The Final Sell-Off: How the A's Can Land an Elite Hitter
Two questions keep floating around AthleticsNation:
- What will the fate be of looming ('08 or '09) free agents Mark Ellis, Bobby Crosby, Justin Duchscherer, Alan Embree, and Huston Street (FA after '10)?
- Can the A's somehow acquire a fearsome, middle-of-the-order run producer to anchor their lineup for years to come, as Jason Giambi did during the A's last mini-dynasty?
I think that the answer to #2 is yes, thanks to a wonderful confluence of factors that have made one team match up perfectly for a trade involving the list of A's players in #1. Instead of continuing to piece-meal out his best trade assets one-by-one, leading to more and more uneasiness and distraction with each passing day, Beane could be done with rebuilding trades for years in one fell swoop.
Can you already guess which team, and which coveted hitter, I'm targeting? Here's a few hints in the form of questions, in order from easy to difficult:
1.) Which league does Billy Beane love re-routing his soon-to-be-expensive talent to, so that it's less likely to come back and beat his own team later on?
2.) Which manager pioneered the LOOGY, loves carrying 2 or even 3 lefties, and would highly value Embree's services right now?
3.) Which highly-regarded pitching coach with experience coaching an injury-prone closer with occasional mental/confidence issues might be excited to help the enigmatic Street return to form?
4.) Which team has a gaping closer vacancy not only now, but especially after the season when their high-priced, injury-prone closer hits FA? Which contending team's middle infield is a bastion of offensive futility, with no youthful promise, long-term cost control, or hope for improvement? Which team has three big-name starting pitchers out with serious injuries, and would crave Duke's stabilizing presence? Which team desperately needs to answer the two high-profile acquisitions made by their biggest division rivals in the past two weeks?
If you answered 1) the NL, 2) Tony LaRussa, 3) Dave Duncan, and 4) the Cardinals four times over, you're right. Somehow, one team matches up perfectly with all five players the A's might be looking to jettison in the next few weeks - five players who are about to become more expensive and won't be in their primes when Beane figures the A's can contend again, in 2010 or 2011 and beyond.
Duchscherer would make a great fit for St. Louis, helping to shoulder the burden with Wainwright, Carpenter, and Mulder all on the shelf. It's easy to see a scenario of him making a few good playoff starts for them, loving the atmosphere, and signing an extension at the end of the season.
Crosby, as much as he's maligned here, is actually quite an upgrade over the Cards' Cesar Izturis. The Cards might be attracted to solving their SS question mark for '09 too, and getting a sneak peak at how Crosby responds to a change of scenery and the NL. If Crosby enjoys a mini-renaissance against weaker NL pitching, it's not hard to foresee his next contract coming from the St. Louis, too.
Ellis is the most questionable inclusion on this list: would the Cardinals be willing to bump out incumbent 2b Adam Kennedy, even though he's making $3.5MM this year and owed an additional $4MM for '09? Perhaps they should, considering that Ellis is an obvious upgrade over Kennedy, and would be an ideal plug for their second-base hole for years to come if they liked what they saw and re-signed him this off-season.
Now, if you're an A's fan and you're howling about giving up as many as five legitimate big leaguers, consider that a Cardinals fan would be howling over what the A's would get in return (which is how it always works on the home team's blog, right?)
What makes giving up Duke, Street, Embree, and potentially Ellis/Crosby palatable is receiving arguably the next top-rated minor league hitting prospect in the game in return: Colby Rasmus.
Rasmus is a 6-foot-2, 195 pound, 21-year-old, five-tool center fielder with great plate discipline and impressively low strikeout totals for a power hitter. He will be ready at the latest by the end of '09, and his eventually big league debut will probably end up being as big of a deal publicity-wise as Jay Bruce's was this season. But what makes Rasmus unique is that, despite his prodigious talent, he's probably struggled just enough at AAA this year to avoid the "untouchable" tag that Jay Bruce earned with his second-half performance last year in AAA. I'm guessing Rasmus will only avoid that untouchable tag for another month or two, as he too conquers AAA pitching in the second half of this season, so this could be the last chance for any team to even have a prayer of acquiring him for any offer. If you are casual fan, you probably haven't heard Rasmus' name nearly as much as Bruce's, but the experts perceive Rasmus and Bruce's upside and career projection as very similar.
And that's what we're all looking for the A's to acquire, isn't it? A truly premier offensive player, capable of hitting 30 homers annually and providing a constant threat in the middle of the order. They're so rare, you can't nitpick about the fact that Rasmus is a left-handed hitting outfielder, even if you wish that he was a right-handed hitting shortstop or third baseman. If you're the A's, you try to get him if you can, and you recognize that only a rare combination of luck and fate created a scenario where the A's could instantly upgrade the Cardinals at five different spots on their big-league roster and set them up to push past the Cubs and Brewers to eventually lead the NL into the World Series.
Can the Cardinals afford all this? I'll admit that's a reasonable concern, considering they started the year with a $99MM payroll. However, they have a shiny new stadium, terrific attendance, and they'll have $20MM coming off the books after this season from Looper, Isringhausen, and Encarnacion alone. And more importantly...this is their time! The greatest hitter in the game, Albert Pujols, is theirs and theirs alone through 2011. When you have the greatest hitter in the game, that's the time to break the budget for a few years, and play for the World Series annually. If that means that instead you'll have to scrimp and save when the Contending Wheel has run its course and the dynasty's over, so be it. It might save your owner $126MM on Barry Zito.
For what it's worth, I think this is how the A's are planning to spend their money, long-term. In the next year and a half, if the five aforementioned players are jettisoned as I expect, it's foreseeable that payroll will drop down near Florida Marlins territory in the $35-40MM range, with Eric Chavez as the last link to the early 2000s dynasty. But have faith, because all that saved cash will end up being put to good use:
When Oakland's ballyhooed, soon-to-be-top-ranked farm system produces a flurry of impact pitchers, position players, and ultimately a contender, there will be a similar flurry of long-term extensions doled out and/or long-term money committed. In this hypothetical scenario, clearly Rasmus would be one of those deals, peaking right at the heart of the A's next dynasty. And when the time is right, that team payroll will suddenly explode from $35-$40MM in '09/'10 all the way up to $90MM in a hurry when the new stadium opens, all these prospects reach their arbitration increases, and 26-year-old Justin Upton signs an 8-10 year, $200M-plus free-agent deal in 2014 to lead the AL's new dynasty in Fremont.
Yep, I'm still dreaming that will happen.
Now it's your turn:
Is the basic framework of this deal - ignoring a "C" or "C+" prospect(s) that might come back with Rasmus, and basically sending the Cardinals Duke, Street, and Embree for sure - and maybe Crosby and/or Ellis if that's what seals the deal, depending on what the Cards prefer - is the basic framework of that deal fair? Would you do this deal if you were Billy Beane? Would you do it as the Cardinals' GM?
2 recs |
57 comments
Comments
All this talk about the future...
(Note: I buried this way too late in a Blanton thread but wanted to get some reactions here, even though it is not exactly on point with this post it is not far off…)
but when will that ever become the present?? There is talk like Fremont will see a team that actually signs its stars and pays its players, but unfortunately that is just pie in the sky speculation. It is exceedingly difficult as a fan to be put through the same process year after year, losing every quality player to a large market as the A’s seemingly function as the AAA affiliate to all large market teams. Grooming stars at the major league level only to trade them or lose them just at or before their prime to a large market. Meanwhile toiling away always being fairly competitive, but lets face it, NEVER winning it all (Not in the Beane era).
Granted the Blanton trade is not exactly Hudson, Tejada, et al but it sure is getting monotonous to not even recognize the lineup card from year to year and even month to month without a new program.
I have heard the speculation and would love to believe in the magical land of Fremont coming with a great stadium, magical atmosphere, and a team that is actually willing to sign GOOD players rather than always maintaining the woe is me, meager small market facade that allows them to throw away star after star and still save face with the fans. But I am sorry I just wont believe it until I see it, and as far as some of these prospects, I have no reason to believe their best years will ever come in an A’s uniform. That’s just not how we roll. I hate to be so cynical but this cycle has gotten me to my last nerve and I sure wish I could get on board with all you "just wait until 2010 and beyond!!!" folks but to be honest, I can’t help but believe most these young guys we are so excited about will be flipped for younger prospects and so on and so on…
Help me keep the faith AN!!! Give me links to proof that spending will happen in Fremont, that we may have players that we both want and need on the team for multiple years of solid production.
It seems like we are just always wishing for players to go unconscious in their arby years cause we sure as hell are never going to pay a legitimate stars FA contract, and unfortunately you can hope in one hand and s—- in the other and see which fills up first.
Thanks for helping me keep my fanhood in perspective AN after some tough trades and uninspiring loses in the Bronx!!
"Just looking at Lackey's face, you just want to beat him" -Ray Fosse
by marco magic on Jul 20, 2008 6:48 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
When will it ever become the present?
In a year or two. Seriously. This isn’t a secret. A large number of trades in one year does not mean there will be a large number of trades every year.
Forget about Fremont, it’s a nice idea but we don’t know when it will happen. The Rays’ new stadium is even further off than Oakland’s, but they have a potent young team that’s cheap enough to be affordable and good at the same time. That, not some pie-in-the-sky fantasy, is the eventual idea here.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on Jul 20, 2008 11:04 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
sure
if every player on the team manages to break out in the same 3 year window in which they are all under arbitration we are set! That speaks nothing for signing anyone long term, which doesn’t even seem to have a flicker of possibility…
"Just looking at Lackey's face, you just want to beat him" -Ray Fosse
by marco magic on Jul 20, 2008 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Again
Look at the Rays’ MLB Contracts page. Count up the number of guys who are signed long term. It’s a lot more than you think, and, again, on a MORE restrictive payroll than Oakland’s.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on Jul 20, 2008 6:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The reasons I can't see this trade happening
1. If we give up another pitcher, the back end of our rotation becomes Braden/DiNardo and we have to call another guy up from AAA. I’d be pretty surprised to see Duke dealt since that would mean trading 3/5 of our opening day rotation. I’d be especially surprised to see him dealt for 1/3 of Rasmus.
2. GMs usually prefer quality to quantity, and here you’re proposing a lot of quantity to make up for Rasmus’ quality. I don’t think it’s the way deals get done. Embree is a fairly marginal player, as is healthy Crosby (I’ll let PT defend me on this one). Duke is having a great year, but will almost certainly regress to the mean in the second half. He’s been VERY lucky and quite good. Street is busily blowing saves to ensure he can’t be traded. I think if the Cards are focused on contending through Pujols’ contract, they’d be better served with Rasmus plus FAs.
Anyway, that’s my 2 cents (but I’d love to see Rasmus). I think the more likely way we get an impact bat is Burrell/Dunn as off-season FA signings.
by nevermoor on Jul 20, 2008 7:20 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Duke's mean still gives him tons of value
Jeremy was safe. He jumped over the tag.
by mrrickyg on Jul 20, 2008 8:47 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Doesn't make sense to me
I think the notion that five current A’s players can be upgrades to a team’s current options just shows you that they’re not a contending team. I’m really having trouble with the idea of all these A’s flooding over to another club, and how would the current Cardinal team deal with that? At the halfway point, no less. Doesn’t it almost feel like the AL all star team where they combined the Yankees and the Red Sox?
by dscel on Jul 20, 2008 7:56 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
The Cardinals are the Angels of the NL...
they smell like a loser, and taste like a loser, but are near the top of the standings and aren’t going away.
"All managers are losers, they are the most expendable pieces of furniture on the face of the Earth."- Ted Williams
by Gaijin_Suketto on Jul 20, 2008 9:41 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The big difference is that unlike the Angels,
the Cardinals are actually in a division with other good teams.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on Jul 20, 2008 11:20 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think the deal could get done.
LaRussa’s not a big fan of unproven prospects, and I think Duchscherer would be a pretty good fit for the Cards, but he’s not the kind of arm that could get a top prospect back in return. Harden could have gotten Rasmus back, but I’m not sure that deal even got discussed. And the other guys you’re offering up are more valuable to fans in Oakland than they would be to other teams. Also, LaRussa has been asking for an impact bat, not an arm.
by sggut95 on Jul 20, 2008 8:57 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Harden
To me, Harden was not worth giving up the top prospect in our system for. He (RH), and I trust this has been the topic of discourse for many a poster here, has been riddled by injury for a good while now. The Cards have enough pitchers on the DL already on their roster, I believe its enough to fill a rotation.
Good point on the other players in that trade, they are more important to the fans of OAK than they are to other teams.
I would like to have the Duke though; I think he would be a great fit for the Cards.
C'mon you Redbirds, lets prove em' wrong, again!
by yer dog first on Jul 21, 2008 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think it was worth it.
But i’m a Cubs fan soooooo.
by Dero7 on Jul 21, 2008 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
So...
you routinely overvalue things? coughsorianofor8yearscough
by mynameistyler on Jul 21, 2008 2:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I really, really like Colby Rasmus.
But, I’d be pretty disappointed if EVERY SINGLE TRADE CHIP LEFT was dealt for another player who won’t play the left side of the infield.
by mikev on Jul 20, 2008 9:04 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
+1
We've never been in that position. We wouldn't know how to operate, I mean, do we get him a corsage?-Billy Beane on signing a high profile FA
by DyeLongJustice on Jul 20, 2008 9:42 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
the a’s have plenty of outfield prospects, time to concentrate on acquiring a young 3B and SS.
A's v Giants "is kind of like the difference between going to see the Ramones and going to see the Bee Gees. A's fans will go see the Ramones." -BB 07/27/05
by xbhaskarx on Jul 20, 2008 2:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
TRADE ELLIS FOR IAN STEWART!!!
Cust is the new Jaha.
by johnjahafanclub on Jul 20, 2008 3:52 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How could the Cards not do that?
Rasmus is awesome, but he’s still just a prospect. That’s a whole lot of MLB talent for one maybe.
If the Cards think they have a shot this year — and I think you’re dead-on with the whole Pujols window — then they should be willing to deal Rasmus for a couple of key pieces. Give them Street, give them Ellis too, and then who could complain about that on their end? A proven closer and a major upgrade at 2B? Hell, if the secondary prospect coming back is good enough, give them Embree too. But there’s no reason Duchs should be in this deal.
by jefeboy on Jul 20, 2008 9:15 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
The Cardinals Need Street...
because they don’t have enough closers to blow saves for them as it is.
by mynameistyler on Jul 21, 2008 2:30 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think it is crazy to even think of trading all of those mentioned players--
including Ellis and Duke for a guy who is not even in the big leagues yet. No way! If we do a trade like that, it better be for someone who is producing big time in the bigs.
by butler19 on Jul 20, 2008 9:22 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
100% agree
Rasmus is hitting .252 w/11 homers. Even if our guys are frustrating us right now there is no reason to just give them away for an unproven prospect.
by HRH on Jul 20, 2008 10:02 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think PT would grill you on this proposal.
He didn’t seem too thrilled when I suggested Street/Blanton/Patterson for Rasmus, so I don’t think this is an easily argued position.
Perfect together. Like duckies & bunnies.
Embree and Crosby are expendable (Crosby less so), but I don’t know if Crosby’s value would tilt the trade enough to make it worthwhile in dealing him. I’d throw Embree in a deal for Rasmus, but I doubt it would be a sticking point or even someone the Cards would go after. Wouldn’t they rather someone like Blevins?
Ellis is incredibly valuable, even just over the stretch run. I want an extension for him, damnit. No dealing him in my scenario, not with Duke and Street for just Rasmus.
I’d like Duke for an extension too, but this is a gray area. Personally, I don’t think Duke has enough perceived value to net someone like Rasmus. He doesn’t have a Mulder track record. And Street’s not enough on his own.
Short end, I don’t believe it’s the match made in heaven that you’re painting.
Trade you my cheese crackers, banana, and juice for your snack pack?
Thinking in terms of trades, I’d like to think how a deal might go down if the front offices and not the personnel (or vice versa) were switched. So what would the A’s want for a talent like Rasmus?
If the A’s were in the Cardinals position, contending in a 3 year window with the Cardinals personnel, I don’t think they would move Rasmus. I know there are other holes for them talent wise, but CF doesn’t have a 3 year solution outside of the top prospect. And it’s not like there are a bunch of hot hitting center fielders in the system. Heck, there’s not even two. Just Rasmus.
Look at the players Beane has acquired via trade and how that has happened. Beane doesn’t seem to be the person to make the initial call for a trade (he prefers to receive calls), he already knows the players from each system that he wants, and I think he also has an idea of the players he doesn’t want to involve in the deal for the other side.
In fielding calls, if Beane didn’t even ask about Vitters, why would he bring up Rasmus? Even if the Cardinals call about some combo of Duke/Street/Crosby, I don’t think Colby’s name comes up in the conversation. My belief is that Beane finds the cost of top prospects to be highly inflated in relation to their actual value.
Beane extracts most of his value from clubs is through their talent surplus. The Cubs had little to no use for Patterson, Donaldson, and Murton. Arizona was stacked with outfielders and what they felt were middling SP prospects at AAA. I think the Phillies have this guy named Chutney, or Utlase, or something. They didn’t need Cardenas if he wasn’t going to stick at third in their minds. Point is, Rasmus is no surplus for the Cardinals, he’s the nest egg and they’re not frittering it away.
The Oh Noes:
So, if the A’s deal again, they’ll want to deal from their own talent redundancy, preferably from the top. I guess we’ve actually already seen that with Haren, Harden, Gaudin, and Blanton. And, unfortunately, this line of thinking has Duke and Ellis on the trading block. I see little evidence that Beane is concerned with filling major league holes. I think he just wants as many good baseball players as he can get. Not a bad strategy if you ask me.
{apologies for the lack of cohesiveness in this post, I’m more than a little tired}
Actually, I’m gonna do some thinking and come up with some deals for Rasmus that I think are fair, but won’t get done.
by rebus on Jul 20, 2008 9:25 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
I think this trade would be equal
if the A’s only give up three of those names, most likely in the form of Duke, Ellis, and Street/Embree…I don’t think giving up all those players would make it fair, even though thats probably the only way the deal could actually happen as a result of inflated prospect prices. I think that for the Cards, having another #2 SP (I’m still not sure he is a #1), a good 2b, and another much needed bullpen arm would help them seriously contend for the next year or so, especially when they have Wainright and Carpenter coming back. They also have Ludwick (no guarantees that he keeps up this kind of production, though) and Ankiel (ditto), which means that I think it wouldn’t hurt them as much to lose the power hitting OF prospect as it would for a team like, say, the A’s. However, I think the A’s would get a lot more value, maybe not in the form of one prospect though, if they sold off each piece individually. The only caveat emtpor to this post is that I am also a Cardinals fan, so for me this would be a win-win situation…
We've never been in that position. We wouldn't know how to operate, I mean, do we get him a corsage?-Billy Beane on signing a high profile FA
by DyeLongJustice on Jul 20, 2008 9:41 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
You're not sure Duke is a #1...
why are you so sure he’s a #2? This is the first time in his career he’s thrown over 100 innings. I think people are overvaluing Duke big time. Yes it’s an amazing season, but seriously, he’s never faced a workload like this and he’s 30 years old.
by mynameistyler on Jul 21, 2008 2:33 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You don't trade 5 major leaguers for 1 prospect
And all 5 guys, even Crosby, are more accomplished that Rasmus. Known quantities have the additional value of being known. You pay a little more for just being rather certain of what a guy offers. There’s still no guarantee Rasmus will perform at the major league level (even though everybody is almost positive he will).
Even though I could see it ultimately working, there’s just no way I give up that much for one player. Not when each player individually could bring in a prospect or three. Then you trade a couple of those guys for Rasmus or some other young, cheap bat.
http://bocropleasestopswingingatbadpitches.blogspot.com/
by thejd44 on Jul 20, 2008 10:00 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
well, Crosby is about a zero at this point.
I think his value is around waiver wire quality and not much more.
A deal that would probably help the Cards quite a bit this season and net Rasmus might be something like Gallagher/Patterson/Embree/Crosby, but that’s probably too much service time value for the A’s to give up.
by rebus on Jul 20, 2008 10:09 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Crosby's value this year is not zero
He has a higher OPS+ than most AL Shortstops., and a few who have a better OPS+ than him (Jeter and Peralta, specifically) are so atrocious defensively that Crosby has been roughly as valuable as them.
I don’t like the guy as a player at all, but he absolutely has value because there’s a bunch of crappy shortstops like Cabrera, Renteria, Lugo, and Bartlett floating around the league.
http://bocropleasestopswingingatbadpitches.blogspot.com/
by thejd44 on Jul 20, 2008 10:14 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
but you can’t count on him for more than 100 games.
by rebus on Jul 20, 2008 10:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He's played in 87 now this year
And a team trading for him would mostly be hoping they could get 2 months out of him, not 100 games. Anything after this season is bonus.
http://bocropleasestopswingingatbadpitches.blogspot.com/
by thejd44 on Jul 20, 2008 10:30 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Crosby has been atrocious defensively this season
So no, I don’t believe he is more valuable than any of those guys with higher OPS’s. In fact, I strongly suspect someone like Bartlett or Cabrera has been substantially more valuable than Crosby this year.
If someone claimed Crosby on waivers and I was the GM, he’d be out of town as soon as the waiver period was up.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on Jul 20, 2008 11:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I realize you're not selling negativity, either, but poll does need a fourth option: 0 "No."
The meaning of life is not so much 'found,' as it is 'made.' --Opus
by The Dogfather on Jul 20, 2008 10:16 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
No
I wouldn’t do it, we need more than just Rasmus.
by jahs34 on Jul 20, 2008 10:19 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I would trade the following: Colby Rasmus, Chris Duncan, and a player to be named for: Mark Ellis, Huston Street, and the Duke. The cards have two other players who can play shortstop in Miles and Ryan. Some would argue that by giving up Duncan we would lose a firstbaseman that gives Pulos a rest. The answer to that is Troy Glaus.
by thecarp on Jul 22, 2008 10:50 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry, man
This is just way, way too much value for Rasmus. If I was trading all five of these guys to the Cardinals, I would want no less than:
Rasmus
Two pitching prospects, one of them a good one like Garcia or Todd
Either Bryan Anderson or a solid SS or 3B prospect
Under your scenario, if Rasmus pulls a Marte, the team would be completely hosed.
I’ve already said that I value Street at an A- or two B+s. If we figure each grade up means a guy is twice as valuable, that means Street is himself worth half of Rasmus’s value. I think Duke is worth more than Street right now. You can connect the dots to match up the rest of the trade values, above.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on Jul 20, 2008 11:31 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Cardinal Fan here
No less than those three?? Todd is rising quickly through the minors and Garcia is getting a start today. Anderson is a plus hitting catcher while Rasmus was regarded as one of the top prospects in the game. That seems a bit extreme. We dont want to replay the Mulder trade now – that can only happen once in a lifetime.
by njnick on Jul 20, 2008 12:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
PT's point
Is that for 5 major leaguers, you need some serious prospects. I think we all agree that those are great prospects, but for the ERA leader, a starting infield, and a bullpen it strikes me as not very much.
Of course, no team will trade 5 major leaguers in one deal like this, so it’s all academic.
by nevermoor on Jul 20, 2008 4:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
OAKLAND ATHLETICS
i think the A’s should take a stab at Barry Bonds and trade away for another decent hitter or starting pitcher to make that last push. You never know, Bonds could smack 15 hr’s in second half for A’s
by BostonNation on Jul 20, 2008 4:52 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Beane wouldn't
take a huge risk like that, who wants Barry Bonds and his public stuff anyway?
by Dero7 on Jul 20, 2008 8:00 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
true
i know it’s a big risk but he’s free you dont have to trade away for any1, plus hes had almost a whole year off so you know he’s nice and rested, his knee is proly better. He could give the team a boost to make the playoffs, A’s have nothing to lose i’d take a stab at it
by BostonNation on Jul 20, 2008 8:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Utter insanity
You do not trade half your team for a prospect, or for any single player. Even if Rasmus had the potential to be the best hitter in baseball, he’s one guy. He hits his head on the bottom of a pool; his finger gets mashed by someone’s fastball; he slips on a banana peel. And that’s forgetting the guy might just be a bust. Or, like Eric Chavez, might wind up merely a very good ballplayer.
If I were an owner, and my GM traded my starting shortstop, starting second baseman, ace starter and closer for a single prospect, I’d fire the dude immediately.
by richwol1 on Jul 20, 2008 11:46 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
true
but why would the A’s trade away Gaudin, Harden, and Blanton, that’s insane
by BostonNation on Jul 21, 2008 12:22 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Cardinals fan here
and it appears you piled up a lot of quantity that doesn’t equal the quality of Rasmus. Duke has been a very good pitcher this year, but team’s have learned their lessons in not dealing top prospects with Beane for nearing 30 year old pitchers.
Huston Street healthy may have value to the Cardinals but the rest you listed simply do not. Not only that, but the Cardinals would be giving up 6 seasons of cost controlled, projected All-Star caliber talent for 2 year rentals of near replacement level players nearing or on the wrong side of 30.
by Hardcore Legend on Jul 21, 2008 11:10 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
+1
This is not the kind of deal the Cardinals are looking to make, and Rasmus is considered virtually untouchable by Cardinals management.
boo cubs, hooray beer
by Raconteur on Jul 21, 2008 11:23 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
6 seasons of cost controlled, projected All-Star caliber talent
nailed it.
C'mon you Redbirds, lets prove em' wrong, again!
by yer dog first on Jul 21, 2008 1:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
As an STL Fan
There is no way I would trade Rasmus unless I were getting a top flight talent back. That just isn’t happening in this trade scenario and I don’t think the Cardinals would be willing to part with him whatsoever unless they were getting somebody of supreme talent, ala a Tim Lincecum or something- which won’t be happening. Adding Duke would be nice for the interim, but they do have 4 SP that are pitching pretty well right now and then Wainwright and Carpenter are due back. It doesn’t make sense to trade off their best prospect, as well as one of the best in baseball, for these guys.
by Patriot on Jul 21, 2008 2:35 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
that trade would suck
because afterwards the infield would suck and the rotation would suck.
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
by micdog2001 on Jul 21, 2008 3:25 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I came from VEB, and as a Cardinals fan...
...no, no, no, no, no, please no, oh no, God no, please God no, and NO! ;) Rasmus is our future, with a depleted farm system. Respectfully, there’s nothing the A’s have that perk my ears up now (Harden might’ve, but definitely not for Rasmus). Nothing against your team; I simply wouldn’t trade Rasmus for many players, possibly two to three (Hanley Ramirez being the only one I’d be willing to pull the trigger on without hesitation).
Go Cards, hope your team does well in the West. Tired of watching the Angels take it.
Miles in '08
by Zoop on Jul 21, 2008 4:43 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Another Cardinals fan
I agree with the others for several reasons.
1) The Mark Mulder trade: Trading with Billy Beane scares the crap out of me. At this point, I would assume that Billy Beane knows something that I didn’t know if he’s giving away that much talent. Last time you guys got 3 players from us for Mulder, and all three of them have paid dividends.
2) Mark Ellis is not really an upgrade for us. Aaron Miles is having a career year, and even for his career Ellis is a .748 OPS guy. I certainly don’t like the thought of Aaron Miles being our long-term solution at 2nd base, but at this moment, I’d take Aaron Miles over Mark Ellis.
3) The other players are certainly intriguing, but the Duke is the only one I see as a top-tier guy at this point, and I think if you’re going to give up a potential cornerstone guy, and as previously mentioned, a potential cornerstone with 6 cost-controlled years, I think you have to get back a top-tier guy that either puts you over the top or can help you for several years. Our impact “acquisition” that could put us over the top won’t be Duke, it’ll be whether Carpenter and Wainwright can come back healthy. If they can, we don’t really need Duke, if they can’t, we’re going to get crushed in the NLDS anyway.
4) I really am just scared enough of trading with Billy Beane that I feel the need to list this twice.
by mtalken on Jul 21, 2008 5:18 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
two bats for two bums
In getting Ellis and Crosby the cards would get two bats. In izturis and Kennedy you have two bums who are not much over .300 between them. Yes Miles is having a good year at the plate, but Ellis would give the cards a good replacement for Miles when he needs rest.
by thecarp on Jul 22, 2008 10:56 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Won't Work
There’s not enough room this year on the Cardinals’ 40 man roster to make such a deal. Other players would have to be moved.
-CJ
by CardinalJohn on Jul 22, 2008 10:07 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
and that’s not even counting the active roster…
-CJ
by CardinalJohn on Jul 22, 2008 10:11 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This just seems like a classic lose-lose
I don’t think either side would do this, because it cripples you guys for the rest of the year, and I know Beane is certainly not shy from dumping players for max value, even in a pennant race. He’s obviously shown that with his dismantling of the pitching staff.
But this trade would pretty much make you guys a Triple-A team for the remainder of the year. I don’t see that being a wise decision, even for the Billy Beane.
Meanwhile, there are very good points on why some of the players mentioned would be upgrades, and would make our team better. Yet, the players mentioned still don’t make us better than the Cubs, and we’d be trading off the guy that is likely a big part of the Cardinals future.
I certainly am not saying the package mentioned is a bunch of bums and losers, but I think it’s a situation where the sum of those parts to Oakland is greater than Rasmus, and lesser than Rasmus to the Cardinals, who could use a middle-of-the-lineup player at a premium position for $400,000 for the next few years to free up some money to address some of our other needs.
by mtalken on Jul 22, 2008 5:01 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

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