Patience Is, In Fact, A Virtue
We all know that Marco Scutaro worked hard this offseason to become the more patient, or "selective" if you will, hitter that Billy Beane and the A's front office covets.
From Susan Slusser's story:
"Obviously, there was a lot of talk Marco would be sent down, but he's come out and kind of made a point," Byrnes said. "He's getting on base, he's making plays, he's been huge for us."
But is this becoming a bit more common with players on certain teams? It's very early in the season and an insignificant sample size, but two players who are known for hacking have become key base-on-balls cogs in the first series of 2005.
Scutaro is the A's new patient hitter. But there is also a new-found "patient" hitter playing for Billy Beane's protege Paul DePodesta in Los Angeles. Jose Valentin, who had a grand total of 43 walks in 125 games in 2004 and a career high of 66 walks way back in 1996, has already walked five times in the first three games. Valentin is a guy who averaged a BB once every 2.62 games prior to this season.
Do I really think that Jose Valentin will wind up with 270 walks or Scutaro with 162? No. But this tells me that a team's hitting philosophy can be taught to even the most stubborn free swinger (remember how much more patience Tejada seemed to have by the time he left? And now Chavez?). Will Scutaro and Valentin's new selectivity last or will they revert to their old hacking ways?
Only a little patience will give us the answer.
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34 comments
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Patience
by ohad on
Apr 8, 2005 1:04 PM PDT
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but can hitters develop a better eye
i believe they can't. is that relevant?
by xbhaskarx on
Apr 8, 2005 1:10 PM PDT
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That's a good question
by Blez on
Apr 8, 2005 1:15 PM PDT
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I think maybe
Of course, since it's just three games, it could be that the pitcher just so happens to pitch balls against him.
by ohad on
Apr 8, 2005 1:18 PM PDT
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That's true...
It's like he's suddenly reborn. But like I said, who knows if it will last?
by Blez on
Apr 8, 2005 1:19 PM PDT
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Depodesta
by ohad on
Apr 8, 2005 1:22 PM PDT
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hitters can develope a different general approach
by kvn on
Apr 8, 2005 1:39 PM PDT
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habit is with one B
by ohad on
Apr 8, 2005 2:07 PM PDT
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that one was a type-o
by kvn on
Apr 8, 2005 2:30 PM PDT
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It's amazing how competition...
by LowcountryJoe on
Apr 8, 2005 1:18 PM PDT
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Prior to last season...
by Sharon on
Apr 8, 2005 1:23 PM PDT
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Exactly!
But the reality is that Scutaro ACTUALLY WAS a patient hitter coming up.
At Buffalo (AAA) in 1999 he had 61 walks and 69 Ks.
At Buffalo in 2000 he had 61 walks and 53 Ks.
In 2001 he was 62BB:83K, not great but still not horrible.
Then the Met's screwed him up in 2002 and he was 30:72.
But in 2003, his ratio was 46:48, pretty darn good.
Looking at those stats, it appears Marco's track record is that he's been much more patient in the past and last year might be an abberation.
by Eck on
Apr 8, 2005 2:22 PM PDT
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The pitchers have a lot to say....
by jrbh on
Apr 8, 2005 1:23 PM PDT
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Can you become too patient
by kkdaz on
Apr 8, 2005 1:36 PM PDT
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I agree Blez
by carp on
Apr 8, 2005 1:41 PM PDT
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That's what makes it so interesting to me
Although I was just looking up Scoot's minor league numbers and he was a bit more patient with Norfolk. So perhaps Sharon was right. Maybe he was more patient and just swung more last season for some reason.
Valentin on the other hand, has never been a patient guy at the plate.
by Blez on
Apr 8, 2005 2:08 PM PDT
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this is a very interesting discussion to have
i tend to be in the beane camp, but it's possible scoot was swinging at everything in 04 because he thought this was his only chance to prove himself at the MLB level. let's remember that there were rumors of ellis coming back throught last year...
by xbhaskarx on
Apr 8, 2005 2:11 PM PDT
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I know
It's like someone suddenly put a light bulb on over his head.
But as I said, who knows if it will continue?
by Blez on
Apr 8, 2005 2:23 PM PDT
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didn't mean to imply
by xbhaskarx on
Apr 8, 2005 2:51 PM PDT
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Plate Discipline CAN be Improved
It's a matter of what's taught and stressed in an organization. It's just that it's hard to teach it to guys who have been successful being more "aggressive."
Remember, these guys got drafted by major league teams by hitting, not walking. They were the best hitters from little league to high school to (for some) college. They think they're pretty good by the time they get into the system.
I'd argue that it's a lot easier to teach an undisciplined hitter to be patient than it is to teach a patient player to take better swings. The skills involved in hitting are pretty darn hard and I think much more determined by genetics than instruction. Obviously good coaches and hard work help then develop their potential, but great hitters are born not made.
by Eck on
Apr 8, 2005 2:50 PM PDT
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Adjustments
Scoot is making the adjustments to refine his plate discipline. Great, let's just hope BB et al are taking notes and "applying" this to their 2005 plans.
by Masaryk on
Apr 8, 2005 2:09 PM PDT
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Exception to the rule?
On the other hand, as Sharon points out, Scutaro always had a decent walk rate in the minors - in fact, this was probably a big factor in Beane picking him up on waivers last year - so maybe he really does have this capability. One possible explanation was that his early, somewhat flukey, success last year - he hit .338 in april - reinforced some bad habits, but after struggling later - .224 in september/october - he has realized the necessity of going back to what got him noticed in the first place
by andeux on
Apr 8, 2005 2:11 PM PDT
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BTW
by ohad on
Apr 8, 2005 2:18 PM PDT
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LaTroy Hawkins....
Although it should be said that if Hollandsworth hadn't picked up, then dropped the ball down the left field line, Spivey might not have scored.
by jrbh on
Apr 8, 2005 2:38 PM PDT
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jrbh: it should also be noted
by Nico on
Apr 8, 2005 3:04 PM PDT
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He just did it to spite me...
by LD on
Apr 8, 2005 3:14 PM PDT
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improving plate discipline
also, shouldn't hitters on teams that value patience and plate discipline be constantly and consistently improving their plate discipline if they have the ability to do so?
for example, if beane got durazo because of X plate discipline, why wouldn't durazo try to get to X+1 if that's what the team wants out of him?
by xbhaskarx on
Apr 8, 2005 2:56 PM PDT
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Adding a teacher's perspective
If you think of major leaguers as "adults" and lower level minor leaguers as "kids," then it stands to reason that plate discpline can be taught more to single-A players that to major leaguers--not as much a matter of whether it's "an innate skill" or "a learnable skill" but more because in some fundamental ways, "kids" are more teachable than "adults."
Interesting debate for sure, with no clear answer in sight.
by Nico on
Apr 8, 2005 3:02 PM PDT
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Good Points
But you can only walk as much as the pitcher is throwing balls. A player's got a ceiling in how much he can walk ... and I'd argue Durazo is right at his. If he takes walks in 90 percent of his walkable at bats, he can't improve that much. Hard to get to X+1 if X is already close to 100 percent.
On a related note, Jim Palmer made an excellent point last night on the Orioles broadcast about the A's approach. He talked about the A's stressing "plate discipline" not walks.
He said how the system stresses looking in a particular hitting zone for pitches and not swinging if you don't get them. It's not about always taking the first pitch of an at bat, but looking for a pitch in a particular location.
He relayed a story about Swisher. In spring training, Swisher said Maddux kept getting him out with pitches that were low and away. Once Swisher realized he couldn't hit those pitches anyway, he stopped swinging at them. Didn't matter if they were balls or strikes.
by Eck on
Apr 8, 2005 3:07 PM PDT
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What,...
by LowcountryJoe on
Apr 8, 2005 6:35 PM PDT
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How about the opposite?
Obviously Vlad is a stud, and he did have a monster year last year. But his OBP last year on the Angels was .391; while it was .417 and .426 in the years prior when he was on Montreal.
by davebenfremont on
Apr 8, 2005 4:02 PM PDT
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Another example
by jrfelix on
Apr 10, 2005 11:25 PM PDT
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