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Staturday: Monday Free Agent Edition

Given the big news of the day … no, the team hasn’t signed a big free agent or come through with another blockbuster trade … the big news is that UZR, the gold standard in defensive stats, is now available for all at the fantastic fangraphs.com. I thought, with this new tool, it might be a good opportunity to look at a few acquisition options.

Randy Johnson

The Big Unit, once one of the biggest stars around, is looking to prolong his stellar career and is likely willing to sign a one year deal in order to make it happen. As I’ve discussed previously, I believe a quality pitcher would be a great addition in 2009 and maybe 2010, but not really a great allocation of resources beyond that.

So how does UZR affect a pitcher? Defense, baby, defense …

Star-divide

The 2008 Oakland Athletics were a much, much better defensive team than the 2008 Diamondbacks.  The A’s were 27 runs better than Average (7th overall – the Rays, Red Sox and Phillies were the clear class of the game, the A’s were in the next tier), while the D-Backs were about 29 runs worse than  average (25th overall, though these figures do not account for players that did not finish the year with that organization) – that’s a net improvement of 56 runs – Johnson pitched 13% of the D-Backs’ innings, so he should, theoretically get 13% of that improvement – 7 runs. We should regress that a bit and then a bit more, since, as a strikeout pitcher, the defense has less of an impact on him, so let’s call it 5 runs.

Now some might point to Johnson pitching in the “easier league” – but the truth is, the AL only scored .017 more runs per inning – which, over the 184 innings Johnson pitched, means a difference of 3 runs. Not really much of a difference – less than the difference in defense. Once you account for park factors and before accounting for his age, we should probably expect his ERA to dip somewhat in Oakland, call it a 3.70 or so, which would be at least half a run and likely a full run per 9 over whoever he’s replacing, roughly 2 wins if he can make 30 starts.

The Boppers: Giambi, Dunn, Burrell

Giambi was 2.5 runs (all figures per 150) worse than average at 1b. Surprisingly, UZR does not think he is a poor defender, at a total of -3.8 per 150 since 2002, bouncing all over the place and not showing any real trends. I will call him 5 runs worse than average.

Dunn was an absolute butcher in the outfield in 2008 at 22.6 runs worse than average.  I do not think he is nearly this bad, for his career he is only -11.8 runs, but he does seem to be trending downwards, as he was close to average through 2004. I will call him 15 runs worse than average, but he may be worse – much worse.  Although it is a very small sample size, he has been even worse at first base, 24.9 runs worse than average over the past four seasons (though only in about 1/3 of a season’s worth of innings). For his career, though, he is only -13.3 so let’s call him 15 runs worse than average here as well.

Burrell was 14.7 runs worse than average in LF, which pretty much matched the average of his previous two seasons. He will likely be 15 runs worse than average.

He has not played first base since 2000. I cannot imagine he will be good at all. I would take Dunn as a guide and call him -15 as well.

All in small sample sizes, thus far, Buck looks like a very good corner outfielder, call him +10 with upside as I’m regressing a fair amount. Sweeney does not look to be nearly as good, I would call him +5. There is not enough data on Cunningham to make any conclusions at all, so we should assume that he is average. They’ll probably end up splitting playing time but adding an outfielder would likely cost 20-25 runs on defense.

Both Dunn and Burrell will probably be about +25 with the bat, while Sweeney will probably be about +5 and Buck, who the heck knows?

All told, if these UZR assumptions are accurate, it makes no sense,  what-so-ever to bring in one of these guys to play outfield, as either would effectively be nothing more than a fourth outfielder, adding excellent depth, but nothing to the starting lineup.

First base, however, offers more possibilities. If Giambi is really as not bad as UZR thinks he is, he would almost certainly be an upgrade over Barton (+5 with the glove, +0 with the bat, though with a ton of upside) , as I would project him at +30 with the bat, adding a projected total of 2 wins at a pretty fair price. If UZR is to be believed, this move would make a lot of sense.

Shifting either Burrell or Dunn to first base would net the team a mere five runs and both have a lot of downside with the glove. I do not see any logic to it.

Replacing Bobby Crosby

A top priority, nay, an obsession, of many here is replacing Bobby Crosby.  According Bobby Crosby has been slightly better than average with the glove over his career and dead neutral in 2008. We should call him +2

Rafael Furcal, for his career has been a bit worse than average and poor in a limited sample size in 2008. For convenience, I will call him -3. So the team would take a five run hit on defense by adding Furcal. He would add about 30 runs on offense, though (-15 to +15), so the change would be a significant upgrade.
Orlando Cabrera would likely be a small defensive upgrade (an improvement of 3 runs or so), while likely average or slightly less than average with the bat for a net improvement of +15. That is surprisingly positive.  For likely a fraction of Furcal’s asking price, Cabrera could be a meaningful upgrade.

Although Cesar Izturis had a strong 2008 at short, he is probably about even with Crosby with the glove.  At about -10 with the bat, he would be a very small upgrade, overall. I do not see how this makes sense, unless somehow we can move Crosby’s contract and bring Izturis in at a lower price. Unlikely.

Conclusions
Randy Johnson is a fantastic target. We should bring him back to the East Bay.

Jason Giambi, based on UZR, looks like a surprisingly good target.  Nick Johnson, by the way, would likely be comparable to Barton with the glove. If he could stay healthy, he would be a fantastic addition. Can he? I’m no doctor …

Cabrera looks like a surprisingly good backup plan if Furcal falls through. Either could be a significant upgrade over Crosby.

 

Poll
Should the A's aggressively pursue Jason Giambi?
Yes
477 votes
No
509 votes

986 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 170 comments |

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Comments

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For the love of all that is holy, no

But then I think I’ve made my position on this one clear.

"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson

by nevermoor on Dec 8, 2008 11:49 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Do you disagree with the assesment of his talents or is it purely his "intangibles"?

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Dec 8, 2008 11:50 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

It's that I think his defense is worse than this metric shows,

his offense is in/near a “falling off a cliff” year, and moving to Oakland will only make both of these flaws more apparent (more foul territory to be responsible for, fewer HRs)

If he can actually be had for 1/5 I imagine we’ll be glad to have him at some point (when the inevitable outfield injuries force Cust to the OF, say) but at any of the 1/9 or 2/15 contracts I imagine he really wants I’m not interested.

"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson

by nevermoor on Dec 9, 2008 7:51 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

the stats don't lie

and 1b/dh types can keep it together longer than other players… just b/c other guys fall of cliffs at this age doesn’t mean giambi will… he isn’t a guy who relies on bad speed like vlad… he has a good strike zone command so as long as he is healthy his decline should be more gradual… ergo I do not see him “falling off a cliff” instead I see him gradually declining, meaning he should still be worthwhile next year, especially if his defense is as good as the stats say it is. even 1/7 would be a bargain for giambi.

your claim of his offense being “in/near falling off cliff year” appears to be pure conjecture at this point.

Cust is the new Jaha.

by johnjahafanclub on Dec 9, 2008 10:30 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

He already fell.

And he still very good.

www.punditpolitics.com - Political IQ Tests, Pundit Blog, News and Opinion.

by ChadGod on Dec 9, 2008 10:39 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

He has been falling for years

And it won’t take much more for him to stop being very good. That fall will be sped up by the Oakland Coliseum.

"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson

by nevermoor on Dec 9, 2008 8:38 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

For me it's the "intangibles"

Do not want.

"Dispatch knuckleheadedness with Bond-like aplomb." –74mk

by iglew on Dec 9, 2008 9:15 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Go after Giambi...

we’ve got no shot at Dunn or Burrell, anyway. And, it looks like Giambi’s the better choice, anyway.

Keep Crosby. All the naysayers will be proved wrong this year.

Clowns to the left of me... Jokers to the right...

by FoolshGame22 on Dec 9, 2008 12:05 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

agree about crosby

the non-furcal possibilities all have warts of their own. i have no stats to back this up, but with some other power in the lineup and coming off a full season last year, i have a gut feeling that crosby will have a nice year.

by jlanning17 on Dec 9, 2008 6:55 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

They have warts, as does Furcal, but Crosby has no good points. He is a wart.

It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver

by WaddellCanseco on Dec 9, 2008 7:20 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

yeah but he's a cheap wart

poor bobby… from AL ROY to a cheap wart

by jlanning17 on Dec 9, 2008 8:05 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I voted yes

But I don’t feel we should “aggressively pursue” him. Wait and see how the market plays out and then maybe by the beginning to the middle of January we can sign him.

Of course I’m all for signing Johnson and Furcal and even trading for the other Johnson so long as we’re not giving up anything that we’ll miss. The most I’d be willing to trade is H-Rod.

"Their batters are patient to the point that it's annoying." -Ryan Franklin

by Helloooo 1st on Dec 9, 2008 12:13 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

so you meant to vote no?

"Not in your wildest alcoholic nightmare would you ever imagine such events unfolding!" Bill King

by Buck Turgidson on Dec 9, 2008 9:51 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I voted yes

Because I wouldn’t mind if we get him. I just dont agree with the aggressively part.

"Their batters are patient to the point that it's annoying." -Ryan Franklin

by Helloooo 1st on Dec 9, 2008 3:29 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I voted no for "aggressively"

I'll send you a postcard from Space Mountain. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Dec 9, 2008 10:04 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Giambi makes more sense than Dunn/Burrell

Giambi also was rather unlucky according to his BABIP this year. Considering he could be almost league average on defense and come on a cheap-ish deal AND wants to come here, I think it does make sense to acquire him. He’ll come on a short deal (likely 1-2 years), won’t cost any picks, and he’ll help the team while we still have Holliday. In this extreme buyer’s market, it makes sense to buy as much as we can. Giambi could be a cheap bargain.

"Loyal? I'm the most loyal player money can buy." - Don Sutton

by vignette17 on Dec 9, 2008 12:16 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

According to THT,

and their new xBABIP formula, Giambi was the 5th unluckiest hitter in baseball (followed directly by Swish). Giambi’s BABIP in 2008 was .234. Now as a slugger who doesn’t run fast and as a guy who you’d put the shift on, Giambi is likely to have a low BABIP, but even if he regresses back to “only” .260 (his xBABIP was .282), that’s .26 points of average.

"Loyal? I'm the most loyal player money can buy." - Don Sutton

by vignette17 on Dec 9, 2008 1:13 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I change my vote to YES

I really like the Cabrera idea

would adding multiple free agents effect our chances of resigning Holliday? I mean on one hand it makes the team more competitive and therefore making it more likely that he would want to stay. But on the other hand, would these signings put us too far over budget to resign him?

by swerv on Dec 9, 2008 12:28 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I've no problem with Cabrera but he's like 50 years old. Isn't he basically a one-year option?

It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver

by WaddellCanseco on Dec 9, 2008 7:21 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

isn't that the beauty of him?

a 1-2 year deal for him would be wonderful. If he plays well, great, we’ve just upgraded our infield. If he sucks, he’s gone soon anyways, and minus the money (and a 2nd rounder) we haven’t lost anything. OTOH if Furcal sucks/gets injured, we’re now on the hook for four years while possibly blocking any future options at SS.

'That's something we do...thirteen hits and not score'-Terrence Long

by DyeLongJustice on Dec 9, 2008 7:32 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Not really

Once he’s gone we’re right back where we are now with no prospects ready

"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson

by nevermoor on Dec 9, 2008 7:52 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

better one year with him than one year without him

not like we have anything going for us right now

'That's something we do...thirteen hits and not score'-Terrence Long

by DyeLongJustice on Dec 9, 2008 8:03 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

We'd be taking far less of a risk ...

to sign him for, say, 2 years … and then sign whoever is available then for another 2 years at a lower overall cost with less overall risk than Rafael Furcal …

Of course, Cabrera is not as good as Furcal and whoever we sign in two years may not be, either …

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Dec 9, 2008 10:16 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

If the A's sign someone to play SS for two years...

what’s the plan for 2011? Internal or shopping spree?

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 9, 2008 11:07 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

probably shopping spree ...

“and then sign whoever is available then for another 2 years at a lower overall cost with less overall risk than Rafael Furcal …”

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Dec 9, 2008 11:31 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Hopefully we'd have internal candidates coming up ...

so we’d prefer another 1-2 year option …

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Dec 9, 2008 11:57 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I think I need caffine

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 9, 2008 11:58 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I think you need a dictionary

I'll send you a postcard from Space Mountain. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Dec 9, 2008 12:13 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

If I waz simulated Id spel gooder

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 9, 2008 12:19 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The only real long term solutions are expensive

they include:

Escobars
Hardy
Insert another prospect here

'That's something we do...thirteen hits and not score'-Terrence Long

by DyeLongJustice on Dec 9, 2008 7:34 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Hardy is hardly a long term solution.

2 years =/= long term.

Unless the A’s extend him, of course.

Dude. This.

by Blicks on Dec 9, 2008 8:00 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

he's 34 with career stats .274/.322/.399

compared with Crosby career stats: .239/.306/.380.

Cabrera is 5 years older, but has been much more durable.

by OaklandSi on Dec 9, 2008 11:13 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The wording of your poll question made my decision easy

I thnk Beane should keep Giambi on the backburner as plan B in case Nick Johnson, Dunn, or Burrell can’t be had reasonably, and then grab Giambi only if he takes a 1 year deal, maybe two years if its incentive based/team option

by diehardoaklandfan22 on Dec 9, 2008 12:49 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Why do you disagree that he's a much better option that Dunn or Burrell?

Even if you disagree with UZR’s assessment of his defense (which is fine, it’s the gold standard, but it’s not perfect), that would merely mean he is as bad as they are, while he is, I would say, a slightly better hitter and, no matter how much you get them down, certainly going to be cheaper.

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Dec 9, 2008 10:19 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Giambi > Nick Johnson

Less of a health risk and as the stats show will lead to more runs. Nick is a good plan B if we can’t get Giambi.

Cust is the new Jaha.

by johnjahafanclub on Dec 9, 2008 10:36 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Nick Johnson is a better baseball player ... if healthy ...

if healthy …

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Dec 9, 2008 11:32 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I do not like these types of posts, to be honest

Or should I say, I do not like the “Lets just say he is "X” runs +/-". If you are going to use numbers to value someone, I’d rather you quote actual stats, not just what you feel it should be.

facepalm.jpg

by Zonis on Dec 9, 2008 12:52 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

If you are looking at it for what you think they should be next year,

then at least quote stats from James, Marcel, PECOTA or ZIPS

facepalm.jpg

by Zonis on Dec 9, 2008 12:53 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

James and Marcel both think Giambi will be above average next year.

Moreso James, with a projected .385 wOBA. Marcel projects .359, still pretty darn good.

I just don’t see what they see. Giambi has been declining since 2005 by just about any metric you use. His w OBA has gone .422, .407, .349 (injury 2007), .377. Even if you write off 2007 because of injury, that’s a consistent decline in production, and his BABIP has been relatively the same the past 3 years, hovering right around .260.

So I guess somehow he’s going to get quite a bit better next year according to James, or continue his decline according to Marcel.

My question is, if he’s closer to the .359 wOBA that Marcel projects him, how much better is he going to be (factoring in defense) than Daric Barton and his projected .333 wOBA and 1 win advantage defensively? I don’t know how wOBA can be correlated to wins like +/- can, so I can’t answer that, but I suspect that the answer is “Giambi isn’t enough of an improvement to be worth spending 8 million dollars on”

by mikev on Dec 9, 2008 7:53 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Marcel doesn't account for park, I don't think

That .359 would drop considerably in Oakland.

by thejd44 on Dec 9, 2008 10:37 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Well I will say this

Defense might help win games, but offense puts buts in the seats. Sure, you have to combine it with an at least decent pitching staff (else you get Texas) but fans like an exciting offense that makes you always in the game, rather than what we’ve had lately-no offense and dispair if we get down a run.

facepalm.jpg

by Zonis on Dec 9, 2008 10:38 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

what do you think helps more

A great defensive play that saves a pitcher a couple runs OR a 3-run Jimmy Jack that saves a pitcher from a loss? Which is better for the pitchers mentally? this is an honest question not a rhetorical slam on any comment.
      the defense helps the ptichers stats but the HR is more fun!

You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}

by micdog2001 on Dec 9, 2008 10:42 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Holliday is exciting to be sure

but a Holliday, Cust, Giambi, healthy Chavez, and improved Barton (based on Giambi’s influence) would be freakin awesome! throw in Ellis, Sweeny, Buck/Cunningham(?), and a walk year Crosby and I’m drooling (compared to the 2008 offense mind you). Add Furcal and you got a ineup for the ages. Maybe I’m being too optimistic : -)
    And after proof reading my comment there is the problem of getting Giambi, Cust, and Barton in the same lineup. Sacrfice youth and defense (Buck/Cunningham) and put Cust in LF, G at DH and Barton at 1B?

You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}

by micdog2001 on Dec 9, 2008 11:18 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

what puts ifs and ands in seats, though?

I'll send you a postcard from Space Mountain. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Dec 9, 2008 11:00 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Winning baseball games puts butts in the seats

The Twins haven’t hit this entire decade, but the fans show up when they’re at the top of the AL Central.

by thejd44 on Dec 9, 2008 11:57 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not so sure about the 1B defense

I don’t think any of us have much of an idea what Burrell or Dunn can do there. While the UZR at Fangraphs doesn’t think Giambi is that bad, I think there are reasons to be skeptical.

1) The STATS based UZR had him at -11 runs per 150 games from 2003 through mid-2007.
2) Dewan has him at 34 plays below average in limited playing time over the past 3 years.
3) He’s looking at a pretty steep age penalty for his fielding projections going forward.

I would stick with Barton unless they can swing a good deal for NJ.

As for Cabrera, I’m not sure how much cheaper he’d be than Furcal, especially after taking the lost 2nd round draft pick into consideration.

by Danny on Dec 9, 2008 12:53 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I don't want Cabrera

I’d rather stick with inhouse cheap options and keep the picks, and wait till either someone valuable comes on the market or Cardenas is ready (assuming he can stick at SS for a year or two).

We can use that money towards something else (D/B/G or Extending Holliday, etc…)

facepalm.jpg

by Zonis on Dec 9, 2008 12:57 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Of course, it depends on how cheap he will be.

If he will come on a Renteria-type deal, sure.

If he’ll take 3-4 years? Hell no.

Dude. This.

by Blicks on Dec 9, 2008 5:50 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm assuming he'll come in on a two year deal.

Well, or at least hoping.

'That's something we do...thirteen hits and not score'-Terrence Long

by DyeLongJustice on Dec 9, 2008 7:06 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The inhouse options are not major league players though.

It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver

by WaddellCanseco on Dec 9, 2008 7:22 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I was under the impression that UZR didn't take into account fly balls for infielders or scooping.

Barton’s become a good splitting scooper and is a lot better on foul pops since that boner at the beginning of the year. Giambi has to be worse than that.

It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver

by WaddellCanseco on Dec 9, 2008 7:29 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

that was my first thought too

specifically, I think a -15 for Burrell at first base might actually be generous. I realize it’s hard for a first baseman to be -20, but Pat Burrell hasn’t fielded major league grounders in eight years. The last time he did, it was only part-time duty, and for a season.

I think he could conceivably be worse than Dunn at first – which is really saying something.

"I'll make a list for the record. These people should be trusted: Sal, andeux, rfloh, danny...and no one else. Certainly not me. And even extra super-certainly not NSJ."

by notsellingjeans on Dec 9, 2008 2:11 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Question for the statistical gurus to think about...

Between 2001 and 2006, Eric Chavez was a surgeon at third, winning six straight gold gloves. Unfortunately, back and shoulder problems have plagued him for the past couple of years and he’s never really made it back from any of his attempted comebacks.

That said, he has been publicly optimistic about being completely healthy by Spring Training. Last year, the A’s acquired Jack Hannahan as a sort of replacement, and although he has proven himself Crosby-esque with the bat, he has been very solid with the glove.

Obviously, a healthy Chavez would produce much more than Hannahan over a full season, but a healthy Chavez is far from a sure thing. So all things considered, from a STRICTLY DEFENSIVE point of view, who ya got in 2009? Hannahan or Chavez?

by NateHST on Dec 9, 2008 12:54 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I'm not a stat guru but I choose Hannahan. Chavez is an orthopedic patient.

It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver

by WaddellCanseco on Dec 9, 2008 7:23 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

Based on UZR ...

I’d expect Chavvy to be +5, though there is both risk (that age and injury will continue to take their toll and he will continue to fall off) and potential reward (that he could get completely healthy and bounce back to his earlier days) …

I’d expect Hannahan to be +8 (that is based on a fairly limited sample size and was regressed a bit)

They should both be good to very good, Hannahan is probably slightly better — but not enough that it would make sense to move Chavvy off the position.

Also, Chavvy was good, but overrated when he was winning all of those gold gloves …

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Dec 9, 2008 10:28 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

bite your tongue!

 ah man, your probably right (fond memories crushed)

You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}

by micdog2001 on Dec 9, 2008 10:45 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Furcal, and a four year contract...

Is sounding worse and worse. I’ve off the Koolaid. Furcal at 3 years or Cabrera, but no not O-Cab, A-Cab – Asdrubal. Something about bad defense that I can’t handle. The thought of Furcal having bad defense to begin with, and then all his injury issues screams hardcore regression to me.

I voted no, because I don’t think we should aggressively pursue Giambi, but we should pursue him and allow Barton to ripen if nothing else.

Lets spend where the price is right. Johnson for sure, Giambi over Furcal because really if Furcal can get his same offer from the Dodgers at 2/25 (not sure that he will be able to) then the A’s will have to significantly top that and I don’t care for it.

Have we talked about Ben Sheets yet?

www.punditpolitics.com - Political IQ Tests, Pundit Blog, News and Opinion.

by ChadGod on Dec 9, 2008 1:09 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

We just got rid of Ben Sheets.

His name was Rich Harden.

"To this day and dating back 25 years, before every game he plays, Henderson stands completely naked in front of a full length locker room mirror and says, "Ricky’s the best," for several minutes."

by VORP is too nerdy on Dec 9, 2008 4:48 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

That actually makes less sense..

now that I read it again.

"To this day and dating back 25 years, before every game he plays, Henderson stands completely naked in front of a full length locker room mirror and says, "Ricky’s the best," for several minutes."

by VORP is too nerdy on Dec 9, 2008 4:49 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

you're right

Harden was healthier.

facepalm.jpg

by Zonis on Dec 9, 2008 10:40 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Furcal isn't bad defensively ...

just slightly below average …

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Dec 9, 2008 10:34 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Thats Randy Johnson btw, not Nick

www.punditpolitics.com - Political IQ Tests, Pundit Blog, News and Opinion.

by ChadGod on Dec 9, 2008 10:47 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

my brother's Little League also scored .017 more runs/inning than the NL

so I guess the hitters in his league is comparable too?

I realize there are probably some reasons your comparison is sort of legitimate, but from a pure statistics standpoint I disapprove. I really dislike it when journalists compare the AL and NL without crossing the two (via interleague play, or players switching leagues, or anything else).

but I digress. [revs up engine to Giambi bandwagon, peels out over nevermoor]

Save Rajai Davis

by oakinboston on Dec 9, 2008 5:20 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

{comforts the angels sobbing over oakinboston's decision}

"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson

by nevermoor on Dec 9, 2008 7:57 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

They're in the outfield...

You can’t see them?

"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson

by nevermoor on Dec 9, 2008 9:20 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Whatever happened to JP?

I assumed that kid would become huge after that movie.

"To this day and dating back 25 years, before every game he plays, Henderson stands completely naked in front of a full length locker room mirror and says, "Ricky’s the best," for several minutes."

by VORP is too nerdy on Dec 9, 2008 9:46 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Would you disapprove if I said that I was comparing the run environments ...

and not the talent levels? ‘cause that’s what I was doing.

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Dec 9, 2008 12:39 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Using the run environments doesn't make sense....

Let’s say for the sake of argument that the AL has all of the top 50% of hitters and pitchers, and the NL has all of the bottom 50%. The run environments of the two leagues would be about the same (AL would be a bit higher from the DH), but an NL pitcher going to the AL would project to have a much worse ERA than in the NL.

The A's colors are green and gold.

by mikeA on Dec 9, 2008 12:45 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Using the run environment may be incomplete but it does not not make sense ...

would you say a pitcher going from the AL to Colorado should see his stats improve?

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Dec 9, 2008 12:53 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes it does not make sense

For an AL pitcher going to Colorado you would adjust his stats down for the park factor, and up from the league adjustment (not calculated from the “league run environment” which doesn’t tell you anything.) I would expect that pitcher’ s road stats would improve.

The A's colors are green and gold.

by mikeA on Dec 9, 2008 1:04 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

And you would adjust his stats up ...

because he is going to a league with a more favorable run environment and, arguably, down, because he is going to a league with less talented hitters …

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Dec 9, 2008 1:33 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

No.

If his price drops enough and its a 1 year deal, fine.

I doubt that happens though.

YES to Randy though.

Dude. This.

by Blicks on Dec 9, 2008 5:56 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I advocated a pro-Cabrera campaign on another post the other day.

While I did not discuss his merits quite as eloquently, I cam to the conclusion that he’s going to be between a 1-2 win upgrade over Crosby. What you don’t mention in this post is the health histories of all the players. Cabrera has a strong history of staying healthy (though he is getting old) while Crosby does not an Furcal has that back issue. In synchrony with this is that Randy Johnson is 45 and hasn’t exactly been the model of health over the past few years. It is unlikely that he gets anywhere near 30 starts (notice I said unlikely, not impossible). If I’m Beane, I’ll go with a Giambi, RJ, and Cabrera signing to fire up our offense for next year. This way, we are left with short term deals in case any one of these players decides to suck/get injured, thus leaving open spaces for our youngsters in 2010 and beyond.

'That's something we do...thirteen hits and not score'-Terrence Long

by DyeLongJustice on Dec 9, 2008 7:03 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Yes, all these statistical projections for Furcal and the rest have assumed pretty good if not perfect

health. I’ve not seen a projection for Furcal that ends with “Now divide by two because his back could give out at any second”.

It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver

by WaddellCanseco on Dec 9, 2008 7:27 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

No long term deals

  After the redmond/rhodes deals lets stick to 2 year deals. Giambi no way more than 2 years. And no injury prone players. The DL list can’t take it anymore.

by Arcman on Dec 9, 2008 7:06 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

But it's been building up its capacity for the past few years. Its good to go.

It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver

by WaddellCanseco on Dec 9, 2008 7:27 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't see it

  this years free agents are not worth longer than 2 year deals unless they are out of the A’s price range.

by Arcman on Dec 9, 2008 7:35 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Who's out of their price range unless they play to sign Holliday long term?

It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver

by WaddellCanseco on Dec 9, 2008 8:16 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Short Term

I say we go after Randy Johnson.

I’d be willing to offer up $3.5 for a 1 year deal with incentives up to $4.5. I’d also be willing to offer him a 2-year deal worth $5-6.5, as a vet it would do a lot of good for our young studs to learn all they can from The Big Unit and get some considerable time with him over 2 years as they make their way to the big league club.

NO! to Nick Johnson, i don’t want to add another old vet coming off an injury, plus he would take time away from Cust-Holliday-Barton.

OK to Giambi. We all know he has a great eye for the strike zone and would be looking to show he has high value by signing a one-year deal.

I say we stick with Crosby or get Fulcar if he ends up with his D in his hand at the end of the winter talks and we can get him for less. There are a bunch of FA Shortstops out there and i’m sure we can find one at a cut rate 1 year deal.

If we can’t get Fulcar i say we pocket that money and possibly try for Holliday at the end of the season. Oakland with a hot-fire young rotation, good young outfield talent and a few vets at the DH and 2B would be a great team to contend. I think Holliday would consider a few years in Oakland if it meant a realistic chance of getting a ring.

It's just more exciting with Billy Beane running the team.

by ru155 on Dec 9, 2008 7:38 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Nick Johnson

I’m currently in D.C. and have seen Johnson play, we already have a walk machine in Cust and I think Giambi would be a better pick up over Johnson. Giambi has managed to stay healthy.

It's just more exciting with Billy Beane running the team.

by ru155 on Dec 9, 2008 7:40 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Randy Johnson

I would be shocked if RJ accepted that salary. Wasn’t he asking for something like 10M a year? Although I think he could be had for less, I doubt it will be as low as 35% of his initial asking price. A seven or eight million dollar one year deal could possibly get it done. Keep in mind that there are other teams interested in his services. The only advantage the A’s have is that he grew up an Oakland fan.

by AEP2007 on Dec 9, 2008 7:43 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Apologize

The above post was intended to be a reply to ru155.

by AEP2007 on Dec 9, 2008 7:48 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Salary

Well, I was going off of the ESPN site mentioning that Johnson declined the DBacks arbitration deal when they offered him $2.5M when he was looking for $6.5M

I figure if he thinks he can get on a contender (hopefully we are one) at about $5.0M for a team with a small budget and a fan base totally in support of him, maybe he would do that with incentives up to $6.5M.

I’m just trying to look at it in terms of what the A’s will have available cash-wise to pick up some bonus components like The Unit.

It's just more exciting with Billy Beane running the team.

by ru155 on Dec 9, 2008 7:49 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Multi-Year

I also think we could get him by offering a 2 year deal. I think he’d be worth a 2 year deal.

It's just more exciting with Billy Beane running the team.

by ru155 on Dec 9, 2008 7:52 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Randy won't need a 2 year deal.

I’m pretty sure he only wants to hit his milestones, which he most likely will hit this season and retire.

A 2 year deal to a 40+ year old pitcher is not a smart idea, period. Stick with the one year, just up the base salary.

Dude. This.

by Blicks on Dec 9, 2008 7:59 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

agree

  A 1-year 7 million deal with incentives should do it and worth it.

by Arcman on Dec 9, 2008 8:30 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

It might take more than 7MM, with other competitors in the running

but shouldn’t take more than 10MM over 1 year. Which is well worth it.

Dude. This.

by Blicks on Dec 9, 2008 8:35 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

I’m pretty confident RJ will be worth whatever 1-year deal he signs for.

"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson

by nevermoor on Dec 9, 2008 9:20 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

That's where you hope

he actually wants to play for Oakland. I can’t speak for anyone else, but what better way to end your career than by hitting your milestones and capping a hall of fame career for the team you grew up cheering for.

by AEP2007 on Dec 9, 2008 9:32 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

+1

at least it would be a nice storybook ending. Although what about RJ returning to Seattle where his playing career began? That seems even more Hollywoodish.

You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}

by micdog2001 on Dec 9, 2008 10:18 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Except Seattle is less likely to contend than Oakland.

If they’re smart, their best player, Beltre, is being traded for a haul.

Dude. This.

by Blicks on Dec 9, 2008 11:12 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

true dat

You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}

by micdog2001 on Dec 9, 2008 11:19 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Defensive metrics aside...

I haven’t forgotten all the craptastic times in which Giambi screwed up a basic throw to second base.

I am Ray Fosse's infatuations with Clay Wood and high-definition television.

by franks a lot on Dec 9, 2008 8:09 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

2001 Game 5 Yankee Stadium.

There. I said it.

It's not the results, it's how you look going about those results -- Tim McCarver

by WaddellCanseco on Dec 9, 2008 8:18 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

A game he was also 4-4 and drove in 2 of the 3 runs.

I think he made up for the one throwing error that night trying to get Knoblauch.

Bring back Hammer.

by OaktownPower on Dec 9, 2008 9:18 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Randy Is Going to Sign With a Potential Winner

We may use statistical analysis to realize that the A’s may contend in 2009, but I doubt that most of the players do. Randy probably sees that the A’s lost out to the Angels by 23 games, and have only added Holliday since. If the A’s don’t make another big move before Randy gets signed, they won’t get him. Heck, I bet he sees the Giants as a more viable option. The division is more up for grabs, it’s the easier National League, the team has been more aggressive in the free agent market, and would get to go head to head with the team that just dumped him.

I really thought it would go something like Holiday, Furcal, Johnson (Randy), then Hinske. But without Furcal that chain is broken.

by runnerJ on Dec 9, 2008 8:38 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

As a Giants fan, I approve of this comment

I do think that he has to like the idea of pitching alongside Lincecum, Cain, Zito and Sanchez. That said, the Giants would probably have to get another bat, before Ugly would take them seriously.

¿Julio is tourist in San Francisco? Harper's Bizarre!

by hairball on Dec 10, 2008 11:05 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Furcal offer still on table

  Reports are from 2 sites that the A’s have not pulled it off the table. A report says the BJ are after Furcal now. It looks like Beane is in the wait and see what happens mode.

by Arcman on Dec 9, 2008 9:25 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

why would the jays go for furcal?

they have scutaro at ss, hill at 2b, and more pressing needs elsewhere

Cust is the new Jaha.

by johnjahafanclub on Dec 9, 2008 10:49 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

MLB trade rumors now reporting

that the Dodgers have made re-signing a top priority. I suspect that Furcal signs with the Dodgers if they offer three years.

by OaklandSi on Dec 9, 2008 10:49 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

would that not mean that

the Dodgers are giving up on Sabathia and Manny? would the really want to give up on manny to sign furcal? what will they do about pitching?

Cust is the new Jaha.

by johnjahafanclub on Dec 9, 2008 10:54 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Does that free up DeJesus or Hu as possible trade bait?

That is, if Furcal signs with LA…

I am Ray Fosse's infatuations with Clay Wood and high-definition television.

by franks a lot on Dec 9, 2008 10:55 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm wondering what was the impact on Giambi's

UZR defensive performance of not being an everyday first baseman for the Yankees last season? Dunn and Burrell were basically everyday outfielders, so they had more opportunities to display their below average skills.

I wouldn’t oppose a Cabrera signing – except that as a Type A free agent who was offered arbitration he would cost the A’s two draft picks, right? I’m mindful that since the A’s only won 75 games last season they should have a pretty high first round draft pick next June.

Cabrera is not great, but he handles the bat alot better than Crosby, and he plays a decent shortstop.

by OaklandSi on Dec 9, 2008 9:28 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

This isn't really directed at you OaklandSi,

but it is related somewhat to your post. I remember reading somewhere (don’t ask where, no idea) that the A’s first round pick is protected. What the hell does that mean? And if it actually is, what determines whether a teams first round pick is protected or not? For all i know, there may be no such thing as protected draft picks. If anyone can clarify this, I would appreciate it.

by AEP2007 on Dec 9, 2008 9:37 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

protecting 1st rounder

  I do believe if you are a team that is in the top 10 of drafting you 1st rounder is protected when you sign a A type free agent. I know when Tejada was signed they got a 2nd rounder and not the O’s first rounder. That being said the a’s will only lose a 2nd round pick if they sign Cabrera. I may be wrong but I do believe to have read that.

by Arcman on Dec 9, 2008 9:48 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Right

It’s a question of how high your pick is (either top-10 or top-15).

We wouldn’t lose another pick, but the team losing a type A also gets a pick in the “supplemental” round between round 1 and round 2.

In other words, if a team that did well the season before signs a type-A they lose their first rounder. If a team that did poorly signs one, they lose their second rounder.

"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson

by nevermoor on Dec 9, 2008 9:50 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

This is correct

Top 15.

Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.

by PaulThomas on Dec 9, 2008 12:14 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Do you know ...

is it specifically the top 15 picks … or is Arizona’s pick (#16) still protected because it should have been in the top 15, if the Nats didn’t receive the 10th pick as compensation?

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Dec 9, 2008 12:25 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Hmmm... good question.

Nats’ 10th pick is a comp pick so I’d think Arizona’s pick would be protected. Good question for BA.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 9, 2008 12:27 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

that's what happened with us and zito

we got a pretty crappy pick (sandwich round or 2nd rounder) because the giants were not good and had high picks. i also remember that year moises alou netted 2 picks from the mets. so freaking unfair…

by guy incognito on Dec 9, 2008 9:52 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Word

Thanks for the information. That definitely helps clear things up.

by AEP2007 on Dec 9, 2008 11:10 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Top 15

Dude. This.

by Blicks on Dec 9, 2008 11:12 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Rosenthal is reporting that the A's have inquired about Cabrera

but their interest is “very mild”, and he thinks they’re more likely to start the 2009 season with Crosby at SS.

by OaklandSi on Dec 9, 2008 12:14 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Cool

Puts pressure on Furcal and explores other options.

Dude. This.

by Blicks on Dec 9, 2008 12:24 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I think signing Giambi could positivly affect the A's offense

just by teaching Barton about hitting. Kind of like Frank Thomas and Nick Swisher in 2006 (did you know Swisher had exactly 141 hits in 06 and 07 but his homers became doubles (HR 35 – 22, doubles 24 + 36.)
   Maybe G could help Barton and Ryan Sweeney in the power department? (psst, stick this needle in you butt cheek and you’ll be hitting bombs all over the yard, oh and wear this thong.)

You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}

by micdog2001 on Dec 9, 2008 10:36 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I have a problem with this statement:

“Now some might point to Johnson pitching in the "easier league" – but the truth is, the AL only scored .017 more runs per inning – which, over the 184 innings Johnson pitched, means a difference of 3 runs. Not really much of a difference – less than the difference in defense”

This doesn’t actually make sense. Nobody has argued that the NL is “easier” because just the offense is better in the AL. The ENTIRE TALENT POOL is better overall. So the AL teams scored .017 more runs per inning, which is probably because of the pitcher hitting fact. But here’s the thing: AL offenses are playing AL pitchers most of the time. I don’t see how citing this stat proves your point at all.

The AL is better. Significantly. Most win projections consider the AL half a win better.

by thejd44 on Dec 9, 2008 10:42 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

this is exactly right

AL is superior. gotta downgrade RJ for being in the weaak sauce NL West. His stats will be a lot worse in the AL. If we can get him for 3.5mil-5mil sure sign him but not for anything more than that he probably will put up a 4.5-5.00 era and then get hurt half way through the season that is not worth 8 mil.

Cust is the new Jaha.

by johnjahafanclub on Dec 9, 2008 10:52 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

ERA+ is adjusted for that.

RJ had a 117 ERA+ last year. If he is capable of a 110 ERA+ in Oakland, that’s worth a 1 year deal for 8M or so.

by mikev on Dec 9, 2008 10:55 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

To your point ...

there are a number of studies done recently that show the gap in talent is very small, at best.

And it does make sense — because the official difference between the two leagues (the DH) makes a big difference in terms of the offensive environment that pitchers pitch in.

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Dec 9, 2008 11:41 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Hmmm

what studies are those?

this (including comments) suggests the AL has much better pitching and slightly better to more than slightly better hitting. It would take quite a bit to persuade me that the difference is small given the AL’s continued interleague dominance. In any case, using r/inning in the two leagues doesn’t really tell you anything.

The A's colors are green and gold.

by mikeA on Dec 9, 2008 12:41 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

It tells you about the run environment ... not about the talent level ...

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Dec 9, 2008 12:50 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Run! Environment!

I'll send you a postcard from Space Mountain. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Dec 9, 2008 1:32 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

: - )

good one

You have to include smiley faces - Poppy
;- ) :- ) :-O : -> : -] : -}

by micdog2001 on Dec 9, 2008 1:51 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

this is what

I noted above
To devo’s point below: I have also read studies saying the NL AL gap is not as big as it’s made out to be. Still, I disapprove of his choice of comparison

Save Rajai Davis

by oakinboston on Dec 9, 2008 12:34 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I guess that's my real point

Maybe the AL/NL gap isn’t as big as I think it is, but the numbers he cited don’t prove that.

by thejd44 on Dec 10, 2008 12:00 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

welcome back giambi...

i guess we can forget long term deals to a dunn/burrell…those seemed like longshots anyway

From Baseball Prospectus:

"�"Jason Giambi appears headed back to the Athletics as a free agent and an annoucement could come at the meetings as the first baseman/designated hitter lives in Las Vegas."

www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=1119

furcal is an idiot…good riddens

�"Free-agent shortstop Rafael Furcal may regret turning down a four-year, $35 million offer from the Athletics last week, as it seems no other team is willing to go that high on him. If Furcal�TMs price drops, the Dodgers could re-enter the picture and re-sign him, although the Blue Jays and Indians have also expressed interest in recent days.

by Asfan4ever723 on Dec 9, 2008 11:00 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

the onlyreason signing dunn/burrell

seemed like good option since they’d acctually be here if and when holliday left

so for 09…this either means they spend to keep holliday here or back to the same offense like before

by Asfan4ever723 on Dec 9, 2008 11:02 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Shit.

Please prove me wrong this year :(

by mikev on Dec 9, 2008 11:04 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

rotoworld reported that Giambi expected to sign with the A's

but I sincerely doubt that they would offer him the three year contract he’s reportedly seeking…at least I hope they wouldn’t…

by OaklandSi on Dec 9, 2008 11:06 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

ohhhh fuck no
–Jason Giambi appears headed back to the Athletics as a free agent, and an announcement could come at the meetings as the first baseman/designated hitter lives in Las Vegas.

Perotto

cries

Unless BB got Giambi to take a cheap deal this early in the offseason…

Dude. This.

by Blicks on Dec 9, 2008 11:52 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I hope not.

I can somewhat live with a 1 year deal. 3 is sick.

Dude. This.

by Blicks on Dec 9, 2008 12:24 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Giambi in his age 41 season

would be a terrible thing to pay money for.

"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson

by nevermoor on Dec 9, 2008 8:44 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I can't help but enjoy this moment.

Assuming this is true, looks like Billy and co are in the camp of Barton as ‘not very good yet.’ I will be pleased when you and nevermoor are forced to accept that after all of your repetitive whining/anti-Giambi trolling, the research of our front office suggests you are wrong.

That being said, please don’t let this be a three-year contract. No way it is. I’m betting 1-year at $7 million with incentives to $9.5 million, and a team option second year with a similar number and a $1 million buyout.

www.punditpolitics.com - Political IQ Tests, Pundit Blog, News and Opinion.

by ChadGod on Dec 9, 2008 12:12 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

be honest

the giambi haters are blinded by their emotional hatred for him turning us down for the evil empire in 2001… you are unable to judge his worth impartially based on his stats

Cust is the new Jaha.

by johnjahafanclub on Dec 9, 2008 12:28 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

"Have you been to Oakland?"

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Dec 9, 2008 12:31 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Bingo

but I would hold my nose for a one year commitment if he’s able to be productive.

by OaklandSi on Dec 9, 2008 12:34 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

well I still harbor pent up hatred for him for 2001

especially his comment about the A’s “not caring about winning”

and I STILL think this would be a great move, despite said emotions.

Cust is the new Jaha.

by johnjahafanclub on Dec 9, 2008 2:11 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

My opposition to Giambi has nothing to do with 2001

And everything to do with the fact that his good performance years are in the past, where we shouldn’t be paying for them.

"There's never enough time to do all the nothing you want" -Bill Watterson

by nevermoor on Dec 9, 2008 8:45 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

My emotional disdain is very limited.

I lack a soul.

In all seriousness, I swear, no emotional stuff.

Dude. This.

by Blicks on Dec 9, 2008 12:33 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I wasn't an A's fan in 2001

And I think signing Giambi would be a terrible idea that would really dampen my excitement for the 2009 season.

by thejd44 on Dec 10, 2008 12:03 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Trying to not get fired up yet...

Sooo hope this is true.

Bring back Hammer.

by OaktownPower on Dec 9, 2008 12:23 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I question the gold standard claim

Dewan’s Plus/Minus system has Giambi as the 3rd worst defensive 1B over the last 3 years at -30, including a -18 last year. That’s a huge difference versus UZR.

So, has anyone done a death match comparison between Plus/Minus and UZR?

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 9, 2008 12:05 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

We need a defensive-rating-system rating system

If defensive rating systems require roughly 3 years of data to establish an accurate picture, would defensive-rating-system rating systems be additive or multiplicative in how much data they’d require for reliability?

I'll send you a postcard from Space Mountain. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Dec 9, 2008 12:15 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I think we need to get salb on this

Blez, cut the genius a No-Check already!

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 9, 2008 12:21 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think Dewan's is anything special, actually.

But it could be because I regularly hear him on the radio in Chicago and while I wouldn’t go as far as to call him a hack, he says a lot that leads me to question his methods even though his heart (and mind) is in the right place.

by thejd44 on Dec 10, 2008 12:04 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

If poor personal skills really undermind sound analytical analysis

then we’ve pretty much got to ban PT.

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 10, 2008 7:52 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Absolutely

The monster at the end of this blog.

by grover on Dec 10, 2008 4:55 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Aggressively?!

That word causes my vote to be “no”.

by LowcountryJoe on Dec 9, 2008 2:57 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

thanks Devo

looking at Giambi’s UZR—as well as his xBABIP from a year ago—I went from “Hell no” to “Hell yeah!”

As for the intangibles, he’d be great with the young guys. And while it still chaps me a bit that he left for a better chance to win with the Yankees, the fact that he didn’t win with the Yankees kind of cancels out any resentment.

by scatterbrian on Dec 9, 2008 4:10 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Ned Colletti needs to stay out of the Furcal bidding

and stick to Manny.

Ned is one to offer a ton of years and a ton of money (as in 50++ MM) to an injury prone player.

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2008/writers/tom_verducci/12/09/verducci.cuts/index.html?eref=writers

Dude. This.

by Blicks on Dec 9, 2008 4:40 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

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Let's Go Oakland: Keep the A's
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Organizational Statistics: Winter Leagues
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My Rant Against The Champions And MLB In General

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