ELo And Goodbye?
As teams pursue waiver wire deals, the Chronicle is reporting that the Dodgers are seriously interested in acquiring Esteban Loaiza. This is the time to pull the trigger. I was very ambivalent about trading Blanton, who is young, cheap, and whose ceiling is still unknown, but I still found myself rooting for a July 31st deal because the Dodgers’ farm system is so rich and because the A’s were stagnating so badly. The Dodgers wouldn’t give Beane what he asked for, and I trust that Billy was wise not to accept what LA was offering. Blanton is a valuable commodity and should only be dealt on your terms, not on a compromise.
Loaiza presents no such dilemma for me. I never thought much of him to begin with and at age 35 he is a known commodity: A guy who can pitch great, but never actually does for more than stretches at a time. He is a solid middle of the rotation pitcher, and those are valuable, but I believe the A’s have found a suitable replacement in Chad Gaudin who, like Blanton, is younger, cheaper, and has far more upside. If Loaiza can bring Oakland the young talent they so desperately need, the A’s need to pull the trigger this time.
I don’t know if Beane can use Loaiza in a deal to finally land Andy LaRoche, who continues to languish in the Dodgers’ farm system, or the intriguing Chin-Lung Hu—who has managed to compile only 6 BBs and 16 Ks in 177 AAA at-bats, while batting .328 and slugging .531.
In contrast to Blanton, whose July slump scared away the Dodgers, Loaiza’s audition has gone well with two effective starts against a tough Blue Jays lineup. But topping out at 90 MPH, Loaiza can be good, not great, and no matter what his fastball looks like he is Esteban Loaiza: Career journeyman, a guy who pitches so well somebody wants him and who pitches so badly somebody wants to get rid of him. He might genuinely help the Dodgers over the season’s last four weeks. The Dodgers’ prospects could help the A’s for years. Get it done, Billy—this time, you’re definitely trading the right guy.
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89 comments
Comments
question: has Loaiza cleared waivers?
if so, it's worth dealing him if they get alot for him.
I think he might bring even more in a trade during the offseason, especially given what the free agent starters group looks like and what they are likely to get in terms of $$
by OaklandSi on Aug 28, 2007 9:00 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Dealing Loaiza makes no sense
if the A's plan a serious run at the AL West crown in '08. Loaiza is affordable (in proven #3 starter currency) and is entering his contract year, which has in the past been a great motivator for him.
This deal makes a whole lot of sense if '08 is another rebuilding year, like the last two months of '07 have been.
by FreeSeatUpgrade on Aug 28, 2007 9:01 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Lest we forget...
Repeat after me.
Loaiza has an option for '09. Loaiza has an option for '09. Loaiza has an option for '09. Loaiza has an option for '09. Loaiza has an option for '09. Loaiza has an option for '09.
In other words, next year is only his "contract year" if he's so horrible that Oakland (or whomever) doesn't even bother exercising the option.
by PaulThomas on Aug 28, 2007 9:08 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I stand corrected
But I still think dealing a reasonably priced innings-eating middle of the rotation starter for youngsters is not the move of a team aiming to win in 2008.
by FreeSeatUpgrade on Aug 28, 2007 9:10 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Plus
Loaiza can also drive the team bus if they've gotta get to the park right away.
by FreeSeatUpgrade on Aug 28, 2007 9:11 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
TRADE LOAIZA NOW
a twist on FIRE GEREN NOW
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 9:15 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
but I don't think we can entirely give up hope. The A's have a lot of potential starters. Braden, Meyer, Simmons, Madsen, Halsey, even Jason Windsor, I suppose-- all of them could be rotation guys. The question is whether any of them WILL be.
If the A's do trade E-Lo, the next move I want them to make is to extend Haren's contract by another two years. That'll ensure that he and Swish are the nucleus of the team through 2012.
by PaulThomas on Aug 28, 2007 9:39 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I am not convinced that this is true
Loaiza has two main "strengths" by your account -- he is an innings eater and he is reasonably priced. Well, the price tag would be that much less if we went with someone younger (Braden, Dinardo, Meyer, etc) -- and as an innings eater, Loaiza will barely top 200 IP over his last two seasons. Seems like 7M for an avg of 100 mediocre innings per season is not a good trade-off.
If you can convince me he would stay healthy and actually be an innings eater that would be one thing, but he has not done that as an Athletic so I say if the offer is right lets make a deal.
by AsFanInLA on Aug 28, 2007 9:56 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
trade strength for weakness...
trade both loaiza and blanton for what we don't have...bats and position players.
we have lots of starting pitching talent in the minors. we need to move beyond kotsay, chavez and crosby.
please billy, make the trade.
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 9:05 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Can't trade Blanton
At least not until the off-season as I am sure he would not have cleared waivers. If Loaiza has cleared waivers, however, it seems we might actually be able to get more for him now from a desperate Dodger team that has a very loaded farm system.
As always, it depends on what the Dodgers offer, but if I was Billy I would be trying hard to see what I could get for him.
by AsFanInLA on Aug 28, 2007 9:10 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
a fair point....
trade him at the earliest point possible
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 9:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
and i obviously agree that
billy should be talking to the Dodgers now about Loaiza.
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 9:17 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
we don't have any SP talent in the minors
sadly, we have more offensive talent in the minors than we do pitching.
by black beane and rice on Aug 28, 2007 9:17 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
meyer, braden and madsen...
they'll all be ready soon.
what offensive talent do we have in the minors? barton? anyone else?
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 9:17 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Isn't Madsen struggling in AAA
Maybe I'm missing something, but I wouldn't put him in the same class as the other two. I know he made the Futures Game, but I like the other two's chances at #3 starter production a lot more than his.
by drink on Aug 28, 2007 9:29 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
yes, but it's after a mid year promotion
i agree madsen isn't in the same league as meyer and braden, but given him progression he's not far from being ready.
with braden and meyer ready, we can trade loaiza and blanton.
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 9:33 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I dunno
I don't think Braden or Madsen will amount to anything, especially not a capable, regular SP. There's hope for Meyer, but at this point, I think it's just us clinging on to the hope of getting something out of that deal.
I believe Barton and Petit have a greater chance at making an impact than any of those SP names.
by black beane and rice on Aug 28, 2007 9:58 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
barton i will grant you, but petit?
you're impressed by his .266/.308/.646 batting line? i'm not and i'm not impressed by his lower minors stats either.
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 10:06 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
and why
do you have more faith in meyer than braden? braden was in AA to start this year and he's starting to deal in AAA (as his 17 strike out, no walk effort last night demonstrates).
both guys are coming off of big shoulder surgery and braden seems further along. plus i like his mentality. he never seems to quit.
i think both guys will be solid major league pitchers.
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 10:08 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
i dont believe braden has the repertoire
to be a SP. He could be a decent bullpen guy, but that's not what we were discussing.
As for Petit, his glove is already MLB ready and seeing as how we're pretty limited at SS, I can see him getting a shot to prove himself.
by black beane and rice on Aug 28, 2007 10:11 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
why do you say that?
meyer can't pitch more than 6 innings. braden is finishing games.
don't both guys basically throw fastball, slider and change up?
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 10:15 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
which is why i said
that I don't think either of them are going to amount to much. I think we're just holding our hopes on Meyer because of the deal he was involved in and I think that Braden will be a decent relief pitcher.
Unless these guys make some serious strides with their stuff and/or command, I don't have the faith to say the A's have minor league pitching waiting to contribute.
by black beane and rice on Aug 28, 2007 10:17 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
i'm an economist by training...
i think both braden and meyer have major league skills. neither would've started this year in the bigs if harden and loaiza had never been hurt. they're still a bit aways from full time major league production, but they're close. we can't judge them by their performance this year.
loaiza has no future with the a's and the a's won't be ready to compete in 2008, so we should prepare the team for the future and get the younger guys playing time.
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 10:23 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"i'm an economist by training... "
how dismal
by jubjub on Aug 28, 2007 10:28 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
word...
it's why i'm not an economist anymore.
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 10:37 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
can't judge them by their performance this year?
Then what are you basing anything off of? Last year?
Bottom line is you said our minor league pitching was a strength and that we have lots of starting pitching talent in the minors. If you trade away Blanton and E-Lo and go with this rotation to start 2008, you are worse off than before:
Haren
Harden
Gaudin
Meyer
Braden
I'm all for trading E-Lo since he's been an albatross this year, but I'm not going to trade our young, proven SP talent unless we get some MLB ready pitching in return. Thankfully, Beane won't either. Shows you exactly how much faith he has in either Meyer or Braden taking over a spot in the rotation full time.
by black beane and rice on Aug 28, 2007 10:31 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
black beane
i don't think it's proper to judge a starting pitcher making their first efforts at the major league level on just a few starts. even blanton wasn't very good in his first few starts with the a's but he's turned out fine. you have to judge guys by their progression and how they handle better competition. neither guy has done anything to blow my faith.
and don't say that beane won't trade blanton for anything other than a starting pitcher. if the rumors are to be believed, he was willing to trade blanton for exactly that at the trading deadline earlier this year.
what has petit done at any level to suggest he's a major league talent? so what if he can field? he can't hit a lick.
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 10:36 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
that's not what i said
I didn't say "that Beane won't trade Blanton for anything other than a SP." But I did say that he wouldn't do a Blanton deal unless there was some SP coming back. What rumor are you referring to in which you say that Beane was willing to trade Blanton away without getting pitching in return? Beane wanted Kershaw from the Dodgers.
As far as Petit goes, he hit .306 with a .366 OBP in AA this year before getting called up to AAA.
When he got called up to AAA, he naturally struggled for his first 15 games or so.
First 16 games: .148/.186/.167
Since: .307/.355/.399
you have to judge guys by their progression and how they handle better competition.
by black beane and rice on Aug 28, 2007 10:50 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
i heard that
beane wanted position players, not pitchers. pitching is the only thing we have in the upper minors. how is kershaw major league ready? you said major league ready.
if a .750 ops is handling aaa, then we're gonna have to disagree. i respect your view, but i don't want another all field, no hit player.
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 11:04 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
petit
the problem with this team is that we have too many guys that can field and can't hit. petit can't hit. we don't need another crosby - at least crosby is 6'3" which can help his reach and power.
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 10:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Loaiza for Hu or LaRoche and call it a day
otherwise, wait til the offseason.
by black beane and rice on Aug 28, 2007 9:17 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
A Loaiza trade
would mean the A's are officially rebuilding. While the team has a bit of depth in starting pitching, there isn't THAT much depth for next season. It means hoping for DiNardo, Braden, et cetera.
Loaiza could bring a decent return because he is signed through next year, so he wouldn't simply be a one-month rental.
I'll let everyone else hash out the possibilities in the Dodger farm system.
As I am not optimistic about 2008 with or without Loaiza, I would support a trade - depending on what the A's get in return.
by bear88 on Aug 28, 2007 9:17 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
we're not close to contending in 2008
so i agree with your logic. trade loaiza for younger talent. bring up barton and the 3 young starters. get ready for 2009 and maybe we get lucky in 2008.
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 9:19 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If the A's trade Loaiza now
It would pretty much kill the diary I've been working on. That would make me scream.
Other than that, I think you could trade E-Lo now and not necessarily declare 2008 a re-build year but it would depend on who the A's get back.
by grover on Aug 28, 2007 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Do we even know if he has cleared waivers??
by Hawk on Aug 28, 2007 9:20 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Hu would be great
We won't be able to get LaRoche for him, but I would be very happy with Hu or that young reliever they have (Meloan I think). Of course, I think us getting one of these guys would mean that the Dodgers would have claimed Loaiza, because if he has enough value to get a good prospect, then he probably wouldn't pass through waivers. Or, he passes through waivers and we have to take on some of his salary next year to get one of these guys.
by drink on Aug 28, 2007 9:21 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Fine by me.
Clears $8M in payroll space for next year, too. We need to make a play for a real hitter next year. We don't have any of those.
by jeepers on Aug 28, 2007 9:23 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
LaRoche is gold
If we could pull him, even with his struggles this year, it would be a GREAT deal. The Dodgers system has several prospects that could be a deal for us, with Loney (they won't trade), LaRoche, and Delwyn Young just being among the hitters.
I would deal Loaiza for any one of the 3, with LaRoche the only one LAD will probably be willing to give up.
by gdub171 on Aug 28, 2007 9:27 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Doddgers Prospects
Do they have to clear waivers too? If so isn't it unlikeley that anything happens by 8/31 deadline?
by NoeValley on Aug 28, 2007 9:46 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Waivers
I believe anyone who is on the 40-man must clear waivers, which would rule out LaRoche and Young, because they would obviously never clear. Hu, Meloan and deJesus (whom the A's supposedly wanted in a Blanton deal), would be available. So would Kershaw (ha ha).
by dylantravis on Aug 28, 2007 9:57 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
BUT - has Loaiza cleared waivers???????
by Hawk on Aug 28, 2007 10:02 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
he was on the DL until last week
so he might not have been placed on waivers yet.
by jubjub on Aug 28, 2007 10:03 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
correct
But, I wonder how PTNL's work. Can you trade for players that are on the 40-man, but just not name them until the offseason?
If this happens, it will probably be for a couple of minor prospects.
by jubjub on Aug 28, 2007 10:02 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
PTBNL
Off the top of my head, a team has 90 days to "declare" the PTBNL. Therefore, the A's could agree to LaRoche, wait until after the World Series, and collect him in November. Then you wouldn't have to worry about 40-man roster and waiver implications.
I think. Sounds good anyways.
by grover on Aug 28, 2007 1:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Trading Loaiza For Prospects ...
... might be the right move, but Billy can't undersell here.
Loaiza has only pitched in two games so the Dodgers would be making this trade on blind faith and my fear is that they won't give up anything of value: LaRoche, Hu, Young or Meleon.
But Loaiza did not have an arm injury and his light workload this year means he'll be extremely fresh in 2008. Considering his option/walk year, my guess is Loaiza will hage a fantastic 2008 along the lines of 200 innings with an ERA in the mid to high 3s.
Could the A's use that? Sure. Will he be more valuable to a contender next June or July? Probably.
by Eck on Aug 28, 2007 10:23 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
E-Lo, Goodbye
http://www.jayfarrar.net/video/beckh...
by monkeyball on Aug 28, 2007 10:42 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
do it.
by ak_A on Aug 28, 2007 10:46 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Harder question than it seems
Having been to the game last night and watching a team send up Wells, Thomas, and Glaus in the 12th inning (wow did I have a bad feeling), my initial feeling is we must get a hitter for E-Lo now. Right now he has had 2 good outings and therefore maybe has his highest value in the marketplace. But.....
What if he has 4 more good outings this year? Then his value is higher in the off-season. Or he could be awful, and his value plummets. But..
He is only making $7 mil next year. Do we have a cheaper replacement in the wings? We won't find anything on the open market for less. Does it make sense to keep him? Or is our rotation okay without him? (If we deal him, I think we must keep Blanton).
The biggest need is some offense. We can't hope to compete if we keep sending out the western version of the Rivercats every night. Trading is probably our only way to find some power hitters as I don't see the pocketbooks opening for Tori Hunter or Andruw Jones.
It will be interesting to see what Billy does. Stay tuned.
by oaklandcrazy on Aug 28, 2007 11:12 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
So now the affordable starting pitcher has
by ohtobe21likehuston on Aug 28, 2007 11:47 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
let me ask a question
do you want crosby, chavez and kotsay or loaiza/blanton?
there's no way this team can compete in 2008 unless we blow it up. we either have a good staff, with a mediocre bullpen and crappy offense OR we try to build a better offense and use younger pitchers to dominate. 2009 is the year we make our stand.
by inbillywetrust on Aug 28, 2007 11:57 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd easily settle for a weak/no
shot at contending in '08 if we were making the necessary moves to make us strong contenders in '09, '10, '11 and beyond. To settle for an iffy chance next year with the DL squad and no offense in '08 and little prospect for success afterward. I agree 100% with making our stand in 2009.
by DMOAS on Aug 28, 2007 12:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Now that is a loaded question but I'll try and
give you an answer. Crosby, Kotsay and Chavez are all paid too well so unless two of them are going with Loiaza in a salary dump then I'm against this trade. The starting pitching around here in the last 8 years has spoiled most of us into believing that we can just magically find more of it whenever necessary. How many organizations are still looking for decent starting pitching and can't find it year after year? I don't want to be that team.
We need to spend some intelligent money in the offseason on reliable offensive players rather than trying to save money and hoping for a "2006 Frank Thomas" who has a better chance of being DL'd than putting up gaudy numbers. An average lineup would have allowed this team to compete. The DL has been used an extraordinary number of times this year so I'm hesitant to pretend that this was our actual team. I also don't believe our bullpen is mediocre and it would be great if Duke was available.
We did well by dumping JoKe and JaKe but this move should be done during the off-season once we know that Braden, Madsen and Meyer are better pitchers than Braden, Madsen and Meyer are right now.
by ohtobe21likehuston on Aug 28, 2007 12:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"our actual team"
Thing is, the players who got hurt -- and especially the ones who were likely to do so -- were our actual team. Beane doesn't get a do-over because players with chronic injury histories were unavailable and underperformed.
by monkeyball on Aug 28, 2007 2:05 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
True. I just don't see how dealing Loiaza now
will help improve our team for '08 when we have no one capable of replacing him. Our #5 starter killed us this season and this diary is basically implying that hitting acquired via trade will somehow fix the problem.
Haren
Blanton
Guadin
?
?
Those two question marks could be quite difficult to replace unless we are going to start dreaming about Harden being healthy and DiNardo being good. Our pitching in Sactown is high-caliber until it faces ML-hitting so I hope BB isn't thinking along the lines of some of AN. Braden had 17 K's last night yet he had an ERA of 5.59 where it counts.
by ohtobe21likehuston on Aug 28, 2007 2:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't disagree ...
... but I also think that a 1-2-3 of Haren-Blanton-Gaudin isn't necessarily the front three of a strong contending team.
Loaiza is, to this team, at best a #4 starter, and is inconsistent, not entirely healthy, and rapidly losing velocity from his peak years.
He's the sort of "established" complementary piece that a rich team already in contention overpays for to round out its roster.
That he's under contract for 1-2 years at below-market rates serves both to make him seem more attractive to potential trading partners and to render his price only in terms of young talent -- exactly what Beane and the A's need, for '08 and beyond.
Not having Loaiza would be merely one minor flaw in the larger picture of the team's deficiencies in '08, and keeping him in the face of good prospect offers in return would be detrimental to the team's chances of competing in '09 and beyond.
by monkeyball on Aug 28, 2007 3:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed.
If you keep him, you might somewhat improve the rather, IMO, miniscule chance of this team competing in 08. But if the Dodgers offered Hu or LaRoche, there would be no reason not to trade him.
Of course I doubt that the Dodgers would be stupid enough to give up one of their top prospects for an aging mediocre starter.
by lenscrafters on Aug 28, 2007 3:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Deal him
I agree with Nico, he really isnt that impressive. How many times have we enthusiastically asked "did he hit 90 on the gun"? The A's will most likely have another up and down year in '08 full of "what ifs". Loaiza doesnt seem to factor into the big picture here anymore.
by pickinmachine on Aug 28, 2007 11:53 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
At the game last night...
and Richwol and I were talking about how hard he was getting hit in the first few innings, yet runs were not scoring. Then in the fourth or fifth he settled down and started getting the weak flys and grounders.
If I could get the exact prospect(s) that I wanted now, I'd do it. If not, I'd hold him until after the season and shop him again. Same deal though.
If healthy, and he's due, then he is a solid middle of the rotation guy, and at the deadline next season he could really fetch a good package, perhaps.
by Dr Pez on Aug 28, 2007 11:59 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
LET'S NOT FORGET...
That if BB did deal Loaiza, that there is this thing that exists called a "Free Agent Market". That's where we found E-Lo, afterall. I know the A's haven't done much as far as free agents goes, and free agent pitchers are rarely ever a good deal, but there will be starting pitching options out there for BB to consider in order to allow the A's to contend next season.
A few examples:
Shawn Estes - lefty coming off of injury could be cheap
Kenny Rogers - lefty, and pitched well here before, and we wouldn't have to face him!
Tony Armas - sucked this year, so should be cheap
Paul Byrd - could be cheap due to age/not so stellar performance last two seasons in Cleveland
Jason Jennings - imploded in Houston after being effective in Colorado. Could be rebuilt in Oakland.
Aaron Sele - coming out of bullpen this year, but has pitched okay. Maybe he could become a starter again. Very cheap.
Tim Wakefield - I only list him here because as a knuckleballer, he could pitch effectively until he's 50 years old, and I just love watching him pitch. I'm sick, I know.
by bzn5150 on Aug 28, 2007 12:15 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Barf
I would take Braden, Windsor, Komine whatever AAA replacement in an instant over all of those guys cept maybe Wakefield who's not a FA, he has that sick contract with the Sox where they pay him 4 mil a year for however long they please.
by Dusty Baker on Aug 28, 2007 12:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That Arguement is Good..
If we're talking about shopping Blanton and/or E-Lo during this coming offseason. There is ZERO pitching on the Free Agent Market next season.
If you can't get a good deal for E-Lo by end of the week (He has value, people), shop him to all 30 Teams during the offseason. He'll probably have more value in December.
by Colorado Fan on Aug 28, 2007 2:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
ONLY make this deal for a very solid return
LaRoche or Hu would qualify for me, although if dylantravis is correct above and waivers are required for anyone on the 40-man (not just the 25-man) roster, then LaRoche couldn't be the guy.
I'm with Eck and oaklandcrazy above: we shouldn't do this without a very respectable return. Loaiza's not very exciting, but people should not underestimate how valuable a property his contract is. He hasn't provided all that much value to the A's so far because of the injuries, but he's a very solid pitcher when healthy. He's been inconsistent, but he's been pitcher of the month as recently as last August, which is a level you simply can't achieve if you're really a stiff. Health is the concern, of course, but he had been pretty durable before showing up in Oakland (proximity to Larry Davis apparently proved deadly).
Although he hasn't been worth what we've paid him so far, the fact is that his contract going forward is actually a very good one: $7 million is dirt cheap in today's market for a decent starting pitcher. And the option is a heck of a selling point. If he stinks in '08, you cut him loose. If he shines, you pick up the option for what you hope will be another below-market year of solid performance. That kind of flexibility for the team that owns that contract is very valuable--it's essentially a 2-year contract where you can void the second year if things go bad. Actually it's hard for me to believe he cleared waivers (assuming he did, or else the info that the Dodgers are interested must be mistaken)--maybe we were lucky he didn't look good enough early enough in his rehab that teams were willing to venture a claim at the time he was put on waivers.
The 4 weeks plus 1 year plus 1 option year on Loaiza's contract are a real asset. They're a real asset to us (although since we're out of it this year the 4 weeks part is not as useful to us as they could be to a contender, which is one fact that favors a trade), and should only be traded if we can get another very solid asset.
by Faust on Aug 28, 2007 12:17 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Seriously...
I know this is just speculation, but you are not getting Andy LaRoche for Estaban Loaiza. I know Ned's trading history isn't the greatest, but LaRoche is by far our best hitting prospect, and we have Shea Hillenbrand playing third right now. LaRoche isn't getting moved for a mediocre starter.
by regfairfield on Aug 28, 2007 12:32 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
LaRoche isn't getting moved for Albert Pujols
because LaRoche will not clear waivers.
I believe us A's fans would enjoy Hu for E-Lo
by black beane and rice on Aug 28, 2007 12:43 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re
Good luck getting anyone hitting over .300 away from the Dodgers. Ned loves him some batting average.
by regfairfield on Aug 28, 2007 1:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Another thought
My guess is that Beane will deal him without hesitation because he barked when he was forced to make unnecessary rehab starts. Recent history shows that Beane is not fond of putting up with insubordination.
by jeepers on Aug 28, 2007 12:48 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Good point
by grover on Aug 28, 2007 1:30 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I say do it now.
He's as attractive after these two starts as he will ever be, so let's get something good for him and call it a day. I don't like the way he complained about too many rehab starts either. Maybe there's something in the works with Toronto?
by A'sfansince1970 on Aug 28, 2007 1:42 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Let's hope not
Their AAA team is stone cold horrible.
by PaulThomas on Aug 28, 2007 2:35 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Quoting the Ben Stiller Show:
"Do it. No, seriously, do it."
Turning an aging middle-of-the-rotation pitcher into an under-30 prospect is a must.
Rotation for next year:
Haren
Harden (for a couple of weeks)
Blanton
Guadin
Lenny
Meyer/Windsor/Komine/Braden/Whothehellever after Harden goes down.
I can deal with that.
Upside: at 7 mil a year, Loaiza is relatively a bargain.
by Joey C. on Aug 28, 2007 2:33 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
If we can somehow get LaRoche...
in some sort of package, that would be awesome.
I would settle for Hu for E-lo though, anyone to challenge Crosby.
by Instant Replay Umpire on Aug 28, 2007 2:37 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
We have that
See: Murphy, Donnie.
Being on the DL for a couple of weeks doesn't stop him existing.
by PaulThomas on Aug 28, 2007 2:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
by Challenging Crosby
I mean challenging him on the field
not challenging him in rehab
=)
by Instant Replay Umpire on Aug 28, 2007 2:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I like this point a lot...
anyone to challenge Crosby
I am willing to take Donnie Murphy over him next year and I realize that Murphy doesn't impress much. However Crosby depresses everyone and he needs to go away.
by ohtobe21likehuston on Aug 28, 2007 2:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
LaRoche or Hu? Nope
There is no way the Dodgers are going to trade either Andy LaRoche or Hu for Loaiza. While you are at it, why don't you wish for Billingsley, Broxton and Kemp.
vr, Xei
by xeifrank on Aug 28, 2007 3:09 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
As if Billingsley and Hu were comparable
Question for you, though, xeifrank. Why is LaRoche in AAA while the Dodgers play Shea Hillenbrand (I mean, c'mon) at 3B? Just wondering. Is LaRoche healthy?
by Nico on Aug 28, 2007 4:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
LaRoche
LaRoche just got off the DL a couple days ago. I'm guessing at this point they're just waiting for rosters to expand to call him up.
by regfairfield on Aug 28, 2007 6:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Can't believe
such a ridiculous trade proposal coming from such a progressive blog as this.
vr, Xei
by xeifrank on Aug 29, 2007 12:12 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Righto
Have fun not making the playoffs... again. Hope you enjoyed that fabulous Shawn Green double play last season.
You have to give up talent to get talent. There's no way that Beane will trade Loaiza for some crap prospect. And quite frankly, you might as well hope he does trade for ELo, because there's no way he's going to play anyone under 30 if someone over 30 will do. Remember, Colletti is from the Brian Sabean Gerontocracy School of Management.
by PaulThomas on Aug 28, 2007 4:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think it's a mistake to equate
keeing Loaiza with having any chance to compete in 2008. Loaiza, topping out at 90 MPH, is not that great. If you're counting on him to compete, you're not competing anyway because throughout his career he has been anything but reliably good.
Haren, Blanton, and Gaudin give you a solid core. DiNardo is solid on the back end, and Meyer/Braden give you spring training options for a breakthrough. Meanwhile, don't forget that Beane has added key starters recently that were not previously even on the team. He signed ELo as a FA and he snatched Gaudin and DiNardo from Toronto's non-grata list. The 4th starter who can make you forget Loaiza ever existed may be a guy who is not currently in the organization.
The A's need hitters and they need young talent--if Loaiza can fetch that, I think trading him could make the team more competitive, not less, for 2008.
by Nico on Aug 28, 2007 3:44 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
maybe they turn you on, Nico, but ...
... Haren, Blanton, and Gaudin don't give me a solid core.
by monkeyball on Aug 28, 2007 4:33 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Topping out at 90MPH
Don't forget that there is the likely chance of Loaiza picking up velocity next if he's able to have a full off-season of recovery and a ST. He's healthy enough to pitch, that does not mean he's at full stregnth.
by grover on Aug 28, 2007 4:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm just not sold that he has
what it takes to excel consistently. He's a roll of the dice. Maybe he has a magical 20-win season, maybe he has an ERA of 5.00 for no particular reason, maybe he's brilliant for 2 months, lousy for 2 months, and out for 2 months. And you can say the same about a lot of guys, including the Meyers and Bradens, Scott Olsens, and Shawn Estes/Tony Armas Jr./Jason Jennings group.
The only thing that has been consistent about Loaiza throughout his career is his inconsistency. And the sample is going on 12 years.
by Nico on Aug 28, 2007 4:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's true
by grover on Aug 28, 2007 5:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Right--it's just he's reaching the age
when ANY pitcher can expect to start losing a couple MPH off the fastball. So it's unlikely he'll be throwing 93 MPH much longer (if at all) anyway. But his issues aren't solely velocity based--it's just that without plus velocity he isn't that great under the BEST of circumstances. Meanwhile, he is capable of being bad under any circumstances.
by Nico on Aug 28, 2007 6:30 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Trading Loiaza a no-brainer . . .
His 2008 dollars can be used to sign Blanton for 3 years . . .
Besides, "reliable unnamed sources" have indicated that his DUI was not an isolated incident -- it's unfortunately indicative of a greater problem (little reading between the lines needed here)
Trade now . . .
by millbraeforAsfan on Aug 28, 2007 4:10 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Let's face it--it rarely is an isolated incident
Statistically, IIRC, when someone is pulled over for a DUI it is the 3rd time they have driven drunk. And that's just the part about driving, not drinking...
There's a reason this guy's a journeyman. He's worth more in trade than in person.
by Nico on Aug 28, 2007 4:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs























