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Was Picking Up Frank Thomas a Mistake?

I know, I know, people hate it when there is premature speculation (isn't there a pill for that these days?).  But I'm wondering if the A's might've made a mistake in picking up Frank Thomas.  The reason?  I'm thinking that Mike Sweeney is just a better hitter right now and Thomas' presence has put Sweeney on the bench.  Not only that, but perhaps Barry Bonds would've been the better fit because he can probably still play left field whereas Frank Thomas has no business being anywhere close to a glove.

Now before you all lash out at me, I understand that Bonds would've cost a lot more money and if all the media reports about Bonds are to be believed, he wouldn't have added much positive energy to the clubhouse.  Bonds also would've created a similar situation that the A's have now with Cust, Sweeney, Barton and Thomas.  They essentially have four designated hitters and two of them need to be in the field every night and one of them rides the pine.

If you look at their stats, Sweeney has been the better hitter this year.  I think one of the major reasons Beane picked up Thomas was his plucky young A's weren't getting pop from anywhere and if Thomas has proven anything throughout his career, it's that the guy knows how to slug with the best in baseball.  The problem is that he hasn't been slugging at all for the A's.  He only has four extra base hits in 60 ABs and none of them have left the park.  The chances are that this is probably a small sample size, but I'm wondering if Thomas is a better hitter overall at this stage in his career.  Both Sweeney and Thomas are .300 hitters for their careers.  Yet Thomas is going to be 40 on May 27th.  Sweeney turns 35 in July. 

Thomas may be a statistical aberration and not be declining as he hits his big 4-0 a la Bonds, but for how good he was with Toronto last season, he wasn't anywhere near as good as 2006 with Oakland.

Don't get me wrong.  I don't blame Beane and company for taking a chance on a hitter with the credentials of Bonds.  Hell, I even advocated for Thomas when he was sitting out there.  But I just can't help but think that Mike Sweeney should be in the lineup every night unless he's injured (which might not take long given his past history).  The other option would be to possibly send Daric Barton down and let Sweeney play first every day.  The problem with that is that you're asking for an injury to Sweeney by taking that approach.  I also think that Barton's growth could be getting stunted by not having him out there every night.

Beane has told me several times that you can never have too many good players, but the truth is that I don't think the A's are getting the best out of what they have because they have too many players who probably should be a DH.  And you just know that Thomas is rarely, if ever, going to wind up sitting out because of the way he exited Toronto. 

Although the issue will arise this upcoming weekend when the A's head into Atlanta.  They're going to lose Thomas' bat all weekend without the DH.

Course this all goes away and I look like a fool if Thomas just starts hitting homers and doubles with regularity.  And quite frankly, I'm hoping he makes me look like a fool.

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Picking him up was not a mistake

Keeping him, at some point, might develop into one. I don’t think the A’s have reached that point yet.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 13, 2008 11:07 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

that's the way I feel...

If I were Geren, I’d be playing Thomas everyday at DH, Good Sweeney everyday at 1st base, and Cust everyday in LF. Barton can sit until he proves he can hit major league pitching.

As for age…

Yet Thomas is going to be 40 on May 27th. Sweeney turns 35 in July.

Bonds is 43 (not sure when he turns 44). Much of his late career power was, undoubtedly, generated by PED’s he can no longer take. They’ll be watching him like a hawk and will probably immediately institute a HGH testing program the moment he signs a contract, the union be damned.

And, he’s now been reindicted on 14 counts of perjury and 1 count of obstruction. Can you say distraction?

I’ll keep Frank until the weather gets warmer, thank you.

Foolsh, the most insane regular poster on AN since oaktoon left - salb

by FoolshGame22 on May 14, 2008 12:02 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Given the choice between cutting Thomas and benching Barton...

Thomas would be out of here faster than you can say “unconditional release waivers.”

That’s a completely wrongheaded idea.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 8:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm the biggest Frank Thomas fan here

But I agree 100%

http://bocropleasestopswingingatbadpitches.blogspot.com/

by thejd44 on May 14, 2008 8:23 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

I’d give him at least until the end of the month. IF he hasn’t shown his power, etc. by then, then you can consider flip flopping positions with Sweeney. It’s too early right now.

In search of a new signature. Say something funny and you may see your comment here!

by DMOAS on May 14, 2008 11:34 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed.

As a side note: Beane is famous for maximizing the “undervalued commodity”. Sometimes I wonder if the current “undervalued commodity” is gimpy no-field 1B/DHs, and that’s why the team has so many? I’d like to see a bit more balance on the roster. I’m sure they’re all great guys, and valuable in their own way, but I keep thinking something’s gotta give.

- Roughly defined as Cust, Thomas, MSweeney, etc., and maybe even to some extent Barton.

Some read stats. Others actually watch the game.

by UncleLeo on May 14, 2008 9:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I love Hurt...

but I think you may be right. If they let MSweeney hit regularly I think he might really get in the groove. I know Hurt is a slow starter but Sweeney is definitely the better hitter right now IMO.

by IM4Oakgal on May 13, 2008 11:09 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

blez

i think you mean “i wonder if sweeney is a better hitter at this point” not thomas

good article though

"It's not my fault your team's so shitty." -Steve Friend, head coach, Chabot College, to Laney College's head coach, who asked why we scored so many runs after we beat Laney 30-3 in 2006

by flipgatey3 on May 13, 2008 11:12 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

MSweeney is too much of an injury risk to play every day, even as a DH.

4 days a week is plenty of playing time for him IMO.

Frank may be declining, but he’s gotten off to very slow starts the last 2 seasons and he’s heated up each time. I don’t think it’s been long enough to throw in the towel on him yet, but at the same time I have a feeling that Beane may have brought him back with the understanding that he’s got 6 weeks (or some set amount of time) to start hitting the ball with the A’s before he’s given his walking papers.

by mikev on May 13, 2008 11:25 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Frank's gotten off to slow starts forever

April is his worst month for BA, OBP, and SLG. I know we’re into mid-May now, but it’s not like he has played consistently from opening day. He was benched in Toronto, had almost a week without a team, etc.

He looks like typical struggling Frank, which I think is a good thing. Two weeks ago people were saying similar things about Cust, who has much less of a track record of success (and it was silly to worry so much about him, too).

http://bocropleasestopswingingatbadpitches.blogspot.com/

by thejd44 on May 14, 2008 8:31 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I like your second option Blez

.237/.342/.348, good for a .690 OPS. That’s Barton’s line thus far. It’s also not far from the unpopular prediction I made for him in the offseason.

At this point in his career, he’s not yet a viable full-time option at first base or DH for a team in playoff contention. It’s hard to swallow a sub .700 OPS combined with less-than-elite defense out of your first baseman.

What seals the argument is the fact that, right now, his backup is a better player. Sweeney has earned the right to play every day with his performance – .322/.381/.448, and an .830 OPS.

As for Thomas, he had gotten on base at a .391 clip entering tonight’s game since joining the A’s. I think it’s too early to give up on him. At that OBP, he has good value even without power.

On a non-statistical note, I think it’s valuable for these young guys to see two veterans who’ve had terrific careers and made over $60 million each in their careers now busting their butts for the league minimum. I think that can have a positive long-term ripple effect on teaching Barton/Suzuki/R. Sweeney/Buck/et al how to carve out terrific careers for themselves and make good decisions. You know, like, not having your iPod in your ear during autograph sessions at team promotional events. :)

For the Barton lovers who hated the idea in the offseason and hate demotion talk now, please consider this thought:
It turns out that OPSing .827 over a full season in the PCL really does indicate that you’re not ready to OPS .750 or better in the bigs, which every first baseman should do. A small victory for Minor League Equivalencies!

Barton is 22. He’s going to get better. I like him as a player and I think he has a great swing. But right now he clearly has not been critical to the team’s success, as evidenced by two facts: a.) His stats are below league-average for his position, and b.) His backup has outplayed him.

So again I come back to the unavoidable point: Now that we know that he’s not critical to the team’s success (at least as long as Sweeney is healthy and able to play first), why not wait until he is ready to hit at level that justifies starting him (say, an .800 OPS)?

If Barton gets sent down now, and stays there for merely a month at least, it accomplishes so many things:
a.) it eases the 25-man roster crunch, which only figures to grow if and when Chavez is ready to play, which could happen by the end of this month.
b.) It enables the A’s to put their best offensive lineup on the field, which undeniably includes Cust, Sweeney, and Thomas right now.
c. It preserves Barton’s service time, which would lead to an extra year of contractual control over him for the A’s. Would you rather have Barton’s age 22, .690-720 OPS season now, when his backup is better…or would you rather have his age 28 season when he’s a fearsome slugger? Think about how nice it would’ve been to have just one more year of Giambi or Tejada before they were free agents.

A lot of people around here hate that service time and money enter the equation. But that’s why I mentioned it last – it’s not the most important issue, but it is a factor to consider. If Barton were hitting well, it wouldn’t be an issue. But the fact that he isn’t, that it makes wonderful financial sense, and especially the fact that his backup is out-playing him all make it a slam dunk to me.

by notsellingjeans on May 14, 2008 12:01 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

I pretty much agree

I will generally favor a younger player over an older one, but as Barton produces at a replacement level while Sweeney sits on the bench with an .830 OPS, it becomes hard to justify playing Barton while the A’s are in contention for a playoff spot. Barton is still a player that is young and full of upside, but the reality is that Barton was good but not great at AAA for two seasons, and Barton has a lot left to prove at this point before he is annointed as a guy who can’t be temporarily replaced by a veteran who is currently outplaying him.

by BlameChannel53 on May 14, 2008 12:38 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Focusing too much on recent performance is

the king for frequent mistakes.

The A's colors are green and gold.

by mikeA on May 14, 2008 11:03 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

re

Next two weeks are critical for Barton. Hannahan has a .400 OBP. When Chavez gets back, it would not surprise me to see Hannahan take Barton’s half of the 1B platoon. The Coliseum is so horrible to hit in, I think it would surprise most on this site that Hannahan has a 123 ops+. How do they bench that?

Big Frank is 115 ops+ since joining the A’s, btw.

by 31Boots on May 14, 2008 12:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

what does Bad Sweeney have?

Just curious? My personal opinion is that Billy’s man-crush may be justified. Sorry, Nico. It’s just a feeling… like Tampa Bay winning the AL East.

Foolsh, the most insane regular poster on AN since oaktoon left - salb

by FoolshGame22 on May 14, 2008 12:51 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

re

It’s not updated, and he had two singles tonight. He’s close to 100. So is Barton, ftr.

BBRef’s park factors are always a little bit goofy, but they have the Coliseum as playing like Petco this year.

by 31Boots on May 14, 2008 12:55 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

We're also getting sub-700 OPS production from C, 2B, SS, and CF

and everybody’s favorite RBI machine is teetering on the brink of that mark, as well.

If people are going to point at the start of this season and say Barton isn’t ready for MLB, I’m going to point to his 1.000 OPS during his callup last September and say that he is ready.

by mikev on May 14, 2008 8:02 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

How well are our back-up C, 2B, SS, and CF playing?

Sweeney is hitting a lot better than Barton right now, period. Maybe Sweeney is getting lucky, maybe he’s hot, maybe he’s performing at his true talent level. Either way if the A’s want to win now, and why shouldn’t they then signed Frank, then Sweeney needs to play over Barton, whether Barton is MLB ready or not is a mute point as he’s getting vastly outperformed by his back-up. And seeing how Barton is so young it wouldn’t do him any good to ride the pine so call demotion to AAA should be in order.

Believe me, if we disagree it is you that is wrong.

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 8:44 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm very glad you're not the GM

I’ll say it again – I very much doubt that Mike Sweeney’s body is capable of playing on a daily basis. There’s a reason he’s hitting well now, and it’s because he is healthy. In case you didn’t know, the past 2 seasons he has played in 74 and 60 games because he’s been injured.

If he can keep going at his current rate and play 100-120 games, that’s about the most that can be expected from him.

by mikev on May 14, 2008 8:50 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So if Sweeney gets hurt then Barton gets the call up.

When Chavez comes back I’d rather have Hannahan spelling Chavez at 3rd and Sweeney at 1st then have Barton in the lineup if he continues to hit like he currently is.

Want me to punchasize your face, for free? - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 9:05 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hannahan is the last guy that should be benched right now.

That said, why would you want to play Sweeney every day until he gets hurt as opposed to playing him 4 days a week for the entire season? That doesn’t make any sense.

by mikev on May 14, 2008 9:34 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ok when Chavez returns Hannahan plays 1st

and Sweeney gets the occasional start. Barton is doing little to help this team win right now.

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 9:35 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No more than Suzuki, Ellis, Crosby, RSweeney, Davis, etc

Pretty much the entire team not named Cust, Mike Sweeney, or Hannahan is hitting the ball like crap right now.

Why do you keep singling out Barton?

by mikev on May 14, 2008 9:37 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Because he has a replacement

Are we going to play Hannahan at C, SS, CF? Probably not. Could Ellis use time in AAA? No. Could Barton? Probably.

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 9:47 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Barton hit .293/.389/.438 in a full season at AAA last year

Why would you make him repeat that when he’s clearly got nothing to gain by going back down to Sacramento?

He needs to be challenged by MLB caliber pitching, and he needs longer than 6 weeks to prove that he isn’t capable, especially considering that he did what he did during his callup last year.

by mikev on May 14, 2008 10:04 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Because the A's are in the playoff race

If they were sucking like Seattle it’d be a different story but they’re not. I know it’s early but Barton isn’t doing anything to help the team win now. He’ll have until Chavez returns and then the A’s will have some decisions to make.

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 10:19 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

They're in the playoff race with Barton, RSween, Ellis, Crosby, Suzuki, and Brown

basically doing nothing at the plate.

Imagine how they’ll do once they all start hitting. Well, maybe not Brown. :-X

by mikev on May 14, 2008 10:24 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is what I mean

when I say I think the offense will improve.

Still don’t think the pitching is sustainable though.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 10:35 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Barton usually slumps

during this time of year and usually comes out of it towards the end of May. Recall last June when he hit over 500?

by bsbllvr on May 17, 2008 5:32 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You may be right about this, actually

but the A’s don’t tend to send down position players who aren’t abjectly sucking pond water.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 9:14 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think it's pretty much a tossup

as to who will put up better numbers the rest of the season between Barton and Sweeney. Barton’s BA will improve from what it is now, Sweeney’s BA will undoubtedly decline. Barton is likely to put up a better OBP than Sweeney, while Sweeney will have a scosh more power. Barton’s D is somewhat better, I think. From the standpoint of next year, I’d rather that Barton see a full year of major league pitching.

Barton is slumping, Sweeney is hitting great: not enough of this has happened to make us assume that Sweeney is very much if at all better. Barton started slow last year and the year before. Sweeney hasn’t hit this well since 2005.

The A's colors are green and gold.

by mikeA on May 14, 2008 9:37 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Theres no quick fix for this

offense. We simply dont have many good “hitters”. Sure we got guys who get on base. And we have been lucky to drive them him at such a high rate. What this team needs is “Hitters”, not “Walkers”.

When will then be now? Soon.

by Syphon on May 14, 2008 12:22 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree with you Syphon

alot of people said that they didnt like CarGon as the center piece of the haren trade because he was not an A’s type player. This is exactly why I like Cargon, he is a guy in the middle of the lineup that will be looking to drive the ball

by asfaninpismobeach on May 14, 2008 11:19 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Another reason to play Sweeney over Barton

Sweeney rarely strikes out and is always looking to drive the ball.

by ChadGod on May 14, 2008 12:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You can want to not strike out all you want..

but that aint gonna make you hit that ball. You have to actually “Do” and not “Want”.

When will then be now? Soon.

by Syphon on May 14, 2008 12:52 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm trying to figure out what the opposite of "looking to drive the ball" is

If not “looking to strike out, what is it? “Looking to make gimpy slap contact”?

The guy hit .300 last season. Most people do not do that by means other than “looking to drive the ball.”

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 12:59 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Im not saying hes not looking to drive the ball..

Im saying hes NOT driving the ball. Which is worse IMO.

When will then be now? Soon.

by Syphon on May 14, 2008 1:03 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He seems to be just off pitches, the same as Frank, it might be a

mechanical flaw, or it might be his hand, and like all A’s players he is too stubborn to tell someone it is still bothering him.

by theblackpearl on May 14, 2008 1:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Want my completely unproven consipiracy theory?

Here it is: Barton is very full of himself and is “big leagueing” it.

I think he just assumes that he’s going to do well, and that he maybe isn’t taking it seriously enough.

I don’t know why, but all the times that I’ve seen Barton interviewed or heard him interviewed he just gives off the “I think I’m a badass” vibe.

Hopefully being around Sweeney will help him figure things out or something.

by mikev on May 14, 2008 1:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If this is really true

then one would presume that getting sent down would be a wakeup call.

Yet you seemed to advocate against that play elsewhere on this thread.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 1:33 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, it's kind of a flip-floppy stance [/JohnKerry]

But I was advocating against sending him down based on giving Mike Sweeney the full time job, or based on Barton’s ability – he’s shown the ability to play at a high level in AAA, and he’s shown the ability to play in a (sample size alert) cup of coffee in the big leagues.

Sending him down in order to get the point across that he’s not a superstar and needs to continue to bust his ass to get better every day is a different scenario, though the end result (demotion) is the same.

by mikev on May 14, 2008 1:45 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not sure you'd want to convince him "that he's not a superstar"

Since we’re all hoping he is. I really doubt that this is a problem, especially since he doesn’t even have an everyday job. But, if it were, I’d rather him struggle in the big show and learn some humility than dominate the minors some more.

by Sacred#24 on May 14, 2008 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

are you sure your handle isn't markk?

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 1:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry, can't help you there.

I have no idea who that is.

by mikev on May 14, 2008 1:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Looking to walk?

I have no data to support anything but this might be one of the reasons Brown has as many RBI’s as he does. Basically, with a runner on second Brown is strickly looking for a hit, mean while Cust appears to be just as happy to draw a walk, which is fine and all but drawing a walk with men in scoring position rarely gets a run home. Sometimes you need aggresive hitters.

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 2:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

you never need (overly) aggressive hitters

Drawing a walk isn’t bad. Making outs is bad. Drawing a walk with runners in scoring position creates the opportunity to score more runs. More runners is good.

Brown has been very fortunate this year, but he has simply been fortunate. He’s not a .475 hitter, and you should expect some major regression.

by MrIncognito on May 14, 2008 2:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd take Vlad [in his prime] anyday

And he’s about as overly aggressive as a hitter can be. Don’t try to tell me that you never need overly aggressive hitters.

So what you’re telling me is that with two outs and a man on second your rather have your 3, 4, or 5 hitter draw a walk 40% than single 25% of time? It seems to me that there are certain situations when it’s better for a .277 hitter to swing away rather than take a walk.

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 2:49 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

you would be wrong

As Paul Thomas posted below, it’s better to have 5 shots at scoring with guys that hit .250 than 3 shots with guys hitting .333. Outs are bad, and the fewer outs we make the better.

I would rather have a hitter who gets a single 25% of the time and a walk 15% of the time than a hitter who gets a single 30% of the time. The 15% walks are worth a lot more than the 5% difference in singles.

Vlad is a great hitter, but if you take him in his prime over Thomas in his prime you are making a bad choice. It’s always better to take the on base percentage.

I’ll try explaining this one more way:

Brown gets more RBIs because he has a higher average, but he takes RBI chances away from the players behind him because he makes more outs. The value of those chances lost is greater than the gain in RBIs from his high batting average.

by MrIncognito on May 14, 2008 2:55 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Vlad over Thomas?

When did this debate start? I don’t know why anyone would argue against having either one on their team (during their prime).

Please obligue and tell me when that gap in additional walks and hits zeros out. Is singling 7% more equal to someone who walks 12% more? Wouldn’t these have to be adjusted for the decreasing ability of the batter following say, the guy who’s hitting 5th? To take the extreme NL example would you still want you’re #8 hitter getting a single 25% of the time and walking 15%? Or would you rather have him single 30% of the time. Honestly, I don’t know and am curious to find out as I get what your saying but there’s have to be a middle point and maybe that’s what I’m really looking to find out.

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 3:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

On average, a single is worth approximately 50% more than a walk

Depending on the base/out situation and the other hitters in your lineup, that will vary. For instance, they’re (pretty obviously) equal in value when the bases are empty and the hitters behind you are all average hitters. On the other hand, when its 2nd and 3rd with 2 outs, obviously a single is way more valuable.

So: a hitter who singles 25% of the time and walks 15% of the time is approximately equal to a hitter who singles 35% of the time and never walks.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 3:22 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks

Maybe my math is off, and this might come of as knit picking but I just want to make sure I get what you saying, but wouldn’t a hitter who singles 25% of the time also have to walk 20% of the time to be approximately equal to a hitter who singles 35% of the time and never walks?

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 3:39 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

50% more

Not 100% more.

3 walks = 2 singles. Roughly.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 4:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Damn, your right

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 6:20 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Linear Weights

If you look at linear weights statistics like EqA, they take the run values of any given outcome and add them up. You can also get batting runs from baseballreference.com that use a similar method. That’s why they’re the ‘preferred’ offensive statistic – they’re extremely precise in measuring a hitter’s contribution. They also have a pretty nice stats called “Offensive Winning Percentage,” which is the winning percentage a lineup of 9 players with the given offensive performance would post given league average pitching.

Looking at the whole season, Brown has been 0.4 runs below average offensively. Interestingly, Thomas has been exactly average for the whole year, and 1.8 runs above average since joining the A’s.

by MrIncognito on May 14, 2008 5:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Interesting

Thanks for the info.

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 6:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

A walk is not always good.

Runner on 2nd with one out. Batter draws a walk, now runners on 1st and 2nd.. now setting up a double play. And you know how we love to hit into double plays.

When will then be now? Soon.

by Syphon on May 14, 2008 3:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

... if walking you was a good thing,

your guy would be intentionally walked.

[And indeed, it’s the flipside of your comment—that managers think so little of walking a guy when there’s an open base—that causes the intentional walk to be grotesquely overused as a strategy.]

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 3:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I didnt say a walk wasnt good..

But Id much rather have a hit obv.

When will then be now? Soon.

by Syphon on May 14, 2008 3:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The thing is...

we dont have any really good hitters. Sure we have guys that get on base.. but eventually someone needs to drive them in. Right now its Brown. Walking is all fine and good, but how often do you drive in runs on walks?

When will then be now? Soon.

by Syphon on May 14, 2008 3:25 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

my guess

is frank has about two weeks to get hot. If he doesnt heat up he is a DFAer. (it was worth a shot, but his bat is slow and his speed kills us) Because when Chavy gets back he or hannahan can be the back-up 1st baseman and sweeney can be a full time DH, barton can countinue to work things out at first. Barton can benefit from a drop in the line-up when chavez returns.

by KCB58 on May 14, 2008 12:22 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Keep in mind

that Frank Thomas always has slow starts. Since coming to the A’s though, he has at least compiled a .268 average and a .391 OBP. He’s at least seeing the ball well enough to walk. His OPS+ is 115 since coming to Oakland, which is just a little below the +125 from 2007. June is traditionally his hottest month though, so I’m reserving judgement until mid-June to see whether or not it was a mistake.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?n1=thomafr04

rebuildingseason.blogspot.com

by Rebuilding Season on May 14, 2008 12:24 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Barton the Next Johnson

Barton was like DJ so far just mindless hype AAA great player sub-major as far as Bonds id go to more games just to turn my back at Beane and Barry

Lisa: "Swim toward San Francisco!" Homer: "I'm not made of money! We'll swim to Oakland."

by MajorRager on May 14, 2008 12:24 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, let's ignore Barton's and DJ's ages

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on May 14, 2008 12:44 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

By the time I was 22, I was well into my 1st of 3 senior years

Paul, I hope you don’t take exception to this reply but I’d like to apologize for giving you shit. Hopefully we can squash this and move on.

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 9:32 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not going to start hassling you,

because I don’t care. Flame wars are stupid. So the only real operating question is whether you will continue hassling me. That is something that only you (and the moderators) have any control over. It would improve my experience at the site (and probably most other people’s as well) if you chose to stop.

Make of that what you will.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 9:39 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I attempted to apologize

I fully intend to stop hassling you.

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 9:51 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Once again PT,

your class sets you apart.

I needed a team so I wouldn’t turn into one of the eighty million pink hat-wearing Bud Light-drinking mulleted idiots at Fenway.

by Vacafan on May 14, 2008 11:25 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Something has to give here.

I liked the Thomas signing in the beginning, and it was obviously worth a shot given the lack of power in the A’s lineup. I believe we just played our 40th game tonight. That would put us a quarter way through the season so I think it may be time to stop worrying about the small sample size when it comes to evaluating a player’s performance. There is only so long you can wait for someone to start producing before the lack of production will hurt you in the long run; especially if you’re not watching a developing player. Thomas just isn’t producing like he has in his career, and I’m not entirely sure we can even expect that of him given his age. My biggest gripe is that he is taking up a valuable spot on the roster. As tonight’s base running debacle proved, he just isn’t struggling at the plate, but he is also a liability on the base paths.

Some part of our roster has got to give here. If all goes well Chavez should be up within the next month, so I guess we’ll lose Hannahan or Murphy at that time. Travis Buck is also waiting in the wings down in Sacramento. Davis could be demoted (I think), or RSweeney when he comes back, but I would rather see Thomas leave so Cust can get back to strictly DHing. Our outfield D is atrocious, and having an outfield of Buck, Davis, and Brown with RSweeney to back them up seems like a pretty solid plan, or at least an upgrade from the current situation. Also, lets not forget about CarGon, it seems everyone has forgot about him, but he’ll probably deserve a call-up sooner or later as well. I’m not sure how any of those roster moves will end up, and they may just as well work themselves out through player injuries and the like regardless, but I’d much rather see Barton, CarGon, or Buck laboring away and getting experience than Thomas constantly taking playing time for young guys who you should be maturing in a rebuilding year. Thomas could almost theoretically be setting this team back an extra year as he takes playing time from our younger developing players.

This could all be a mute point if Thomas starts hitting, but I’m not sure there is anyway he can get hot enough for long enough to match the numbers we’ve been accustomed to seeing him put up his whole career.

What about Barry?
"Barry who?" Forst said, and I felt like I was in the middle of a knock-knock joke.

by KMoAsFan on May 14, 2008 12:49 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Sit Barton...

he’s not producing. We’re not running an instructional league.

Foolsh, the most insane regular poster on AN since oaktoon left - salb

by FoolshGame22 on May 14, 2008 12:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ironic... given my avatar, I know.

Foolsh, the most insane regular poster on AN since oaktoon left - salb

by FoolshGame22 on May 14, 2008 12:54 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I really think we are. Same with Ryan Sweeney playing every day:

if you’re in the majors at that age you’re going to start. Take your lumps whilst the team isn’t great, otherwise we may as well demote both Sweeney and Barton.

by OldhamA on May 14, 2008 6:52 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tough call here

I love The Big Hurt and what he brings as a presence to the lineup. However, I have to say after watching him since re-joined the A’s, he is definitely showing some sings of decline. A couple of times in the game earlier this evening he really looked like he was struggling to find the ball at the plate. He also looked extremely frustrated in the dugout afterwards. Also, I want to know if anyone else thinks that Rajai Davis might be worth a look at the leadoff position? Until he proves that he can’t handle it or just does not get on base enought to set the table, why not give him a chance to see what he can do at the top of the lineup? It’s not like the A’s are crawling with top of the order guys!

Suzuki is really cooling off at this point and I’m kinda weary of the A”s lineup as is these days….........

Any thoughts?

by mrod on May 14, 2008 1:07 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

aren't leadoff hitters supposed to get on base?

Davis has a .308 OBP. I mean, his non-counting stats are all better than Emil Brown, but that’s not saying a whole lot. They’re better than Murphy’s, Bowen’s and Buck’s, too. Maybe we should bat one of ‘em leadoff?

But, you’re right, Zooks is not a leadoff hitter. I’m not sure we really have one on the roster. But, Davis is nothing more than a pinch-runner, late-inning defensive replacement for Cust, IMO.

Foolsh, the most insane regular poster on AN since oaktoon left - salb

by FoolshGame22 on May 14, 2008 1:17 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is silly

People need to remember this is a rebuilding year. We should not be doing things like sitting Daric Barton so we can get Mike Sweeney’s bat in the lineup because we’re still contending on May 13.

Mike Sweeney hit .260/.315/.404 last year. He hit .258/.349/.438 the year before that. All of a sudden he’s good again for 88 at bats and everything’s magically fixed? He’s not even slugging .450. This is our savior? This is why Daric Barton should be banished to the bench to rot?

Giving guys like Suzuki and Barton every chance to succeed should be our first priority. The little run to begin the season is nice and fun, but we shouldn’t get caught up chasing fool’s gold.

RagingHarden: Yeah if you get 20 starts out of me I'll be shocked. Like, I'll wreck my drawers.

by walk off bunt on May 14, 2008 2:01 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Daric should be sent down to AAA...

where he can get regular AB’s, while the big boys play in the majors.

Dude, this is a rebuilding year in your mind only. It’s not in BB’s, despite what the baseball pundits tell you. Billy is going for it, this year, as every year.

Foolsh, the most insane regular poster on AN since oaktoon left - salb

by FoolshGame22 on May 14, 2008 2:16 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Without trying to get into an argument with you.

About whether or not this is a rebuilding year, I’m going to simply respectfully disagree re: Barton. I’ve read your multiple posts in here already on him, so I know your stance, but after 72 at bats last year he was hitting .347/.429/.639. Him struggling in all of 50 more at bats this season is not enough to make me a disbeliever yet. He wasn’t that good then and he isn’t this bad now. Sample sizes are important.

And, more importantly, Mike Sweeney is nowhere nearly good enough to be the guy I put my chips on when I think Barton benefits more from learning to hit at the major league level. Like I said, he didn’t hit well in either of the last two years and he’s still not slugging .450 now. He’s nobody’s savior.

RagingHarden: Yeah if you get 20 starts out of me I'll be shocked. Like, I'll wreck my drawers.

by walk off bunt on May 14, 2008 2:27 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Mike Sweeney is a great hitter...

throughout his career. He’s pretty good now. And, he’s better than Daric, now. Possibly, he won’t be next year. But, he won’t be on the team next year.

Hey, I’m a Barton fan. He caught my first pitch. I want him to succeed. And, I think he will. But, he’s not the best option to win games early on this season. If he rakes in situational hitting off the bench, great. If he rakes in AAA, then bring him up when Thomas or Good Sweeney gets hurt.

Play your best players. That’s the way you win.

Foolsh, the most insane regular poster on AN since oaktoon left - salb

by FoolshGame22 on May 14, 2008 2:35 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Mike Sweeney is pretty good

In his last 88 at bats. He was pretty average for 217 at bats in 2006 and downright awful for 265 at bats in 2007.

If this were October 1st, we’d be looking at a Daric Barton who had just reeled off a ridiculous 72 AB major league debut and a broken down Mike Sweeney who hadn’t hit worth a lick for 265 ABs. At that moment, Daric Barton was most certainly the better hitter.

All I’m asking for is more than 40 games to let Barton prove himself. If 25 or 30 games from now Barton still isn’t hitting and Sweeney is still partying like it’s 2005, and we’re still in contention, then sure, I’m right on board with you. I just don’t think the 40 games we’ve played so far are enough to make an accurate judgment.

RagingHarden: Yeah if you get 20 starts out of me I'll be shocked. Like, I'll wreck my drawers.

by walk off bunt on May 14, 2008 2:45 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Barton...

Sending him to AAA is a bad idea. He has been there and performed well enough to earn a spot on the roster. When did AN start judging players on a month and a half worth of AB’s? Give him a season of AB’s at least.

This isn’t a win now mode. If we are still around when Chavez, Buck and CarGon join the team and Barton is still struggling, then it makes sense to send him down.

by Glomar on May 14, 2008 2:46 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Travis Buck

So, is optioning Travis Buck to AAA (When he is obviously healthy) a good thing or a bad thing?

For me, I would give Barton another couple weeks (until Chavvy is ready) to make adjustments as the everyday starter at 1B. If he is still struggling, it might be best to let him step down a level, and regain is stroke/confidence in AAA.

by Colorado Fan on May 14, 2008 8:46 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

A good thing. He missed AAA and, despite a great rookie season last year,

was struggling with his swing in April. It’s the right thing to do to let him refind that line drive swing when there’s no pressure on him, especially when we simply have to get Cust, Thomas and Brown into the lineup on a daily basis.

by OldhamA on May 14, 2008 10:14 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

Well, maybe not the Brown part.

by mikev on May 14, 2008 10:25 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not a huge Brown fan either, but they're clearly trying to bump

up his FA status. Not to mention he seems to have a certain quality about him when runners are on the bases.

by OldhamA on May 14, 2008 10:33 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So...

Can the same be said for Barton? To copy your line: “It’s the right thing to do to let him refind that line drive swing when there’s no pressure on him, especially when we simply have to get… Insert: Chavez, Hannahan, Cust, Thomas and Sweeney into the lineup on a daily basis”

by Colorado Fan on May 14, 2008 1:44 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If he continues to struggle, yes. If Chavez can produce somewhat at

3rd I’d like Hannahan and Sweeney to platoon at 1st (with Hannahan/Murphy spelling Chavez at 3rd).

I know it’s a rebuilding season, but if he continues to look as horrible as he does at the plate right now then maybe it’s in his best interest – both if he’s hiding an injury or indeed if he thinks he’s made it.

by OldhamA on May 14, 2008 2:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

AN

judges people at-bat to at-bat

"It's not my fault your team's so shitty." -Steve Friend, head coach, Chabot College, to Laney College's head coach, who asked why we scored so many runs after we beat Laney 30-3 in 2006

by flipgatey3 on May 14, 2008 9:34 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't even wait that long.

If a guy misses a hittable pitch, pull him for a pinch hitter.

by mikev on May 14, 2008 9:35 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

and send him to AAA

that’s a big enough sample size

"It's not my fault your team's so shitty." -Steve Friend, head coach, Chabot College, to Laney College's head coach, who asked why we scored so many runs after we beat Laney 30-3 in 2006

by flipgatey3 on May 14, 2008 9:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Once Crosby swings through a slider he's done

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 9:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Once Roy Steele calls Crosby's name, he's done

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 9:38 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

once geren writes crosby's name in the lineup...

etc.

"It's not my fault your team's so shitty." -Steve Friend, head coach, Chabot College, to Laney College's head coach, who asked why we scored so many runs after we beat Laney 30-3 in 2006

by flipgatey3 on May 14, 2008 9:38 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Once any AN user begins to mention Cro...

..crap.

"God doesn't pay attention to your cute little hypotheticals." -- Jeff from LL

by oblique on May 14, 2008 9:45 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

CroCrap?

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 10:01 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Or...

CrocRap?

"God doesn't pay attention to your cute little hypotheticals." -- Jeff from LL

by oblique on May 14, 2008 10:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Your wise words here

are akin to a well-time bunt.

The A's colors are green and gold.

by mikeA on May 14, 2008 9:39 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

which you don't see on this team

"It's not my fault your team's so shitty." -Steve Friend, head coach, Chabot College, to Laney College's head coach, who asked why we scored so many runs after we beat Laney 30-3 in 2006

by flipgatey3 on May 14, 2008 9:40 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Also

Through 40 games in 2006, Frank Thomas was hitting a robust .188/.303/.393.

Small. Sample. Size.

RagingHarden: Yeah if you get 20 starts out of me I'll be shocked. Like, I'll wreck my drawers.

by walk off bunt on May 14, 2008 2:08 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

we will see

I am sure by the all star break we will have the answer. If Frank is tankin, the A’s will let him ride the bench.

"I hurt people I'm a dick" Garry TA

by Crapper Jon on May 14, 2008 4:47 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Not quite

They’ll simply release him, and clear the roster space

by As Fan in the Bronx on May 14, 2008 7:11 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thomas

I thnk that it is much too early to talk about taking Thomas out of the lineup. The last 2 years he has gotten off to a similar start and caught fire in late June, July, and august. I really think you have to give him that chance. If he does it again the A’s will be very tough to beat. Sweeney though younger has not shown he can hold up over a whole year and the injuries has taken away a lot of his power. He will not carry a team.

ogallalabob

by ogallalabob on May 14, 2008 6:50 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

What a strange offense we have this year ...

We’re scoring a lot of runs … though in very non-traditional ways. We have NO power whatsoever and yet by virtue of our ability to get on base at an amazing rate, we seem to get enough runners on that we have to drive in SOME of them, even without power enough to do so. At first I thought it was luck, and that it would revert to the mean, but I’m not sure this is true. It’s possible that when you walk as often as we do, good things are likely to happen.

That being said, Big Frank, even without power, is a great benefit to this team right now. He walks like crazy and he’s always on base. Anyone who OBP’s at close to a .400 clip is worth keeping in the lineup. If he hits for ANY power (which he hasn’t yet), he’ll be a tremendous asset. Think about Cust: earlier in the year when he wasn’t hitting at all, he was still valuable. Now that he’s hitting better than he was, and with his customary power, he’s our best hitter. That’s the power of OBP, and the reason why Big Frank should get the opportunity to hit in our lineup.

The power will likely come around, but even without it, he’s good for the A’s.

by Crosbino on May 14, 2008 8:02 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Hence why pitchers that don't walk many guys kill us.

If you’re in and around the strikezone against this A’s offence the worst that’s going to happen is they hit a double.

It’s certainly more interesting to watch than the 2007 squad at any rate. That said, hopefully the power does come round!

by OldhamA on May 14, 2008 10:16 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Frank Thomas' 2008 EQA with the A's: .288

I’m sorry, but this entire post is silly.

He’s been AWFUL and his EQA is .288. Mike Sweeney has far exceeded reasonable expectations and his is a terrific .303. If Frank still doesn’t have a homer with the A’s a month from now, then maybe this is something to worry about.

http://bocropleasestopswingingatbadpitches.blogspot.com/

by thejd44 on May 14, 2008 8:26 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

EQA?

Please explain!

by 33SwisherSweet on May 14, 2008 9:59 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Equivalent average

A measure derived by comparing a hitter’s linear weights-based offensive production (which awards credit for each batting event, be it a 1B, 2B, SB, HR, whatever, in proportion to the number of runs it’s worth in an average situation—so, eg, a single is worth somewhat more than a walk) to the number of outs that hitter creates, then translating the result to a scale which mimics the scale of batting average.

If a guy’s EqA looks like a good batting average, he’s a good hitter. Basically.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 10:17 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

In addition to what Paul posted

it is also park and league adjusted.

League average is 260. League average for 1b is 277.

Since it’s free and easily available, from BPro, you don’t have to calculate it on your own, it is probably the “best” comprehensive offensive stat. And since it includes SBs, CS, it won’t underrate the fast players, unlike OPS.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on May 14, 2008 10:27 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

To add a bit to this (or maybe just to clarify)

They adjust both for current league and for all-time. The numbers I cited were adjusted for this season, since I was comparing Sweeney and Thomas this year, no need to look at how the numbers compare all-time.

And, yes, I use EQA because I think it’s better than OPS+. Like every stat, it’s not the ultimate perfect number or anything. But since we’re talking DH, I don’t want to use VORP or WARP because defense is irrelevant and BPs Rate stat kinda sucks anyway.

Also, something I didn’t really mention before but should have: I only looked at Thomas’ A’s EQA this year, not his time with Toronto. I realize this is making the sample size smaller, but what looking at the numbers shows is that he’s raised his EQA by something like 40 points since joining Oakland. Perhaps that alone is a sign that he’s starting to find his stroke, I don’t know.

http://bocropleasestopswingingatbadpitches.blogspot.com/

by thejd44 on May 14, 2008 1:08 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

VORP does not include D.

And the adjusted for all time numbers, IMO, add an unnecessary layer of detail that only obfuscates the numbers. There’s no way to tell how a player from the 1920s would do in 2008, and what is the point anyways?

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on May 14, 2008 1:39 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're right

WARP includes D. I don’t (in this case) like VORP because it’s just a counting stat. Sweeney’s is going to be higher just because he’s had more stuff to count so far.

I didn’t make as many of these mistakes when I had to hit the preview button before posting…

http://bocropleasestopswingingatbadpitches.blogspot.com/

by thejd44 on May 14, 2008 1:41 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just to summarize the key points

They’ve all been mentioned in one form or another, but here goes:

1. Most of the lineup is underperforming, not just Thomas;
2. So is the entire league
3. Until last night A’s were 2nd in runs scored in the AL. That won’t continue unless most of the lineup gets better;
4. Thomas and his power is one of the clear ways it could get better. Too early to give up on him;
5. Bonds at 83 could hit well enough to play on this team—the reason he’s not here has nothing to do with is capabilities at the plate. People conveniently that he was the best player in a generation even before he took the first injection;
6. Barton is not hitting. If that continues and if this team stays in contention, sending him back to AAA is a very viable option;
7. Suzuki is no leadoff hitter. Better candidates? Ellis, but he’s hurt. Hannahan against righties. Barton if he were hitting, but he’s not. Ryan Sweeney against lefties? hardly ideal. Bottom line is: we don’t have a leadoff hitter;
8. Chavez back in two weeks? Boy that’s optimistic.

by madmongoose on May 14, 2008 8:38 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Regarding Barton

John Dewan had an some interesting stats on his Acta Sports page:

Based on the Plus/Minus System from The Fielding Bible, here are this year’s leading defenders by position in Major League Baseball:

First Base Daric Barton, Oak  +8
Second Base Mark Ellis, Oak  +8
Chase Utley, Phi  +8
Third Base Troy Glaus, StL +12
Shortstop Orlando Cabrera, CWS  +9
Left Field Matt Holliday, Col  +8
Center Field Carlos Gomez, Min  +5
Right Field Alex Rios, Tor  +3
Bobby Abreu, NYY  +3
Jeremy Hermida, Fla  +3

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on May 14, 2008 8:44 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Interesting, but...

First base is a notoriously hard position to gauge defensive ability. Let’s wait a while before calling him the Pickin’ Machine 2.0

by madmongoose on May 14, 2008 8:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I agree

Just as SSZ caveats apply to offensive numbers, they apply equally to defensive numbers.

I seriously doubt that Bobby Abreu isgoing to rate this well at the end of the season.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on May 14, 2008 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Equally?

More like “much more strongly.”

A month’s worth of defensive measures is like 10 days’ worth of at-bats.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 9:45 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, but I think Barton is actually a very good 1B

who has made a couple really silly/stupid errors. Watching him pick all of Hannahan’s garbage throws has been very impressive. If only he could catch a pop up or two.

http://bocropleasestopswingingatbadpitches.blogspot.com/

by thejd44 on May 14, 2008 1:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

+15

The A's colors are green and gold.

by mikeA on May 14, 2008 9:41 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

there is no way

bobby abreu is one of the best outfielders

"It's not my fault your team's so shitty." -Steve Friend, head coach, Chabot College, to Laney College's head coach, who asked why we scored so many runs after we beat Laney 30-3 in 2006

by flipgatey3 on May 14, 2008 9:41 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

SSZ

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on May 14, 2008 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

whatever system it is

i stand by my comment, the guy is a hack. although i wouldn’t mind him as our DH

"It's not my fault your team's so shitty." -Steve Friend, head coach, Chabot College, to Laney College's head coach, who asked why we scored so many runs after we beat Laney 30-3 in 2006

by flipgatey3 on May 14, 2008 9:45 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

By SSZ,

I mean Small Sample Size.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on May 14, 2008 9:52 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

;)

i know. sort of.

"It's not my fault your team's so shitty." -Steve Friend, head coach, Chabot College, to Laney College's head coach, who asked why we scored so many runs after we beat Laney 30-3 in 2006

by flipgatey3 on May 14, 2008 10:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Overall the A's are playing pretty good defense

The fact that we’re ranked 9th out of 30 teams is very impressive when you consider that we’re playing Cust in LF. It’s far too early to say how much of that has to do with Barton, but Ellis has been the top defender at 2B for years now, so it’s safe to say he’s an incredible defender.

by MrIncognito on May 14, 2008 2:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Small sample size again

It seems as though people living outside of the A’s area have been the ones to advocate the signing of Bonds (especially those that live in hated SoCal). As for Big Frank, he will heat up and he is helping other players to get better pitches merely by his presence in the line-up.

by bamaA'sfan on May 14, 2008 9:05 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I'd rather have Bonds in LF and Cust at DH

Than Cust in LF and Thomas at DH.

Want me to punchasize your face, for free? - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 9:07 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Interesting points, Blez ... and everyone else

Blez, I’d suggest adding a poll to see how much more time AN’ers think Frank should be given—keep him all year regardless of his stats, keep him through the ASB, through June, through May, or DFA him immediately.

Personally, I’d give him through June, and if he’s still not generating isoSLG, cut him loose.

FWIW, I think signing Sweeney (or Brown, for that matter) was more of a “mistake” than claiming Frank—although I do think Frank is pretty much done, the risk:reward ratio was so low that we couldn’t pass him up.

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 9:13 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

more money at risk, far less potential upside

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 9:32 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

But the Brown signing has looked good enough thus far, no?

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 9:34 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why, because of the RBI?

Because his .700 OPS is nothing special.

by mikev on May 14, 2008 9:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

More or less

He has been a large part of the A’s success thus far, at least in my opinion. Plus he’s acting as a decent stop gap while Buck is hurt and Gonzalez gets ready for the show. I don’t think there were that many vastly superior options that could have been had for Brown’s salary.

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 9:44 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He said "better"...

Brown’s performance to date is about what I’d have expected out of Linden in an optimistic scenario.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 9:47 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Better to get the performance for 300K than for 1.4 million, in that case.

But, I think that Linden would have an OBP better than .301

by mikev on May 14, 2008 10:05 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're splitting hairs

Linden doesn’t have much of a track record, even for a 28 year old, and last year he only posted a OPS of .711. That $1M premium for Brown isn’t a big deal.

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 10:24 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Brown does what most A's didn't do last two seasons

When he gets a pitch to hit, he quite often hits it with resulting RBI.

You will notice that the more aggressive hitters on the A’s all have good averages with RISP.

Those that take strike 1 and 2 down the middle don’t and never will.

Without Brown and his first and second pitch swinging and the aggressiveness of others, coupled with the great pitching we have had, then we are below .500.

I could care less about Browns low .300 OBP. He compliments the others like Cust who have a high OBP and drives them in.

As to the topic of this thread;

I love Mike Sweeney and he should be in there more but we need to give Frank more time, I am sure he will start hitting with power soon. Barton is swinging for the fences at the moment and looks horrible. He is way better than that and they either have to keep playing him to get him out of it or send him to AAA because he needs to keep playing with regularity.

Suzuki at the lead off is KILLING this team at the moment. He might as well go up there blindfolded and bat lefthanded to boot. He has more of a shot. We have a void at the leadoff position obviously.

by Trainman on May 14, 2008 10:08 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

RISP hitting leaderboard

John Buck? Derek Jeter? Morneau? Keppinger? Grady Sizemore?

Those guys don’t know how to take a walk?

To the (extremely minimal) extent that clutch hitting is correlated with anything, it’s “high walks/low strikeouts.” And with more emphasis on the “high walks” part.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 10:31 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If that is the case, then why doesn't the players who are in the top 10 in

walks, the A’s have 4, not high in RISP? Because they don’t swing the damn bat. Emil will swing the bat, so even a blooper has a chance to fall, or he can give you a Sac Fly.

by theblackpearl on May 14, 2008 10:34 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hannahan and Cust have low batting averages

and they have low batting averages with RISP.

Gee, you think?

They aren’t any better or worse with RISP than they ever are. And neither, in the long run, will Brown be. He will hit for a higher RISP average because he will hit for a higher average all the time. And he will still be a worse offensive player.

The fact that a higher percentage of his contributions happen to come with RISP instead of with no one on base is interesting but totally irrelevant to winning baseball games.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 10:41 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

How come everything that is not a stat that you agree with it is

not relevent to winning games. His success rate may not be sustainable, but the runs he has driven in, have helped the A’s win games, and when he isn’t driving in runs, because he has regressed to the mean, someone else has to drive in the runs, or like last night the A’s get shut out. Unless you walk 15 times in a game, SOMEONE will have to hit with RISP to win.

by theblackpearl on May 14, 2008 10:56 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Here's the fallacy

You’re quite right that you can’t win without getting hits with runners in scoring position.

It does not follow from that that you can’t win without having HITTERS who hit for a high average with RISP. (Which, as many have pointed out, basically just means hitters who always hit for a high average.)

It is every bit as important to generate the opportunities as it is to cash in on them. It’s better to have 5 RISP opportunities with guys who hit .250 than it is to have 3 RISP opportunities with guys who hit .333.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 11:06 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Because his criterion for deciding

whether to “agree with” a stat is his assessment of whether it is relevant to winning games.

formerly known as mdl

by iglew on May 15, 2008 3:52 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

.700 OPS?

Even for the low price of his contract, he’s been remarkably unproductive for a corner OF. Yes, as I’ve conceded before, there’s a certain value to having his type of hitter-i.e., a high-number-of-BIP hacker-in the middle of a patient lineup.

But he’s not any good.

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 9:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Except that JayPay could play CF

better than Brown can play LF or RF.

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on May 14, 2008 8:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Signing Sweeney was not a mistake

It was a zero-risk proposition. He didn’t even have a guaranteed contract.

Keeping him when they picked up Thomas, however, might have been one.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 9:33 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

ah, true

I’d forgotten that was a non-guranteed contract.

I don’t think keeping him post-Frank was necessarily a mistake—as a cheap insurance policy in the event that Frank was done.

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 9:35 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

When they signed both Sweeney and Brown, Thomas was UNDER CONTRACT

with the Jays. I don’t see any other free agents the A’s could have had for the price of Sweeney and Brown, COMBINED, they are a combined 2 Million dollars.

by theblackpearl on May 14, 2008 9:37 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

but they were both entirely unnecessary

If Emil had been given the same non-guaranteed contract as Sweeney, I’d agree.

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 9:39 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

take your pick

RSweeney, Patrol Craft, Buck, Cust, Bonds, Rally Pimpernel, Linden

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 9:41 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

your boy nick blasi

ernie young

"It's not my fault your team's so shitty." -Steve Friend, head coach, Chabot College, to Laney College's head coach, who asked why we scored so many runs after we beat Laney 30-3 in 2006

by flipgatey3 on May 14, 2008 9:42 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Denorfia is dinged up right now

Heck, it might have been Danny Putnam. Wasn’t he the guy who got DFAed for Brown?

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

i think you are right

"It's not my fault your team's so shitty." -Steve Friend, head coach, Chabot College, to Laney College's head coach, who asked why we scored so many runs after we beat Laney 30-3 in 2006

by flipgatey3 on May 14, 2008 9:43 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Have you see what Danny Putnam is doing to AAA pitching?

I think I’d rather see him up here.

http://bocropleasestopswingingatbadpitches.blogspot.com/

by thejd44 on May 14, 2008 1:32 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He's been OK

I wouldn’t characterize it as great.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 1:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think he's doing well enough to suggest

he’d be just as good as anybody else playing the OF right now, with the exception of Cust.

http://bocropleasestopswingingatbadpitches.blogspot.com/

by thejd44 on May 14, 2008 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I believe NSJ would like to have a word with you

about MLEs.

.850 OPS in AAA, downgraded by coming to the majors, and then dropped into Petco North? He’d be lucky to break .700.

Dunno if he’d be any worse than the guys that are being run out there right now (except on defense), but I doubt he’d be appreciably better.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 1:56 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You and everyone else is saying Sweeney doesn't belong an a major league roster,

and everyone else is either on the DL, or has been recently, and Bonds is too expensive. Brown has been healthy, and done what the A’s needed, hold down the fort until CarGon is ready.

by theblackpearl on May 14, 2008 9:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cust/Buck/Denorfia/Sweeney

add Davis into the mix when Buck got hurt.

Linden is still mashing the ball in Sacramento, too – 1.068 OPS.

by mikev on May 14, 2008 9:42 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't see Sweeney, Denorfia, or Davis outproducing Brown.

Linden maybe.

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 9:55 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

well, but that's not the question

They could all produce essentially his equivalent, at 1/5 the cost.

I’ve said it before, I’ll say it again: signing Emil was the sort of thing the Pirates do—sign a replacement-level “proven major leaguer” for guaranteed money several multiples of the MLB minimum.

Now, sure, Beane did it for 1/4 the price that others GMs usually do, and that’s nothing to sneeze at—but cold comfort when the argument is “Hey, at least we’re not paying Brown $6m!”

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 10:05 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

What does it matter what Brown cost?

Did his signing hinder the A’s from persuing other FA’s? Is his contract handcuffing the A’s after this season? Was Billy really going to roll that $1M into next year’s salary?

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 10:29 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

$1.1M+ that could have gone elsewhere

That would more than cover the reinstatement of free kraut at the Coliseum condiment stands.

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 10:58 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

What does "essentially his equivalent" mean?

Because if you’re suggesting that Denorfia, Sweeney, or Davis would have half the RBI Brown has (hitting in the same situations) you’re fooling yourself.

I needed a team so I wouldn’t turn into one of the eighty million pink hat-wearing Bud Light-drinking mulleted idiots at Fenway.

by Vacafan on May 14, 2008 11:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Over. The. Course. Of. The. Season.

Jesus.

And if DSD hadn’t driven them in, someone else would have.

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 11:44 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It is not we are enamored with them. It is you guys who

act like they never happened. It might be luck, but they scored none the less.

by theblackpearl on May 14, 2008 11:49 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

We're not here to talk about the past

The A's colors are green and gold.

by mikeA on May 14, 2008 11:52 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

And anyway,

yes he has helped the team. I’d prefer to use WPA instead of RBIs. He’s third on the team (the guy way in front in first should be obvious.) That is good. He’s helped them win for sure.

But when the RISP luck runs out….

The A's colors are green and gold.

by mikeA on May 14, 2008 12:07 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

then someone else needs to step up. Like with every team

there is no 1 guy who carries the team for the whole year.

by theblackpearl on May 14, 2008 12:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

That person will be............

Travis Buck!

The A's colors are green and gold.

by mikeA on May 14, 2008 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Joking aside,

this is exactly correct. This isn’t a “Team MVP” thread, where I would have no real problem with someone citing RBI (although WPA, which evaluates leverage and getting on base as well, is much less crude). It’s a “what should we do now” thread, and for that, RBIs have no predictive value (and even WPA’s predictive value is questionable at best).

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 12:26 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

careful with that "we"

TBP, you’re one of the few people who have offered measured, judicious, and caveat-laden praise on Brown and his RISP success. There’s a whole RBI Brigade that insists luck isn’t a component at all.

And if luck is a component (and all research into the subject suggests it’s a huge one), then praising Brown for his RBIs is kinda like criticizing a guy for getting hit by lightning.

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 12:03 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

lightning guy sucks

Billie Bean should trade him for prospects now

by Future Ed on May 14, 2008 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know that we can get much for Crosby

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 12:32 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

One interesting stat

Brown’s career tOPS+ with RISP is 122. That means relative to his overall numbers, he is about 22 percent better in OPS with RISP, over his career.

League average in 2008 is 106. In 2007, it was 106. In 2006, 104. In 2005, 106.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on May 14, 2008 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not sure what you're saying

What I’m saying is that he might have some skill at hitting with RISP.

I’m too lazy to look up the R for year to year OPS+ with RISP for MLB players, so I’m not sure how much of that is a skill.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on May 14, 2008 1:05 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think what he's trying to do

is mock those of us who are saying that it’s pretty unlikely that Brown will continue to have a 1.300 OPS with RISP.

Didn’t you know the cool thing to do when stats and trends don’t agree with your view is to make fun of statheads and dismiss them as people who don’t know the game and just think it’s a bunch of made up numbers?

by mikev on May 14, 2008 1:07 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

no, just the three things that will be said. No mocking

someone will say stats don’t lie, someone will say he is on a hot streak, others will say hot streaks don’t exist, he is just lucky, and then we start all over again.

by theblackpearl on May 14, 2008 1:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'll volunteer

to say the third statement when the need arises…

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 1:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's true, it's damn true

If your mentality is “OBP wins games,” or “RBI’s mean nothing,” then Brown’s numbers show him to be unworthy of a corner outfield spot. But if you dig a little deeper then you might find statistics that actually show how he’s been helping the team and why he’s getting so many RBIs. Yes he’s been hot (or lucky, whatever you want to call it) but as RFLOH mentioned, there could be more to it.

by Sacred#24 on May 14, 2008 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's true, it's damn true

If your mentality is “OBP wins games,” or “RBI’s mean nothing,” then Brown’s numbers show him to be unworthy of a corner outfield spot. But if you dig a little deeper then you might find statistics that actually show how he’s been helping the team and why he’s getting so many RBIs. Yes he’s been hot (or lucky, whatever you want to call it) but as RFLOH mentioned, there could be more to it.

by Sacred#24 on May 14, 2008 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No,

I just dismiss them as having never gone outside, gone on a date, or picked up a glove. Or missed mom from calling down from upstairs …. JUST KIDDING!

I think stats are great … just think “statheads” happen to dismiss others opinions as well. Sorry, the pocket protector always seemed to ruin my shirt.

I needed a team so I wouldn’t turn into one of the eighty million pink hat-wearing Bud Light-drinking mulleted idiots at Fenway.

by Vacafan on May 14, 2008 2:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 2:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

ummmmm,

cuz without RBI you can’t win a game? ... Well, I suppose if you grounded into a DP enough times with a man on third and nobody out you could … never said RBI were the “be all, end all” ... but if you don’t have any? You don’t win.

I needed a team so I wouldn’t turn into one of the eighty million pink hat-wearing Bud Light-drinking mulleted idiots at Fenway.

by Vacafan on May 14, 2008 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ok, ok

relax monkey! Damn …

I needed a team so I wouldn’t turn into one of the eighty million pink hat-wearing Bud Light-drinking mulleted idiots at Fenway.

by Vacafan on May 14, 2008 2:03 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh, "someone else would have???"

You’re right … cuz this team has been incredibly solid at driving in runners the past couple years …. over. the. course. of. the. season.

I needed a team so I wouldn’t turn into one of the eighty million pink hat-wearing Bud Light-drinking mulleted idiots at Fenway.

by Vacafan on May 14, 2008 2:06 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

if you get men on base and hit for power, you'll score runs

The A’s offensive shortcomings the last several years have been because they haven’t had great OBP or SLG.

RBIs are entirely incidental to the process.

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 2:26 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

True, but a higher SLG or OBP with men on base equals more runs

In other words it’s situation dependent. I like looking at (and trying to make sense of) stats as much as the next guy, but I think that there’s only so much you can read into. If a guy has a .750 OPS but produces significantly better with RISP then this needs to be rated somehow. Likewise, regardless of overall OPS% if a player doesn’t produce with RISP (especially if he’s lower in the lineup) then this gage is also misleading.
This is also the reason that the line-up makes such a difference- While I agree that RBI are a result of OBP and SLG, I also realize that having runners on base makes OPS more valuable.
So, getting runners on before Brown (who we now know is about 22 percent better in OPS with RISP) is an important move. By batting Sweeney/Barton, Cust, Big Hurt, before Brown, his strength is more utilized than it would be higher or lower in the order where there’s less likely to be RISP.

by Sacred#24 on May 14, 2008 2:59 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

There are ways to optimize a lineup for run-scoring

“The Book” has quite a long section on this. A lot of what they found out is pretty intuitive; some of it, like “put your best overall hitter in the #2 spot,” is counter to traditional baseball thinking.

But the most important lesson to be learned there is that the gains are only marginal. Where you put players in your lineup can be important, but assuming all managers are semi-competent, it’s only going to win you a game or two extra a season. It’s far, far more important to find players who hit well overall… and Emil Brown, at least in his current hacktacular incarnation (he was better in 05-06) is not one of them.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 3:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Marginal quantatively...

Again, I know you’re going to disagree PT, but you just can’t measure all aspects of the game with numbers, and this is a perfect example. I can’t tell you why, but if Rfloh’s above stats are correct then Emil is a better hitter with runners on base. Maybe it’s as simple as getting better pitches to hit, maybe it’s psychological, but whatever the reason is you can’t argue with numbers:)

I can’t disagree that given the average lineup with the traditional, well rounded pieces there might only be marginal gains, but with the extremes like Cust and Brown I can’t help but think that there’s ways to exaggerate their strengths and minimize their weaknesses. Can’t hit with the bases empty? Put someone in front of him who gets on base!

by Sacred#24 on May 14, 2008 3:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually, Sweeney DOES have half the RBIs Brown has

Brown has 33, Sweeney has 16. And Sweeney doesn’t get the luxury of having two 40% on-base guys hitting directly ahead of him.

So, um, wanna make a point that makes some sense?

http://bocropleasestopswingingatbadpitches.blogspot.com/

by thejd44 on May 14, 2008 1:37 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're right jd ...

my bad. Sweeney would do just as good a job. Um, now, um, don’t you have homework? Or Xbox or something?

I needed a team so I wouldn’t turn into one of the eighty million pink hat-wearing Bud Light-drinking mulleted idiots at Fenway.

by Vacafan on May 14, 2008 2:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree wth ths plan

The A's colors are green and gold.

by mikeA on May 14, 2008 9:42 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

damnt, my " " key s broken

The A's colors are green and gold.

by mikeA on May 14, 2008 9:56 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Frank's 2006 start vs. now

.178/.300/.373 (21 for 118 through May 20, 2006; 7 HRs, 20BBs)

.217/.345/.342 (26 for 120 through May 13, 2008; 3 HRs, 22 BBs)

He’s doing better now than then – and remember, at the same point in 2006 a whole lot of people here were saying he was toast. For good reason, too – he was old and he looked just terrible at the plate. While the sample size was still fairly small, there was certainly no guarantee that he’d find his stroke.

Of course, now he’s two years older, and his numbers declined last year, and once again there are no guarantees – but there’s at least a good chance that he’ll be productive again, based on his history. There’s also the fact that offense is down in the league so far this year, and the fact that his A’s teammates have been struggling offensively just about across the board (which may indicate we’ve faced better-than-normal pitching so far), which mean maybe his numbers aren’t quite so bad in context.

So what does all this mean? Some things cut one way, some things cut the other, so…damned if I know. I’d stick with Thomas at least a few more weeks, myself.

But time will tell…

by Faust on May 14, 2008 9:42 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Thomas, etc...

Thomas’ numbers are okay, and he remains a presence in the lineup, which is worth something on a team that doesn’t have a lot of guys who scare opposing pitchers. His walk last week set up Emil Brown’s game-winning hit, for example.

People are focused on a couple things. One, he hasn’t hit a home run. Two, he doesn’t look very good, and is two years older. But he looked like a complete waste of space a couple of years ago, and things turned out rather well that season. I’m not expecting anything close to that level of production in 2008. As Faust notes, his numbers in Toronto last year didn’t approach his 2006 production. I don’t think we’re ever going to get that 2006 player back.

The trouble with dumping Thomas, to give Sweeney more playing time, is that Sweeney hasn’t shown much more pop in his bat either. Sweeney, when healthy, has always been a good hitter, and that’s what he looks like now. He looks like a keeper for this season, assuming he can stay healthy.

Geren’s system, which mandates rest for much of the roster, has worked well thus far. I think it wouldn’t hurt to sit Thomas a little more often, although he will get plenty of time on the bench this weekend, but otherwise I don’t have much to critique.

Let’s see how things play out over the next month or so, to see how the players and team is doing. We’ll have a better idea then about what should be done.

by bear88 on May 14, 2008 9:48 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The A's got Thomas for the league minimum

Barton has been struggling so it is not as if they are taking anyone else’s productivity away. I would let the Thomas thing play out for the rest of the season and see how it goes

by Athletic on May 14, 2008 9:50 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I said it from day one: YEEEEEESSSSS!!! I REALLY feel that Frank Thomas is

done, he just doesn’t look the same anymore, look I know he started slow 2 years ago with the A’s but still he’s just trying too hard! He’s a plug in the bases and I much rather see Mike Sweeney as DH he strikes out less only 2x this season! I just knew this would happen. I’ve never really liked Frank Thomas just because he’s a freakin diva and should get benched or much rather released.

oAkLaNd AtHlEtIcS!!
It's only Spring Clean for the May Queen. Call the Gardener!

by LiZaRdReVoLuTiOn on May 14, 2008 10:00 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

i have no problem with my players trying hard

if you do, well…that’s your business.

"It's not my fault your team's so shitty." -Steve Friend, head coach, Chabot College, to Laney College's head coach, who asked why we scored so many runs after we beat Laney 30-3 in 2006

by flipgatey3 on May 14, 2008 10:33 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cut Thomas Now!!!

Paul, not big Frank… (just kidding by the way, don’t freak out Paul)

by Sacred#24 on May 14, 2008 10:29 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Whatever you do

just don’t trade me to Halos Heaven.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 10:43 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

i dont really have a problem trading you within the division

but id settle for nothing less than 2-3 AN-ready personalities, plus 3-4 high ceiling youngsters.

by oakinboston on May 14, 2008 3:03 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd be OK with Lookout Landing

Lone Star Ball might be a bit of a challenging system for me to learn, because they hate Nick Swisher.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 3:16 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not saying the A's should cut Thomas

That wasn’t really the point of this. I understand why Beane picked up Thomas. First, he was cheap. Second, he’s proven he can do one thing consistently throughout his career and that’s hit home runs, something the A’s lineup at the time sorely lacked. I don’t blame the A’s for doing it. It was a smart move at the time.

And truthfully, you have to believe that Thomas’ power numbers will come around sooner rather than later. The problem is that even if he starts to get in a groove over the next two games, he’s going to have to sit for three in Atlanta and then in June he’s going to have six more games that he’s going to have to sit for at NL parks. I also don’t like the idea of Barton not getting enough time in the field to improve both hitting and fielding and having to rotate him and Sweeney makes it so that Barton spends more time on the bench than I’d like.

I don’t really have the answer. I love Frank Thomas and hope that his bat comes to life and very soon because as we saw in 2006, his bat can make all the difference in the world. But I also think Mike Sweeney looks like he has his old stroke back and probably needs more ABs than he’s currently getting. The problem is that he can’t get them with Thomas in the fold and Barton needing to develop into a great ML player for the long-term health of the franchise. But if the team is really trying to win now, it probably should send Barton down and play Sweeney every day at least until he gets injured (which is likely) or proves the small sample size was an aberration and he’s actually not a very good hitter any more. I just quiver thinking of the A’s defense being Cust in left and Mike Sweeney at first. Ugh.

by Tyler Bleszinski on May 14, 2008 10:36 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Why play Sweeney every day until he's hurt?

Wouldn’t it make more sense to keep giving him 1 or 2 starts a week at first, and a couple at DH, plus some pinch hitting ABs so that he could be around all season?

by mikev on May 14, 2008 10:42 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The June NL swing

might be a convenient demarcation point for Thomas’s status with the team, I think.

Evaluate his performance and trends then, and if he doesn’t seem to be turning things around, it’ll be time for him to go.

re Barton: is he utterly hopeless in the outfield? I imagine it wouldn’t be GOOD, but would it at least be a possibility? He can’t be worse than Cust, can he?

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 10:51 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

We still have Buck....

The A's colors are green and gold.

by mikeA on May 14, 2008 10:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not suggesting it as a long-term thing at all,

just as a stopgap to make sure he’s playing 6 days a week. It would help the team spread playing time around more evenly.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 10:59 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

really?

You don’t think we should cut Frank at the end of May/June/July if he’s still slugging below .350?

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 11:00 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

How often is he getting on base?

If he’s getting on base at a near-.400 clip (like he is now), he’s still very valuable. And he should be hitting 2nd and not 4th.

http://bocropleasestopswingingatbadpitches.blogspot.com/

by thejd44 on May 14, 2008 1:45 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

.350 is not near .400

Season: .345

Last 10 games: .351

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 2:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

HAH! YOU HAVE TO ROUND UP NOW!

He’s closer to .400 than .300 over his last 10 games!!!!!

by mikev on May 14, 2008 2:33 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thomas with the A's

So far:

.267/.384/.350/.734

.384 is pretty close to .400.

by MrIncognito on May 14, 2008 2:50 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

why is his time with the A's somehow differentiated from his season as a whole?

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 3:16 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why is it not?

Why do we care what he did in Toronto? Maybe he was sandbagging it so he could be released and sign with the A’s again. Maybe he the turf in Toronto causes Thomas to be very unlucky.

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 3:19 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

maybe the first 10 games with us, he got lucky

Maybe the last 10 games, when he’s OBP’ed the same as he has all season, is representative.

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 5:07 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

both of those "arguments" are "ludicrous"

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 5:08 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree

They were poor “arguments”. Maybe he was slumping in Toronto. Maybe he was getting off to his typical slow start. Maybe he was deprived from Ellis’ magical powers of the unicorn in Toronto.

"Want me to punchasize your face, for free?" - Rod Farva

by methodrampage on May 14, 2008 6:29 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

now you're talkin'!

We're going to knock balls out of the country's park, for the home team, which is America. @('.')@

by monkeyball on May 14, 2008 6:56 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

A side issue, made more extreme by the Thomas acquisition

IMO (and as far as I know this is not quantifiable) Geren has done a remarkable job of bench management (except for Bowen…I don’t get that). I think there’s a BIG difference between being a bench player on a Macha team, where you’re almost never going to get a PA or any playing time, versus this team, where even if you start out on the bench, odds are you’ll end up in the game sooner or later. I think this helps keep everyone more in the game and more content and productive overall. The Thomas acquisition has made this job harder for Geren, and reduced everyone’s playing time, but at the same time, the way it’s being handled right now, no one (except, again, Bowen) is just rotting on the bench.

Meanwhile, the options for players to be put in specialized roles that maximize their chances for success late in the game I think are quite good. The lament I see a lot is that we don’t have any superstar players. I agree with this generally, and I think the way to handle this is to be really good at putting players in roles and situations where they’re most likely to succeed.

Maybe this is the new undervalued commodity—mixing players who are mediocre overall but seem to excel in certain specific roles.

[apologies for the scatteredness of this; it’s mostly just a ramble of thoughts with no real agenda]

"God doesn't pay attention to your cute little hypotheticals." -- Jeff from LL

by oblique on May 14, 2008 10:47 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah...he was for a while and then vanished...

"God doesn't pay attention to your cute little hypotheticals." -- Jeff from LL

by oblique on May 14, 2008 11:00 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He's on the DL.

And it’s Chris, not Keith…

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 11:08 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

"God doesn't pay attention to your cute little hypotheticals." -- Jeff from LL

by oblique on May 14, 2008 11:40 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He disappeared before that though.

I’m assuming he was injured before going on the DL (‘cause that NEVER happens…). If he comes off the DL and still gets no pt, then I’d be more convinced of a Ginterization scenario.

"God doesn't pay attention to your cute little hypotheticals." -- Jeff from LL

by oblique on May 14, 2008 11:41 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

When he was put on the DL it was retroactive to May 7th, I think

His last start before that was April 29th.

http://bocropleasestopswingingatbadpitches.blogspot.com/

by thejd44 on May 14, 2008 1:47 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's because of their retarded-ass decision

to use him as a PR in a couple of games after the 29th.

Honestly, the way the A’s use the DL is mind-bogglingly dumb.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on May 14, 2008 2:01 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

In ONe Word:

NO…

Pride And Poise!!!

by saint on May 14, 2008 11:48 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

play them all till June

If we think we have a contender, then as A’s have always done, spend the 1st 1/3 of the season to figure out what team we have. This means we try to get everyone some chance to play, and see who can stick. So playing Thomas makes sense. Platooning Barton and Sweeney also makes sense. We are not trying to make a playoff push in May here. Give ‘em a chance to prove themselves. With the high turn-over in the off season and Chavez’s injury, I think this evaluation process should take longer than past years. As long as we are hanging around, I’m OK with letting Barton, Thomas all get significant at bats until June.

by asfansince1989 on May 14, 2008 12:06 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Past RBI's don't predict future RBI's

I think the RBI/Brown argument is missing the point on both sides. Of course the RBI’s Brown hit were good and important and helped us win.

But from a perspective of future production, past RBI’s are not a guarantee of future RBI’s. Hitters who hit well (IE have good stats in general) are likely to have some of those hits in RBI situations. Hitters who haven’t been that great, but have a lot of RBI’s (i.e Brown), are likely to have less RBI’s in the future. If I flipped a coin ten times, and got heads ten times, that doesn’t mean that my likelihood of getting a heads is higher than 50% next time. Likewise, if Brown’s true OBP is around .300, then his past RBI rate is not going to continue.

So both groups are right- Brown has helped the team win so far, but he’s not likely to continue his performance.

by ohmangoAs on May 14, 2008 12:44 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

sweeny

Gotta play Mike Sweeny if the A’s want to increase their chances for playoffs this year. I think the A’s good start has caused “the big rebuild plan” to be slightly reevaluated. Question is will management be so stubborn with their long range plans (barton) as to let a potential opportunity slide this year. I fear the answer is yes. It’s not always wise to let a known opportunity slide for a potential future opportunity. peace out.

by toledo santo on May 14, 2008 12:58 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

BONDS, BARRY BONDS

Let me start by saying that I’ve always respected the A’s, but I’m not a fan. However, as successful as the A’s have been so far, Billy Beane and company sucked it hard by not signing Barry Bonds. Frank Thomas is still effective, but he clogs up the bases and is a sole DH. Bonds, on the other hand, can play some LF, hit home runs (which is an Oakland afterthought), and get on base at least 45% of the time. Do you mean to tell me that Bonds isn’t worth it for at least one year while the A’s make a playoff run?

by stratcat on May 14, 2008 8:50 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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