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So Am I Wrong About Bobby Crosby?

Most of you have probably seen Mychael Urban’s article on the middle infield, but I thought it was worth taking another look at the Crosby section, especially when my personal position appears to be in direct opposition.

On the other side of second base for the A's this year will again be the unfortunate soul whose recent injury history has turned him into anything but a Sure Thing in the minds of many A's fans.

Shortstop Bobby Crosby, the 2004 American League Rookie of the Year, has made five trips to the disabled list over the past three seasons, limiting him to fewer than 100 games each year, and he bottomed out in 2007 by batting .226 with eight homers, 31 RBIs and a .278 on-base percentage -- all career lows -- before missing the final 62 games with a broken bone in his left hand.

As a result, Crosby, who turned 27 earlier this month, has been the target of some vicious criticism on blogs and Web message boards. Among the printable labels with which he's been affixed are "bust," "fragile" and "useless."

Well, I object from the get-go on behalf of my contribution to this blog. I believe I had the temerity to use labels such as "overrated", "undisciplined", and "for-the-love-of-everything-sacred-and-holy-in-the-game-of-baseball-should-not-be-batting-third".

Crosby's teammates, however, virtually jump to his defense, calling the criticism unfair at best. And Ellis is at the front of the line.

Mark Ellis is adorable, but an unreliable witness. What is he supposed to say? "You know, Crosby kind of sucks at the plate?"  

"I don't think it's fair at all," Ellis sternly offered when the topic surfaced in September. "He's out right now with a broken hand because he got hit by a 98-mph fastball. He's been on the DL with a broken ankle [2005] after a collision at home plate. He's been on the DL after getting drilled in the ribs [2005]. He's missed time after getting spiked at the bag [2006]. That kind of stuff happens in this game. It's not like he's sitting out with something you can't see on an X-ray or with your own eyes. It's not like he's dogging it in rehab. "He's just been super unlucky. Sooner or later, his luck's going to turn and he's going to be the player that everyone in this room knows he can be."

Okay, see, I agree with the injury portion of the article. I don’t blame Crosby for his injuries. If you can truly label someone ‘prone to freak, not reoccurring, injuries’, Crosby would have that stuck to his forehead. It’s not his fault that he’s been injured, and just to set the record straight, I am not objecting to Crosby as a baseball player because I feel that he’s an injury risk. However, I could have been the person who broached the logical follow-up inquiry:

When it was pointed out to Geren that Crosby wasn't particularly good when he was healthy last season, he bristled.

Why? That seems like a simple observation to me.

"For one thing, he missed out on most of last offseason because of back problems that cost him time in Spring Training, and that impacts you for longer than some people might realize," Geren explained. "I don't think anybody in the organization is down on Bobby at all, because we know he's had some freak injuries over the past few years, and we know how hard that can be on a guy's development. You get hurt, you come back, you start to feel like you're getting back on track, and then you get hurt again and have to start all over again.

"That's what it's been like for Bobby since his rookie year. He gets off track, he gets on track, he gets knocked off again. When you miss time with injuries and you're always coming back, you're going to struggle to find your way until you can get an entire healthy offseason, a full Spring Training and a healthy season all put together, one after another. That's all Bobby needs. I truly believe that."

"He's ready to go," Geren said. "I'll tell you what, he's a guy I'm really pulling for. He deserves a nice run of good health here, and when he gets it, you're going to see a pretty special player."

I realize that injuries (especially back injuries) will affect overall performance as a player tries to put together a full season of stats, but isn’t it illogical to assume that a player will be a superstar simply because he’s healthy? In my opinion (and feel free to disagree), Bobby Crosby, even during his healthy year(s), didn’t show even a flash of this quality, which leads me to believe that Crosby’s injuries may actually be unrelated to his baseline talent.

There is a reason A’s fans cling to the dream of Rich Harden--despite his very real (and very earned) label of "fragile"--when healthy, Harden is among the elite pitchers in the entire league. He hasn’t had much of a chance to prove it, but the talent is there, even as a faint memory over the last few years. I can’t put Crosby in even the same conversation, even though I think it’s a thousand percent more likely for Crosby to finish a full season than Harden.

Crosby not only hasn’t teased us with the promise of greatness; right now, many doubt he can even be a serviceable major league hitter, despite what the A’s party line is. I realize I am not a scout, nor a GM, nor a manager, nor in any real way connected to or employed by the Oakland A’s, but I have seen Crosby in probably two-thirds of his major league plate appearances. If there’s a tremendous amount of potential there, it is swallowed up by The Bases-Loaded Popup and the Slider Three Feet Off The Plate. And until I can get a real answer for fundamental batting problems, including a seeming refusal to adjust at the plate, I simply can’t buy the hard-luck injury smoke-and-mirrors story as explaining away what frustrates me about this particular player.

Yet at the same time, I am sad, because I want Crosby to be good. He looks great out there; all shiny in his uniform, with a body that fits the quintessential baseball mold, a dad who played the game and was a part of the organization, and a real, likable personality that would serve him well in the limelight.

I’m just not convinced he’ll ever be in it.

Poll
I'm leading towards
Geren - When Healthy, Crosby Will Be Special
276 votes
baseballgirl - I'm Not Sure About The Baseline Talent
645 votes

921 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 182 comments

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You all realize, of course...

...that I have just set up Bobby Crosby to be the AL MVP, yeah?

So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 22, 2008 11:42 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

comeback player of the year

Would be nice.  Something like 20Hrs, 85 RBI, 170 hits...

Thanks for not drinking the koolaid on this one BBG, but I want to be optimistic, if unrealistic.

by Brian in 317 on Jan 23, 2008 6:55 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

No KoolAid here...

...it's too much of a stretch, even for me, who very badly wants to be optimistic about this team!

So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 23, 2008 8:37 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

hey, sit in the third deck

and drink all you can Koolaid, it's on the A's

;-)

by OaklandSi on Jan 23, 2008 11:25 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

It took us way too long to get there

in the other thread, but in the end Rene Descartes said it best:

                               Crosbito ergo suck

.

by green star oakland on Jan 23, 2008 12:02 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I agrre with mos of what you said..

but.

"Bobby Crosby, even during his healthy year(s), didn’t show even a flash of this quality"

Isnt quite true. In 2005 after he came back in June he was hitting above 300 for a good 2 months. He got hurt again late in August and wasnt heard from again since then. But he has good for those two months.

by Syphon on Jan 23, 2008 12:17 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I also remember that stretch..

and didn't the A's have a like a .900 winning % in games he played that year?

I seem to remember Macha gushing about him then.

I'm still waiting for a good long healthy stint before I pass my final judgement..  the poor guy hasn't had anytime to develope since that first season..

by tosk on Jan 23, 2008 4:56 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

If I had to guess...

...I'd say the winning streak had more to do with timing, teams played, and starting pitching than Crosby in the lineup.

So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 23, 2008 8:38 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Blasphemy
What are they going to do...send you to baseball jail?

by methodrampage on Jan 23, 2008 8:50 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The number of horrible, useless players to have 2

good months is exactly why "sample size" is such an important term in statistical analysis.

So Crosby's had 2 good months and, like, 4 years of medicore to downright below replacement level performance. Got it.

by thejd44 on Jan 23, 2008 2:23 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I didnt say he was good..

I was just saying he had the potential. Some people just didnt think that potential was even there.

by Syphon on Jan 23, 2008 2:40 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

when i grow up

I want to write like bbg.

good stuff.

This is a tough one for me, because I'll support a player unless he's flat-out dogging it (not to suggest that Crosby doesn't have your support, bbg).

At the same time I've cringed way too many times when Crosby has strolled to the plate in a critical spot of a game. Then again I've done the same with Senor Glove de Oro.

While I agree that a healthy Harden outdistances a healthy Crosby, and is more important to our overall success, I'd like to reserve judgement until BC can actually get in a full (for him) season.

Let's not forget what injuries can do to a player's confidence also. And surely Crosby knows what's being said about him; that can't help either.

Some players have the makeup to rise above such things. It doesn't appear that Crosby is one of them.

"Baseball- like movies, newspapers, and magazines- has fallen into the hands of rich, vulgar people who neither love or understand it." - Hal Crowther

by 67MARQUEZ on Jan 23, 2008 5:41 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I just wish Crosby would go away so we can

finally get over the "what if" questions (same goes for Harden).

by Bacon on Jan 23, 2008 5:47 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Crosby

I voted with Geren's view.

I remember the stretch a couple of years ago when Crosby came off the DL mid season and hit very well for a couple of months, with some power, and helped the A's with a good run.  I've thought (and hoped) that was the real Bobby Crosby.  It is possible!  The A's currently need a good right handed bat.  The Crosby of 2005 would fill that role nicely.  

The A's player I was always uneasy with when he came to bat in critical spots was Swisher.  I'd think, I wish he'd learn to make contact!  We do have our differences in how we see it.

I'm encouraged with how the majority of the A's players and management see Crosby's potential.  Baseball is these guy's full time job, and supposedly they have some expertise at the game.  At least that's the theory.

by racodd on Jan 23, 2008 7:38 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The A's player I was always uneasy with when

he came up in the critical spot was all of them.

damn. last year was a frustrating season.

by tosk on Jan 23, 2008 8:07 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Hahaha!!!

That is one great line.

The A's player I was always uneasy with when he came up in the critical spot was all of them.

So sad...so true.

So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 23, 2008 8:33 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

For what it's worth

That "hit very well for a couple of months" was actually 1 month. June 2005. He went .337/.394/.568 over a 24 game span in June 2005. He returned to typical Crosbian levels of mediocrity with a .718 OPS the next month.

So now we're basing how good a bad player is based on one fluke month 3 years ago? Seriously?

by thejd44 on Jan 23, 2008 2:27 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Hence the importance of a sample size
So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 23, 2008 2:30 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Me too, actually.

I want to hear why; I really do.

So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 23, 2008 8:39 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

So true

I voted for Geren’s opinion because even when Crosby is healthy he still looks like a handycapper in the box.

What are they going to do...send you to baseball jail?

by methodrampage on Jan 23, 2008 8:56 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I think Crosby may be one of those enigmas...

guys who look like they've got all the tools but somehow just never seem to be able to put it all together. I think maybe Crosby's major league lineage and all the support from the A's organization may be working against him, making him feel like he's destined to do well, instead of like a guy who's got to scratch and claw to hold onto his job. And remember this about about Geren and the orginization, if they ever publically give up on him he'll have no trade value at all, even though it's not like he has much now.

"He's a misfit. He gets along with everyone." - Reggie Jackson, describing Joe Rudi

by McFood on Jan 23, 2008 7:52 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I'm probably the one referred to,

if anyone, in that probably no front page writer has been as negative about Crosby's past, present, and future as I have been. But I stand by the analysis because 1-2 good months scattered in among failure does not warrant a lot of praise or hope. Remember Kevin Maas? I didn't think so. How 'bout that Colby Lewis retiring 24 in a row? Uh-huh.

Crosby is a poor hitter with poor mechanics and a complete inability to adjust. As a result he consistently hits between .230-.245 with a putrid OBP. The guy's a good fielder. Unfair?

I like Cindi. A. She never pretends to know more than she does. B. She has unbridled enthusiasm for her "Hotties," and isn't afraid to show it. -IM4Oakgal

by Nico on Jan 23, 2008 8:22 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Not at all.
Crosby is a poor hitter with poor mechanics and a complete inability to adjust. As a result he consistently hits between .230-.245 with a putrid OBP. The guy's a good fielder.

Couldn't agree more, honestly. He hasn't shown me anything differently, despite what they're trying to sell us.

So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 23, 2008 8:34 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Slight caveat

I mostly agree that Crosby has proven he can't adjust to a smart pitcher's approach.  I will, though, echo what Nick has said here a number of times:  in early 2007 it looked a lot like Crosby was trying to make the swing changes so many of us had been demanding:  shortened stroke, less violent flailing, don't chase low and away.  

Problem is, breaking down and re-making the stroke one had used for his entire life is a huge undertaking, not to be quickly accomplished.  Crosby sucked with the new approach for six weeks or so, then reverted to form, and sucked some more.  So i conclude he'll never fundamentally adjust, but I don't think it's quite accurate to suggest he hasn't tried at all.

There is an A in Whimsy.

by FreeSeatUpgrade on Jan 23, 2008 9:47 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with your observation, FSU

I think he has attempted to adjust.  But, there is a tendency, in all sports as well as in many other endeavors, to use "what it was that got me here."  Remember, Crosby had success at every level up to MLB with the violent swing, the stance away from the plate, etc.

And, he has had a few home runs in MLB.  Successes! So the tendency is to "revert to form".  I'm certain he attempted to "adjust" and take Todd Van B's advice, who commented "He's standing about a million miles from the plate."  You won't hear many coaches actually describe what they think about a particular player, so I take it as highly significant when such a comment leaks out.  To me, it indicates that the observation was made, passed to the player, who then did not act as if it was understood, comment made again... repeated, culminating in the "million miles" comment mentioned to the broadcasters (and passed on to the public).

When I hear about a player who is "potentially great, but has been hurt" I think of J.D. Drew. He had his ".242" and ".252" years.  Sure, his numbers are down when he's been hurt, but unlike Crosby he has shown enough to tell you that, without the injuries, he could resume a certain level of competence.  I don't think that's there for Crosby. At minimum, we just have not seen it beyond a month or two.  And IMHO a month-long episode doesn't cut it as demonstrable of  long term competency (ie hitting .270 minimum).

"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer

by One won lost won on Jan 23, 2008 11:00 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Making those adjustments ...

is the kind of thing that could be greatly aided by a healthy off season/spring training.

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Jan 23, 2008 12:05 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Uggghh Crosby.

There are 30 guys playing SS in AAA.  I'd rather watch any one of them play SS for us than suffer through another year of BC.  Thankfully, I'm sure I won't have to suffer the entire year.  

"You may glory in a team triumphant, but you fall in love with a team in defeat."--The Boys of Summer

by alox on Jan 23, 2008 8:23 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

His own worst enemy

He hurt his back the year before because he swings too hard. He proceeded to say that he wouldn't change his swing. Think "Downtown Brown" in the movie Major League 2.

by lostin1965 on Jan 23, 2008 8:39 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

+1 for BoCro

True, he has had high expectations and failed to deliver.  His defensive lapses to start last season combined with the spiking when he was turning it around at the plate definitely was the last straw for much of AN.  His inability to hit the ball all over the field or adjust to where he's pitched is a problem.  But, I do believe he's a team player.  We were devoid of power last year, and he clearly didn't want to adjust his approach.  You would think that Ty would teach the situational hitting, but for whatever reason, we never saw the results.
Would he benefit from a change a scenery?  Luckily, he didn't have to change teams in order to get it.  I still see talent to explode at 28.  Will new strength coach preach flexibility and will he develop a veteran savvy to not hurt himself on the field?  (Not sacrificing his bare hand, adjust his stride beating out a throw to first, swinging too hard).  In the post-steroid era, his 20 HR power at SS could be enough to scratch out a decent career even at a lowly .240 BA.

"We're Menudo," -BB

by eshock on Jan 23, 2008 8:50 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Adjustments

You know, with all of Crosby's "Free-Time" over the past 3+ Seasons, you would think that he might learn something just by watching.  But he hasn't.

During the Angels series last year (When his hand/wrist was broken), I noticed he was FINALLY standing closer to the plate.  He also layed down a nice bunt to get something started.  It was great to see.

So, while most baseball players are making adjustments on a daily, weekly, monthly basis. Crosby makes an adjustment every 1600+ Plate Appearances, and 490+ Games.    

by Colorado Fan on Jan 23, 2008 8:51 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

And, of course,

getting his hand broken by a pitch probably won't encourage him to continue standing closer to the plate...

"It is almost impossible to exaggerate the complete unimportance of almost everything."

by Poppy on Jan 23, 2008 9:08 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

FINALLY

is exactly right. I remember Fosse pointed it out with a genuine sense of surprise that Crosby was standing closer to the plate. I actually got a little excited to see this at-bat. Then, well, you know what happened next. I felt so bad for the kid. Finally getting up the courage to change it up a little like we all wanted, and then being rewarded like that. No good deed goes unpunished.  

by somebodyelse on Jan 23, 2008 6:03 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Crosby Hate Mail

So Crosby is the demonized player this year?  Got rid of Byrnes, Kielty the same way.  They suck!!! I know - I have the stats!  Pisses me off.
Consider this:  let Crosby play.  If he does poorly, so be it.  However, my hunch is that he will be a top SS in league, a power/glove player the real baseball experts have suspected for years.  AL MVP?  Not likely.  But could be best player on A's.

by nihilist on Jan 23, 2008 9:13 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Say what you will

about the tenants of Crosbashing, but at least it's an ethos.

"He says lots of stupid things on the television set. He seems lazy and foolish to me." -Michael Lewis, on Joe Morgan

by BWH on Jan 23, 2008 9:17 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Tenants or tenets?

Tenants would be the people doing the bashing... tenets would be the positions/beliefs held by the tenants.

cardinalprecepts.blogspot.com

by PaulThomas on Jan 23, 2008 9:20 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Dude, it was a Walter Sobchak reference posted

at 9:15 am.

Just.

...

"He says lots of stupid things on the television set. He seems lazy and foolish to me." -Michael Lewis, on Joe Morgan

by BWH on Jan 23, 2008 9:32 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

When

you make a simple grammatical error, then get lectured on it via the internet by some guy who wants the world to know how smart he is.

Not that that's ever happened.

"He says lots of stupid things on the television set. He seems lazy and foolish to me." -Michael Lewis, on Joe Morgan

by BWH on Jan 23, 2008 7:02 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

hward8, this is not 'Nam. This is grammar.

There are rules.

The best that can be said about this is that it's imaginative. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Jan 23, 2008 7:15 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Fucking language

has fucking papers.

"He says lots of stupid things on the television set. He seems lazy and foolish to me." -Michael Lewis, on Joe Morgan

by BWH on Jan 23, 2008 7:16 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, well, you know ...

... that's just, like, your opinion, man.

The best that can be said about this is that it's imaginative. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Jan 23, 2008 7:30 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

"i am the walrus?"

STFU, Donny.

President of the Joey Devine fan club as of 1/15/08. Accepting applications for other positions. "He has no equivalent." -Paul DePodesta on Jeremy Brown

by flipgatey3 on Jan 24, 2008 5:21 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

jiminy cricket. It never fails ...

... in any post wherein I make a grammatical/spelling/typo correction, or defend the honor of doing so, I ... make one myself. Left out your "6" there, I did.

The best that can be said about this is that it's imaginative. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Jan 23, 2008 7:26 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Well, as long as we're being pedantic

This really isn't a grammatical issue at all.  So long as a plural noun is substituted for another plural noun, perfect grammar is preserved.

The tenets/tenants slip above is neither a grammatical error, nor a typographical error, nor a misspelling, though it is still an error.

"Ten times thy self were better than ten Hattebergs" -- Monkeyball, channeling Shakespeare

by iglew on Jan 23, 2008 11:49 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

the tenants have buku cache
The best that can be said about this is that it's imaginative. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Jan 23, 2008 10:15 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Crosby deserves beau coup cash

Because every time he swings and misses it's a beautiful strike.

"Ten times thy self were better than ten Hattebergs" -- Monkeyball, channeling Shakespeare

by iglew on Jan 23, 2008 11:59 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

But based on what?

I'm fully willing and able to admit when I have made a mistake about a player, but Crosby has played poorly for years. That's all the A's have done, is let him play. He's had the starting job at SS since he came up to the major leagues, and IMO, the team has suffered for it.

But could be best player on A's.

All I want to know is where you see evidence of this, because I just can't.

So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 23, 2008 9:20 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Here's a situation in which that's true

Crosby, out 2-3 for ungular perspiration stays home while the team plane crashes, killing all. This leaves Crosby as the best player on the team--at least until any of the AAA players are called up.

LawDaddy's Signature

by JediLeroy on Jan 23, 2008 10:16 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Jackie Treehorn
treats objects like women, man.

Evidence for a Crosby resurrection?  How about real basball people seeing Crosby as a player, not as a scapegoat.  Besides, who on 2008 A's is bound to have a great season?  Barton, perhaps.  Chavez?

by nihilist on Jan 23, 2008 10:28 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The A's can't afford to say anything else...

I don't see a lot of evidence from OTHER teams who think Crosby is the real deal.

Beane, Geren, the players, and the A's front office MUST stick to the party line of 'Crosby is special, just wait'. They have no choice.

I, on the other hand, can say what I see...and I see a really poor hitter.

And I can also freely say that I hope I'm wrong.

So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 23, 2008 10:50 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

of course

someone with the username "nihilist" made a jackie treehorn reference. brilliant.

President of the Joey Devine fan club as of 1/15/08. Accepting applications for other positions. "He has no equivalent." -Paul DePodesta on Jeremy Brown

by flipgatey3 on Jan 24, 2008 5:22 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Top SS in the league?

There have to be at least 25 shortstops, including top prospects, who I'd rather have.

He HAS played. He's played a lot. He has 1597 at bats in the majors. He has 435 games played. He's 28 years old.

How long do you let guys who have shown they can't play continue to hurt the team?

by thejd44 on Jan 23, 2008 2:28 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Until 2010
What are they going to do...send you to baseball jail?

by methodrampage on Jan 23, 2008 3:52 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Crosby is to hitting

what Rick Ankiel was to pitching.

Obviously talented? Sure.
Briefly dominant? Check.
Unable to make adjustments? Yep.
Brittle? You got it.

Maybe he can convert to pitcher...

This is one of those cases where "athletic talent" simply doesn't translate into baseball success because of a player's mental demons. It's not much different from Beane himself, really.

At some point, someone needs to get ahold of Crosby and tell him that, you know, seeing as how he hits more ground balls per ball in play than anyone else on the entire frigging roster, maybe he should stop trying to hit home runs all the time and start actually trying to hit HARD ground balls instead of the standard three-hopper right to the infielder. It's not a problem of pulling the ball-- his hit chart is pretty even, actually-- it's just a problem of making bad contact.

Of course, maybe someone has told him this. It wouldn't surprise me a whole lot, since I wouldn't expect him to change anyway. I can't tell whether he's actually genuinely slow in the head or just so blinded by his own self-image that it mimics it, but it doesn't really matter. The effect is the same.

cardinalprecepts.blogspot.com

by PaulThomas on Jan 23, 2008 9:14 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Agree.
So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 23, 2008 9:21 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Ground balls/hit chart

may be a bad thing in his case.  Every team in baseball, along with every fan in the stands, and every concession worker, and every Coliseum usher, and every player on both teams (except Crosby himself) knows that Crosby has a massive hole in his swing low and away.  So they pitch him..... low and away.  His groundball % could likely be caused by the way he's pitched, not because of his swing mechanics.  His hit chart should show a tendency to go to the opposite field more, since he's pitched almost exclusively away.  Maybe the hit chart, relative to the way he's pitched, is a negative, showing that he tries to pull everything.

Crosby is athletic.  He has power when he puts a good swing on the ball.  He's one of the top 3 fielding SS in the AL, probably.  But he's such a bad hitter not for lack of talent, but for lack of discipline.  By 2007, I actually laughed everytime he struck out on a slider low and away.  It's comical.  If, at age 28, he still doesn't know how to adjust, he'll never be anything close to a good hitter.

"He says lots of stupid things on the television set. He seems lazy and foolish to me." -Michael Lewis, on Joe Morgan

by BWH on Jan 23, 2008 9:29 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

"If,

at age 28, he still doesn't know how to adjust, he'll never be anything close to a good hitter."

Unless he's traded to a National League team like Eric Byrnes, then he may become the star we hoped for.

"He's a misfit. He gets along with everyone." - Reggie Jackson, describing Joe Rudi

by McFood on Jan 23, 2008 9:33 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Eric Byrnes having a slighty-above average

year in a big-time hitters park in a weak league doesn't make him a "star."

by thejd44 on Jan 23, 2008 2:30 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Perhaps not...
but if Crosby does the same thing we may wish we'd kept him.
"He's a misfit. He gets along with everyone." - Reggie Jackson, describing Joe Rudi

by McFood on Jan 24, 2008 7:36 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

i don't think the park

made him steal 50 bases though...that would be him actually getting to run

President of the Joey Devine fan club as of 1/15/08. Accepting applications for other positions. "He has no equivalent." -Paul DePodesta on Jeremy Brown

by flipgatey3 on Jan 24, 2008 5:23 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

OK, well

since we have no actual evidence that a higher-than-average proportion of pitches to Crosby end up in the low-and-away zone, or that his balls in play on those pitches are disproportionately grounders and/or to the opposite field, this is pretty much in the category of conjecture at this point. It may be right but I don't know where we'd get the data to find out.

What is not conjecture is that the year in which he hit by far the most ground balls was also the one year in which he actually posted an above-average OBP. Four years is enough data-- the guy is a ground ball hitter.

cardinalprecepts.blogspot.com

by PaulThomas on Jan 23, 2008 10:08 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Evidence?

Stuff like that doesn't take a professional scout to notice.  Do we really need data in this particular case?  This seems like a situation where our own eyes tell us plenty.  

He's pitched low and away, and he rolls over and grounds to the second baseman, or strikes out.  Everyone here knows it.  I'm all for charts and statistical analysis, but it isn't "conjecture" to say that every team in baseball knows he flails on pitches low and away, and that they try to pitch him out there.  It's glaring.

"He says lots of stupid things on the television set. He seems lazy and foolish to me." -Michael Lewis, on Joe Morgan

by BWH on Jan 23, 2008 10:17 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

*Grounds to SS/3B

He's right handed.  Whoops.

"He says lots of stupid things on the television set. He seems lazy and foolish to me." -Michael Lewis, on Joe Morgan

by BWH on Jan 23, 2008 10:23 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah ... we do need evidence ...

Your perceptions could easily be colored by confirmation bias. You believe pitchers pitch Crosby low and away (Because it makes sense that they would) so you pay more attention to it when they do, since it confirms what you believe.

Is it truly the case? Who knows?
If it is the case, is that really unique? Couldn't tell you -- maybe most hitters face a disproportionate number of pitches low and away.

You might be right. You might not.

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Jan 23, 2008 12:01 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I should think they do

face a disproportionate number of pitches low and away. Overall hitting numbers are worse in that zone than in any of the other 9 sections of the strike zone, so game theory predicts that pitchers should select that option most frequently (although some number of pitches will miss and some number have to be thrown at other sections to keep hitters off-balance). Pitchers today virtually never aim a non-fastball above the bottom third of the zone, and it's pretty rare even for fastballs.

Personally, I think the zone should be shifted upward by several inches, so that throwing high strikes actually becomes a viable option for pitchers.

cardinalprecepts.blogspot.com

by PaulThomas on Jan 23, 2008 12:10 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Confirmation bias aside

I think we can all agree that if there's a scout in baseball that doesn't say "LOW AND AWAY" on Bobby Crosby, he should lose his job.

Here's the closest thing I could find to evidence in the 5 minutes that I've spent searching, via ESPN: Insider required

It shows that 26% of balls hit by Crosby are grounders to the left side of the infield.  That's quite a bit.  It also shows him hitting .173 on pitches low and away.

If there's any truth at all to the notion that he is pitched low and away, then a 26% groundball to the leftside percentage is indicative of a guy who tries to pull everything.

"He says lots of stupid things on the television set. He seems lazy and foolish to me." -Michael Lewis, on Joe Morgan

by BWH on Jan 23, 2008 12:15 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

No, actually

that's a basically league-average percentage for a right-handed hitter.

EVERYONE gets pitched low and away. See below. Unless a guy is known to be a good low-and-away hitter, teams will pitch him there because the average hitter sucks at hitting pitches in that zone.

I would also point out that a. Crosby sucks at hitting inside pitches too, and b. his best numbers are high and on the outer 2/3 of the plate, so that it's not entirely clear to me from that data that pitching him low and away is even the correct strategy.

cardinalprecepts.blogspot.com

by PaulThomas on Jan 23, 2008 12:25 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

i think Crosby does alright with the inside pitch

at least he did last season, according to this.

i heartily agree that Crosby should just be focusing on squaring up the ball. there's no doubt in my mind that he has the raw tools to be at least average at the plate for a shortstop and thus be a net positive to the team. but can he learn to keep the level head at the plate necessary to do that? frankly, i don't think so.

Brian Sabean lol.

by rebus on Jan 23, 2008 6:38 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Baseball

If you try to pull an offspeed pitch that is Low & Away (Slider/Curve - Outside Corner), the tendancy is to "Roll-Over" on the pitch, grounding out weakly to 3B or SS.

Every Baseball Scout in the MLB tells their pitchers to pitch Bobby Crosby AWAY.  Hard Stuff Away.  Breaking Stuff Away.  Away.  Away.  Away.

by Colorado Fan on Jan 23, 2008 10:22 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Sliders three feet off the plate

away away away.

He will strike out on three straight pitches there.

So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 23, 2008 10:51 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Sure-- I agree fully

One of the games I made it to this year was against the Orioles, and Erik Bedard just embarrassed him in three straight at-bats. I think he struck out three times on nine pitches without making contact once.

But perhaps the reason teams tell pitchers to pitch him away is that he strikes out so often on pitches thrown out there... not because he makes bad contact when he DOES hit them.

And maybe if he choked up a little bit and took a shorter, flatter swing, he might cut down his strikeouts and raise his batting average even if he doesn't hit the ball any more squarely.

cardinalprecepts.blogspot.com

by PaulThomas on Jan 23, 2008 11:01 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Oh'fer three

Nine pitches

http://www.baseball-reference.com/bo...

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Jan 23, 2008 12:03 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Actually, I'm wrong

He hit three foul balls according to ESPN.

Whoop-de-freaking-doo.

cardinalprecepts.blogspot.com

by PaulThomas on Jan 23, 2008 12:15 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Health is a talent / skill too

You can't improve as an athlete if you're spending your time rehabbing, instead of training and competing.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jan 23, 2008 9:46 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I remember...

Growing up in Wisconsin, I used to watch a ton of Cubs games on WGN. We're talking early 90's Cubs, consistent 70-75 game winners, but they had Harry Caray and Steve Stone on the mic. Stone and Caray did one thing as well or better than anyone I've ever heard: Lead you to believe this god-awful team was removed from contention by one bad break. On a bad day, they'd point out how much the Cubs missed a guy like Steve Buechele. The dude was only a .250/.320/.350 guy when he was playing, but when he was gone, Stone and Caray talked him up like he was a future Hall of Famer ripped away from his road to greatness. I was 10-12 at the time, so it was easy to buy into.

Crosby seems to get the same treatment from people who don't look at the big picture. I think the best A's fans can hope for is a full healthy season from him in 2008, so he can be fully evaluated as either a career all glove-no hit guy, or an emerging star to build around.

Come to think of it, Rey Sanchez from the early 90's Cubs fit into this mold too.

by K.L.Snow on Jan 23, 2008 9:31 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

LE-HE-HEAVE BOBBY CROSBY ALO-HO-HO-HONE!!!

{sobs profusely}

{posts to youtube}

The best that can be said about this is that it's imaginative. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Jan 23, 2008 9:39 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Hahahaha!!!

When he goes shopping in his wife's wedding dress, then you can post that.

So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 23, 2008 10:52 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Monkey?

Yer mascara is running quite badly. Use the waterproof kind next time, k?

by ChickenStanley on Jan 23, 2008 2:07 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

that ain't mascara ...
The best that can be said about this is that it's imaginative. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Jan 23, 2008 3:03 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I'd ask, but...

nevermind. Don't want to know. La la la. Think happy thoughts. La la la

by ChickenStanley on Jan 23, 2008 6:52 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

When I first saw the headline

I wondered what Billy Beane was using for an AN handle.

by EddieVegas_NRAF on Jan 23, 2008 9:43 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Crosby's value

There are some defensive metrics which really like Crosby, so it's entirely possible that he could be league average with the bat and still be a really valuable player.

If we take his CHONE line of .242/.309/.380 and throw in superior defense, he's a league average player. That's maybe not what you would dream of, but it's solid enough for the A's at this moment.

by MrIncognito on Jan 23, 2008 10:17 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

In 2007 RZR and Zone Rating think he is good

, about 10 runs above average; PMR has him slightly below average, UZR has him no better than 4 run above average.

Yeah, IF he can put up a 242/309/380, which is about 5 runs below league average offensively, line in Oakland, he'll be decent.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jan 23, 2008 10:29 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I just don't buy the "star or scrub" debate

Crosby looks likely to be league average-ish. There's upside, downside, and whatever else you want to throw in there, but the debate seems way more polarized than is necessary.

by MrIncognito on Jan 23, 2008 11:48 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Except for his rookie year ...

he's never been anything resembling league average ...

His second year, he was well above average and looked like a burgeoning star. Numerically it was a great season, he cut his strikeouts significantly, while maintaining his power and his walk rate. All he needed to do was take another, small step forward with his contact and continue to grow into his man's body and we were looking at a potential superstar.

Instead, the last two years, he has been well below average and looked like one of the lesser players in the game. His k-rate returned to near his rookie levels, he drew fewer walks and the contact he made was less effective, resulting in less power and fewer hits. Simply put, everything went wrong.

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Jan 23, 2008 11:56 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Well here's the thing

If he hits like the last 2 years, he's not league average; over a full season, his 67-68 OPS+ the last 2 years, is about 20-25 runs below average offensively.

Worse, he hasn't played a full season since his ROY year.

He's league average IF he can match that CHONE over a full season.

ZIPS: Milledge: 466 HR, 485 2B, 2282 hits, 278-379-524

by rfloh on Jan 23, 2008 12:49 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

walt weiss

Played before the bloggings, but wasn't he very popular in his day as all glove guy??  I personaly loved that infield.

and those teams did pretty well with a number 9 hitter at short... ( with the 8 slot at second and not much better with the bat )

by tosk on Jan 23, 2008 1:07 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

his rookie of year numbers were a joke!!

What other ROY hit .239? It was a bad year for rooks and he was apparently the best of a bad lot.
A's made it to the playoffs and his replacement-Scutaro-was a star.
He is a glass shortstop--and his vicious swing will insure continued injury.
Overrated.

by Aparicio11 on Jan 23, 2008 10:22 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

The year after...

...he wouldn't have even been the third best rookie on his own team!!!!!

So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 23, 2008 10:56 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

At Fan Fest 2006...

during the "last year's rookies" Q&A session, Huston Street joked that Crosby had won ROY '04 "because he wasn't competing against me."

(Huston had the good manners to at least make it sound like he was joking...)

"It is almost impossible to exaggerate the complete unimportance of almost everything."

by Poppy on Jan 23, 2008 11:46 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

And you know what else?

I don't think he's hot, either.

Beane went on to liken the Winter Meetings to pet hamsters who eat their young.

by Englishmajor on Jan 23, 2008 10:42 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

HAHAHAHAHAHAHA
President of the Joey Devine fan club as of 1/15/08. Accepting applications for other positions. "He has no equivalent." -Paul DePodesta on Jeremy Brown

by flipgatey3 on Jan 24, 2008 5:25 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

May be the dirtbag in me

or just that I am pretty optimistic about players - backing Kotsay through his first year in Oakland as he was being bashed and even Kendall up until last year.
He showed some pop in '04 and some potential at the plate in '05.  I think it would be extremely difficult to play baseball effectively at the major league level if you cannot put a nice healthy stretch together.  I can totally relate to Geren's "on track/off track" comment.
I will not back off my support of Crosby until I see a nice string of healthy games combined with no improvement at the plate.
"Special" to me would be .260 and 20+ hr with no defensive dropoff.
I know most disagree this is possible even if healthy but I think it is.  
Then again, maybe it is just the dirtbag in me.
I guess no one knows for sure until we see a healthy stretch.

by easyraider on Jan 23, 2008 11:11 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Crosby hardly missed a game last year

between May 1 and his season-ending hand injury. This was after he was fully recovered from the back problems.

That was a sufficient healthy stretch for me to conclude that he was (is) a terrible hitter.

cardinalprecepts.blogspot.com

by PaulThomas on Jan 23, 2008 11:26 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

No Spring Training

By healthy stretch, I mean I would like to see a healthy offseason and full season.
I have seen him make strides with his swing in the past.  Wondering if when getting back from being hurt, he is just trying to catch up and he reverts to what he is comfortable with.  Then again, maybe that is the best time to try a new approach since you are not hitting anyway.

by easyraider on Jan 23, 2008 11:54 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Micheal urban new video on youtube

 I can see it now.  A crying Micheal Urban with tears running down his eyes as he screams into the camera.  "LEAVE CROSBY ALONE"  Miceal Urban goes on and on crying about how everyone is so mean to Crosby.  As the camera gets closer to the tears Micheal says into the camera.  "I still support you Crosby".  He becomes a hit at all the sport bars around the country known as the crying reporter.
 

by Arcman on Jan 23, 2008 11:47 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

BBG, you're right about Crosby, but

I don't blame Urban for being wrong. Most of what you say about Ellis applies to Urban as well. He might not be as adorable, but he too is

an unreliable witness. What is he supposed to say? "You know, Crosby kind of sucks at the plate"?

Mychael Urban works for mlb.com. It's his job to talk up the team. On occasion when he does speak his mind more openly, like when he said whatever it was on KNBR that got him into trouble, he gets smacked down and they take away his column until he remembers his place.

Some people here might hold that against him, thinking he ought to stand up to the man and not be pressured by his employer to write pap. I don't agree. Writing pap is his job. There's lots and lots of places to find a more critical perspective, but Urban writes for "The Official Site of the Oakland Athletics", where such criticism would be inappropriate. Urban shouldn't tell the truth about Crosby any more than Geren should.

"Ten times thy self were better than ten Hattebergs" -- Monkeyball, channeling Shakespeare

by iglew on Jan 23, 2008 12:15 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I couldn't agree more...

...and on that note, I wasn't at all aiming any kind of a shot at Urban. I thought it was a good article; I just think the A's might be off on this one.

So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 23, 2008 12:39 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I completely disagree

Mark Ellis is a teammate. Teammates are supposed to support each other. It would be horrible if Ellis or, to a lesser extent, Geren spoke out about how bad Crosby has been. Geren can get away with it a little more because he's the manager and he can be "objectively" critical and as long as it doesn't go too far, it's ok. He can say "Bobby struggled. He's not doing X, Y, and Z." He can't say "He's a useless turd." Mark Ellis really can't say either thing, and it's silly to ask him.

Mychael Urban's JOB is to do his best to tell the truth. He works for mlb.com, not Bobby Crosby Public Relations. Again, he has to have some kind of tact. For professional reasons, he can't bash a player the way fans can. But with the way he puts a cherry on top of everything, he's not doing his job.

Based on some interaction with him, I have respect for Urban. I don't always agree with him, but that's fine. What bugs me is if he's saying one thing while he thinks another.

Urban has pointed out when bad players have played badly in the past. There's no reason he shouldn't do so with Crosby unless he truly believes the man is a good ballplayer. In that case, I have no problem with his journalism. I just question his baseball knowledge.

by thejd44 on Jan 23, 2008 8:41 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

In what sense is saying

that Crosby has sucked when healthy not "pointing out when bad players have played badly"?

I didn't get the sense that Urban liked Crosby at all from that article. And as far as I can tell, he doesn't. He basically called the guy worthless (in trade value) in his mailbag 5 days later.

cardinalprecepts.blogspot.com

by PaulThomas on Jan 23, 2008 9:45 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The essence of our disagreement

is the sentence where you use capital letters.

You think it's Mychael Urban's job to do his best to tell the truth. I don't.

"Ten times thy self were better than ten Hattebergs" -- Monkeyball, channeling Shakespeare

by iglew on Jan 23, 2008 11:53 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

D'ya every think that maybe we should blame the

damn pitchers?  They throw that ball too fast!  Slow down, he's just a boy!!!

"wither fair monkeyball?" ~fsu

by LAXile on Jan 23, 2008 1:12 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

haha
"We're Menudo," -BB

by eshock on Jan 23, 2008 5:22 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

does anyone know

The longest strech he has played between injuries?

It seems like he is always been on the mend..  How are you supposed to develope when your just trying to get healthy all of the time?

by tosk on Jan 23, 2008 1:20 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

He was healthy all of his rookie year, wasn't he?

I think that's what I remember from last offseason when I was bored one day and figured out that over three years, Mark Ellis and Bobby Crosby had each played more games with Marco Scutaro than they had played with each other.

"It is almost impossible to exaggerate the complete unimportance of almost everything."

by Poppy on Jan 23, 2008 1:36 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

right...

his rookie of the year season..  Since then he has always been on the mend..

broken back, ribcage pulls ( trying swinging a bat with either of those ) plus other broken bones and lacerations..  I don't want to sit here and defend him.. I don't care much for him, but I don't think he has had the chance to prove himself yet.

This is going to be a big spring for Mr. Crosby.

by tosk on Jan 23, 2008 1:50 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

my bad,

I see that he played through july last season..  That should have been enough time to adjust and develope, spring training or no spring training..

It's funny I always remember him as being constantly hurt..

by tosk on Jan 23, 2008 2:16 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Why does Bobby Crosby suck?

Because even in his healthy, "good" Rookie-of-the-Year season, he wasn't actually very good. He certainly shouldn't have won the ROY that year.

He was decent but not world-beating in the minors (and he was never exactly playing with older competition). He won the ROY in a weak rookie class when he wasn't the best player anyway. He has horrible plate patience and discipline. He can't hit anything that doesn't travel on a relatively straight trajectory. He's an ok defensive player, but not good enough to justify being one of the worst offensive regulars in the entire sport.

It's not that he was hurt/bad last year that makes me think Crosby is a turd. I've never seen anything from him to suggest he's any more than one of the 5 worst starting shortstops in the game. He's in Izturis' world, and that's a very bad place to be.

Nobody can convince me that starting Donnie Murphy at short everyday in 2008 would be a worse idea than having another go around with Crosby. Murphy has been almost as productive in his minor league time, is just as good defensively, and he hasn't failed so horribly in the Majors over half a decade.

I expect the players and manager to defend Crosby. I'd actually be upset if they bashed a teammate to the media. But that doesn't mean the guy isn't a complete waste of space on a 25-man roster.

by thejd44 on Jan 23, 2008 2:20 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

You've hit on an important point...

I feel like everyone is measuring Crosby just in his major league performance (which makes sense), but there were sure signs in the minor leagues as well.

So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 23, 2008 2:28 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

2005?

Did you miss that season?

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Jan 23, 2008 3:43 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Only very superficially ...

Guzman's 2001 was built almost entirely on a huge jump in BABIP. His BABIP jumped by 59 points, leading to a 55 point increase in batting average.

Crosby also saw a (much smaller) bump in BABIP -- but his 2004 numbers were lower than league average and 2005 was only slightly higher, so there was plenty of reason to believe the gain was real. The dramatically improved k rate was a strong sign that his gains were real. Unfortunately, it turned out that there seems to be real reasons for Crosby having a sustained, low BABIP ...

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Jan 23, 2008 4:06 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Crosby is Gold Glove caliber defensively, why do

you believe Murphy is "just as good"?  He doesn't have to be as good defensively if he can just hit a little though.  The A's did just fine in the 2nd Half of 2006 with Scutaro's mediocre defense and decent hitting.

by WaddellCanseco on Jan 23, 2008 3:46 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Ahem

Gold Glove caliber?

AL shortstops are admittedly pretty miserable right now (taken as a whole), so he's probably in the top 5, but he's clearly not on the level of Pena or McDonald. Murphy might well be his equal (doesn't have the range, but he has a stronger and more accurate arm) although right now we don't have the data to know.

cardinalprecepts.blogspot.com

by PaulThomas on Jan 23, 2008 4:08 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

does Murphy really have a stronger arm?

I'm not familiar with Murphy's scouting reports. One thing I will say for Cros, he has a cannon for an arm -- his relay throws to the plate on balls hit to the outfield are usually pretty marvelous.

The best that can be said about this is that it's imaginative. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Jan 23, 2008 5:42 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

from the games i saw him play last season,

and in my opinion, Murphy made some tough throws that i highly doubt Crosby could match in strength or accuracy.

Brian Sabean lol.

by rebus on Jan 23, 2008 6:33 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Having seen Murphy's throws to first,

it would not surprise me a bit if he could hit mid-90s off a pitching mound. He's got some serious zip.

cardinalprecepts.blogspot.com

by PaulThomas on Jan 23, 2008 6:34 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Wow

I didn't have the opportunity to see Murphy last year. Sounds like some serious cheese.

The best that can be said about this is that it's imaginative. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Jan 23, 2008 7:09 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

He's got a very good arm, but you're right,

there's nothing wrong with Crosby's arm. He (Crosby) also has better range than Murphy.

by OldhamA on Jan 24, 2008 12:50 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Chris Dial's LWZR rating has him 2 runs

behind McDonald and ahead of Pena last year, so I'd say he's within the margin for error in the GG race next year.  As was posted above Pinto and UZR have him somewhat worse.  As you say there's no Ozzie Smith or Mark Belanger in the AL now.  I still wouldn't assume Murphy's in the same league defensively until he shows it.

by WaddellCanseco on Jan 23, 2008 7:06 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I had to go with the Geren option...
...but only because it expressed more closely my thoughts.  I do think he has significant talent, but I'm not sure I'd go as far as Geren to say "special".  Not MVP-type special.
"Rebuilding" is loser mentality.

by UncleLeo on Jan 23, 2008 3:28 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I'm between the two options as well...

Not "special," but not "significant" talent (because I'm not seeing significant results) -- hence I went with baseballgirl.  Of course, I think I'm cutting hairs here...

"[Moneyball] is huge [in Japan], I guess, so I'm like a David Hasselhoff type or something..." -- Billy Beane

by FormerHuntsvilleStar on Jan 23, 2008 5:10 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Best to avoid those nasty split ends.
"Ten times thy self were better than ten Hattebergs" -- Monkeyball, channeling Shakespeare

by iglew on Jan 23, 2008 11:56 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I asserted a while ago

that when all is said and done, Marco Scutaro will have had a better career than Crosby.  I stand by that assertion.

I think Crosby is more talented (by quite a bit), but less diligent, passionate and intelligent than Scutaro -- hence his failure.  And unfortunately, those aren't usually things that change.

That said, I would LOVE to see Crosby make me look like a complete fool on this one. I'd be happy to break my vegetarian diet to eat this crow.

"BTW, this is ridiculous..." -- devo

by oblique on Jan 23, 2008 3:33 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

What if it's tortured crow?
"It is almost impossible to exaggerate the complete unimportance of almost everything."

by Poppy on Jan 23, 2008 3:44 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

at least it's local crow
The best that can be said about this is that it's imaginative. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Jan 23, 2008 3:48 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

No, it's from Kentucky

but it is organic.

"BTW, this is ridiculous..." -- devo

by oblique on Jan 23, 2008 4:03 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Crosby's passion

might be part of his problem, at least at the plate.  Is anyone else reminded of the description of the young Billy Beane, five tools and little success?

"We've certainly improved the probability of improving the team."-Lew Wolff

by kkdaz on Jan 23, 2008 3:52 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I was just having that discussion

earlier today.  Interesting parallel, isn't it?

"BTW, this is ridiculous..." -- devo

by oblique on Jan 23, 2008 4:02 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

It's odd

In the past, Beane hated players who reminded him of himself. Yet he's stuck by Crosby.

cardinalprecepts.blogspot.com

by PaulThomas on Jan 23, 2008 4:11 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Beane's nature vs. human nature

You're right, he has, which in itself is interesting and I think just speaks to his level of self-confidence.   Most people IMO would tend to root for someone similar to themselves, to help validate their own inadequacies.

"BTW, this is ridiculous..." -- devo

by oblique on Jan 23, 2008 4:21 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

< cough > T-Long < cough >
The best that can be said about this is that it's imaginative. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Jan 23, 2008 5:43 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe Crosby needs a few walk-off homers...

...to at least look as good as Scutaro...

"[Moneyball] is huge [in Japan], I guess, so I'm like a David Hasselhoff type or something..." -- Billy Beane

by FormerHuntsvilleStar on Jan 23, 2008 5:05 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The scary thing is

that right now, by some measures, Scutaro is winning! <pre> G AB R H 2B 3B HR Crosby 435 1597 219 383 87 5 48 Scutaro 551 1650 211 427 92 11 31 RBI SB BA OBP SLG 173 25 .240 .310 .391 174 14 .259 .320 .384 </pre>

"BTW, this is ridiculous..." -- devo

by oblique on Jan 23, 2008 5:15 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

....'cause that worked :-(
"BTW, this is ridiculous..." -- devo

by oblique on Jan 23, 2008 5:16 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Clear as mud!
"It is almost impossible to exaggerate the complete unimportance of almost everything."

by Poppy on Jan 24, 2008 6:58 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Crosby'd get injured in the mob

at home plate!

Pounded on the back, next day in traction....

Instead he needs a two-grand-slam-home-runs-in-one-game, game.  And not in ST.  Against Boston, in Boston.

"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer

by One won lost won on Jan 23, 2008 6:38 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Crosby is a stud

Y'all need to stop putting your own issues on him.

It's a beautiful day for baseball.

by As Man on Jan 23, 2008 4:10 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I like this kind of comment!

Kind of rounds things up!  Thanks, BoCro!

"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer

by One won lost won on Jan 23, 2008 6:39 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm just sayin

It seems like people on this site blame BoCro for everything wrong with the A's - then you get the people who say oh he's good looking therefore he's overrated...seems like some bitterness to me.  BoCro may never be a successful player in the bigs.  He did make AL ROY.  That's more than most people on this site will ever get in terms of recognition in their own careers.  I just don't get all the hate directed to him all the time.

It's a beautiful day for baseball.

by As Man on Jan 23, 2008 9:11 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

People dislike him

because he's getting paid millions to suck at his job. Whether or not I'm personally capable of doing that job is not relevant to the issue.

Add on to that the fact that he appears to be coasting on his considerable athletic talent rather than using it effectively.

cardinalprecepts.blogspot.com

by PaulThomas on Jan 23, 2008 9:49 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

And...

He's been handed the Starting SS position for the last 4 Offseasons w/ ZERO Competition... why?  I don't get it?  Freakin' Joe Montana had competition every Training Camp.  You think it helped?  

by Colorado Fan on Jan 24, 2008 8:56 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Agree x100000

He should have had some competition. I would have started Scutaro even when Crosby was healthy, just to prove a point.

So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 24, 2008 9:55 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

coasting

You have no idea whether or not he's coasting.  That's an idiotic thing to say.

It's a beautiful day for baseball.

by As Man on Jan 24, 2008 1:43 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Conversation over
cardinalprecepts.blogspot.com

by PaulThomas on Jan 24, 2008 3:42 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I get it

It's ok for you to personally attack someone who you don't even know and who isn't present but it's not ok for someone else to call you out on it.

That's cool.

It's a beautiful day for baseball.

by As Man on Jan 24, 2008 3:50 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not so sure the salary
is really an issue as to people's perceptions.

For me, it's just that he seldom has hit a true crucial extra-base hit when it all came down to him.
Too often, it's a strikeout or a GIDP.  Then, the sight of him failing, I dunno, he really doesn't pout, or...I can't put my finger on it.  Maybe it's "TV", but I know what I feel:

salt getting into the cut. Aargghhhhhhh!

And for me, that is why I take a negative view on Mr Crosby.  I really like the guy as a human being.  I'm sure I'd enjoy talking with him, etc.  But too many times I've watched him not come through.

"I never predict anything, and I never will." Paul Gascoigne, English footballer

by One won lost won on Jan 25, 2008 10:37 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

i dont want to ruffle any feathers

but I remember xbhaskarx one time saying that Croz is like Beane in that he has the "good face" and therefore the A's overrate him.

It's a beautiful day for baseball.

by As Man on Jan 24, 2008 1:44 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I can't see the A's as an entire organisation

completely wiffing on this one player because he has a "good face", reminds them of beane, or has potential that he can't utilize.

This organisation is too smart for that.  Didn't they jettison Carlos Pena for not adjusting or listening to coaches?  why would the treat Crosby differently?

There must be something else to this..  There has got to be a someone else out there they could have taken a chance on if Crosby was indeed worthless.  I just think that the A's are too smart of club to waste so many years on a player that appears so bad..

by tosk on Jan 24, 2008 2:03 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree
It's a beautiful day for baseball.

by As Man on Jan 24, 2008 3:50 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I remain hopelessley hopeful

Something interesting: Bobby Crosby's line drive % last season was 22%. This was actually the highest rate on the team, and among the highest in the AL. If you look at the BABIPs of those with similar LD rates, they generally lay between .300-.375. Crosby's was .254. I will continue to use these dandy numbers to convince myself that Crosby will revert back to 05 (healthy period of 05) Bobby.

by Sigur Ros on Jan 23, 2008 7:08 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

PrOPS of .732 THT's method.

If he can actually do that and be 10 runs above average on defense, that's a pretty useful player.

by WaddellCanseco on Jan 23, 2008 7:23 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

You've got the wrong data

THT's data (and, presumably, their PrOPS stat) is based on a different data collection source, and by the source they use Crosby's LD% was only 19.8. Nothing wrong with that, but I suspect there's a reason why his BABIP is consistently below where it "should" be. May I recommend my batted ball profile series?

cardinalprecepts.blogspot.com

by PaulThomas on Jan 23, 2008 7:40 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks PT

That was a really interesting read. I got my figures from firstinning, should have just zipped over to THT but I took the lazy way.

by Sigur Ros on Jan 23, 2008 8:20 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Hey, hey, hey -- hold on there, bbg

"overrated", "undisciplined", and "for-the-love-of-everything-sacred-and-holy-in-the-game-of-baseball-should-not-be-batting-third" ?

This entire post is a thinly veiled attack on me, isn't it?

The best that can be said about this is that it's imaginative. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Jan 23, 2008 7:53 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

No

Get over yourself already.

What are they going to do...send you to baseball jail?

by methodrampage on Jan 24, 2008 8:06 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Crosby's rookie season was how long ago?

I dunno if it's just me, but last season he seem like the player I remembered.  He has always had a long, slightly uppercut swing in the past, but last season I think he tried to change his swing too much and lost confidence.  It seemed like he was trying to go the other way too much and lost the feel for his swing.  I hope he fixed over the offseason, so that he doesn't have to think about his swing anymore.  Thinking might not be his strong point...
I could be totally wrong on this, I'm slightly questioning these distant memories.

by rightbackin on Jan 23, 2008 8:18 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I forget who's turn for the lead thread

is tomorrow.  Don't think its Nico...too bad, tough act to follow....hard to go wrong with a Crosby thread! always a crowd pleaser.  Heck even Rick down at Tatsuda's market this evening was chattin it up.

count-down to ST.

by ak_A on Jan 23, 2008 8:28 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

4 thoughts...

1.)  i am a charter member of the a's could do without bobby crosby club anti-fan club.

2.)  if bobby crosby weren't signed to a long term deal, would he be on the a's?  i think the answer is no.

3.)  the hot streak that bobby crosby had in june 2005 was during interleague play.  he was playing against teams that didn't know his weakness...the slider.  as soon as he went back to playing against the american league, he sucked again.

4.)  great work by bbg.

by inbillywetrust on Jan 23, 2008 8:40 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

there appears to be an extra "club"

in thought 1.  oops.  i am to typing what crosby is to baseball.  luckily i charge less.

by inbillywetrust on Jan 23, 2008 8:42 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks...

...I'm digging the two option poll. Force people to take a side & if I'm lucky, they'll talk about it
;-)

So, bring on Bonds! Or, not... then, bring back Langerhans!! -One won lost one

by baseballgirl on Jan 23, 2008 8:55 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

#3 ...

"The hot streak"

Would you be referring to June, when he OPSed .962 or August, when he OPSed .818?

From May 31 to August 27th he had an OPS of .829. Then he got injured. When he came back he had a wretched week at the end of September.

There wasn't just an isolated hot streak in 2005. Bobby Crosby had a very good season. All players have better and worse streaks in their seasons -- it's the nature of the game.

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Jan 23, 2008 9:53 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

i was referring...

to the hot streaks mentioned above in other's comments...june 2005.

you can pro forma his results all you want but he's just not a very good ball player.  at least not a complete one.  he's a good defender and a terrible hitter over any reasonable stretch.  the net-net of it is that he's very replaceable.  

yes, he had a stretch of 0.962 ops largely versus the national league.  then in the next two months, he had an ops of roughly .760ish against the american league.  big whoop.

he had a very good season in 2005?  all 84 games of it?  

the crosby apologists want it both ways.  his crappy stats are a function of his limited play and his inability to get in rhythm or we have to extrapolate his limited success in just a few highly screened at bats.  which is it?  cuz it can't be both.

by inbillywetrust on Jan 23, 2008 10:23 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Ok, lets take a look ...

May 30th to June 30th -- great month by any standards. But was it just the result of playing incompetent National League competition?

Crosby played 26 games in that span -- 13 against AL teams and 13 against NL teams (that worked out well!).

Over that period, he posted a .333/.398/.559 with 10 walks compared to only 9 strikeouts.

Against NL teams, though, he posted a .315/.339/.556 with 1 walk, compared to 10 strikeouts. Still very good numbers, but much less good than he posted against AL teams in that period.

So it's simply not true that he posted good numbers because he was playing NL teams. He posted good numbers over a stretch that included interleague play but plenty of AL opponents as well.

Second, a .764 OPS from a shortstop that plays good defense is a very solid offensive contribution. The .829 OPS he posted over his three month healthy stretch is practically All-Star caliber.

The Crosby apologists ... that's fun. First off, I'm not a Crosby apologist. I think Crosby is a player that breaks the mold -- for some reason he makes remarkably inefficient contact. In 2005, it looked like he took a step forward in a very real way because he dramatically improved his k-rate (improved skill) and his babip increased to what is typically a normal, sustainable level (improved luck). It turns out, though, Crosby isn't normal. His previous, seemingly unusually low babip probably actually represented a real, unique lack of skill.

All I'm saying is that the typical argument against his 2005 season -- that his good numbers were purely the result of a brief hot streak that was overstated due to his brief season -- is bunk. He was "hot" for much more of that season than he was "cold".

There are plenty of reasons to rip on Crosby -- I'm just trying to parse it down to the ones that are actually accurate.

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Jan 24, 2008 10:32 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

If .818 is a "hot streak"

that is proof that the player is horrible.

.818 is nice, but it's not great. It's alright. It's a decent month for a bad player, but nothing at all special even for a shortstop. He had one great month that season and the rest was meh. Some a little above meh, some worse than meh. But it was all meh.

In 2005, Crosby had an overall solid half-season that was propped up by one terrific month and then nothing else worth mentioning the rest of the time. It was three years ago and he's done nothing else before or since to indiciate it wasn't a total fluke.

by thejd44 on Jan 24, 2008 11:58 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

In 2005 ...

the average AL shortstop had a .745 OPS -- .818 is very good.

I agree that 2005 doesn't give us a lot of hope as to Crosby's future. I'm not a Crosby apologist -- I just think that the reason most of you dismiss his 2005 numbers is completely wrong.

As a brilliant poster explained above:

The Crosby apologists ... that's fun. First off, I'm not a Crosby apologist. I think Crosby is a player that breaks the mold -- for some reason he makes remarkably inefficient contact. In 2005, it looked like he took a step forward in a very real way because he dramatically improved his k-rate (improved skill) and his babip increased to what is typically a normal, sustainable level (improved luck). It turns out, though, Crosby isn't normal. His previous, seemingly unusually low babip probably actually represented a real, unique lack of skill.

"It's for your own good. Big strong Devo knows whats best for Poppy" -- Mossback

by devo on Jan 24, 2008 1:12 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

He is overrated

this all goes back to Tejeda his loss has hurt the A's for years when the A's choose Chevy over Tejeda to get Crosby in but they need to get rid of Crosby now

by oaklanddlo on Jan 24, 2008 12:07 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Overrated

Is Crosby even "rated" at this point?   If the A's DFA's him, would any team take on his contract?

by Colorado Fan on Jan 24, 2008 9:01 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

that's my question re Chavez
The best that can be said about this is that it's imaginative. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Jan 24, 2008 4:05 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

are you guys kidding?

they would both get snapped up in minutes..

by tosk on Jan 25, 2008 12:10 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

uh-huh

'Member when Manny Ramirez passed through waivers a couple years ago?

The best that can be said about this is that it's imaginative. @('.')@

by monkeyball on Jan 25, 2008 9:49 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

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