You'd rather not see this - the disaster from a WinExp point of view.

by Jjjsixsix on May 25, 2006 10:03 PM PDT Comment 13 comments

Everything's under the cut this time.

Yikes. The high water mark was in A+ territory, 97.9%. When the 2nd out was gotten in the horrible 6th inning.

Just thought you'd like to know how this Winexp takes it for big/scoring plays (stadium adjusted, Apricot will have different numbers)

Thomas drives in run 1: +6.3%
Kielty drives in run 2 & 3: +9.5%
Johnson drives in 4: +6.9%
Kotsay drives self in for 5: +4.5%
Swisher HR for 6 & 7: +5.6%

Lead up to the GS:
Teixiera gets on: -.7%
Blalock FC: +1.0%
Nevin out: +.8% (to 97.9%)
Mench gets on: -.5%
DeRosa loads them up: -1.0%
BAM! -11.2%
BAM2! -8.6% (to 76.6%)

Teixiera HR: -14.1%
Kinsler HR 2: -28.8%
Nevin HR: -45.4%

That's it. This game sucked.

0 recs | Comment 13 comments

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How does that work?

Rly.

UC Davis cable lacks good sports channels.

by Hit4TheCycle on May 25, 2006 11:36 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

<sighs>

Thx Jjj

"The lineup! My God...the lineup!" ~ baseballgirl

by eamb on May 25, 2006 11:46 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

um , I think your calcular is busted.

Frank Thomas is big.

by robber23 on May 26, 2006 12:06 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

<goes on DL>

I can't remember what I was going to say, but I assure you, it was brilliant!

by oblique on May 26, 2006 6:17 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

thanks man

goes well with my morning cup of coffee and the throwup in my mouth.
Is it safe to say we have seen and will keep on seeing this bell shaped trend in the rivercat pen stage of 2006?

by NYC on May 26, 2006 6:00 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

ah gotta love the morning brain

... and will continue to see this bell shaped trend in the rivercat pen stage of 2006?

guess one run losses and verb agreement dont go to good togeder

by NYC on May 26, 2006 6:03 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

There is an A in Atrocious

"Oysters were not considered as potential predators to use on the plane." ~~ Rubin Sierra

by Poppy on May 26, 2006 6:22 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

Barajas

Barajas came out negative, even with the slam?

I want a second opinion.

by matthias on May 26, 2006 7:40 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

Slam went from 7-0 to 7-4

Still very little chance of (historically) blowing the 7-4 lead.

Can intangibles exist? Only the ones you can touch.

by salb918 on May 26, 2006 8:19 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

big work day for me

I shall frolic afterwards. Until then...

Hugs for everyone! Except Sal. Go back to your research... your lab needs you.

by Apricot on May 26, 2006 9:27 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

This looks pretty damn weird and funny.

I can't remember what I was going to say, but I assure you, it was brilliant!

by oblique on May 26, 2006 9:42 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

okay okay

Here is what Baby Winexp got.

Date Team Name WXC Events

May 25, 2006 TEX Ian Kinsler +0.451 4 May 25, 2006 TEX Phil Nevin +0.327 5 May 25, 2006 TEX Akinori Otsuka* +0.129 3 May 25, 2006 TEX Mark Teixeira +0.089 5 May 25, 2006 TEX Rick Bauer* +0.049 4 May 25, 2006 TEX Ron Mahay* +0.038 6 May 25, 2006 TEX G Matthews Jr. +0.027 5 May 25, 2006 TEX Mark DeRosa -0.038 4 May 25, 2006 TEX Rod Barajas -0.039 4 May 25, 2006 TEX Hank Blalock -0.054 5 May 25, 2006 TEX Michael Young -0.064 5 May 25, 2006 TEX Kevin Mench -0.103 4 May 25, 2006 TEX Kevin Millwood* -0.352 25

Date Team Name WXC Events

May 25, 2006 OAK Nick Swisher +0.091 4 May 25, 2006 OAK Brad Halsey* +0.089 26 May 25, 2006 OAK Bobby Kielty +0.070 4 May 25, 2006 OAK Frank Thomas +0.063 4 May 25, 2006 OAK Eric Chavez +0.032 4 May 25, 2006 OAK Adam Melhuse +0.023 4 May 25, 2006 OAK Dan Johnson -0.007 4 May 25, 2006 OAK Bobby Crosby -0.029 4 May 25, 2006 OAK Mark Kotsay -0.043 5 May 25, 2006 OAK Mark Ellis -0.064 5 May 25, 2006 OAK Kiko Calero* -0.157 5 May 25, 2006 OAK Steve Karsay* -0.174 7 May 25, 2006 OAK Huston Street* -0.354 3

How does Barajas end up with a negative after hitting a monster grand slam to get them back in the game? His ABs:

May 25, 2006. Bot 2.0. R:-3. B:1. P: Brad Halsey. Rod Barajas grounded into double play second to shortstop to first, DeRosa out at second (0.225, -0.078) May 25, 2006. Bot 4.2. R:-4. B:. P: Brad Halsey. Rod Barajas flied out to left (0.102, +0.004) May 25, 2006. Bot 6.2. R:-7. B:123. P: Brad Halsey. Rod Barajas homered to left, Blalock, Mench and DeRosa scored (0.099, +0.099) May 25, 2006. Bot 8.0. R:-1. B:. P: Kiko Calero. Rod Barajas flied out to right (0.234, -0.064)

Sal is right... he got credit for the homer, but it only increased their winning odds from ~0% to ~10%.

by Apricot on May 26, 2006 1:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs