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The Importance of Wins (and Potential Open Thread)

UPDATE: Snelling to DL; Bocachica called up: http://www.athleticsnation.com/story...

Well, as always, feel free to use this thread to rehash the ugly events for Oakland the last two days, basketball or baseball, while still keeping in mind that things could have been a whole lot uglier for the A’s without last night’s win. Use this thread to start a petition to Fire Larry Davis Now, or if you are drained from emotional sporting events, feel free to talk about how even though you knew Ian Ziering was the fourth of the bunch; you kind of secretly wanted him to continue, and who should be chosen for the Idol final two tonight. (Melinda! Blake!)

For starters, I would like to point out some numbers, just because they’re mind-boggling to me. We’re halfway through May; our ace pitcher (who has lived up to the billing and then some) has made 9 starts, and has done everything he can to will the A’s to victory when he takes the mound.

Now, I know that many believe (including our own Dave Stewart), that as a starting pitcher, you pitch to the score; you pitch to win. And in some sense, I’m sure there is a grain of truth in that. You would throw pitches with a three run lead that you wouldn’t in a tie game; you are very aware of the score at all times, and your ultimate goal is to give up fewer runs than the other team. I get that.

But there is also a reason why I thought Colon winning the Cy two years ago was a downright travesty, and it wasn’t because he was on the Angels. It was because he won the award solely on the strength of his wins, not because he was the best pitcher. He was very, very good, but no Santana or Rivera, and I would credit the Angels’ run support with the difference. I just have trouble believing that Colon ‘pitched for the wins’ better than any one else.  And if anyone can tell me how Danny Haren could have possibly pitched any better in his eight innings on Monday, I’d like to hear it. How about giving up zero runs? Is that ‘pitching for the win’ enough?

Joe Morgan (who I believe still holds a vote in the Cy voting) has this to say about starting pitchers:

"Everything you have said depends on the team. ERA also depends on errors and how good the team plays. If the team makes mental mistakes, the pitcher still pays for it. The game is still wins and losses. The Pirates led the league in ERA in 1989 or around there. The[y] finished last. I guarantee you those pitchers would have rather had wins. You don't send a pitcher out to the mound and say "get a good ERA." You want him to win games. A good ERA might come with wins, but the wins and losses are the most important. If you had a guy with a .001 ERA but never won a game and another guy had a 3.5 ERA and won 25 games, who would you give the award to? Wins and losses is the column that matters most."

To put it mildly, I think this is crap. Sure, no one wants a pitcher who loses games. But it stands to reason that eventually someone will take a look at that pitcher’s stats and be forced to say, "Maybe it’s not actually the pitcher’s fault that those games were lost!"

Here are Danny Haren’s numbers from the season:

Appeared in 9 games
3-2 record
1.64 ERA
60.1 innings pitched
44 hits
11 earned runs
14 walks
48 strikeouts

APR 02, L, 6IP, 4H, 0 ER
APR 07, L, 7IP, 6H, 1ER
APR 13, ND, 5IP,4H 3ER
APR 18, W, 7IP, 4H, 0ER
APR 23, W, 7IP, 5H, 1ER
APR 28, W, 7.1IP, 7H, 2ER
MAY 04, ND, 7IP, 4H, 2ER
MAY 09, ND 6IP, 6H, 2ER
MAY 14, ND 8IP, 4H, 0ER

These numbers actually make me simultaneously proud of Haren and angry at our offense. That’s pitching well enough to conservatively win 7 games, with, say the Red Sox’s offense. I’m not taking anything away from Beckett, but Haren is pitching as well. Would I try to prove that to Joe Morgan? No way. I dare someone to bring Haren up in a chat, if you’re into Joe!Chat. I’d bet Haren isn’t even on Joe’s radar as ‘top AL pitchers contending for the Cy’. He will 100% cite Haren’s win total as a reason why he is not an elite pitcher, and I couldn’t disagree more. With a better offense (something that has nothing to do with Haren), he wins at least double his games so far. But the offense is not getting the job done when he pitches. And yes, so far this season, Haren has been matched with some legitimate top-tier pitchers, and we can only hope that this evens out.  

Tonight’s game is at 7:05, as the A’s try to secure at least a series split.

Poll
How does one determine an elite pitcher?
Wins are most important - a pitcher with 20 wins should win Cy over one with less
17 votes
Pitching statistics are important, but pitchers have some control over wins
134 votes
Pitching statistics; wins/losses are mostly out of pitcher control
280 votes

431 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 67 comments

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Seems it has always been that way, just as ..

.. you need to be {it helps tremendously to be} on a playoff-bound team to win the MVP, and you need to have enough wins to get the Cy Young ...

.. the Athletics may be small-market but they have BIG-heart! ..

by Randy Bell on May 16, 2007 9:45 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Unless you're a relief pitcher, of course.
"There is one word in America that says it all, and that one word is, 'You never know.'"--Joaquin Andujar

by GreenNGoldSooner on May 16, 2007 9:49 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

OOPs yes I was speaking of Starting Pitchers

Also regarding Beckett, it could be that the RedSox are peaking too early, like they did last year - it's a long season - things may even out before season's end, we'll see! :)

.. the Athletics may be small-market but they have BIG-heart! ..

by Randy Bell on May 16, 2007 9:51 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes...but...

"always been this way" and "should be this way" are two different things. But yes, good point.

Now we have 6 or 7 months to enjoy, to cheer, cry, and scream both in frustration and happiness. ~china bob

by baseballgirl on May 16, 2007 9:52 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Most Definitely - I voted for the first option

.. in your poll, because "elite pitcher" doesn't necessarily equate to "Cy Young" - now, in Johan Santana's case maybe it does! - but not always.. :)

.. the Athletics may be small-market but they have BIG-heart! ..

by Randy Bell on May 16, 2007 9:57 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Which is why I believe...

...the MVP Award is a farce.  They try to determine the best individual by using every team-dependent stat available.

by FormerHuntsvilleStar on May 16, 2007 5:56 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So....American Idol, anyone?
Now we have 6 or 7 months to enjoy, to cheer, cry, and scream both in frustration and happiness. ~china bob

by baseballgirl on May 16, 2007 9:57 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't like Jordin

but I think she's going to win. I'd be equally happy with Blake or Melinda as the winner.

I'm going to the game tonight, so I won't be able to see who gets the boot until later. I hope no one spoils the outcome.

And having done my best to tune out Joe Morgan for most of the last year, I've become a much happier person. :)

Kettlecorn! Swishercorn!

by TurnTwo on May 16, 2007 10:05 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'll text you the winner :)

Just kidding. A carrier pigeon over the stadium with the results tucked in an itty bitty container attached to its itty bitty leg would be much more fun.

Now we have 6 or 7 months to enjoy, to cheer, cry, and scream both in frustration and happiness. ~china bob

by baseballgirl on May 16, 2007 10:07 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Melinda and Blake!!
"Very nice day in the Oakland A... Oakland A's? What's this stadium called again?" Nick Swisher on TWIB.

by larrysgurl on May 16, 2007 10:26 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Go Jordin!

I have watched all 6 seasons of AI, and I have never had my favorite win (Tamyra, Kimberley Locke, George Huff, Nikko Smith, Elliott Yamin), so I might get my shot this year.

Melinda is actually better than Jordin, but her "Oh! I'm good? Really?" thing after she has these amazing performances seems annoyingly fake to me.

I really do adore Blake, and he should be runner up. That's not saying much though. This has been the worst season so far.

"Get up!" ~ Ray Fosse, 5/31/2006

by KendallGurl18 on May 16, 2007 11:03 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's perfectly obvious: Jordin

Melinda is a nice singer, but she looks like the offspring of the Elephant Man and a munchkin, so she's never going to sell any records. That Blake guy is like the sound effects dude from Police Academy, not a real singer. And Jordin is kinda hot.

Apolo and Julianne are the best dancers, so they should obviously win. The judges have some kind of weird fixation on the fat chick, for reasons that escape me. She doesn't dance any better than the Cheers guy, just better than Billy Ray but doesn't everybody? I don't think that Pet Shop guy should win, but they like this costumes so he will if they don't give it to the fat chick. The funniest moment of that show was the old Englishman telling Apolo's Mormon partner she was "too raunchy." As if.

Here's the thing about run support and wins/losses: Number One pitchers tend to pitch against Number One pitchers, etc, given that everybody has a five-dude rotation. So Haren takes the mound against the other team's ace, and we have a man-to-man showdown of great pitching talent. Every run scored in support of Haren is a run the other guy gave up and vice versa. So the run differential is a not-too-bad indicator of how well the pitcher is doing in the battle of the aces. ERA is a sloppy stat because errors are given out so erratically and it doesn't capture the effects of great defensive plays. WHIP is the best measure of pitching success, but nobody pays much attention to it.

That being said, if I was Haren I'd be asking to bat for myself and have them use the DH for Kendall.

"Billy Beane's got to be a genius -- picking up Jack Cust and signing me" -- Milton Bradley

by BubbaDude on May 16, 2007 11:22 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jordin

is going to win and get to play outside lineback for the 49er's as her prize

I think she might be a dude.

Signatures? We don't need no stinking signatures.

by jubjub on May 16, 2007 12:59 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Remember...

Joe Morgan, if he has a Cy Young vote, will never vote for an Athletic. His is still very bitter over the fact that he was turned away from purchasing the team a few years back (i believe with the Save Mart owner). The A's would have to win 130 games, have a 75 home run player, and a 28 game winner before Morgan could muster up a compliment about the team. So hearing his opinion about ERA is not suprising

by Murph21 on May 16, 2007 10:00 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

True...but I think he really believes that

That comment wasn't specific to this year...I think it's an old quote. But in the baseball for dummies book that he wrote, he mentioned that the #1 pitching stat is the 'W'.

Now we have 6 or 7 months to enjoy, to cheer, cry, and scream both in frustration and happiness. ~china bob

by baseballgirl on May 16, 2007 10:06 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So silly

"You don't send a pitcher out to the mound and say "get a good ERA." You want him to win games"

Pitching a solid game with a good ERA, K/BB, etc. is all he CAN do. I suppose Morgan thinks the pitcher can somehow control how well his team hits through his attitude, presence or some such crap. It's nonsense, I never even glance at a pitcher's W/L when I look at pitching statistics. Aaron Small from 05 and Dan Haren so far this season are glaring examples of why.

by pinkfloyd on May 16, 2007 10:12 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

ERA is far from perfect too.

The rules about what are earned vs unearned leave a lot to be desired.  

Also the rules about attribution of inherited runners to the previous pitcher makes ERA more distorted.
And on any given night, the opposition has the same run environment as your team, so comparing the ERA for a cold night in Oakland to the ERA from Arlington in the summer is not accurate anyway.  

by MobiusKlein on May 16, 2007 10:13 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Good points

The rules about what are earned vs unearned leave a lot to be desired.

See: The "triple" in the ninth yesterday that was just a stupid play by someone who is not a centerfielder.

Also the rules about attribution of inherited runners to the previous pitcher makes ERA more distorted.

VERY interesting point, too.

I'm not claiming that ERA is perfect; there is a lot more that go into pitching statistics than just ERA, but I think of all the measures of a good pitcher, wins are the absolute worst.  

Now we have 6 or 7 months to enjoy, to cheer, cry, and scream both in frustration and happiness. ~china bob

by baseballgirl on May 16, 2007 10:17 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wins are special

There is something, however flawed, in the actual win of a game as a stat.   I'd modify it somehow, to account for the bad beats (lose 1-0), and times the pitcher leaves with the lead but the BP blows it.  

After all, a 300 game winner is something special, no matter how flawed the stat is.

by MobiusKlein on May 16, 2007 11:47 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So many ways to show that the "W" is not the way

to determine the best pitcher.  How about this.  Which pitcher would you have wanted in a big game last year(based on 2006 stats):

Pitcher A : 18-7
Pitcher B : 12-11
Pitcher C : 13-11

Well obviously Pitcher A is the man with that great W-L record.  (now as most of you might realize by now Pitcher A is not really the best, so without further ado....)

Pitcher A is Jon Garland
Pitcher B is CC Sabathia
Pitcher C is John Lackey

I can tell you without a doubt that Garland would be a distant 3rd in any decision I made about which of those three starting pitchers I would have wanted pitching for me last year.  Look at some of the other stats these guys had (in A,B,C order)

ERA 4.51, 3.22, 3.56
WHIP 1.36, 1.17, 1.26
K/9 4.77, 8.03, 7.86

Clearly the worst across the board.  

One of my other all time favorite stat lines to show a "crappy" pitcher is this one:

Pitcher finished year 8-16.  Boy that sucks.  How about these numbers to go with it however:

212 IP, 2.76 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 154 HA, 270 K.  This was Nolan Ryan's 1987 season with Houston.  Guess those numbers are not good enough to be a good pitcher for Morgan (if they come with a 8-16 W-L record).  

by AsFanInLA on May 16, 2007 10:26 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Definitely the 'W' is a "team" stat not a.....

... pitcher stat - I was thinking also that defense affects wins so if your team plays crappy defense and costs you the game, as a pitcher you have absolutely NO control over that, no more than you have control over how good your team hits and scores runs - and being pitted against the other team's #1 {e.g. Gil Meche} affects YOUR team's ability to score runs; etc ...

.. the Athletics may be small-market but they have BIG-heart! ..

by Randy Bell on May 16, 2007 10:32 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fire Joe Morgan

I think it's funny whenever Jon Miller diplomatically calls out Morgan on his sloppy commentary. The guy just pulls stuff out of his ass.

by swanwilliam on May 16, 2007 10:30 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Personally, I like Jon Miller...

...but yeah, he makes me scratch my head sometimes.  But it's not hard for him to refute Morgan, and it's not hard to look smarter that way, too.  Well, unless you're John Kruk... ;P

by FormerHuntsvilleStar on May 16, 2007 6:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Idiocy like Joe's quote

are why websites like FJM exist.

"Incidentally, this sort of helps confirm my belief that Mark Kotsay is the perfect "average" player." - FJM

by doctorK on May 16, 2007 4:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm proud of the Warriors

From what I saw of this round of the postseason the Jazz were simply a better team. The Warriors played well and made most of those games close.

by OaklandSi on May 16, 2007 10:40 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I have the same beef with RBI as a stat

considering that it has a proven bias towards those who consistently come up with runners on base, something that's more or less out of the control of the batter.

If I were to have my way, RBI would be replaced by some sort of Base Conversion stat that'd look at the following things

How many possible bases can be taken by the runners on-base and the batter (maximum 10 for a grand-slam)?

Of those, how many were actually taken as a result of the at-bat?

While I haven't accounted for the added benefit of stolen bases, this at least would create BC and BCA stats that would tell me if a hitter can do the best with the situation that's presented to him.

by Rickeyfan on May 16, 2007 10:45 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Yep...RBI and RS falls into the same category

Sure, it helps if you can hit with men on base. But you have little to no control of them getting on base, and of COURSE a team with a better offense is going to have a leading RBI guy on their team. If you are the only player to hit and get on base in your lineups, you have little control of how many runners you knock in, and how many times YOU are knocked in.

Now we have 6 or 7 months to enjoy, to cheer, cry, and scream both in frustration and happiness. ~china bob

by baseballgirl on May 16, 2007 10:51 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Frank Thomas

In his case, RS was almost equal to HRs. That says a lot about his base running, or whatever the more appropriate term for his mode of ambulation might be.

"Billy Beane's got to be a genius -- picking up Jack Cust and signing me" -- Milton Bradley

by BubbaDude on May 16, 2007 11:26 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It says a ton about the guys hitting around him..

The only hitter who would drive him in to score was himself, and the only runner he could drive in to score was himself.

It's almost like winning twice when you beat the Angels." -- Milton Bradley

by Elvez on May 16, 2007 12:37 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

"Slug"

You have to hit one in the gap to score him from 2nd base ..

.. the Athletics may be small-market but they have BIG-heart! ..

by Randy Bell on May 16, 2007 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Will Carroll on Huston...

Beane's charges may have their biggest challenge now with Huston Street headed to the DL. While the press releases have minimized the severity of the injury, this is similar to what has kept Josh Johnson on the shelf for better than two months. In fact, my injury database shows one pitcher-- LaTroy Hawkins --who came back from any sort of ulnar neuritis in less than two months

Bring back Hammer.

by OaktownPower on May 16, 2007 10:57 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Doppelganger?

Is it just me or does Blake look like Byrnsie?

by easyraider on May 16, 2007 11:07 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

American Idol

Melinda winning American Idol is tantamount to Ichiro having a stellar professional career and then coming to America and winning Rookie of the Year.
First of all, she's 30 years old and I know that is within the rules, but to match her up agianst young singers trying to get their break is wrong.
She has had  a long, professional career.
She has back-up sung for the following  rhythm & blues and gospel singers, Cece Winan,Smokie Norful,Sandi Patty, Vickie Winans,Vanessa Bell Armstrong,Aaron Neville, Alabama, Michael Mcdonald and the list goes on.
No wonder she can sing different genres. She is a trained professional.
And.....I belive that Sally Field "you really like me" act is just that, an act.

by Imaseasonticketholder on May 16, 2007 11:49 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

White Sox...

Almost all starters in today....Highest BA is Erstad at .254...That's incredible.

Bring back Hammer.

by OaktownPower on May 16, 2007 12:01 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

A.J. just homered to LF ..

.. as much as I dislike A.J., it reminds me of how nice it would be to have a catcher who hits for power ..

.. the Athletics may be small-market but they have BIG-heart! ..

by Randy Bell on May 16, 2007 12:44 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Id rather lose without AJ

than win with him.

Bring back Hammer.

by OaktownPower on May 16, 2007 1:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Id rather lose without AJ

than win with him.

Bring back Hammer.

by OaktownPower on May 16, 2007 1:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

OK but even Benjie of the Giants ..

.. causes me to experience covetous feelings for a catcher who can hit for power .. hehe ..

.. the Athletics may be small-market but they have BIG-heart! ..

by Randy Bell on May 16, 2007 2:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

where do you get your stats?

since we're on the subject of stats, where do you guys go to find your more obscure stats.  I often want to look at breakdowns of team starter vs. bullpen stats and so on and there is nowhere I can find that has this sort of breakdown available. Thanks!

by marco magic on May 16, 2007 12:04 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Oh Ian... I will miss you so!

Mmmmm... I had the biggest crush on him when he was on 90210, and that crush was renewed when I met him at the game. I was like a giddy little 12 year old all over again! I know, deep down, that the others are better than him, but I am still very sad to see him go!

As for AI... Good grief, if Melinda wins, this will be another tragic year. Like someone else mentioned, she is years ahead of the others. She is simply in another league. It won't be very fair to Blake or Jordin if she wins it. Not to mention, she is BEYOND annoying to me! I don't even like her voice. She doesn't sound like a young person, not even a little! She sounds like she is 50 years old and then when the judges are giving her feed back she suddenly turns into a little girl... It is ridiculous!!

On the other hand, even though Blake is my favorite, I don't want him to win either. He would be very limited in the type of album he puts out if he wins. I think that he would be more successful as the runner up.

As for Baseball... Can I just say... I <3 Bobby!! He is doing so good right now, finally coming out of his extended Spring Training and kicking a little butt. It is great! Yay!</p>

"I'm already in Barry's head! He doesn't want to play against ME!" - Kotsay on facing Zito, Fan Fest 2007

by BobbyCrosbysGirl on May 16, 2007 12:31 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The "limited in the type of album"

stuff is such a media-driven load of crap.  They let Carrie do a totally country record and not force her into anything pop.  She is one of the best selling artists in the whole world in the last year, not to mention multiple Grammys and CMA Awards.  Another winner, Kelly Clarkson, is one of the most popular pop artists in the whoel world.  So that is 2 out of 5 winners who are among the most popular artists in the music industry, not a shabby record.  

And everyone references Daughtry who has absolutely exploded to be a mega-star and someone who did well because they didnt win.  Let's not forget that Daugthtry signed with 19 Records, the record label that is an arm of 19 Entertainment which runs Idol.
The EXACT same record label he would have signed with if he had won.

Bring back Hammer.

by OaktownPower on May 16, 2007 2:09 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Idol thoughts

Melinda has a technically good voice, but I don't like her musical taste.  I agree with your assessment in that she is technically the best singer and the most polished.  I know I sound like a music snob here, but the vibrato of her voice is overindulgent.  It's like she's showing off her singing skill instead of tailoring it to the song.  It's not tasteful or emotional by any means.  I like Blake even though he's not really an Idol singer, he's really more of a musician than a singer (probably why I like his stuff, he has good taste in songs and beats).  Jordin is the all-around best candidate to win and should win.  She has a good mix of the aforementioned qualities.  But, the final will be another snoozefest as usual.

"Look at this, OK? I want you to remember this face. This is the guy behind the guy behind the guy."

by baseb3383 on May 16, 2007 5:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

to Bobby Crosby's Girl

Hands down, Bobby has the best picture on this years calendar, don't you think ?....and I usually don't think his looks are all that.

by Imaseasonticketholder on May 16, 2007 12:53 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

...

Wins are the American Idol of pitching.

"The future's like, who cares?" ~Eric Chavez

by rebus on May 16, 2007 1:29 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

thank you.
"Can I quote myself in my sig?" ~LAXile

by LAXile on May 16, 2007 3:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's a Question of Eras

Back in the days of Dave Stewart, a won-lost record did have a connection to a pitcher's quality. Sure, there were always lucky guys and hard-luck guys, but 20 wins generally did show something. Back then, I think a pitcher did have control over the final score  to some degree, and many of the best pitched as well as needed based on the runs a team gave him.

These days, wins are a fairly useless measure of anything because they depend almost entirely on the work of the bullpen, even when the starter gets the credit. Pitchers in the middle innings aren't allowed to get out of their own jams, and pitch counts remove pitchers before they start to run out of gas.

Yes, yesterday's Kennedy scenario could have easily happened in 1975 because he was tiring and needed to be replaced. But Haren's game? He would have gone another inning or two to pick up the victory or the loss, instead of having a sore-hipped reliever blow the game for him, and the team.

So few pitchers are allowed to get out of their middle-inning jams these days that the relief corps becomes over-emphasized. This is too bad, because once you get past the closer and maybe one or two set-up men (maybe one or two), these guys who control the games now are amongst the worst pitchers in the league. Even some of the best set-up guys are only set-up guys because they don't have sufficient quality pitches to run through a line-up more than once. Not to mention the Witasick phenomenon: career journeymen who go from brilliant years to stinko ones and back again and back again and back again. The Witasicks of MLB control the win column these days, and frankly, that's a damn shame.

So now, these days, wins mean nothing. I think it sucks.

by richwol on May 16, 2007 1:42 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Nice post...
Now we have 6 or 7 months to enjoy, to cheer, cry, and scream both in frustration and happiness. ~china bob

by baseballgirl on May 16, 2007 2:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

whoop there it is...

snelling on the dl, bocachica coming to the big club

by inbillywetrust on May 16, 2007 2:20 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Wins aren't important

Ultimately pitchers are measured by their ERA, strikeouts, and innings pitched (longevity).  Pitchers that are elite have all three (Maddux, Glavine, Clemens, Pedro, Johnson, Ryan, etc.).  In my estimation, run support and bullpen quality are out of the starting pitcher's control, especially in these days when CGs are less common.  The number of wins can certainly give an indication of how good a pitcher is, but it is more an indication of how good the team is as well as the starting pitcher.  There are so many more useful stats then wins in this era of deep bullpens and short starts.

"Look at this, OK? I want you to remember this face. This is the guy behind the guy behind the guy."

by baseb3383 on May 16, 2007 4:24 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Did he really say...

If you had a guy with a .001 ERA but never won a game

How would that be possible (for a starting pitcher).  Even a team composed completely of Kendall-esque hitters, .408 OPS, is bound to get you a win once.

Also, Eric Gange won the Cy Young with 2 wins.  In fact he had 3 losses.  So Joe, eat my ass while you do this math, 2 < 3 = losing record.

by braek462 on May 16, 2007 4:31 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Joe is ridiculous

The Cy Young is such a crapshoot.  Some years it's totally arbitrary, with the winner having the most wins.  Sometimes the winner is on the best team.  Sometimes the winner has the most saves and best ERA.  Sometimes the winner has a ridiculous number of strikeouts.  It's like winning a Gold Glove, somewhat meaningless (although not quite as worthless an indication of baseball skill).  All it says is that you appear to be a good pitcher to the masses because you have some good stats that should take a backseat to other more accurate metrics.

"Look at this, OK? I want you to remember this face. This is the guy behind the guy behind the guy."

by baseb3383 on May 16, 2007 5:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I likened it to the MVP ..

.. in the opening post to BBG's thread .. that is what I meant, too - some other players may be more "valuable" but if not on a playoff-bound team, forget about MVP .. and if you don't have close to 20 wins, forget about Cy Young too ..

.. the Athletics may be small-market but they have BIG-heart! ..

by Randy Bell on May 16, 2007 5:07 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, the thing is

It's just comprised of so many arbitrary measures that you can't say forget about the Cy Young if you don't have 20 wins; what if somebody puts up a Pedro season with 17 wins and a 1.90 ERA?  You can't ignore it.  Same thing with an MVP who puts up absurd power numbers (A-Rod 2003).

"Look at this, OK? I want you to remember this face. This is the guy behind the guy behind the guy."

by baseb3383 on May 16, 2007 5:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well yes - last yr no one had 20 wins

.. just using that as benchmark - and the MVP does usually come from a playoff team .. btw I was surprised last year when Morneau got it rather than Jeter ..

.. the Athletics may be small-market but they have BIG-heart! ..

by Randy Bell on May 16, 2007 5:19 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agree completely

At least they like to keep us on our toes.  And the players too.

"Look at this, OK? I want you to remember this face. This is the guy behind the guy behind the guy."

by baseb3383 on May 16, 2007 5:25 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Pitchers losing 20 games

Over the years you hear the argument of how a pitcher has to be decent to lose 20 games in a season.  The reasoning that is used is a club will not continue to have a pitcher start games if they don't feel he can give the team an opportunity to win.  Granted most of the time when a pitcher has lost 20 games it has been on a horrible team as in when Mike Maroth lost 21 games with the Tigers in 2003.

Take a look at this link and scroll down towards the bottom and you will see a list of pitchers who have lost 20 games in a season but went on to have HOF careers.  I have a feeling that their coaching staff at the time was able to look past their W/L records.
http://mvn.com/mlb-pirates/stats/20-...

by Scutaro The Great on May 16, 2007 5:35 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Pedro vs. Zito

Assuming the stats for the first six weeks carried through an entire season, Beckett would win the Cy Young instead of Haren and Athletics Nation would be (rightly) up in arms blaming the east coast bias, ESPN, etc etc etc.

However, let's not forget that when Zito won the Cy Young we didn't care about the fact that he won it because of his high number of wins.  Anyone that was objective could see that Pedro Martinez was the best picher in the AL that year.  

Of course, we are NOT objective because we're fans.  And that's all part of the fun of this great game of ours.

by As Exile in Atlanta on May 16, 2007 5:36 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

No more negativity from me...

Let me preface this by saying I type all this while knocking on wood. With that said, the way this team has responded to the injuries by simply playing hard and not using them as an excuse is truly awesome. It is something I believe that has been ascent in many past A's teams. I have been very, very critical of this team from the end of last season until the start of this one, but that ends now. I still hold the owner in contempt for lying openly to all of us, but with that said, there will be no more negativity from Mas, which probably means you can expect the A's to lose 7 in a row or something like that.

by Pucking Insane on May 16, 2007 5:52 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Chavez not starting tonight

Geren planned to give him the night off (at least, not start).

also, Loaiza went for an MRI on his knee today.

by OaklandSi on May 16, 2007 6:03 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Bocachica starting in CF

Bradley, Buck and Duchscherer are all unavailable

by OaklandSi on May 16, 2007 6:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

A 22 man roster

Sometimes I think Beane likes to torment his managers.

Yep. Warm and fuzzy... that's me.

by grover on May 16, 2007 7:40 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lineup

Kansas City

  1. D DeJesus, CF
  1. M Grudzielanek, 2B
  1. M Teahen, RF .296
  1. E Brown, LF .209
  1. A Gordon, 3B .161
  1. E German, DH .298
  1. J Buck, C .298
  1. R Shealy, 1B .113
  1. T Pena Jr., SS

Oakland

  1. S Stewart, LF
  1. N Swisher, DH
  1. D Johnson, 1B
  1. J Cust, RF .281
  1. B Crosby, SS .248
  1. M Ellis, 2B .242
  1. M Scutaro, 3B
  1. H Bocachica, CF
  1. J Kendall, C .177
.. the Athletics may be small-market but they have BIG-heart! ..

by Randy Bell on May 16, 2007 6:16 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Whoops I left some Batting Avgs in there, sorry

From Fox GameTrax:
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/gameTra...

.. the Athletics may be small-market but they have BIG-heart! ..

by Randy Bell on May 16, 2007 6:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

HAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAH
  1. Emil Brown LF
  1. Esteban German DH

?. Billy Butler BENCH

HAHAHAH

HA

HAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHHA

by awesomer on May 16, 2007 6:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

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