As you may recall, I last sent Baby Winexp (v46) to her room for telling me Rincon was doing well and that Blanton wasn't as good as I thought he was. Well, she used her time wisely and had some updates for me.
(What are these numbers? You can look at background here. They were computed using some clever routines I wrote to convert game play-by-play information into information about changing game win probabilities. The software is buggy, but most of the truly embarrassing bugs are gone. These measure offense only, not defense.)
Rookie of the Year
Here is a ranking of some frontrunners for RoY as of today. I think Baby Winexp won't get an argument from us that Street is the RoY by a mile.
Team Name WXC Events
OAK Huston Street* 3.532 298
CHW Tadahito Iguchi 2.095 540
OAK Dan Johnson 1.836 383
TOR Gustavo Chacin* 1.282 786
OAK Joe Blanton* 1.209 765
OAK Nick Swisher 0.298 474
NYY Robinson Cano -0.532 475
The only complaint might be Cupcakes's low ranking. Fair enough, if you want to forget May (what's that?) and start counting from June, the rankings now go:
OAK Huston Street* 3.026 186
OAK Dan Johnson 2.276 361
OAK Joe Blanton* 2.181 539
OAK Nick Swisher 1.073 360
CHW Tadahito Iguchi 0.728 337
TOR Gustavo Chacin* 0.568 528
NYY Robinson Cano -0.054 393
MVP
BOS David Ortiz 7.628 642
NYY Alex Rodriguez 6.158 664
HOU Roger Clemens* 6.065 777
ATL Chipper Jones 5.888 387
STL Chr Carpenter* 5.883 883
FLA Dontre Willis* 5.846 839
FLA Carlos Delgado 5.325 560
ARI Tony Clark 4.867 343
ANA Vladi Guerrero 4.52 556
CHC Carl Zambrano* 4.459 834
On sheer clutch offense, Ortiz wins easily in the AL. In the NL, it's too close to call between three great pitchers and Chipper Jones(!).
For perspective, here are the A's best WXC players to date:
OAK Huston Street* 3.532 298
OAK Rich Harden* 2.669 499
OAK Eric Chavez 1.868 644
OAK Dan Johnson 1.836 383
OAK J Duchscherer* 1.663 326
OAK Joe Blanton* 1.209 765
OAK Bobby Kielty 1.105 420
OAK Barry Zito* 1.070 888
OAK Mark Kotsay 0.970 583
OAK Adam Melhuse 0.800 94
OAK Jay Payton 0.590 239
OAK Mark Ellis 0.573 422
OAK Eric Byrnes 0.551 220
OAK Kiko Calero* 0.440 226
OAK Nick Swisher 0.298 474
OAK Kirk Saarloos* 0.271 619
Huston ranks 26th in the majors.
AL Cy Young
I hesitated to post this section, because who would believe someone who claimed that :d was the best active pitcher in the AL?
TOR Roy Halladay* 4.323 567
OAK Huston Street* 3.532 298
ANA Fra Rodriguez* 3.164 249
CHW Cliff Politte* 3.123 242
ANA Bartolo Colon* 2.911 838
CHW Mark Buehrle* 2.812 891
MIN Johan Santana* 2.748 806
OAK Rich Harden* 2.669 499
I'll just leave it at that.
Nostalgia
Also for the nostalgia of it all:
NYY Jason Giambi 3.663 487
STL Mark Mulder* 3.155 812
ATL Tim Hudson* 2.14 738
CLE Arthur Rhodes* 0.73 177
BOS Chad Bradford* 0.108 88
BAL Miguel Tejada -0.358 633
TOR Ted Lilly* -1.702 512
PIT Mark Redman* -1.049 754
BOS Keith Foulke* -2.184 214
COL Eric Byrnes 0.236 62
OAK Eric Byrnes 0.551 220
BAL Eric Byrnes -0.841
2004
There's so much I'd like to say about 2004, but I'm tired. I can't resist listing the top WXC in baseball in 2004:
SF Barry Bonds 13.372 614
STL Jim Edmonds 5.917 616
STL Albert Pujols 5.908 680
COL Todd Helton 5.806 667
LA Adrian Beltre 5.726 672
TEX Mark Teixeira 5.429 614
HOU Lance Berkman 5.162 690
CIN Adam Dunn 5.108 679
COL Jeromy Burnitz 5.079 603
MIN Johan Santana* 5.011 888
ANA Vladi Guerrero 4.856 695
That Bonds dude was a cartoon.
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