Tuesday Thoughts: Bash Brothers Rejection Edition
Yes, folks it's that time of week. A few random thoughts for a slow January so far in A's land.
- Did you really think a roided up pariah would make it into the Hall of Fame? And I'm not talking about Jose Canseco. Mark McGwire who was once the poster boy for a baseball renaissance has been relegated to an afterthought. I know he only really has that huge home run total to hang his hat on, but I guess that's life. It's just funny to see the same journalists who wrote lovefest columns about baseball's savior McGwire in '98 now come back and brand him as the devil. Part of me suspects it's because of their own shame in feeling duped by McGwire. At least it saves us from having to bitch when he went in with a Cardinals hat on instead of an A's cap because you just KNOW that was coming.
- The question becomes will this just be a one-year rejection or will McGwire be permanently rejected? I tend to think a lot of the voters will think that McGwire is being punished this year and others will reverse their vote next year. I still don't think it will be enough to get him in. And truthfully, he probably shouldn't be in.
- Everyone knew that Canseco wouldn't get in either, but it's sad to see the Bash Brothers rejected in tandem. I wonder if the Canseco book wasn't published and McGwire was subsequently dragged in front of Congress to make an ass of himself if McGwire would've had a much better chance. I think those words about not talking about the past sealed McGwire's fate for any of those who were on the fence.
- Jason Kendall is apparently standing outside Billy Beane's office with a sign that says, "Will catch 145 games a season for an extension". Seriously, Billy can't be considering this unless he's going to get Kendall for around a $1 million a season. Yes, Jason is great behind the plate and working with the pitchers. He'll throw himself face first into oncoming cleats or smack a batting helmet with his hand for a win, but the A's have a pretty good prospect in Suzuki coming and coming soon. He'll also be a lot cheaper than Kendall's been.
- Apparently A's fans are interested in bringing Sammy Sosa to the Bay and getting Andruw Jones. Wow, those are some wild ideas. Sosa probably wouldn't play for less than a couple of million and he'd be a bigger risk than Frank Thomas ever was...and Andruw Jones wouldn't be handed over for the package that guy recommends. Oh and while I usually agree with a lot of what Mychael Urban says, the reason I feel that it's a good idea to trade Blanton isn't just his ERA but that K:BB ratio, his 1.54 WHIP and 4.96 K/9. I understand that Blanton isn't a strikeout guy, but his control isn't there either. If you can get a good package from the Mets in return, you have to do it.
- OK, those might be some fans desires, but apparently the A's are interested in Darin Erstad. Ugh, yeah, Darin Erstad. I know the guy is hard nosed in a Jason Kendall kind of way, but the A's must have little faith n Kotsay's ability to remain healthy if they're trying to get Erstad. Again, this also speaks volumes about the A's reluctance to use Dan Johnson at first. The A's would be building the All Madden baseball team with Kendall and Erstad on the same roster. I could see them banging heads like football players (only without the helmets) before the games. This would also truly show that the A's care more about defense than any of us suspect because Erstad is a superior defensive first baseman and still a decent center fielder. The A's would also have cornered the market on players who tend to get injured...a lot.
- Be ready for another season of Antonio Perez. It's tough to judge him based on his performance last year. It'll be interesting to see if it's an aberration as I always thought it was. I felt like as a young guy he needed to play a bunch. Course he still likely won't get that opportunity this year unless injury happens.
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150 comments
Comments
I've always felt
by Leopold Bloom on Jan 9, 2007 10:51 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
It doesn't make it right, but...
However, I do think there's a difference between using a legal substance not banned by baseball (i.e. steroids before 1991) and using an illegal substance banned by baseball (steroids after 1991). That doesn't mean that I condone the Bash Brothers' steroid use. It does mean, however, that Canseco and McGwire during the A's 1998-1990 run were not equivalent to Barry Bonds in SF in more recent years (though I think after 1991 they were).
by GreenNGoldSooner on Jan 9, 2007 12:03 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That's 1988-1990, obviously n/m
by GreenNGoldSooner on Jan 9, 2007 12:04 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
McGwire made me do it
by monkeyball on Jan 9, 2007 10:57 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
I always thought
by Leopold Bloom on Jan 9, 2007 11:02 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It's Official
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/6350560
by jubjub on Jan 9, 2007 11:07 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
exact vote totals
http://www.baseballhalloffame.org/news/2007/election/results.htm
Canseco got 6 votes for the hall.
Paul O'Neill got 12, thankfully Scott Brosius got 0.
by apilgrim on Jan 9, 2007 11:13 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Erstad
by Colorado Fan on Jan 9, 2007 11:23 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Who's the idiot who voted for Jay Buhner?
by OaktownPower on Jan 9, 2007 11:29 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
The same Seattle person...
by Colorado Fan on Jan 9, 2007 11:35 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
the HOF is the new ASG
i dont even know why I bother at this point
Paul O'Neil getting 12 votes while Brett Saberhagen, an oft-injured but legitimately dominant pitcher only got 7 votes... Sabes isn't a HOFamer, but c'mon...
ohh well, rant over... I'm sad to see McGwire taken to the rail by a bunch of guys who spend 180 days a year on the road (nothing immoral ever happens there, no, no lying either)
by royalsreview on Jan 9, 2007 11:34 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Dont know why you bother?
by OaktownPower on Jan 9, 2007 11:58 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Don't perpetuate the false myth of McGwire
I know he only really has that huge home run total to hang his hat on, but I guess that's life.
This is utter nonsense. Look at his stats, note the OBP, and realize that McGwire was NOT just HRs. I expect better of you.
by chri5 on Jan 9, 2007 11:43 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Thirded
It's just the steroids witchhunt that is keeping him out. The idiot voters are just hurting their own credibility with this kind of nonsense. As of this day (the ninth day of the first month of 2007), the Baseball Hall of Fame is officially on Yarky's list. The bad one.
by yarky on Jan 9, 2007 3:19 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
i'm sensitive like mac and raffy and sammy
by oakath on Jan 9, 2007 3:32 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Never Mind the Buhner Vote....
by WannaBeGM on Jan 9, 2007 11:47 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
I was thinking...
I mean, the idea of voting for Caminiti was ridiculous already, but to vote for him and not Canseco is preposterous and hypocritical. This begs the question: what exactly is needed to vote for the Hall Of Fame? Cuz I'm thinking she found her membership under a vending machine somewhere.
by Philip Christy on Jan 9, 2007 12:16 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The absurdity of HOF voting
Jim Rice 346
Andre Dawson 309
Apparently to HOF voters (at least the 200 or so who voted for Ripken but not Rice and Dawson), as to Woody Allen, 80% of life is just showing up.
No serious baseball person would rather have Ripken in his prime on their team than Jim Rice or Andre Dawson on theirs. Ripken is in the HOF today because he was popular enough to force the Orioles to keep him in the lineup every day for several years after his performance warranted it.
by MJB on Jan 9, 2007 11:47 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Maybe not in their prime...
by OaktownPower on Jan 9, 2007 11:59 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'd still take
by Leopold Bloom on Jan 9, 2007 5:40 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The HOF vote is just silly...........
by may7 on Jan 9, 2007 12:09 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
bonds
by methodrampage on Jan 9, 2007 12:25 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes
by yarky on Jan 9, 2007 3:14 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
my point is
by methodrampage on Jan 9, 2007 3:58 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think anyone misunderstood ...
Ripken has over 3k career hits, 400 career homeruns, he was a great defender, he revolutionized the SS position and if all that wasn't enough, he holds one of the most incredible records in sports. All of the advanced stats point to his inclusion, as well.
The guy is a HOFer, plain and simple.
by devo on Jan 9, 2007 4:01 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Well said.
by OaktownPower on Jan 9, 2007 4:16 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
justification
a career BA of .276 screams of mediocrity. i would also argue that his record is more pointless and less incredible than you think. the quantity is impressive but what was the overall value of that quantity? did the oriels really gain that much from having ripken out there every day? even when he was a little banged up? or could he have used a day of maybe to help him .276 avg?
based on the original comment the poster eluded to gwynn and ripken being without a doubt two of the best players (even within the HOF) ever. gwynn was without a doubt an elite hitter. ripken elite? not to the extent that some of you are touting him. does he deserve to be in the HOF sure but he's not in the upper echelon of the HOF.
by methodrampage on Jan 10, 2007 7:54 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I would agree ...
But given our experiences the last couple of years, I think A's fans more than most know the value of having a shortstop who you know will be able to take the field whenever you ask him to.
Of course Barry Bonds is more deserving (steroid questions aside) -- he was the second best player in the history of the game. I mean, duh.
Yes, from a pure performance perspective, he clearly falls short of Bonds. Falling short of the second greatest player ever his hardly a strike against him.
You said: "Ripken isn't much of a Hall of Famer"
Which is an absolutely absurd statement. I don't know why I'm bothering to argue with you. Cal Ripken was only a HOF caliber player through 1991. For the last ten years of his career he was simply a good, durable player. For those first ten years of his career, though, he was simply incredible.
His worst season that year brought his teams over 7 wins -- that's an all-star caliber year. 6 of the remaining 9 brought 10+ with a high of 17. If he had retired after 1991, he would have been voted in in 1996 and he would have been universally considered an inner circle guy. That's without the record and without getting 3000 hits.
He was an incredible player and if you don't think his record is incredible, let me ask you, when is the last time you called in sick?
by devo on Jan 10, 2007 10:20 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
last time i called in sick
by methodrampage on Jan 10, 2007 11:11 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
sorry, forgot to finish that thought ...
The record itself definitely was partially for show, but what it represents is real and remarkable.
by devo on Jan 10, 2007 11:34 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
agreed
the bottom line is most of the HOFers were durable if they were'nt their careers wouldn't have had the longevity to put up the numbers to get them in.
by methodrampage on Jan 10, 2007 12:19 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Kendall's is impressive ...
That said, Ripken would still blow Kendall away in both height length of peak.
Given the incredibly offensive era that was ushered in shortly after Ripken's last peak year, it's easy to forget just how great Ripken was from 82-91 ... especially if you, like me, were 10 when that period ended -- but look back at the numbers, compare him to his peers. He was the best shortstop of the 77 years between Honus Wagner and A-Rod.
by devo on Jan 10, 2007 12:34 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
your belittling a catchers durability
moving on to the ripken debate. is tejada a first ballot HOFer. he's been just as durable as ripken, given it hasn't been for 20 years, but offensively he's a lot better and his defensive is very comperable. tejada or ripken, who's the best short stop to play for the orioles?
by methodrampage on Jan 10, 2007 1:04 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
okay, then Kendall only has to catch 130
Tejada, compared to his peers has not been anywhere near as good as Ripken was relative to his peers. If he can keep up his current levels of production for 4 more years and keep up his durability for 5 after that, then we can talk. Right now, it's not even remotely close.
by devo on Jan 10, 2007 2:19 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
tejada offense >> ripken offense
by methodrampage on Jan 10, 2007 2:44 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes
Players in the 80s played under significantly different conditions than players in the 90s. They weren't less talented, they just showed their talent in different ways.
If you are unwilling to acknowledge and consider that, then there is no point continuing this discussion.
by devo on Jan 10, 2007 3:00 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
sliding scale
but as a short stop isn't tejada dominating all of his peers offensively (besides a-rod bottom line is one of the best ever and you can't hold that against tejada). i also don't see how ripken out performed his but tejada hasn't. who's a comperable to tejada playing today? and don't say your probable man crush jeter cause he's never hit 25 hrs and only had 100 rbis once, sure he has a lot of runs scored but tejada has broken 90 runs 7 times dispite playing in offenses that were weaker than jeters?
by methodrampage on Jan 10, 2007 3:32 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I think Jeter and Tejada are comperable ...
I think they are both overrated -- though Jeter has kind of gone full circle from being considered so overrated that he became underrated by many -- though I'd say that has evened out now.
They are also very comperable to Carlos Guillen and Michael Young. All four are very good players -- but none of them are great -- Ripken was a great player.
by devo on Jan 10, 2007 4:58 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Evidence for your own theory...
Here are the offensive numbers for the best shortstops of the last 30 years or so:
OPS+ Plate App.
Yount 115 12249
Oz.Smith 87 10778
Ripken 112 12883
Trammell 110 9375
Larkin 116 9057
A-Rod 145 7774
Nomar 130 5300
Jeter 123 7711
Tejada 114 6105
Guillen 112 3459
Young 102 3996
Vizquel 85 10207
Yount (who only played half his career at SS), Ozzie Smith (purely for his defense) and now Ripken are all in the Hall of Fame, and all deservedly so. I think Trammell should make it (almost as good as Ripken with the bat, 4 gold gloves) but he hasn't gotten much support. Larkin isn't eligible yet. He's extremely similar to Trammell, but had twice as many All-Star appearances (12-6) and may get more HOF support as well.
Of those who are still active, A-Rod is already an easy choice for the Hall. Jeter will be too: with a normal decline, he'll still end up with better career numbers than Trammell or Larkin, even putting all the clutchness and leadership crap aside. Nomar was better than Jeter for a brief time, but barring a miraculous renaissance he won't make it because of the injuries that took a couple years from his career and moved him off SS. Tejada would need another 5 years with no decline in production to equal Trammell and Larkin, and 10 years to match Ripken and Yount. It's possible but not likely.
Guillen has been about as good, but for a much shorter period of time even though he's as old as Tejada. He also has a poor reputation defensively. Michael Young doesn't even belong in the discussion: ballpark inflated numbers and poor range don't cut it. Some have also suggested Vizquel as a possible Hall of Famer for his glovework. Great defender, but with that bat, you need to be Ozzie Smith. He wasn't.
by andeux on Jan 10, 2007 5:44 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
absolutely ...
At this point I'd say Jeter is a marginal HOFer who is a lock to get in, because he is this generation's Mr. Yankee.
by devo on Jan 10, 2007 7:14 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
the bottom line
by methodrampage on Jan 11, 2007 7:31 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
No they don't.
The star of my college's baseball team had a career batting average of about .450 and hit about 80 homeruns per 162 games. Absolutely, his numbers were better than Babe Ruth's. But then we put the numbers in "context" and realize that numbers mean different things in different contexts.
I'll grant you, numbers posted in the Major Leagues over the last decade are much more comperable to numbers posted in the 80s than numbers earned in the SCIAC Conference and a Watermellon looks more like an apple than a banana.
Ripken had 4 years with a 135+ OPS, Jeter has had 2, Tejada 0 -- and that doesn't take into account that Ripkens direct peers, shortstops of his day were, relative to the rest of the league, considerably weaker than Jeter and Tejada's peers today.
If Jeter and/or Tejada and put up the basic numbers they do today in Ripken's era, then clearly they would be considered better players. But they didn't, so who cares? If you were a woman you would be damn cute.
by devo on Jan 11, 2007 8:59 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
with a damn
by methodrampage on Jan 11, 2007 9:07 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
ok i'll take your comparison
"congrats mr. ripken you were voted into the hall of fame because at times you put your team at a disadvantage by suiting up everyday for 20 years and well because the other shortstop of the era were not very good and would be playing aaa ball in the 21 century."
by methodrampage on Jan 11, 2007 9:12 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It's not that they sucked ...
Strategy was different a: Small ball and scoring just enough runs to win was the key strategy.
Strategy was different b: Because of that, defensize shortstops who are speedy and can bunt were considered more valuable, given the strategies of the day. Ripken revolutionized the position, by showing that tall, power hitting shortstops could play the position well.
Pitching was different: Whether it was because of different strikezones, different balls, fewer teams, or just flat out more talent, pitchers had more of an advantage back then.
Stadiums were different: Cookie cutters with ample foul room and deep power alleys were the norm.
Climate was different: Global warming had not kicked in as significantly yet, so summers were somewhat cooler, which hurts offense.
Uniforms were quirky ...
and many, many more factors were different, virtually all of them having a tendency to limit offense. Some had a greater impact than others, but the evidence shows that they had a very significant impact.
by devo on Jan 11, 2007 9:30 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
lol
by methodrampage on Jan 11, 2007 9:47 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
yeah, that may or may not have been a joke ...
by devo on Jan 11, 2007 10:27 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe
by yarky on Jan 10, 2007 2:43 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
stop the ripken man crushes
ripken hit for 30+ hrs once, 100+ rbis 4 time, .300+ avg. 4 times (when playing in 100+ games).
a-rod hit for 30+ hrs 10 times and 40+ hrs 7 times, 100+ 10 times, .300+ avg. 7 times. a-rod is basically has outproduced ripken in about half the time. and as a short stop was better defensively.
where was ripken better than a-rod?
by methodrampage on Jan 10, 2007 2:56 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Sigh
You do understand, I hope, that you win games by outscoring your opponents. If fewer runs are being scored, each one is more valuable. Are you with me so far? OK, let's try another step: No one is disputing that Ripken produced fewer runs for his team than A-Rod. The issue is whether he had a bigger impact on the W/L records of his teams.
Now, as the other dude pointed out, A-Rod's eight best years are roughly equal to Ripken's eight best years. But Ripken had more good years, understanding of course that A-Rod's still having'em. When all is said and done, most likely A-Rod will have had the better career, but he still has some work to do.
by yarky on Jan 10, 2007 4:53 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, I've never been a Ripken fan
By the time I was paying attention to baseball beyond the A's, he was past his prime and I was annoyed by everyone treating him like the second coming of their lord and saviour, the Flying Spaghetti Monster.
A lot of folks don't look at the whole picture. They get so wrapped up in what guys don't do well and forget what they do do well (or vice versa).
by devo on Jan 10, 2007 5:03 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
your wrong
by methodrampage on Jan 11, 2007 7:19 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Again
Think of Coors Field (pre-humidor). Why do you think people weren't proclaiming Dante Bichette to be one of the best hitters of all time? Or do you think Bichette was one of the best hitters ever?
Likewise, consider that a guy like Ivan Rodriguez, who is a future HOFer, would have been a below average hitter for a first baseman. A lot of his value came from the fact that he gave the Rangers a big competitive advantage by being an outstanding hitter for his position.
by yarky on Jan 11, 2007 2:45 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Another thing
When you consider that he followed that long and outstanding peak with 10 more years as an above-average player, you should be able to see why he is so highly regarded by serious fans.
by yarky on Jan 11, 2007 2:49 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Quick comparison ...
Ripken 82-91
8.2
13.9
15
10.9
12.5
7.2
9.7
10.1
9.4
17
Avg 11.39
A-Rod 96-03
14.3
8.5
12.7
9.1
14.6
14.1
13.3
12.9
Avg 12.44
Only playing 8 years at SS is a strike against him, but I think it's safe to say A-Rod was better when he was at SS.
by devo on Jan 10, 2007 3:07 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
OK
Aside from all that, I don't think you underrate Ripken, I just meant generally. I was surprised because I always thought he was overrated, and this thread has really changed my mind about that. I can't believe that there are serious baseball fans who think that Miguel Tejada or Andre Dawson (!) are/were on Ripken's level.
by yarky on Jan 10, 2007 4:44 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Gwynn is the
With the new importance of OPS, Gwynn just keeps looking like a better and better player. Career OPS of 132.
The only knock on the guy is he would miss 20-30 games a season.
by apilgrim on Jan 9, 2007 12:59 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
he had that Blantonesqe body, though...
by FoolshGame22 on Jan 9, 2007 10:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Interesting question
by BlameChannel53 on Jan 10, 2007 11:55 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
1 Person Didn't Vote
by Colorado Fan on Jan 9, 2007 2:23 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
please blez nuff on mac
by oakath on Jan 9, 2007 11:55 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
HOF
by Doug on Jan 9, 2007 11:58 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
I want Erstad
by J Rod on Jan 9, 2007 12:00 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Ugh...who cares about that?
by OaktownPower on Jan 9, 2007 12:01 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
erstad
by methodrampage on Jan 9, 2007 12:29 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm staying out of steroid controversies......
by may7 on Jan 9, 2007 12:05 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I agree with you
That being said, there are more compelling issues to keep in mind.... like 1 BILLION people on this planet, will NOT sleep in a bed in their own dwelling tonight. Ridiculous!
In his first Major League AB, Al Rosen (future Giants GM) was told before he got to the ondeck circle, "See that guy in centerfield? He's got binoculars on the catcher. If he holds up a (flag of some sort... I forget the exact item) then the pitch is a fastball."
Rosen went to the plate, and sure enough, saw the signal for fastball, and lined the subsequent pitch for a basehit. As he rounded first, he thought to himself, "No wonder these players do so well up in the Bigs!"
by One won lost won on Jan 9, 2007 10:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I must Defend my Man!
So I just have to say, I think it is a shame he didn't get in this year. But I looked at the names on the list and thought, despite the steriods thing, he might not get in anyway. Sometimes there are people ahead of you, and that is ok. If he doesn't ever get in, that would be the real sin.
What I don't understand is how so many are ok with hating a man who defended his right to keep his mouth shut. All he did was say that he wasn't going to talk about things in the past, things that cannot be proven one way or the other at this point. Even if he had denied it, who would have honestly believed him? If he had talked about it, what more issues could he have caused?
By that butt head Canseco opening his mouth, he dragged all his friends through the mud. What kind of human does such a thing. Well, maybe Big Mac didn't want to do that. Maybe if he had talked, he would have caused even more problems for his friends that weren't even involved at the time. Frankly, if that is the case, I respect him more for not talking.
Besides that, there has never been any PROOF that he did anything wrong. Again, if he had said he never did any, most people would not believe him. Yes, we have all seen the pictures comparing his first year in baseball with his last. But how many of you out there have looked at a picture of yourself from 10 years ago? Um... hello 15 extra lbs! How do we know for sure that all that wasn't just good old fashion hard work?
Ok, look, I don't want to hear, you love him, so of course you are going to defend him and live in denial. I am not stupid! I know full well that there is a VERY good chance that there was something fishy going on there. I am just saying that speculating on it just because he wouldn't talk about it isn't right. And excluding him from the HOF isn't right either.
I understand many will not vote for him because of it. And I understand their legitimate concern over the validity of his talents. But I also understand that he was not alone. IF he took steriods, then most likely a good chunk of baseball was too. And he still managed to be better than them all. As sad as it sounds, you almost have to take that in context.
Also, if we are sitting here shaming Big Mac, why are so many still praising Bonds. He is still playing, and chances are very good that he will get into the HOF. What is the difference? So many times I have argued with my friends over Bonds and found myself using the same arguements to defend McGwire. So, are we not going to allow Bonds to go into the HOF? Are we seriously going to say, This man who has the most Home Runs in Baseball history is not going to be in the HOF? Hell no! So why exlude McGwire? They are in the same boat whether I like it or not.
I think most are just bothered by the fact that he wouldn't talk about it. He wouldn't say one way or the other what really happened in the clubhouse. Isn't there some unwriten rule that what happens when those clubhouse doors close should stay there? Well what gave Canseco the right to expose those things? And why is it that just because he decided to expose those thing, that automatically means that McGwire should also?
Maybe, just maybe, by not talking about it and refusing to expose his friends, McGwire is showing us just how classy he really is. I certainly respect a person more for their intergrety to not throw their friends under the bus than I do a man who writes a book about it all for his own personal gain.
I think Big Mac should eventually go in to the HOF. I understand why he was denied this year, on many levels. But if he never gets in, that in itself would be a huge blemish on Baseball's history. It happened, Big Mac happened to baseball. He contributed tremendously to the game, and he absolutely should be recognized for that contribution, even if there is a little * next to his name.
by BobbyCrosbysGirl on Jan 9, 2007 12:05 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Are you also in favor of Sosa, Palmeiro, Sheffield
by WaddellCanseco on Jan 10, 2007 6:33 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Hear Hear!
And anyway, can anyone explain why greenies are not considered as evil a performance enhancer as steriods? I think at least an athlete has to be diciplined to do steriods. Any Joe Schmo playing ball and partying too hard can show up in the clubhouse, grab a Venti of the "leaded" house brew and go 2 for 4 with a stolen base. Why are amphetamines - just as illegal and plenty bad for your short term and long term health - not as bad as steroids? And if they are, well that is a whole 'nother can of worms. Think I'll dig out my old copy of Ball Four tonight...
by fridaynightfan on Jan 10, 2007 4:41 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
the HOF is questionable
by guy incognito on Jan 9, 2007 12:19 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Hmm
- 12.1
- 10.8
- 10.2
- 10.0
- 9.3
- 17.0
- 15.0
- 13.9
- 12.5
- 10.9
Maybe that's too harsh. Gwynn is a deserving HOFer, but not an inner-circle guy like Ripken. I realize WARP3 might not be the last word on the issue, but I thought it important to point out that purely statistical measures support Ripken's claim to be one of the best players of all time.
The biggest impact he had on the game made by his spectacular job of justifying Earl Weaver's decision to make him a shortstop, thereby proving wrong a long-held belief about the kind of body type a player needed to be successful at the position.
by yarky on Jan 9, 2007 3:09 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Its true that Gwynn never walked
9228 AB
790 BB
434 K
by apilgrim on Jan 9, 2007 7:10 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Agree about O'Neill, of course,
Hey, not that I love the guy or anything, but really, he belongs. It is pretty annoying though that the sportswriters have such absolute power over HOF voting. I like Bill James' suggestion that fans, players, coaches, execs, etc. all have some level of voting capacity, even if reduced in proportion to the writers. That way I could vote for Gossage and Andre Dawson and NEVER vote for Steve Garvey.
by TheBigO on Jan 9, 2007 6:18 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
i meant no way he gets in almost unanimously
by guy incognito on Jan 9, 2007 7:11 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That's true ...
BTW, he got the highest percentage of anyone, ever -- topping Nolan Ryan -- now there is someone who is overrated.
by devo on Jan 9, 2007 8:25 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Jim Rice
How Rice has not made the Hall is so far beyond comprehension it's ridiculous! Ozzie Smith? Bruce Sutter? Robin Yount? Jesus, Tony Perez?!? But no Jim Rice?!? I hated the man. Hated him. Feared him. For YEARS.
And he's still not in the Hall because he played in a deadball era. I also think the Cobra deserves a stab at it.
And yes, I think Canseco deserves to be in, too. You've got to look at how dominant he was, and for how long. For 6 years, Jose was the biggest threat in the game, and he could do it all. Say what you will about his idiocy- and it's always been plainly obvious that Jose loves Jose more than Rickey loves Rickey- the guy could play the game like few before or since. Barry would never have been Barry without Canseco. The steroids are moot. You discredit the time by putting it through the lens of future years.
-MVK
by mvk on Jan 9, 2007 1:24 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Yes
by yarky on Jan 9, 2007 3:11 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Is he not allowed to express his opinion?
by Helloooo 1st on Jan 9, 2007 6:37 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
we don't all express our feelings
by xbhaskarx on Jan 9, 2007 6:57 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
you should be...
by FoolshGame22 on Jan 9, 2007 10:13 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Right
Personally, I was never that scared of Rice, but that's because I paid attention to stats even as a kid.
by yarky on Jan 10, 2007 4:18 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
i just put soy sauce on it
by F171615 on Jan 10, 2007 10:24 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Why stop there?
Worse yet, even if Big Mac took them, it doesn't make him a bad person. Everyone has done something they regret and he is no Albert Belle or Julio Lugo. He didn't hurt anyone in the process... on the contrary, he may have done more for society (charities) and the game of baseball in bringing fans back than 80+% of the current HOFers. The personal attacks need to stop.
by hrmax on Jan 9, 2007 1:44 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
What did Lugo do?
by Philip Christy on Jan 9, 2007 1:51 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
how about .278/.341/.421?
by ArakSOT on Jan 9, 2007 1:58 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That's not bad, especially for a shortstop.
Slamming his wife's head into a car is another matter...
by Philip Christy on Jan 9, 2007 2:02 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Nothing ...
by hrmax on Jan 9, 2007 1:58 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
You can't trade Blanton!
What constitutes a "good" package? Some would say a Blanton for Milledge straight up would be fair enough. Maybe they'd be right in term's of pure talent, but the fact is Milledge will not pitch 195 innings next season. How are the A's going to replace those innings?
"Well, the Mets are going to have to include a young pitcher to make the deal work."
Think about that statement. The Mets "covet" Blanton because he's a young pitcher of average to above average talent and he carries an inexpensive price tag. Therefore, to acquire him the Mets will give up one of their top OF prospects and a young pitcher of average or above talent with a inexpensive price tag.
WTF???
Does that make any sense?
"OK grover, so the Mets won't include a pitcher to make the deal work, but don't worry, Milledge is going to be so good it won't matter. The A's will find an in-house canidate to replace those 195 IP we would have gotten from Blanton."
Sure, the A's could find someone to replace those innings but it's highly unlikely that they could find someone who'd be even a slight upgrade.
It's not just about replacing Zito's 221 IP. It's not even about having to replace the combined innings of Blanton and Zito (which, by the way, accounted for 29% of the A's 2006 IP total). The A's also need to replace the 196.2 IP with the accumualted 5+ ERA they got from Saarloos, Halsey, Harden, Windsor and Komine.
So what we're really talking about is trying to replace over 40% of the total IP the A's got last year after we trade Blanton for Milledge. Who wants to take the first crack at that topic?
by grover on Jan 9, 2007 2:09 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Personally, I dont know if the Mets will dance
I know you didnt emphasise replacing the 195 IP of Blanton, and I'd be concerned too if those 195 IP came along with good peripherals but thats just it, they didn't. I'm still on the fence as to if im in favor of trading away Blanton, but that's why i dont make those decisions, i just support them when they are made.
by Helloooo 1st on Jan 9, 2007 6:43 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Mulder, Hudson and Redman
Windsor's ZIPS and Chone projections are quite similar to Blanton's.
The real problem is replicating Zito's 221 IP at 116 ERA+, not Blanton's 194 IP at 92 ERA+.
So to me Blanton for Milledge is an easy YES, with or without another mediocre pitcher coming back.
by WaddellCanseco on Jan 10, 2007 6:42 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I Love That One Sportswriter Sent In:
This person knows how rampant the roids were during Gwynn and Ripken's time.
Explain to me how a Short Stop sets the consecutive games played record again??!!??
Some of you may play the simpleton in this...Innocent until proven guilty, not I.
It is like walking into a crackhouse and seeing only 3 people with pipes...I guess the rest of them were not crack heads.
by saint on Jan 9, 2007 2:50 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Yea....there are so many reasons
by OaktownPower on Jan 9, 2007 2:54 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The point is ...
by hrmax on Jan 9, 2007 3:03 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
First of all:
by saint on Jan 9, 2007 3:06 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Then he should abstain from voting
Ths guy 100% was trying to get his name in the paper. He is a dude who no one cares about and he figured out a way to get in the discussion. It worked, everyone is talking about him...doesnt change the fact he is a disgrace lookign for headlines who deserves to have his privileges revoked.
by OaktownPower on Jan 9, 2007 3:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
He's a newspaper writer ...
by devo on Jan 9, 2007 3:48 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
So his little city knew his name...
HUGE name in lights moment.
by OaktownPower on Jan 9, 2007 4:17 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
As far as I'm concerned, there are two
1. They were part of the game in the 90s, most players used them and they were not against the rules in any meaningful way, so it's absurd to single out any individual.
or
2. So many players did it and we don't have any actual evidence against more than the few who have admitted and the few others who have actually tested positive, so there is no reason to believe any individual player is actually innocent.
To sum it up, everyone is okay, or no one is. Until or unless someone proposes an actual standard by which to judge the players from that era -- and, no, "McGwire's out and we'll figure out the rest of'em later" doesn't count as an actual standard -- taking any stance between those extremes is nothing more than a witch hunt.
by devo on Jan 9, 2007 3:26 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
So I guess that means you're a crackhead
by grover on Jan 9, 2007 4:21 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I try to stay away from those places:
Baseball was dirty from the needles to the balls and I think that Cal's streak is a JOKE. For a shortstop to not miss a game in 15-18 years is a joke. Not a miracle!!!
by saint on Jan 9, 2007 4:24 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Add to that the fact that at 38-39 Years of Age:
Facts are facts...Face them
by saint on Jan 9, 2007 4:28 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Hahaha...
Very irresponsible.
by OaktownPower on Jan 9, 2007 5:15 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The fact is that he hit more homers at 38-39:
by saint on Jan 10, 2007 8:43 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm neither defending or accusing
I'm just making the point that the arguement you used in the earlier post was horseshit.
by grover on Jan 9, 2007 6:32 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Everyone was hitting more homers at that time.
Any chance any of THAT might have ANYTHING to do with him hitting more homers?
This is ridiculous: everyone is accused of using steroids. How about INNOCENT UNTIL PROVEN GUILTY?? Does that count for ANYTHING?
Have you ever heard of the Salem Witch Hunt?
by Philip Christy on Jan 9, 2007 10:14 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
yes, I agree ...
by devo on Jan 9, 2007 10:27 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
of course tony gwynn did steroids
by xbhaskarx on Jan 9, 2007 2:59 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Sadly Enough X:
by saint on Jan 9, 2007 3:11 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
They have roids at In N Out Burger?
by jeepers on Jan 10, 2007 9:05 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Steroid Cloud
As for McGwire if he has a PR advisor he should fire him or her. If he doesn't he needs Giambi's advisor. The 1st rule is be contrite and apologize. He could even stretch the truth and allege he initially was provided steroids to deal with healing his successive foot injuries. The HOFer McGwire is often comapred to is Killebrew and he did not make it his first year. McGwire just may not care if he is int he HOF. (A recent SFChron article describes him blowing off the Bay Area Sports HOF.) As long as he comunicates that he doesn't care the sportswriters, who have the vote, will in turn snub him.
As for the other bash brother I choose not judge Jose harshly. I think he was sick of the hypocrisy of the owners and at least his publishers hired a good ghost writer -- Steve Kettman. Thanks to MVK for reminding us the Jose was for a short time the most dominant offensive force in baseball. I will always believe that LaRussa gets a freepass when it comes to his handling of Canseco. Wasn't it his job to focus and manage those skills? All he ever does is complain that Canseco's work habits went south. In early August, 1990 Canseco hurt his back. He should have DLed and he kept playing. I still remember him stepping out between pitches trying to regain feeling in his legs. I am disppointed that Canseco squandered his talent and became a joke who suffered from over exposure. The mental picture I choose to retain is the circa late '80's bash brothers. My most vivid memory is a 1988 game in which Jose hit a 3 run HR against the Yankees' Dale Mahorcic. Neil Allen replaced and Mahorcic and was ordered to throw at Mac. The sight of Allen running in fear from Mac was hilarious.
by NoeValley on Jan 9, 2007 3:21 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Why does it matter ...
They show up on the ballot, they disappear after one year, what's the problem?
by devo on Jan 9, 2007 3:39 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
i believe saint's point is:
by bigelephant on Jan 9, 2007 3:28 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
They are?
by OaktownPower on Jan 9, 2007 3:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm painting them with that brush.
by devo on Jan 9, 2007 3:52 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Holy shit.....85%???
by OaktownPower on Jan 9, 2007 4:17 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
85% is Canseco's estimate
by devo on Jan 9, 2007 5:25 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Seriously?
by OaktownPower on Jan 9, 2007 5:32 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I suspect 85% is a bit of an overstatement ...
by devo on Jan 9, 2007 5:41 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
where do you get the 85% from?
i'm sure it was quite high, but i don't know about 85%.
by "used" you mean just steroids, right?
by xbhaskarx on Jan 9, 2007 4:27 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
From the players I know:
by saint on Jan 9, 2007 4:31 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
see above ...
by devo on Jan 9, 2007 5:43 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
i have read canseco's book
canseco knows mcgwire juiced because he was there. that's something he can know based on his own observations, from being a teammate and fellow juicer.
canseco (or caminiti) can't know what percentage of major leaguers juiced because they never conducted a poll. also, many athletes aren't so great with numbers:
"we're going to turn this team around 360 degrees."
-jason kidd
it may be 50%, it may be 85%, but "because canseco said so" isn't a great argument.
by xbhaskarx on Jan 9, 2007 5:55 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
No it's not a good argument at all
Of course Rickey said in response to the number of steroid users be as high as 50%, that he wasn't using any steroids so it should be 49%.
by F171615 on Jan 9, 2007 6:14 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Why does it matter ...
by NoeValley on Jan 9, 2007 3:53 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Baseball does too
The vetting process happens on the ballot.
They aren't getting into the Hall of Fame. Just because Ralph Nader appeared on a ballot doesn't mean any rational person actually considered him a legitimate candidate for president.
I question the standards for eligibility for voting -- I don't see any reason to question the standards for eligibility for inclusion on the ballot.
by devo on Jan 9, 2007 3:56 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I voted for the Sharpton/Brosius ticket
by monkeyball on Jan 9, 2007 4:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Are You Sure...
I agree voter eligibilty should be more rigorous.
by NoeValley on Jan 9, 2007 4:14 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
i think there was something in the water in 1999
31 1992 .366
32 1993 .420
33 1994 .459
34 1995 .422
35 1996 .466
36 1997 .402
37 1998 .389
38 1999 .584
39 2000 .453
seeing ripken's .389 slg, i thought of our buddy jason kendall. well, HIS slg in 1999 was .511!
by xbhaskarx on Jan 9, 2007 4:26 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Well DUH!!!
-Cindi.
by Nico on Jan 9, 2007 6:06 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Wait a minute
by Leopold Bloom on Jan 9, 2007 7:11 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Steroids... greenies?
by Erik being Erik on Jan 9, 2007 9:44 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Personally, I suspect Echinacea
by Nico on Jan 9, 2007 9:53 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
St. John's wort
by Poppy on Jan 10, 2007 6:59 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Witch Hazel...
by McFood on Jan 10, 2007 7:02 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I saw Ripken
by fridaynightfan on Jan 10, 2007 4:58 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Jose
by sslinger on Jan 9, 2007 10:10 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
RE steroids
The thing that does concern me is that they made Mark the scapegoat...from now until ? the guys that are new to the ballot will be from the steroid era. If they are going to keep him from entering the Hall and ignore others that just isn't right in my book.
by IM4Oakgal on Jan 9, 2007 11:46 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
How do I get ready for Antonio Perez?
by WaddellCanseco on Jan 10, 2007 6:45 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Get some binoculars and find a seat with a clear..
by McFood on Jan 10, 2007 7:01 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
FIRE GEREN NOW!
Why did he let Zito sign with the Giants?!?
Why did he let them resign Antonio Perez?!?
by mvk on Jan 10, 2007 7:53 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
I only have one thing to say, really.
To Darin Erstad.
by jeepers on Jan 10, 2007 9:05 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Caminiti/Canseco steroid estimates
Isn't that what every high school student says when they're caught doing something wrong, too?
It would've been harder for Canseco/Caminiti to say, "Yeah...we were part of small faction of players, probably around 10-15% of the league, who were doing this."*
The evidence suggests otherwise. Those seized 2003 MLB drug tests that the gov't is threatening to use in steroid investigations revealed far, far lower than 50% positives - I think the figure was closer to 5%. And that was in '03 when players still knew that there was no risk of suspension or retribution for a positive test. It's unlikely that use was THAT much greater, certainly not 85% leaguewide, before that.
by notsellingjeans on Jan 10, 2007 10:54 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Thank you
The nuts who are throwing out these crazy embellishments of the power of steroids (as well as their pervasiveness) are doing more than anyone to encourage their use among young people.
by yarky on Jan 10, 2007 2:51 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The asterisk in that last post *
by notsellingjeans on Jan 10, 2007 10:55 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Grover
I think the trade would be made with the knowledge, even the ADMISSION, that the A's would fall off a couple games, just as they did the season after they traded Mulder/Hudson on consecutive days. But although those moves were perceived as a fire sale by some, the A's still won 87 the next year.
I think the loss of Blanton would be smaller than what some think it would, based on his peripherals. And I think that Windsor could come close to matching what Blanton did last year.
The A's would not be as good NEXT year by trading Blanton. But I think they could receive a package in return that would make them better long-term.
Beane, with more job security than any GM in baseball and less pressure to win titles from his fan base, has the luxury of being able to think long-term always. (This is a luxury that, say, Epstein doesn't enjoy, even if knows sabermetrically what the best move is to make. It's also not a luxury that a desperate, soon-to-be-fired-either-due-to-incompetence-or-new-ownership GM like Jim Hendry has.)
That long-term security, and long-term view, that Beane has makes me think that a move could happen and that it would be logical. Beane forsees the future price of filling CF via free agency, and acquires his next one with six years of bargain price cost control.
As Colorado Fan has said, it probably means dropping off 3-4 games in the standings. If the A's had another terrible year health-wise, that's an 89 win season. Assuming they overachieved last year (which Pythagorean numbers would suggest), the A's could fall off to 86-87 wins. If health was great, however, the A's could still be a 90-win team even without Blanton.
Either way, the division wouldn't be won or lost without SOME element of luck and random chance. I'd prefer we got the best value on the dollar we could and secured the continued run of success for many years to come.
And that continued run of success is an important point:
The Marlins have proved that you don't improve your fan base (and therefore, income) by spending one year to win a title and then scraping the team, which they've done twice. South Florida's memory of those two championships hasn't lasted -They don't fill the seats. You gain the most fans/ticket sales/profit for your franchise by being CONSISTENTLY pretty good, and therefore at least competing year in and year out - which is what the A's strive for.
The A's financial situation demands that they constantly evaluate the market, acquire undervalued commodities, and trade off overvalued ones. In '06, based upon traditional statistics like wins, the A's most overvalued player was probably Blanton.
Therefore it is a worthwhile endeavor to at least see what he can command, especially given how desperate some teams are for pitching.
It may prove that NEXT year is a better time to trade Blanton, for a variety of reasons:
1.) He'll be arbitration-eligible and in line for millions, rather than making about 500K like he is now
2.) He's likely to post a slightly better '07 in terms of peripheral stats, given that he did just that in '05, and now that some personal distractions are behind him
3.) We'll have a better idea what guys like Windsor/Komine bring to the table.
And now, I swear, I'm done with Blanton posts for a while.
by notsellingjeans on Jan 10, 2007 11:25 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Too many people are missing the point
If you're willing to say that "Yes. Shooting for a title is of secondary importance in 2007." then you can seriously consider trading Blanton. If you aren't willing to accept that...
than Blanton stays.
by grover on Jan 10, 2007 4:39 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

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