He’s consistently been a 4-6 WAR player since 2004, but really collapsed this year driven primarily by a horrible offensive season (for him) driven by a low BABIP. A surface reading of the numbers would indicate to me that this could just be a one time thing.

I don’t place a huge amount of value on speed, veteran bats (unless they’re good bats), or playoff experience. The problem is, that many teams do place value on those sorts of things and are willing to pay premiums for them.

There’s a decent enough chance for him to jump back up to his former production levels for a year or two. There is certainly a great deal of value in a defensively strong, offensively slightly above average player at a high skill position.

But it’s not really a buy low and honestly, he’s a 31 year old shortstop.

The optimal free agent strategy (to me) seems to be as follows. Either go low and spend the money on higher risk but higher rate of return players (Russ Branyan, JAck Cust, etc.) or go big and sign a true super star (Mark Teixera, A-Rod, why are all of these guys Yankees?). Don’t waste time in the middle market.

It’s nice when bocro isn’t part of the discussion :) . I’d say Green could be penciled in for mid 2011. I’m not sure if I can see the a’s committing to Green after just one full year in the minor leagues, especially since in Blez’s interview, Beane said that Brett Wallace may need more development, most likely meaning more time at sac. However, Green is probably a better defensive SS than Wallace is a defensive 3B. If Green needs another year and Pennington regresses, Rollins could be a valuable one-year stopgap but only it we could somehow sign him for maybe somewhere in the 7-9m range. Probably not likely but something to think about

don’t pick up Rollins’ option, we should take a serious look at him.

And if the Arizona Diamondbacks offer Justin Upton his unconditional release, we should see if we can get him for the league minimum.

It isn’t a stupid idea to pick up Rollins IMO, I just don’t think its likely. Its just supposed to be a fun discussion. I think sometimes people forget that half the fun of being a fan is to speculate, and baseball is supposed to be FUN! Come on, read the title of the post.

First: Phillies are going to exercise his option.

Second: Rollins is overrated. He always was, even when he won the NL MVP in 2007 and he’s especially overrated now with his hitting abilities melting like ice in Arizona and him still getting all the love for being “heart and soul of the World Champions” and other Jeteresque anecdotal bullshit. In my crystal ball I see Rollins as one of the most grossly overpaid players of 2011-2015 period.