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Did Beane get fleeced in the Hudson trade?

I keep seeing this thought repeated over and over that Billy got taken to the bank by Atlanta.  At first glace it is easy to say YES he did.  However, it is my opinion that if we only take a second look at it we will see that Billy didn’t get fleeced. 

 

Bad News:

Dan Myers, Two Buck Chuck and Jose Cruz were all HUGE bust!! There is no way around it. 

 

Good News:

We all knew he knew Huddy was gone after the 2004 season.  It was anybodies guess where he would go, but it is always safe to assume NY or Boston heck even Anaheim err I mean Los Angeles Angles of something or other.  So rather than get beat by him once or twice a season Beane shipped him off to his home town team safely tucked away in the dirty south.  I even believe that Beane knew that the Braves playoff run would be over soon.

 

Side Note:

Billy was able to flip Cruz for Brad Halsey who did a capable job as a lefty out of the pen in 2006.  It is true that he did give up 715 to Bonds, but no one is perfect. 

 

By the way has anyone seen Halsey lately? Is he still alive???

Poll
Did Beane get fleeced in the Hudson trade?
Yes; Beane should have asked for McCann or Johnson
113 votes
No, Huddy was gone after 04 and headed straight to the NYY
25 votes
None of the above
34 votes

172 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 89 comments

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Have I Beane Too Critical?

Sep 2007 by Nico - 50 comments

Comments

Display:

Dirty South??

First of all, the South is less dirty than the streets of LA, Oakland, SF or anywhere else.

Second, it doesn’t matter how you paint, the barn, the stalls are still full of cowsh*t, Beane got fleeced on the Hudson deal. I don’t care if he parked Huddy away in the National League or not, the fact is we gave away possibly our best pitcher in many many years and got nothing in return. I know Beane is no Merlin, but he needs a new hat in my opinion.

The greenmachine

by greenmachine on Jul 22, 2008 5:07 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Dirty South is a hip hop term

Rappers call the southern territory “Dirty South”. Just like west coast rappers call California the “West Side”.

by What Would Rickey Do on Jul 22, 2008 5:42 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

hogwash

I suppose next you’ll try to tell us that Atlanta can also be referred to as “the A-T-L”, or that the A’s play in “Oak-town”, or that “Shaolin Island” actually refers to Staten Island. Impossible. How dare people imply that people in Staten Island are kung-fu practicing monks. Blasphemy.

by TempletonPeck on Jul 22, 2008 7:54 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Please allow me to expain the term dirty south to you.

It is not a term of disrepect. Atlanta is the Rap version of Motown. Dirty South (deep south) is a style of rap. It is not a term for unclean. Thanks for your input!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_Rap

Lets go A's

by Jackson_A on Jul 22, 2008 5:28 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Capitalization would have helped

With that, I may have been inclined to look up to the term. I have no knowledge at all of hip hop or rap slang.

Root for the Giants? Not even if they're playing al-Qaeda!

by Monday Fan on Jul 22, 2008 12:58 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

you can't spin it good

I’d have rather had the loss of free agent bonus pick than the awful “prospects” Billy got in that trade. They either didn’t do their homework or really didn’t care who they got (either scenario represents a big failure for the organization).

And given the success the A’s have had against their ex-pitchers, I wouldn’t mind facing Huddy a couple times a year.

I think you just have to say “you can’t win ‘em all” to that one.

by Brian in 317 on Jul 22, 2008 7:26 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

May 17th

The A’s beat Huddy 5-4 so good point there.

Lets go A's

by Jackson_A on Jul 22, 2008 7:45 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I disagree

Dan Meyer was a highly regarded pitching prospect, as good as the A’s could have hoped to get with the draft pick. He injured his shoulder after the trade. You can’t blame BB for that.

Root for the Giants? Not even if they're playing al-Qaeda!

by Monday Fan on Jul 22, 2008 12:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dan Meyer

had a great outing on Sun. Pitching 7 scoreless w/ 8ks.

by sf drift king on Jul 22, 2008 10:25 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Can't Say McCann

McCann hadn’t done anything back then. Beane would’ve needed a crystal ball to pull that off. Just like he wouldve needed a crystall ball to know meyer would get hurt and lose it for 4 years. Back then meyer was just as highly regarded as haren.

Cust is the new Jaha.

by johnjahafanclub on Jul 22, 2008 3:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah, but u got to remember

that there was no guarantee that huddy was going to re-sign w/ the ATL. He was being traded as a 1-yr rental.

by sf drift king on Jul 22, 2008 10:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You can't win them all

Sure, this is the one deal that stands out as a loser for the A’s, but Beane usually comes out on top. I suppose you’re re-hashing this old news because of the recent trades. Clearly it will take a couple years to see how those deals pan out.

Still, Meyer might get another chance with the A’s as the current staff is disassembled. It might be time for hjim to develop a knuckle ball.

by BlueMoon on Jul 22, 2008 7:32 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Looked good at the time

I’m not sure any of us could have predicted that trade going so badly – or the Mulder deal working out so well. But when you have to invoke Brad Halsey to try and eke out value, well, ‘nuff said.

by boilerdan on Jul 22, 2008 7:37 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

lol

that was more of a joke. I noticed a lot of people jooking asking about where brad is.

Lets go A's

by Jackson_A on Jul 22, 2008 7:46 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jooky junk!

Um… after that blast from the unfortunately recent past…

Halsey was released earlier this year. Don’t know if he’s caught on with anyone else.

The irony here is that while Halsey gave the most value of any of the trade chips, the A’s traded away the best player of the three to get him—and Juan Cruz almost immediately became an excellent pitcher again as soon as he left Oakland.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on Jul 22, 2008 9:52 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

"Um… after that blast from the unfortunately recent past…"

Better a blast from the past than a blast in the ass!”

by mrod on Jul 22, 2008 9:39 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

jooking= joking

Lets go A's

by Jackson_A on Jul 22, 2008 7:46 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

awe

you kids today with your crazy words

Beane's World!! Excellent!!! Rock On, Beane! Rock On, Geren!

by Satchmo22 on Jul 22, 2008 10:45 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I do not like or agree with the choice of words "getting fleeced"

To me, that implies that Beane and Co. had critically flawed judgment in their evaluation of the trade at the time it was being made.
The centerpiece, however, was Meyer, and I am one to believe that he could have very easily lived up to expectations if he hadn’t gotten injured.

In my mind, there are two ways to fault Beane for this, neither of which I really agree with:
1) he should have known Meyer’s risk of injury
2) he should have hedged more by getting better/more surrounding players in the trade

debating #1 is pointless, as we don’t know much about the process the A’s use in deciding the risk of injury for a player they are scouting, plus we are talking about something that at the end of the day is, beyond using your best risk assessment, up to fate/the gods/monkeyball/whomever you attribute these things to. obviously, we hope that the A’s have a good evaluation system in place.

As for #2, I personally see that since the bust of the Hudson trade (and i DO agree with calling it a bust), there has been a shift in philosophy towards mitigating injury risks by getting more depth in these big trades. And that is a shift that I agree with.

But to say Beane was fleeced bothers me. I do not hold this trade against him as much as others do. I still contend that at the time of the trade, it was a decent one for the A’s to make. The Braves gave up prospects for a guy who would have been a free agent anyway in 2005 (noted that they had an advantage to sign him because of the trade). The A’s got the potential of a great starting pitcher, and two possible major leaguers in CT and Cruz, instead of draft picks. The fact that Meyer got derailed is not something I hold against Beane’s record as GM. That is the nature of baseball. With every player comes a risk of injury, and the earlier they are in their career, the more time they have to get injured before the bigs. Yes, Beane could have done a better job of decreasing his exposure to this risk, but to say he was fleeced is unfair.

(im guessing you got this from Urban’s mailbag?)

by oakinboston on Jul 22, 2008 7:49 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree with you on the fleeced part.

Beane made the best trade he could and it also sent Huddy closer to home.

Lets go A's

by Jackson_A on Jul 22, 2008 8:19 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes Hudson was an FA in

If Beane had let him walk, the A’s would have collected the picks. The A’s did not have to trade Hudson.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jul 22, 2008 12:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

And they could have used him in 2005

When you have a chance to get a guy like Sean Gallagher, you take it!

by WaddellCanseco on Jul 22, 2008 12:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Even with the picks

the A’s would not have gotten the bat that they are in need of, so draft picks or prospects, neither can hit, so it doesnt really matter

by A'sfaninNC on Jul 22, 2008 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wait, what?

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on Jul 22, 2008 9:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

My point is that you can't

analyse the trade by saying that well, Hudson was an FA after 2005, the A’s only had him for 1 more year, ergo a trade package that produced ultimately nothing in return really isn’t too bad. The draft picks that the A’s would have collected if they held onto him need to be taken into account.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jul 23, 2008 7:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1 on that one....

I’m still pissed about that trade. Huddy should have never left the A’s. He was the toughest motherf*&$r on the team and I rally miss him. A true leader back in the day.

by mrod on Jul 22, 2008 9:42 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fleeced? No.

Weak trade? Yes. Worst deal in his tenure? Probably. The real problem was Thomas. Beane thought he was getting a starting caliber outfielder when the numbers showed the holes that said otherwise.

Meyer getting hurt was bad luck. Cruz, as a 3rd piece was a bit if a gamble but one with pretty good upside.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 22, 2008 8:00 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

+1

I recently looked up the Billy Beane trade spreadsheet on MLB Trade Rumors (link below) and this is the only trade i could see that turned out “negatively” for the A’s as in they didn’t get at least “equal value”.

I agree with grover that while this was a bad trade, it wasn’t a fleecing. I don’t know what to vote for in the poll because obviously in hindsight, Beane should have asked for McCann or maybe even (at the time—if they were in the system then, I don’t know) low level prospects that were given to Texas in the Texiera trade (Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Elvis Andrus, etc). However, it wasn’t a fleecing. It would be nice to have McCann, Saltalamacchia or Andrus right now, but it wasn’t an entirely horrible trade as Jackson_A alludes to.

LINK: http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/files/oakland_athletics_billy_beane.xls
it is good reading^

by gogoldenbears on Jul 22, 2008 8:13 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fleecing seems the wrong term...

It implies that Atlanta was snickering behind Beane’s back at the time knowing they gave up squat for a year of Hudson. I don’t think Atlanta thought they were giving up squat at the time, but figured it was a fair trade. I think a more accurate description is that Beane ended up hosed by the trade due to circumstances outside his control.

by Donner on Jul 22, 2008 8:50 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Worse than Lilly for Kielty?

Surely not.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on Jul 22, 2008 9:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

That one hurt!

No sooner than I got my Lilly #31 T-Shirt he was gone!

Lets go A's

by Jackson_A on Jul 22, 2008 10:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Harang for Guillen turned out badly as well

although I was for it at the time

When you have a chance to get a guy like Sean Gallagher, you take it!

by WaddellCanseco on Jul 22, 2008 12:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Would have turned out better

if we kept Guillen. He’s pretty good at hitting.

"PECOTA can pretty much kiss my ass."-Nico

by jeepers on Jul 22, 2008 12:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Boy could we use exactly him

with a different personality.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Jul 22, 2008 1:56 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Admittedly not one of Beane's better trades

but I stand by my ranking for 3 reasons.

1) Bobby Kielty actually contributed in Oakland.

2) Ted Lilly did not get along with pitching coach Rick Peterson. There was a concern that Lilly would not develope fully if he stayed in Oakland.

3) At the time of the trade, Kielty’s numbers suggested that he could indeed switch-hit. As we all know that didn’t come to pass. Thomas’ numbers screamed fluke but Beane still believed he was capable of being a starting OFer.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 22, 2008 7:39 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

FYI

if we don’t scroll down any further we wont get to the monster at the end of the blog!

Lets go A's

by Jackson_A on Jul 22, 2008 10:58 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The biggest mistake with Cruz

was not keeping him, IMO. He’s a pretty darn good relief pitcher. I know it looked like he might never “get it” when we had him, but we gave up on him pretty fast. Two-Buck Chuck was indeed the biggest problem with the deal. Never before or since has Beane been more susceptible to “small sample size.”

"PECOTA can pretty much kiss my ass."-Nico

by jeepers on Jul 22, 2008 12:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

hudson's durability + money

were the issues, but if they couldve kept one guy, he was the one

if anything, too bad the orioles deal never happened

it was roberts/bedard for zito?

or bedard/maine/penn…some combo of 3 pitchers…they refused

also headcase juan cruz has done very well in nl.

by Asfan4ever723 on Jul 22, 2008 8:09 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

bedard

wow, i dont remember that proposed trade. that would have been crazy—bedard was a top level pitching prospect in the minors.

imagine if we got bedard and were able to trade for a similar package of what the orioles got from seattle: adam jones, george sherill, etc. in essence for zito…

by gogoldenbears on Jul 22, 2008 8:16 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Halsey

is alive(as of 4/08). He’s unemployed and still not throwing off the mound. His rehab has not been successful.

He does still have that pending grievance against the A’s.

"If everything seems to be going well, you have obviously overlooked something."

by RIPHalsey on Jul 22, 2008 9:01 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I still maintain it was a good trade

Meyer and Haren were interchangeable in terms of projected success and timeline – one went on to exceed expectations and stay healthy, one got injured and has yet to succeed at all. But that’s why you acquire multiple good prospects – because invariably some will work out and others won’t and you need “three to make two”.

I also think Juan Cruz and Charles Thomas were irrelevant pieces – that the deal was basically Hudson for Meyer and that Cruz was a known head case with a good arm (worth a shot) while Thomas was a “filler player” (you need some of those at AAA and his upside was Rajai Davis).

So really what Beane was aiming to do was to trade Hudson for “Haren”. And given the fact that Hudson was gone after 2005 anyway, a known injury risk, and a lot more expensive, I think a trade of Hudson for “Haren” was outstanding.

In fact, had it worked out as scouts projected, we would have the team we have now, plus “Haren” – and might still be in the playoff race for 2008 while rebuilding.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Jul 22, 2008 9:04 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The Meyer Haren

Meyer would be a 4th year stud right now – as Haren is – if as projected, Meyer would currently be a “solid #2 starter” in his prime.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Jul 22, 2008 9:16 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Funny enough, I still think you're wrong on this one.

The original Braves/A’s proposal was centered around Meyer and Marcus Giles. Giles was Atlanta’s starting 2B and had been since 2003. When Bobby Cox begged Schuerholz to not trade Giles the package became Meyer and Thomas.

You’re arguing that Beane went from asking for a top pitching prospect and a young starting position player to Meyer and “irrelevant pieces” for no reason other then to make the Braves happy. Remember, Schuerholz was going to sign off on the Meyer/Giles package! The price Beane was asking for was not considered outrageous in Atlanta.

Nico, it makes no sense for Beane to have suddenly dropped his asking price at that time.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 22, 2008 7:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

All I'm really arguing is that a trade of

Hudson for Meyer straight up was a good one for the A’s. If Schuerholz was going to sign off on a way too good deal for Oakland but then said ok to a good deal for Oakland, you still make the deal. And I really don’t think Beane felt Thomas would be anything special. He probably thought or hoped he would serve a role like Rajai Davis currently serves.

But IF you believe (as I do) that Hudson for Meyer is a good enough deal to make, then when you’re offered Hudson for Meyer, Cruz, and Thomas you say “yes”.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Jul 22, 2008 7:55 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No, it wasn't

Not when you’ve got 3-4 teams offering up their version of Dan Meyer.

Beane was looking for Meyer plus a young starting position player in exchange for Tim Hudson. That is what he was asking for and that is what teams were willing to pay! You don’t get to write off Thomas as a footnote, he was key to getting a deal done.

You say Hudson/Meyer straight up was a good deal. If another guy is offering you 2 Meyers and you don’t take the bigger deal then you are not doing your job as a GM. Nico, teams were offering MORE then Dan Meyer to get Hudson! Why are you so eager to cut the other teams a break?

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 22, 2008 8:16 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know what the other teams were offering,

(but nobody, I’m sure, was offering more than one Meyer-level prospect) and maybe the A’s scouts agreed that those “Meyers” were not going to be as good as Meyer.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Jul 23, 2008 8:19 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Schuerholz was going to give up Meyer and Marcus Giles

That is fact. All the media outlets ran stories about how Cox stepped in and squashed the deal.

The price was 1 top SP prospect, 1 young starting caliber position player and a 3rd player to round out the deal. The Braves subbed Giles for Thomas not because Beane suddenly asked for less but because Beane thought Thomas was an adequate substitute for Giles.

So to say Meyer for Huddy straight up was enough is crap. Billy Beane disagreed completely.

Denial is not just a river in Egypt my friend. It also flows through the Sudan.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 23, 2008 8:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You don't need to be snarky, grover

I understand that Meyer and Giles was approved by Schuerholz, but Beane said “sure” and then it was taken off the table and another offer put on the table by the Braves that was also acceptable to Beane – because anything with Meyer would have been enough to say “yes”. Beane wanted Meyer plus as much as he could get – it looked like that was Giles, but it wasn’t. That doesn’t mean the deal he took wasn’t a good one to take.

What I’m suggesting isn’t that complicated. If you think Hudson for Meyer is better than the offers from other teams, (let’s say you consider the best offer elsewhere to be worth “Meyer – 1”), and you can get Meyer + 10 you do it, but if you can’t (because Cox intervenes) and can still get Meyer +2 you still do it.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Jul 23, 2008 10:51 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

What you're suggesting requires a massive assumption.

You are, in essence, saying that Meyer alone was worth trading Huddy. That assumes the A’s scouting reports rated Meyer higher then any other interested team’s top SP prospect PLUS the young position player. Meyer was a high rated guy but no one ranked him that high. If the A’s truly felt that way about Meyer then their scouts fouled up worse then they did with Thomas.

Nico, your arguement requires a damning level of stupidity on the part of the A’s Front Office. I think they screwed up, you’re basically accusing them of incompetence.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 23, 2008 7:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

As for the snark

You gotta admit, I’ve been behaving much better lately.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 23, 2008 7:44 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just think the assumption you're making

is the A’s had a solid offer of a pitching prospect better than Meyer (or one as good, plus a really good second prospect). I don’t know that; we’ll never know what actually deals were on the table.

What I do believe is that the A’s scouts thought Meyer was going to be special, as good or better than the overall reports – as they thought with Haren and they were right…and they might have been right with Meyer too – again, we’ll never really know.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Jul 23, 2008 8:41 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If only half the rumors were true

Then yes, the A’s had offers that included arms as good or almost as good as Meyer. They certainly had offers that included a SP prospect and a position player whose combined talents were greater then Meyer could have provided on his own.

Dan Meyer was not considered special like folks consider Clayton Kershaw to be special. Meyer was a good prospect, no doubt. But Beane was looking for a SP and a position player in exchange for Hudson. He screwed up in his estimate of Thomas’ talent.

He did not consider Meyer alone a good enough deal to trade Hudson. He pushed for a guy he could get in the every day line-up as well.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 23, 2008 9:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Of course

he got fleeced. However, if Meyer can pull it all together and stay healthy he could be a decent #4 or a really good #5. Hudson had we not traded him probably would have gone to New York or Boston, so in that regard this trade helped us out. I wish we would have been able to get McCan or Johnson but what can you do.

Fremont here we come!

by In Beane we trust on Jul 22, 2008 9:25 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Surely a terrible trade

especially when one considers what was out there at the time. At that time, Arizona was desperate for a starter and they were willing to pay for it. The A’s could have easily had their pick of potential stars. The D-Backs, at the time, had Conor Jackson, Carlos Quentin stuck behind what they considered superior players. They had an injured Jose Valverde and Brandon Webb was coming off a horrible year.
It seemed obvious that Arizona was a perfect trading partner, but who knows, maybe they didn’t think they could come to terms with Hudson on a new contract, and that was the gamble any trading partner had to accept.
In the end, Arizona paid a king’s ransom for Russ Ortiz (but kept their prospects), the A’s got a pile of junk and Atlanta paid fair market for Hudson, but hindsight is 20/20.

by iceplant on Jul 22, 2008 9:27 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

It was a flop but.....

Meyer’s projections were higher than/equivalent to Dan Haren’s except he got hurt. This is a big time blemish on BB’s record….

by Cochran86 on Jul 22, 2008 9:30 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

So someone explain to me how

trading Hudson for Dan Haren was a bad trade. Forget Meyer’s injury, forget the other two players. Tim Hudson, with one year left on his contract and with his health history, for Dan Haren, major league ready with all 6 service years ahead – bad trade? How?

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Jul 22, 2008 9:33 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't really think they were equivalent.

Haren always had better stuff, and he had already shown some of it in the majors, even on the game’s biggest stage. Meyer was a guy whose major-league abilities we were supposed to trust based on AAA success, in spite of not having a dominant arm.

"PECOTA can pretty much kiss my ass."-Nico

by jeepers on Jul 22, 2008 12:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Because Mulder also had trade value, that was not exploited in your scenario

When you have a chance to get a guy like Sean Gallagher, you take it!

by WaddellCanseco on Jul 22, 2008 12:20 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Overall, scouts projected Meyer as high as Haren,

some a little below and others a bit above. He did have a dominant arm: A 93+MPH fastball, a plus slider, and excellent control/command. From his description he sounded a lot like Pettitte in terms of stuff and potential.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Jul 22, 2008 1:58 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't remember it that way

but I could be wrong. Haren was more advanced from an experience point of view, though.

"PECOTA can pretty much kiss my ass."-Nico

by jeepers on Jul 22, 2008 2:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

True, but he had not been highly successful -

Haren had pitched parts of two seasons in the major leagues (a total of 28 games, 19 starts) with a 4.85 ERA, and 1.42 WHIP, over 119 IP when the A’s traded for him.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Jul 22, 2008 2:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Simple

Beane could have gotten more then Dan Haren from any team interested in Tim Hudson.

The starting point for any discussion re: a Hudson trade was made clear to all interested parties. Suitors had to be willing to part with a top SP prospect (a Dan Haren) or they wouldn’t even be in the game. So if everyone has to pony up a Dan Haren type SP prospect just to play, and there were multiple suitors involved, then the failure to acquire any parts other then the Dan Haren ante means Beane had to be completely incompetent!

Which he isn’t.

Beane thought Thomas was a starting caliber OFer and that is where he screwed up.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 22, 2008 7:52 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fleeced is getting Laroche/Hu for Hannahan, Myron Leslie, and Jed Morris, not getting

the #1 pitching prospect, and 2 possible average big leaugers for a good pitcher. Noone knew Meyer was going to try to prove himself, and injure himself. He had no prior injury history, and admitted himself, he didn’t tell anyone he was hurt, but threw through it. It was a trade that maybe favored Atlanta in the immediate, but should have given the A’s the momentum for the future. It didn’t work that way, Stuff Happens.

by theblackpearl on Jul 22, 2008 9:44 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The only blame I put on the A's organization is that

in March, 2005, I watched Meyer pitch in a Cactus League game and said, “He’s hurt.” I didn’t even have access to a radar gun reading but it was clear that he was throwing more like 84 than the 93-94 MPH he was reputed to throw – and it was during and AFTER that, that Meyer kept saying “I’m fine” and the A’s were like, “Oh, ok” and just let him keep pitching as if an 8 MPH drop in velocity was not cause for alarm. For that, I think they (as well as Meyer, obviously) can be blamed. Not for the trade itself.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Jul 22, 2008 9:49 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

spellcheck?

"It's not my fault your team's so shitty." -Steve Friend, head coach, Chabot College, to Laney College's head coach, who asked why we scored so many runs after we beat Laney 30-3 in 2006

by flipgatey3 on Jul 22, 2008 9:57 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

C-H-E-C-K.

"God doesn't pay attention to your cute little hypotheticals." -- Jeff from LL

by oblique on Jul 22, 2008 10:00 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

nice

"It's not my fault your team's so shitty." -Steve Friend, head coach, Chabot College, to Laney College's head coach, who asked why we scored so many runs after we beat Laney 30-3 in 2006

by flipgatey3 on Jul 22, 2008 5:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Best and the worst.

Hudson has by far had the best post “Big 3” career yet the A’s basically could have traded a case of dollar hot dogs and it would have been a better deal. At least what they got for the “Big 3” turned out well. Even if who ever they picked for Zito’s draft pick never turns out. They made it to the ALCS by keeping Zito.

by fansince1980 on Jul 22, 2008 10:16 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

It's the risk you run with prospects

We absolutely killed St. Louis in the Mulder deal, so it all works out. You never know if prospects are gonna pan out, or if veterans are going to stay healthy. Meyer was actually a very very good prospect back when we got him and had no injury history. His minor league numbers at the time we got him looked like this:

ERA: 2.71, WHIP: 1.11, K/9: 9.7

Jim Callis had him listed as the 28th best prospect in the minors, and the 3rd best LHP behind Scotty Kazmir and Jeff Francis and ahead of current ChiSox ace John Danks. Beane had no idea Meyer was gonna crap out and spend the next few years putting up mediocre numbers in AAA. Cruz had a killer arm (Charlie Thomas sucked hard though). Hudson was clearly the best of the big 3, and you could argue that Beane could’ve gotten more, but I wouldn’t say he got “fleeced”. Meyer was supposed to be a damn good pitcher by now, sometimes it just doesn’t happen.

by hibachi7_7_7 on Jul 22, 2008 10:24 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

i agree 100000000%

with this post

"It's not my fault your team's so shitty." -Steve Friend, head coach, Chabot College, to Laney College's head coach, who asked why we scored so many runs after we beat Laney 30-3 in 2006

by flipgatey3 on Jul 22, 2008 5:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks for the input!

I keep hearing that Beane got fleeced, but I don’t think he did. In hindsight it wasn’t a great trade, but it worked out for Huddy. He is playing for his home team and the A’s. Well they only have to face him once every two years.

Lets go A's

by Jackson_A on Jul 22, 2008 10:39 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Injuries Happen

Although of course we give Billy credit for the fact that Mulder never came back. As ever, if Billy gets unlucky we say he’s, well, unlucky, but when he gets lucky we say he’s good. The bad trade was the Harden trade. Talk about getting fleeced.

by solotar on Jul 22, 2008 10:41 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Rumored deals

if Huddy went to Phillies:
one of Howard/Utley but with no pitching prospects
That would have been amazing anyways. Oh well.

if Huddy went to O’s:
Bedard, Maine, Penn/Loewen
Holy crap.

if Huddy went to LAD:
Edwin Jackson, Greg Miller
Um, I guess Jackson’s OK.

some crazy three-way:
Marcus Giles, Jason Marquis
Amazingly that would have been worse than what actually happened.

Were there any other rumors I’m forgetting?

"Loyal? I'm the most loyal player money can buy." - Don Sutton

by vignette17 on Jul 22, 2008 11:53 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

sweet merciful jesus

I’m going to forget you said those first 2. The thought of having Utley is a little too much for me to handle right now…

by hibachi7_7_7 on Jul 22, 2008 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

With hindsight being 20/20 and all

it is easy to say that Beane was fleeced. But at the time Meyer was projected to better than or at least the equivalent of Dan Haren. But along the way he got hurt. At the time of the trade the A’s thought they were getting a the second SP that was to be part of the next big 3 in Oakland. Its hardly Beane’s fault that Meyer was injured after he got to Oakland and has not been able to right the ship as of yet. But back when the deal went down it looked great and eveyone thought the A’s were getting a good bunch a talent in return for a guy they were going to lose in no time at all.

by A'sfaninNC on Jul 22, 2008 11:56 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

And I don't blame Atlanta either

I believe they had no idea he was hurt – it just happens sometimes.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Jul 22, 2008 2:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wonder why we're talking about this now?

"The Athletics at Fremont" is pretty bad

by ArakSOT on Jul 22, 2008 2:01 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Because 2008 has taken such a sucky turn

that we’re desperately hoping it’s more like 2005…and not 1994…

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Jul 22, 2008 2:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

-hudson was almost certainly gone at the end of 2005
-meyer was probably a better pitching prospect than haren
-the 2005 rotation of zito-harden-haren-blanton-saarloos performed as well as anyone could hope for

-

A's v Giants "is kind of like the difference between going to see the Ramones and going to see the Bee Gees. A's fans will go see the Ramones." -BB 07/27/05

by xbhaskarx on Jul 22, 2008 4:12 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

oops, i wasn’t done. eh F it…

A's v Giants "is kind of like the difference between going to see the Ramones and going to see the Bee Gees. A's fans will go see the Ramones." -BB 07/27/05

by xbhaskarx on Jul 22, 2008 4:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

BB, for future reference--

1. Never Start a Land War in Asia
2. Never Go Against a Sicilian When Death is On the Line
3. Never Trade Pitchers with the Atlanta Braves

The glare was not practiced. I would get into the game situations, and when that happens, there comes a level of concentration that most can only imagine but can never achieve. You become what you are doing, and that is what you see on my face. -Dave Stewart

by Hegenberger Road on Jul 22, 2008 6:04 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I was thinking this very thing earlier

A tip o’ the cap for beating me to the punch.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 22, 2008 7:53 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Adam Wainwright says hi.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jul 23, 2008 7:21 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It worked out well for wesley, though, didn't it?

And I think people in MLB would be more likely to say “never acquire a player from Billy Beane”.

In retrospect, the deal looks bad. But we are schoolboys doing history, not generals doing strategy. At the time, it looked like a reasonable deal. But, there’s a reason why they call them prospects and not players.

I think you need to assess what BB made out of all of the big 3, and, taking that big picture, trading mulder for haren and not resigning zito look like two of the best deals any GM made over the past 10 years.

it is not possible to strategize while the ball is coming towards you

by eastcoasta'sfan on Jul 23, 2008 8:35 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It did not look like a reasonable deal at the time

It looked like a crap deal at the time.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 23, 2008 8:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Really?

Even going off your post above, Meyer and Cruz were good prospects with a lot of upside. Thomas was a bust, and your criticism about that part of the deal is on target.

But, had either Meyer or Cruz worked out, I think most people would consider it a reasonable deal. And that’s why I think it’s hard to criticize the deal too much.

it is not possible to strategize while the ball is coming towards you

by eastcoasta'sfan on Jul 23, 2008 9:24 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Negatory good buddy.

Meyer was a good prospect, I’ve never argued against his inclusion in the deal. It was basically bad luck (and stubbornness) that led to a career careening injury.

Cruz was (and in my opinion still is) a guy with a million dollar arm but a five cent head. He was a minor part of the deal. Let me put it this way: The deal would have folded if the Braves weren’t willing to include Meyer. The deal would have still happened if the Braves weren’t willing to part with Cruz but were still willing to include a live arm as the 3rd piece.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Jul 23, 2008 7:48 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It wasn't a good deal.

The guys we got for Huddy aren’t good. That makes it a poor deal. How could it be a good one?

by IM4Oakgal on Jul 23, 2008 10:16 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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