So after last night’s Huston Street debacle I decided I was going to track my own simple stat which will simply count the games that the A’s “should have won.” I’ve been thinking about doing this for years because unlike Joe Morgan and others, I think April (and now March) games are just as important as September and October games. I guess it’s because they all affect your win-loss record, which in turn affects your playoff chances – but that’s just how I roll.
Anyway, how do you determine what games the A’s “should have won?” I guess I could go all stat geek and look at win expectancy graphs, but I want to do something more subjective and just decide for myself on an every game basis what game the A’s “should have won.” I know this is a bit Joe Morganesque, but what the heck. Because of this subjective nature however, I am inviting everyone else to come up with their own way of deciding what games the A’s “should have won.” Keep track of them and perhaps every month or 30 games we can share our “should have won” tracker and compare how we see things.
A few considerations I will take into account . . . A blown save will almost always translate into a “should have won game” unless the save opportunity is extremely difficult (Street coming into a one rune game with bases loaded and no outs, etc.). But yesterday’s BS is a clear “should have won” game in my opinion. Also, Emil Brown’s attempt to mimick Eric Byrnes alone would also create a “should have won” game. Similarly, taking an 11-0 lead at any time and blowing that game (as the 20 win team almost did), would be a “should have won” game.
I guess if you count “should have won” games, you should also count “should have lost” games to see if things “even out” so to speak, but I honestly don’t have enough time to do this so my game tracking will be admittedly one sided. But if anyone else has the time maybe they can do both.
Again, I am not trying to be objective and admittedly this process will be arbitrary, but I’d like to see if we are collectively on the same page or not. Perhaps at the end of the year we can vote on “should have won” games. Or perhaps we can keep a count on the DLD.
Oh, and just in case you’re wondering. The A’s “should have won” this morning.
“Should have won” games to date: 1