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ESPN Post-Season Predictions

Just for fun I went back and checked the 19 geniuses who gave their post-season predictions on ESPN.

Now before giving you results, let's look at the math.  The likelihood of getting a single series right is 1 in 2.  The likelihood of getting two series right is 1 in 4.  And so forth.

So how many ESPN experts correctly predicted the outcome of all four of the four division series?  Since the odds of running the board are just 1 in 16, in a normal distribution of results you might have expected just 1 of the 19 experts to get it all right.  But none did.  Not one.

Similarly, the chances of an expert getting all 4 series wrong is just 1 in 16.  So how many of the 19 got all 4 series wrong?  Six!

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