Gammons: Harden Could be the Big Prize
Man. Honestly, i admire beane's ability to keep turning established players into more younger (and potentially) better prospects. But, man, Harden is just one of those rare gems that come to your team once every couple of decades. When he's pitching, he's just dominant. He pitches with a swagger, when people get a hit off of him, he seems to have this smirk on his face. You just got to love a dominant player like that.
Yet, like all our favorite players, his time to go seems eminent. I know there's plenty of ANers who want Harden go while his value is high, but HOW often people, do we have a star on our team? I know, the same old, injury story. But he's no Mark Prior. Harden has injury problems but it seems to be at least popping up in various parts of the upper body, rather than just arm trouble like Prior. So, why not roll the dice, Beane, and just give the team a bona-fide star for at least the remaining year and a half.
I honestly can say, when Harden is out there, I don't think we can lose. And you got to believe that the hitters try even harder to scratch out runs when they know that their stud will give them a chance to win.
I want him to stay so much, that I'm just ready to start a petition. Any signatures out there?
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Unless somebody backs up the truck, I don't think Harden is dealt.
And I’m talking about a Hanley Ramirez/Anibal Sanchez for Beckett/Lowell’s contract/Mota’s corpse type of deal, only not including the contract or the corpse.
When 100% healthy, everybody agrees that Harden is a top 10 pitcher in baseball. That’s not a guy you trade for less than a major, major haul. More than Haren’s deal.
Me personally, I say decline his option, keep him via arbitration or a 1 year deal, and give him a 3/21 extension next season.
more than haren'sdeal?
he’s a top 10 pitcher in what he can be, but how often often has that plan gone off track for the last 4 yrs? also if beane sets the price that high, no chance he gets traded. no team will give up that much, since i doubt we’ll ever see a 100% healthy harden. there’s a risk in every situation involving him. beane shouldnt be in a rush to trade him, but should be open to future options because even past 09 a healthy harden likely wont be here long term and leave for free agency. if they can get top prospects for harden, than the luke warm market for blanton/street right now, its something to consider. it would be an easier decision if some of their pitching prospects werent injured or struggling like hrod/dls/simmons/bailey/gio etc. the plan was at least 2 from that group may be ready by late 09
by Asfan4ever723 on Jun 15, 2008 10:58 PM PDT up reply actions
Harden extension
No way you’re getting him to sign a 3/21. Harden is looking at Jake Peavy money if you want him to sign an extension.
He’s the perfect candidate to wait it out for FA. He needs to prove a year and a half of health. If he does, he’s a nine-figure player. So there’s no incentive for him to sign a 3/21.
"Let’s just hope he’s not a complete turd out there." -thejd44, describing Crosby's best scenario.
by notsellingjeans on Jun 15, 2008 11:07 PM PDT up reply actions
nine-figure player
by 2010, nine-finger could be more realistic.
heh, j/k, j/k, I should not say that about my favorite player.
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by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 1:20 AM PDT up reply actions
we could already call Harden a nein vigor player ...
If we can’t fix the stupid, can we at least beat them senseless? @('.')@
if he's worth more than Haren in a trade
then he’s worth way more than 3/21, heh. As it is, he can’t be worth more than Haren in a trade, but he’d still be worth more than 3/21.
Also, I’m not sure if you’re equating the A’s to the Marlins or the Red Sox in that trade…I thought the Red Sox, because at the time Beckett was established and Hanley was not, but it sounds like you don’t want a contract or corpse in exchange for Harden. Which is understandable, of course. Or maybe you are looking at things from the Red Sox POV, and you’re just saying that we wouldn’t offer a corpse and a contract. Though, of course, we could (Sweeney and Chavez, respectively. Or, seeing as Harden would be the centerpiece, perhaps the other team would think that providing an additional corpse wouldn’t really be necessary).
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by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 1:13 AM PDT up reply actions
If you want
to sign him to a 3/21 deal, now is the time. He has 4 years of service time at the start of the season. So likely 5 after this. And likely 6 after next. So basically, you would offer Harden a 3/21 deal after he becomes an FA. Esteban Loaiza got signed to a similar deal a few years ago. There is no freaking way that Harden would take a 3/21 deal as an FA, unless he’s dealing with a bunch of serious career threatening injuries.
I
ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524
Two Harden Deals:
Harden and Embree for Rick Porcello, Ryan Raburn + a few lesser-known, less regarded guys that the A’s scouts like.
Or..
Harden, Embree, and another major league A’s reliever for Phil Hughes, Ian Kennedy, and Shelley Duncan.
Both the Tigers and the Yankees have payrolls and owners that put them in a clear win-now mode. And Rich Harden, coupled with some relief help, could be the difference maker in their playoff chases.
In return, the A’s get a cost-controlled right-handed corner OF bat that can help, and six cost controlled years of an elite pitching prospect or two.
The downside to both of these is that the A’s would be helping a team whom they’re competing with for a wild card berth. Because of this, I think it’s more likely that Harden gets re-routed to the NL, even though (unlike Blanton) he’s good enough to actually be a huge upgrade to AL contenders.
Unfortunately, I don’t see an NL contender that’s in search of SPs who can actually offer prospects that are worthy of Rich Harden.
My best guess is that if anything happens, it’s Blanton to the Braves and/or Harden to the Yankees or Tigers. To me those are the most logical matches on paper. Obviously the A’s can sweeten both packages with the veteran relief pitching they can float – Embree, Foulke, Calero (not very valuable, I know), and maybe Street, too.
"Let’s just hope he’s not a complete turd out there." -thejd44, describing Crosby's best scenario.
by notsellingjeans on Jun 15, 2008 10:37 PM PDT reply actions
No..
Missreported by mlbtraderumors…I think he was just optioned back down to AAA. Some of the guys that Tim has working for him there aren’t knowledgeable enough.
"Let’s just hope he’s not a complete turd out there." -thejd44, describing Crosby's best scenario.
by notsellingjeans on Jun 15, 2008 11:09 PM PDT up reply actions
would you really want Ian Kennedy to be included?
And Phil Hughes seems to be on his way to establishing a Harden-like health record.
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by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 1:24 AM PDT up reply actions
those are the worst looking trades i've seen even imagined
Tigers: yes, porcello is great, but 1) he’s still in A ball 2) he’s doing fine in A-ball but not even impressive by any means (40 or so k’s in 67 innings, 2/1 k/bb ratio) 3) pitching prospects get hurt (see DLS). the 27 year old raburn looks more like AAAA player than an actual prospect. Even the swisher deal has a better return than that.
Yankees: Yes Phil Hughes is good, but hes on the shelf, and hasn’t been dominant as advertised, so you’ve got to have some doubts. Ian Kennedy, as I’ve learned in a previous post, is not very impressive at all. And Shelley Duncan (see Dan Johnson).
Both packages are far, far better than getting...
a second-round draft pick and a sandwich pick, which is what Harden will yield in a season and a half. And the longer you wait, you the smaller that package will be. (Look at Santana’s surprisingly low haul, or Sabathia’s declining value).
Trade value in baseball is a ticking clock.
Porcello’s stats are very good for a 19 year-old in high-A ball. To say they are “not even impressive by any means” is almost as ridiculous as the hyperbole in your post title.
"Let’s just hope he’s not a complete turd out there." -thejd44, describing Crosby's best scenario.
by notsellingjeans on Jun 15, 2008 11:15 PM PDT up reply actions
You're actually understating your case here
Two draft picks is what Harden MIGHT yield in a year and a half. If he blows out his shoulder, the A’s get doodly squat.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
true
"Let’s just hope he’s not a complete turd out there." -thejd44, describing Crosby's best scenario.
by notsellingjeans on Jun 15, 2008 11:21 PM PDT up reply actions
and Porcello...
is going to be unanimously on Sickels/BA/Goldstein’s top 10 prospects in baseball lists at the end of this season.
I’ll acknowledge that not-stellar K rate is a hiccup…but if it wasn’t there, you couldn’t acquire him for a year and half of Harden. He has one wart and certainly Harden has his.
Porcello was the best high school pitcher since Josh Beckett. That didn’t magically change in the last year. If there’s still a decent chance that he becomes Beckett, he’d be a respectable haul for a year and half of Harden.
"Let’s just hope he’s not a complete turd out there." -thejd44, describing Crosby's best scenario.
by notsellingjeans on Jun 15, 2008 11:26 PM PDT up reply actions
Okay, so cross out number 1
Let’s just assume he’ll be a stud regardless. If he blows a elbow, we’ll have the all-so-impressive Raburn to look forward to.
what if harden blows out his elbow
and the A’s get nothing? This is much more likely considering Harden’s injury history. Porcello has no history of injuries.
I must have a different understanding of the way the world works
Perhaps I’m unfairly writing off the notion of reincarnation, but I see no circumstances in which Rick Porcello becomes Josh Beckett. If my metaphysics are in fact correct, your credibility has to be undermined ever so slightly.
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by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 1:37 AM PDT up reply actions
and Shelley Duncan...
is a poor man’s Jack Cust. He just needs a team to give him an opportunity to play every day without getting jerked around. He’s an .800 OPS waiting to happen. I hope that some team will eventually tolerate the 170 k’s and get rewarded with a 30 bomb, slugging heavy, .800 OPS season at the big league level. But it has to happen soon because he’s 28. The same age, incidentally, as Cust’s renaissance.
"Let’s just hope he’s not a complete turd out there." -thejd44, describing Crosby's best scenario.
by notsellingjeans on Jun 15, 2008 11:17 PM PDT up reply actions
That's hilarious.
Anyone else catch that? “Poor man’s Jack Cust”...”and Cust was free”...good stuff.
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by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 1:41 AM PDT up reply actions
He's not really similar to Cust, other than that they both hit home runs
He’s unlikely to ever have a league average obp, and he hasn’t really shown the ability to put up a high babip. His Ks aren’t even particularly high for a power hitter. He’s decent, though, and he’d help against LH starters. He’s pretty fringy as an every day corner OFer, though.
The A's colors are green and gold.
can someone paste the relevant part in this thread for us non-insiders?
A's v Giants "is kind of like the difference between going to see the Ramones and going to see the Bee Gees. A's fans will go see the Ramones." -BB 07/27/05
Was thinking the same thing...
Checked all over the web trying to find the blurb about the A’s from that article. I hate that EPSN is the only site that charges to read articles from it’s columnists. There is no way I am going to pay for insider when there are about 2 articles per year I would actually like to read.
BPro? Baseball America?
Lots of sites have insider content.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
I think he meant of the major traditional sports media
by Tyler Bleszinski on Jun 16, 2008 8:23 AM PDT up reply actions
I don't get to a chance to read much about.....
the A’s during the season, so the times when I do, I come here and about 3 other sites. I used to read ESPN a lot because I liked the articles from their columnists, especially Gammons. It’s a pity that the guys you want to hear from the most, aren’t being heard(I guess ESPN.com doesn’t make enough from advertising- they need more), unless you watch Baseball Tonight. Even then, you don’t get much.
I, too, am not willing to pay for ESPN insider
when there are about 2 articles per year I would actually like to read.
But I figure that if that’s the way I feel, I shouldn’t go around bitching about lack of access to articles I want to read….
"Dispatch knuckleheadedness with Bond-like aplomb." –74mk
It's pretty essential for college basketball
in which ESPN’s coverage is actually a. competent, and b. not grotesquely favoritist. They actually make a serious effort to cover the “smaller” teams with at least a modicum of accuracy and depth.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
seconded
I was assuming that by this point of the comment section someone would’ve helped out The Outsiders, but I guess I expected too much of the Socs.
16 HRs, 33 RBIs in fantasy this week, entering Sunday. I think I’m starting Adam Dunn at every position. You’re having a good week by deadbeat owner standards, but my team is finally starting to hit for power. Someone needs to compete with andeux, it might as well be me.
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by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 1:45 AM PDT up reply actions
A call came in Sunday morning that said, “Billy Beane has the single most important piece to trade to win the World Series. But the question is, how many songs do you let Slowhand play before a string breaks.”Hello, Rich Harden. Beane is right—Harden is the most dominant pitcher in the American League right now. Nine starts; the last time he had more than that was 2005. Seven quality starts. 11.31 strikeouts per nine innings. 53.1 innings pitched, 40 hits allowed. Has started against Boston twice, the Angels, Detroit and Atlanta once. He has a career 35-18 record, but he’s had a career in which his starts have gone from 31 to 22 to nine to seven before 2008.
Beane’s Athletics are a fascinating team, especially as Eric Chavez, Santiago Casilla, Joey Devine and Ryan Sweeney get healthy. They have a $47 million payroll, and Beane is trying to reconstruct another five-year run; he’ll be in the Dominican Republic this week to see free agent right-handed pitcher Michel Inoa, which would be the equivalent of signing a top 10 draft pick. Beane has made it clear whether it’s Harden or Joe Blanton, Bobby Crosby or Mark Ellis that his store is always open.
The Athletics began Sunday’s game with the Giants three games behind the Angels in the AL West and three games behind the Rays for the wild card. So if someone is willing to play the Harden Card, the price - remember, he will makes $11.5 million in 2008 and 2009 combined - will be extremely high. Harden could get Oakland deep into the playoffs. He could also get someone else deep into October. Or a string could pop.
So it goes.
“eminent”?
A's v Giants "is kind of like the difference between going to see the Ramones and going to see the Bee Gees. A's fans will go see the Ramones." -BB 07/27/05
another guy from Detroit
If we can’t fix the stupid, can we at least beat them senseless? @('.')@
by monkeyball on Jun 15, 2008 11:08 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
I've always felt
that anyone opposed to signing a petition should be able to use their “signature” to cross a name off said petition instead.
It would go a long way toward, for instance, keeping stupid legislative initiatives off the actual ballot.
I subtract one signature from the petition to keep Rich Harden.
If no one offers value for him, that’s one thing, but hanging on to him out of some rigid determination not to ever trade good players even when good value is offered is something entirely different.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
Subtract another name!
I think the A’s deserve props for waiting out all his injuries, and resisting the urge to trade him (during the bad times) for a pile of nails just out of frustration. But as much fun as it may be to reap the rewards of his unlikely comeback, one should not place an infinite amount of value on that fun. In other words, if someone offers MORE value in a trade, pull the effing trigger.
Brainless Automaton #439
by rubin sierra on Jun 15, 2008 11:52 PM PDT up reply actions
a pile of nails
Dykstra runs?
If we can’t fix the stupid, can we at least beat them senseless? @('.')@
also in response to "a pile of nails"
Don’t tell me “a bag of balls” has become cliche…clearly many trade options of similar value remain, though…pack of sunflower seeds, tin of chewing tobacco, vial of anabolic steroid…hey, if we’re trading with the Yankees, maybe even a lucky thong. Preferable to Ian Kennedy in my estimation.
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by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 2:11 AM PDT up reply actions
Sunflower seeds
I just discovered, this weekend, that my three-year-old nephew with the surprisingly accurate throwing arm loves to eat sunflower seeds!
Here’s hoping.
"Dispatch knuckleheadedness with Bond-like aplomb." –74mk
He'll probably get drafted by the Yankees
Then you’ll have to hate him
by Faust on Jun 16, 2008 3:33 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Some minor leaguer
was traded for 10 maple bats a few weeks ago because of issues with his passport (he was traded to a Calgary team)
witty remark
by dtownmbrown on Jun 17, 2008 12:33 AM PDT up reply actions
I'm starting a petition to keep you from transforming our petition into a poll
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by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 2:15 AM PDT up reply actions
I subtract one signature from that petition too
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
That would explain the people who say "-1"
I still haven’t figured out the ones who say “+10” (or more), though. Do you really think you are 10 people? Or do you just figure you’re allowed to vote 10 times?
"Dispatch knuckleheadedness with Bond-like aplomb." –74mk
-10
i vote multiple times because i have a lot of zeal for democracy
A's v Giants "is kind of like the difference between going to see the Ramones and going to see the Bee Gees. A's fans will go see the Ramones." -BB 07/27/05
you should be the Mark Penn for ex-MLB'ers who run for office
Zeile—for Democracy!
If we can’t fix the stupid, can we at least beat them senseless? @('.')@
the idea for the yankees duo of pitcher is crazy
they cant even last 2 innings in the majors. out of the trio of yankees “top prospect” the only one billy beane and co. will be looking at is Joba.
once again I will say
No, no, no, and one more time….....
: No fucking way you trade Rich Harden now!
End of discussion….......at least from my perspective.
Go A”’s!!!!!
Harden is difficult to value
What is Rich Harden worth?
This is one of those obvious, but tricky, questions that would make me uneasy as a general manager.
When he’s hurt, which is most of the time, Harden doesn’t seem worth much more than a few A-ball minor leaguers.
When he’s not, Harden seems too valuable to trade, or worth more than any sane team would be willing to spend. (Even at his best, Harden’s inability to pitch deep into games is a liability.)
My guess, and it’s only a guess, is that the A’s probably end up holding onto him and hoping he is healthy for a playoff run, and even the playoffs themselves, in 2009.
But if some playoff contender wants a dominant pitcher and is willing to give up enough, I wouldn’t be surprised at all if he were dealt. Keep it in mind during the good times: Rich Harden is Made of Glass.
the liability you cite...
isn’t as much of an issue, or shouldn’t be as much of an issue, with Gaudin in the pen. And that’s just the 3rd-starter-caliber-long-reliever…basically, with the bullpen as deep as it is, it doesn’t matter.
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by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 2:20 AM PDT up reply actions
It's why he's so pretty.
"God doesn't pay attention to your cute little hypotheticals." -- Jeff from LL
imminent, my friend, imminent
And as a long-time Harden backer, I hope this is not the case, barring some really good return. I’ll read the other comments before I judge if the potential returns are good….
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Count me among those
Who hope we can get something for Harden before he breaks down again.
Watching him is some of the most fun I have as a baseball fan. It’s beautiful pitching, really. But he’s proven time and again that he’ll never hold up, so if someone else wants to gamble on Harden and give us a nice return for our troubles, I’m all for it.
RagingHarden: Yeah if you get 20 starts out of me I'll be shocked. Like, I'll wreck my drawers.
given your longtime sig
I’m absolutely shocked by this post.
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by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 1:21 AM PDT up reply actions
From Gammon's Blog:
“A call came in Sunday morning that said, “Billy Beane has the single most important piece to trade to win the World Series. But the question is, how many songs do you let Slowhand play before a string breaks.” Hello, Rich Harden. Beane is right—Harden is the most dominant pitcher in the American League right now. Nine starts; the last time he had more than that was 2005. Seven quality starts. 11.31 strikeouts per nine innings. 53.1 innings pitched, 40 hits allowed. Has started against Boston twice, the Angels, Detroit and Atlanta once. He has a career 35-18 record, but he’s had a career in which his starts have gone from 31 to 22 to nine to seven before 2008.
Beane’s Athletics are a fascinating team, especially as Eric Chavez, Santiago Casilla, Joey Davine and Ryan Sweeney get healthy. They have a $47 million payroll, and Beane is trying to reconstruct another five-year run; he’ll be in the Dominican Republic this week to see free agent right-handed pitcher Michel Inoa, which would be the equivalent of signing a top 10 draft pick. Beane has made it clear whether it’s Harden or Joe Blanton, Bobby Crosby or Mark Ellis that his store is always open.”
ty, ty
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by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 1:47 AM PDT up reply actions
Re Boston twice...
I liked Francona’s quote after the second start…something like, we’ve seen enough of that guy
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by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 1:49 AM PDT up reply actions
Francona on Harden
“He’s got as good as stuff as anybody in the league,” Red Sox manager Terry Francona said. “He gets into some fastball counts and doesn’t give you a fastball. We’ve seen him too much. We don’t need to face him every other game. I hope he’s not going to come back and pitch Sunday.”
great thing about that is...
Duke’s no-hit bid was the day after Harden’s start. Maybe Francona should’ve wanted Harden to pitch again
"Behind both goals were banners bearing the word 'Calamity' while another carried the warning: 'You will drown in the Bosphorous.'"--Threats made by Turkish soccer fans to the British from a match in 2003. I dug these out as a tribute to their miraculous comeback against Czech Rep. in Euro 2008. Nihat!
RIP Tim Russert, quintessential Buffalonian.
by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 2:47 AM PDT up reply actions
and...
well, since he did say every other day and not every day, Oakland did win Sunday, too, though I forget who pitched. If I remember correctly Boston still only scored 3 runs, though. Pitching staff full of Rich Hardens, I guess we can afford to trade one of them.
"Behind both goals were banners bearing the word 'Calamity' while another carried the warning: 'You will drown in the Bosphorous.'"--Threats made by Turkish soccer fans to the British from a match in 2003. I dug these out as a tribute to their miraculous comeback against Czech Rep. in Euro 2008. Nihat!
RIP Tim Russert, quintessential Buffalonian.
by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 2:52 AM PDT up reply actions
Re quality starts
One of the two non-quality starts was his first start back from injury, which was a blatantly non-quality start. Subtract that and see what stats you’re left with…
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by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 1:51 AM PDT up reply actions
Re Beane's "store"
With that inventory, it’s clearly Neiman Marcus and Wal-Mart under one roof.
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by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 1:57 AM PDT up reply actions
Re Michel Inoa
This guy must be from a Haitian bordertown…”Michel”? Speaking of prospects I know nothing about, anyone happen to be in the know about the 3B who recently defected from Cuba? ESPN dedicated some bottom-line space to announcing his arrival in the US, and he’s only 19, but with national team experience, so I figure he has to have some ability. Then again, where have Kendry Morales or Danys Baez been lately….
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by Cutthemullet on Jun 16, 2008 2:04 AM PDT up reply actions
Or maybe Galician?
Michel Salgado, Spanish footballer, is Galician, I think.
"Dispatch knuckleheadedness with Bond-like aplomb." –74mk
Inoa is a big, big deal
He’s the kind of guy who, if he was a US high schooler, would be getting talked up as the potential #1 overall pick in his draft class (which would be, I believe, 2010).
The fact that the A’s are even in the discussion is kind of a watershed moment for the franchise.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
I honestly think the best idea is to trade Harden
I hate to say that because he really is a once-in-a-generation kind of pitcher when healthy. But, as a fan, I’m committed 100 percent to rebuilding this team into a year in and year out contender for many years. Harden can bring so very much in return from a team like Boston or the Yankees or Detroit. And at most the A’s have him for what, a year and a half now? Why not continue to load up the system with guys who will be part of the greatness of the green and gold over the long term?
It’s tough because I do think the A’s best chance of competing right now and next year is to have a healthy Harden. But you just never know if it’s going to continue with his health. So deal him. But only if you get a remarkable haul of talent.
Nice diary and something that I was going to write about myself today. I’ll put this on the FP.
by Tyler Bleszinski on Jun 16, 2008 8:38 AM PDT reply actions
never, ever trade Harden to the Yanks or the BoSox...
having Harden pitching twice against the A’s in ALCS’s over the next 5 years means we will never see an ALDS. I don’t care how many “prospects” you get back from those evil empires! If Beane is going to trade him, it should be to an NL team. Maybe the Marlins. If it is to an AL team, it should be the Rays, so they can torment the Yanks and Sox for years to come.
Foolsh, the most insane regular poster on AN since oaktoon left - salb
by FoolshGame22 on Jun 16, 2008 8:45 AM PDT up reply actions
haha...
“pitching twice in ALDS’s” and “never see an ALCS.” Doh!
Foolsh, the most insane regular poster on AN since oaktoon left - salb
by FoolshGame22 on Jun 16, 2008 8:47 AM PDT up reply actions
Pitchin twice in the ALCS?
This is Harden we’re talking about. He might not even pitch twice the entire season.
"I don't know half of you half as well as I should like, and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve."
--Bilbo Baggins
by kaweahkaweah on Jun 16, 2008 8:57 AM PDT up reply actions
So, your proposal to stop him from signing with them
once he hits free agency is… a tire iron? Special Act of Congress? Bill of attainder?
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
Let's go with the Bill of Attainder
No one pays any attention to the Constitution these days anyway.
QOTM
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
+1
No Harden to the the big spending bitches in the East. I just don’t get the “trade Harden for value now” going on. He is finally showing all the positive signs the club and the fans have been waiting for. The fact that he has not been going “deep” into games will change as he becomes more used to putting his body through more and more work. I’m fine with that and the bullpen going 2-3 innings to close the deal. If that means the A’s are sporting a 2-0, 3-0, to get there at the time, so be it.
While I believe Beane is always gonna listen to offers from other clubs, I just have a feeling that he is a bigger fan of Harden, ala Chavvy, than most of us A’s fans really know. I’d like to see how all of this plays out because it will be fascinating but I still say keep Rich Harden in Oakland.
If Beane decides to gamble and extend him beyond his current contract the time to do that would be now!!! Absolutely…........shuttle him in for the Fremont era and think good thoughts people. Nothing is impossible.
I hope Harden goes nowhere
You can almost mark down a “W” in the column when he is pitching unlike a “L” when someone else (who shall remain nameless) is pitching. He is way too talented to let someone else get the benefit from. Can U imagine him pitching against the A’s? Probably no hit them every time.
Everything is a risk. I say at least keep him for this year and keep us in the running. If he stays healthy then his value will be even greater. I don;t doubt that he may end up on the DL again because he spends alot of time there but his injuries have been either muscle pulls, and mild strains. The one injury I did not like was the Strained ligament in the elbow a year or two back.
IMO there is no one who an hold a candle to Rich when he’s on and that he is too valuable to see go elsewhere.
So what would you consider a remarkable haul?
Keeping in mind that Beane rarely trades within the division because he doesn’t want to make his competition better, I believe that he would have to receive an absolutely ridiculous package from any AL team. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that Hudson, Mulder, and Haren were traded to the NL.
Yankees – Start with Joba, go from there. No way Cashman does it.
Boston – Start with Buchholz and Lowrie, go from there. I don’t think Theo does that either.
Potential Trades off the cuff :
Dodgers : for an OF prospect (rumors of trading Kemp) and Andy LaRoche who has recently been passed by Blake DeWitt on the org depth chart.
Braves : Street + Harden + Someone to the Braves for Heyward, Tommy Hansen + someone else? Not enough MLB ready talent back here though and giving up a lot.
It’s too bad the Brewers are out of it because it would have been nice to try and make a run at some of their top prospects.
Maybe if Colletti suffers a frontal lobe injury...
or maybe if you replaced Kemp with Ivan DeJesus.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
If dealing with LA
Ivan De Jesus is a lock to be in any deal. I would target De Jesus, Kemp, LaRoche and Greg Miller(yes that once touted prospect)
by AthleticsReign on Jun 16, 2008 11:55 AM PDT up reply actions
Dude, it's *Colletti*
He’d probably insist on Embree and then chuckle to himself thinking he stole the hard throwing lefty veteran.
Harden + Ellis + E. Brown (salary dump)
For Kelly Johnson and several prospects/cash
We upgrade 2B and don’t have as much free agent drama in the off-season. I don’t know their farm system, but if we’re talking eta 2009 prospects (especially pitching/OF) I’m ok with it.
Kelly Johnson is not an upgrade on Mark Ellis at second base
The Braves were considering moving him to center field because of his defensive deficiencies at the position.
Also, I fail to see how salary dumping is necessary considering the current state of the team payroll.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
Getting his roster spot free while saving the cash has some value ...
but you’re right that KJ is not an upgrade … though he will be around for a few years, so that helps …
"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback
I don't think Beane is opposed to
trading within the division.
I think the reason he rarely does so is because the guys on the other side won’t. Bavasi and Stoneman were openly opposed to trading within the division. With Texas, Beane does trade relatively often.
Stoneman’s been gone for a while now, and as of today Bavasi, too, so we’ll see if that changes.
"Dispatch knuckleheadedness with Bond-like aplomb." –74mk
not with a dominant stud like Harden
You just don’t cough up your ace to a division team. unless its for hamilton and a boatload of other prospects.
If we're going to trade him
We need people who can help soon, not hugely promising 17 year olds who are four years away. This may be my bias, but it looks like things are coming together for this year (unless, of course, we trade/otherwise lose Harden). I’d want a young successful major leaguer and several real prospects in the AA/AAA range.
I agree
If he does wide up traded i want like you said, “a young successful major leaguer and several real prospects in the AA/AAA range”.
Im for a wait and see approach
If we are still in it nearing the trade deadline why not keep him for the rest of the year and swing something in the offseason or next year. Think about how much value he will have if he stays health that long (which is a strech i know) and/or has some dominate post-season games under his belt. If he is hurt before the end of the year we are right back to the same point at this time next year so why not wait it out for this year? Without much change in his “value”. Now moving Blanton and maybe Street for a RH bat with some pop thats another story.
This is simply not correct
A year and a half of a player is worth far more than a half-year of that player. Compare the Santana package to the Erik Bedard package. The difference is the value of one year of an elite player.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
So if we move Harden and Blanton who is going to be our starters?
So why not wait at least till closer to the trade dead line and see where we are in the standings? Im not saying we should not trade Harden ever becasue i know that is what we do, but if we are still in it why not hang on to him and see how far we can go this year and trade him after the year is up just like we have done in years past.
I'm not saying "trade Harden for anything or nothing"
(Unlike, say, Crosby, who I would cheerfully give away for a box of donuts just to get him off the roster. And I don’t even like donuts.)
Just, you know, keep an ear out for offers.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
If you don't want them
please send me the donuts
I think Ray Fosse beat him to it.
"God doesn't pay attention to your cute little hypotheticals." -- Jeff from LL
Now Im with you.
if an outstanding offer come our way and we are falling out of it, or it is too good to pass up then yeah lets get all we can for him. But at least keep an eye on this year as far as the post season is concerned. On a side note keeping Harden until the offseason may help BB and co find a group of players that would help the A’s even more than he can find now.
Well, we've got one good starter in the bullpen right now --
Chad Gaudin, who is arguably as good as Blanton or better.
Our organization is pretty stuffed with passable 5th starters. Not great, but good enough. We’ve got so many 5th starters that we just DFA’ed one. (What ever happened to Lenny, anyway?)
Seriously, I don’t think lack of starting rotation is our problem right now.
"Dispatch knuckleheadedness with Bond-like aplomb." –74mk
DiNardo somehow cleared waivers
and was sent to Sacto.
Lucky Lenny’s luck appears to have run out.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
Who so much emotion over Harden?
I have a hard time being emotional about Rich Harden either way, whether he gets traded or stays here. As far as I’m concerned, if he plays out the next 1.5 years at his current health status, the A’s have one of the best pitchers in the game at an unbelievable bargain price. If he gets traded, Beane will make sure that he extracts a nice prospect package from the acquiring team.
As far as Beane and the team is concerned, it’s a win-win proposition at this point. I guess the emotion comes into play when you think, “Oh man, if we keep Rich we can compete THIS year, so let’s not even field trade offers for him.” But in reality, Beane will keep working the phones, and only pull the trigger when he gets what he wants. If he doesn’t, he’ll keep Rich and his considerable talent in the fold, a la Blanton and Street this season.
All this wrangling for a guy who could go on the DL for the rest of the season at any point? No need to stress guys. Whether Rich stays or Rich goes, the A’s will be in good shape either way.
Why get emotional about any player?
In Harden’s case:
Because he was drafted in the 17th round.
Because he’s a little guy as pitchers go.
Because I love watching hitters flail helplessly at his pitches.
Because of the hard times he’s had to endure.
Because of the smirk.
Because he’s Canadian.
Because he’s always been ours and no one else’s.
Because he still has the face of a little leauger.
Because of the trademark thumb in the pants adjustment after ever strikeout.
Because he’s one of the best I’ve ever seen in an A’s uniform.
by SportySpice on Jun 16, 2008 10:58 AM PDT up reply actions
+1
I’m a fan of anyone born and raised in our 51st state.
"I don't know half of you half as well as I should like, and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve."
--Bilbo Baggins
by kaweahkaweah on Jun 16, 2008 11:14 AM PDT up reply actions
+1 (to k...h as well as SportySpice)
k^2 – I’m completely unable to keep from thinking of you as having come from our 50th state – although I think you explained where you came up with your moniker at some point, and it had nothing to do with Hawaii (although I wouldn’t swear by my memory).
The 51st state?
I live in the 51st state.. The State of Confusion.
"Whether you think you can, or you think you can't, either way, YOU'RE RIGHT !"
The Smirk contributes to my desire to be rid of him
If we can’t fix the stupid, can we at least beat them senseless? @('.')@
Well, to each his own
I think he’s basically a douchebag.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
People who have met him
almost always say things like:
I did have the pleasure of meeting him once when he was in Toronto and he was one of the more pleasant professional athletes that I have ever interacted with. He was very polite and respectful and engaged in a fun banter with myself and two of my friends.
Whereas your opinion seems to be based on the expression on his face and the health of his shoulder. Or maybe you’re just projecting.
"May a nit suck Cajun geese?" wonders Red. No, we see gnu Jack Cust in a yam.
Could be, but that's true of all athletes, since I've met almost none of them
and I certainly don’t think they’re all jerks…
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
Funny how often the term douche bag (yeah it's two words) comes up in your posts...
Or maybe it just pops into my head when I’m reading your comments- either way, very insightful as usual.
From the voice of God:
‘Pitching and batting ninth behind the box of donuts… Douch Bag!’
Takes one to know one... right?
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
I had the pleasure of meeting him once at Pyramid in Walnut Creek
and he was one of the more pleasant professional athletes that I have ever interacted with.
You really shouldn’t be painting with such a broad brush.
"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback
As long as they feel fresh on summer's eves in Anaheim
"You know, a long time ago being crazy meant something. Nowadays everybody's crazy."
-Charles Manson
by kaweahkaweah on Jun 16, 2008 2:45 PM PDT up reply actions
give me a sandwich and 25 douchebags
and there is nothing I cannot do!
"Don't be an ass!" --Bill King
I hope I don't get booted for this
but blow it our your( ............!!!!!!!) fill in the blanks…..
nuff said,
Your argumentation is compelling
but ultimately unconvincing.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
Much better, PT!
I’m with mrod on the pro-Harden sentiment, but you win the “debate” hands-down.
Although I’m hoping that mrod is simply enjoying some refreshing beverages, and that his most recent posts do not show him at the top of his game.
no refreshing bevs at all
just being my usual passionate self. Trust me, you’ll know when I’ve been boozing fellas….........later-mrod
Haha, someONE has a little crush on Rich.
I guess I didn’t really anticipate anyone really making an emotional fan-player connection with Rich since he has rarely stayed on the field long enough to facilitate that. Your points are all valid and I respect you for seeing the good things about Rich and his quirks.
That said, I must clarify. I don’t really understand why the business decision to trade/not trade Rich is so heated and full of emotional response. I mean, I LOVEd Nick Swisher and went to school with Dan Haren, but I wasn’t even remotely saddened when they were both traded and didn’t fret their departures before the trades occurred, mainly because I’m an A’s fan and fan favorites come/go all the time, but also because I trust the GM enough to know that another Swisher or Haren will likely blossom from the packages he trades them for in the first place.
I just hate when people act like they know these atheletes personally
Does he pitch like a douche bag or something? I mean, you don’t have to be friends with him you know? I was half expecting a fan graph comparing his douche baggness with men on base to AJ Pierzynski’s.
Haha. Understood.
I wouldn’t seek to distort anyone’s personal views of a player or his personality. That’s the fan’s prerogative and it’s what makes following athletic teams religiously really fun. But as much as I might feel positive about an athlete personally, I prepare myself for the business side of things to dictate when/where the player ends up. Basically, I don’t get emotional about potential trades or signings or imminent departures of players…I can’t control that. But that’s a totally seperate issue than liking/disliking a player personally. I’m just rtrying to make a distinct seperation of the two ideas.
Also, in concurrence with your opinions about players:
As a fan of the A’s, I think Oakland is the one team out of all MLB teams which proves that becoming religiously fanatical about players is just…foolish.
The rate of turn-around in the Oakland clubhouse is quicker than a fastfood dining room cleaner-upper-guy, we just don’t keep players so why get emotionally attached (although how could anyone not get attached to Swisher’s awesome on/off the field personality)?
But the point is, we are all A’s fans, and that in itself lends to the fact that we are fans of the team, and its revolving door of players.
That being said, I still root for most guys who leave Oakland and follow them closer than other players.
witty remark
by dtownmbrown on Jun 17, 2008 12:54 AM PDT up reply actions
No
the point is we are all A’s fans. Full stop. If you want to support only the team, and no get emotionally attached to players, that is your right. If someone else wants to get emotionally attached to players, that is his / her right.
ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524
Getting attached to players is one thing
Doing something stupid like not following the team anymore because they traded a certain player is quite another.
I mean, frankly, I’m still pissed off that I can’t find a Ryan Langerhans home jersey :(
I didn't say I don't want him on the team...
He can be as douche baggy with men on base as it takes to get out of the inning. John Lackey is very douche baggy with men on base… and it’s quite effective.
I’m just saying he’s not the guy I’d pick to hang out with for a week.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
I'm curious
What in his behavior with men on base do you object to? I haven’t noticed anything I find objectionable.
As for Mouth Breather, I don’t care for him at all (completely superficial – he’s an Angel and I don’t like his looks) but I’d like to have in our rotation.
Nothing... I was just riffing on Sacred's comment...
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
That's probably ok with Harden --
I don’t think he plays Dungeon and Dragons.
I needed a team so I wouldn’t turn into one of the eighty million pink hat-wearing Bud Light-drinking mulleted idiots at Fenway.
I concur.
I’m one of the guys that would probably root for Bonds if he were an A so douche baggness is not my main concern when it comes to my team. That being said, I am just a little surprised that you feel the need to call him names- and although “douche bag” is one of my personal favorites, I usually reserve it’s usage for description of sleezy womanizer types. If I were to call Glass Rich names I’d go with ‘smug asshole’ or ‘arrogant prick’.
The problem I have with trading Harden
is that unlike Swish and Haren, I highly doubt that Beane can blossom another Harden out of any deal he makes. Not because I have little faith in Beane ( I have tons), but rather because I feel like Harden’s dominance makes him almost unbeatable. Never once did Swish or Haren make me feel that way.
That's exactly the problem, I concur
You can get a package of players, but you’re not likely to get another Harden. It’s hard to overestimate just how scarce and how valuable truly elite players are, and that makes me reluctant to give him up. That’s true even if he’s only under contract for another year and a half (and no, I see no practical way of extending him given the numbers and the risk), and even if he’s a big risk to not even be available for all of that year and a half (although I think people overstate the inevitability of another breakdown). While you have him, he impacts your chances to win a championship in a way that a 20-pack of Ryan Sweeneys and Greg Smiths does not (and I like those guys).
Still, like Billy, I’d listen to offers, and who knows, maybe I’d hear something that caused me to pull the trigger.
If Harden had never been hurt... played all the last few seasons with no DL time
Then I would say… Sign him to a long term extension. But with his history… If we get a great haul in return, then trade him. If not. Then we keep him and hope he remains healthy.
We have some good young pitchers in our minors who may or may not be as dominant as Harden but they will be pretty good. I would love to see a strong right handed, great defender, outfielder along with a couple of great hitting, great defensive middle infielders (this includes 3B) then I would be overjoyed with trading him.
"Whether you think you can, or you think you can't, either way, YOU'RE RIGHT !"
What would you say Harden's chances of breaking down in a given start are?
5%?
In the past 3+ seasons, Harden has started 42 games and been injured 7 times, which suggests an injury rate of about 15%. But let’s be very optimistic here and call it 5%. The chances of him making it through the 50 or so starts that he has to survive until he hits free agency are less than 8%.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
That's a good question
And I don’t have a good answer. Maybe 5%, maybe more – but maybe less (although you have some valid basis for referring to 5% as “very optimistic”).
I don’t know that you can do some sort of straightforward actuarial calculation here. Several of his injuries weren’t directly related to his pitching. In addition, he now seems to be backing off the constant max-effort by varying the fastball velocity quite a bit, and largely bagging the split altogether – both of which may contribute to his health. Finally, he never had any arm problems at all in several years worth of minor league ball – that trendline certainly didn’t hold (although I recognize that a healthy trendline is more easily disrupted than an unhealthy one). There’s at least some reason to hope that he’s going to be healthier going forward. And if you want him traded, you have to hope some GM out there isn’t buying the 5+% number.
Probably a moot point, though – he’s probably just too risky for any GM to trade for. You trade the next Jay Bruce for Harden (yeah, I’d take Bruce!) and he walks off the mound in his first start holding his elbow – that’s the kind of thing that gets GMs fired.
he hasn't simply bagged the split-finger FB...
he’s douche bagged it, obviously
"Behind both goals were banners bearing the word 'Calamity' while another carried the warning: 'You will drown in the Bosphorous.'"--Threats made by Turkish soccer fans to the British from a match in 2003. I dug these out as a tribute to their miraculous comeback against Czech Rep. in Euro 2008. Nihat!
RIP Tim Russert, quintessential Buffalonian.
by Cutthemullet on Jun 18, 2008 3:50 AM PDT up reply actions
I'm having trouble parsing your sentence.
Are you saying that, unlike Beane, either Swish or Haren could blossom another Harden? Or are you saying that, unlike you, Swish and Haren don’t highly doubt that Beane could do so?
"Dispatch knuckleheadedness with Bond-like aplomb." –74mk
I think what he's saying
is that Beane can “blossom” another Swish and another Haren, but not another Harden.
I think that’s bunkum—every top player has to come from somewhere—but I believe that is what he was saying.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
what PT said
the post may have been poorly written but I thought his point was pretty easy to understand.
"Behind both goals were banners bearing the word 'Calamity' while another carried the warning: 'You will drown in the Bosphorous.'"--Threats made by Turkish soccer fans to the British from a match in 2003. I dug these out as a tribute to their miraculous comeback against Czech Rep. in Euro 2008. Nihat!
RIP Tim Russert, quintessential Buffalonian.
by Cutthemullet on Jun 18, 2008 3:45 AM PDT up reply actions
concur
When healthy, he puts the other team behind the 8-ball in a major way. It’s not just the tough, good stuff Zito/Mulder/Hudson, or Haren for that point, but it’s the filthy, intimidating “man we don’t want to see that guy under any circumstances” stuff. If we have to lose him, it’s going to hurt. I don’t know enough to say that a good deal can’t be made, and obviously his health his difficult to guage, but it will hurt to see him go. And I have to agree that I send him to the NL if I had to.
"Little Crush?"
Maybe I didn’t express myself strongly enough.
by SportySpice on Jun 16, 2008 12:35 PM PDT up reply actions
how about this trade
Harden and Eric Chavez for David Wright
Let's have our Piazza and eat the Cust too - SPWC
Works great
assuming you’ve managed to hypnotize Omar Minaya into a docile and compliant state.
Of course, that’s the tricky bit.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
A regular Paul-y Anna, he!
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
bleah
Just thinking about David Wright this morning, comparing the Oakland (above .500) state of things, and the heavy-spending Mets. David Wright seems brilliant at times, but I don’t think he’d make a difference to the A’s. IMO he’d be another Johnny Damon, a player who doesn’t want to be here, and would have his worst career year(s) in Oakland. He’d be our “Adrian Beltre”, with a similiar outcome for the team.
All the prev, speculation and simply IMHO.
"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer
by One won lost won on Jun 16, 2008 9:51 AM PDT up reply actions
Adrian Beltre is, like, good
As is David Wright.
I have no idea where you’re locating this opinion that Wright would tank in Oakland. You could say that about any acquisition. You could say it about any draft pick. Why bother bringing anyone in? What’s the point?
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
Have to agree
that Beltre is good. Not as great as his 2004 year with LA but that was a contract year for him so he was bound to produce more, which is the case for most players with the exception being Andruw Jones last year, and even then he still hit 26 HR and had 94 RBI.
Beltre
2004 OPS 1.017 48 HRs .334 BA
2005 OPS .716 19 HRs .255 BA, ....five more ABs, fifteen less walks.
It just shows it happens, when a player (by his agent’s work, or a trade) does not go where he feels receptive to going. Frank Thomas and Jay Payton came to the A’s (in answer to your “Why bother..”) when they felt in tune with going to the A’s. Payton is both sides of the coin…poor in Boston, good in Oakland.
Carney Lansford came here as part of a rebuilding situation, and did very well. So he’s an example contrary to my case. David Wright, however, is not as much “under the radar” as Carney was. You come from New York, a demi-god anointed prior to joining the Mets, then you start playing in front of 11,000 scattered folk (with 20,000 empty seats to echo your on-field sneeze back at you) and you start to sag. Mentally, sag.
"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer
by One won lost won on Jun 16, 2008 11:36 AM PDT up reply actions
Jay Payton in Boston
263 .313 .429.
Jay Payton in 2005 with the A’s: 269 .302 .451
Payton in 2006 with the A’s: 296 .325 .418.
Jay Payton was poor in Boston. Jay Payton was poor in Oakland. Jay Payton was poor in NYC. Jay Payton is poor in Baltimore. The only place was Payton wasn’t poor was in Colorado.
Also, since you know how to cite Beltre’s stats, try comparing Wright and Beltre’s stats. The comparison is ridonkuluous.
ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524
What matters in MHO
was the fact that Wright could not “man up” and stop the Mets slide at the end of the season…one of the worst collapses in recent times.
I just look at that type of stuff and how it adds up to the team’s W-L record.
You guys aren’t going to convince me that getting David Wright is some sorta panacea.
It’s only a gut feeling, all IMHO. I just recall how the A’s got Brooke Jacoby (32 HRs!) at the end of his career. Sure, Wright isn’t there, but I just get that gut “whaddameyedoinhere” feeling, picturing him on the Athletics….a la Johnny Damon.
The A’s tossed him into the season like someone tosses one of those “auto-pool-cleaners” into the pool, and expect “the expected” to just follow along.
Johnny Damon felt he didn’t deserve his money. He hated “home” in Oakland was a sterile unwelcome apartment, home alone. He was embarassed that he was paid more than Giambi. This happens to players, and they produce the concomitant results.
"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer
by One won lost won on Jun 16, 2008 4:20 PM PDT up reply actions
..................
David Wright, September 2007: .352/.432/.602, 6 HR, 14 BB, 10 SO.
David Wright played out of his mind last September. He was fucking carrying that team. It’s not his fault Jose Reyes forgot how to hit and field baseballs.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
but what was his apartment like?
If we can’t fix the stupid, can we at least beat them senseless? @('.')@
yeah, quit avoiding the obvious!!
This is getting pretty heated guys…
I simply expressed my bias, my opinion.
Right or wrong, it was just an un-statistical “gut feeling” by ME about how David Wright feels about Oakland, how it would turn out if he was with Oakland…
Pure speculation with no basis but casual, episodic observation.
It’s not something you can go out and settle, like, “Well, let’s drain the lakes, count the fish, and THEN decide if Lake A is a better habitat for fish than Lake B.”
"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer
by One won lost won on Jun 16, 2008 8:21 PM PDT up reply actions
This is pointless
Even you admit that you have no rational reason for your beliefs. I can’t prove a negative.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
And August: .394/.516/.657.
And July, and June, and May.
He sucked in April though. I really don’t understand why he failed to man up to start the season. Great players don’t take even one month off. Face it PT, he’s a choke artist, a sissy, and a clubhouse cancer. That kind of stuff adds up to a team’s W-L record. Stop making excuses for him.
yes, I looked at David Wright's Sept 2007
He had a hit in every game except maybe five.
I stand corrected.
I saw an interview with him during their losing streak at the end. I don’t recall what happened, as they were swept by Washington (9-25-27), GIDP, or his hit didn’t mean much, but he was very contrite and putting some blame on himself.
"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer
by One won lost won on Jun 16, 2008 9:32 PM PDT up reply actions
Actually he wasn't so much putting
the blame on himself, but on ALL the players, trying to deflect blame from Willie Randolph.
If you want to look up why the Mets collapsed, look at the stats of Scott Schoeneweiss, Guillermo Mota, Jorge Sosa, and Pedro Feliciano, and specifically how they were used by the just sacked Willie Randolph.
Schoenewess is a career LOOGY Randolph for some reason, decided to use him NOT as a LOOGY, but also against righties. Sosa conversely, struggles against lefties, but is good against righties. He was allowed by Randolph to get killed by lefties. Guillermor Mota, simply struggles, against everyone, Randolph stubbornly sent him out there consistently.
Pedro Feliciano was used as a LOOGY even though he can get righties out.
ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524
both pitchers must have been staying in D--
No, OK, I’ll stop now.
If we can’t fix the stupid, can we at least beat them senseless? @('.')@
funny
Monkeyball, you can make fun of my commentary and it’s okay, because “banter” and all the rest is what a “blog” on sports should be all about.
When I did read the story in 2004? 2005? ...sometime back, recounting Johnny Damon and his arrival in Oakland, and why he performed “sub-par”, I was struck by the fact that while many corporations go out of their way to provide professional “move” services for “high-end” employees (that is, earning a mere $100k instead of say $7,000,000 for a ML baseball player) and are concerned about where they live, how close to work, if their wives and kids are going to schools the employee is happy with …. here is an organization, a professional baseball club with million-dollar salaries, and extremely acute concerns about the performance of a certain 25 people in the organization, and they say, “Go find your own bridge to live under…we’re paying you enough money…” Well, baseball players think about….baseball. So you’re paying them a lot of dough? It doesn’t mean that you cannot provide a player with a “lift up” and help them out, so that they don’t have to go all the way to Pleasanton to go “home”, to a place devoid of their family (apparently Damon just had a child, and was feeling the separation very acutely). I mean, how expensive would it have been to the Oakland Athletics baseball club, to put Damon in an expensive house in the Oakland hills, with a great view, maybe a gardner and housekeeper, and room for his family?? And fifteen minutes from the ballpark?? How much? Compare that to the salaries, and the subsequent performance.
All just idle thinking…..
"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer
by One won lost won on Jun 17, 2008 9:52 AM PDT up reply actions
Plus, his valet had just quit ...
... leaving him at sixes and sevens, as Johnny had not the slightest notion of how to delint his bespoke Savile Row suits without tamping down the nap.
If we can’t fix the stupid, can we at least beat them senseless? @('.')@
Beltre's 2004 was insane and, probably, steroid-enhanced
He wasn’t going to match that.
That said, for 4 years he has been basically average with the bat for a third baseman while playing very good defense. He is essentially Mark Ellis getting paid more. As I’ve said on basically every Ellis thread ever, Ellis could be paid a lot more and still be very much worth the money.
Apropos: Bavasi was just fired. He sure as heck deserved it, but not for the Beltre contract.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
Wow! Bavasi fired!
That is a surprise. But appropriate. I’ll check out LookLan for the celebration and body-kicking.
"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer
by One won lost won on Jun 16, 2008 12:58 PM PDT up reply actions
USS Mariner's servers crashed
with all the traffic.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
This is worrisome.
The last thing we need is a team with Seattle’s resources hiring smart management.
Beltre for 2004
Beltre’s 2004 was insane and, probably, steroid-enhanced. He wasn’t going to match that.
Yup, I can just hear his agent now, saying those exact words as he sat down with the Mariners.
In fact, word was then, Beltre in 2004 finally fulfilled the monstrous “promise” that he “always had in him”.
"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer
by One won lost won on Jun 16, 2008 4:27 PM PDT up reply actions
And this has what to do with what exactly?
It’s still a good contract.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
unclear reference
"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer
by One won lost won on Jun 16, 2008 5:18 PM PDT up reply actions
You claim that Beltre was somehow snookered into going to Seattle
and then found out that he hated it and suddenly started playing like crap.
I claim that the first part of this is preposterous (he was a free agent, for heaven’s sake), and the second part is just inaccurate. The fact that he did not live up to his 2004 season (which was likely both a fluke and chemically enhanced) does not make him a bad player, it just makes him not a Hall of Famer.
And this still has nothing to do with David Wright.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
Last posted comment on this, regardless
First, I have not stated that Beltre is a “bad player”. I don’t categorize ANY MLB ballplayer as “bad”. The 750+ players on ML rosters didn’t just get picked out of a hat. I would appreciate, once again, PT, that you NOT synthesize an opinion for me that I never have stated.
Uh, what it has to do with David Wright is the “Jeff Cirillo Syndrome”, the “Adrian Beltre Syndrome”, the “Keith Mitchell Syndrome”, where a player changes clubs (to Seattle) and doesn’t meet performance expectations. I suggest
STRICTLY
MY
OPINION AND SPECULATION
and unable to substantiate, that David Wright, if he came to the A’s, would (1) NOT be like Jermaine Dye, when Dye came from KC to the A;s in a mid-season trade, but instead would suffer a drop in performance (NOT become a “bad player” ) as did (2) Adrian Beltre, et.al., above. Adrian Beltre (IMO and vague memory) thought the Dodgers had deep pockets and would shower him with money. The Dodgers thought Beltre loved the Dodgers SO MUCH, they would get a “hometown discount”. Instead, Beltre’s agent got him a shitload of money (which is the agent’s job) and placed him in a multi-year deal with Seattle.
I think he bled Dodger Blue…I don’t know. Maybe in 2005 he stopped taking drugs, as you suggest. All I see is, and ALL I HEAR from Seattle fans (and, I know a few) is that they all expected 40 HRs and .330+ BA from the guy, so they are miffed, as “good” isn’t “good enough for that kind of money”. Check the game-by-game barrage on LL on Beltre.
David Wright simply strikes me as the kind of anointed guy, the NY’s media’s next Lou Gehrig , who would not just be the same ballplayer if he played for Oakland. Simply my 100% self-grown, 100% zero-value, opinion (as are all opinions on AN..) On what basis do I form that opinion? Well, I could have picked (1) Jermaine Dye, who ripped it up after arriving in Oakland, as my “template of speculation, or (2) Adrian Beltre, who did not “rip it up” when he went to Seattle.
I simply chose (2). On a hunch, on gut feel. And then I said, “Bleah” to trading for David Wright.
"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer
by One won lost won on Jun 16, 2008 8:54 PM PDT up reply actions
how about this trade
Harden and Eric Chavez and Bobby Crosby for David Wright and Jose Reyes.
ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524
I think the A's should stay with Harden this year
regardless of the consequences of getting less later on, or, if he blows up again in August and retires. I think the gamble is worth it to have him in the post-season, 2008,if the A’s make it that far.
With Harden and Duch’sr, the A’s could sail through the ALDS, even if it’s Boston. Could. Not “should”. Those two pitchers give us our best chance.
If the A’s are sitting a game or so above or below .500 by July 31, then the discussion about trades covers just about everyone on the roster IMO. Boston and Tampa Bay might be tied for the best record in MLB, six or seven games above everyone else, in which case…
Harden for Dan Johnson!
(jk)!
"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer
by One won lost won on Jun 16, 2008 9:46 AM PDT reply actions
Time to Pick a Direction
I know Billy Beane declared at the beginning of the season that this was supposed to be a rebuilding year, but then he contradicts himself and brings in Veteran players like Thomas and Sweeney who without a doubt take playing time from the little Sweeney, Buck and others. I think Beane needs to firmly declare what is going on with this team- either trade Harden now and bring in more top prospects to truly rebuid or keep this gem and shoot for the playoffs THIS year. I think trying to do both only results in a sporadic, confused fanbase and possibly confused team.
The greenmachine
Good Old "Contradicting" Billy Beane
I don’t think Beane is contradicting himself or his true purpose of rebuilding the organization by adding veterans to the major league team. Beane’s ultimate purpose is to win as often as possible, both now and in the future. Adding Thomas, Sweeney, Foulke were all no-risk, moderate-reward type of pickups that can help the team win now and could help bring in some leadership to a very young team.
If Beane were trading any of our top-10 prospects for guys like Foulke, Thomas or Sweeney, then I’d be concerned about Beane being directionless. But he’s not. He realizes that the true rebuilding is taking place on the farm, not on the major league team, and he’s giving the major league team every chance possible to win right now without investing too much into anybody.
Thomas, Sweeney and Foulke have all been intermittently injured this season, but when they’ve been healthy they’ve been productive and haven’t really interfered with the development of Cargon, Barton, Ryan Sweeney, etcetera, and in fact the leadership they bring probably helps the young guys more than we are privy to know.
Totally agree. Beane has always played to win
He moved out 3 veterans Kotsay, Swish and Haren and received a boat load of prospects (4 of which are on the team and playing pretty well).
I actually would be for the A’s adding another cheap hitter right now to play DH or LF until Thomas gets back.
by Yellowhorse on Jun 16, 2008 10:14 AM PDT up reply actions
Both Thomas and Sweeney
were brought in on the cheap. Didnt Sweeney sign a minor leagure deal to start with this year? and for what we are spending on Thomas why not bring him to Oakland? and both are good locker room leaders for the young guys to be around.
I don't think Thomas or Sweeney took much playing time away from anyone
Barton and Buck were not hitting. If they were Sweeney would have been on the bench or they wouldn’t have brought in Thomas.
Earlier in the year Denorfia and Davis were getting some starts that could have gone to R. Sweeney.
If Buck was hitting he would be on the team right now.
Barton is probably going to keep his spot if he keeps hitting once M. Sweeney returns.
by Yellowhorse on Jun 16, 2008 10:16 AM PDT up reply actions
NO. NO TRADE OF HARDEN
I would keep Harden and do everything they can to resign him. The A’s payroll is very low and our biggest money-maker Chavez doesn’t have that long gettting the big bucks.
Harden is one of the best pitchers yet he won’t command as much money as some of the others who have left.
We have enough prospects and a good minor league system to keep our current stars and still be in a good position for the future.
Lol
Rich Harden doesn’t even like playing for Oakland. He’s made it pretty clear a number of times that he thinks the team is basically incompetent.
I’m not sure he’d re-sign for any amount of money, but if he did it sure as hell wouldn’t be for a “hometown discount.”
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
I'd like to see some sources there
because everytime I remember him being frustrated it had to do with his injuries, which would make a lot of people lash out against anything they could. As far as I can tell he seems very happy with Oakland when he is healthy (which is rare, but if we are worrying about price when resigning him then he will most likely be healthy).
In the end though I think it is impossible to really know how Harden feels about Oakland.
Yes he has stated frustration with the Medical staff, but not with Oakland itself. Is it just
a coincidence, that with Larry Davis, away from the field, Harden and Crosby have been relatively healthy this year.
by theblackpearl on Jun 16, 2008 10:49 AM PDT up reply actions
not a coincidence
for sure…......that is what I remember Harden’s frustrations being over. The medical staff, not the team itself.
So Larry Davis was causing their injuries
but he was saving the elbows of the pitching staff?
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
No, It is the misdiagnosis, after the injuries, that has always been suspect
the picthing coach, and instructors, changing mechanics have more to do with the elbows.
by theblackpearl on Jun 16, 2008 11:25 AM PDT up reply actions
Remember when his sister got into the fight at the Sharks game?
Or anytime the A’s have broached turning him into a relief pitcher?
I’m sure my opinions are colored by my general distaste for him, but lets put it this way—can anyone ever remember him saying anything POSITIVE about playing here?
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
The difference is, Gaudin actually had a reason to be frustrated
which is that he was pitching well (and was fully healthy).
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
So, questioning one's ability as an athlete
and suggesting that they take a reduced role (reliver vs starter) wouldn’t be frustrating?
Have you seen that shaved head/facial hair combo?
Probably a douchebag.
President and CEO of the Ryan Sweeney Apologists Consortium
Those are the qualifiers?!
Where’d I put that razor?
Florida ain't no place for a self-respecting A's fan.
by Leopold Bloom on Jun 17, 2008 3:34 PM PDT up reply actions
Have the A's EVER broached
the idea of putting Harden in the pen? Fans have, reporters have, bloggers have, but I don’t think the A’s ever have except perhaps in the most general down-the-road-possibility kind of way. The A’s comments on the subject are mostly to shoot it down, and I don’t think they’re just humoring Harden – they value starters over relievers.
If memory serves...
... the subject was discussed with Rich seriously last year. I seem to remember an article on the A’s’ official site, and I also seem to remember that Rich was reluctant but ultimately willing to try it should that be the direction the team took.
President and CEO of the Ryan Sweeney Apologists Consortium
Harden's a Rental
If you consider Harden a “member” of the A’s, then you look to trade him. If you consider him a “rental,” some guy who will hopefully get you to the playoffs for two consecutive seasons, like a Frank Thomas, then you go out of your way to keep him. That’s why Beane kept Tejada, and that’s why Beane kept Giambi. The A’s are positioned right now to make a serious run for the playoffs this year (which obviously could change by late July) and are positioned for NEXT year for a serious run. Given that, you try to trade for a player like Harden, even if you know you’ll never keep him (i.e. Jermaine Dye, Johnny Damon, Ray Durham, etc).
Clearly, if the Mets want to give us David Wright and Jose Reyes, we take it. But the fact is that Harden’s injury history makes it clear that nobody is going to offer value for Harden because there IS no value for Harden. The risk of giving up a Hanley Ramirez or David Wright or a future Johann Santana is too great for any team to contemplate, given the injury history. And anything short of that hurts the chances that Oakland will get to the World Series this year or next.
I disagree with Blez. You keep Harden til the bitter end, and then let one of the wealthy teams bet their cash he stays healthy for the length of his next contract. But NO WAY do I trade him (because he’ll never give us value in a trade).
I am kind of aligned with this thinking
Any GM can make the same assessments we are making here. Obviously Harden is a gamble. We aren’t going to get Manny plus money for Manny’s salary for him….
"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer
by One won lost won on Jun 16, 2008 11:41 AM PDT up reply actions
I think it will go the way of Zito -
Keep him through his contract (through 2009), try to squeeze every good inning his arm has in it, let him walk, and watch him likely disappoint someone else. Now if Harden is injured soon or healthy later, the plan backfires. But I predict that will be the plan, unless Beane is offered something too good to pass up, which can always happen.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
I basically agree with this assessment
The most likely scenario in my mind is that the A’s don’t get a good enough offer, hang on to him, and then he departs as a free agent after 2009, hopefully (but probably not) providing a draft pick or two on the way out.
With that said, I thought Swisher was untouchable last offseason…
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
Sadly probably true
As I’ve said before, I think the A’s SHOULD do all they can, within reason, to hold on to Harden because you need someone like a healthy Harden to win a championship, and that kind of talent doesn’t come very often.
However, I do think that the LIKELY scenarios are, in order:
1) Harden continues to get injured a couple times a year and never has a significant career
2) Harden stays healthy and is traded (because at least one and usually two or more contending teams will always be desperate for a potential ace)
3) Harden walks at the end of his contract
4) Harden resigns with the A’s
It's tough when your kid's favorite ballplayer is David Ortiz
by eastcoasta'sfan on Jun 16, 2008 1:17 PM PDT up reply actions
It's more likely that Harden resigns with the A's
than that he re-signs with the A’s.
If you catch my drift.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
Very well put.
+1 to just about every word of this comment… and the “rental” bit is an interesting way to look at it.
I've stated this several times...
... but I don’t want to work right now, so I’ll state it again:
We as fans are letting recent history color our outlook too much.
I myself argued earlier this season (I believe after Harden hit the DL) when someone was strongly advocating dumping him that the A’s had little to lose by allowing him to make a start every 2 months or so and wait for a time in which his trade value was high enough to get something decent in return.
That time, it would seem, is now. Nearing the trade deadline, we are at that special time of year in which (some) GM’s throw caution to the wind in pursuit of that sweet, sweet promise of postseason play. Couple that with the fact that Beane seems to be able to squeeze value out of even the most bloated cadavers (Kendall and Kotsay come to mind), and you get what I consider to be one of the most exciting trade prospects the A’s have had in a while.
The cost/benefit seems to be this: keep a player this is occasionally brilliant but generally rehabbing and hope he can put together a magical run. Or—if a good trade opportunity comes along—turn him into 2-4 players that likely promise more consistent play and an even stronger foundation for the coming years.
Harden is making a run at enough consecutive starts to bring a decent return at just the right time. This is the kind of opportunity that I personally have been waiting for and, IMO, the A’s should seize.
President and CEO of the Ryan Sweeney Apologists Consortium
It's also perfectly possible that his health will allow him
to make starts the rest of the season – he has, occasionally, made 22-31 starts – and I think it’s fair to say that with Harden the A’s can compete this season but without him they really can’t. So if moving him means giving up on the current season and keeping him means being a contender “as long as he’s healthy,” I think it makes sense to keep him in order to be competitive now and to see how he looks, health-wise, for 2009.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
That's certainly a plausible way to go about things
I suppose I’m still in “Rebuilding Fan” mode. I’ve loved watching the A’s this season, and, to me, playing so well with a $47 million payroll is sweeter than Yoohoo. I’m still a little skeptical of the overall quality of the product, though, when put up against the best that the AL has to offer. Are the A’s legitimate contenders, or merely a competitive team? I tend to think toward the latter. I think they could very likely be instrumental in determining those teams in the postseason—just maybe not be among them.
I certainly hope I’m wrong, though, because this season has been a great ride. And it’s not even half over.
President and CEO of the Ryan Sweeney Apologists Consortium
I wonder how Wang's injury affects things
On one hand, right now the Yanks should be maximally desperate for an ace. OTOH, the Yanks just became a lot more beatable for the WC and personally I think they are still the #1 threat. If we are competing only with TB and Chicago, or Detroit, or Cleveland or Minnesota, we should have a legitimate shot because the Rays are awfully inexperienced, the White Sox and Twins are certainly flawed, and we have a substantial jump on the Tigers and Indians.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
I don't think the Yankees will try hard for Harden.
Talk radio is predicting the Yankees will try to get Sabathia. But…I think that they will try to sign David Wells. He can chew up some innings and buy some time until Hughes and Kennedy can get healthy. It’s little risk …if he sucks they cut him loose and try something else.
One way to look at the 08 A's is that they
have the potential (with Harden) to be a cinderella story a la the 08 Marlins
http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/FLA/2003.shtml
that team was so horrible to start the year, but they got hot, whereas we were never expected to be good, and we came out of the gate hot. If we can keep it up then that’s the hope, right?
Cust’s stat line will likely end up like D. Lee’s (although not quite as good)
the only glaring difference in offense is maybe Lowell (Chavvy will definitely not match those numbers.)
As for pitching goes, B. Penny’s stats that year are similar to Big Joe’s career (except this year)
Duch’s line, if he stays healthy, could end up looking like Redman’s
and between Smith, Eveland, Gaudin/Braden/whoever else may end up starting later this year, we could reasonably get similar performance that stacks up to D-train/Pavano’s numbers.
We could hope for playoff dominance from Harden that resembles Josh Beckett’s awesomeness that year.
Waa Lah! your 08 World Series Champs.
Feel free to totally attack me with a barrage of why I’m crazy, as this was an off-the-cuff, early AM rant, with minimal research. But to me it seems like a POSSIBLE comparison.
witty remark
The only problem with this scenario
is that the Marlins made the playoffs in a bad NL while the A’s of this year have to make it in the AL. It’s close to impossible to win the wild card in the AL unless you wear Yankees or Red Sox jerseys.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
This comment is interesting, PT, in light of
the front-page analysis I just posted – which I wrote and posted before seeing this comment. See what you think.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
It's not totally crazy
I’m just not 100% behind the idea of pursuing Cinderella status when the safer (though much less exciting short-term) route would be to keep reloading so’s we could beat the brains out of other teams instead of squeaking by them.
President and CEO of the Ryan Sweeney Apologists Consortium
Still...too early
No one in baseball knows his worth cuz no one wants him now. When and only when a contending team needs to roll the dice with a guy like harden will beane or any of us see what someone is willing to give up for him. Until then, the tirekickers will keep rolling along because we all know beane won’t give him up for anything less than a fortune.
I say keep him. But as we know beane, doesn’t matter how terrific the talent, any one can be dealt, if and only if the return is what BEANE wants. And that value judgement from beane, i have full trust in.
I’ll watch harden for the rest of his career, he’s a great pitcher to watch and i wish he would stay an A forever, i don’t see it happening. The better he gets, the greater the chance he gets dealt for a larger return
by TheGreenGoldCrush on Jun 16, 2008 1:53 PM PDT reply actions
From the bigger perspective
yes. I’m sure that the RIGHT thing to do is for Beane to pull the trigger on an unbelieveable package.
But can’t help but hope that that package doesn’t come by so that we can keep watching Harden pitch for green and gold, EVEN IF ITS 15 starts a season. The dude is amazing when he pitches.
Totally agree
If by some miracle he stays with the A’s i would be enthralled. I too love watching him pitch. We are all used to watching fan fav. players leave, but Harden is one of those rare ones i would like to see stay in Green n Gold. I just realistically don’t trust that beane will feel the same. He’ll trade him if it will better the team.
But who knows, maybe he does stay around with the perfect trade circumstances not being presented and he gets a new contract. I don’t see it happening but would love it if it did.
I guess i’m trying to manage my expectations, so i don’t get let down if he does end up getting traded.
by TheGreenGoldCrush on Jun 17, 2008 8:34 AM PDT up reply actions
uclan: Roger Daltrey called.
He’ll front you an “imminent,” if you’ll give back his “eminence.”

The meaning of life is not so much 'found,' as it is 'made.' --Opus
Gammons: Harden Could be the Big Prize
Whatever you say Peter.
RIVER CATS: AAA CHAMPS!
love this comment!
“And I saw him throw a 91 MPH changeup once and have the hitter out on his front foot. He was pumping 100 MPH gas at the time. My jaw rested on the floor.”
Can it be put any other way????????
Sick, people!!!!!
Which one of his four starts last year was that?
President and CEO of the Ryan Sweeney Apologists Consortium
The reason we should keep Harden
Is that we will never receive the true value for him because of his injury history. He is undervalued because of that. When he’s healthy, he is a dominant ace, and probably the top starter in the AL. Who could we get in return that would even come close to that? He is the one pitcher on our team that during playoff time can change the entire outlook of a series. I firmly believe that any player we receive in return will be inferior in talent to Harden, and if there is one thing we are lacking on this team, it’s a superstar.
Ultimately, to win in postseason play, a team needs at least one dominant starter. Harden is that guy, and there is nothing in a trade that could help us more in the 2008 and/or 2009 postseason than Rich Harden.
Prince: This bores me. Is anyone up for a game of basketball?
I don't understand the whole true value thing.
There’s several different factors involved in rating a players worth and right at the top is durability. Really, how much was he worth last year? How much is he worth wearing a gown in Dr. Yukom’s office?
You just proved my point
That is exactly how other teams see Harden. He is a worth a lot to us because when he is healthy, he is dominant. While we are taking a risk on his injury history, other teams are probably more leery than we are. He would receive nothing notable in a trade. I’d take the chance on a healthy Harden rather than acquiring a couple of borderline fringe major league starters any day.
Prince: This bores me. Is anyone up for a game of basketball?
Wasn't all that dominant in 2006 ALCS
I know, I know, unfair comparison since he was just getting his body back together after exploding earlier in the season.
But still… what’s more likely to expect: that he hits the postseason firing on all cylinders, or that he isn’t too far removed from his last DL stint?
President and CEO of the Ryan Sweeney Apologists Consortium
But that's not the question here
The question is whether he should be traded. And I said no because he won’t receive good value in return. Other teams don’t value him highly because of his injury history. Taking a chance on Harden seems like the more logical thing to do here rather than trading for some average major league arms. We have plenty of pitching already, but no aces. Nothing Harden would get in return would give us an upgrade at any position or at starting pitcher. Depth is not our problem.
Prince: This bores me. Is anyone up for a game of basketball?
I agree we don't need arms
We might could use an upgrade over some position players. This debate, unfortunately, is largely predicated on what kind of offer Billy is getting or is going to get, which we likely won’t be privy to.
I also struggle with how to quantify Harden’s value. Sure, he’s nasty as you please, maybe the best combo of pure stuff and control in the game. But it also took him 3 years to make 1 season’s worth of starts. That translated to a lot of starts from a rotating cast of dudes I’d rather not see again in the green and gold, and it cost the team a lot of W’s that might otherwise have come from a dependable, consistent #2, #3, etc.
I’m just saying the issue isn’t open-and-shut one way or the other.
President and CEO of the Ryan Sweeney Apologists Consortium
Bait & Switch
I’m still waiting for Beane to pull the old bait and switch with Harden and Blanton. I’d love for him to reel-in the Yankees, or Cubs, or Cardinals with talks for Harden in return for several top prospects, but ultimately get them to settle for Blanton for a percieved slightly less-valuable prospect package, but a package in the Mulder-mold: three solid prospects from a pretty good system.
I think if Beane did that, everyone would be happy.
What better time to dangle Blanton to the Yankees
than right now, when Wang is out for a couple months. Blanton could do really well backed by their lineup.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
if he was healthy, would the Yanks dangle Wang?
If we can’t fix the stupid, can we at least beat them senseless? @('.')@
Blanton would a perfect fit for the Yanks.
Especially with their injury issues. The Yanks’ offense will score runs and since their bullpen is not particularly strong, they need someone to eat as many innings as possible. Not that it matters to them, but he’s cheap. He’s probably a better fit for them than Harden, when you really think about it, in terms of team-control and durability.
The problem is I'm not sure there's a good fit
in return – they have a couple prospects too good to get for Blanton and a lot of crap. While we need either a very promising right-handed hitting corner OFer or a major-league ready pitching prospect of Blanton-Smith-Eveland caliber. Maybe given the state of their bullpen, they’d be interested in Blanton and Street, for…?
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
I just checked...
BA’s Top 10 Yankees Prospect List & Sickles’ pre-season list and you’re basically right. I’d be mildly interested in Ian Kennedy if he were healthy or close to healthy, since he’s basically a younger, cheaper Blanton. Jeff Marquez is a Bay Area native and has a very effective sinker, but his K-rate is crap. Alan Horne? meh?
No way they give up Action Jackson, Tabata, Joba or probably even Montero or Brackman for Blanton straight-up. A Blanton and Street package could probably net one of those guys though. Hopefully it wouldn’t come to that…
Maybe it's my gut talking,
but I don’t want Ian Kennedy. I just don’t think he’s all that good.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Agreed
Below average major league stuff and just way too hittable. He doesn’t have an out pitch or anything remotely dominant. Kennedy doesn’t look like a major league starter at this point.
Prince: This bores me. Is anyone up for a game of basketball?
4 out of 5 Red Sox fans agree
A pitcher like Blanton with the Yankees’ matador defense? I don’t see how that’s a perfect fit. Sure, the Yankees will score some runs for him but how many more will Joe give up?
It’s grounded towards the hole…. and it’s through for another base hit. One run is in. Two runs are in. Damon’s four-hop lollipop to second holds Hinske to a single but the Rays have runners on first and third and still nobody out.
Root for the Giants? Not even if they're playing al-Qaeda!
I don't know, Taj
If you were sent out to shop for a Harden, would you dare come back home with a Blanton in your bag? It’s like your kids ask for an Xbox, but you figure some very functional school clothes from Wal-Mart would really be a better buy. Boooooorrrrring!
Interesting analogy.
I’m mainly just thinking out loud for ways that we get more good prospects into the system while keeping Harden in the fold and theoretically competing while rebuilding. So I’m basically hoping that one of the big money teams with a few decent prospects (Yankees, Cards, Cubs) get desperate enough for durable starting pitching that they would offer up a pretty good prospect package for the stability of a Blanton, after failing to pony up the entire farm for a Harden.
It's more like your kids ask for a comment from Xbox,
and you give them a comment from salb918.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
I laughed for quite a while at this
But it’s because I’ve been drinking, not because you were funny.
I know, I figured - after all,
you made “The List” and I didn’t.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
if we’d only get back one top prospect for harden, as some sportswriters have said, i’d much rather keep him.
A's v Giants "is kind of like the difference between going to see the Ramones and going to see the Bee Gees. A's fans will go see the Ramones." -BB 07/27/05
As always, it's unclear what they mean by "top prospect"
If by that they mean Colby Rasmus, sign me up. If they mean Ian Kennedy, not a chance.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
I am amazed by how little it takes
to be thought of as a douchebag. Do we even need reasons to call someone a douchebag anymore?
So it goes.
{rolls eyes}
Douchebag.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
“Douchebag” was introduced to AN on 12/10/04, by ohad.
Usage remained steady and innocuous for two years after that momentous day, then spiked inexplicably in 2007. It has gathered steam recently, though 2008 levels remain low compared to last year.
2005: 45 total
2006: 45 total
2007: 72 total
2008: 29 total
[cue inappropriate geopolitical analogy from monkeyball]
by 74mk on Jun 16, 2008 7:07 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Wow, they really DO have stats for everything.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
I am now inspired to say "doucebag"
everyday on AN.
"You know, a long time ago being crazy meant something. Nowadays everybody's crazy."
-Charles Manson
by kaweahkaweah on Jun 17, 2008 9:21 AM PDT up reply actions
Cut loose like a deuce
"May a nit suck Cajun geese?" wonders Red. No, we see gnu Jack Cust in a yam.
"She's my little douche coupe..."
"You know, a long time ago being crazy meant something. Nowadays everybody's crazy."
-Charles Manson
by kaweahkaweah on Jun 17, 2008 10:27 AM PDT up reply actions
LOL!
"You know, a long time ago being crazy meant something. Nowadays everybody's crazy."
-Charles Manson
by kaweahkaweah on Jun 17, 2008 10:41 AM PDT up reply actions
Okay, so who started posting profusely last year?
And do they employ the term, or inspire its use?
The meaning of life is not so much 'found,' as it is 'made.' --Opus
by The Dogfather on Jun 17, 2008 10:12 AM PDT up reply actions
You have to use rate douchebag stats, not counting douchebag stats.
If one looks at AN’s “bagging average” (days/douchebags), AN hit an all-time high of .197 last year. We’re still douching at a .175 clip this year, well above our average early in our career, and still a positive trend given the small sample size (and lack of Esteban Loaiza, a key contributor).
Blez really should have kept us in the blog minors until mid-2007, as he’d have two more years of arbitration eligibility, and could have prevented super-two status. Now, he’s looking at some expensive douchebags.
So it goes.
The more that I think about it
even though your graph is more meaningful than your table, isn’t there a better metric out there, that can adjust for Esteban Loaiza, Mike Scioscia, and the number of times the Yankees and/or Red Sox come to town? dQA, maybe?
So it goes.
Loaiza - good call.
That spike is not so inexplicable after all.
The chart is per day douchebag invocation – you think I wouldn’t know to use rate stats after reading AN for so long? C’mon. A little credit, please.
But shouldn't it really be looked at
in terms of douchebag invocation to overall comments?
The rate of overall comments has gone up, so the douchebagginess may in reality be declining.
Now as to why overall comment rate is changing-I’ll leave that to brighter people to figure out, but I have my theories (comment growth hormone, etc)
"Camelot sure fell apart, didn't it?"-Steve McCatty
ohad the pioneer
But did you search for “douche bag” as well as “douchebag”? I would hate for your brilliant research program to be derailed by some elementary design flaw.
The real metric here is VORD
(Value Over Replacement Douchebag), and the key name in all of this: Garrett Anderson
"wither fair monkeyball?" ~fsu
don't forget about
A's v Giants "is kind of like the difference between going to see the Ramones and going to see the Bee Gees. A's fans will go see the Ramones." -BB 07/27/05
Can't help but notice most of the hits from that search
are from you!
i try to use d-bag because this is a family site.
A's v Giants "is kind of like the difference between going to see the Ramones and going to see the Bee Gees. A's fans will go see the Ramones." -BB 07/27/05
speaking of which, what ever happened to the diary about language that
was up a few days ago? Did the author delete it, or did it digress, and get removed by the moderators.
by theblackpearl on Jun 17, 2008 10:03 AM PDT up reply actions
no idea
i was actually planning on posting in there, and then it disappeared.
A's v Giants "is kind of like the difference between going to see the Ramones and going to see the Bee Gees. A's fans will go see the Ramones." -BB 07/27/05
Had to be the user who deleted his/her own fanpost -
There’s no way a moderator would have deleted it.
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
There’s no f%$#ing way a moderator would have deleted it.
If we can’t fix the stupid, can we at least beat them senseless? @('.')@
D**chebag
I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal
Easy.
When someone you’re related to gets in an altercation that you really had no part in at an NHL game, you instantly become a douchebag.
Grow a goatee? You’re a douchebag. (Partial credit for half-beards.)
Balk at the idea of a demotion because of circumstances you couldn’t control? You’re a douchebag.
Come from Canada? You’re not only a douchebag, but probably a communist too.
Given this “logic,” James Richard Harden is, absolutely and unambiguously, a bag.
"Looks like you brought two too many."
You've been reading hotgirlswithdouchebags.com lately, too, haven't you?
All he needs to really seal the deal is get tribal tattoos to cover his arms in sleeve-like fashion.
President and CEO of the Ryan Sweeney Apologists Consortium
No
"You know, a long time ago being crazy meant something. Nowadays everybody's crazy."
-Charles Manson
by kaweahkaweah on Jun 17, 2008 9:20 AM PDT up reply actions
Keep Harden at least for this year
I think Harden’s a keeper, for this year at least, and I’d love to sign him if he stays healthy the remainder of the season. He’s SO much fun to watch pitch, and there is this swagger and demeanor on the mound that I dig.
I’ve also met him several times out here in Chicago – he was the first one to sign the ball I brought (along with Zito and Street) a couple years ago, and then rapped momentarily at the bar where the A’s stay earlier this year. He’s always been very pleasant, approachable, and genuinely seems like a nice guy. I’d hate to see him go cuz’ I like to watch him go!
And for what it’s worth, I really like Gaudin, and it bums me out that he’s not starting, and, it’s out in the media now. I don’t know what you do for the starting issues; the pieces from trades are pitching really well, adn they’re not going anywhere. Wonder what Gaudin gets in a trade, though here again, wouldn’t like to see him traded. The media part of it’s a bummer, and I’m sure that’s caused some issues – too bad. Feel for the guy. Gamer. Comes back quickly from surgery, and performs.
Mike "lego my" Gallego
What the hell?
you witnessed Rich Harden rapping in a bar???
HAHA
That would be amazing to see.
witty remark
WHAT!?! He what!!!?!!!
He raps? Please explain this.
oAkLaNd AtHlEtIcS!!
It's only Spring Clean for the May Queen. Call the Gardener!
by LiZaRdReVoLuTiOn on Jun 17, 2008 7:54 AM PDT up reply actions
My assumption is rap=talks
not rap= “I’m James Richard from outer space, and I came to strike out the human race”
"Camelot sure fell apart, didn't it?"-Steve McCatty
Okay good! For a moment there I was embarrassed for Harden, lol!!
oAkLaNd AtHlEtIcS!!
It's only Spring Clean for the May Queen. Call the Gardener!
by LiZaRdReVoLuTiOn on Jun 17, 2008 10:14 AM PDT up reply actions
Don't sign Weeks. Get #13 pick next year
Save our money by not signing Weeks and put that money towards signing Iona! Plus we’ll get the 13th pick in the draft next year which hopefully will be a stronger class!
I think that everyone on this board
Is just sick of getting our hearts broken. No one here in their right mind would even talk about trading Harden if he was not deemed injury proned. I think people just want to see him moved before he goes down with another injury. Its now a waiting game for us. We don’t talk about the positives we cling on to “When’s he gonna go down again?”. Even if he doesn’t ever land on the DL again this will follow him as long as he wears an A’s uniform. I think everyone wants him to be healthy, I just don’t see much optimism here and the uncertinty that will contantly following him. I’m against trading him for anything less than 2-3 top prospects else it is not worth moving him.
by AthleticsReign on Jun 16, 2008 10:05 PM PDT reply actions
Again
42 starts, 7 injuries.
Where exactly is the grounds for “optimism” here? The guy has the resiliency of a Ming vase.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
correction
A ming vase at the running of the bulls festival
by TheGreenGoldCrush on Jun 17, 2008 8:40 AM PDT up reply actions
and sometimes they're merciless

The meaning of life is not so much 'found,' as it is 'made.' --Opus
by The Dogfather on Jun 17, 2008 10:16 AM PDT up reply actions
FLASH!
AH-AH!
Florida ain't no place for a self-respecting A's fan.
by Leopold Bloom on Jun 17, 2008 3:35 PM PDT up reply actions
"Reign" on me!
I’m in the ever shrinking “Keep Harden In Oakland” club with you my friend….......... such is life.
“Go A’s!”
has there ever been another player
that has been so good but hurt so much early in their career? And then went on to have a great career? just wondering. if not, maybe he should be traded (for the right price). as much as I like watching him pitch.
You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}
Why trade him
if there’s a chance to make history by having the first one to have a great career after injuries.
Making history would be pretty historic.
Porcello
There is nooo way that Dombrowski will follow in the footsteps of Bavasi and unload every minor league asset he has for Harden. He set the team back by trading Maybin and Miller to Florida and traded away a good ss prospect in Gorkys Hernandez in the Renteria deal. Detroit will stick with what they have. Nomajor prospects will be given up. Perhaps a Raburn for Foulke deal, but definitly no Porcello.
Gorkys is a CF.
ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524
Porcello is the only asset they have in the farm
and they just pretty much punted on their draft by taking all relief pitchers, so there’s no help coming.
Might as well cash in the one asset they have for something good.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

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