It's Bradford
Sean McAdam is reporting it definitively.
http://www.projo.com/redsox/content/projo_20050708_08payton.22f9127.html
After a late-inning dugout confrontation with manager Terry Francona Wednesday night forced their hand, the Red Sox designated outfielder Jay Payton for assignment yesterday and have a deal in place to send him to the Oakland A's for reliever Chad Bradford.
It's tough to lose Bradford. He's been a great warrior for us. But Payton, if his attitude is positive, should be a good fit with the A's. A's do need to carry another outfielder (they've been playing with fire) and it was especially important to find one who can competently play centerfield (and also the other two spots).
Given the current market, you'd figure Beane might be able to get back a player who is better overall for Bradford, but it probably would have been tough to find one who fit as well.
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re
I feel ill.
This... this is just depressing. For Kotsay, for Chadford.
I hate July.
WHAT?!
That's so unexpected. Almost Reggie and I just saw Chad Bradford hanging out with the rest of the bullpen last Saturday, and it was great reading about all his positive comments on how "These are my people now." A great loss, this is.
re
Hmm.
I just hate the thought of poor Bradford getting booed in Boston if he struggles coming back from the rehab.
I think it'll be great for him.
it'll be good for him if he performs
Yes, and his ego is pretty fragile
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 10:11 AM PDT up reply actions
Think Boston's infield defenders
Yeah.
He's just always seemed like such a nice guy, I can't see him enjoying being under that kind of Microscope of Hate, money or not.
Well. Maybe I'm wrong.
It's Bradford
I bet Byrnes threw up when he saw this news. Fact is the A's have a surplus of decent outfielders and Charles Thomas may work out yet. (Stroke seems to be returning in Sac town fwiw.)
My guess is if this trade goes through and Kotsay signs, Byrnes will soon be gone.
by Dore on Jul 8, 2005 1:02 AM PDT reply actions
One of the two will be gone
If a REAL BIG trade was to be made, I think it would involve Kotsay because Kotsay has more 'actual' value than Byrnes and would net a higher return, especially if the A's were looking to plug holes in the roster for this year. The A's really do have a surplus of outfielders, there are four as it is and Charles Thomas will be back soon enough, his speed is needed on the team.
Interesting note from MLB.com:
"Eric Byrnes, Oakland's left fielder, entered Thursday's game batting .337 at home and .169 on the road. The number of at-bats were almost identical, though. Byrnes had 92 at-bats at McAfee Coliseum, and 89 away from home.
What's the reason for this discrepancy?
'I have no idea,' Macha said laughing. 'It just jumps off the page. Wouldn't that jump off the page? Fact is stranger than fiction.'
Maybe it's the second games of those East Coast road trips."
So if I was ANT [any other team] I'd be wary of trading for Byrnes because he really is as streaky and as unpredictable as they come. Unless the team in question was the Giants; if they were any smart they'd find a way to acquire Byrnes. Can we say, hometown advantage? [Plus those of us who actually like Byrnes could still go out and see him every once in awhile. He's already a fan favorite there, and would get steady playing time, as a young guy in an aging roster. And we wouldn't have to play against him either, except in interleague. Oh, the woes, can you imagine Byrnes batting against Zito?]
On a side note...
"We need to let the left field zealots make more road trips." -- Macha, on Byrnes' road woes with his bat
Just had to put it up here. :)
I think you've got it Melody
By the way I DETEST this trade (just because I love ol' Chadford... now that Mecir isn't on the team, who's going to be our designated bullpen freak?). Of course if this means we get to keep Kotsay, I'll go quietly.
It was awesome when we had tons
Guess they have to bring up Kohn QUICKLY if this deal happens.
That's awesome!
All I can say is...
...
in 2006...
...
Felix Pie?
David Forst on Kotsay
Korach asked Forst about any news on the Kotsay extension and Forst said (paraphrasing):
Things were looking real positive. Billy has been working really hard on it. Billy has been talking to Kotsay's agent a lot. He then said the two words to describe the situation were "hopeful" and "optimistic."
I KNOW THIS DOES NOT MEAN A WHOLE LOT WITH RESPECT TO TRADING KOTSAY, but what would people think if Kotsay was signed to an extension by the A's? Sure there's the posssibility of a team asking Billy for that in any trade (more value), but I tend to think if Billy was going to trade Kotsay, he would not bust his ass to get the extension. This would set a bad precedent for future contract extension talks with others, wouldn't it? Maybe I'm just being hopeful of Kotsay staying. What do you all think?
trade value
By the same token...
i think BB might still have a shot at Kotsay
by popcornjames on Jul 8, 2005 10:45 AM PDT up reply actions
I hope.....
Nope
Short term
Payton couldn't replace Kotsay in SD.
I hope he is part of a package for a real player....because he is a budget increaser at $3.5 M.............and about as productive per dollar as our grossly overpaid catcher who has leveled his slap hitting at .260 probably his real average playing in Oakland.
But it's July. If the A's lose another series or two and they will be toast looking to dump salary out of a very limited pool of dumpables. I sure hope we aren't doing an extension with Kotsay just to make him more saleable.
by Carerra on Jul 8, 2005 6:08 AM PDT reply actions
Until the A's announce they have traded Bradford
I agree...
The whole idea of Bradford-for-Payton is just to weird.
by FormerHuntsvilleStar on Jul 8, 2005 8:53 AM PDT up reply actions
I can see the logic
Bradford coming back means there is no odd man out in the bullpen. We can bring up Cruz and designate Glynn. If Cruz starts, Saarloos becomes the DP machine out of the bullpen/long man/spot sparter. If Saarloos, Cruz, or Rincon is traded, Jairo comes to the 'pen to stay. We still have a lefty in Flores.
If Kotsay does not sign, the 'pen situation stays the same, we trade Kotsay for a two bats and a bag of baseballs, and Jay Payton fills in the rest of the year. Next year, A's fans are treated to Eric Byrnes misjudging balls in center, Nick Swisher doing his best T-long impression in center, or some guy named Pie.
If the A's get Payton and keep him
Another theory
That sounds right to me
I guess, though, that if the Sox are willing to buy a used Corolla with 100,000 miles and a rebuilt tranny sight-unseen as soon as it rolls out of the shop, that's the sort of buyer you look for ...
sissy
by AlwaysSweatin on Jul 8, 2005 10:11 AM PDT up reply actions
That's why ...
Plus, no matted fur!
Seriously... look at the title
<hears screams in distance>
"What was that?"
"It's Bradford."
My Guess is that Billy already has a deal
Still I like the Cubs prospects better as Duncan and/or Hughes never seemed to make sense. Felix Pie (pronounced "Pay") doesn't really seem to be an A's type player. He doesn't draw a lot of walks. However, Billy did suggest that he was in the market for power last week. Maybe Pie really is the A's CF of the future? I don't think I like it because his name is uncannily like Felix Jose!
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 8:25 AM PDT reply actions
How Great was the Outfield of ...
by Eck on Jul 8, 2005 9:10 AM PDT up reply actions
Boston Globe is also reporting it.
Here is the link:
http://www.boston.com/sports/baseball/redsox/articles/2005/07/08/cora_stern_are_added_payton_on_the_ way_out/
by Carerra on Jul 8, 2005 9:07 AM PDT reply actions
Such an interesting deal....
Dodgers need OF help, and more
by Carerra on Jul 8, 2005 9:23 AM PDT reply actions
Wow
Saenz
Didn't we give HIM the shaft . . .
by Josh @ Athletics Nation on Jul 8, 2005 11:24 AM PDT up reply actions
I don't think so
Hey BG
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 12:22 PM PDT up reply actions
LMAO!
yes it was
Think it was in the last week or two
by NicoleG on Jul 8, 2005 1:44 PM PDT up reply actions
That is hilarious
Do you think Bill King really has any animus towards Fosse?
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 2:34 PM PDT up reply actions
No!
I think that's right
Hmmm... sillier than usual?
Yeah, maybe Byrnes
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 4:36 PM PDT up reply actions
Don't be an ass!
And that's your Carl's Jr. "In your face" call of the game.
Which also brings to mind
A's are getting Payton because
by southofcruiseamerica on Jul 8, 2005 9:24 AM PDT reply actions
What about this
On the other hand, if we keep Payton, chance are Kotsay is gone. With San Diego paying some and I'm sure Boston will pay some of the salary, we've got a serviceable outfielder that won't cost us much.
As far as Kotsay goes...I'd welcome Cano and a minor leaguer or two. Cano is going to be a real good player and would fill our 2B hole nicely.
What do we need More?
or
An outfielder who makes 3.5 million, has a bad attitude and does the same thing offensively as people on our roster (kielty, byrnes)
What we need
Payton isnt in Kotsay's league Defensively
Offensively, this man for his career has struck out almost twice as many times as he has walked.
319 K's vs 174 BB's
And despite his good speed he obviously doesnt know how to steal a base.
25 SB vs 24 CS
... again I just hope its a smoke screen or a 3 way deal or something.. but please NO PAYTON
2004 Defensive Numbers
Payton: 1075 innings, 357 Total Chances, 342 Putouts, 11 assists, 4 errors, 2 double plays, .989 fielding percentage
I'd say these stats are almost identical. What NL outfielder even gets a second look if your name's not Andruw Jones or Jim Edmonds? You didn't hear any GG talk about Kotsay until he came to the AL. Based on the stats, the same could be true of Payton.
Nice Research, af4e
Kotsay: Range Factor of 2.75; Zone Rating of .881
Payton: Range Factor of 2.69; Zone Rating of .885
I've never been a true believer in defensive statistics, but it's uncanny how close these two players rate.
My guess is that Billy is going to trade Kotsay to the Yankees or the Cubs for the motherload of prospects and replace him with Payton.
What makes Kotsay so valuable is his defense, not his hitting. It looks like Payton is certainly an adequate replacement -- for the rest of the year..
Also, don't forget ...
Quite frankly, I (and, I think, most of the folks at AN) had precisely the same reservations about Kotsay before Beane acquired him as I/we do about Payton.
not necessarily true
Kotsay was just turning 28 at the time of the trade. Payton is 32. Kotsay was an everyday player, while Payton is a disgruntled part-timer.
Well,
Payton Signed with the Red Sox
So
I think this signals
by willem20 on Jul 8, 2005 9:37 AM PDT reply actions
I can see where your coming from
Ryan Glynn... I can understand him being up for Hardens first 2 starts, but PLEASE get that man out of here ASAP
Sinkerballer Saarloos
Cant Change The Rotation
I mean you can, but not when you are in a playoff race... And I'ma big Cruz fan
Why not just bring Cruz up to start
Saarloos is only good for about 80 pitches per game anyway, so it would be like Cruz and Saarloos are co-5th starters!
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 10:27 AM PDT up reply actions
Give Saarloooos a Chance
Yeah, but eventually he'll have to go
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 10:33 AM PDT up reply actions
Jairo doesn't seem ready
He's certainly promising and young, so time is on his side.
I would think Cruz would be considered for a promotion first. Unless Jairo suddenly puts it all together.
My take:
The Red Sox needed to offload Payton, but they also desperately need bullpen help, so they were probably content to take a chance on a guy who, let's face it, might be done.
I wouldn't expect Payton to stay long, but I do expect Billy to hang out the "Outfielders R'Us" sign and start actively petitioning rich teams needing outfield help to make a killer deal for one of our extras - most likely Byrnes or Payton.
All in all, I suspect this deal is going to be another "give it a year" Billy Beane steal.
Damages Goods != Tradable Goods
A guy can be 'not hurt'..
Example one, Rick Ankiel.
Example two, Mark Fidrych.
Wow, exactly my take
"BB is just trying to trade low value (Bradford)
for higher value (Payton). Its like last year with Beltran or a couple of years ago with Weaver. He just gets as high a value player as he can for as low value as he can, not necessarily to keep them but to flip them, maybe for prospects.
I like the idea of flipping Payton to LA which needs outfield help. Their farm system is totally stocked at AA!"
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 10:19 AM PDT up reply actions
Look, even if Bradford comes out pitching
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 10:31 AM PDT up reply actions
They're Also Flush with RH Of
Byrnes, Kielty, Kotsay
- what im sayin is theres no place for him to play UNLESS you trade Kotsay which would be a huge mistake..
As much as I hate Payton, I'll hate him even more if he replaces Kotsay in Center.. Jay Payton is the guy the Red Sox brought in to replace Gabe bleepin Kapler..
How does a man go from replacing Gabe Kapler to replacing Mark Kotsay?!?!
While Payton is a RH,
Payton 11HR, 42 RBI, .230/.288/.410
Kotsay 6HR, 31 RBI, .251/.310/.383
Now, I don't think Payton would necessarily have that many homers, he is on that pace. Payton would provide a little RH pop to lineup, which something everyone seems to be longing for.
God No...
by OaktownPower on Jul 8, 2005 11:22 AM PDT up reply actions
THIS SUCKS
by JMC @ Athletics Nation on Jul 8, 2005 10:43 AM PDT reply actions
I'm down with that.
Why is everybody so attached to Bradford?
Bradford has put in a couple of good years yes, but there is no guarantee this will continue after surgery. Better to trade him no when he has value, then wait for the possibility that he is washed up after major back surgery and wathch him loose all value whatsoever.
I predict that, if this deal in fact goes through, either Kotsay or Payton is dealt before the end of July. And if its Kotsay that must go, I feel a lot better with Payton in CF than BongHead Byrnes.
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 11:48 AM PDT up reply actions
Agree
I think that Bradford and the submarine was a bit of a novelty when he first started pitching for the A's, teams had not seen anything like that before. I think its a good time to move him, given the fact that hes pitched in the AL for some time and the back injury.
by pickinmachine on Jul 8, 2005 11:52 AM PDT up reply actions
The Point is
If your making moves for the future, then you trade him for Payton or whoever and then trade Payton or Kotsay for prospects.
But the bottom line is, as far as being a playoff team THIS year, its a bad trade whichever way you spin it
some lessons just don't stick...
Being an A's fan is really, really, really difficult for sentimental drips like me...
On that note, I'm going to SBC Boutique to see Mulder tonight :)
Man, what a sacrfice
You really are a sentimental drip!
I guess that's another lesson we can learn from BB, "don't sacrifice!"
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 12:25 PM PDT up reply actions
It's Beane's fault, man.
I'm an emotional gal, I get attached to the summer boys like superglue and it's always hard to let one go. I figure it's Beane's job to not get too attached, but as long as he keeps truckin' in players like we typically see in Oakland, it's impossible to hold them all at arm's length.
The novelty of Bradford's delievery is easy to get attached to, I think. Plus, he HAS been important for the team in the past, it's natural to be a bit attached to the guy.
Also, given the fact that this is just one piece of his summer moves and it's impossible to see the whole picture... well, that makes it hard. Most of the time, it's not difficult to see the utter value in his midseason moves, this one's just a bit more difficult since it's incomplete.
Why does everyone assume Kotsay is gone?
- Payton is sent to another team before he even wears an A's uniform. While the Red Sox are full of press spies, the A's are not, hence we only have one side of the story. Anyone rember Michael Barret's stats as an A? How about Jeff Weaver's W/L record for the green and gold? Or Carlos Beltran's BA (yes the A's did possess rights to him, thus getting Dotel from Houston)?
- Byrnes, not Kotsay is traded to anyone dumb enough (Giants, Yankees) or desperate enough (Cubs/Yankees/Dodgers). This trade would not be a big deal for prospects, but just to unload Byrnes and his overpriced 2 mill a year. (This seems less likely b/c Payton would be in the same situation as he was in Boston - platoon).
WHO THE HELL KNOWS, but I think #1 happens.
I agree superMario
My only point was that Payton in an A's uni is not the end of the world.
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 12:28 PM PDT up reply actions
If Kotsay is gone - no Playoffs
Seriosuly though, if Kotsay gets dealt, I think we have a clear statement from Beane that this season is about the next five years.
And I definitely agree that TAB (Tired Ass Byrnes)/Bonghead/ByrnesBrain is a nightmare in CF and I would take Payton over him any day.
by oaktownmario on Jul 8, 2005 12:39 PM PDT up reply actions
4 Possibilities
- Trade doesnt happen
- Payton is shipped before he plays
- Payton stays, Byrnes is traded... Payton platoons in left
- Payton stays, Kotsay is traded
- We add a bullpen arm (obviously)
- gets us, most likely, prospects
- gets us, most likely, prospects
- removes the teams best overall player (arguably) and gets us top flight prospects..
Actually, only #4 doesn't help this year
In option #2 the A's don't lose anyone key. Some would argue the same for option #3, though I don't want to keep heaping up abuse on Byrnes. (He certainly handles his part time status better than Payton does.)
The Bottom Line Is...
BB is sensing that
Another inefficiency in the market!
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 12:39 PM PDT up reply actions
They Dont bring the same stuff to the table
Kotsay is a better fielder (I've seen Payton play plenty)
Kotsay is a better baserunner
Kotsay is a better teammate
And better paid!
Beane may be thinking that Payton at a low cost is better than Kotsay and the 7 mill.
A's never had Beltran
Your way it doesn't add up. KC was netting three players for Beltran, so they had to be the one in the middle.
We did briefly own Weaver, though. That time we were the middleman team.
I still don't get it, though...
You are not paying attention to Payton's
af4e and Eck posted these numbers already, but I'll post their comparative 2004 defensive numbers again, since no one seems to be reading the whole thread.
Kotsay: 1255 innings, 364 Total Chances, 347 Putouts, 11 assists, 6 errors, 4 double plays, .984 fielding percentage
Payton: 1075 innings, 357 Total Chances, 342 Putouts, 11 assists, 4 errors, 2 double plays, .989 fielding percentage
Kotsay: Range Factor of 2.75; Zone Rating of .881
Payton: Range Factor of 2.69; Zone Rating of .885
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 12:36 PM PDT up reply actions
Thanks, Bruce
One small correction though: the Range Factor and Zone Rating numbers are for their entire careers, while playing center field.
I like the emphasis on proven...
CT has the skillset to cover a good center, he just didn't last year because the Braves have a pretty decent center fielder incumbent :)
I still think Charles Thomas can do it-- and he has plenty of defensive skills, too-- and there is merit in letting Bradford simply play a bit to build up his market.
And Payton, it's worth noting, was DFA'd. I don't see his value as higher than Bradford if he's not contributing anything immediately.
I guess it's just the fan in me looking for reasons, though.
Defensively
Payton played in Colorado where everyone hits the ball in the air, thus enabling him to make more plays.
Payton has a +Arm for a centerfielder, but Kotsay has a great arm, which is probably the reason for his 2 more errors & lower %
Payton played in Colorado, which
Petco Dimensions
Left Field: 334 feet
Right Field: 322 feet
Left-Center: 367 feet
Right-Center: 387 feet
Center Field: 396 feet
McAfee Dimensions
Left Field Line 330
Right Field Line 330
Left Center 362
Right Center 362
Straight Away Center Field 400
The size of the outfields are nearly identical, with Petco being a little bigger. I'd say Payton's numbers from last year translate very well to our park. As far as the arm goes, both outfielders had 11 assists. I don't think Payton could have too bad of an arm to match Kotsay in that category.
Having said all that, Jay Payton is definitely not who I would choose to play CF. If he only has to play there this year, and Felix Pie takes over next year, I can definitely live with this trade.
The Numbers Prove You Wrong
We all know how great an outfielder Mark Kotsay is, but the numbers seem to indicate that Payton is just as good.
And it's not accurate to say "everyone hits the ball in the air" in Colorado. The ball may travel farther when it's hit in the air, but there's no reason that the thin air changes the angle in which the ball hits the bat.
When you say things like "I've seen him play" and ignore the numbers you end up sounding like one of the scouts Billy ridicules in Moneyball.
Find value by looking beyond the hype.
by Eck on Jul 8, 2005 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions
My point is,
I'm pretty sure if you asked Billy Beane he would tell you that Mark Kotsay is a better defensive centerfielder than Jay Payton..
Matter of fact I'm pretty sure if you ask ANY baseball General Manager they'll tell you Kotsay is the superior defender.
I wouldn't want to ask any GM
Beane doesnt use JUST stats
I'm pretty sure BB was quoted as saying he fell in love with Kotsay watching him in the College World Series
No, he doesn't just use stats.
Actually, even the Bonderman deal
Then BB turned Lilly into Kielty, who admittedly sucked last year, but is up to par this year and may get better. Who knows what he'll turn Kielty into; maybe another Bonderman, so the jury is still out on that deal. But even if the buck stops with Kielty, I can live with the deal because there is no way Bonderman would have been the same for the 03 squad as Lilly was.
Its just by way of saying: I still trust Billy. I mean its Chad freakin' Bradford after all!
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 2:30 PM PDT up reply actions
I think it's the other way around
They're younger...
And in that case, you might as well evaluate the talent that you have, and Charles Thomas-- who may well be a 3rd-4th outfielder type (the end-of-A's-tenure-T-Long type), as not quite good enough to land a starting job, but just not-- should get ML time again to prove it. Maybe he just needs a constant stream of ABs?
So they haven't proven to be any better, but they can be better-- and they don't cost you talent.
You're right
Duby's probably right, Kotsay on the whole is probably better than Payton. But Payton is 1/3 the price and probably 80-90% the player. After all, Kotsay had a career offensive year last year, but he seems to have regressed to his norms this year which are pretty average.
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 1:07 PM PDT up reply actions
Goddamn it, tried of trade talk
Four hours and 20 minutes!!
That means I'll have to suffer through the Hawk
Isn't this team trying to compete?
Anyone else
by Steve in Napa on Jul 8, 2005 1:19 PM PDT up reply actions
Wow, that sucks
Not so, Mario--
So was the deal only about dumping salary?
I rate that deal
Agreed
the words "salary dump" did come to mind
Beane really, really wanted to trade Huddy. So he called Atlanta back and said Giles wasn't a requirement. Atlanta then did let a top pitching prospect, a reliever and an outfielder go in return for Huddy. St. Louis called Beane back, and Beane said Huddy's gone, but how about Mulder for Haren-Calero-Barton. and the Cards bit.
Anyway, that's how it looks in hindsight. I don't think you can really separate the two trades.
OUt of respectful curiousity
by BruceBochte on Jul 8, 2005 2:49 PM PDT up reply actions
It's my fictionalized account
Numerous articles mentioned that the St. Louis trade talks were initially about Huddy, and that Beane restarted the Atlanta talks by dropping the demand for Giles. As to his "sense of urgency" - which he at one point claimed not to feel - in his later interviews he referred to wanting to do the deals before it got too late in the offseason, after most teams would have made their deals.
It was written up that way somewhere as well
Cards felt they couldn't let Mulder slip by also.
by A s Eh on Jul 8, 2005 9:59 PM PDT up reply actions
Who gets sent down
options:
- Ginter (to go work on his swing; downside: no clear back-up for chavy at third)
- Gylnn (cause he really isn't in the long-term plan; downside: one less arm in the bullpen and more mop-up innings for yabu)
- someone else
- another trade (as discussed above) that changes everything
WHY ???????????
A quality player..like Mark..is more than a sum of his stats....and I'm not talk'n about his tools or potential either.
by asfanfordays on Jul 9, 2005 8:31 AM PDT reply actions

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