There is this interesting article on www.cnnsi.com, about which teams have the best changes to make it to the postseason. This is the link: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2005/writers/john_donovan/08/31/al.wildcards/1.html
Interesting to see that the A's changes are 2:1 and rising for winning the division, while its 3:1 and dropping for the LAAAAAAAAA's (or whatever they are called nowadays).
I my humble opinion, I agree with the odds, BEFORE three of our main starters had injuries, now however, I think they are even with the LAAAAAAAA's.
In addition to going the same amont of matches against our peers in the division, you have to compare the rest of the A's schedule of Yankees (3), Indians (3), Twins (3) - against that of the LAAAAAAAA's: Tigers (4), Devil Rays (3), White Sox (3) (in addition to the fact we play Boston one extra time).
It seems that we have the worse end of the schedule. Of course, the Devil Rays swept LAAAAAAA's last time around, but I do not see that hapening again.