions  

Here's another thought I had.

Maybe Beane knew that Cust wanted to try out the free market, and Beane decided to let him have a shot as a favor to Cust. Maybe they agree that he’s probably good for around $4m in arbitration and they both know that’s a good deal for the A’s, but Cust thinks maybe he can make more elsewhere and Beane is willing to give him a shot at finding out.

Now admittedly, I wasn’t aware of Beane having that sort of relationship with Cust, but still, it’s not unprecedented for Beane to do something like that for a player that he’s friendly with, even if it comes at a cost to the team in terms of dollars-per-WAR. (That’s actually one of the things I like about the A’s front office, that sometimes they care more about their people than maximizing their bottom line in wins and dollars, even though I know some others on AN feel the opposite about that.)

It’s not a good explanation, but it’s better than any other explanation I can think of.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 12, 2009 11:17 PM PST up reply actions  

What are these precedents you speak of?

I’m not being confrontational, I just don’t ever recall thinking that (aside from “We fully support Justin in his recovery because life is more important than baseball”-type PR stuff).

The artist formerly known as HigherPie.

by vegAN ryAN on Dec 12, 2009 11:20 PM PST up reply actions  

The team has often released veterans who wanted to have a better shot at playing time somewhere else

They could have hung on to Springer, for instance, but they let him get claimed on waivers so he’d have a shot at a playoff run.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 12, 2009 11:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Trying to trade Hudson to Atlanta because he's from there comes to mind,

along with not trading or cutting veterans like Piazza and Nomar as per their preferences.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 11:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Susan Slusser pretty much says that Cust asked to be non-tendered.

“I told Billy, ’I’m going to be 31 years old, I’ve got to see what’s out there,’ " Cust said. “I have to do what’s best for my family. I spent a lot of years riding the bus, not making any money. But Oakland was the team that gave me an opportunity, and I’m very grateful for that.”

Read more: Oakland lets Cust go, but door is still open

by LoneStranger on Dec 12, 2009 11:54 PM PST up reply actions  

That makes me happy

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 12, 2009 11:55 PM PST up reply actions  

mind you, its no way to run a railroad

but its heatwarming

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 12, 2009 11:56 PM PST up reply actions  

hm... I'm not convinced that I like Jack as much now

speaking as someone who hasn’t known where his next paycheck has been coming from for nearly a year now, the idea that making over a million is somehow penalising a person sticks in the craw a little.

I mean, fair play, you want to maximize your earnings potential, but, hm. Maybe I’m just being a little sensitive there and should just get over it.

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 13, 2009 3:24 AM PST up reply actions  

No, you're right on...

It bugs me, too.

"The only way I'm going to get a Gold Glove is with a can of spray paint." - Reggie Jackson

by the_rozeboom on Dec 13, 2009 8:08 AM PST up reply actions  

on reflection, that may have been the beer talking

I think I should just get over it..

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 13, 2009 8:47 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm sure there will be one or two I'll regret tomorrow too.

I’m late to the Cust pity party… looking for leftover half-beers without cigarette butts in them to drink…

"Sniff some krazy glue, and start a religion!"- The Reverend Billy Lard

by Gaijin_Suketto on Dec 14, 2009 11:42 PM PST up reply actions  

And based on what Slusser writes below...

I’m not bugged anymore

"The only way I'm going to get a Gold Glove is with a can of spray paint." - Reggie Jackson

by the_rozeboom on Dec 13, 2009 12:46 PM PST up reply actions  

I don't think it's so much about looking for a huge payday, or pinching pennies and wanting $4.5 mil instead of $4 mil

I think he’s hoping to get a 2 or 3 year deal. If anything, I’d think someone in your situation (and I know what it’s like, believe me) would respect a guy who wants some security.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 12:13 PM PST up reply actions  

yeah, my post was hasty and ill considered

the timestamp might be a pointer as to why…

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 14, 2009 11:23 AM PST up reply actions  

Well this is huge, and completely changes contradicts what I thought the case was.

Hopefully he’ll be back.

Keep in mind, of course, that "the best defense of Derek Jeter's life" ranks somewhere in between "the best fiscal responsibility of Mike Tyson's life" and "the best not-getting-assassinated-ness of James Garfield's life." -FJM

by travdog6 on Dec 13, 2009 1:38 AM PST up reply actions  

Hey everyone - Cust did not ask to be non-tendered

Perhaps I should have made that clearer. That was in response to the door still being open in Oakland, i.e., he will go out and explore his options now that he has been non-tendered, as I said in the paragraph before that quote.

No one would ask to be non-tendered rather than go to arbitration, at least not after leading a team in homers three years in a row. Sorry if that led to such conclusions, I know Jack wouldn’t want anyone to think he’d wanted to be non-tendered. He did not.

by slusser on Dec 13, 2009 8:06 AM PST up reply actions   3 recs

Thanks for clarifying, SuSlu.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 13, 2009 8:09 AM PST up reply actions  

Ho much did the A's offer?

  That is what I would like to know and how much Cust wanted from arbitration.

by Arcman on Dec 13, 2009 8:11 AM PST up reply actions  

they didn't offer him a contract, so they didn't offer him anything.

that’s what is meant by “non-tendered.”

Now that Cust is a free agent the A’s ARE free to offer him a contract — but so are other teams.

by OaklandSi on Dec 13, 2009 8:15 AM PST up reply actions  

Sorry, that was my fault.

I looked at what he said, and it really sounded like he went to Billy and asked to be able to look at other teams. Then that colored my glasses for the rest of the article.

by LoneStranger on Dec 13, 2009 8:57 AM PST up reply actions  

To err is human

To come on AN and clarify earns you brownie points.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 13, 2009 9:40 AM PST up reply actions  

Oh, wow.

Good to know. Thanks, Susan.

Your day breaks, your mind aches.
You find that all her words of kindness linger on
when she no longer needs you.

by danmerqury on Dec 13, 2009 10:35 AM PST up reply actions  

Maybe Cust out played Billy

  Since Cust knew the A’s picked up Fox and seen the writing on the wall with the A’s having so many DHs in the minors. He knows his ABs will be down next year and his future with the team is cloudy. Him and his agent told Billy he wants $5 million a year. Knowing Billy would release him so he could be a early free agent and get a contract longer than 1 year. Cust did say he wants a more secure future so can’t blame him for trying that.

by Arcman on Dec 13, 2009 8:08 AM PST up reply actions  

Except the A's and Cust would both have to submit an arby figure,

and Cust could only get what an arbitrator would award while the A’s would have a chance to argue and win the lower amount.

So if Cust asked for 5mil he’d lose. If he asked for 4mil and the A’s offered 3mil, Cust could only get one of those two amounts and the A’s would have a good chance of arguing their way to a 3mil contract.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 13, 2009 9:55 AM PST up reply actions  

Would Beane take the chance?

  With arbitration it is a crap shoot. Cust may have been given $5 million.

by Arcman on Dec 13, 2009 10:49 AM PST up reply actions  

that's why teams and players generally agree to contracts and avoid arbitration.

It’s just curious that the two sides weren’t even apparently interested in coming to a fair deal that botha greed on.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 10:53 AM PST up reply actions  

No fox = deal

  Without Fox the A’s would have signed Cust is my thoughts.

by Arcman on Dec 13, 2009 10:56 AM PST up reply actions  

Mistah Cust, he dead

Everybody's got a little light under the sun.

by FreeSeatUpgrade on Dec 12, 2009 5:45 PM PST reply actions  

wait the A's killled Jack?

wow Beane isn’t f***ing around anymore

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 5:51 PM PST up reply actions  

He just wanted to borrow two-fitty

I'll have a sandwich and a draft(sic). - Bill King (RIP)

by BleedGreen on Dec 12, 2009 5:59 PM PST up reply actions  

TREE-fitty

Oh, now it’s only two-fitty! What, is there a sale on Loch Ness munchies or something?

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 12, 2009 10:51 PM PST up reply actions  

In other news...

Kendall signs with KC.

The Royals. The baseball team. You may have heard of them.

I'll have a sandwich and a draft(sic). - Bill King (RIP)

by BleedGreen on Dec 12, 2009 6:03 PM PST reply actions  

Woo hoo! Whatever. Woo hoo!

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 6:12 PM PST up reply actions  

I dunno, I give a "fuck, now better players won't get playing time" for Hairston

That trade bugs me more and more all the time, and not because I miss the three guys traded. I just really hate every time Hairston comes to bat when it could be Buck or Cunningham (or, now, Cust).

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 12, 2009 7:31 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm not quite at that stage yet

But I do have a tendancy to grasp at straws. I still think there’s a chance that Hairston will be non terrible (and I guess at this stage, it seems more likely him than Buck), though I can see why you’d be pissed at seeing him out there.

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 12, 2009 7:46 PM PST up reply actions  

Hairston's an above average player

I don’t really get why jd is flipping out about 100-odd bad PA in Oakland when the guy had a bum leg.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 12, 2009 11:29 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

I'd like to see him play with a healthy leg this season

before I pass judgement on him.

It sure seems like the outfield is going to be Harriston/Davis/Sweeney unless there’s a trade.

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 11:38 PM PST up reply actions  

No, it's not just that.

Hairston is an interesting guy to me. He’s had a strange career, done well in places you’d think he wouldn’t, kinda seems like a platoon player (but other times not).

I wish he would just be something already, but more than that, I don’t think his ceiling is high enough (also, he’s only a year younger than Cust!) to be worth taking playing time away from the other young OFs.

Plus, his career .702 OPS vs. RHP just isn’t inspiring at all. I’d be ok with a Buck/Hairston platoon, but I also really, really want Cunningham on the field.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 1:30 AM PST up reply actions  

I've been saying this

for sometime now, and I am sure that i’m not alone but I would LOVE to see a Hairston/Sweeney platoon. Sweeney did improve some against LHP last season, but platooning the two at one corner OF position would produce a pretty damn solid season out of that position. It would also open the door for one of our younger OF’s to get a shot considering Sweeney/Hairston would essentially become one player.

by JPShark on Dec 13, 2009 8:29 AM PST up reply actions  

That would be an interesting platoon situation

Sweeney was a really freaking good OF last year.

But then, I do think Sweeney/Hairston would be a freaking elite platoon. As in, I think if the two were platooned, it would be like a 5-6 WAR beast platoon.

Or some kind of three way rotation between Sweeney, Davis, and Hairston (if you’re judging by WAR, Sweeney was the A’s best position player last year)… Seriously, the A’s have a surplus in the OF, considering that Cunningham needs playing time.

"I generally avoid temptation unless I can't resist it" ~ Mae West

by Blicks on Dec 13, 2009 11:08 AM PST up reply actions  

Thing is, you lose Sweeney's defense against LHP

And given how good his defense is in RF, you may not want to lose the defense by platooning him.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 13, 2009 12:50 PM PST up reply actions  

Hmm...
I’d be ok with a Buck/Hairston platoon, but I also really, really want Cunningham on the field.

Exactly.

Hairston’s an above average player. I agree with that. I don’t mind the trade that brought him in.

That’s not the problem. But Cunningham should be getting regular PAs. It’s just a confusing OF situation, considering Sweeney and Rajai put up awesome seasons in the OF last year (although Rajai might have had a career year, IDK)

"I generally avoid temptation unless I can't resist it" ~ Mae West

by Blicks on Dec 13, 2009 11:02 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm not sure he is above average

A .700 OPS against righties for his career just isn’t inspiring. And he’s not special defensively.

He’s just a guy to me, and I have hopes that Cunningham and Buck and everyone else is more than just a guy.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 12:16 PM PST up reply actions  

I see Hairston as "ever so slightly above average"

Which is fine when you’re marking time, and not so good when you’re competing.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 13, 2009 12:51 PM PST up reply actions  

"For his career" is reaching back a long, long way

The projection systems call him the best-hitting outfielder on the team, and almost certainly the second-best overall once you account for defense.

He’s slightly worse than average against RHP, but in order to replace him you need someone else (well, 3 someones) who is BETTER than average against RHP. And right now, the A’s really don’t have 3 players fitting that description.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 1:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Who knows...

maybe a couple weeks from now the A’s won’t have 3 players at all!

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 13, 2009 1:51 PM PST up reply actions  

Can't see Buck or Cunningham

As the OF’s of the future. Neither is the prospect they once were considered. I think right now its Hairston holding down the fort until they can “train” Carter to be a LF. He is slightly above average which is great for a plug.

by OnlybuyBeaneJerseys on Dec 13, 2009 1:52 PM PST up reply actions  

Cunningham is 23 years old

I think it’s a little soon to be writing him off as over the hill…

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 2:11 PM PST up reply actions  

He put up good numbers for his age

At AA and AAA. I’m not an expert on the A’s minor league system but isnt his “ceiling” considered lower than Grant Desme. Please feel free to correct me!

by OnlybuyBeaneJerseys on Dec 13, 2009 3:08 PM PST up reply actions  

Having a lower ceiling does not make you a worse prospect

especially when the higher-ceiling guy is one as (generally) risky and (specifically) injury-prone as Grant Desme.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 3:12 PM PST up reply actions  

Cause you have to hide the shitty defender somewhere

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 3:14 PM PST up reply actions  

Oh, good, I'm glad you told me that.

Since TotalZone says he’s -8 runs compared to average at first base, so I accidentally thought he was a bad first baseman and was put in the outfield because LF is the easiest position not named DH for fielders.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 3:24 PM PST up reply actions  

I stand corrected.

Guess I shouldn’t talk about the prospect because I dont have the knowledge of the minor leagues. I remember reading however that he was an amazing athlete that A’s said could adjust to a new position quick.y. I guess I was sold without looking up the facts. I’ll shut up now!

by OnlybuyBeaneJerseys on Dec 13, 2009 3:28 PM PST up reply actions  

By all reports, he *is* an amazing athlete.

I’m not sure why he can’t stick at first base, but if he ends up in left field that’s not going to be the end of the world. I don’t recall off the top of my head and I’m too lazy to google search for it, but I seem to remember hearing some type of comparison to Jermaine Dye’s size and body type. Jermaine Dye was a gold glove caliber OF for a couple years. That works for me.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 3:31 PM PST up reply actions  

Hes got stone hands

"Since other people actually read these threads, though, probably best that your particular brand of wrongness not go completely unchallenged." - PT

There are differing opinions on me. According to Iglew "DFA is PT with a sense of humor. PT is DFA with introspective self-doubt. I like them both" but according to sirbed Im "The Stats Killer"

by designatedforassignment on Dec 13, 2009 4:57 PM PST up reply actions  

1B is a bad fit for him.

In addition to having bad hands, as DFA mentions, one thing that Chris Carter does have that a lot of sluggers don’t is good speed. And that would be completely wasted at 1B.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 13, 2009 5:10 PM PST up reply actions  

Sounds like a LFer to me.

Your day breaks, your mind aches.
You find that all her words of kindness linger on
when she no longer needs you.

by danmerqury on Dec 13, 2009 6:52 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm not saying he's a bad prospect

I’m just saying he’s probably not going to be an all-star.

by OnlybuyBeaneJerseys on Dec 13, 2009 3:18 PM PST up reply actions  

I disagree.

Chris Carter is about as a sure bet to be a star as the A’s have in their system. If you have ever watched him with a bat in his hands you would know what an awesome sight he is to behold. The guy isn’t even finished growing yet and he already has god like power. Just imagine how good he can be when he really starts to figure out how to lay off bad pitches and shows the ability to hit the breaking pitch….

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 14, 2009 5:18 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm relatively certain he was talking about Cunningham

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 14, 2009 9:19 PM PST up reply actions  

cunningham has done nothing wrong...

except get called up to sit on the bench. hard to hit from the bench

"They (The 1989 A's) are the best team I ever saw"- Mike Krukow

by 9Custs on Dec 13, 2009 2:19 PM PST up reply actions  

He failed to "look like a winner" on the bench

Next!

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 13, 2009 2:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Doesn't have the good face

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 3:04 PM PST up reply actions  

'

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 13, 2009 5:12 PM PST up reply actions  

“Hey, we’re not selling faces here” ~ Billy Beane

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 14, 2009 2:58 PM PST up reply actions  

Calm down beeches.

Obviously the A’s either think that the league has caught up with Cust and they don’t want him, or that they can sign him for less then $4mil.

THIS DOES NOT MEAN HE CAN’T PLAY FOR US IN ‘10, HE HASN’T DIED.

I totally agree with this move (as I’ve suggested it a few times lol).

Is this the real life-
Is this just fantasy-
Caught in a landslide-
No escape from reality-

by Daniel777 on Dec 12, 2009 6:44 PM PST reply actions  

I won't be disappointed if Cust goes elsewhere

If they sign him for cheaper, I’ll be OK, too. We have lots of DH options and I wasn’t pleased with Cust’s hitting this past season, so I wouldn’t pay a lot for him. I dislike them K’s. I wouldn’t expect he’d get in the 5M area from another team, so why should we pay it?

@worldblee on Twitter.

by worldblee on Dec 12, 2009 7:23 PM PST up reply actions  

I know we have a lot of DH options

I just wish we had a good one.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 10:41 PM PST up reply actions  

As you said early...

This Free agent market is overloaded with DH’s who are probably cheaper than Cust. And like you said early there’s a lot of moves to come. Its only Dec.

by OnlybuyBeaneJerseys on Dec 13, 2009 1:56 PM PST up reply actions  

calm down beeches?

oak-ay

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 12, 2009 7:46 PM PST up reply actions  

Coming soon to a headline near you:

“Cust re-signs with A’s for $3.25 mil”

Book it.

The artist formerly known as HigherPie.

by vegAN ryAN on Dec 12, 2009 7:30 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

They could have just done that without the nontender.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 12, 2009 8:32 PM PST up reply actions  

Okay then....$3.24 million........

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 9:44 PM PST up reply actions  

One thing I want to ask those who liked the move.

Many of you think the A’s can (and will) now resign him for less than $4 million, somewhere between last year’s $2.8 and $3.5 or so. So I ask: Why are we talking about $4 mil as if it’s written in stone?

If there are oodles of DH types out there to be signed, Cust’s value is lower. If Cust is declining and his 2009 wasn’t very good, he and his agent have less juice in negotiations (for that $4 million). So why is it assumed that Cust would get that much? I know players get raises in the arbitration years, but why a $1.2 million increase?

That’s why I don’t buy this reasoning, and why I’m reacting as if he’s gone. I just don’t see Cust and his agent refusing $3.25 million, and I do see other teams offering him that much, at least. I have a feeling I’ll be rooting for Cust on the White Sox this year (when he hits 35-40 bombs in that park, it’ll be oh, so bittersweet).

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 12, 2009 7:34 PM PST reply actions  

yeah, likewise.

I think Toronto are also looking for a DH, and that they’ve expressed an interest (or at least an admiration for him)in the past.

I’m willing to bet that the A’s are going to have competition, if it comes to resigning him.

As for the $4 million, it seems as if that’s a figure that gone bandied around here mid season, and it seems to have stuck

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 12, 2009 7:52 PM PST up reply actions  

riccardi?

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 12, 2009 7:54 PM PST up reply actions  

the $4 million + figure was quoted constantly by the sportswriters

including (but not only ) Slusser

I assume there’s some well known formula in the mandatory arby scale — does anyone have a link to that, by the way?

by OaklandSi on Dec 12, 2009 8:21 PM PST up reply actions  

Nope, no formula

It’s whatever an arbitrator for the American Arbitration Association thinks a player is worth, based on his personal knowledge of baseball (which may be as little as “zero”) and about 3 hours of arguments presented by the team and player…

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 12, 2009 11:32 PM PST up reply actions  

And that's IF it goes to arbitration.

Tendering a contract now just means the A’s have a couple months to negotiate. The only way it is $4 million is if Cust wants $4, the A’s want significantly less, and Cust wins.

Oh well, here’s hoping there’s no takers and he comes back for $3.5 or something.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 1:32 AM PST up reply actions  

which I think he ultimately does

There are plenty of GMs who don’t have a good grasp of park factors, which hurt Cust and helped guys like Matsui and Thome.

There are very, very few teams in need of a DH. Yankees, Angels (they should let Abreu DH, but I could also see them going after a DH), White Sox, maybe Tigers, and that’s about it. Now, I do see some of those DHs being signed to play OF by stupid teams…

and way more DHs on the market: Vlad, Thome, Matsui, Damon, Sheffield, Cust, Gomes, Dye.. The market is primed to drop.

"I generally avoid temptation unless I can't resist it" ~ Mae West

by Blicks on Dec 13, 2009 6:08 AM PST up reply actions  

I think Damon and Dye are still considered OFs

And I think Cust is simply a better option than everyone on that list except maybe Thome (and possibly Dye, though his second half last year leads me to believe he might be finished). Yeah, lots of guys out there, but shouldn’t Cust be getting more money than just about all of them?

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 12:19 PM PST up reply actions  

Oh, I fully agree that Cust is better

Cust should get more money than just about all of them, although I don’t think that’s how the market will play out due to how the others have name value.

I’m opposed to the nontendering, but I still think that there’s still a pretty solid chance Cust is back in the green and gold, unless a bunch of those guys (and guys like Delgado/Huff) end up somewhere as expensive pinch hitters or playing 1B/OF somewhere (yeah, its likely with Damon and Dye) I can’t see anyone signing for more than 5MM to play in a pure DH role.

Although it will be stupid if Beane replaces Cust with an inferior, older DH. The only DH I see that’s clearly better than Cust is Thome and maybe Delgado if his injuries didn’t do him in.

"I generally avoid temptation unless I can't resist it" ~ Mae West

by Blicks on Dec 13, 2009 12:25 PM PST up reply actions  

Thome's by no means clearly better than Cust

His numbers are on the decline at this point, and he’s so ancient he could wake up any given morning and be done as a useful baseball player.

Damon actually intrigues me as a DH candidate, but I seriously doubt he’d be interested in returning to Oakland.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 1:52 PM PST up reply actions  

That and he's supposedly asking for a 3/30 deal.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 6:11 PM PST up reply actions  

Good luck with that.

Every hitter likes fastballs, just like everybody likes ice cream. But you don't like it when someone's stuffing it into you by the gallon. That's what it feels like when Nolan Ryan's thrown balls by you. ~Reggie Jackson

by UncleLeo on Dec 13, 2009 11:26 PM PST up reply actions  

I know about the actual arbitration business

what I was referring to was whether there was some formula that was determing the $4-5 million that all the writers were saying Beane would have had to offer Cust if the A’s didn’t non-tender him yesterday.

We know he made $2.8 million in 2009. So why did everyone assume he needed to be offered $4-5 million, and not $3-4 million.

by OaklandSi on Dec 13, 2009 8:08 AM PST up reply actions  

Well, there's a general pattern, but not a strict formula

And nothing in the rules (except, I think, you can’t offer more than a certain amount less than the previous year).

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 12:19 PM PST up reply actions  

Gut feeling...

Garrett Atkins will be signing with the A’s within the next 48hrs for 1 yr/$4.5 million

by MagicMike23 on Dec 12, 2009 8:16 PM PST reply actions  

If that happens

I will totally get on board with thejd44’s theory about Billy Beane’s brain damage

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 12, 2009 8:19 PM PST up reply actions  

If I could rec this 2398 times, I would sit here clicking the button for the next hour

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 12, 2009 11:34 PM PST up reply actions  

Could one click 2398 times in an hour?

I feel like I need to ask an owl.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 1:32 AM PST up reply actions  

Sure.

One click every 1.5 seconds would be 40 clicks a minute or 2400 clicks an hour. Sounds feasible to me.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 13, 2009 7:51 AM PST up reply actions  

I don't have that kind of finger strength

I’ve never had to force my finger to do that particular motion more than 10 or so minutes in a row.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 12:20 PM PST up reply actions  

TWSS

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 13, 2009 12:29 PM PST up reply actions  

Does a TWSS count when I was intentionally using innuendo?

I think we need a second TWSS ruling in this thread.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 10:43 PM PST up reply actions  

tws

HI BERRY JO!

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 11:21 PM PST up reply actions  

way out west...

Sock puppets have never been able to successfully attack castles. -NM

by Leopold Bloom on Dec 14, 2009 4:14 AM PST up reply actions  

Oh goody, do I get to play judge again?

Personally, I only enjoy the TWSS’s that actually cause you to rethink a comment in a different way, which was not otherwise apparent. Monkeyball used to be good at this, but most everyone else is not. Any time the innuendo is already apparent, the TWSS is ineffective, and if the innuendo was already blatant, then the TWSS is stupid.

In answer to your question, whether you were intentionally using innuendo is not germane. What matters is whether the innuendo was recognizable to a reasonable person even without the TWSS. If it was not, then a TWSS is warranted, and you should just be pleased that someone caught it and completed the job. If you made the innuendo clear in the first place, then the TWSS is a lame one

I would also add that no TWSS is any good unless the original comment is phrased in a way that she would actually say it. TWSS really does mean “that’s what she said”, not just “hey, that comment reminds me of sex.” A great many TWSS’s on AN fail to meet that standard.

In the present case, I’d say that grover’s TWSS does meet the second standard. On the first standard it’s a close call, since the innuendo is somewhat apparent, but it’s subtle enough that I think a TWSS, while not especially brilliant, is still acceptable.

You should see this as an alley oop situation. You made an excellent pass, and grover finished the job with an easy dunk. If you like, you can follow up by posting a “[high five]” to grover.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 14, 2009 12:02 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm a team player. I'll take an assist anyday.

I feel the high five now would be silly, as it’s a bit late for that. Instead, grover gets a point of recognition and a nod.

::point:: ::nod::

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 14, 2009 10:29 AM PST up reply actions  

Good call

Point and nod is much better.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 14, 2009 11:15 AM PST up reply actions  

::fistbump::

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 14, 2009 11:18 AM PST up reply actions  

If only you were a terrorist

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 14, 2009 1:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Nice assist

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 14, 2009 1:02 PM PST up reply actions  

Wow

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 14, 2009 1:02 PM PST up reply actions  

Honestly

I say screw DFA’s sabermetrics primer. We need iglew to write a TWSS primer.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 14, 2009 1:16 PM PST up reply actions  

This was written an hour ago.

He’s at least 35% the way through one by now.

Sock puppets have never been able to successfully attack castles. -NM

by Leopold Bloom on Dec 14, 2009 2:14 PM PST up reply actions  

He's at least 35% the way through one by now?

TWSS!!!!!!111

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 14, 2009 4:18 PM PST up reply actions  

Scott Olsen nontendered

Not so long ago was one of the better NL lefties. Soon to be 26 yrs old, recovering some minor shoulder surgery. Between 06-08 pitched about 180-200 innings/season.

by MagicMike23 on Dec 12, 2009 8:22 PM PST reply actions  

There is no such thing as "minor shoulder surgery"

Also, isn’t he an asshole?

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 12, 2009 11:32 PM PST up reply actions  

so, 'perceived douchbaggery, warrented or not' is the new market inefficiency

there was a memo sent out

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 13, 2009 3:27 AM PST up reply actions  

I know you're kidding, but you're stone cold crazy right.

My left-field prediction is that we’ll reacquire Milton Bradley.

"Sniff some krazy glue, and start a religion!"- The Reverend Billy Lard

by Gaijin_Suketto on Dec 14, 2009 11:57 PM PST up reply actions  

He hasn't been good since 2006 though

So he’s a douchebag and a bad player…

But then, he’s a better option than overpaying for Garland/Marquis/Washburn (not saying the A’s would do something like that).

"I generally avoid temptation unless I can't resist it" ~ Mae West

by Blicks on Dec 13, 2009 6:20 AM PST up reply actions  

Ryan Garko

non-tendered as well. I know were loaded up on 1B types, but the guy has a pretty solid bat and is an option at DH/OF as well. Career OPS+ of 109 as an AL player, and was at +121 with Cleveland prior to the trade last season. 29 years old next season so he would probably produce some solid numbers right in the middle of his prime the next few seasons.

by JPShark on Dec 12, 2009 9:23 PM PST reply actions  

Rather have Gomes.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 12, 2009 9:47 PM PST up reply actions  

I was actually just comparing the two....

Identical career OPS+ of 109, same age and similar skill set really. I think Gomes has the higher power ceiling, but Garko’s got the better plate discipline. Also, Gomes has never played in more then 117 games in a season. I would be happy to see the A’s take a chance on either, but I think my preference is leaning a bit towards Garko.

by JPShark on Dec 12, 2009 9:56 PM PST up reply actions  

They're equally horrible on defense

DH-only. No preference. Playing in Oakland probably hurts SLG more than OBP, so Garko seems to be slightly more valuable.

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 13, 2009 12:39 AM PST up reply actions  

wow... the Giants sure did make out well from that trade, huh

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 13, 2009 3:28 AM PST up reply actions  

I do not understand how Sabean received a contract extension

Seriously, how exactly were the Giants’ owners evaluating their team? There literally is not a single thing that he can point to in the last five years that is even remotely decent about his management of the Giants. The one semi-decent thing about the team— the SP— was compiled through draft picks, which are basically the bailiwick of the scouting director.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 1:56 PM PST up reply actions  

Did anyone really know Zito would have turned out to be such a lemon though?

In no means am I defending Sabean, but one could say the same to a lesser degree about Chavez perhaps.
That said- FIRE MACHA GEREN NOW!

by brian.only on Dec 13, 2009 9:45 PM PST up reply actions  

Um, no.

Zito declined basically every year since winning the CY award.

Chavez was really fucking good every year except he got hurt.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 9:51 PM PST up reply actions  

As bad as he's been? No. But...

…he still wasn’t worth what he is being paid even if he were to turn out as good as they hoped.

Every hitter likes fastballs, just like everybody likes ice cream. But you don't like it when someone's stuffing it into you by the gallon. That's what it feels like when Nolan Ryan's thrown balls by you. ~Reggie Jackson

by UncleLeo on Dec 13, 2009 11:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Hey now

My signature begs to differ!

………wait…

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 14, 2009 3:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Garko = do not want

A’s don’t need 1B.

But, this reinforces how entertaining an offseason with Brian Sabean can be.

"I generally avoid temptation unless I can't resist it" ~ Mae West

by Blicks on Dec 13, 2009 6:37 AM PST up reply actions  

now i have to change my name to 9Fox's

:(

"They (The 1989 A's) are the best team I ever saw"- Mike Krukow

by 9Custs on Dec 12, 2009 9:34 PM PST reply actions  

yeah, that joke was really whiffed

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 13, 2009 9:22 AM PST up reply actions  

Whiff'd?

Arrow’d!!

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 14, 2009 3:04 PM PST up reply actions  

Adios MF'er

“I’m hoping someone with a small ballpark calls,” Cust said with a laugh. “Playing three years in Oakland isn’t the best for your numbers.”

Yes Jack, we noticed

Read more: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2009/12/12/SPV41B3FC3.DTL#ixzz0ZXoOMTLf

by Trainman on Dec 12, 2009 9:39 PM PST reply actions  

Reading this article

I can understand him wanting to test the market but since he cannot play defense to save himself, he will be limited.

Maybe he comes back but looks like Beane is looking to fill this position elsewhere

by Trainman on Dec 12, 2009 9:47 PM PST up reply actions  

okay, now I found it

here’s the link

Cust’s power numbers in Oakland were fine…and his other numbers didn’t have much to do with Oakland…

by OaklandSi on Dec 12, 2009 9:50 PM PST up reply actions  

Said "WITH A LAUGH"

Have you ever heard him interviewed? He’s a really down to earth dude.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 12, 2009 9:49 PM PST up reply actions  

That is part of his charm

and why he would be a good vet to have on the team to rub off on the younger guys. Its the intangibles that really set him apart.

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 12, 2009 10:03 PM PST up reply actions  

seems it.

Sock puppets have never been able to successfully attack castles. -NM

by Leopold Bloom on Dec 13, 2009 2:21 PM PST up reply actions  

"Down to earth" is a nice way to describe

boring and stupid. Hey, I love Cust and want the A’s to keep him another year but the guy does not interview like the sharpest tool in the shed.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 10:45 PM PST up reply actions  

Hmm

so that’s why I’m always described as being down to earth.

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 11:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Are you kidding?

I every interview I have read with him has great introspective quotes that shows a guy that really understands himself and doesn’t try to be something else.

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 12, 2009 11:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Have you ever seen or heard him interviewed?

Seriously, I have no idea what his IQ is, but it comes across as really low on TV/radio interviews.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 12, 2009 11:29 PM PST up reply actions  

no.

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 12, 2009 11:29 PM PST up reply actions  

That's probably because he looks like a young George Wendt

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 13, 2009 12:42 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm pretty convinced that 'ability to come across well on tv'

doesn’t correlate that well with ‘actual levels of smartitudes’

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 13, 2009 3:29 AM PST up reply actions  

let him swear on TV and he'll be just fine.

He’s just self-editing as he goes when he speaks with the media.

"Sniff some krazy glue, and start a religion!"- The Reverend Billy Lard

by Gaijin_Suketto on Dec 15, 2009 12:00 AM PST up reply actions  

I remember him joking about how he was a speedster after that walkoff infield hit,

and he seemed like a pretty charming guy.

Keep in mind, of course, that "the best defense of Derek Jeter's life" ranks somewhere in between "the best fiscal responsibility of Mike Tyson's life" and "the best not-getting-assassinated-ness of James Garfield's life." -FJM

by travdog6 on Dec 13, 2009 1:40 AM PST up reply actions  

he goes to ChiSox

hits 40 bombs, gets a big pay day, maybe

good luck to him – he had some monster home runs

remember that one at Comerica? I think it was a grand slam, the crowd went, “ooooooh” when he hit it. A’s may have lost that game after a huge earlier lead. But I can’t fully remember.

by my_cat_max on Dec 12, 2009 9:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, I just got a text from saint.......

and he says, “I want Vlad!”.

So now I think we have new thing to discuss.

What does everyone think about Vlad for 1 year? And how much if he were to sign? Myself, I don’t see it happening, even if he were to just “DH”. Plus, I don’t really think he would want to play in Oakland.

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 9:56 PM PST up reply actions  

no.

vlad last year: 0.8 WAR
Cust last year: 1.1 WAR

also vlad is old and broken.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 12, 2009 10:17 PM PST up reply actions  

No way

Is this the real life-
Is this just fantasy-
Caught in a landslide-
No escape from reality-

by Daniel777 on Dec 12, 2009 10:19 PM PST up reply actions  

Alright...

time to text saint back and tell him you guys think he’s “high!”.

Oh wait………..doh!

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 10:20 PM PST up reply actions  

Beane made the right decision

Rather than go to arbitration, Cust asked for a chance to make some real money in what could be his last shot at doing so. If Cust was a key part of a contending team, I don’t think Beane would’ve respected Cust’s wishes. But he’s not. There are a few options for DH early in the season: Chavez, for one. Fox for another, Hairston for a third if Patterson is in the outfield. Wallace and Carter will both be joining the team during the season, maybe as early as May, and the number of players in a DH rotation will grow. And if Cust doesn’t get the offers he’d like, he’ll be back.

Yes, Beane could’ve signed him early, or gone through arbitration, and maybe traded him later. But Billy was being a mensch.

by richwol1 on Dec 13, 2009 12:08 AM PST up reply actions  

Great

Someone needs to tell the other 29 GMs that they’re being assholes, then.

I’m all for “enlightened management,” but not when it out-and-out damages the team I’m rooting for.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 12:58 AM PST up reply actions  

You know when this is a good thing to do?

When it’s Mike Sweeney and he’s nearing the end and you’re not playing him in late August in a failed season. That’s when you release him and see if he can’t stick with another team for the rest of the year.

There’s something to be said for an organization that helps out its players, but not, as you say, then it out-and-out damages the team.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 1:39 AM PST up reply actions  

JK!

He and the Mrs. are expecting a new baby girl in the next month so he does have his hands full. Saint, come back to us my brother!

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 10:25 PM PST reply actions  

Saint says...

“Sweeney, Hairston, and Buck are much better options to drive in runs”. -Quote

Zeigler to Geren…."A-Rod? He’s my bitch." -alox

by mrod on Dec 12, 2009 10:27 PM PST reply actions  

Facepalm

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 12, 2009 11:35 PM PST up reply actions  

Damn, I'm gonna miss Cust.

I guess, in the end, I just have to wrap my head around the fact that we’re in a waiting game, waiting for the kids to come up. It’d be nice if we signed some people who could give them some sort of a challenge/ reason to stay in AAA a bit longer…but maybe that’s asking too much at this point.

Sometimes the impossible can become possible if you're AWESOME!

by ZeroIndulgence on Dec 12, 2009 10:34 PM PST reply actions  

No

It’s really not asking too much.

This is, or purports to be, a major league baseball team.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 12, 2009 11:36 PM PST up reply actions  

The question I have is

with the money that went to Cust,Duke,Crosby,Giambi being off the books are the A’s going to bring in anyone or just keep the cash while the team struggles and plays in front of hundreds of fans?

I love the A’s but so far this off-season doesn’t have me doing cartwheels and I can’t imagine the average fan being interested in this team right now.

by sirbed on Dec 12, 2009 11:51 PM PST up reply actions  

One hopes there will be something to get excited about,

Aside Jake Fox (marginally), this is what its feeling like-

by brian.only on Dec 13, 2009 12:49 AM PST up reply actions  

Never thought I'd be posting this in response to a Beane move but....

"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."

by lenscrafters on Dec 12, 2009 10:46 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

Don't believe in yourself.
Believe in Me who believes in You.

by Zonis on Dec 13, 2009 12:39 AM PST up reply actions  

LOL. Tremendous.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 1:40 AM PST up reply actions  

I think it was a good move.

Cust is not very good. Walks and homeruns are all he can do. He is not going to get any better. He is getting older and will get worse. He has no trade value. I see why people like; he has been on the A’s for a while, which is rare for a player. I am not happy to see him go but it was a good move.

by Seb on Dec 12, 2009 11:18 PM PST reply actions  

walks homeruns are quite good. or so I suspect.

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 13, 2009 3:31 AM PST up reply actions  

yes they are but he is not really as good as his number may seem.

He is not very consistent and his average sucks, its not even alright.

by Seb on Dec 13, 2009 3:01 PM PST up reply actions  

I don't like this move.

But it doesn’t cost the A’s more than a couple wins tops. Ideally Hairston, Fox, and McPherson could be a reasonable 3-4-5, but then when have things worked out ideally?

"When you get that nice celebration coming in the dugout, and you're getting your ass hammered by guys, there's no better feeling than to have that done." -Matt Stairs

by Aufheben on Dec 13, 2009 12:12 AM PST reply actions  

I'm hoping Hairston and Ellis will regress back

Otherwise I’ll secretly watch more Seattle games…

by brian.only on Dec 13, 2009 12:53 AM PST up reply actions  

That 3-4-5 made me throw up in my mouth a little.

Ok, I lied. A lot. Can a team possibly lose 115 games with a pitching staff that should be pretty decent? That’s what a 3-4-5 of those 3 guys does for you, unless you’ve secretly stashed good hitters at 7-8-9 or something.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 1:41 AM PST up reply actions  

You didn't just throw up in your mouth, you threw up on this thread.

So your saying Cust’s bat single-handedly accounted for 28 wins in 2009? Fangraphs gives him a win last year. I’d give him a couple going forward, assuming he does a little better with the bat and can stay out of the field more (both generous assumptions). Four million may technically be a good deal on a 2 WAR player, but when you already have a number of above-replacement options who can probably field better than Cust, and you have the A’s’ budget, all of a sudden $4 million for Cust doesn’t seem so necessary. And the fielding is important: if Cust were to play a full season in the field he would come pretty close to negating his entire BRAA with his glove. So basically his value comes from being able to DH him all the time.

As for the 3-4-5 I mentioned, lets not forget McPherson and Fox both OPSed at or above 1.000 in their most recent AAA campaigns. McPherson had 42 jacks, although health is a huge issue for him. I also think Hairston has been over-vilified for a very small sample, during which the A’s decided to run him into the DL despite the fact that his leg problems were evident to even a casual observer.

"When you get that nice celebration coming in the dugout, and you're getting your ass hammered by guys, there's no better feeling than to have that done." -Matt Stairs

by Aufheben on Dec 13, 2009 12:11 PM PST up reply actions  

“So your saying Cust’s bat single-handedly accounted for 28 wins in 2009?”

No.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 12:28 PM PST up reply actions  

So why do you think that the A's, as currently constructed, are in danger of losing 115 games next year?

Mathematically speaking, that is? Big believer in the importance of batting orders? Just a fan of hyperbole?

"When you get that nice celebration coming in the dugout, and you're getting your ass hammered by guys, there's no better feeling than to have that done." -Matt Stairs

by Aufheben on Dec 13, 2009 10:10 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, clearly I'm a fan of hyperbole

But, in addition to that, a “typical” batting order (though not optimal, not that it matters much) would have the team’s best – or close to the best – three hitters at 3-4-5. Having an average hitter at 3 and two AAAA players at 4 and 5 implies that the other 6 positions are filled by guys who are worse. All I’m saying is that a team with Hairston, Fox, and McPherson as the best hitters is destined to be an all-time horrendous offense. I do think a team with that offense and an average pitching staff would challenge the ’03 Tigers.

Of course, I do think the A’s will have an above average staff, and I don’t think those will be the best three hitters on the team (nor will that be the order used).

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 10:46 PM PST up reply actions  

Worse than what? Average?

You can be below average and still be better than replacement. It seems like we agree the A’s are not a replacement level team, but disagree about their best hitters. That is all.

"When you get that nice celebration coming in the dugout, and you're getting your ass hammered by guys, there's no better feeling than to have that done." -Matt Stairs

by Aufheben on Dec 14, 2009 4:12 PM PST up reply actions  

1. Considering the going rate in free agency is $4m – $4.5m per win then $4m for a 2 win player is a very good deal, even for a team like the A’s.

2. I agree with thejd44 – that is an absolutely awful 3-4-5

by DeJay on Dec 14, 2009 3:23 AM PST up reply actions  

A large number of ballplayers receive less than their market price

because they are not Free Agents. The overall value of a win is actually around $2.5 million. $4 million is a price predictor of what you could expect to spend in free agency. A playoff team that spent market rate per win would have a payroll of $180 million. A playoff caliber team that gets each win at average value would spend about $112 million.

Obviously the A’s are going to need better than average value whenever they hope to compete. Jack Cust, depending on if he’s a 1 or 2 WAR player is somewhere inbetween market rate and 50% of market rate at $4million. Jake Fox could be a 1-1.5 WAR player and save the A’s $3.5 million while costing them about half a win more than Cust.

Like I said, I don’t like this move. I would have waited a year because I think the young position players should have to prove they belong – they shouldn’t have jobs handed to them because the A’s don’t have depth (see the 2009 pitching rotation). I don’t, however, think the Cust non-tender is crazy from a win valuation standpoint, especially for a team like the A’s which always has to do better than market rate.

"When you get that nice celebration coming in the dugout, and you're getting your ass hammered by guys, there's no better feeling than to have that done." -Matt Stairs

by Aufheben on Dec 14, 2009 4:47 PM PST up reply actions  

I understand what you are saying

It just seems that with the A’s payroll at the moment only projected to be in the $35m range they could afford to pay Cust for the improvement. What concerns me is that Cust returns to his 2007/08 performance (which I think is quite possible) then we released one of the better hitters in the league due to our cheapness. The only way I could accept this is if the entire savings were spent on draft picks or international free agents that we wouldn’t have signed otherwise AND Buck and Cunningham get an extended opportunity in the majors. I think the likelihood of that is slim.

by DeJay on Dec 15, 2009 2:13 AM PST up reply actions  

Add up all the wins the players on the A's "accounted" for last year

Does it equal the actual total?

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 14, 2009 3:07 PM PST up reply actions  

It comes pretty close.

position players + pitchers + replacement level =
16.9 WAR+19.3 WAR + 46.2 Wins = 82.4 Wins
A’s 2009 X W-L = 81 Wins
A’s 2009 actual record = 75 Wins

Although a replacement level team could have anywhere between 43 and 48 wins depending on who you ask (I got 46.2 from Tango’s site). It could be close, but I’d be willing to throw down money that the A’s lose fewer than 90 games next year given that the ’09 squad was pretty unlucky in terms of their run differential.

"When you get that nice celebration coming in the dugout, and you're getting your ass hammered by guys, there's no better feeling than to have that done." -Matt Stairs

by Aufheben on Dec 14, 2009 4:08 PM PST up reply actions  

LoneStranger posted this higher up in the thread, but I thought I'd repeat it becuase it seems uber important.

Cust wanted to be nontendered, suggesting Billy might have still wanted him.

“I told Billy, ’I’m going to be 31 years old, I’ve got to see what’s out there,’ " Cust said. “I have to do what’s best for my family. I spent a lot of years riding the bus, not making any money. But Oakland was the team that gave me an opportunity, and I’m very grateful for that.”
General manager Billy Beane said that Oakland will continue to talk to Cust about a possible deal, with the threat of arbitration no longer looming.
“It’s not out of the question,” Beane said.

So I have a little more hope now.

Keep in mind, of course, that "the best defense of Derek Jeter's life" ranks somewhere in between "the best fiscal responsibility of Mike Tyson's life" and "the best not-getting-assassinated-ness of James Garfield's life." -FJM

by travdog6 on Dec 13, 2009 1:44 AM PST reply actions  

Oops

Linky.

Keep in mind, of course, that "the best defense of Derek Jeter's life" ranks somewhere in between "the best fiscal responsibility of Mike Tyson's life" and "the best not-getting-assassinated-ness of James Garfield's life." -FJM

by travdog6 on Dec 13, 2009 1:44 AM PST up reply actions  

This is a nice story but I still believe

this was a financial decision pure and simple. And I’m not sure at all of the surprise reactions on this board, as this scenario has been rumored for several weeks now. Anyway, clearly the economics of baseball have changed quite a bit over the past two offseasons. Because the free agent market for average players has almost completely stagnated, teams believe they would be better off letting arbitration players of this ilk due for a big raise walk away and instead try and sign someone else for less money than what was likely to be the granted arbitration figure. Look at the list of non-tenders this year. Most of these guys are still quite useful on a baseball diamond. Teams just didn’t think it was cost effective to offer arb.

Anyway, I’m not sure this was the right move for the A’s, but it isn’t much of a stretch to say that it was. Fangraph’s figures Cust’s season last year to be worth $4.7M last year. It could be argued that he would have been awarded a bit more than that if he had gone to arbitration. Not much more, surely, but more. As for what he would do for a team next year, I think many expect him to bounce back somewhat from ‘09, but one could also easily make the argument that he is a 31 yr old DH with old players skills and a downward trend in production. So I think it is open to debate whether he would be worth what he was likely to make next season had he gone through arbitration. And I don’t think it unreasonable for the A’s to just rotate through Powell, Barton, Fox, Wallace etc at the DH spot next year. Or perhaps they use the savings made here to sign another DH type. Or maybe they bring Cust back for about $3M if it turns out there isn’t much of a market for him.
  
Like a lot of people here, I enjoyed watching Cust play and was happy he finally found some success with us after toiling away unappreciated in AAA for so long. But to say this was an inexcusable and irrationally bad decision by Beane is just hyperbole.

"Errors of opinion may be tolerated where reason is left free to combat it."
-Thomas Jefferson

by thinwhiteduke on Dec 13, 2009 5:38 AM PST up reply actions  

Minor quibble

Is it really that much more work to say it like this?

Fangraphs figures [the win value of] Cust’s season last year to be worth [would have cost] $4.7M [on the free agent market] last year.

I know you understand how the number is figured, but a lot of people don’t, and it’s this kind of shortcutting that causes people to make unwarranted claims, which in turn causes other people to hate Fangraphs and say WAR is a stupid stat that should be ignored at all times.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 13, 2009 8:08 AM PST up reply actions  

Yes iglew, thanks,

your way of stating it makes it more clear. My post was not the most articulate thing I’ve ever written.

"Errors of opinion may be tolerated where reason is left free to combat it."
-Thomas Jefferson

by thinwhiteduke on Dec 13, 2009 8:28 AM PST up reply actions  

Double-checking everyone saw that Cust did not want to be non-tendered

As I said in the paragraph before that quote, that was his reaction to the A’s leaving the door open to bringing him back. There’s no way anyone who led a team in homers three years in a row would want to be non-tendered. But he does want to explore his options now.

Sorry for any confusion, I’m sure Jack would not want anyone to think he requested this move because he absolutely did not.

by slusser on Dec 13, 2009 8:10 AM PST up reply actions  

thanks

everything that Cust has said indicates that he wanted the A’s to offer him a contract.

by OaklandSi on Dec 13, 2009 8:12 AM PST up reply actions  

Thanks for the clarification.

And all your good work.

Keep in mind, of course, that "the best defense of Derek Jeter's life" ranks somewhere in between "the best fiscal responsibility of Mike Tyson's life" and "the best not-getting-assassinated-ness of James Garfield's life." -FJM

by travdog6 on Dec 13, 2009 2:44 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm wondering if maybe Cust is hoping he can get a two year deal

to get him through his arbi years. It sounds like he feels time is against him, and maybe he’d rather have the security of something like two yearrs/$6 million than one year at 4 million.

"When you get that nice celebration coming in the dugout, and you're getting your ass hammered by guys, there's no better feeling than to have that done." -Matt Stairs

by Aufheben on Dec 13, 2009 2:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Aww, that's nice of Beane...

I bet Brett Anderson wishes he were a FA. He showed enough potential and is so young I bet he could get a really sweet FA deal right now! You know what be really nice to him? We should DFA him. Just tear up his contract and let him become a FA. Then he can make the money he’s truly worth!

"Loyal? I'm the most loyal player money can buy." - Don Sutton

by vignette17 on Dec 13, 2009 2:15 AM PST reply actions  

Reality will soon tell us what Cust's market value is

And I’m pretty interested to see what it has to say.

Let’s say Cust was going to get $4 million through the arbitration process (probably by negotiated settlement rather than an actual award). I’m no expert at arbitration projections, so anyone who is should feel free to chime in and correct that number; this is just a for-the-sake-of-argument figure.

If Cust signs for $6 million somewhere, it will mean his new team and the A’s failed to optimize their decisions – they could have gotten together and split the $2 million difference to the advantage of both. Say, the A’s could have tendered Cust the offer, traded him to the other team for $1 million worth of prospects, and the A’s would obviously come out better than getting nothing, while the other team would be out just $5 million of value instead of $6 million. It wouldn’t mean Beane and the other team were stupid and incompetent – it could be that the other team was pursuing other possibilities and didn’t turn to Cust until other options dried up – but it would mean they didn’t optimize things.

On the other hand, if Cust signs for $3 million (for the A’s or elsewhere) it will mean he had no trade value. You can’t trade a $4 million contract (and expect to get something of value back as well) if no one in the industry values that player at more than $3 million.

What will Cust get? Damned if I know, but there are several factors limiting his leverage:

1. Defense – Obviously I could be wrong, but I really don’t see any NL teams going after him. That rules out a little better than half the market right there.

2. His style – a lot of baseball people just aren’t willing to watch all the strikeouts. Low-average TTO types will probably always have to take a discount in this game.

3. The prevalence of DH’s. There are only 14 of these jobs, most of them are already filled, and Brian Cashman was quoted at the winter meetings saying “You can turn left, you can turn right, you can look up and down and you’ve got a DH begging for a job.” Cust may be one of the better ones, but is he good enough for a team to want to pay a premium for him when perceived not-quite-as-good options are “begging for a job”?

4. His age and performance trend. I was a bit surprised when thinwhiteduke noted above that Cust’s performance last year was only rated as worth $4.7 million at FanGraphs. And Cust’s age 28-29-30 seasons showed this OPS trend: .912, .851, .773. That’s a pretty nasty downward trend, particularly for a player with old-guy skills like Cust. Of course it’s possible he’ll bounce back strongly next year, but taking a serious look at those numbers is clearly part of the due diligence for anyone looking to sign him.

I like Cust. I was hoping the A’s would offer him arbitration, and I’d still like to see them sign him. That said, I’ll withhold judgment until I see how the A’s handle the DH slot and what use they make of that extra $4 million they now have in their pockets.

by Faust on Dec 13, 2009 7:00 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

Untrue.
On the other hand, if Cust signs for $3 million (for the A’s or elsewhere) it will mean he had no trade value. You can’t trade a $4 million contract (and expect to get something of value back as well) if no one in the industry values that player at more than $3 million.

Plenty of guys are traded and have portions of their salary paid for to make them tradeable.

Mark Kotsay for Joey Devine?

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 8:37 AM PST up reply actions  

I said he would have had (in that hypothetical) "no trade value"

Maybe I was a bit sloppy in my next sentence saying “you can’t trade” such a contract, because of course you can throw in sweeteners and still make it go away. But when people say “I can’t believe we gave up Cust for nothing rather than at least trading him for something” they mean a trade where the team gets something of value, not a trade in which the team does other things that add up to a net loss of value just to get rid of a contract.

At the time of his trade, Mark Kotsay was no longer worth the price of his contract, and had no trade value per se (that is, there was a deficit rather than a surplus when comparing the value of his services to the price paid for them). The A’s bought Joey Devine with the money they gave the Braves to defray the cost of Kotsay’s contract: it was a purchase disguised as a trade.

by Faust on Dec 13, 2009 11:18 AM PST up reply actions  

No, it was a trade.

Kotsay had no value to Atlanta at his full salary. Kotsay had plenty of value to Atlanta at the cost of $1 million, as opposed to $8 million. At that price, he was worth Joey Devine in trade. You could argue that Kotsay for $8M was worth nothing, but Atlanta (obviously) wanted him on the team. The negotiation was the dollar amount that made Atlanta comfortable trading Devine for Kotsay.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 3:28 PM PST up reply actions  

You do go out of your way to miss the point, don't you?

The point is that Kotsay and his contract together had negative value, as you acknowledge with your own comment. Of course if you subsidize something enough you can make its value a positive (including the subsidy). If I own a bank and I’m $500 million under water but I can get the taxpayers to give me a pretty $1 billion gift, then woo-hoo! I have a going concern again. Throw enough sugar into anything and you can make it sweet.

The Kotsay trade doesn’t happen without added sugar. It was the added sugar that created the trade value.

by Faust on Dec 13, 2009 5:55 PM PST up reply actions  

It didn't create it, it improved it.

If Kotsay had had no trade value, he would not have been the only player acquired by Atlanta in the deal.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 6:13 PM PST up reply actions  

Faust is right on this one

Sorry.

If Jack Cust had been tendered and signed for $4M, and then traded for someone worth $1M but with the A’s eating $2M of his salary, the A’s would have been better off nontendering him and instead trading some other asset or assets worth $1M to the other team for the guy they wanted to obtain.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 7:12 PM PST up reply actions  

Sure

But that’s a lot of stuff that has to fall into place.

Hell, the Dodgers acquired Jim Thome last year for basically no reason. I fail to see how there would be no market for Cust.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 7:21 PM PST up reply actions  

No, they're both right.

There’s no actual disagreement here, it’s just a semantic difference. The original statement that began this was “Kotsay … had no trade value”. One group is reading that to mean Kotsay’s contract, the other is reading it to just mean Kotsay as a player.

Many of the trade junkies on AN routinely say just the player’s name even when they really mean the player with his contract. Often it’s understood. Sometimes it’s not.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 13, 2009 8:11 PM PST up reply actions  

The quote that you boil down to 5 words

read, more fully, “Mark Kotsay was no longer worth the price of his contract, and had no trade value per se (that is, there was a deficit rather than a surplus when comparing the value of his services to the price paid for them).” If “one group” is somehow “reading it to just mean Kotsay as a player,” then that “group” is doing a piss-poor job of reading. That isn’t a semantic difference, that’s a refusal or inability to engage the argument that was actually made, as opposed to strafing a straw man of one’s own creation.

I should let it drop (and I will, since I have to pack a suitcase and get out of town), but the exchange has left me just a bit crabby. I feel as if I’m arguing with the John Cleese character in Argument Clinic ( “…contradiction is just the automatic gainsaying of anything the other person says.” “No it isn’t!”)

by Faust on Dec 14, 2009 5:57 PM PST up reply actions  

sweet sweet Faustus

Sock puppets have never been able to successfully attack castles. -NM

by Leopold Bloom on Dec 13, 2009 3:38 PM PST up reply actions  

Great post, and I'm seeing this decision more clearly now.

Over at Fangraphs, Dave Cameron has noted numerous times that free agents so far this winter seem to be getting about 3M per win (see here).

So it makes sense to me that the A’s feel:

1. Cust won’t accept the arbitration offer they’re willing to offer.

2. They’ll lose (or likely lose) in an arbitration hearing, possibly due to the changing win per dollar dynamic.

The A’s must feel like they’ll be able to either re-sign Cust at a lower price or at least replace his production for a price lower than his potential arbitration award. It’s a risk, but a smaller one given that 2010 is not a ‘go-for-it’ season.

by rebus on Dec 13, 2009 9:58 PM PST up reply actions  

Even at $3M/win, Cust would be worth about $6M.

I’m just hoping the A’s spend it somewhere like 3B, where their best option is Jake Fox.

It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver

by WaddellCanseco on Dec 13, 2009 10:33 PM PST up reply actions  

I haven't seen the article yet

But $3M per win is ridiculous. I’m not saying he’s wrong, but how in the hell has the market tanked this much? The economy is slowly improving, and the price for a win has dropped by almost $1.5M? That’s truly shocking to me.

Collusion perhaps?

And to think, Adam LaRoche wants $10M per season.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 10:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Maybe he's asking in Yen?

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 11:02 PM PST up reply actions  

It's not ridiculous at all.

It is the nature of small markets to be volatile. This is entirely separate from the economic cycle.

Stable prices are not the cosmic norm. Price stability is created, whether by a large commodities market or by some sort of direct or indirect government action.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 14, 2009 12:12 AM PST up reply actions  

Another thing to mention.

I believe there was a defense of the R. Soriano signing on Fangraphs recently, citing the value of wins for a playoff team and how it’s beneficial for the Rays to overpay for 1-2 more wins. Paying over market value for win 95-96 is good.

If the A’s aren’t competing, they should actually aim to spend below market value per win. Spending market value for wins 77 and 78 is a poor use of resources for the A’s.

by rebus on Dec 14, 2009 1:31 AM PST up reply actions  

So....Full Marlin!

It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver

by WaddellCanseco on Dec 14, 2009 9:21 AM PST up reply actions  

I haven't read the article yet either

But one article I read (can’t remember if it was Fangraphs or BP) noted that the FA signings to date have been the guys who knew they’d have to accept cheaper offers early or risk dangling in the wind come March. This would cause the lowering of the average cost per win. Lackey is about to sign with Boston, Bay and Holliday are still on the market as well as the bulk of the quality FA class. That average will rise.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 14, 2009 12:58 PM PST up reply actions  

So grateful I might not have to watch Cust play again

Just an incredibly uninteresting player after the fascination wore off. Strikeouts, walks, and the occasional homer. Did you people actually watch him play the past year. Who would rant about losing that? Those of you who do just sound ridiculous.

That you think it’s significant that we won’t have Jack Cust is just silly. I’m grateful I won’t have to suffer through his at bats any longer. And I’m grateful that if we don’t eventually resign him it might mean that we’re shifting away from novelty items to more complete players.

by RLangford on Dec 13, 2009 7:27 AM PST reply actions  

the A's have been incredibly boring offensively

for the past 3 seasons. The occasional home run by Cust was, like it or not, often the highlight of a game. That said, in the light (or rather, overcast) of a new day, I’m over losing the guy who’s been our best offensive player for the past three seasons cuz, as you say, he was never all that good.

I really really want the A’s to be fun to watch again – I’m a selfish fan like that. If they can keep the offense we saw the 2nd half of last season going, I’ll be reasonably happy. Still, a guy or two or even three who can hit 20+ homers a season does make the team a bit more fun to watch if only b/c the team will win more games w/ them.

BTW, is this Jake Fox guy the A’s picked up from the Cubs a more complete player than Jack Cust? Doesn’t sound like it.

by my_cat_max on Dec 13, 2009 7:40 AM PST up reply actions  

Re Fox:

no

He has been conditioned to stand near 3rd base instead of in the grassy area, near the white line. He stands on the other side of the five sided base when he has a bludgon with him, but he is worse at batting that Cust.

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 13, 2009 9:37 AM PST up reply actions  

Fox is a less complete version of Cust.

Both have low average and poor defense. Fox also has less power and much lower OBP

by DeJay on Dec 14, 2009 3:33 AM PST up reply actions  

Yes, because "interesting" wins oodles of championships

For what it’s worth, I find a hitter like Cust the most interesting in the whole sport. Nothing is more fascinating than a pitcher/hitter battle. It’s a chess match, and it’s what makes baseball so great. Few guys give the viewer more with each at bat.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 1:06 PM PST up reply actions  

+1

Certainly a lot more interesting that watching the more complete Orlando Cabrera ground out weakly to short.

by DeJay on Dec 14, 2009 3:31 AM PST up reply actions  

A sad statement about watching the A's last year

Was the fact that the seasonal highlights of the occasional Jack Cust bunt attempt against the shift. Making this even more of a highlight was Giambi asserting he would never be desperate enough to do the same….>Really?? You are batting below 200 and you make fun of Jack for thinking outside the box…..

The year before it was Smith’s pick-off move….I am afraid to know what the next season will bring for highlights.

by hishnik on Dec 14, 2009 1:01 PM PST up reply actions  

I'll bet it has something to do with socks.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 14, 2009 1:06 PM PST up reply actions  

Now that Ken Korach's annointed

“honorary mayor of Oakland, Jack Cust”, has departed……It is quite possible the season highlight will be Fosse’s obsession on Dib’s and occasional senior moments in the press box dovetailed with the occasional right side of the pitcher dribble gaffe by Anderson, and his comical saunter towards 1B.

Last year he looked like a hung-over frat boy when moving that direction in order to cover 1st base.

by hishnik on Dec 14, 2009 1:50 PM PST up reply actions  

Rob Neyer hits the nail on the head....

ESPN Link

I like Cust as much as the next guy — more, probably — but this is exactly what you’re supposed to do with marginal major leaguers like Cust: get the most out of them when they’re young and cheap, and then dump them.

That’s harsh, I know. If someone asks Billy Beane, he’ll couch Cust’s non-tendering in far friendlier terms. But he might also talk about Cust’s “trendline” — I haven’t talked to him lately, but that used to be one of his favorite words — and Cust’s trendline is heading in the wrong direction.

"just a beating heart ... plasma that we'll put into our uniform." - Billy Beane

by athleticsBB4life on Dec 13, 2009 9:03 AM PST reply actions  

Good article

  I thought Cust and fox would make a good platoon. Just hope this transaction doesn’t come back and bite the A’s if he signs with M’s or rangers.

by Arcman on Dec 13, 2009 9:11 AM PST up reply actions  

his trendline of having a .400 OBP in the second half of 2009?

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 9:18 AM PST up reply actions  

{pulls out hair}

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 13, 2009 9:38 AM PST up reply actions  

OW!!!

Hey, next time could you pull out your own hair?

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 13, 2009 10:02 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm not really all that upset about a guy who OPSed at .773 in 2009...

can’t that easily be replaced for a lot less than $3.5 – $4 million?

"just a beating heart ... plasma that we'll put into our uniform." - Billy Beane

by athleticsBB4life on Dec 13, 2009 9:08 AM PST reply actions  

Name someone who's guaranteed to OPS .773 and who'll make that little money on the FA market.

"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."

by lenscrafters on Dec 13, 2009 9:09 AM PST up reply actions  

Garko

  His ops last year was 765. Gomes has a 879 ops and I don’t see him getting more than $4 million because of his bad defense.

by Arcman on Dec 13, 2009 9:20 AM PST up reply actions  

wait wait wait

Cust had to be nontendered because his .773 OPS and bad defense was going to cost $5 million, but Gomes’ .879 OPS and bad defense won’t get more than $4 million?

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 9:26 AM PST up reply actions  

You are no longer comparing apples to apples

You can’t compare likely arbitration figures to free agent figures. Who knows if Gomes would have gotten $4M in arb or more, we are talking about what they’d get on the open market.

"Errors of opinion may be tolerated where reason is left free to combat it."
-Thomas Jefferson

by thinwhiteduke on Dec 13, 2009 9:30 AM PST up reply actions  

huh?

They were both arbitration eligible, they were both nontendered..

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 9:47 AM PST up reply actions  

You stated,

“wait… Cust had to be nontendered because his .773 OPS and bad defense was going to cost $5 million, but Gomes’ .879 OPS and bad defense won’t get more than $4 million?”

Arcman and others seem to be arguing that neither Cust nor Gomes may get $4-$5 on the open market. In other words, just because Cust may have gotten $5M in arb doesn’t mean that Gomes will get more than $4M on the open market.

"Errors of opinion may be tolerated where reason is left free to combat it."
-Thomas Jefferson

by thinwhiteduke on Dec 13, 2009 9:59 AM PST up reply actions  

Do you realize how little sense that makes?

Players don’t get MORE in arbitration than their counterparts in the FA market do.

Well, unless the FA player’s agent is an idiot, I guess.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 10:10 AM PST up reply actions  

Oh really mikev?

Then why are teams suddenly non-tendering so many useful arb eligible players in the hopes of finding guys on the open market for less money? I realize that before the last couple of seasons what you are saying was the traditional wisdom. But not anymore. Read what rotoworld has to say about Cust on this very site. There are plenty of other examples of such players this offseason besides Cust: Capps, Gomes, J Buck, Garko, K Johnson, Church, DJ Carrasco and probably more.

"Errors of opinion may be tolerated where reason is left free to combat it."
-Thomas Jefferson

by thinwhiteduke on Dec 13, 2009 10:19 AM PST up reply actions  

Keep in mind

I’m not saying that ALL useful arbitration eligible players would make less on the open market. But for some middling type players who are due for what probably will be a big raise, teams have decided to cut them loose and see if they can fill the hole more cheaply another way.

"Errors of opinion may be tolerated where reason is left free to combat it."
-Thomas Jefferson

by thinwhiteduke on Dec 13, 2009 10:25 AM PST up reply actions  

Without taking any position on the actual argument,

I would say that anything included in a Rotoworld blurb in the AN sidebar has no persuasive value whatsoever. Roto has some value in that is faithfully informs you, with about 95% accuracy, what transactions happened. But the “analysis” it adds (ie, the part in blue) is facile at best, and frequently is just plain wrong.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 13, 2009 5:23 PM PST up reply actions  

Reread your post.

“In the hope” of finding guys on the open market for less money.

You do realize that most of the guys you listed were nontendered because they had some injury issues (Johnson, Church) or were from stupid organizations?

There are plenty of valid reasons to nontender a player.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 6:17 PM PST up reply actions  

Actually, this happens all the time
Players don’t get MORE in arbitration than their counterparts in the FA market do.

Sure they do. Of course most arb-eligible players get less than their FA value, and the system in general holds younger players to less than their full market value. But you make it sound as though this is some sort of logical certainty, which it isn’t. There is a sizable subset of players (players in their 2nd, 3rd, or even 4th year of arb-eligibility, having marginal abilities, or having skills that are worth more in arbitration than they are in real life – like saves, home runs, or batting average – or players who are injured or coming off really down years) who are worth significantly less in market terms than they could command in arbitration. That’s why they get non-tendered. I mean, a player is guaranteed 80% of his previous salary in the arbitration process, even if he’s just had TJ surgery that’s going to cost him the whole coming year. It happens. It’s not the rule, but it’s not a particularly rare exception, either.

by Faust on Dec 13, 2009 11:43 AM PST up reply actions  

Gomes earned $770,000 in 2009

the Reds could have kept him by offering more than that, but way less than $4 million.

Just guessing, but Cust earned something similar in 2008 to what Gomes earned in 2009. He went from @$650,000 to $2.8 million. So perhaps Gomes would have been offered about the same?

by OaklandSi on Dec 13, 2009 10:27 AM PST up reply actions  

Gomes is less useful to the Reds

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 13, 2009 10:31 AM PST up reply actions  

obviously that was the Reds' assessment

I was only trying to guess what they would have had to offer Gomes, more or less, if they had tendered him a contract.

by OaklandSi on Dec 13, 2009 10:57 AM PST up reply actions  

more on Gomes and the Reds

apparently the Reds tried to negotiate a deal with Gomes up until the very last minute last night.

Gomes earned $1,275,000 in 2008, his last (injury-ridden) season with the Rays. Perhaps he felt because he was reasonably productive for the Reds (.267/.338/.541 and .879 OPS, with 20 HRs and 51 RBIs in only 98 games) they should move up from his 2008 salary, not his 2009 salary.

by OaklandSi on Dec 13, 2009 11:09 AM PST up reply actions  

actually I think it's interesting that the Reds did try to sign him

they apparently thought he was useful, just not enough to pay up from his 2008 salary instead of his 2009 salary.

by OaklandSi on Dec 13, 2009 11:32 AM PST up reply actions  

Gomes earned 600K because he'd signed a minor league contract

and then had his contract purchased by Cincy.

according to Cots, anyway

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 10:31 AM PST up reply actions  

Giles anyone??

  Since OBA is so high how about the A’s signing Brian Giles to a PA contract with a $1 million base. I know I am going to get tar and feathered for saying this. Bring on the bashing. By the way Gomes did sign a minor league contract last year.

by Arcman on Dec 13, 2009 10:54 AM PST up reply actions  

The A's had their eye on Giles for years

But I think that ship has sailed, as he appears to be on the Giambi one-way ride to oblivion.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 13, 2009 12:54 PM PST up reply actions  

One more time please

  Just Giambi. ummm OK Piazza too and Thomas the second round and Karros before that. See its a trend of Beane sign a player in their last year. Griffey anyone??

by Arcman on Dec 13, 2009 2:25 PM PST up reply actions  

he earned $75,000 in the minor league portion

$600,000 in the major league portion, plus $ 1 million incentive which he did earn. That adds up to $775,000.

by OaklandSi on Dec 13, 2009 10:54 AM PST up reply actions  

...no it doesn't

Apart from the glitchy math, you can’t earn a minor league salary and a major league salary at the same time… split contracts pay money prorated by what percentage of the season a player spends in each league.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 2:04 PM PST up reply actions  

I miswrote it

he earned $100,000 in incentives after makign the big club. Together with the $600,000 major league salary plus the $75,000 minor league salary, that adds up to $775,000.

by OaklandSi on Dec 13, 2009 4:32 PM PST up reply actions  

OK, that corrects the glitchy math part,

but PT’s point about prorating salaries still applies.

The $600K salary replaces the $75K salary when he is called up. He gets a prorated portion of each.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 13, 2009 5:27 PM PST up reply actions  

supply and demand

  You can name 6 DHs on the market with about 4 jobs available.

by Arcman on Dec 13, 2009 9:47 AM PST up reply actions  

LOL.

James and CHONE both project Cust to be way better offensively than Gomes and Garko in 2010. Gomes stands to earn quite a bit more than 4 million thanks to his year in GA ballpark (and he barely outperformed Cust in 09 as it is) . Garko plays first base (badly) and we sure need another one of those!

"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."

by lenscrafters on Dec 13, 2009 2:20 PM PST up reply actions  

Given that the A's have Barton in hand,

a good defensive player with good BA/OBP potential, I’d say unless it’s someone with power potential (25+HR) I don’t see the wisdom of considering a 1Bman. That rules out Garko.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 13, 2009 2:31 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah.

The A’s have to give Barton a starting role for at least half a season in ‘10. No platoons, no old, broken down veteran taking at bats away from him. Based on his peripherals and his second half performance, I’d say he’s primed for a break out.

"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."

by lenscrafters on Dec 13, 2009 2:42 PM PST up reply actions  

Fox has a reverse platoon split (albeit SSS)

A Fox/Garko DH platoon would be cheap and not horrific.

Fox vs. RHP: .256/.311/.488/.799
Garko vs. LHP: .313/.392/.495/.887

I could deal with that. We’ll have to see if Geren is smart enough to figure out Fox’s reverse platoon split.

Oh, who am I kidding? Bet it’s Fox vs. everyone. Thanks, Bob.

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 14, 2009 3:25 PM PST up reply actions  

Also interesting...

Upon looking up platoon splits for Fox, Garko, and Jonny Gomes, I came across something weird. Here’s what came up (these are all career splits, prorated over 650 PA):

Ryan Garko
vs. RHP: 26 2B, 20 HR, 39 BB, .266/.335/.420/.755
vs. LHP: 32 2B, 22 HR, 62 BB, .313/.392/.495/.887

Jonny Gomes
vs. RHP: 26 2B, 30 HR, 62 BB, .224/.311/.448/.758
vs. LHP: 31 2B, 32 HR, 69 BB, .274/.369/.517/.885

Jake Fox
vs. RHP: 28 2B, 35 HR, 39 BB, .256/.311/.488/.799
vs. LHP: 53 2B, 8 HR, 35 BB, .242/.288/.379/.666

Conclusions…Both Gomes and Garko’s 2B and HR stats are remarkably consistent against RHP and LHP in terms of rate. With Gomes, the walk totals are also very similar in terms of rate. This seems to imply that the only thing Jonny Gomes does better against LHP than RHP is hit more singles.

Garko’s 2B and HR stats are very similar vs. RHP and LHP; however, Garko’s walk total against LHP is almost double the walk total against RHP (prorated to 650 PA, anyway). This seems to imply that Garko both hits singles AND walks more when he faces LHP.

Fox’s stats follow a reverse platoon split; however, the numbers are far more strange than Gomes or Garko. Fox’s double total against LHP is almost double that of RHP; however, his HR total is far greater (four times!) against RHP. His walk stats are about the same. This seems to imply that Fox hits mostly singles and doubles against LHP, and hits singles and HR against RHP. He’s also slightly better at hitting singles off RHP. It makes sense that his SLG against RHP is so much higher than his SLG against LHP, since HR are worth twice as many bases as 2B.

Anyway, I found all this data interesting. I prefer Garko to Gomes, but I think Fox against RHP and Garko/Gomes against LHP would be a very solid DH platoon.

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 14, 2009 3:55 PM PST up reply actions  

Interesting, but as I said in another thread earlier today,

Platoon splits really only become significant when you have around 2000 PAs (RHBs) or 1000 PAs (for LHBs). Gomes and Garko have around 1700 career PAs, so you could make a reasonable argument, that, given the large platoon split that they have, that it’s statistically significant. But Fox only has 250 PAs. Essentially all of the observed platoon split can be attributed to a small sample size error.

Your day breaks, your mind aches.
You find that all her words of kindness linger on
when she no longer needs you.

by danmerqury on Dec 14, 2009 4:44 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah

I actually commented on that same thread that I posted this before I read that.

"[Sabean] said Kevin Pucetas maintains some value on the trade market, which they take as a positive sign that he’d be a productive option."

by CaliforniaJag on Dec 14, 2009 4:55 PM PST up reply actions  

Huzzah!

His 2010 numbers will make the A’s happy they let him go. Not worth 4 million. Maybe not worth two. The man is on the decline train and my bet is that it turns into an express next year.

Stop being sentimental. He put up a couple great years for us. Not last year though. And methinks not next year either. Lets move on and see what we’ve got in the cupboard that could make us competitive in a couple years.

by DCAthletics on Dec 13, 2009 9:28 AM PST reply actions  

i will say....

if Cust goes somewhere where he is a secondary player, surrounded by great players, hits 6-8 in an order, he may excel and exceed his 2008/2009 numbers. Like Swisher did this year in NY.

Cust isn’t “the guy,” he is what he is – a nice complimentary player, who can and should only DH.

"just a beating heart ... plasma that we'll put into our uniform." - Billy Beane

by athleticsBB4life on Dec 13, 2009 9:33 AM PST reply actions  

agree

  If Cust had more protection his homerun numbers would have been above 30 but his OBA would have gone down. Cust was walked many times because of the poor bats behind him but that being said he did not come through inthe clutch like years past. On the yanks with protection in that park he will hit 30+ homeruns if he gets 400 ABS.

by Arcman on Dec 13, 2009 9:46 AM PST up reply actions  

It is genuinely amazing to me that a "theory" as patently, provably false as lineup protection

continues to draw the adherence of so many people.

It’s like the baseball version of the “birthers.”

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 2:06 PM PST up reply actions  

It plays a part

  Just like that guy hitting in front of a pitcher. A power hitter like Cust will not see any fast balls on a 3-2 count. With the A’s batting order weak hitters are to many. It is not like the birthers more like the JFK theory. Birthers are just plain crazy so i am offended at that comment.

by Arcman on Dec 13, 2009 2:21 PM PST up reply actions  

No

It does not make a difference. At all.

Multiple independently conducted studies of lineup protection have found no effects. Pitchers do not adjust their pitching to one hitter based on who the next hitter is. Having a good hitter behind you has no impact on the percentage of fastballs (or the percentage of pitches in the zone) seen.

I don’t care how intuitive it seems. It’s just wrong as a matter of empirical fact.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 3:09 PM PST up reply actions   3 recs

I want to do that jd44 finger cramp TWSS thing to make this post turn green.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 3:34 PM PST up reply actions  

and there are studies

that have found effects — for example this one

In any event, many, many players, coaches, and managers talk about it having an effect. The experience of so many practitioners shouldn’t be dismissed out of hand.

by OaklandSi on Dec 13, 2009 5:11 PM PST up reply actions  

Did you read the comments. Tom Tango's to be specific?

"We were shit, pathetic," Guillen growled early in spring training. "We hit too many home runs."

by lenscrafters on Dec 13, 2009 7:14 PM PST up reply actions  

To me, the most important point in the article or comments is:

“Bill James has noted a troubling historical pattern: sabermetric research often labels a phenomenon (e.g., clutch hitting) as non-existent when it can not be measured or detected.”

I respect sabrpinions exponentially more when they come at these things with “It hasn’t been proven / it can’t be measured, so we don’t know one way or the other” rather than “it hasn’t been proven / it can’t be measured, so it may as well be considered to be a myth.”

There’s a huge difference between these two stances. The first one is right on, the second one, IMO, ignorant.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 13, 2009 8:09 PM PST up reply actions   2 recs

Peuh. Bill James. What does that guy know?

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 13, 2009 8:13 PM PST up reply actions  

Agreed

The second one is also, IMO, obnoxious.

If people within the sport don’t think lineup protection is a myth and at least has some basis in reality even if it can’t be quantified, why should I care what some fan says about it to the contrary?

Last of the Ninth - Photography

by Flashfire on Dec 13, 2009 8:33 PM PST up reply actions  

Because the "fan" in question, assuming it's Tom Tango or Andy Dolphin or Click or any of the other usual suspects,

is approximately a billion times more intelligent and better versed in analysis than your “people within the sport?” And because they have actual research on their side instead of some vaguely remembered bullshit anecdotes about stuff they happened to see (or imagine they saw, more likely) twenty-five years ago?

Although, really, Click and Tango are themselves “within the sport” now, so the distinction doesn’t even exist anymore. Smart teams hire people like Tango and don’t hire players to “protect” their good hitters. Dumb teams don’t, and do. And the smart teams win more games.

The reason one should care is, in theory, that one is interested in learning about what makes for winning baseball.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 13, 2009 8:43 PM PST up reply actions  

Whatever, Paul

I might care about what some of them say from time to time, but I really don’t care about what you say any more. Your hyperbole and holier-than-everyone-else attitude is as tiresome to me as my stubbornness probably is to you.

Last of the Ninth - Photography

by Flashfire on Dec 13, 2009 9:00 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

Is it bad that I read that "Whatever, Paul"

like it was coming from the cheerleader chick from Bring It On?

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 9:34 PM PST up reply actions  

Is it bad that your mind naturally drifts to

thoughts of cheerleaders? No.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 14, 2009 12:14 AM PST up reply actions  

It's probably a CGV to go into this further, though.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 14, 2009 7:51 AM PST up reply actions  

TWSS.

Your day breaks, your mind aches.
You find that all her words of kindness linger on
when she no longer needs you.

by danmerqury on Dec 14, 2009 9:57 AM PST up reply actions  

+1

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 14, 2009 1:00 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, Bring it On is great

so, yknow. If that’s what your internal monologue sounds like, I’d say you’re a well adjusted person.

I suspect that you think tilting at windmills means something other than what it does

by bobnothing on Dec 14, 2009 11:44 AM PST up reply actions  

After toying with several different replies to this comment

I eventually concluded that I don’t actually care, as long as you don’t do the behind-the-back “moderator” (in this case the term is rather Orwellian, hence the scare-quotes) bullshit anymore. And I think that (someone can correct me if I’m wrong) that era is past.

However, you’ve certainly made yourself very visible in the last few days as someone who is now openly committed to driving stat-oriented people off the site. So, well, let’s just say you’ve managed to convince me to start paying special attention to your posts.

O'Hara: Detective Lassiter is literally on fire.
Spencer: What kind of fire are we talking about-- "Michael Jackson in the Pepsi commercial" fire, or "misusing the word literally" fire?

by PaulThomas on Dec 14, 2009 7:52 PM PST up reply actions  

I've done nothing of the sort

Just because you don’t like somebody disagreeing with your attitude toward people who don’t accept your claims that speculating about things like veteran influence/presence/whatever is stupid doesn’t mean I’m trying to drive stat-oriented people from the site.

That is among the most ridiculous, inaccurate things you’ve ever said.

As I’ve already explained to Pucking Insane elsewhere, I am no longer a moderator here and haven’t been for months, in quotes or otherwise, and no matter how many times I explain it to you or others, you seem determined to keep acting like my personal opinion represents me trying to dictate the direction of AN.

That is quite simply absurd. Front page writers and moderators are allowed to offer their own opinions on any topic they want to and even, gasp, strongly disagree with you if they want to without it being a case of them trying to get rid of you.

As it is, I’ve already communicated to Nico, BBG, Blez and so on as of this morning that I no longer wish to do front page/game thread writing. While that is really no business of yours I say it in part to effectively put an end to this silly angle of you feeling like I’m trying to get rid of people. Next time Nico says something you don’t like that you perceive to be anti-stats, you can go after him all you want. You’ll still be wrong in doing so.

Last of the Ninth - Photography

by Flashfire on Dec 14, 2009 8:06 PM PST up reply actions   2 recs

Hopefully you stick around and keep posting pics and stuff

regardless of the moderatorgate or whatever the hell it is, you put together some good picture compliations.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 14, 2009 8:54 PM PST up reply actions  

Thanks

Partly, I want to try to focus even more on doing that because I enjoy it. It looks like next year’s magazine may have up to a couple dozen pictures of mine in it, based on what they asked for. That’d be pretty cool.

I’m just hoping I can get to the point where I actually make money doing it, but until it pays enough for me to leave my current job I know what I’m sticking with.

I’m not leaving AN but I am probably scaling back some of my involvement for a bit. If nothing else, I can go back to speaking my mind without people taking it like I’m trying to speak for AN in the process. It was never about that but if anyone knows me they know I don’t hold back and I can be very stubborn.

Last of the Ninth - Photography

by Flashfire on Dec 14, 2009 9:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Sorry to disagree but

  Most of these math experts bring out their solution to problem but base that solution and problem on the basis that the problem is like every other problem. Most situations in life have so many factors that can alter the solution to not perform to the outcome. What happens is the solution becomes a average of the outcome but is not the true solution. Otherwords each situation is a world unto itself. Thus Cust pitch around factor has no true bearing to any other batter that is pitch around. That is why when these so called Bill James of the world throw out their theory on baseball it only pertain to 1 player but not all.

by Arcman on Dec 13, 2009 9:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Starting an argument with a completely wrong premise is a good way to lose the argument

The generalization made in the first sentence is just plain untrue.

Prove it. Prove it happens with the frequency you imply. Find the studies that are flawed for the reasons you’re stating. Then, prove the specific studies referenced here do what you say they do. Until then, you’re making vague, general statements with little basis in truth to support an argument.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 10:53 PM PST up reply actions  

'

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 14, 2009 12:16 AM PST up reply actions  

These are to many factors to get a proper solution

  x = PA, Y =PC,, Q= RB, D=Inning, A=score, B= next batter, and c = team. These are all variables in a game that could contribute to a player being pitched around. Not counting a lefty righty match up. If x > 5 then more likely. If y = 3 more likely. There would be no less than 7 variable situations in the solution so it is impossible to come up with a average solution to the problem. Each player is a complete variable by itself to the solution. So there is no way to prove that a player who is pitched around unless they talk directly to a pitcher and manager and can reduce the variables in a solution. So the studies without 100% cooperation with the team on defense could never be right.

by Arcman on Dec 14, 2009 7:37 AM PST up reply actions  

My take on how this thing is gonna play out...

The guy on the left represents Beane, the lady on the right represents Cust. Cust wants to leave and Billy wants to do the solid thing and be supportive. Cust walks to the edge, ready to jump off into the open market. Then at the last second, Cust realizes his folly and tries to back out, thinking, "$2.5 mil has to be better than that shit, but Beane says, “Dude, your ship has sailed!” and seals the deal.

Stewart: "What really needs to be clear is it wouldn't have mattered if there was an earthquake or not. We were going to beat the Giants.

by Elvez on Dec 13, 2009 10:06 AM PST reply actions  

It took me a whole bunch of views to realize she does have the cord.

At first I thought she realized she didn’t have the cord and when she went to stop, he said ’Seeya!"

by LoneStranger on Dec 13, 2009 10:56 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

I can't take my eyes off that!

I wonder if she thought he was going to pull her back up?

You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}

by micdog2001 on Dec 14, 2009 12:55 PM PST up reply actions  

Best non-pornographic ani-gif, you mean.

"Starbucks doesn’t change its logo just because it no longer serves naked mermaids in Fremont." —Librocrat

by iglew on Dec 15, 2009 11:39 AM PST up reply actions  

Assessment

Okay, Susan Slusser says Cust did not want to be non-tendered to check out his options.

I think what happened was that the A’s weren’t sure what they were going to do. They most likely made offers to Cust which weren’t accepted, and they didn’t like Cust’s counteroffers. Based on upon what is now out there in Free Agent Land, it looks like the A’s wanted to keep their DH options open, with the idea of finding someone else (or Cust himself) cheaper than the nearly $5M they were going to pay him.

My own feeling is that he’s a frustrating player. His HR power is decent, but not great enough to be a good RBI guy. His walk rate is decent, but not great enough to be a good on-base guy. His total batting skills aren’t good enough to compensate for his crappy defense. His strikeout rates and his inability to hit to the left side of the field also call into question his value as a hitter.

His value is also weighted towards August and September, which means that a team has to carry him as regular baggage for the first part of the season in order to get quality toward the latter half. This is really a problem in terms of signing him in order to trade him mid-season. It’s possible some contending team might seem him as a cut-off day miracle cure…but that same team will look at his first-half statstics and balk. Meanwhile the A’s would wind up with the worst of a Cust year, not the best.

What’s funny is that Cust’s statistics could be the same over all if he were a good first-half player — at which point Beane probably would’ve gone the arb route because by mid-season, with Wallace and Carter coming up to the big league club, a collapse by Cust would’ve been no big deal. He would have done his duty.

I don’t like Cust, but I think he should have been tendered…if only because nobody on the team right now is capable of hitting over 20 homers. Period. Beane is taking a huge gamble on a relatively small amount of money.

by richwol1 on Dec 13, 2009 11:45 AM PST reply actions  

I agree with all of this, except that Cust's walk rate isn't enough to be a decent on base guy

He is a “league’s top 10” BB guy with a terrific career OBP of .374.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 13, 2009 12:56 PM PST up reply actions  

Nico, can you open a part 2 of this thread?

great discussion, but getting difficult to get through nearly 500 comments.

"just a beating heart ... plasma that we'll put into our uniform." - Billy Beane

by athleticsBB4life on Dec 13, 2009 12:59 PM PST up reply actions  

You know, since it's a fanpost

anyone can open a new one if they see fit. That’s why I’m not interfering.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 13, 2009 3:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Which probably doesnt outweight his other weaknesses

Led league in K’s 3 seasons in a row.
Terrible defensive player (This is also blame on Geren for putting in the OF)
.250 hitters
Struggles vs lefties

by MagicMike23 on Dec 13, 2009 1:52 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes it does.

Which you can plainly see by looking at something like Cust’s fangraphs page, down on the “value” section, where you see that he was — even in 2009 when he ZOMG TOTALLY SUCKED STRICKOUT — worth 1.1 wins, which equates to a smidge over 4.5 million dollars worth of production.

Basically it boils down to one of two things, IMO.

1. Cust wanting a 2 or 3 year deal that Oakland was (rightfully) not willing to give him.

2. Oakland being too cheap to pay him what he’s worth in a “throwaway” 2010 season.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 3:37 PM PST up reply actions  

However

I think his walk rate is directly tied to his strikeout rate. Cust trolls for walks, and umpires seem less likely to give that attitude the benefit of the doubt, unless the pitcher is struggling. That’s one of the reasons why Cust often looks so pissed off when he gets called out on strikes. He’s probably right, but the umpire wouldn’t give it to him. So he has to adjust and swing on those close calls, and he usually misses because, well, he’s just not very good at that part of the game.

I remember a discussion last year about Cust as a #2 hitter. So Geren did put him there, and he was awful. i think the reason is that Cust views himself as a homer hitter with a good eye, and not as an on-base guy with power. If he were the latter, maybe he’d cut his swing down a bit and be a decent OBP guy. But then again, he is what he is, so I’d guess even that wouldn’t work.

The other thing is that if you look at him as a walks machine with occasional power, and place him in the #2 slot, would he be worth nearly $5M in salary?

by richwol1 on Dec 13, 2009 2:27 PM PST up reply actions  

I don't think Cust "trolls for walks."

I think he just sees little point in swinging at pitches he can’t hit (well) or doesn’t think are strikes.

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 10:55 PM PST up reply actions  

I get the feeling the umpires do

Which is why he doesn’t get the calls.

Cust himself (and Swisher) call it being “too patient.” I see that extra patience as trolling for walks, instead of being sufficiently aggressive.

by richwol1 on Dec 13, 2009 11:31 PM PST up reply actions  

Another reason why the strike zone system needs an overhaul

An umpire shouldn’t be allowed to effect a game like that just because Batter X walks more than average or Pitcher Y is struggling or a rookie/veteran. The strikezone should be the same strikezone in all situations.

by DeJay on Dec 14, 2009 4:14 AM PST up reply actions  

Cust hit in the #2 spot in the order 7 times last year.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 14, 2009 10:03 AM PST up reply actions  

As a fan grasping onto the past when this organization excited me

Cust’s departure saddens me, because at least he was a spark in the line-up that reminded me of when this team had hitting.

I had the luxury of shadowing Walnut Creek PD for a ride-along and the FTO Sergeant chopped it up with the Giambi brothers for over an hour. I was in awe as a fan to be in the periphery of this event, but also had a lot of pride that Jeremy and Jason were so down to earth, non-pretentious, and personable to the East Bay community.

I mention the Giambi’s, because a friend of mine would occasionally run into Jack in the Rockridge area. He would curtsy and ask how the honorary mayor of Oakland was doing, and Cust was in a similar way to Jeremy Giambi, was very approachable and friendly and would laugh and chop it up with a fan.

When I would attend games at the Coliseum I always grinned to see the Jack Cust uniforms (there was a season ticket holder with a Baltimore Cust uniform that I particularly liked), they seemed more appropriate than the Holiday ones, where a fan like myself has a mental image of Boras handing Holiday a briefcase full of crisp, new $100 bills in a dark alley…..

If Jack is gone…..its just one more reason why I miss the winning teams from earlier in the decade.

by hishnik on Dec 15, 2009 12:15 PM PST up reply actions  

Thank you, thank you, thank you...

now maybe the A’s can begin to put a winning team on the field. Cust absolutely sucks.

by Keystone State on Dec 13, 2009 11:58 AM PST reply actions  

analysis of JC's hits

from fangraphs.com… (type in “Cust”)

One can see that for the past 3 years on the A’s (the only real MLB time he’s had, aside from a few prior tastes of the big league chew) is that he (1) hasn’t adjusted to the shift, and (2) has lost power.

GB/FB ratio drops from 1.22 in 2007, then 1.08 in 2008, then 0.87 in 2009. And Bill James’ projections don’t treat him any nicer for 2010. I think this shows that the league responded quite efficiently to the “who is this 3 HR’s in 1 game dude?” quite well, and Cust hasn’t been able to answer very well.

Next, HR/FB% drops from 32 in 2007, to 30 in 2008, to 17.8 in 2009. Cust has aged at 29, 30, and 31 over that time. Can anyone say “getting old?”.

Also, isn’t this the first choice-point where BB can respond to Cust’s allegations of prior steroid use? I recall last ST was when it was leaked that Cust was in the Mitchell report. It would have looked bad for Beane to cut him right then, for various reasons. Now may be a more politically correct time for Beane to respond to that.

by rollierollieOxenfree on Dec 13, 2009 12:17 PM PST reply actions  

BA transactions

Oakland Athletics
Fernando Hernandez was A’s rule 5 pick in 2007 from white sox, but later returned after calling up Saarloos. He had a great season in AA/AAA. With Hernandez and Cassevah looks like 2 decent reliever options for depth.

No more crosby players in the A’s organization. Bye Bobby and Blake.

Signed: RHP Fernando Hernandez, RHP Jose Pina, RHP Matt Wright, 1B Matt Whitney, 3B Dallas McPherson
Traded: RHP Jeff Gray, RHP Ronny and OF Matt Spencer to Cubs for 3B Jake Fox and 2B Aaron Miles
Voluntarily retired: 1B Blake Crosby

Bobby Crosby’s younger brother, Blake (a 42nd-round pick this year) retired to take an amateur scouting position with the Blue Jays.

by MagicMike23 on Dec 13, 2009 12:42 PM PST reply actions  

hard to imagine

The A’s stashing Cassevah on their MLB roster for an entire year. But it does sound as if they’re thinking that this could be a way to see what this guy looks like in spring training, and down the road try to trade for him. My own feeling is that he won’t even make it to spring training.

by richwol1 on Dec 13, 2009 12:51 PM PST up reply actions  

Seems like he would take Meloan's spot, which I would not like.

I guess it could be Casilla’s spot, which would be ok. Or is he a guy who can pitch several innings? In that case, maybe he replaces E-Gon as the team’s long reliever.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 13, 2009 12:58 PM PST up reply actions  

bullpen

RHP: Bailey, Wuertz, Ziegler, Devine (if healthy)
LHP: Breslow, Kilby, Blevins

Meloan has options remainings. That last spot could be between Cassevah, Devine’s health, or carrying a 3rd lefty. I’m guessing Marshall would be DFA’d eventually off 40 man.

by MagicMike23 on Dec 13, 2009 1:47 PM PST up reply actions  

I don't think that group works because none is a long reliever

Meloan could pitch long relief, as possibly could Cassevah (I don’t know). But you have to have someone down there who can give you 4 IP on a given day.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 13, 2009 2:33 PM PST up reply actions  

NOOOO! BLAKE!

Your day breaks, your mind aches.
You find that all her words of kindness linger on
when she no longer needs you.

by danmerqury on Dec 13, 2009 2:57 PM PST up reply actions  

Best news ever

I was thrilled with the news that I wouldn’t have to watch Cust flail away next year; but after reading these posts, now I guess I have to worry that they will sign him as a FA. Enough is enough. He doesn’t hit nearly enough home runs to justify his lame average and the huge number of unproductive outs. Probably a decent guy but good riddance.

by sacto on Dec 13, 2009 1:47 PM PST reply actions  

It goes both ways

Some of the anti-Cust people are blind to the good things he brings, while some of the pro-Cust people are blind to the bad things he brings.

Both sides have valid points, but some people don’t like being told that.

Last of the Ninth - Photography

by Flashfire on Dec 13, 2009 2:19 PM PST up reply actions  

either right or left

  None of this middle of the road or moderate talk.

by Arcman on Dec 13, 2009 2:23 PM PST up reply actions  

It's basically like a political argument

Nobody’s going to be swayed by what the other side has to say, so what’s the point sometimes?

Last of the Ninth - Photography

by Flashfire on Dec 13, 2009 2:26 PM PST up reply actions  

Which brings me back to today's original topic --

Pro Choice / Pro Life: You KNOW You Want To Change Your Mind!

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 13, 2009 2:35 PM PST up reply actions  

I have changed my mind on this a few times actually

It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver

by WaddellCanseco on Dec 13, 2009 5:03 PM PST up reply actions  

I find that there's a perfectly good moderate position

on both topics.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 13, 2009 5:36 PM PST up reply actions  

Really?

I don’t think there is. I think its logical to be pro choice or anti choice depending on your assumptions but those in the middle are inconsistent.

"Since other people actually read these threads, though, probably best that your particular brand of wrongness not go completely unchallenged." - PT

There are differing opinions on me. According to Iglew "DFA is PT with a sense of humor. PT is DFA with introspective self-doubt. I like them both" but according to sirbed Im "The Stats Killer"

by designatedforassignment on Dec 13, 2009 5:40 PM PST up reply actions  

Inconsistency is undervalued.

It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver

by WaddellCanseco on Dec 13, 2009 5:45 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

I agree and yet I don't.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 13, 2009 8:03 PM PST up reply actions  

If you really mean that, then you need

to take a vacation from the stupid partisan world where everything is a good-vs-evil debate. Of course there’s a moderate position. It happens to be espoused by a significant majority of the population, too. Just not among the loudmouths on either side who insist on the extremes of no-abortions-ever-no-matter-what and free-abortions-for-anyone-with-no-restrictions.

"Go ahead and overachieve, you scrappy Brett-Favre-colored walk-takers." —Rev Halofan

by iglew on Dec 13, 2009 8:20 PM PST up reply actions  

The first of your characterizations of the "extremes"

Actually does capture the position of one side. The second one is a strained and silly caricature enlisted to provide a fake sense of balance. This is the problem with knee-jerk difference-splitting, which is too often what an instinct for middle positions entails.

by Faust on Dec 14, 2009 5:26 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

How is that partisan?

I think that either your killing someone or your not and if you are there really aren’t any good reasons to do so and if youre not then people should be able to do what they want with their bodies. Its hard to come up with a position in between that makes sense and I definitely agree with Faust’s comments.

"Since other people actually read these threads, though, probably best that your particular brand of wrongness not go completely unchallenged." - PT

There are differing opinions on me. According to Iglew "DFA is PT with a sense of humor. PT is DFA with introspective self-doubt. I like them both" but according to sirbed Im "The Stats Killer"

by designatedforassignment on Dec 17, 2009 2:58 AM PST up reply actions  

In between might include different trimesters

To some, 6 weeks into the pregnancy isn’t the same as 7 months in; to others it is.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Dec 17, 2009 7:46 AM PST up reply actions  

Until I see some scientific evidence suggesting that there is a difference

I honestly just see that as platitudes. Why not move the deadline one day either way? If you cant reasonably answer that question I think your argument isn’t logical.

"Since other people actually read these threads, though, probably best that your particular brand of wrongness not go completely unchallenged." - PT

There are differing opinions on me. According to Iglew "DFA is PT with a sense of humor. PT is DFA with introspective self-doubt. I like them both" but according to sirbed Im "The Stats Killer"

by designatedforassignment on Dec 17, 2009 8:35 PM PST up reply actions  

that doesn't change the act itself, just the effectiveness of one particular means.

"Since other people actually read these threads, though, probably best that your particular brand of wrongness not go completely unchallenged." - PT

There are differing opinions on me. According to Iglew "DFA is PT with a sense of humor. PT is DFA with introspective self-doubt. I like them both" but according to sirbed Im "The Stats Killer"

by designatedforassignment on Dec 18, 2009 3:45 AM PST up reply actions  

I think that either your killing someone or your not

I don’t think that’s really true… And if it is true, is it a fact? It depends on what counts as “someone” and I don’t think there’s really any fact of the matter about who is “someone.” And I don’t think answering that question resolves the issue at all. Clearly you are killing something, which happens to be a living human being. I think that’s ok in the case of abortion, but not because I made some resolution of the “when does life begin” question, and then said “killing ok before; killing not ok after.”

I don’t think any of this really supports a “moderate” position, though, and I actually think many of the various “moderate” positions on this topic are more obnoxious and stupid than either extreme. e.g., people who think it should be legal but want parental consent laws or like. UGH.

With stout hearts, and with enthusiasm for the contest, let us go forward to victory. ----Hero Defector Montgomery

by mikeA on Dec 17, 2009 11:40 AM PST up reply actions  

If you wish to discuss this further, DFA,

email me privately (but not till after Christmas). I’m not going to discuss it here.

"Starbucks doesn’t change its logo just because it no longer serves naked mermaids in Fremont." —Librocrat

by iglew on Dec 17, 2009 10:18 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah this is probably too political for AN.

"Since other people actually read these threads, though, probably best that your particular brand of wrongness not go completely unchallenged." - PT

There are differing opinions on me. According to Iglew "DFA is PT with a sense of humor. PT is DFA with introspective self-doubt. I like them both" but according to sirbed Im "The Stats Killer"

by designatedforassignment on Dec 18, 2009 3:46 AM PST up reply actions  

i dont think anyone can be blind to the bad things he brings.

"They (The 1989 A's) are the best team I ever saw"- Mike Krukow

by 9Custs on Dec 13, 2009 2:43 PM PST up reply actions  

I disagree with that, actually.

Most of the anti-Cust people don’t give a damn about the good things, yeah, but I would challenge you to find any of the “pro-Cust” people posting here that think he doesn’t suck at defense, which is basically the only knock against him as a player.

I’m sure the dead horse needs to be beaten more, because people still don’t realize that strikeouts are really not all that bad.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 3:43 PM PST up reply actions  

To be fair, he didn't have a great offensive year last year

I tend to think it’s due to the poor coaching that, at best, encouraged him to try to change the type of player he is. I think he can bounce back, but the fact is, he didn’t hit as well as he had previously. There’s an argument there, and a valid one, that he’s in a decline with the bat.

The problem is when the arguments people use are antiquated “Too many strikeouts” or “Low batting average” or, the one that should get people banned from baseball watching, “he’s boring.”

www.zekeishungry.com

by thejd44 on Dec 13, 2009 10:58 PM PST up reply actions  

Sure

but I don’t recall any of the “pro Cust” type posters saying that he didn’t have a down year.

However, he’s yet to decline to the point where he’s not worth paying. Now we get to watch SUPER EXCITING 17 home run hitters.

They call their best player "Kung Fu Panda" and they complain that people aren’t taking them or the game seriously enough? -Nick

by mikev on Dec 13, 2009 11:05 PM PST up reply actions  

I don’t think seventeen of the current A’s can hit one home run each

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 13, 2009 11:27 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm pretty confident Jake Fox could do it with enough AB's

The question with him is if his defense and BB-rate will be good enough to earn those AB’s. I’m starting to feel optimist about Fox and think he could be a pretty useful part so I’m taking the over with him.

by OkayJay81 on Dec 14, 2009 10:56 AM PST up reply actions  

A healthy Harriston coud

but, so could a healthy Chavez

"The ego, the super-ego, and the Ed" - danmerqury

by Future Ed on Dec 14, 2009 12:11 PM PST up reply actions