ZIPS for the Haren trade
by rfloh on Dec 15, 2007 12:23 AM PST
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Printby Dan Szmborski are up here.
I didn't see them in any of the Haren diaries, though I might have missed them.
Haren: 120 ERA+.
Connor Robertson: 98 ERA+
Brett Anderson: 83 ERA+
Greg Smith: 85 ERA+
Dana Eveland: 95 ERA+
Chris Carter: 82 OPS+
Carlos Gonzales: 68 OPS+
Aaron Cunningham: 91 OPS+
Note, this are all just next year's projections, so the younger guys obviously don't project as well.
Also, I am being sarcastic in my tag. Just in case it wasn't obvious.
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Gonzales is a 68?
Ouch. That's fuggly.
He should be the best of the bunch possibly excepting Eveland. This is not a great sign.
Dont forgot hes only 22
He'll be in AAA next year. Plus, Pecota was pretty decently high on him last year. He didn't suck or take off in 2007, so I'd expect his numbers to be about the same. They had put him as a .282/.330/.504 26HR guy for 2008.
OK, here's what I don't get
ZIPS has him at a BABIP of .281 with 10 steals.
Normally hitters with enough speed to steal 10 bags don't post Dan Johnson-esque BABIPs. Apparently the projection predicts him to hit like Eric Chavez with the bases loaded, all season.
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