It's Really Not As Bad As We Think
Well, maybe it is. At least right now. But I never really thought the A's were going to compete for the AL West in 2008. I thought this was a team that Billy Beane was building for the future while hoping it wouldn't be a complete failure on the field this season. A lot things happened to make the team worse than most thought, especially lately, but I do truly believe that the A's are going to be much improved in 2009.
And we're starting to see signs of the team building for the future. Instead of pulling Lenny DiNardo out of the pen or Kirk Saarloos out of baseball purgatory to take a start, the A's are turning to Gio Gonzalez today. I'm really excited to see his stuff. I think he'll be one of the pitchers for the A's foundation moving forward. He's going to be very important to the A's success (or failure) over the next couple of years. The funny thing is that Gonzalez will likely be a third or fourth starter down the road. In front of him in terms of ability are Brett Anderson, Trevor Cahill and possibly even Vince Mazzaro. And these pitchers don't appear to be very far away. Mazzaro has made great strides forward this year and is now in Triple-A. Caill has been exceptional in Double-A and probably won't be far behind with his absolutely mouth-watering worthy groundball to fly ball ratio. Imagine that in the Coliseum. Brett Anderson is also pitching like a future ace at Midland. These pitchers aren't as far away as we think.
Course pitching isn't and hasn't been the problem with this team. It's the hitting that is the pain for any A's fan. It wasn't that long ago that Giambi and his crew of out-of-shape RC car racers were smacking the ball all around the Coliseum. So it's been especially painful to watch this current crew cutting their teeth. But with guys like Suzuki, Ryan Sweeney and Carlos Gonzalez maturing before our very eyes, I'm pretty sure that I see what Beane and company see and that's a team that just needs a little bit of help offensively. So if Beane uses some of that money this offseason to sign a bat and maybe trade for another one using a chip like Henry Rodriguez than the team could be much better than people will think in 2009.
That's the beauty (and sometimes curse) of having great pitching. It's that you realize that the team doesn't need that much offensively to be a good team. So while it seems like this current crop of players the A's are running out there are painfully inept, fear not because you can't keep a good organization down.
The A's will prove that in 2009. Mark that down now because it's about all we have to help us survive the rest of what will be an ugly remainder of 2008.
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103 comments
Comments
2009 is at least a year too early.
The offense still isn’t going to be nearly good enough next year. Sweeney and Suzuki will be nice pieces, but far from the intimidating bats a good offense needs. Gonzalez might get there next year, but he needs at least two more players like him for the offense to be there. It’s not “close” yet.
In 2010, Cardenas might be ready to have an impact, as may Carter and Cunningham. That may also give the A’s enough time to make the kind of trade you suggest.
The only way we see it next year is if the A’s get an already potent major-league bat in the offseason, either via free agency or trade. They actually have enough money to do that if they want, for a change. Beyond that, we’re looking at about the same team we had this year before we blew it up.
"PECOTA can pretty much kiss my ass."-Nico
by jeepers on Aug 6, 2008 1:10 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Future Offensivly
Poblem is that in 2009, it doesn’t look like we will get much hope from he minors offensivly. We’ll likely get Aaron Cunningham and Eric Patterson, and thats probably it till 2010. The big hope is that by 2010, we’ll have Sean Doolittle, Chris Carter, and Ardrian Cardenas.
In 2009, our offensive hopes will rest on Cunningham in Center or Left, Patterson hitting at 2B while not fielding horribly, someone new at SS who can hit, SOMEONE being able to play 3B, and for Daric Barton and Travis Buck to remember how to hit.
Hell, how’s this for an idea? If Buck recovers, and remembers how to hit, why not move him back to 3B and have him take over there? Or do we want to try to convert Chavez to 1B and Barton to 3B?
facepalm.jpg
by Zonis on Aug 6, 2008 1:10 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
The news is even worse than that, Zonis, as Crosby
is under contract for 2009.
As for Buck, I don’t think he hits for enough power to be a solution at 3B – I feel like the A’s need to get some power there given what they can expect from the OF and 1B. I like that Carter and maybe even Donaldson are getting time at 3B, because I think the A’s need to try to get 20-30 HRs from that position.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Aug 6, 2008 1:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Carter
Anyone have any updates as to how Carter looks at 3B? I haven’t heard too much.
by rageon on Aug 6, 2008 1:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
From what I've heard
He doesn’t look out of place at all.
by Tyler Bleszinski on Aug 6, 2008 1:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Can we get one of AN's front line writers to do a writeup on Carter and maybe one or two others?
Something like a weekly or bi-weekly update on these guys? I mean, right now, that is where the A’s excitement is.
"Whether you think you can, or you think you can't, either way, YOU'RE RIGHT !"
by Eastbayjim on Aug 6, 2008 1:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
We've got the Monday Minors Report
with Taj. Or are we talking about these players in particular? I know Taj does a good job of giving updates on them.
by Tyler Bleszinski on Aug 6, 2008 1:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Blez, time to increase the AN subscription fee to pay for travel and per diems to Sacto
There were a lot of stupid, long confusing words that I’m sure normal people don’t use. @('.')@
by monkeyball on Aug 6, 2008 2:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
10 errors in 33 games, .868 (!) fielding %
according to BBRef
That’s absolutely horrid, I don’t care how little errors and FP show.
by mikev on Aug 6, 2008 2:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That is a lot of errors
I wonder how many are throwing and how many are fielding. It’s also possible that as he gets used to the position he’ll cut down on the mistakes.
by thejd44 on Aug 6, 2008 2:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Crosby's no problem.
Lew can afford to eat $5.25M. They ate half that getting rid of Macha.
"PECOTA can pretty much kiss my ass."-Nico
by jeepers on Aug 6, 2008 3:30 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm basically on board with that, assuming Billy actually intends
to add 1-2 legitimate bats (be it a Dunn/Burrell type or a Carlos Gonzalez type) to the current group – and I have no idea if that’s the case, as historically it hasn’t been.
What dampens my enthusiasm is the latest news with Gallagher. Maybe it’s just a blip, not another Dan Meyer disaster or Joey Devine/Santiago Casilla setback, but if the A’s can’t keep their pitchers on track then their area of DEPTH is shot and everything looks to fall like dominoes.
The other thing is, I haven’t seen any evidence that the A’s are trying to build a successful team before 2010 – look at where Cardenas, Donaldson, and Carter are: Single A. If there’s an intention to compete in 2009, the plan still eludes me. And yet I will continue to hope!
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Aug 6, 2008 1:13 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Barton?
I’m under the impression that many people here don’t think he will ever make an impact because of a lousy rookie season. your thoughts?
does everyone think it’s going from bad to worse or do you think the offseason could do a world of good from him and we can at least expect .280-.350 from him?
by stranahanahan on Aug 6, 2008 1:15 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I think he's going to bounce back
But I don’t think it’s something you can count on as a part of being competitive in 2009.
by Tyler Bleszinski on Aug 6, 2008 1:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Given his age (23 next year) I don't think
it would be such a bad idea to let him re-prove himself at AAA. Especially if the A’s can find a good hitting 1Bman, either on the FA market (Giambi) or in-house (Chavez).
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Aug 6, 2008 1:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
I don’t think he’s nearly as bad as he’s looked at times this year. So much of the game is mental. Get your head right, rather than smacking it on the bottom of a pool, and maybe you can be the player we saw in September last year.
I also think that Buck is too good to be as bad as he’s been this year.
by Tyler Bleszinski on Aug 6, 2008 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He needs to sort out his swing, it's hideous at the moment.
by OldhamA on Aug 6, 2008 2:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
And it’s different from in the past. That’s why I think he’ll hit once he works out all the kinks in his swing. I’m a little disappointed that nobody on the coaching staff has been able to help him with it.
by thejd44 on Aug 6, 2008 2:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
A's hitting instructors:
“Hmm, that swing looks pretty bad – definitely you shouldn’t miss the ball so much. Hey, want to see how to throw a really good changeup?”
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Aug 6, 2008 2:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's funny because it's true!
nt
Sometimes life will strike you out on a curve ball and the only choice you have is to flip off the umpire and walk to first base anyway.
by Threepwood XX on Aug 6, 2008 3:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Even if Barton was hitting .275 instead of .225
he doesn’t have the power you like to see from a 1b or 3b. —.225 with no power is a disaster. If you’re trying to build a winner Mark Ellis should not be more powerful than your 1b and 3b.
by BlueMoon on Aug 6, 2008 1:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm being illogical, I admit it, but...
...I really don’t want Giambi back.
You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the goddamn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all. ~Earl Weaver
by UncleLeo on Aug 6, 2008 4:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd take him back, but I'd insist on a no-stache clause
There were a lot of stupid, long confusing words that I’m sure normal people don’t use. @('.')@
by monkeyball on Aug 6, 2008 6:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Susan Slusser seems to think we will go out and get a 3rd baseman
who is ready for the ML’s and also they are apparently looking for a 2B as well.
There is a little video clip on the front page of ESPN. FWIW
I hate unproductive outs and the A's are producing them at record production
by Trainman on Aug 6, 2008 1:21 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Ellis and the A's resumed talks earlier this week
The A’s don’t need another hole to fill. Sign Ellis, put your focus on 3B and another position to add a real bat (1B-DH-LF).
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Aug 6, 2008 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes
I hope the do sign him.
Vacuum cleaner at his position.
I hate unproductive outs and the A's are producing them at record production
by Trainman on Aug 6, 2008 1:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And with someone like Cahill
coming to the rotation and Mazzaro (who apparently is very good at pitching to contact) as well as Ziggy in the pen, it makes a ton of sense to have a great defensive second baseman behind them.
by Tyler Bleszinski on Aug 6, 2008 1:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Don't forget James Simmons
112 hits allowed in 106.2 innings. Stats look a lot like Joe Blanton.
Procrastinators unite....tomorrow
by muffinpryde on Aug 6, 2008 3:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Are you saying he sucks?
;-)
"God doesn't pay attention to your cute little hypotheticals." -- Jeff from LL
by oblique on Aug 6, 2008 3:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
LOL! A whole new definition.
You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the goddamn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all. ~Earl Weaver
by UncleLeo on Aug 6, 2008 4:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Of course they resumed talks with Ellis!
Better to sign him now, before he completes the season with a 57-game hitting streak!
Seven games done, fifty to go!! Piece of cake…he’s rolling!
"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer
by One won lost won on Aug 6, 2008 1:53 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Brilliant!
[Crosby] "Guy that has driven in some big runs for the A's over the years" - Vince Cotroneo
by WaddellCanseco on Aug 6, 2008 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I still am not convinced the A's should sign Ellis
He’s been pretty terrible overall this year offensively (a crazy split, I know, but it’s still worrisome). Is he any better than league average right now? He’s in his 30s and only stands to get worse.
I like Ellis and want no part of the Eric Patterson disaster, but I just get a bad feeling this is going to turn into the Kotsay deal.
by thejd44 on Aug 6, 2008 2:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Terrible overall offensively?
EqA of .254, 3 batting runs below average. That’s actually a plus from the second base position.
Meanwhile he’s been his usual +25 on defense.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on Aug 6, 2008 2:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, but also...
He is 31 years old, and it is unlikely that the A’s will contend next year.
...and the future is now!
by gio_is_the_future on Aug 6, 2008 3:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
So?
Even if he does decline, how much? How fast? Defensively, he’s still likely to be much better than average.
You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the goddamn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all. ~Earl Weaver
by UncleLeo on Aug 6, 2008 5:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Totally agree
Besides, I see Ellis having legitimate value, so I don’t any reason to not re-sign him.
You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the goddamn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all. ~Earl Weaver
by UncleLeo on Aug 6, 2008 4:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
2009 won't be a lost season
It might not be a playoff season, but it won’t be what this year is turning into either. It’s true that the offensive piece to complete the puzzle won’t be on the team, but with the pitching and steady (but not drastic) improvement of the young guys the A’s will still be a pretty good team.
by thejd44 on Aug 6, 2008 1:22 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Also, baseball is a bizarrely streaky game
The A’s won’t be this bad because this kind of crap doesn’t happen two seasons in a row, just like you don’t suddenly play .800 ball for two months every year.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Aug 6, 2008 1:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
well
I don’t know what to say other than I wish THIS had happened
"The two of them deserve each other. One's a born liar, the other's convicted."
by SwampyD on Aug 6, 2008 1:33 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It pretty much did right up to the Harden/Blanton trades
Crosby’s average, the team on pace to win about 86 games, strong starting pitching, and then…
THUD.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Aug 6, 2008 1:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't see a whole lot to like about the pitching
The A's colors are green and gold.
by mikeA on Aug 6, 2008 1:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Huh?
Are you talking about the A’s current rotation? Or the young kids?
by Tyler Bleszinski on Aug 6, 2008 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The 2009 staff
It figures to be middle of the pack.
The A's colors are green and gold.
by mikeA on Aug 6, 2008 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
and with a weak lineup...it could get ugly.
Finished with my woman 'cause she couldn't help me with my mind...
by diaryofmac10 on Aug 6, 2008 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It cant be any worse than this year.
"With 16-year-old Dominican righty Michel Inoa in tow, Gio Gonzalez improving at Triple-A and lefty Brett Anderson carving up Double-Abatters along with Simmons and Trevor Cahill, Oakland’s pitching depthis officially the envy of baseball." - BaseballAmerica.com
by Syphon on Aug 6, 2008 2:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
We are on pace for a 110-120 loss season
based on the last 3-4 weeks. Yeah, can’t get worse than that.
can it?
by asfansince1989 on Aug 6, 2008 2:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
(refering to the starting pitching)
The A's colors are green and gold.
by mikeA on Aug 6, 2008 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You may be right
The only thing that will keep them middle of the pack will be inexperience, especially if we see Mazzaro, Anderson and Cahill with the team next year.
by Tyler Bleszinski on Aug 6, 2008 1:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Um, aren't they still first in ERA?
And you can’t say that’s all because of pitchers who were traded, because Harden’s 77 IP and 2.34 ERA and Gaudin’s 3.59 ERA in 62 2/3 IP are pretty much canceled out by Blanton’s 4.96 in 127 IP. So it’s guys who are here now who are getting the job done (and guys who aren’t, like Embree, won’t be around).
So why exactly won’t this team have good pitching next year?
by thejd44 on Aug 6, 2008 2:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was just talking about the starters...
Bullpen should be very good. Take out Harden, and this year’s starting rotation hasn’t been that great at all.
Starters:
Lets call Duke an average #1.
After that we have some group of:
Gallagher, Smith, Gio, Eveland, Braden, Meyer, Mazzaro, Simmons, Anderson, Cahill.
That is great depth, but I don’t think any of those guys figure to be plus starters. None of them have been above average (or equivalently above average in the minors, ‘cept Anderson) this year. So that looks middle of the pack to me.
The A's colors are green and gold.
by mikeA on Aug 6, 2008 3:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Also park+defense gives the staff as a whole a fairly big ERA boost
The A's colors are green and gold.
by mikeA on Aug 6, 2008 3:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Also ERA is a dumb stat
...and the future is now!
by gio_is_the_future on Aug 6, 2008 3:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
susan slusser just said that Gallagher is heading to the DL
is heading to the DL. Does Myer get his spot?
by joeldavid on Aug 6, 2008 1:38 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I don't like the idea of the A's getting a bat
until they really need it. I think most of the A’s real good prospects probably won’t be ready by next year, especially if they’re trying to move Carter to third and Cardenas to SS, they’ll need more time to get used to those positions.
Looking at it realistically, even if there are no injuries for any of them, they might not even make it up until late in 2010, and then they’re still going to take their lumps like… Barton and Buck…
I’m one of the guys who likes guys like Dunn and Giambi, but I don’t think the A’s are one of those teams to spend a whole lot of money for a whole lot of years on somebody like that, because most of them don’t deserve it (read: Jones, Andruw; Pierre, Juan) and won’t earn it.
Also, it’s not easy to find an impact third baseman or shortstop like everybody says we need to do. If you want an impact bat, you look in the outfield and at first or second base (Cano, Kinsler, Pedroia, Kendrick, Utley, Uggla, etc etc etc). And that’s NOT what the A’s are lacking right now, what with Weeks, Cardenas, Patterson at second; Doolittle, Carter, Barton (he’ll be good) at first; and CarGon, Sweeney, Cunningham, Buck (he’ll be back, too) in the outfield along with a whole bunch of toolsy guys that could be studs if they put it together.
What I would like the A’s to do is let this ridiculously young team to mature together like the Arizona D’backs have done. They’re fielding practically whole team that they seasoned themselves in their system——and they had more than enough left over to package a couple of them up and go out and get an impact guy that they coveted (Haren, anybody?).
When all of these young guys get up here and start producing like they should, THEN we can assess our needs and send some guys to a bad team for a guy like Jason Bay when we really need him. But why go out and spend money on somebody who’s just going to get older (and probably injured with the A’s) to play in the bigs while they wait for all these prospects to get it together?
It doesn’t make sense to me. There, I said it.
by NateHST on Aug 6, 2008 1:42 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I've been thinking along those lines, NateHST -
That it makes little sense to look at guys already in their 30s and that if the A’s make a trade for a bat it should only be to get a Gonazalez (future stud) not a Burrell (aging established stud). Check out a guy with a great name who might get stuck in the Reds organization: Yonder Alonso. I’d go after those guys first.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Aug 6, 2008 1:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why would he get stuck? They played Adam Dunn in the OF.
[Crosby] "Guy that has driven in some big runs for the A's over the years" - Vince Cotroneo
by WaddellCanseco on Aug 6, 2008 2:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He may be blocked by Joey Votto
Won’t happen for a couple of years, though…
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on Aug 6, 2008 2:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
All of this is basically why I thought trading for Bay was a dumb idea
Sure, you’ve got him for 2009, but then he either walks or you sign a 31 year old to a long-term extension and screw up everything you’ve worked for up until this point.
I do, however, advocate re-signing Thomas and making picking up a cheap 3B option for next year. Maybe Rich Aurilia or something. Just a 1-year deal so you have an actual major leaguer out there instead of some of the guys who are failing on a regular basis.
The A’s should wait to make the big FA splash until right before 2010, unless they’re gonna go the route Detroit did with Pudge and sign him a year before they’re really ready to be good, but I don’t know if the A’s will do that.
by thejd44 on Aug 6, 2008 2:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Potential 2009 FA third baseman
Casey Blake
Russ Branyan
Jeff Cirillo
Joe Crede
Morgan Ensberg
Pedro Feliz
Nomar Garciaparra
Shea Hillenbrand
Corey Koskie
Greg Norton
Abraham Nunez
I see nobody on that list I want playing in Oakland in 2009.
Scott Spiezio, STL
Wes Helms, PHI
Chipper Jones, ATL
Hank Blalock, TEX
by mikev on Aug 6, 2008 2:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Who's on the 2010 list?
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Aug 6, 2008 2:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
2010
Adrian Beltre
Hank Blalock
Geoff Blum
Craig Counsell
Pedro Feliz
Chone Figgins
Chipper Jones
Mike Lamb
Melvin Mora
Chad Tracy
Ty Wiggington
Feliz, Lamb, and Mora have options for 2010
by mikev on Aug 6, 2008 2:55 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
and that's why...
as much as some people hate Jack Hannahan…
there’s just really not that much else out there. The A’s have to grow a third baseman internally. It might be Cardenas or Carter, long-term.
"Innings eater? Depends on whether you want delicious innings or burnt, moldy innings. Kirk Saarloos is the Hot Pockets of inning eaters." - Gallagher's Watermelons
by notsellingjeans on Aug 6, 2008 3:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
or Barton.
That’s my new beat-it-to-death idea.
by mikev on Aug 6, 2008 3:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I like that idea.
"PECOTA can pretty much kiss my ass."-Nico
by jeepers on Aug 6, 2008 3:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm on board with that
There were a lot of stupid, long confusing words that I’m sure normal people don’t use. @('.')@
by monkeyball on Aug 6, 2008 4:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd take Casey Blake for a year.
His pop along would be a big upgrade.
"PECOTA can pretty much kiss my ass."-Nico
by jeepers on Aug 6, 2008 3:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, but his pop must be around 60 years old now
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Aug 6, 2008 3:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agree
I don’t think it makes much sense to go out and start moving pieces to make a run in 2009. The youngsters just aren’t going to be ready – if I see Cahill or Anderson in Oakland before September I’m going to be annoyed. Why start their clocks when the team isn’t really ready yet? They shouldn’t bring them up until they’re ready to really be effective. They’re both 20 and have been in Double-A for a month. Let them finish the year at AA, start next year there, move them up to AAA at mid-season if they both still have their arms attached, bring them up when rosters expand to see if they’re really ready, then go with them in 2010 when the rest of the players are theoretically ready to go.
I’m looking forward to the next A’s contending team – I think they’ll be decent in 2009 but it’s not the year. This is 1998. Hopefully next year is 1999. And then hopefully 2010 becomes 2000 … that was a team ready to click. Hudson, Mulder, Zito … they were really ready to pitch in the majors and be effective. They didn’t just come up because we were sick of the guys on the ML roster and wanted to force tomorrow to be today.
by jdr on Aug 6, 2008 5:43 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And to reply to myself-
Some of these guys are going to get hurt. It seems like we have an embarrassment of pitching riches right now, but we’ve really had a crazy lucky year in that only one pitching prospect (DLS) has had an injury or taken a step backward. Next year might be a normal year – a few guys get hurt, a few guys stagnate, a few guys move forward. Then all of a sudden everything’s different.
by jdr on Aug 6, 2008 5:55 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If we want to compete next year....
We’ll need to trade a little of our depth. Here’s my little pet trade proposal that I really think could add some soon to be in their prime, good offensively and not horrible defensively hitters: Ryan Sweeney, Vin Mazzaro, HRod, and Eveland for JJ Hardy and Corey Hart. I really think it helps both teams as the Brewers are losing one, if not both, of CC and Sheets and will need pitching. They have Alcides Escobar and Matt Gamel soon to come up at Hardy’s and Hart’s positions. We could even throw in Patterson if they want insurance on their Weeks.
Then sign Giambi, re-sign Ellis, and maybe sign a guy like Russell Branyan (or ask about the price for Tejada) and your lineup is not half-bad:
Suzuki C
Hart RF
Giambi 1b/DH
Cust DH/LF
Hardy SS
CarGo CF
Ellis 2b
Branyan 3b
Buck/Cunningham LF
That lineup gives a lot of flexibility for Barton to play 1b if he remembers to hit. Buck to play LF if he does, or to rush Cunningham if we feel like it. Or we can go after Burrell/Dunn or Tejada if we want to spend a lot. We still have Gio, Anderson, Cahill, Leon, Inoa, Simmons as our top pitching prospects and we still have Duke, Smith, and Gallagher (assuming he’s not injured) on the team.
"Loyal? I'm the most loyal player money can buy." - Don Sutton
by vignette17 on Aug 6, 2008 2:10 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
That would be an appalling trade for the Brewers
Replace Eveland with Anderson or Cahill and maybe you won’t get their GM to hang up on you.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on Aug 6, 2008 3:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, it is as bad as we think
if what we’re thinking is “boy does that team on the field in green and gold right now suck.” The restocked stable of youngsters makes it not as bad as “We’re heading for a Kansas City style neverending quagmire of suck,” but I haven’t really seen anyone suggesting that.
However, if the record of the big league team in 2009 is how you define not keeping a good organization down, well, I must demur. The light at the end of the tunnel on the 2009 big league field figures to be just Arte’s Army getting ready to steamroll Oakland one more time.
They want to steal the land papers which is why they have tried to break in. But they had to give up after being bitten by Chhotu.
by FreeSeatUpgrade on Aug 6, 2008 2:11 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
That's why God invented the Wild Card
And made K-Rod ugly.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Aug 6, 2008 2:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Gallagher not on DL yet. Petit sent down to make room for Gio
Gallagher not on DL; Petit sent out
From Chronicle Staff Writer Susan Slusser in Toronto
Sean Gallagher’s shoulder hasn’t landed him on the DL today; the A’s have sent out backup infielder Gregorio Petit, instead, to make room for tonight’s starter, Gio Gonzalez.
Manager Bob Geren said yesterday that Gallagher’s next start is likely to be pushed back, so maybe that’s all there is to it for now.
The A’s will go without a backup middle infielder tonight – not a situation likely to last long. Expect another move in the next day or two. September and expanded rosters can’t come too soon for this club.
Posted By: Susan Slusser (Email) | August 06 2008 at 01:41 PM
I hate unproductive outs and the A's are producing them at record production
by Trainman on Aug 6, 2008 2:49 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
The A's have a backup infielder -
Hannahan and Crosby are both backup infielders. They just happen to be starting.
{rimshot}
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
by Nico on Aug 6, 2008 2:53 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why do they continue to fuck with Gregorio Petit like this?
by mikev on Aug 6, 2008 2:55 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm really not sure of that either
The guy basically hasn’t had consistent playing time since mid-May.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on Aug 6, 2008 3:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Also, Murphy's law = one of Crosby, Ellis, or Hannahan will twist an ankle or something tonight
Nothing serious, but enough to need to come out of the game and ice it down to be able to go on Friday.
OH WAIT THERE’S NO BACKUP INFIELDER ON THE FUCKING ROSTER
by mikev on Aug 6, 2008 3:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I guess the backup plan is Brown to first, Barton to third?
Or something?
Rajai plays second?
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on Aug 6, 2008 3:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I honestly don't get it.
Even if the team is officially punting 2008 - which is very likely - there’s no sense in what they’re doing with the 25 man roster.
by mikev on Aug 6, 2008 3:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm thinking Rajai at Short.
Come on… look at our infield. Who’s most likely to hurt himself.
In search of a new signature. Say something funny and you may see your comment here!
by DMOAS on Aug 6, 2008 3:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I take it to mean they don't see him as a future starter
Someone important might’ve decided that his “ceiling” is future utility guy, backing up at 3b, ss, and 2b.
Otherwise I don’t see why you’d let him rot on the bench for the big club for weeks and keep shuttling him back and forth unnecessarily.
I take it to mean that the team believes Pennington is Crosby’s eventual replacement, so it’s more important to make sure Pennington is getting Ab’s every day and not stunting his development.
"Innings eater? Depends on whether you want delicious innings or burnt, moldy innings. Kirk Saarloos is the Hot Pockets of inning eaters." - Gallagher's Watermelons
by notsellingjeans on Aug 6, 2008 3:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Which makes no sense, because Petit is a much better player
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on Aug 6, 2008 6:05 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The A's coaches and management hate Petit without a doubt
For no other reason that i can come up with other than that after seeing him in the shower they must know he is packing a lot of heat in an certain area if you catch my drift. From that they are jealous and will never give Petit a chance to play. They just toy with him by calling him up and making him ride the pine.
Dont let his name fool you.
by A'sfaninNC on Aug 6, 2008 4:05 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
2010 Not 2009
Good post but a little optimistic about the ‘soon’ part.
Hard to see this club scoring a lot more runs next year. No one hits the ball over the fence on this club, and they continue to play wait-for-Giambi-long-ball on the bases. (Amazing how often this club gets a guy on third with nobody out and the guy doesn’t score.) As for the A’s signing a bunch of ready-to-play free agents with all of the money saved by moving guys (like Harden), I just can’t remember the last time Billy’s done something like that, so I’m wondering what the likelihood of that is. Who is the last guy the A’s signed to a reasonably sized free agent deal? I’m not talking $10 million/year; I’m talking $4.
As for the pitching in 2009, there’s no doubt the system is loaded. But minor league pitchers are, well, minor league pitchers and you never known what you’re going to get. Exhibit 1: your third place 2008 New York Yankees. The A’s have Duke at #1 and then your #2 is unknown.
As for the not as bad as you think part, here AN seems to divide between those who focus exclusively on the future and those who give a fig about watching an entertaining game of baseball today. Bottom line is that while the current club is now arguably the worst in baseball (Washington is probably worse, but Kansas City is probably better) it is certainly the dullest club in baseball. That’s hard to stomach for a club that some of us may not have the chance to see in person once they move to Fremont. I love watching Duke pitch, Cargo hit, Ellis field and, uh, nobody run … but watching the heart of the order take more called third strikes (to claims of “Washburn’s really on his game tonight”) is pretty taxing.
So the distant future looks pretty good, the near future looks so-so. The present is indeed every bit as bad as it seems.
by solotar on Aug 6, 2008 2:54 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
"Exhibit 1: your third place 2008 New York Yankees"
This is an excellent point, solotar.
A lot of ANers want the A’s to trade off a few “excess” pitching prospects, but I’m not sure there is such a thing as excess pitching prospects. The Yankees may miss the post-season this year because they counted on, and needed, huge contributions from Kennedy, Hughes, and Chamberlain. All three have been either injured or ineffective at times.
If you have eight projected young, decent-or-better starters, you’ll probably have five at all times. That’s the best approach to take. And in 2-3 years, with Cahill-Anderson-Mazzaro-Simmons-Gallagher-Gio-Meyer-Braden-Eveland-Smith, that’s exactly what they’ll have. All those guys will still have plenty of service time remaining then. However, 3-4 of them will either break down or be terrible, or both, which is why it’s important to have 8 or 9 of them.
If that group can someday produce an near-historic team ERA – I’m talking like 2002 Braves (3.13) or 2003 Dodgers (3.16), then the A’s could win the West in ‘10 or ‘11 without one single “bopper”. With a pitching staff that good they could still be a contender with a league average offense, or even slightly below league-average.
"Innings eater? Depends on whether you want delicious innings or burnt, moldy innings. Kirk Saarloos is the Hot Pockets of inning eaters." - Gallagher's Watermelons
by notsellingjeans on Aug 6, 2008 3:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Yankees may miss the playoffs because of their offense
They had a phenomenal offense in 2007: 968 runs, 118 OPS+. No one was close, whether in the AL or the NL. Philly were the closest with a 111 OPS+ and 892 runs.
The expectation was that their offense would be able to carry their combination of (too) young and (too) old pitchers. It hasn’t be able to until recently. Their OPS+ on the season is 105. There are 3 teams in the AL better than that. And another team, the WS, are tied with the Yanks in OPS+.
As a whole their EQA in 2007 was 280. Meaning as a whole, the Yankees in 2007 hit better than a team of league average 1bs. Their EQA in 2008 so far, is 262. Marginally above a league average 2b offensively.
Their ERA+ of 100 so far this year is actually very marginally better than last year’s ERA+ of 99. BPro had their pitching and D at 5 runs below average in 2007. 34 runs above average so far in 2008.
The Yankees might miss the playoffs because Captain Clutch has gone cliff diving, Cano has hit like Pedro Feliz, Posada has been injured, Matsui has missed time, and Melky has collapsed.
ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524
by rfloh on Aug 6, 2008 3:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
All true, but none of that..
refutes the point that none of their 3 ballyhooed pitching prospects have been both healthy and effective all year, and that their pitching would be better if they had.
My point was to say that, counting on 3 pitching prospects to fill three voids over the course of an entire season is foolish. It leads to your team scouring the waiver wire for Sir Sidney Ponson.
"Innings eater? Depends on whether you want delicious innings or burnt, moldy innings. Kirk Saarloos is the Hot Pockets of inning eaters." - Gallagher's Watermelons
by notsellingjeans on Aug 6, 2008 3:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What if all are healthy?
You’re just going to burn up options for these young guys shuttling them up and down from AAA. So obviously, you can’t have a huge rotation. There are a few (like Eveland, Braden, etc.) that won’t have any options left. I understand having 1 or 2 or even 3 extra young arms, but having 10 guys that are advanced enough to pitch in the majors? That’s overkill. We’d be losing value on our strong pitching if we didn’t explore deals that involve improving other parts of the team. What good is all that performance if you aren’t using it at the major league level? I think we can afford to trade 1 or 2 of our advanced prospects and still feel good about our pitching in the future.
Prince: This bores me. Is anyone up for a game of basketball?
by baseb3383 on Aug 6, 2008 3:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah sure.
But really, that’s the nature of pitching in general. Guys are going to get injured. Wang Chien Ming isn’t some young ballyhooed pitching prospect. He’s an established MLB starter. He got injured too. The Yankees’ pitching would be better if he hadn’t gotten injured.
And this really isn’t just a Yankee problem. Look around MLB. Just off the top of my head: the Braves have had Smoltz, Hudson, Glavine get injured. The Mets have had John Maine get injured. I’m not even counting Pedro and Duque for the Mets, since it was a foregone conclusion at the start of the season that neither would come close to 200 IP or even 150 IP each.. The Tigers had Bonderman, The Indians, Carmona. The Angels, Lackey and Escobar.
ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524
by rfloh on Aug 6, 2008 4:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This was kind of the point I was making over on the other thread
The A’s injury problems are not at pitcher—they actually do a good job of keeping their pitchers healthy, although “good job” in this case means something like “average an injury every three years instead of an injury every two years”, which doesn’t sound that great.
It’s the position player injuries that are inexplicable and inexcusable.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on Aug 6, 2008 6:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
They also now have a rotation of Mussina, Pettitte, Ponson, Rasner, and Geise.
I mean, really. $200M and that’s their starting 5.
by mikev on Aug 6, 2008 3:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good post
One thing, though – it’s not really fair to say that “no one” hits homeruns, since Jack Cust is top 10 in the AL in HR, tied with guys like Miguel Cabrera and Vlad, and with more than Justin Morneau. Then again, the “walk two guys and hit a three-run bomb” strategy doesn’t work because, well, he’s also the only one getting on base.
...and the future is now!
by gio_is_the_future on Aug 6, 2008 3:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Home-grown 3B
Chris Carter moves well for a big guy, but he is a really, really big guy. He will never be a major league 3B, but who cares? Put him at DH and be grateful we have one of the most powerful hitters I have ever seen. Moonshot after moonshot. More than one 400 ft HR with the flick of a wrist. He has made great strides this year at Stockton with plate discipline. I think he will spend all next year at Midland, then start 2010 for the Rivercats. Middle 2010, he will be ready. Then look out!
Donaldson also has power. Legit. He is not quite agile enough behind the plate to be a MLB catcher, but he has a plus arm. Easily throws out guys stealing second. He is getting time at 3B when he is not catching. I think that is his future. He can field OK, and has the arm to make the long throw to first. He’s my bet for Oakland 3B in late 2010 or 2011.
Cardenas moves easy on the field. In 2011, he can be the starting 2B, 3B, or SS. Someone else, maybe Weeks or somebody, can play 2B. Cardenas can handle SS, and that’s where he will end up.
In general, the AA arms will be dominating for Oakland in 2010, but the A+ bats won’t be really bashing until 2011, when we win the West. Save your season ticket money for 2010-2015. It’s going to be fun. Just my humble opinions.
by movetotexas on Aug 6, 2008 3:51 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
One bright point
I don’t want to Jinx it so I will only use his initials but B.C. has at least been relativity healthy this year and has been a solid contributor. Perhaps with some feared bats hitting around him in the order in ‘09 he might even be more productive offensively.
"Some people have asked me whether or not Rickey Henderson belonged in the Hall of Fame. I've replied "if you could somehow split him in two, you'd have two Hall of Famers"" - Author Bill James in The Bill James Handbook (2008)
by rollie_fingers_moustache on Aug 6, 2008 4:09 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
All depends on definition of solid.....
Bring back Hammer.
by OaktownPower on Aug 6, 2008 4:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I believe he means "dense"
or perhaps “wooden” or “rocklike.”
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on Aug 6, 2008 6:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
We need a true cleanup hitter
Allen Craig would’ve been perfect as well as some of the other 3B out there. Sure some of these guys will be pricey, but Billy needs to make a deal this offseason for a 3B who can rake with anyone not named Cahill, Gio, and Anderson.
by HarbirD on Aug 6, 2008 7:29 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

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