Zito: Top Pitcher in the Game?
We here in Athletics Nation know that Barry Zito isn't the best pitcher in the game. Hell, he wasn't the best pitcher on the A's staff. So why are the Giants paying him like he's Johan Santana...or Mike Hampton and Kevin Brown?
Yes, I know he has all the lofty durability stats. Since 2001, he has 208 starts, most in the majors. He ranks third in innings pitched since, fourth in wins with 95 and 11th in ERA at 3.61. But here are his AL ranks for bases on balls allowed from 2001-2006 courtesy of Baseball Reference (great, great site).
2001- Fifth in walks allowed
2002- Fifth in walks allowed
2003- Second in walks allowed
2004- Seventh in walks allowed
2005- Second in walks allowed
2006- Second in walks allowed
Now I'm not saying that he won't be a good pitcher for the Giants, his stats will likely be great next year as he moves to a National League that doesn't have a single lineup that resembles the Yankees or Red Sox or even the Tigers. He'll also be pitching in a park that can be very favorable to pitchers.
But the bottom line is that the Giants are paying Zito like he's the best pitcher in the game whereas I question whether or not they would've been a better team with Jason Schmidt instead of Zito. I know market forces are beyond control and Scott Boras can work voodoo magic on any GM in the game that forces them to empty their owners' pockets, but when Alex Rodriguez signed that mammoth contract with Texas, he was the best player in the game. He's continued to produce throughout the life of that contract as one of the best despite the enormous pressure of New York.
I just wanted to say this because I'm tired of hearing media say that this was a great move for the Giants because it was all about PR. Zito is going to be paid like the best pitcher in the game for the next few seasons.
Holy hell, how much does this make Johan Santana worth? A 10-year, $220 million deal?
Any way, I'm done talking about Zito for now (or at least today). I'm just tired of reading most columnists and media types saying it was a great signing for the Giants. I'm just not convinced that the Giants have made a move for the better in switching out Schmidt for Zito(outside of the huge durability factor).
Oh, I also have four free tickets to the upcoming FanFest event as I can't attend. I'm willing to mail it to you for free. Just comment that you want them below and I'll get in contact with you. My one request is that you take a few photos and write a diary about your experience. But you were going to do that any way, weren't you?
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Don't use total walks
I'm not saying that Zito doesn't walk a lot of guys, because we all know he does. However, I wouldn't rank him based on total walks. Instead, I suggest using BB/9.
The ranks might come out the same, but I think it's a little more accurate for your point.
by fadedash on Jan 3, 2007 1:44 PM PST reply actions
Zito's BB/9
2000 4.34
2001 3.36
2002 3.06
2003 3.42
2004 3.42
2005 3.51
2006 4.03
I think there is a trend.
Also some of the notable league active pitchers' career BB/9:
Jon Lieber 1.71
Greg Maddux 1.84
David Wells 1.86
Ben Sheets 1.89
Brian Anderson 1.96
Roy Oswalt 1.97
Curt Shilling 1.99
Mike Mussina 2.02
Mark Buehrle 2.07
Roy Halladay 2.24
Jamie Moyer 2.54
Estaban Loaiza 2.56
Johan Santana 2.58
by asfansince1989 on Jan 4, 2007 12:05 PM PST up reply actions
Schmidt ain't much better
At least when Zito loses his velocity (whatever he had), he's still got the curve, when Schmidt loses his velocity, he'd be done.
by asfansince1989 on Jan 4, 2007 12:13 PM PST up reply actions
and as far as Schmidt goes
by fadedash on Jan 3, 2007 1:45 PM PST reply actions
Jason vs. Barry
As for the cash... it may well be that what Johan Santana gets will stun the world at what "Johan Santana money" is. In retrospect, "Barry Zito money" might look appropriate for Barry Zito.
Totally agree
But within a couple of years, after more NL hitters have gotten familiar with him, it'll be pretty clear to everybody who loves this deal that we're not just nitpicking. And the cost of the Giants' PR move will be that they're stuck with a new big-money Barry (although, granted, the new one is a lot easier to get along with and will probably not create legal problems to hang over the team).
An outsider
I honestly believe that Zito will have great stats next year because of the league switch and ballpark, but I also don't consider it a great signing. I think it was borderline lunacy even with Zito's durability.
by Tyler Bleszinski on Jan 3, 2007 2:39 PM PST up reply actions
league switch good thing?
by asfansince1989 on Jan 4, 2007 12:16 PM PST up reply actions
Don't the umps....
Blez
email me @ eastbayace33@yahoo.com
thanks in advance.
by BashBrothers89 on Jan 3, 2007 1:57 PM PST reply actions
"Z" and Batting
Good luck in S.F. Zito, thanks for the memories.
Might farce turn to tragedy?
It would be a sad irony of BZ's run of good health came to an end with an awkward swing...probably while trying to smack a splash hit in batting practice.
by FreeSeatUpgrade on Jan 3, 2007 2:15 PM PST up reply actions
i would not be surprised.
Barry running to first base....
Barry Zito is a very likeable, intelligent guy. I really enjoy hearing him on the radio today. I wish him every success. But knowing every pitcher is one line drive away from Herb Score, I just think the Athletics are smart to stay away from high-risk transactions over multiple, guaranteed years.
by One won lost won on Jan 3, 2007 4:31 PM PST up reply actions
high-risk transactions over multiple years
If the A's start making bank in Fremont, some fans will call for resigning the new versions of Giambi, Tejada, Huddy, and Mulder. And those re-signings will have to be for multiple, guaranteed years.
Schmidt wasnt the same guy the last 2 years...
Zito
So longterm they are really screwed with his NTC, but since when do the giants ever care about the future.
Santana to get 25M$ a year unless
Barry, you can stay anywhere you want on the road.
Half million for his first NL Cy
"He also will earn a $500,000 bonus for winning the Cy Young Award, $200,000 if he finishes second in the voting, $150,000 for third place, $100,000 for fourth and $50,000 if he's fifth. If he wins a second time, he would get a $750,000 bonus and $1 million if he wins it a third time or more.
Other bonuses include $250,000 for MVP -- with $150,000 for second place, $100,000 for third, $75,000 for fourth and $50,000 for fifth. If he were to be named World Series MVP, that would be worth $200,000, while an NLCS MVP would get him $100,000. He earns $100,000 for a Gold Glove and $100,000 for being an All-Star."
But what does he get for hitting .300?
by FreeSeatUpgrade on Jan 3, 2007 3:42 PM PST up reply actions
A batting title.
tix
by opiewannabe on Jan 4, 2007 1:37 PM PST up reply actions
Santana ...
yep
I would think at some point the growth rate of these contracts has to slow down significantly, so you may be right on with 25 million a year.
by pickinmachine on Jan 3, 2007 4:08 PM PST up reply actions
I'd expect the ebbs and flows to continue ...
But if the money is flowing, Santana might get 250/8 or more ... I don't see anyone willing to go beyond 8 years for a 29 year old pitcher, though.
Sportswriters try to justify
Yet it's collusion if the owners agree to not bid
I think it's the "agents" who are extremely greedy, and drive the prices up. What was Boras take this year? Isn't agent takehomes on the backs of players, worthy of Hotstove talk??
by One won lost won on Jan 3, 2007 4:36 PM PST up reply actions
Just remember ...
While greed may drive a player's desire to get a couple million extra, there's far greater greed trying to keep it from him.
Seriously!
by FreeSeatUpgrade on Jan 3, 2007 6:57 PM PST up reply actions
Zito's contract is ridiculously huge...
Remember how a year ago 99% of the baseball following population thought the Loaiza deal was too much? 3 years/$21 million doesn't seem so outrageous anymore. It wasn't more than a year ago that you could find a strong contingent of folks on AN who were advocating a Zito extension at $11-12 million per. The idea was that Zito might be willing to give a hometown discount to stay in Oakland, which meant that on the FA market Barry was likely to get $14-15 million a year! Considering that just about every contract signed this offseason has seemed a couple million bloated, is it really any surprise that Zito was able to command $18 million a year?
$18 million annual will always look a bit bloated but Barry Zito was the A1 free agent SP on the open market this season and he was going to get his money. But don't worry, it won't be long before some other signing dwarfs Zito's.
The only way the contracts will get smaller is if MLB starts to lose money and right now all signs are pointing towards continued fiscal growth. And if the owners are going to be making more money you can bet that the players are going to want their cut.
You didn't mention agents
How about the collusion of agents, and the gross dollars agents are raking in?
Is it possible that Scott Boras pays people not to become agents? I wouldn't doubt it.
by One won lost won on Jan 3, 2007 4:39 PM PST up reply actions
Didn't think I needed to
more fanfest tickets
by StocktonJew on Jan 3, 2007 5:14 PM PST reply actions
Contract
- 10-Million
- 14.5-Million
- $18.5M
- $18.5M
- $18.5M
- $19M
- $20M
- $18M club option ($7M buyout)
More Fanfest tix (3)
Sounds like sour grapes, Blez
And your parenthetical "aside from durability" comment, that's not an aside -- that's practically the whole point! Provided he stays healthy over the 7-8 years, I think you'll find the money outlay appropriate. If his health goes south it's a disaster. But from a durability perspective, Zito's the best bet out there.
That said, I think the A's rotation will be just fine without Barry.
Schmidt K'd
That is one of the most astute
In a culture that
Random thought..
Now that's a way to say goodnight.
go Oakland
by Erik being Erik on Jan 3, 2007 11:25 PM PST reply actions
Shockingly OT
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/blogs/sfgate/detail?blogid=7&entry_id=12253
Thank God its not Barry. That would just be wrong.
I will gladly accept any fanfest tickets
4 fanfest tick
by opiewannabe on Jan 4, 2007 1:44 PM PST up reply actions
can ya ship me a couple?
by TrizzleNizzle510 on Jan 4, 2007 1:50 PM PST up reply actions
I would love them!
GAK! SNORT! FAINT!
This is the Joel Pineiro whose 6.36 ERA last season came fully equipped with a WHIP of 1.65 and an opponent's batting average of .311.
"Game Over," yes. "Red Sox win," not so much.
Caption:

I just realized...
They are, you know...
Yep... was in yesterday's DLD...
Poor Bunnies
Yeah... big f%%kin' teeth on ya'. And THE DODGERS are just like this little bunny, who's just kinda cowering in the corner.
Yeah, man just kinda... you know, you got these claws and you're staring at these claws and your thinking to yourself, and with these claws you're thinking, "How am I supposed to kill this bunny, how am I supposed to kill this bunny?"
He's saying:
by FreeSeatUpgrade on Jan 4, 2007 4:00 PM PST up reply actions
i think that was in response to ...
No matter what you think of Zito...
Here's the full-page ad he took out in the Chronicle today.
Awesome :)
Well, this completely
I don't like his cap scheme
Ah...
by LilAnnieOaktown on Jan 4, 2007 10:21 AM PST up reply actions
Just remember, a class act is still an 'act'.
Never mind "class act."
Good Barry Bad Barry
by kkdaz on Jan 4, 2007 10:11 AM PST reply actions
Pitch To Barry!
Ditto...it is time to move on...time for a Saag's.
by LilAnnieOaktown on Jan 4, 2007 11:29 AM PST up reply actions
RSN
tickets
by chavyfan on Jan 4, 2007 4:05 PM PST reply actions
Put me in line for the Fanfest tickets, please.
My email is erikmannie@gmail.com
Hey guys, I already have tix for 27 A's games in Oakland and 2 A's games in SF. Woo hoo!! I sit in Sec 111, Row 3 and Sec 112, Row 8--come say Hi (bring Guinness) I will be the guy yelling at the visiting team. I call Hideki Matsui "Ichiro-san" and tell AROD that he is a choke artist and tell Barry Bonds that he is a cheater. Lookin' forward to it!
by eriklovestheathletics on Jan 4, 2007 8:27 PM PST reply actions

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