Ok, I'll do it: Drunk Diary IV
Eventually I'm going to catch up to the Super Bowls...only 37 more entries to go. If I can make these drunken posts on frigid Feburary nights, than it's surely attainable...by May. Or perhaps by the middle of March if I dedicate myself to making it a daily routine (neither a bad idea nor out of the realm of possibility...)
American football. So excting. So exciting that...it had me asleep by halftime. Not even the artist fomerly known as...could awaken me from my slumber. That guy's really really overrated, too. Unless it's the Bills or has fantasy implicationas, I can't watch the NFL anymore. It's so generic, so predictable, so antiseptic, if my mind is functioning well enough to use that word properly. Coaches gameplan 18 hours a day 365 days a year to basically achieve a stalemate. Even the most exciting athletes in the league (Reggie Bush, Vick, Vince Young, Steve Smith) aren't that exciting to watch because the context in which they perform is so fucking...contrived. What we're really watching is a bunch of coordinators with laminated playsheets covering their mouths shouting the same shit into Motorola headsets, which has been dissected to death by their opponents in the week prior to he game...I'm sorry, but the NFL has nothing to offer me anymore. It doesn't excite me. I've seen it all.
Back to the real national pastime. Is it just me, or does the "collective consciousness" of AN gain ground on Billy Beane with each passing interview? I feel as though this may be the one where we have actually surpassed him in our astuteness and savvy. Derspite his acknowledged ability to adapt to an ever-changing market, he's still clinging to philosophies that really serve as crutches: it's only my job to get us to the playoffs, I can only exert so much control, the manager can only exert so much control, etc. He was a visionary at a time, but his time may have passed. Now, he's stuck in a mindset that may render him average in a couple years' time, maybe more if GM's continue to exhibit the glaring idiocy that they have to this point. Basically, he's not willing to re-evaulate and further refine/perfect his stances on the minute aspects of the game that he could exert further control over...like in a short series. He might need to cede some control, because he's obviously not going to make that change willingly. Has he never seen a fucking WinExp graph? He certainly can handle the long term, but the short term...he acts as if there's NO way to affect the outcome from a managerial standpoint. That pisses me off, and strikes me as ignorance.
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Ahhhhh
by Tyler Bleszinski on Feb 5, 2007 10:32 PM PST reply actions
could've been from anywhere but East Rutherford
Yeah, Detroit is about the only
by Tyler Bleszinski on Feb 6, 2007 9:22 AM PST up reply actions
you should take a front page poll
I vote for Tretiak
by FreeSeatUpgrade on Feb 6, 2007 4:14 PM PST up reply actions
WinExp?
Maybe the next Great Billy Theory will be VistaBall. But you have to upgrade your players to use it.
<insert Bill Gates puns here>
anyways, would've been fun to see Chavvy fielding 3rd in a pouring rain...
by LawDaddy on Feb 5, 2007 10:35 PM PST reply actions
in this case, win is short for win
I don't think that Billy reveals
by Tyler Bleszinski on Feb 5, 2007 11:12 PM PST reply actions
assuming 3 full playoff series...
Incidentally, if tournaments are the playoffs, then the adjustments needed in each can kind of be reduced to a simple contradiction. Tournaments usually call for playing less starting hands to minimize bad beat opportunities. In other words, you don't take as many chances. Baseball would be the exact opposite, take less chances in the "cash game" that is the regular season, more chances in the postseason. It's gambling, but just like with poker strategy, it's logical gambling. Playing for the big inning is waiting for aces; playing aggressively offensively is opening up and playing 10 9 suited to a raise.
But unlike Poker
Unless you have players with the skills to play good small ball, you can't just say, hey, it's the playoffs, lets start doing it (which is not to mention the fact that the research shows that small ball not only causes you on average to score fewer runs, it also does not increase the likelihood of scoring one run).
If you do have players who have those skills, you are more than likely paying a premium for them (I submit Juan Pierre's contract as exhibit A). Thus, setting yourself up to be able to change strategies will directly and negatively affect your ability to succeed in the regular season.
I know that say...
When you say that the A's cant adjust to a slightly different style of play for the postseason...well, that would probably make them unique among major league teams, then. Look how Detroit adjusted against Oakland. Patience would seem to be a far harder skill for Craig Monroe to suddenly exhibit than Jason Kendall being asked to execute the hit-and-run more often.
I'm sure you're aware according to research,
I would think Juan Pierre's contract is exhibit A that baseball is awash in money, not that "small ballers" are overvalued. After all, would you label Carlos Lee a "small baller"?
Yes, I am ...
The principal difference between Pierre and Lee is that Lee seems to offer substantial value in non small-ball aspects of the game, while, aside from his defense, Pierre offers essentially none. Contracts are large because baseball is awash in money. Pierre received one of those large contracts because of his small ball talents.
In this particular interview...
And anything he doesn't reveal now to attempt to maintain an adavnatge pales in comparison to the significance of what he revealed in Moneyball which nearly ruined his advantage. So even if that's true, then it seems almost pointless to be secretive about smaller issues when you taught the world how to evaluate talent.
Couldn't be further from the truth.
OBP? Eric Chavez' .350 was #2 on the team. Everyone else was roughly average or worse.
Boppers? The A's finished 6th in the league in HRs, and closer to last than 4th.
The team BB was trying to assemble wasn't the team that everyone else thought he was going for. You're much better off going against someone who is not merely ignorant, but rather, completely misinformed.
whoa
re-signing Scott Hatteberg...
Man...So off on Prince....
Youtube link here
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nRLJ7JC8Y_g
Ha ha! Oh, were you serious?
Prince's cover of that is awesome, though...
losing his religion
Man, I wanted to sleep longer than this. I don't have much reason to get up on Tuesdays and Thursdays, and I have absolutely zero reason to get up on a Tuesday with yet another -20 degree wind chill or so. I guess I'll actually read the link dump whose title I ripped off...
Bravo, Bravo....
I'm your biggest fan!!!
yes, you are
or maybe
One of the bars I went to last night apparently had a Super Bowl numbers pool (you know, the traditional office pool with the squares, all luck) where each square cost $900 (that's where it's not so traditional). Each SCORE CHANGE was worth $1,200, and some guy at the bar estimated the grand prize to be around $60k. He spent the whole night lamenting about the Bears not scoring a TD on their final drive, because that would've given him the $60k instead of the paltry $2,400 he won from...2 score changes I guess.
I asked the bar if I they were signing people up for next year's game yet, heh. That would keep me awake during...early prediction...Dallas-Jacksonville (remember that one; the Jags will benefit from a full season of Jack Del Rio wearing suits...as long as Maurice Jones-Drew doesn't hang out with Ricky Manning this offseason).
Enabler hater!
once again
Pats-Colts
Prince backlash
But like I said, I was asleep by halftime anyway.
fucking snow
heh
Hmm
Sigh, you make me miss Buffalo
heh
Eh, I thought it was pretty bad this winter
nope
Prince
Great diary mullet, as usual
And gotta jump on the Prince defense bandwagon. I grew upin the 80's listening to the legendary KROQ in SoCal and the is where my musical tastes lay primarily, however I like all types and have always appreciated Prince. He is a genius and I realize that term is overused but I have seen him in large venues and snmall clubs. He is an amazing musician and talented songwriter who impacted many across the music spectrum.
And best halftime show in years. I especially like the Foo Fighters tribute...recalling their rendention of Darling Nikki a few years back. Pretty cool.

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