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Around SBN: Ellenberger vs. Sanchez Heats Up, Hughes Talks Retirement

You'd rather not see this - the disaster from a WinExp point of view.

Everything's under the cut this time.

Star-divide

Yikes. The high water mark was in A+ territory, 97.9%. When the 2nd out was gotten in the horrible 6th inning.

Just thought you'd like to know how this Winexp takes it for big/scoring plays (stadium adjusted, Apricot will have different numbers)

Thomas drives in run 1: +6.3%
Kielty drives in run 2 & 3: +9.5%
Johnson drives in 4: +6.9%
Kotsay drives self in for 5: +4.5%
Swisher HR for 6 & 7: +5.6%

Lead up to the GS:
Teixiera gets on: -.7%
Blalock FC: +1.0%
Nevin out: +.8% (to 97.9%)
Mench gets on: -.5%
DeRosa loads them up: -1.0%
BAM! -11.2%
BAM2! -8.6% (to 76.6%)

Teixiera HR: -14.1%
Kinsler HR 2: -28.8%
Nevin HR: -45.4%

That's it. This game sucked.

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How does that work?
Rly.
UC Davis cable lacks good sports channels.

by Hit4TheCycle on May 25, 2006 11:36 PM PDT reply actions  

<sighs>
Thx Jjj
"The lineup! My God...the lineup!" ~ baseballgirl

by eamb on May 25, 2006 11:46 PM PDT reply actions  

<goes on DL>
<gets replaced by someone who sucks>
I can't remember what I was going to say, but I assure you, it was brilliant!

by oblique on May 26, 2006 6:17 AM PDT up reply actions  

thanks man
goes well with my morning cup of coffee and the throwup in my mouth.
Is it safe to say we have seen and will keep on seeing this bell shaped trend in the rivercat pen stage of 2006?

by NYC on May 26, 2006 6:00 AM PDT reply actions  

ah gotta love the morning brain
... and will continue to see this bell shaped trend in the rivercat pen stage of 2006?

guess one run losses and verb agreement dont go to good togeder

by NYC on May 26, 2006 6:03 AM PDT up reply actions  

There is an A in Atrocious
"Oysters were not considered as potential predators to use on the plane." ~~ Rubin Sierra

by Poppy on May 26, 2006 6:22 AM PDT reply actions  

Barajas
Barajas came out negative, even with the slam?

I want a second opinion.

by matthias on May 26, 2006 7:40 AM PDT reply actions  

Slam went from 7-0 to 7-4
Still very little chance of (historically) blowing the 7-4 lead.
Can intangibles exist? Only the ones you can touch.

by salb918 on May 26, 2006 8:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

big work day for me
I shall frolic afterwards. Until then...

<opens crate of hugs>

Hugs for everyone!  Except Sal. Go back to your research... your lab needs you.

by Apricot on May 26, 2006 9:27 AM PDT reply actions  

This looks pretty damn weird and funny.
I can't remember what I was going to say, but I assure you, it was brilliant!

by oblique on May 26, 2006 9:42 AM PDT up reply actions  

okay okay
Here is what Baby Winexp got.

Date            Team    Name            WXC     Events

May 25, 2006            TEX     Ian Kinsler     +0.451  4
May 25, 2006            TEX     Phil Nevin      +0.327  5
May 25, 2006            TEX     Akinori Otsuka* +0.129  3
May 25, 2006            TEX     Mark Teixeira   +0.089  5
May 25, 2006            TEX     Rick Bauer*     +0.049  4
May 25, 2006            TEX     Ron Mahay*      +0.038  6
May 25, 2006            TEX     G Matthews Jr.  +0.027  5
May 25, 2006            TEX     Mark DeRosa     -0.038  4
May 25, 2006            TEX     Rod Barajas     -0.039  4
May 25, 2006            TEX     Hank Blalock    -0.054  5
May 25, 2006            TEX     Michael Young   -0.064  5
May 25, 2006            TEX     Kevin Mench     -0.103  4
May 25, 2006            TEX     Kevin Millwood* -0.352  25

Date            Team    Name            WXC     Events

May 25, 2006            OAK     Nick Swisher    +0.091  4
May 25, 2006            OAK     Brad Halsey*    +0.089  26
May 25, 2006            OAK     Bobby Kielty    +0.070  4
May 25, 2006            OAK     Frank Thomas    +0.063  4
May 25, 2006            OAK     Eric Chavez     +0.032  4
May 25, 2006            OAK     Adam Melhuse    +0.023  4
May 25, 2006            OAK     Dan Johnson     -0.007  4
May 25, 2006            OAK     Bobby Crosby    -0.029  4
May 25, 2006            OAK     Mark Kotsay     -0.043  5
May 25, 2006            OAK     Mark Ellis      -0.064  5
May 25, 2006            OAK     Kiko Calero*    -0.157  5
May 25, 2006            OAK     Steve Karsay*   -0.174  7
May 25, 2006            OAK     Huston Street*  -0.354  3

How does Barajas end up with a negative after hitting a monster grand slam to get them back in the game?  His ABs:

May 25, 2006. Bot 2.0. R:-3. B:1. P: Brad Halsey. Rod Barajas grounded into double play second to shortstop to first, DeRosa out at second (0.225, -0.078)
May 25, 2006. Bot 4.2. R:-4. B:. P: Brad Halsey. Rod Barajas flied out to left (0.102, +0.004)
May 25, 2006. Bot 6.2. R:-7. B:123. P: Brad Halsey. Rod Barajas homered to left, Blalock, Mench and DeRosa scored (0.099, +0.099)
May 25, 2006. Bot 8.0. R:-1. B:. P: Kiko Calero. Rod Barajas flied out to right (0.234, -0.064)

Sal is right... he got credit for the homer, but it only increased their winning odds from ~0% to ~10%.

by Apricot on May 26, 2006 1:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

i can't understand it
I own too many darn shoes!

by californiagirl on May 26, 2006 10:53 AM PDT reply actions  

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